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Question: Who will win the IBF Flyweight World Title fight?
Masamichi Yabuki by KO/TKO - 1 (20%)
Masamichi Yabuki by Decision - 0 (0%)
Miel Fajardo by KO/TKO - 4 (80%)
Miel Fajardo by Decision - 0 (0%)
Draw - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 5

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Author Topic: Masamichi Yabuki vs. Miel Fajardo – IBF Flyweight World Title Fight (November 26  (Read 185 times)
stadus (OP)
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November 09, 2026, 08:57:57 AM
 #21

Yes, who would forgot about that fight? Martin was 5:1 underdog against Picasso and yet the Filipino won that fight in the judges scorecard. So don't count out the Filipino as they have full of surprises in this bag.

Although Yabuki is a huge favorite and have the home court advantage, he shouldn't underestimate Miel here. I think Fajardo has also a good chin and he himself can dish a good combination and who knows, once it touches Masamichi he will feel the power of the Filipino.

It's worrying if this goes to the judges' scorecards, it's fine if it's in the US or other countries, but in Japan and Australia, it's a bit hard to be confident. Here I just hope that Fajardo will win by KO, and I think the odds for that are even higher compared to the current odds shared here.

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aioc
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November 09, 2026, 11:31:06 PM
 #22


It's worrying if this goes to the judges' scorecards, it's fine if it's in the US or other countries, but in Japan and Australia, it's a bit hard to be confident. Here I just hope that Fajardo will win by KO, and I think the odds for that are even higher compared to the current odds shared here.

I'm adding a poll, ( please vote guys)

I share your opinion, you have to knock out your opponent if you're fighting in Australia or Japan, these two countries are so passionate about boxing, judges will get the blame if they favor outsiders.

One example is Pacquiao; independent boxing experts thought that Manny won the fight, so Miel will have to knock out or totally dominate the fight if it's a close fight, the judges will likely favor Yabuki.
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November 09, 2026, 11:35:37 PM
 #23


So what's your thought about this fight?


Flyweights and other light divisions are considered weight where the action is quick and many punches are thrown; that's my observation, and since these two fighters are knockout artists, the fight will not go to the judges.
Mieal has no option but to knock out his opponent; the judges in Japan, when it comes to their own fighters fighting foreigners, this is going to be  very tough fight for Miel, but I hope he wins so we'll have to Filipino champions.

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November 10, 2026, 06:07:25 AM
 #24

Yes, who would forgot about that fight? Martin was 5:1 underdog against Picasso and yet the Filipino won that fight in the judges scorecard. So don't count out the Filipino as they have full of surprises in this bag.

Although Yabuki is a huge favorite and have the home court advantage, he shouldn't underestimate Miel here. I think Fajardo has also a good chin and he himself can dish a good combination and who knows, once it touches Masamichi he will feel the power of the Filipino.

That was Martin's biggest win in his young career against Picasso and that was really an upset that even me i didn't expect that as Picasso is a good boxer and he even went the distance with Naoya Inoue. That win against Picasso is a feather in Martin's cap now and it would be a mistake if  an opponent would underestimate him.

As for Meil Fajardo, this is a tough hill to climb for him though i'm not pessimistic about the possibility of an upset but i wouldn't bet on him, might bet on the option that this fight would go the distance. Fajardo hasn't yet gain experience as most of his opponents were unknown but the good thing is that he got this puncher's luck that may turn the fight into his favor.

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November 10, 2026, 07:50:52 AM
 #25

Yabuki looks like a typical aggressive Japanese brawler. At 34 years of age, he is at a point where you would expect those wars to take their toll. Fajardo, outside of his knockout ratio, has an ordinary record, that’s why he’s such an underdog. It would be a shocking result if he won. I still wouldn’t count him out, because of his age and because of the style of Yabuki who likes to trade punches, leaving himself susceptible.

One interesting not about Yabuki is that he fought Junto Nakatani early in his career in a 4 round fight. He’s never been afraid to take on dangerous fighters. Even if his record isn’t perfect, his résumé is more impressive than many fighters that are overprotected and have artificially manufactured records with a lot of wins.


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November 10, 2026, 01:01:07 PM
Merited by stadus (1)
 #26

One interesting not about Yabuki is that he fought Junto Nakatani early in his career in a 4 round fight. He’s never been afraid to take on dangerous fighters. Even if his record isn’t perfect, his résumé is more impressive than many fighters that are overprotected and have artificially manufactured records with a lot of wins.
Then it's a good challenge for him as a Filipino boxer. The Filipino boxer is not popular but since there are only a few Filipino boxers that are fighting in a championship fight, we have no option but to watch and support him. The only thing I like is the odds, if the odds are very fair like almost even then I might not be so interested in watching this fight. For Yabuki although he fought Nakatani as you mentioned, but I'm not really impressed with the boxer Nakatani as he is not as special as Inoue.

 
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November 10, 2026, 02:04:40 PM
 #27


Then it's a good challenge for him as a Filipino boxer. The Filipino boxer is not popular but since there are only a few Filipino boxers that are fighting in a championship fight, we have no option but to watch and support him. The only thing I like is the odds, if the odds are very fair like almost even then I might not be so interested in watching this fight. For Yabuki although he fought Nakatani as you mentioned, but I'm not really impressed with the boxer Nakatani as he is not as special as Inoue.
There's nothing sure in this fight as even a heavy favorite is not exempted from an upset. Yes we know how the judges are (assuming they will be biased) but Fajardo does not need to bring it to the judges' scorecards ,he has to finish the fight and win by KO convincingly. Probably their camp already knows that as it's not the first time they fought outside the country, but since this is the biggest fight of Fajardo , then for sure they prepared for this fight well and with that said, it's not wrong to side with them.

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November 10, 2026, 11:21:04 PM
 #28


Then it's a good challenge for him as a Filipino boxer. The Filipino boxer is not popular but since there are only a few Filipino boxers that are fighting in a championship fight, we have no option but to watch and support him. The only thing I like is the odds, if the odds are very fair like almost even then I might not be so interested in watching this fight. For Yabuki although he fought Nakatani as you mentioned, but I'm not really impressed with the boxer Nakatani as he is not as special as Inoue.
There's nothing sure in this fight as even a heavy favorite is not exempted from an upset. Yes we know how the judges are (assuming they will be biased) but Fajardo does not need to bring it to the judges' scorecards ,he has to finish the fight and win by KO convincingly. Probably their camp already knows that as it's not the first time they fought outside the country, but since this is the biggest fight of Fajardo , then for sure they prepared for this fight well and with that said, it's not wrong to side with them.

On the contrary, most Filipinos thrive on being the underdog, we have seen countless upsets by Filipinos since I followed boxing. It's like there are no pressure whatsoever on us and even if we travel to hostile environment, we really don't care.

We only think that we can win this fight. And so even if Miel is a huge underdog, I will still throw some money on our kababayan and who knows, he could be one of those who are going to put Yabuki with a clear win via knockout. Long shot, but worth a try.

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November 10, 2026, 11:57:00 PM
 #29

There's nothing sure in this fight as even a heavy favorite is not exempted from an upset. Yes we know how the judges are (assuming they will be biased) but Fajardo does not need to bring it to the judges' scorecards ,he has to finish the fight and win by KO convincingly. Probably their camp already knows that as it's not the first time they fought outside the country, but since this is the biggest fight of Fajardo , then for sure they prepared for this fight well and with that said, it's not wrong to side with them.
For any boxer, the fight in another guy territory is one tough challenge. The odds in which both boxers are equally likely to win are certainly adding to the mystery of the upcoming battle. Depending on the judges’ cards would mean certain disappointment on the side of Fajardo’s group; as per my analysis, a knockout would definitely give him more security on the way to victory. Beating a boxer like Yabuki is definitely not an easy thing to do, despite his inferiority to Inoue at the moment. Every single action in the ring holds a possibility of being remembered as one long lasting surprise because boxing ring is a place of surprise for sure. There would be no question about that because everything in their preparation would be put to test during the very first minute. The only way of successfully fighting back their rival is dictation of terms and conditions.


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