Bitcoin Forum
November 18, 2024, 01:27:56 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 28.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1] 2 »  All
  Print  
Author Topic: After five years, has Bitcoin finally reached price stability?  (Read 2072 times)
boymilk (OP)
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 74
Merit: 10


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 08:41:36 AM
 #1

One of the distinguishing characteristics of Bitcoin is that it is extremely volatile. This has always been the case until the past few weeks when the price seems to have stabilized in the 400-600 USD region. Of course such a wide range would still be considered extremely volatile if Bitcoin was compared to fiat currencies but do you think that Bitcoin is in the beginning stages of finally converging onto a stable price? Or do you think that there will be more bubbles and crashes in the future?
dannyspk
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 341
Merit: 250


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 08:51:02 AM
 #2

Hardly. To me, this is just the beginning. Stability will only occur when there's wide adoption and massive market cap. We are far from it. Till then, enjoy the ride!
rudius
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 84
Merit: 10


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 09:02:54 AM
 #3

One of the distinguishing characteristics of Bitcoin is that it is extremely volatile. This has always been the case until the past few weeks when the price seems to have stabilized in the 400-600 USD region. Of course such a wide range would still be considered extremely volatile if Bitcoin was compared to fiat currencies but do you think that Bitcoin is in the beginning stages of finally converging onto a stable price? Or do you think that there will be more bubbles and crashes in the future?

What is different now from other bear markets? price seems stable beacause there was very low volume last weeks and a reversal is in place.

And there will always be bubble and crashes, it is a deflationnary assets prone to exuberance. As the marketcap will mature, price will be less wild. As more and more people wait for the same wild jump&crash in price, it will correct that by itself.

Though, there will be a lot more bubble and bear markets before marketcap will be usefull for merchants.
Relnarien
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 399
Merit: 257


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 09:03:28 AM
 #4

As long as Bitcoin is not universally accepted as a currency and people keep trading Bitcoin as a commodity, it will continue to remain volatile. A mainstream entity publicly investing in Bitcoin can easily cause a bubble, while all it takes for a crash to happen is one Bitcoin investor holding a large amount of it suddenly cashing out. There's also the ongoing struggle to gain official government recognition and mass public adoption. Future halvings, DPR's seized funds getting dumped onto the market, Mt. Gox miraculously recovering another cold storage wallet when Karpeles runs out of money to pay for his lawyers' retainer fees, et cetera -- a lot of things can and will shake the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin is volatile -- that's just a given.
alexeft
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 1000


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 09:28:29 AM
 #5

I don't think it will be volatile when it becomes big enough.
Right now it's just a small boat rocking from side to side with the smallest burst of air.
But, when it becomes the size of a tanker..........
segeln
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 602
Merit: 500


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 09:33:21 AM
 #6

I don't think it will be volatile when it becomes big enough.
Right now it's just a small boat rocking from side to side with the smallest burst of air.
But, when it becomes the size of a tanker..........
+1
nice comparison
medUSA
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 952
Merit: 1005


--Signature Designs-- http://bit.ly/1Pjbx77


View Profile WWW
May 23, 2014, 09:46:11 AM
 #7

How would you define stability? I think 10% band would be the minimum to be called stable for a currency and 5% is very stable. Bitcoin prices in the past 3 months has gone up to $700 and down to $350, roughly a 30% band. Not very stable in my view.
zimmah
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1106
Merit: 1005



View Profile
May 23, 2014, 10:16:17 AM
 #8

Real stability will not happen until bitcoin has at least 5 digits, but more likely 6~8 digits.
Divinespark
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 501



View Profile
May 23, 2014, 10:59:52 AM
 #9

Yep, I think it will need to be at least $10k before vol settles down

To reach $10k will have to demonstrate use cases beyond store of value properties

.AMEPAY..
█  FAST
█  CONVENIENT
█  SECURE
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
▄█████████▀▀▄▀▀█████████▄

▄██████▄▄█▀ ▀█▄▄██████▄
███████  ▀▀█▄██▀▀▄███████
███████ █ ▄ █ ▄▀▀▄███████
████████ █ █ █ ▄▀▀▄████████
▀█████████▄█ █ ▄██████████▀
▀████████  ▀▀▀  ████████▀
▀█████████████████████▀
▀██
███████████████▀
▀▀█████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
||$600,000
worth of AME
.
!
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
▄█████████▀▀▄▀▀█████████▄

▄██████▄▄█▀ ▀█▄▄██████▄
███████  ▀▀█▄██▀▀▄███████
███████ █ ▄ █ ▄▀▀▄███████
████████ █ █ █ ▄▀▀▄████████
▀█████████▄█ █ ▄██████████▀
▀████████  ▀▀▀  ████████▀
▀█████████████████████▀
▀██
███████████████▀
▀▀█████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
spazzdla
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:08:42 PM
 #10

Not even close,  Kevin O'leary alone could sky rocket or collapse the market.
frienemy
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 235
Merit: 100

I was promised da moon


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:16:11 PM
 #11

How would you define stability? I think 10% band would be the minimum to be called stable for a currency and 5% is very stable. Bitcoin prices in the past 3 months has gone up to $700 and down to $350, roughly a 30% band. Not very stable in my view.

1 EUR was worth 0,80 USD in 2002 and 1,60 USD in 2009, yet both are thought of as very stable. But stability for bitcoin at this stage now would not be desireable anyway.

MCTRL_751 >   END OF LINE
RodeoX
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147


The revolution will be monetized!


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:24:31 PM
 #12

I really doubt it. I'm not sure that price stability is even a necessary feature of bitcoin. It may just be volatile.

The gospel according to Satoshi - https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
Free bitcoin in ? - Stay tuned for this years Bitcoin hunt!
kireinaha
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 350
Merit: 253


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:28:10 PM
 #13

heh, not even close. If bitcoin were to succeed as an investment asset, then it wouldn't hit a saturation point until it becomes on par to gold or some of the other precious metal categories. If this were to happen, we'd have six digit bitcoin prices. At that point, it could become stable.

If it actually succeeds as a deflationary global currency, then we still have room for massive growth, since only 0.001 percent of the global population currently owns any.

Whatever the scenario, we're nowhere close to stability.

Night gathers, and now my bitcoinwisdom watch begins.
Nagato
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 150
Merit: 100



View Profile WWW
May 23, 2014, 05:51:44 PM
 #14

After five years, has Bitcoin finally reached price stability?

You must be new around here...


nickenburg
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 434
Merit: 511


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:55:39 PM
 #15

Yes everyone keeps repeating its very volatile and not a good investment.
Because that's what the news told them, we just had a rough time behind us.
And a chart will always go up or down so I hope we are gonna see a uprising.
Skele
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 224
Merit: 100

VocalPlatform.com


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 05:59:56 PM
 #16

Yep, I think it will need to be at least $10k before vol settles down

To reach $10k will have to demonstrate use cases beyond store of value properties

But i think we are not far from it, all we need is one app like bitpay and some chain store accepting bitcoins to let the fun begin, already mit students are doing some like that
dropt
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000



View Profile
May 23, 2014, 07:06:27 PM
 #17

One of the distinguishing characteristics of Bitcoin is that it is extremely volatile. This has always been the case until the past few weeks when the price seems to have stabilized in the 400-600 USD region. Of course such a wide range would still be considered extremely volatile if Bitcoin was compared to fiat currencies but do you think that Bitcoin is in the beginning stages of finally converging onto a stable price? Or do you think that there will be more bubbles and crashes in the future?

No.  See 2012.
ineededausername
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 784
Merit: 1000


bitcoin hundred-aire


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 07:10:44 PM
 #18

There are threads from a while ago with stability at around $5... Smiley

(BFL)^2 < 0
master-P
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 868
Merit: 1001


https://keybase.io/masterp FREE Escrow Service


View Profile WWW
May 23, 2014, 07:21:30 PM
 #19

Bitcoin and stability should never be used in the same sentence. Every time we think BTC is stabilizing, it proves us wrong again and again.

Master-P's Free Escrow Service | 1% Fee for Multi-Party/Sig Campaigns | I Sign ALL of my addresses using PGP Key: https://keybase.io/masterp Verify
Tipping Address: 14PUWBwK854GLenxSa7MAuxXQUXK4DKKi5 | E-mail: masterp.bitcointalk {at} gmail {dot} com (for when/if the forum's offline)
Guide on How to Sign a Message
Argwai96
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000


Thug for life!


View Profile
May 23, 2014, 07:25:36 PM
 #20

Its only been a few months. I think that if we stay in this same range for a few years, then we can start talking about stability. Until then.....no
Pages: [1] 2 »  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!