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Author Topic: No manual to Bitcoin future, only historical data.  (Read 79 times)
Lida93 (OP)
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September 30, 2026, 10:33:40 PM
 #1

The only data we have when it comes to volatile asset market like bitcoin is historical data. Everyone is depending on historical data to make analysis and give their speculation of the  future price of bitcoin. Nobody knows the future to know precisely what bitcoin price would be, whether you're trading or investing, use funds that doesn't scare you to use and bury that greed and impatient so you don't hit a rock bottom before you practically start.

The journey to wealth creation is boring and long, in most times it takes over and over again with years of consistency to get to your plan target. Don't be deceived by anyone who comes to you and start blabbing about how good they know the market and what could happen next. If they know the market future and are good as they claim to be, why then are they not floating on wealth due to constant massive profits.

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September 30, 2026, 10:40:52 PM
 #2

whether you're trading or investing, use funds that doesn't scare you to use and bury that greed and impatient so you don't hit a rock bottom before you practically start.
Holding bitcoin now is not about people should be expecting huge ROI, but bitcoin can be a store of value asset for you if you understand about it.

I use money that is high amount to me to invest in bitcoin.

If it is trading, it is a different case. I use 10% of my income to trade which I can afford to lose.

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September 30, 2026, 10:58:47 PM
 #3

Why trust anyone if they said they know the market without analysis or with a basis? Why would you believe them?
Traders have different ways to analyze the market since we are using previous data. If you are watching the market live, those areas or zones that are supposed to be support and resistance still react when the market hits that price.

If you have a long-term plan, that's a different story since we know already that every cycle of Bitcoin price increase you should invest in without worrying much about the news and possible scenarios you see from the chart.

In trading I don't stick with Bitcoin; my plan and strategy won't work on Bitcoin unless you trade with different coins. Currently I'm not fit to trade with Bitcoin; that is why I switched to ZEC before and am now trading with SUI and NEAR because I only trade with the bias trending market, not the consolidation where it happens generally with Bitcoin, and volatility is not worth it using some measurements. It's not worth trading in short term so it's not good for future trading. Who does daily trades unless the funding fees keeps cheaper.

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September 30, 2026, 10:59:16 PM
 #4

I agree that nobody knows the future, but if history has taught us anything, it's the fact that you will be on the right side of the market more often if you are net long or you buy. And if we want to think about it, it's only through uncertainty that you will make money. If everyone knew Bitcoin's future, then everybody would be rich.

Imo, as long as you are on the right side of the market (for Bitcoin) and you don't get greedy, you will win more often than you lose.

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September 30, 2026, 11:18:37 PM
 #5

The journey to wealth creation is boring and long, in most times it takes over and over again with years of consistency to get to your plan target.
Those who don't have patience will not understand how this is important in investing in bitcoin. They will only look at the success stories of the holders who have made so much money from holding.

It's only about the fancy profits that they have made but forgetting or ignoring the enduring of those long bear markets and the times when there's so much FUD in the news.

Understanding that every investment takes time and they're all boring and long but, there are the investors who became lucky that didn't have the long journey after all but they're only very few.

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September 30, 2026, 11:21:22 PM
 #6

If there are people who claim to be pros in the market, obviously its a scam. Because even Satoshi Nakamoto has not imagined for sure that bitcoin will go this far, he just know that the idea of having bitcoin is a brilliant one.

Speculations are everywhere especially that we are dealing with a highly volatile market, but if there are people who insist that they can perfectly manual the bitcoin future, do not hesitate to block these people because they are actually the reflection of what scammers are doing especially to innocent people.

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September 30, 2026, 11:29:30 PM
 #7

I think this is the reason why bitcoin is so challenging. Everyone can speculate and give their predictions to what the future price of bitcoin will be, yet only few will managed to hit what is right, though there is no right and wrong here. Anyone is free to enter the market, but only few will managed to stay for long and navigate well their bitcoin investment or trading.

Yes, no manual to bitcoin future, but it seems there are always self-acclaimed experts and legends when it comes to market and bitcoin predictions.


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Today at 01:42:09 AM
 #8

You don't need a manual if you are not day trading, but those day traders they need every relevant detail as the market moves based on news speculation etc. i know not many of us here are day traders so some cannot relate but since you talk about no manual, the best fit for that is long term holding, because you just have to trust Bitcoin to change your future, and trusting it means you will not panic when something happens as it's normal, as we know Bitcoin has died many times but is still standing until now..

I would want to go back again to the Bitcoin obituary

https://bitcoinsdead.com/

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Today at 02:30:41 AM
 #9

If it were easy to predict Bitcoin, they would not advise others but would take advantage themselves. According to past history, the market was supposed to go down last September. But nothing like that happened, rather the market was bullish.

Now there is no way to get rich quick by investing in Bitcoin. You should not invest out of greed, if you want to invest in Bitcoin, you must have the ability to hold it for a long time. You should not invest or trade with more money than you can afford to lose. Finally, you should always prioritize your own analysis.

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Today at 02:47:03 AM
 #10

The only data we have when it comes to volatile asset market like bitcoin is historical data. Everyone is depending on historical data to make analysis and give their speculation of the  future price of bitcoin. Nobody knows the future to know precisely what bitcoin price would be, whether you're trading or investing, use funds that doesn't scare you to use and bury that greed and impatient so you don't hit a rock bottom before you practically start.
Well, I think you can also speculate on future price not only by depending on historical data but on upcoming regulations, adoptions, and so on. For example, if Clarity Act is passing, the price could potentially go up even further.

Depending solely on historical data only true if you are day traders, you trade daily and news about regulation and adoption don't often come by that fast. I used historical data to invest but I reinforced the thesis with current fundamental and upcoming development, for example I invested into ETH because i'm seeing a good conviction from BitMine and upcoming ethereum improvement proposal.

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