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Author Topic: UEFA Super Cup 2026  (Read 562 times)
len01
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August 11, 2026, 07:46:35 PM
 #81

-snip

I'll probably wait until the team rosters are announced, right now it's a pure lottery. If PSG are in their best squad, Aston Villa have no chance and BTTS is also in question. Despite the fact that PSG has dominated Ligue 1 for a decade and they have two Champions League titles in a row, I am sure that the small team complex has not yet been overcome, so PSG are hungry for titles and will play at 100%. But I will still wait for the announcement of the lineups.
That makes sense. If Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Doué, Vitinha, Mendes, and Hakimi are all starters for that match and PSG stick with the 4-3-3 formation, I believe PSG will be aiming to score early. This approach could put Villa on the back foot mentally and make it harder for them to break through PSG’s defense. Once they concede an early goal, Villa will naturally become more cautious and hesitant to commit players forward.


This is a football and anything can happen.
Come on, man, stop saying things like this. That’s not how a bettor who actually analyzes the game should think.

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August 11, 2026, 07:51:13 PM
 #82

I wonder why PSG have played only 2 friendly matches so far. None of them ended up well for them either. There is still a truth like they have won the Champions League back-to-back of course.

But let's not forget Emery is also a trophy monster and this is only the beginning of the season. Probably I wouldn't bet on PSG win directly for this one. By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches.

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August 11, 2026, 08:05:13 PM
 #83

By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches

Maybe not all eleven, but that doesn't really matter. The most of them will.

The difference in class is too huge, even non-regular players of PSG can win the match. No guaranteed Villa will be in their best shape either by the way.

Betting on PSG's loss seems like a foolish gamble, no matter at what angle you look at it.


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ndutndut
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August 11, 2026, 08:06:59 PM
 #84

PSG is the clear favorite to beat Aston Villa, but Aston Villa could still defy the odds and take the match into extra time or even a penalty shootout.
Most bettors will likely follow the bookmakers’ odds, but for some reason, I predict that this year’s UEFA Super Cup final will be different. Perhaps the drama of the Champions League quarterfinal on April 16, 2025, will be repeated in this year’s UEFA Super Cup final.
The rules for the UEFA Super Cup if I'm not mistaken have already been changed so that there is no extra time. So when the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes it will go straight to a penalty shootout. If you look at the squad depth of both team, PSG is definitely favored especially since they are the UCL champions, while Aston Villa are the Europa League winners.

However, every final match is unpredictable and statistics can’t always be used as a reference especially since both teams have the same determination to win the Super Cup trophy. PSG wants to win it consecutively while for Aston Villa this is a highly anticipated moment after waiting 43 years without appearing in the Super Cup, so Aston will give everything they’ve got in this match.

Besides this match will get even more intense because usually the final is always determined by the coach strategy when reading how the game is going on which can have an impact when the coach makes decisions. So we also can't underestimate coach Unai Emery in this match because he might surprise us, especially if he manages to hold PSG for 90 minutes then the penalty shootout could favor Aston Villa since they have a goalkeeper who's good at penalties.

R


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August 11, 2026, 08:13:39 PM
 #85

By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches

Maybe not all eleven, but that doesn't really matter. The most of them will.

The difference in class is too huge, even non-regular players of PSG can win the match. No guaranteed Villa will be in their best shape either by the way.

Betting on PSG's loss seems like a foolish gamble, no matter at what angle you look at it.
I love the way you are underating Aston Villa, it's seems you don't remember what happened in last 2 champions league season. Do you think Aston Villa are that poor in terms of performance for you to say PSG non-regular players will beat them. Although PSG are the favorites here, no doubt, but I won't look Aston Villa as Less. We all witnessed how the world cup exposed Vitinha and Joao Neves, which doesn't make fear that duo anymore. Aston Villa performed well throughout the Europa league. The only problem there is Unai Emery has never won the Super cup, which I feel the curse will continue. PSG will take a narrow win here.

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August 11, 2026, 08:14:44 PM
 #86

Bookmakers are giving the advantage to PSG, and the odds for an Aston Villa victory are around 4.6. But the season has not started yet, many players have not reached peak fitness after their holidays, and furthermore, the players who participated in the World Cup have not had enough time to fully recover. So it seems to me that the probability of an Aston Villa win could be slightly higher, especially since the Birmingham team had far fewer players participating in the World Cup than PSG.

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August 11, 2026, 08:20:10 PM
 #87

By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches

Maybe not all eleven, but that doesn't really matter. The most of them will.

The difference in class is too huge, even non-regular players of PSG can win the match. No guaranteed Villa will be in their best shape either by the way.

Betting on PSG's loss seems like a foolish gamble, no matter at what angle you look at it.
It's no doubt that PSG doesn't need its entire squad to win against Aston villa, but that shouldn't be a reason to underrate Villa totally and hope it's already a done deal. Obviously no gambler would want to risk their hard-earned money on Villa in that encounter, but that doesn't mean some people won't still take that risk because we've seen a situation in the past where a team many people didn't believe would later surprise everyone.

 
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August 11, 2026, 08:23:39 PM
 #88

It's certain that PSG will dominate and take full control of the game because they're far better than Aston Villa. Of course,  there is nothing Aston Villa can play apart from going on a full defensive game.

I expect to see a lot of goals in this game only if, PSG isn't a their best form. It might not end on a clean sheet.
It is certain that PSG will dominate tomorrow's Europa Cup final but we should all note that this team has played far fewer friendlies than Aston Villa and in those friendlies the Premier League team's performance has been very impressive. You may know Luiz Enrique's team defended the UEFA Champions League title this season so they might want to defend the Super Cup title as well.

Besides it seems the task will not be easy because Aston Villa are the UEFA Europa League champions as well as finishing fourth in the 2025-26 Premier League season so it is certain this team is well-trained to participate in this Europa Cup final, even in my opinion though PSG and Aston Villa will go into the field with the aim of winning their second UEFA Super Cup title.

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August 11, 2026, 08:53:57 PM
 #89

I do not know how Aston Villa form is right now else i would have say the game will be very tough for them because i can remember few seasons ago where Aston Villa almost knocked Paris Saint German out  of the champions league but regardless, i know Premier League team are always strong so i believe they will give Paris Saint German tough time even if they will lose at the end which we are not certain about that and i can not bet Paris Saint German to win Aston Villa because they can be very funny at times.

That must be before PSG started wining the champions League last two season because that's when Aston Villa could get tough on them but now Aston Villa wouldn't do it even if premier League teams are perceived to be good in exhibiting strength whenever they meet another club from different league but unfortunately PSG is not just an ordinary club for them but they're the best that Aston Villa will ever meet on the season considering the trophy on their hand. Although Aston Villa will only get some chances of taking more time before PSG would win them due to the nature of some first matches unusual performances.

 
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August 11, 2026, 09:09:23 PM
 #90

By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches

Maybe not all eleven, but that doesn't really matter. The most of them will.

The difference in class is too huge, even non-regular players of PSG can win the match. No guaranteed Villa will be in their best shape either by the way.

Betting on PSG's loss seems like a foolish gamble, no matter at what angle you look at it.
I love the way you are underating Aston Villa, it's seems you don't remember what happened in last 2 champions league season. Do you think Aston Villa are that poor in terms of performance for you to say PSG non-regular players will beat them. Although PSG are the favorites here, no doubt, but I won't look Aston Villa as Less. We all witnessed how the world cup exposed Vitinha and Joao Neves, which doesn't make fear that duo anymore. Aston Villa performed well throughout the Europa league. The only problem there is Unai Emery has never won the
Super cup, which I feel the curse will continue. PSG will take a narrow win here.

Just statistically speaking, in the last 15 years, only twice a team that won the UCL didn't win the UEFA Super Cup the same season.

Interestingly enough, both times the winner was Athletico Madrid!

That was in 2018 - a grand miracle of beating Real and in 2012 - with Falcao singlehandedly dismantling very weak Chelsea that managed to win the UCL by some crazy luck.

Overall, you very rarely go wrong by betting on the UCL winner, especially a strong winner that absolutely deserved the trophy (unlike Chelsea in 2012, for example).


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Plutomanian
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August 11, 2026, 09:33:40 PM
 #91

That must be before PSG started wining the champions League last two season because that's when Aston Villa could get tough on them but now Aston Villa wouldn't do it even if premier League teams are perceived to be good in exhibiting strength whenever they meet another club from different league but unfortunately PSG is not just an ordinary club for them but they're the best that Aston Villa will ever meet on the season considering the trophy on their hand. Although Aston Villa will only get some chances of taking more time before PSG would win them due to the nature of some first matches unusual performances.
PSG and Aston Villa are on a different level when it comes to trophies, we know exactly what PSG have accomplished this past seasons and also what Aston Villa have accomplished, we can confidently say they're both competitive and it's not going to be an easy winning for PSG because they're facing the Europa champions, Aston Villa humbled Freiburg 3-0 in the final last season and this season, they're facing PSG. My money is on PSG to come out and dominate Aston Villa, we know how this normally plays out because PSG is very competitive and we can say the same for lions.
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August 11, 2026, 09:38:33 PM
 #92

By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches

Maybe not all eleven, but that doesn't really matter. The most of them will.

The difference in class is too huge, even non-regular players of PSG can win the match. No guaranteed Villa will be in their best shape either by the way.

Betting on PSG's loss seems like a foolish gamble, no matter at what angle you look at it.
I love the way you are underating Aston Villa, it's seems you don't remember what happened in last 2 champions league season. Do you think Aston Villa are that poor in terms of performance for you to say PSG non-regular players will beat them. Although PSG are the favorites here, no doubt, but I won't look Aston Villa as Less. We all witnessed how the world cup exposed Vitinha and Joao Neves, which doesn't make fear that duo anymore. Aston Villa performed well throughout the Europa league. The only problem there is Unai Emery has never won the
Super cup, which I feel the curse will continue. PSG will take a narrow win here.

Just statistically speaking, in the last 15 years, only twice a team that won the UCL didn't win the UEFA Super Cup the same season.

Interestingly enough, both times the winner was Athletico Madrid!

That was in 2018 - a grand miracle of beating Real and in 2012 - with Falcao singlehandedly dismantling very weak Chelsea that managed to win the UCL by some crazy luck.

Overall, you very rarely go wrong by betting on the UCL winner, especially a strong winner that absolutely deserved the trophy (unlike Chelsea in 2012, for example).

It's always difficult for the European champions to loose out on the super cup after winning the champ league. It's even more difficult because of the team and there coach. PSG is just too good that loosing that match will be what they won't want at all. They won it last year, after coming from behind to beat Tottenham Hotspur and won to the trophy. And the thing is that they are not relenting. They are still very fit and a strong opposition to any team they will play.

Aston Villa though would have been a bit formidable force that will face them and fight for the trophy. But am sure presently now, they are weakend since they sold some of there good players. Unai Emery would just find a way to remain relevant in that match while fighting to win the defending champions. It's not gonna be easy, but let's see that football has kept for us tomorrow while we watch.

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August 11, 2026, 09:43:45 PM
 #93

I wonder why PSG have played only 2 friendly matches so far. None of them ended up well for them either. There is still a truth like they have won the Champions League back-to-back of course.

But let's not forget Emery is also a trophy monster and this is only the beginning of the season. Probably I wouldn't bet on PSG win directly for this one. By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches.

Their world cup players probably won't start. However, it's likely that Kvaratskhelia will start since he didn't participate in the world cup and resumed training much more sooner. I don't know which players are fully fit but I think we might see 50-60% of the full PSG squad. Villa is the one I'm worried about even though their pre-season have looked great. They lost a couple of first team players on permanent transfer including Morgan Rogers and Tielemans, both of whom are no more with Villa team.

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August 11, 2026, 10:13:58 PM
 #94

Ordinary PSG should win this game convincingly because PSG, by form and quality of players is way ahead of Aston Villa. But PSG wining this game largely depends on the type of players that they will use in this game. This game is more of a curtain raiser for the the upcoming European football competition.

We should not expect an easy win for PSG because, this game is going to be tough. I see Villa giving PSG a very tough game, they will like to prove a point that they are not a push over team, as winners of the Europa League competition in the past season.

This game should be a very good opportunity for the both sides,  Because this game is a competitive game, so it will be a good test for the both teams. In knowing how ready that they are going into the opening of the league season across Europe.

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August 11, 2026, 10:20:15 PM
 #95

I wonder why PSG have played only 2 friendly matches so far. None of them ended up well for them either. There is still a truth like they have won the Champions League back-to-back of course.

But let's not forget Emery is also a trophy monster and this is only the beginning of the season. Probably I wouldn't bet on PSG win directly for this one. By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches.

It would be strange if PSG played a lot of friendlies. Most of their squad played in the World Cup and had little rest. Considering their season starts earlier than other teams (they don't want to miss out on the Super Cup, after all), it's logical they haven't had a full schedule or preseason. Incidentally, it will be interesting to see how Aston Villa's "relatively" fresh players fare against PSG's exhausted squad. But first we need to understand what lineup the teams will play with. By the way, if there are a lot of players from the rotation squad, it is unclear how this will affect the odds, often, rotation players die hard to prove themselves.

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August 11, 2026, 10:22:10 PM
 #96

Their world cup players probably won't start. However, it's likely that Kvaratskhelia will start since he didn't participate in the world cup and resumed training much more sooner. I don't know which players are fully fit but I think we might see 50-60% of the full PSG squad. Villa is the one I'm worried about even though their pre-season have looked great. They lost a couple of first team players on permanent transfer including Morgan Rogers and Tielemans, both of whom are no more with Villa team.
Aston Villa is also a strong Premier League team based on their performance last season, but against PSG who are the Champions League winners, it is hard to support Aston Villa for the win against PSG.

I am going to give Aston Villa the benefit of the doubt if they can stop PSG from sealing the victory in the first half. If Aston Villa can do anything, it will catch everyone by surprise, i don't expect Aston Villa to win.

R


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August 11, 2026, 10:31:02 PM
 #97

Their world cup players probably won't start. However, it's likely that Kvaratskhelia will start since he didn't participate in the world cup and resumed training much more sooner. I don't know which players are fully fit but I think we might see 50-60% of the full PSG squad. Villa is the one I'm worried about even though their pre-season have looked great. They lost a couple of first team players on permanent transfer including Morgan Rogers and Tielemans, both of whom are no more with Villa team.

I highly doubt that, it’s a trophy match and they don’t need to have several months to themselves just to rest and enjoy the holidays. These guys would most certainly be out on the pitch to make their mark in the super cup. I am expecting Dembele on the starting lineup. Man would be looking to make his position stronger as a Ballon D’or contestant. Chances is that, he gets a goal or 2 but, Villa would be doing their most to defend in this fixture and not do much in attack. Hope they prove me wrong though.

R


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August 11, 2026, 10:52:13 PM
 #98

Their world cup players probably won't start. However, it's likely that Kvaratskhelia will start since he didn't participate in the world cup and resumed training much more sooner. I don't know which players are fully fit but I think we might see 50-60% of the full PSG squad. Villa is the one I'm worried about even though their pre-season have looked great. They lost a couple of first team players on permanent transfer including Morgan Rogers and Tielemans, both of whom are no more with Villa team.
Aston Villa is also a strong Premier League team based on their performance last season, but against PSG who are the Champions League winners, it is hard to support Aston Villa for the win against PSG.

I am going to give Aston Villa the benefit of the doubt if they can stop PSG from sealing the victory in the first half. If Aston Villa can do anything, it will catch everyone by surprise, i don't expect Aston Villa to win.

I don't expect Aston Villa to be at the same level of performance as last season because they have sold two of their key players, which I believe will reduce their performance. On the other hand, PSG have not sold any of their key players, so I expect them to maintain the level of performance they showed last season.For that reason, I don't expect Aston Villa to surprise us and win the Super Cup. It is PSG that I see lifting the Super Cup trophy. My confidence in Aston Villa might have increased if Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans were still available in the squad.In fact, even PSG decided  not to use their full squad,I am still not convinced that Aston Villa will have enough to chances to beat PSG, because I too believe on PSG coach tactics always.

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August 11, 2026, 11:07:37 PM
 #99

Their world cup players probably won't start. However, it's likely that Kvaratskhelia will start since he didn't participate in the world cup and resumed training much more sooner. I don't know which players are fully fit but I think we might see 50-60% of the full PSG squad. Villa is the one I'm worried about even though their pre-season have looked great. They lost a couple of first team players on permanent transfer including Morgan Rogers and Tielemans, both of whom are no more with Villa team.
Aston Villa is also a strong Premier League team based on their performance last season, but against PSG who are the Champions League winners, it is hard to support Aston Villa for the win against PSG.

I am going to give Aston Villa the benefit of the doubt if they can stop PSG from sealing the victory in the first half. If Aston Villa can do anything, it will catch everyone by surprise, i don't expect Aston Villa to win.

I don't expect Aston Villa to be at the same level of performance as last season because they have sold two of their key players, which I believe will reduce their performance. On the other hand, PSG have not sold any of their key players, so I expect them to maintain the level of performance they showed last season.For that reason, I don't expect Aston Villa to surprise us and win the Super Cup. It is PSG that I see lifting the Super Cup trophy. My confidence in Aston Villa might have increased if Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans were still available in the squad.In fact, even PSG decided  not to use their full squad,I am still not convinced that Aston Villa will have enough to chances to beat PSG, because I too believe on PSG coach tactics always.
Are key players to be released or not, this will have an effect on the consistency of team on the pitch. This loss of key player in crucial role has a serious negative effect on the attacking strength and general solidity of the defense. In the meantime, the wholeness of the team and the shrewdness of the tactics of the enemy force gives vast numbers of numerical advantage. Such high competitor pool brings the championship trophy nearer and nearer to them.

The difference of power of the two teams will be noticed as the game starts gaining momentum. The full lineup of stars comes in, to guarantee the unhindered and smooth flow of the ball, by the defending champions. Another clever plan will guarantee the presentation of sweeter win in this esteemed trophy game.


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August 11, 2026, 11:25:58 PM
 #100

I wonder why PSG have played only 2 friendly matches so far. None of them ended up well for them either. There is still a truth like they have won the Champions League back-to-back of course.

But let's not forget Emery is also a trophy monster and this is only the beginning of the season. Probably I wouldn't bet on PSG win directly for this one. By the way will all main starting 11 players be back by this match at PSG?

Because we didn't see many of them during friendly matches.
I noticed but maybe it could be because a lot of PSG players participated in the recently concluded World Cup. Many of the first team players being absent can actually interrupt their preparations for the next season so maybe that's why played only two friendly games which was against Mallorca and Manchester United. I think the Super Cup and the French champions trophy game against Lens will fill the space and help them prepare as they should for the season.

True their performance in these two friendlies was not impressive but with the squad they used I didn't expect much since they had many first team players absent. I believe they would perform better in the Super Cup against Aston Villa. It won't be easy because Emery is a coach to avoid in games like this.

I think they'll have most of their first squad players back for the game but most of them won't be fully fit.

 
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