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Question: Who will win the IBF Flyweight World Title fight?
Masamichi Yabuki by KO/TKO - 1 (20%)
Masamichi Yabuki by Decision - 0 (0%)
Miel Fajardo by KO/TKO - 4 (80%)
Miel Fajardo by Decision - 0 (0%)
Draw - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 5

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Author Topic: Masamichi Yabuki vs. Miel Fajardo – IBF Flyweight World Title Fight (November 26  (Read 191 times)
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November 08, 2026, 12:14:32 PM
Merited by Natalim (1), fullfitlarry (1)
 #1



This is going to be a good fight, finally Miel Fajardo now has a chance to become a world champion as he will challenge Masamichi Yabuki for the IBF Flyweight World Championship. This fight will actually be held in Japan, so I think his best chance of winning is by KO.

Looking at the challenger's record, he has 14 wins and 12 of them are by KO, although he also has some losses, but I think he has a good chance of winning even though the bookies have listed him as a heavy underdog.

As for the champion Masamichi Yabuki, he is also a good fighter and a KO artist with 18 KOs from 20 wins. So I believe we will not see the full 12 rounds here.

So what's your thought about this fight?



For there boxing record you can see below.

Masamichi Yabuki Boxing Record
Miel Fajardo Boxing Record

Source : https://www.ringmagazine.com/news/yabuki-fajardo-takeshi-ishii-set-for-double-world-title-bouts-nov-26-5GePN9er2aKK2BiEN83uqR
                https://www.perspectify.com/article/946062019/fajardo-yabuki-world-title-duel-set-on-november-26-in-japan

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November 08, 2026, 01:16:53 PM
 #2

This is a good matchup since both are KO artists, but of course I will be biased on this as you know I will support a boxer from the Philippines. I just noticed that a lot of fights are now happening in Japan, and they also have a lot of champions in the lower divisions, so it would be a big success if the Filipino boxer wins this fight.

May I know what the betting odds are for this fight since you mentioned that Fajardo is the underdog?

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November 08, 2026, 01:54:13 PM
 #3

So what's your thought about this fight?
Not familiar with both of them, but this is an interesting fight. Since both of them are a "KO artist", I'm curious who'll go down first.

As much as I want for Miel Faardo to win, I more inclined to say that Masamichi Yabuki would probably win. I mean, he seems to have more experience when fighting top tier boxers compared to Miel Fjardo(at least based on what I've read).

May I know what the betting odds are for this fight since you mentioned that Fajardo is the underdog?
Got curious about this, so I checked stake.com. Masamichi Yabuki has 1.20, and Miel Fajardo has 4.30.

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November 08, 2026, 01:59:59 PM
 #4

This is a good matchup since both are KO artists, but of course I will be biased on this as you know I will support a boxer from the Philippines. I just noticed that a lot of fights are now happening in Japan, and they also have a lot of champions in the lower divisions, so it would be a big success if the Filipino boxer wins this fight.

May I know what the betting odds are for this fight since you mentioned that Fajardo is the underdog?

As we can see in the ML odds below, Meil Fajardo is the heavy underdog for this matchup indeed. To be honest i have not followed the career or have seen a fight involving Fajardo as he is not a popular name in the Philippines yet but who knows this might be his breakout fight should he win against Masamichi Yabuki. This is a hard fight for him since this will be held in Japan so the only way for him to win is knockout his opponent and not rely on the judges as Japan is known to be biased when it comes to decision but since Fajardo is a knockout artist, he have this puncher's luck.


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November 08, 2026, 02:07:52 PM
 #5

Facial glance and both fighters I would have said this would be Muay Tia but the title has IBF flyweight world title in it son it's boxing but I have to be honest this aren't very popular fighters.
This is the type of fight you make a bet with your best mate on, no profile checking just you picking one fighter and your mate picking the next. It should be a good fight and I hope it's one they can make people like me remember their names.

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November 08, 2026, 02:16:04 PM
 #6

Facial glance and both fighters I would have said this would be Muay Tia but the title has IBF flyweight world title in it son it's boxing but I have to be honest this aren't very popular fighters.
In my observation, it seems that the lower divisions are not that popular, especially since this is even lower than the division where Inoue currently holds a title. Because when we talk about the lower divisions, it's always Inoue that people keep talking about. Just look at it, even if either of these boxers wins and tries to move up, I don't think they would stand a chance against Inoue (sorry to the fans of these boxers here).

@bisdak40 Fajardo's odds are quite tempting at x4.20, that's a big payout if he wins.
Maybe it's worth taking a chance since his KO rate is high, who knows he might pull off an upset.


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November 08, 2026, 02:36:35 PM
 #7

I think the chances are high that Yabuki will still win there, due to of the experience and how many times he has been champion.
Although I don't deny that Fajardo will also throw something.

But when it comes to Fajardo's punch, his left hand is very strong, so in this case if Yabuki will become neglectful He will suddenly lose
if this happen actually.

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November 08, 2026, 02:36:35 PM
 #8

As we can see in the ML odds below, Meil Fajardo is the heavy underdog for this matchup indeed. To be honest i have not followed the career or have seen a fight involving Fajardo as he is not a popular name in the Philippines yet but who knows this might be his breakout fight should he win against Masamichi Yabuki. This is a hard fight for him since this will be held in Japan so the only way for him to win is knockout his opponent and not rely on the judges as Japan is known to be biased when it comes to decision but since Fajardo is a knockout artist, he have this puncher's luck.

With that kind of odds, our fellow kababayan here are obviously is a huge underdog. But what can we say, we Filipinos are usually a heavy underdog is sometimes we go and with that kind of odds and overcome it.

Hopefully, this will be the case for Miel here, it is really a tall order, but if he trains hard enough and believed that he can pull a upset win, then let it be. As for us, we would love to bet on him as it's a big return for us and supporting our very own is like what we do specially in boxing.

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November 08, 2026, 02:39:17 PM
 #9

As much as I want for Miel Faardo to win, I more inclined to say that Masamichi Yabuki would probably win. I mean, he seems to have more experience when fighting top tier boxers compared to Miel Fjardo(at least based on what I've read).
Based on their records, the champion is really more experienced, but we can also look at where the challenger has an advantage and that is their age, because the challenger is only 26 years old while the champion is already 34 years old, so with that age gap, Fajardo might be more durable, so I think I will be rooting for him. Since both boxers are not that popular, I think it's worth taking a chance on the underdog given the big potential return.

 
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November 08, 2026, 02:54:32 PM
 #10

Looking at the challenger's record, he has 14 wins and 12 of them are by KO, although he also has some losses, but I think he has a good chance of winning even though the bookies have listed him as a heavy underdog.

There is huge difference between level of fighter he has faced and a world class champion like Masamichi Yabuki. Yabuki has already been tested on global stage, so he knows how to handle pace and possesses extensive experience in launching counterattack when under pressure.

Also, winning judges decision against Japanese fighter on their home turf is like scaling a massive mountain. So, you are quite right that Fajardo's only chance is KO. But problem is that Yabuki's defense is much sharper now than it used to be. If Yabuki moves to the wing, I have seen him close defensive gap very quickly. If he starts throwing reckless punches then he'll have nothing left in tank by middle rounds. And taking advantage of that, Yabuki could break him down with body shots and relentless pressure!

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November 08, 2026, 03:02:01 PM
 #11

This is a good matchup since both are KO artists, but of course I will be biased on this as you know I will support a boxer from the Philippines. I just noticed that a lot of fights are now happening in Japan, and they also have a lot of champions in the lower divisions, so it would be a big success if the Filipino boxer wins this fight.

I'm a big fan of local boxers here in the Philippines, but Miel is one boxer that missed my attention; anyway, I will look and check his previous fights.
Filipino boxing fans are still excited after Carl James Martin won by a split decision against Picasso, and hopefully Miel will continue and give local fight fans something to be proud of and excited about. Even if Masamichi Yabuki is the favorite, I'll still go for Miel, hopefully via knockout.  

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November 08, 2026, 04:37:38 PM
 #12

So what's your thought about this fight?
I tried to check one of the boxing prediction sources between Yabuki vs. Fajardo, to be honest, I have never found an opponent's boxing prediction score of only 5%, for me this is too ridiculous to predict in one boxing match.

As I see:

Source.

It looks like the boxing match this time is between Yabuki vs. Fajardo from the prediction results of several prediction sites looks bad for Fajardo, there are not many comments on the fight between Masamichi Yabuki vs. Miel Fajardo, it seems that the predicted results really came true.

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November 08, 2026, 05:40:12 PM
 #13

So what's your thought about this fight?
Not familiar with both of them, but this is an interesting fight. Since both of them are a "KO artist", I'm curious who'll go down first.

As much as I want for Miel Faardo to win, I more inclined to say that Masamichi Yabuki would probably win. I mean, he seems to have more experience when fighting top tier boxers compared to Miel Fjardo(at least based on what I've read).

May I know what the betting odds are for this fight since you mentioned that Fajardo is the underdog?
Got curious about this, so I checked stake.com. Masamichi Yabuki has 1.20, and Miel Fajardo has 4.30.

I have a question: is Miel Fajardo such a bad boxer that bookmakers have set such high odds on him?🙋

Yes, Masamichi Yabuki will be fighting in this fight in Japan, his home country. There's a saying in my country: "At home, even the walls help a man!" Naturally, Japanese fans will be actively rooting for their favorite boxer. This is a huge incentive for Yabuki to win this fight. Besides, Masamichi Yabuki is considered a more experienced boxer than Miel Fajardo.

However, Miel Fajardo, as far as I understand, is also a great boxer! He's also motivated to win, since this is a fight for a world championship belt. Such a chance rarely comes to a boxer, sometimes only once in a lifetime. Therefore, I think Fajardo will do everything possible to win. Considering that bookmakers are setting such high odds on him, I think it makes sense to take a risk and bet on him to win.💁

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November 08, 2026, 11:57:43 PM
 #14

As for the champion Masamichi Yabuki, he is also a good fighter and a KO artist with 18 KOs from 20 wins. So I believe we will not see the full 12 rounds here.

So what's your thought about this fight?
Although the odds in favor Masamichi Yabuki to win, but i think both of fighters are on par. However, Yabuki is technically better and he has more exp compared to Fajardo. But i think your prediction to not to see 12 full rounds will be wrong. Fajardo never gets KO, and all of his lost were coming from decision.
So it looks like we will get the result to be determined by decision, but i think it's right to hold Yabuki as my bet. So my answer is Yabuki by decision.

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November 09, 2026, 01:23:36 AM
 #15


It looks like the boxing match this time is between Yabuki vs. Fajardo from the prediction results of several prediction sites looks bad for Fajardo, there are not many comments on the fight between Masamichi Yabuki vs. Miel Fajardo, it seems that the predicted results really came true.

Maybe most of those who participated in the survey were Japanese, that's why they favor their boxer. And since he's also the champion then that is expected but only 5% supporting his opponent, damn that explains the betting odds. However, sometimes those predictions are wrong and I know Filipino boxers don't give up easily, so it's worth taking a chance on the underdog if you ask me.

 
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November 09, 2026, 01:51:38 AM
 #16


Although the odds in favor Masamichi Yabuki to win, but i think both of fighters are on par. However, Yabuki is technically better and he has more exp compared to Fajardo. But i think your prediction to not to see 12 full rounds will be wrong. Fajardo never gets KO, and all of his lost were coming from decision.
So it looks like we will get the result to be determined by decision, but i think it's right to hold Yabuki as my bet. So my answer is Yabuki by decision.
Both have never been KO'd but their KO rates are high so there's a good chance one of them could get knocked out in this fight. Could be the champion or the challenger, whoever gets unlucky, so it's worth taking a chance on a win by KO especially on the underdog. This is actually a good fight to bet on as they are not popular boxers so bookies might have mispriced the odds, so let's find out, if we see Fajardo is undervalued then taking him is the best option.

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November 09, 2026, 04:39:52 AM
 #17



This is going to be a good fight, finally Miel Fajardo now has a chance to become a world champion as he will challenge Masamichi Yabuki for the IBF Flyweight World Championship. This fight will actually be held in Japan, so I think his best chance of winning is by KO.

Looking at the challenger's record, he has 14 wins and 12 of them are by KO, although he also has some losses, but I think he has a good chance of winning even though the bookies have listed him as a heavy underdog.

As for the champion Masamichi Yabuki, he is also a good fighter and a KO artist with 18 KOs from 20 wins. So I believe we will not see the full 12 rounds here.

So what's your thought about this fight?



For there boxing record you can see below.

Masamichi Yabuki Boxing Record
Miel Fajardo Boxing Record

Source : https://www.ringmagazine.com/news/yabuki-fajardo-takeshi-ishii-set-for-double-world-title-bouts-nov-26-5GePN9er2aKK2BiEN83uqR
                https://www.perspectify.com/article/946062019/fajardo-yabuki-world-title-duel-set-on-november-26-in-japan



I think this sounds like a pretty good matchup! They both have good KO record history and they are both seeming to be very strong contenders. I love the fact that this particular fight is in Japan, perhaps I should go and try and watch it in person. I’ve never been to Japan but I’ve always wanted to go and experience their way of life!

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November 09, 2026, 08:04:17 AM
 #18

I think this sounds like a pretty good matchup! They both have good KO record history and they are both seeming to be very strong contenders. I love the fact that this particular fight is in Japan, perhaps I should go and try and watch it in person. I’ve never been to Japan but I’ve always wanted to go and experience their way of life!

Are you really serious about that? That's a nice plan, if you push through with your trip to Japan, then can I have a request. Can you post something here like a picture of the venue and the fight. Maybe even a live stream if there's no free live streaming available for this fight.  Cheesy

I hope you will enjoy, and if you want to bet choose the boxer you think will win not because the odds are attractive because there's a reason why a boxer is the underdog.

 
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November 09, 2026, 08:19:46 AM
 #19

I'm a big fan of local boxers here in the Philippines, but Miel is one boxer that missed my attention; anyway, I will look and check his previous fights.
Filipino boxing fans are still excited after Carl James Martin won by a split decision against Picasso, and hopefully Miel will continue and give local fight fans something to be proud of and excited about. Even if Masamichi Yabuki is the favorite, I'll still go for Miel, hopefully via knockout.  

Yes, who would forgot about that fight? Martin was 5:1 underdog against Picasso and yet the Filipino won that fight in the judges scorecard. So don't count out the Filipino as they have full of surprises in this bag.

Although Yabuki is a huge favorite and have the home court advantage, he shouldn't underestimate Miel here. I think Fajardo has also a good chin and he himself can dish a good combination and who knows, once it touches Masamichi he will feel the power of the Filipino.

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November 09, 2026, 08:30:19 AM
 #20


Although the odds in favor Masamichi Yabuki to win, but i think both of fighters are on par. However, Yabuki is technically better and he has more exp compared to Fajardo. But i think your prediction to not to see 12 full rounds will be wrong. Fajardo never gets KO, and all of his lost were coming from decision.
So it looks like we will get the result to be determined by decision, but i think it's right to hold Yabuki as my bet. So my answer is Yabuki by decision.
Both have never been KO'd but their KO rates are high so there's a good chance one of them could get knocked out in this fight. Could be the champion or the challenger, whoever gets unlucky, so it's worth taking a chance on a win by KO especially on the underdog. This is actually a good fight to bet on as they are not popular boxers so bookies might have mispriced the odds, so let's find out, if we see Fajardo is undervalued then taking him is the best option.
They're both get high rate of KO due to the their opponents have no good durability like them. However, when they're getting paired. it makes more sense to expect UD rather than KO because they are all having good durability. This is what i believe.
Apart from that Yabuki is heavily favored here because he has more experience while Fajardo has power. So we're betting on whether we prefer a fighter who has more experience or power, but for me, experience matter to build a fighter good technically.


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