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Question: When do you think will the next bubble start?
it's starting now! - 59 (37.8%)
June - 15 (9.6%)
July - 28 (17.9%)
Q3 2014 - 21 (13.5%)
Q4 2014 - 11 (7.1%)
2015 - 7 (4.5%)
2016 - 7 (4.5%)
never, it's going down from here - 8 (5.1%)
Total Voters: 156

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Author Topic: When will the next bubble start?  (Read 3791 times)
Mageant (OP)
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May 20, 2014, 06:37:51 PM
 #1

Just interested what people think about when the next Bitcoin bubble will happen.

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theonewhowaskazu
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May 20, 2014, 06:40:20 PM
 #2

I'm betting toward the end of the summer or the very start of the fall.

gentlemand
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May 20, 2014, 06:43:51 PM
Last edit: May 20, 2014, 06:55:32 PM by gentlemand
 #3

My guess is when the Gox and China effects have faded or leveled off at least and there's a big, fat shiny exchange in the US that functions perfectly. The latter part of the year gets my vote. There's a lot of trauma to put to bed.
UnDerDoG81
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May 20, 2014, 06:45:49 PM
 #4

August 2014 new ATH
oda.krell
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May 20, 2014, 06:51:57 PM
Last edit: May 29, 2014, 03:30:20 PM by oda.krell
 #5

If you mean when do we start the run-up towards a new ATH: between July and end of 2014.

If you mean, when do we see the vertex after reaching a new ATH, then I'd say: hopefully early next year. February, maybe.

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Mageant (OP)
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May 20, 2014, 07:02:33 PM
 #6

If you mean when do we start the run-up towards a new ATH: ...

This is what I mean.

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theonewhowaskazu
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May 20, 2014, 08:15:41 PM
 #7

If you mean when do we start the run-up towards a new ATH: ...

This is what I mean.

Then define when the April or November bubbles "started"?

oda.krell
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May 20, 2014, 08:56:23 PM
 #8

If you mean when do we start the run-up towards a new ATH: ...

This is what I mean.

Then define when the April or November bubbles "started"?

He probably has the last stage pre-ATH in mind, the one that can sometimes look like a short phase of superexponential growth.

So for April 2013 that's probably around mid to late January 2013.

For the November 2013 high, that'd probably be early October 2013 (the SR crash and bounce)


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Mageant (OP)
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May 21, 2014, 12:21:30 AM
Last edit: May 21, 2014, 12:52:33 AM by Mageant
 #9

The average prediction so far is August 16th (not counting the "never" votes).

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bitcoinsrus
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May 21, 2014, 12:55:00 AM
 #10

The average prediction so far is August 16th (not counting the "never" votes).

There has been a lot of talk about the summer.  What event do you guys think would happen in the summer?  Some integration (of bitpay or something bit related) to a major company like ebay?

Mid August is interesting (late summer).  I am not sure what I think about that date but I wouldn't rule it out.
Mageant (OP)
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May 21, 2014, 09:58:28 AM
 #11

The average prediction so far is August 16th (not counting the "never" votes).

There has been a lot of talk about the summer.  What event do you guys think would happen in the summer?  Some integration (of bitpay or something bit related) to a major company like ebay?

Mid August is interesting (late summer).  I am not sure what I think about that date but I wouldn't rule it out.

The Bitcoin ETFs could be approved by then.

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DurbanPoison
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May 21, 2014, 02:15:24 PM
 #12

I'm betting toward the end of the summer or the very start of the fall.

+1 this is my prediction as well. Definitely later this year!
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May 21, 2014, 02:20:23 PM
 #13

People only wish they'd know. Wink
scryptasicminer
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May 21, 2014, 02:22:48 PM
 #14

Bubble is bursting.

What we are experiencing right now is bull trap.
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May 21, 2014, 02:37:34 PM
Last edit: May 22, 2014, 05:06:51 PM by JimboToronto
 #15

I guess it depends on what you consider the start of a bubble to be.

One take is that it starts with the reversal of the downtrend from the previous bubble, i.e. $2 in 2011 or $66 in July 2013.

Another view is that it starts at the point that it seems to go exponential, i.e. Apr 2011, Jan 2013 or last October's Silk Road bust.

I chose the former so I voted that it's already started.

The exponential part is probably still weeks away.
JimboToronto
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May 21, 2014, 02:39:23 PM
 #16

Bubble is bursting.

What we are experiencing right now is bull trap.

LOLOLOL

 Smiley Wink Grin Roll Eyes
lay785
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May 21, 2014, 02:40:03 PM
 #17

Bubble is bursting.

What we are experiencing right now is bull trap.
So we shouldnt buy in then?
JimboToronto
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May 21, 2014, 02:45:30 PM
 #18

Bubble is bursting.

What we are experiencing right now is bull trap.
So we shouldnt buy in then?

What you shouldn't buy into is the ridiculous trolling by clueless noobs like scryptasicminer.
scryptasicminer
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May 21, 2014, 02:51:18 PM
 #19

Bubble is bursting.

What we are experiencing right now is bull trap.
So we shouldnt buy in then?

What you shouldn't buy into is the ridiculous trolling by clueless noobs like scryptasicminer.

Noob, maybe. But far from clueless.
Hiraga
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May 21, 2014, 02:53:53 PM
 #20

Next bullmarket has already started since yesterday or so. $350 was the golden purchase but $450 is pretty good from a broader perspective, above $1,000 just $100 doesn't look much different.
So if you wait to purchase in hope for a lower price, just buy it up dudes and sitback for the next 4 months or so.
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