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Question: Price on the first of August in $US will be  (Voting closed: July 15, 2014, 02:01:35 PM)
>8000 - 14 (8.2%)
6000-7999 - 2 (1.2%)
4000-5999 - 6 (3.5%)
2000-3999 - 14 (8.2%)
1000-1999 - 40 (23.4%)
900-999 - 10 (5.8%)
800-899 - 25 (14.6%)
700-799 - 37 (21.6%)
600-699 - 13 (7.6%)
400-599 - 5 (2.9%)
<400 - 5 (2.9%)
Total Voters: 171

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Author Topic: what will price be on August 1?  (Read 3471 times)
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btcbeliever (OP)
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July 01, 2014, 02:01:35 PM
 #1

Please enter your predictions and reasoning.
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July 01, 2014, 02:04:29 PM
 #2

2500 to 2800.

Reasoning: 5% of daily increase last 24 hrs. LOL.

Future_price = Current_price * (1 + y)^n

where

y = decimal growth rate per day
n = number of periods (days)


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July 01, 2014, 02:06:13 PM
 #3

800-1200
rapsaodan84
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July 01, 2014, 02:06:38 PM
 #4

My guess is somewhat above 800.

Good news are coming, but I don't think we'll see an explosion in price just yet.
Maybe by the end of the year.
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July 01, 2014, 02:26:47 PM
 #5

My guess is somewhat above 800.

Good news are coming, but I don't think we'll see an explosion in price just yet.
Maybe by the end of the year.

This is what I think as well, we will go to 840-850 this month and then see another bear trap down to 700 before we'll visit 1000 somewhere before the end of the year. I expect a real price explosion to $3000+ next year, but depending on developments with the ETF and regulations it may already happen this year.

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July 01, 2014, 03:32:24 PM
 #6

I voted for 1000-1800, just because this year, we left the bad news about bitcoins behind us.
And we already saw the price rise above 600, and i think it will atleast reach 1000 this year again.
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July 01, 2014, 03:43:05 PM
 #7

Let me understand correctly, without my trollish-bearish general attitude: Everybody thinks that we'll see 4-digit prices based solely on last weeks rise? We are lower than January guys!

Good traders might have got the chance to make money out of these $100 price changes (up or down, doesn't matter) but holders have lost much of their wealth.

And yes, we had tons of good news but price wasn't much affected.

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July 01, 2014, 03:48:49 PM
 #8

my prediction bitcoin prices will around $800-$899
many good news recently, and we still don't see FUD news like before
maybe it will climb up to $900 for a while, and go down to $850 at the end of july

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July 01, 2014, 03:52:21 PM
 #9

holders have lost much of their wealth.

Not those who bought for less $100, let alone the early birds who paid pennies.

Perhaps you misunderstand holding. It means not selling. Until you sell your coins, they are worth exactly what you paid for them, nothing more, nothing less.

Only those stupid enough to sell for less than they paid have lost any wealth.
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July 01, 2014, 03:55:41 PM
 #10

holders have lost much of their wealth.

Not those who bought for less $100, let alone the early birds who paid pennies.

Perhaps you misunderstand holding. It means not selling. Until you sell your coins, they are worth exactly what you paid for them, nothing more, nothing less.

Only those stupid enough to sell for less than they paid have lost any wealth.

Agree. But holding into bitcoin should be looked at a method of preserving wealth. What wealth do you preserve when it drops 30%?

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July 01, 2014, 03:56:30 PM
 #11

Daytrading is gambling, pure and simple.

You know, hidden amongst your barrage of trolling and humorous posts there's the occasional word of wisdom.

This is one of them.
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July 01, 2014, 03:58:20 PM
 #12

holders have lost much of their wealth.

Not those who bought for less $100, let alone the early birds who paid pennies.

Perhaps you misunderstand holding. It means not selling. Until you sell your coins, they are worth exactly what you paid for them, nothing more, nothing less.

Only those stupid enough to sell for less than they paid have lost any wealth.

Agree. But holding into bitcoin should be looked at a method of preserving wealth. What wealth do you preserve when it drops 30%?

All of it if you don't sell and the price rises higher than before the drop.
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July 01, 2014, 04:02:10 PM
 #13

holders have lost much of their wealth.

Not those who bought for less $100, let alone the early birds who paid pennies.

Perhaps you misunderstand holding. It means not selling. Until you sell your coins, they are worth exactly what you paid for them, nothing more, nothing less.

Only those stupid enough to sell for less than they paid have lost any wealth.

Agree. But holding into bitcoin should be looked at a method of preserving wealth. What wealth do you preserve when it drops 30%?

From 2002-2007 - The dollar fell 40% in value as the U.S. debt grew 60%.  In 2009, the dollar fell 20% thanks to debt fears.

How much lower is today's dollar value? In 1913 you could buy as much with a dollar as you can with $23.63 in 2014, more than 100 years later. By 1920, the dollar had lost about half its value, and was worth $11.48 in today's value. Deflation (the opposite of inflation) during the Great Depression of 1929 increased the value of the dollar to $13.43. By 1940, the dollar was worth even more -- it could buy as much as $16.40 could today.

By 1950, the dollar's value had dropped even lower than before the Depression. It was worth only $9.53. It has fallen ever since:

    1960 = $7.76
    1970 = $5.92
    1980 = $2.79
    1990 = $1.76
    2000 = $1.33
    2010 - $1.05.
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July 01, 2014, 04:14:01 PM
 #14

Great insight, but you're talking years there... Bitcoin looses 40% in a few days...

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July 01, 2014, 04:15:52 PM
 #15

Great insight, but you're talking years there... Bitcoin looses 40% in a few days...
....and gains it back a few days or weeks later.  It can also gain 500-600% in one month.  It also averages 8x-10x value year-over-year end.

What else you got smart ass?
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July 01, 2014, 04:19:01 PM
 #16

I will probably be under $10. Mark Williams was probably just a month off on his famous prediction.  Shocked
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July 01, 2014, 04:19:13 PM
 #17

Great insight, but you're talking years there... Bitcoin looses 40% in a few days...
....and gains it back a few days or weeks later.  It can also gain 500-600% in one month.  It also averages 8x-10x value year over year end.

What else you got smart ass?

I rest my case.

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July 01, 2014, 04:20:08 PM
 #18

Great insight, but you're talking years there... Bitcoin looses 40% in a few days...
....and gains it back a few days or weeks later.  It can also gain 500-600% in one month.  It also averages 8x-10x value year over year end.

What else you got smart ass?

Hey, don't confuse him with the facts.
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July 01, 2014, 04:23:52 PM
 #19

Interesting... So far 13% of the voters went for >8000$, which is utterly delusional.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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July 01, 2014, 04:28:38 PM
 #20

Seriously now, August might see 680. But anything more is insane.

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