One year ago Bitcoin set ATH. When will Bitcoin repeat this?

[Itz-prisigold]

Right now everyone is making their predictions related to the price of Bitcoin, but I think it might not be necessary to wait until the next halving to see a new ATH. A decline could happen before the halving, but before all that, I think there is a chance that the price of Bitcoin will rise first. The market is always unpredictable, as are the patterns we assume will continue to repeat.

As for the point you made i totally agree with you. Bitcoin doesn't always have to follow the same way for another ATH to occur. Sometimes the market can shock everyone in a manner that nobody would ever have imagined. That is why I always say that person should put their focus on what is going on in the market and not too much on the previous cycles for predicting the next cycle.

[pooya87]

I think it is possible that in 2027 we finally see a new ATH but it is still going to be very difficult considering the deteriorating global economy. The situation is just getting worse every day which we are watching its evidence and consequences across Europe with mass violent protests of people who have been sinking into more poverty.

That means less than usual amount of money is coming into bitcoin market which makes major rises impossible. So we have a new form of "cycles" with smaller rises and long accumulation (sideways) periods.

[Callido]

Trump did remarkably well with regard to Bitcoin during the first two months he was elected President. Did you forget about that? Trump first influenced Bitcoin's price when he was brought into seat.

If i can remember, it was talk about creating a strategic reserve that rose the price of Bitcoin, and after the news of him winning the election that made the price increase, i don't think Trump has done anything significant to help the price of Bitcoin.

A little longer from now, in 2027, hopefully we will make a new ATH before next year runs out.

[BALIK]

Trump did remarkably well with regard to Bitcoin during the first two months he was elected President. Did you forget about that? Trump first influenced Bitcoin's price when he was brought into seat.

If i can remember, it was talk about creating a strategic reserve that rose the price of Bitcoin, and after the news of him winning the election that made the price increase, i don't think Trump has done anything significant to help the price of Bitcoin.

A little longer from now, in 2027, hopefully we will make a new ATH before next year runs out.

Honestly, Trump has not done anything meaningful for Bitcoin since taking office. BTC pumped to new ATH when he won the election and during first month of his term simply because market was pricing in expectations raised by his vague promises about crypto. Nothing more, nothing less.

That's why the rally didn't last once he started actually running the country and putting policies into action as president.

So far, Trump appears to have done more harm to the markets and created more chaos than he has delivered in terms of actual benefits for Bitcoin.

[Finebone]

I think it is possible that in 2027 we finally see a new ATH but it is still going to be very difficult considering the deteriorating global economy. The situation is just getting worse every day which we are watching its evidence and consequences across Europe with mass violent protests of people who have been sinking into more poverty.

In our today's world anything is possible, so I will not be ruling anything out regardless of what's going on in the world right now. If I say that a time will come when all the nations in the world be at peace with each or when everything related to the economy will be very good, then it means that am still very naive, because things are definitely going to get worse as times goes on with this current political or economic state.

We might experience a new all time high if more investors decides to come in before the end of the year or even next year, and we might not even experience such growth until the end of it circle, but my point is that nothing should be ruled out entirely because nothing is impossible.

[AprilioMP]

unfortunately, that price level did not hold for long due to a number of factors, including macroeconomic ones. notable among these were the tensions between the US and Iran which had already emerged by then and escalated into open conflict in February, as well as Trump’s "tariff madness," which disrupted global trade. long-term holders who began selling off their Bitcoin also played a role. in your opinion, what factors drove the drop in Bitcoin's price back then and when might we see a return to that all-time high?

In my view, the all-time high (ATH), which currently remains at $126,000, is likely to hold for some time. The price is gradually declining, but the drop isn’t happening all at once. And to me, this is a normal occurrence in the market. The market can move in any direction, following the laws of supply and demand. Events affecting countries like the United States—such as the decisions they make, including the tariffs imposed by Trump on other nations—can trigger market price declines. The root cause lies not there, but in investor confidence.
We will see another rise to a new ATH, but we cannot predict exactly when that will happen. Perhaps the four-year cycle still holds true. Before that, we will experience the Bitcoin halving.

[Alpha Marine]

I think it is possible that in 2027 we finally see a new ATH but it is still going to be very difficult considering the deteriorating global economy. The situation is just getting worse every day which we are watching its evidence and consequences across Europe with mass violent protests of people who have been sinking into more poverty.

Aside from the chaos going on in individual countries, with Trump always trying to stir up shit with other countries and causing more geopolitical unrest, investors ight be sceptical of all financial investments in general. For now, all may be quiet from him, but it won't be long before he finds something else to start. I guess he just likes the attention or something. That kind of uncertainty doesn't help at all.
To think people thought he would be a good thing for Bitcoin.

However, I still believe next year won't be as bad as this year for Bitcoin. Except something exceptional happens, I expect Bitcoin to be moderate. It may not get an ATH, but the price won't crash like this year.
Towards the third quarter of next year, I speculate that investors are going to start thinking about the halving, and they might start buying at a relatively low price. If I'm correct and it happens like this, we will see a rise in the price of Bitcoin from the third quarter of next year, which will lead to the bull season and a new ATH after the halving of 2028.

[Iranus]

In our today's world anything is possible, so I will not be ruling anything out regardless of what's going on in the world right now. If I say that a time will come when all the nations in the world be at peace with each or when everything related to the economy will be very good, then it means that am still very naive, because things are definitely going to get worse as times goes on with this current political or economic state.

We might experience a new all time high if more investors decides to come in before the end of the year or even next year, and we might not even experience such growth until the end of it circle, but my point is that nothing should be ruled out entirely because nothing is impossible.

Granted, good news and stable macro backdrop do not guarantee BTC will pump. And bad news does not mean BTC is definitely gonna drop either.

But Bitcoin tend to sell off rather than rally when negative news hits or macro conditions get shaky. That's because liquidity tightens and investors become more cautious. So there's nothing wrong with keeping every scenario on the table. But let's be realistic, possible doesn't mean probable.

Even pooya87 isn't ruling out a new ATH in 2027. He's just saying it'll be very difficult, not that it's completely off the table.

[LogitechMouse]

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what factors drove the drop in Bitcoin's price back then and when might we see a return to that all-time high?

It's just a basic supply and demand that's why we saw Bitcoin dropped back then.
It's possible that there are many sellers at around the $125,000 price, but it went above it as demand was at one point higher until it doesn't anymore hence, the drop that we saw.

When will Bitcoin reach that ATH again? I don't know, but I have this feeling that it will touch that previous ATH on or before the Bitcoin halving even happens, but with how Bitcoin moved in the last few weeks where it moved from $58,000 to nearly $87,000 in just a few weeks, I will not be surprised if we will see Bitcoin touching that previous ATH next year. Macroeconomic events, ETFs, institutions slowly accumulating Bitcoin, and many more. There are many catalysts right now that could push the price of Bitcoin, and surprise us investors.

If there's one thing that might prevent it though, that would be the interest rate hikes that the FED could do in the future.

[Promocodeudo]

As for the point you made i totally agree with you. Bitcoin doesn't always have to follow the same way for another ATH to occur. Sometimes the market can shock everyone in a manner that nobody would ever have imagined. That is why I always say that person should put their focus on what is going on in the market and not too much on the previous cycles for predicting the next cycle.

Can we even predict any cycle or Bitcoin price itself, we'll experience another ATH for sure, we can't say when perhaps anytime soon, but in our own can we say we are satisfied with our Bitcoin hodlings, what I mean is are we prepared for the next ATH, I'm very optimistic that there's a big future for Bitcoiners, especially those that hodl for a long-term.
As for Bitcoin rising to a surprising level, we saw what happened when Bitcoin reached $100k ATH and $126k which was the highest we have seen, it moved beyond our expectation, so for those who believe in Bitcoin and understand how it can act sometimes, continues accumulation and hodling in preparation of the ATH is the right step.

[Leahized]

If i can remember, it was talk about creating a strategic reserve that rose the price of Bitcoin, and after the news of him winning the election that made the price increase, i don't think Trump has done anything significant to help the price of Bitcoin.

A little longer from now, in 2027, hopefully we will make a new ATH before next year runs out.

Before the election, Trump did not implement much according to the promises he made. Even some inconsistencies are occurring, resulting in a significant impact on Bitcoin and causing the price to decline. However, the main driver for reaching 126k is halving. Although there is no doubt that there was an upward trend in Bitcoin after Trump became president. But the situation is worsening due to tariffs and various sanctions formed by the war. As a result, the value of bitcoin has been continuously decreasing.

However, I believe I will not see ATH by the end of 2027. Because there is currently no significant trend that would lead to a 31% increase. But I am a hundred percent sure that after the 2028 halving, we can see ATH in the bull season.

[Xackie]

If i can remember, it was talk about creating a strategic reserve that rose the price of Bitcoin, and after the news of him winning the election that made the price increase, i don't think Trump has done anything significant to help the price of Bitcoin.

A little longer from now, in 2027, hopefully we will make a new ATH before next year runs out.

Before the election, Trump did not implement much according to the promises he made. Even some inconsistencies are occurring, resulting in a significant impact on Bitcoin and causing the price to decline. However, the main driver for reaching 126k is halving. Although there is no doubt that there was an upward trend in Bitcoin after Trump became president. But the situation is worsening due to tariffs and various sanctions formed by the war. As a result, the value of bitcoin has been continuously decreasing.

However, I believe I will not see ATH by the end of 2027. Because there is currently no significant trend that would lead to a 31% increase. But I am a hundred percent sure that after the 2028 halving, we can see ATH in the bull season.

I even saw info on the news channel that Trump might resume heavy strikes on Iran after the midterm election.  Iran too has invoked something called offensive and asymmetrical doctrine, in summary more escalation could somehow after the price of the financial market like Bitcoin.  We are just 2 months away to 2027 , I honestly don't think bitcoin will even reach it's ATH, if this tension/conflicts goes beyond stopping.  Big financial players would want to pull their money out of the risky market into the safer one and demand too could soare. Trump really messed up, I also remembered his camping promises where he was talking good things about Bitcoin.  If possible Bitcoin could get to 100k next years depending on how good the global economy is.

[ndutndut]

As for the point you made i totally agree with you. Bitcoin doesn't always have to follow the same way for another ATH to occur. Sometimes the market can shock everyone in a manner that nobody would ever have imagined. That is why I always say that person should put their focus on what is going on in the market and not too much on the previous cycles for predicting the next cycle.

But from all the past cycles the price of Bitcoin reached a new ATH after halving or at least got close to halving just like it happened in previous halving events. So in my opinion, the pattern stays the same, it's just that we might not be able to predict exactly when the ATH will happen and when the lowest price will occur because there are actually many factors that can influence it.

If we consider the current lowest price to be $58k, which happened a few months ago there are several influences like the war between the US and Iran, or the drop caused by Saylor selling a small portion of his Bitcoin, and there were a few other factors that ultimately affected the market. This also happens when Bitcoin experiences a rise external influences definitely have an impact besides the halving moment itself which also affects the Bitcoin price.

[Swordsoffreedom]

If i can remember, it was talk about creating a strategic reserve that rose the price of Bitcoin, and after the news of him winning the election that made the price increase, i don't think Trump has done anything significant to help the price of Bitcoin.

A little longer from now, in 2027, hopefully we will make a new ATH before next year runs out.

Before the election, Trump did not implement much according to the promises he made. Even some inconsistencies are occurring, resulting in a significant impact on Bitcoin and causing the price to decline. However, the main driver for reaching 126k is halving. Although there is no doubt that there was an upward trend in Bitcoin after Trump became president. But the situation is worsening due to tariffs and various sanctions formed by the war. As a result, the value of bitcoin has been continuously decreasing.

In short, at this point, we can say that Trump has done more harm than good to Bitcoin.

However, I believe I will not see ATH by the end of 2027. Because there is currently no significant trend that would lead to a 31% increase. But I am a hundred percent sure that after the 2028 halving, we can see ATH in the bull season.

We're  not even into 2027 yet , so isn't it a bit premature to rule out a new ATH by the end of that year? There's still 14 months to go, and nobody knows what catalysts or trends might emerge during that time.

Just because there's no clear bullish catalyst right now doesn't mean things stay that way for the rest of that time. Besides, if you can't be sure how the market  plays out in 2027 , then being 100%  sure about an ATH after the 2028 halving doesn't hold water either , imo.

[pooya87]

~

Except something exceptional happens, I expect Bitcoin to be moderate. It may not get an ATH, but the price won't crash like this year.

Exactly but that is also the key. The "unexpected" events with global consequences are making speculation impossible. For example last year we couldn't measure the US regime's level of stupidity to predict with certainty that they'll attack Iran. By at the end of February this year, they made that mistake and the consequences of it devastated global economy.

Once more we are in the same situation too. After Iran crushed the US military in matter of days and defeated US, they ran away but haven't accepted defeat. And as I predicted months ago their stupidity combined with desperation is becoming a problem once again and they may want to retest their luck in the following 2 months. The result will be the same with the crushing defeat of the US regime but the consequences of it will be so much worse on the global economy. This time oil may shoot up to $250 from its current price at $150-$160 a barrel, not to mention that due to US regime's aggression the global undersea internet cables could be cut which would devastate global markets and internet connectivity.

Predicting what various markets like bitcoin will react in such a scenario is impossible. So whenever we speculate, we are doing it with an assumption that nothing unexpected and catastrophic happens.

[Alpha Marine]

Predicting what various markets like bitcoin will react in such a scenario is impossible. So whenever we speculate, we are doing it with an assumption that nothing unexpected and catastrophic happens.

And this brings us back to Trump. With a man like that, you can always expect something. He always wants to be the centre of attention and the talk of the news, so he would definitely want to make everything about him. He has picked different kinds of fights with China, Iran, the EU, Venezuela, and Canada in less than two years.
I must be honest, whenever I look at Trump or hear him speak, I always wonder how Americans elected him as their president. How easy was it for him to appeal to their right-wing side to vote and support him despite knowing the kind of man he is?

It's so crazy that the world has gotten to this stage. Now right-wing politics is on the rise all over the world, and it all started with the US.
The VP of the US even used the situation in France to score cheap points. It's so sad to see the kind of people ruling the world. Instead of looking for ways to bring people together, they are weaponising their deferences so they can hate each other meanwhile the main cause of this mess are the poiticians themselves. 

[Leahized]

Just because there's no clear bullish catalyst right now doesn't mean things stay that way for the rest of that time. Besides, if you can't be sure how the market  plays out in 2027 , then being 100%  sure about an ATH after the 2028 halving doesn't hold water either , imo.

Maybe in this case my subject has been wrong. I temporarily forgot about the liquidity of that ETF which was helping to reach from 62k to 80k. Since there are more than 14 months until the end of 2027, any time a catalyst situation can arise. But the current global situation is indicating otherwise.

According to the past rise and fall patterns, we see new records being achieved every time after Bitcoin halving. And this pattern never changes. Accordingly, my brain has interpreted it this way. However, as an investor, it is reasonable to expect an upward trend.

[Lida93]

I think it is possible that in 2027 we finally see a new ATH but it is still going to be very difficult considering the deteriorating global economy. The situation is just getting worse every day which we are watching its evidence and consequences across Europe with mass violent protests of people who have been sinking into more poverty.

That means less than usual amount of money is coming into bitcoin market which makes major rises impossible. So we have a new form of "cycles" with smaller rises and long accumulation (sideways) periods.

Not that 2025 2as of any better than this year 2026 that it got a new ATH price for bitcoin, the wars in 2025 are still unsettled with more erupting as. only changes that has added to that global economy deterioration is the hike in crude oil price, which has extended in high cost into other sectors of the economic. But regardless, we cant really presume how difficult it could be for bitcoin on prospect for a new ATH by 2027 but with all the fundamental dynamics and also if adoption multiplies creating excesses cashflow into bitcoin then there could be a possibility rather than any difficulties

[Pandorak]

Right now everyone is making their predictions related to the price of Bitcoin, but I think it might not be necessary to wait until the next halving to see a new ATH. A decline could happen before the halving, but before all that, I think there is a chance that the price of Bitcoin will rise first. The market is always unpredictable, as are the patterns we assume will continue to repeat.

I had previously believed that as the geopolitical situation continues to heat up, Bitcoin decline will continue to extreme levels, given the ongoing war and Donald Trump who often makes the situation even more chaotic with his various statements and economic policies. At least $45k is the figure i’ve analyzed based on historical price data. However, a surprising turn of events occurred when the price hit $58k, it didn’t take long, perhaps just a few weeks of sideways movement, before Bitcoin experienced an impulsive rally that pushed it to $86k, making $58k the current low.

As for a new ATH, i also expect it to occur by 2027, but i’m patient enough to wait until 2028–2029 while continuing to accumulate Bitcoin.

[PERtua]

A key element to keep an eye on is if the demand will be able. To take the amount of coins being sold by long term holders. If the current buyers are selling at a higher rate than new buyers are buying. It may be necessary to have positive news as well. I believe it's more important to look at an EFT's inflow than to guess on a month for the next ath. Bitcoin has bounced back from big corrections in the past. But that doesn't mean that the same time frame will again be the case. I prefer to observe demand for a longer period than just the four year cycle. And watch the data on chain as well.