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CoinRocka (OP)
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April 07, 2014, 12:15:10 AM
 #1
I'd like to bet 1BTC on which pool gets the next block.  Will Vegas take this prop bet?
Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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roslinpl
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April 07, 2014, 12:18:21 AM
 #2
Quote from: CoinRocka on April 07, 2014, 12:15:10 AM
I'd like to bet 1BTC on which pool gets the next block.  Will Vegas take this prop bet?

I am sure William Hill will take this bet Smiley they are taking bets on everything Tongue
b¡tco¡n
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April 07, 2014, 02:14:07 AM
 #3
I'm sure someone could set up a site to automate your bet. It would have to be at least the block after the next though.
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Satosh¡ Slot
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April 07, 2014, 03:17:24 AM
 #4
Quote from: b¡tco¡n on April 07, 2014, 02:14:07 AM
I'm sure someone could set up a site to automate your bet. It would have to be at least the block after the next though.

Big miners could actually get an edge by betting on a pool and then switching to mine on it. They would have to have a couple of % of the total hashing power though Cheesy
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BetMoose
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April 07, 2014, 04:03:44 AM
 #5
We're launching very soon. Stay tuned, we will take your bet Smiley

I will PM you for beta since you're so enthusiastic about this!
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5thStreetResearch
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April 07, 2014, 05:16:30 AM
 #6
Im surprised the prediction markets dont offer the ability to wager on this.  I suppose it wouldnt generally receive much interest though with all the other faster ways to already bet your bitcoin.  You could definitely find a private party to give you action here though

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bryant.coleman
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April 07, 2014, 05:56:24 AM
 #7
Try bitcoinlivebets or betwithbtc.com

But why bet one whole BTC? You could lose all of that.
Bitcoin Magazine
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April 07, 2014, 11:12:07 AM
 #8
and the winner is GHash.io (obviously)   Grin
i am here.
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April 07, 2014, 11:28:28 AM
 #9
Quote from: Bitcoin Magazine on April 07, 2014, 11:12:07 AM
and the winner is GHash.io (obviously)   Grin

not so sure about that Smiley It could be any mining pool IMO Smiley

But perhaps resoults are already known.
pastet89
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April 07, 2014, 12:27:48 PM
 #10
Quote from: CoinRocka on April 07, 2014, 12:15:10 AM
I'd like to bet 1BTC on which pool gets the next block.  Will Vegas take this prop bet?
I might take it. Escrow only.
Please, clear bet condigions:
list of possible pools, "other" or "none of these" option, what is your bet.

And let me know.
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April 07, 2014, 02:02:32 PM
 #11
Best Ponzi gambling in Bitcointalk is here Guy.
They hit 10 btc less than 3 hrs
Just luanched less than 24hrs
Get the profit fast

See my sig Grin
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April 07, 2014, 02:15:00 PM
 #12
Try at Fairlay.com
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fairlay
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May 02, 2014, 11:13:40 PM
 #13
Thanks joksim299! Indeed - we are very open for such bets.

Are you still interested in this bet? We already have various bets on the difficulty: https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/difficulty/

What should the bet look like? What pool mine a certain block?
What about: what pool mines the most blocks from block 298800 to 298850?

This would allow to hedge against bad luck at mining?
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