BTCINVESTOR
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Cryptographic money will be the bedrock in time.
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July 20, 2014, 03:09:00 AM |
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I think most people on here would agree that if the government could somehow succeed in harming the bitcoin ecosystem in some way, it would likely not matter that much because, as has been stated numerous times (and not just in this thread), the crypto community would just move into better and more resilient technology (i.e. another altcoin or math-based currency upgrade). Of course this would happen.
However, it is still a very salient question to ask because even if all any government could do to harm bitcoin was to injure (or beat up on) its reputation, functionality, or price somehow, that would be a very big deal for all of us that have been early adopters/investors, especially if the world moves into some other system and tends to abandon the "old tech bitcoin". I sure am hoping that my bitcoin will continue to appreciate in value over time and do not eventually just fall victim to a more competitive and/or government-proof coin. I want bitcoin to always have a strong reputation and value.
I'm sure many of the prominent bitcoiners who have fought through the early trials of this technology to bring it to the masses would feel quite cheated if their dedicated efforts turn out to be for a coin that just didn't have the muscle to evolve well enough long term.
Lets say hypothetically, one of the so-called 2.0 coins like NXT or Blackcoin simply turn out to be evolutionarily superior because, say, they are far more resistant to government or centralized manipulation. What if money were to pour out of bitcoin's market share into other "safe-haven 2.0 coins" during a moment of perceived crisis? For example, some mining operation gains a massive level of control over the system or a government secretly or subversively purchases two of the biggest mining pools and then intentionally tries to do whatever they could technologically (or even politically) to create uncertainty/fear regarding control of what is supposed to be a "trustless system"? It's feasible, and perhaps even likely, for things like this to happen eventually, especially if bitcoin becomes a massive global force that continually siphons world economic power.
I suspect there are smaller industrialized or developing countries, which as time goes on, could see their national currencies crumble in the face of bitcoin. It makes sense that smaller and/or more corrupt nations would be the first ones to lose control of their own currencies as crypto proves to be far more reliable than a system manipulated by a government which, say for example, is run by gangsters.
Since the vast majority of a nation's power is vested in it's ability to issue and manipulate a sovereign currency, I could see a desperate nation attempting any manner of assault on the biggest perceived crypto threat (a.k.a. bitcoin), simply to create fear or loss in value. Yes it would ultimately be futile, but they might succeed in shifting some technologic train tracks. Smarter nations, hopefully, will try to be a part of this innovative technology over time, potentially shielding it to some degree from the temper tantrums of nations which are run by idiots who rely on contrived state power and suppression.
Bottom line for me:
I want bitcoin to be the winner. I want to have been an early adopter. Please don't tell me that down the road 20 years, everybody is using blackcoin simply because "the great mining panic of 2018" made everybody sell bitcoin and buy into a system the government couldn't screw up as easily. My bitcoin could potentially be worth very little in a situation like that and I don't own any blackcoin. What if bitcoin is just traded as a "curiosity coin" and eventually becomes vastly eclipsed in value? Frankly, there are so many alternatives out there right now, I doubt I would end up picking the right one. I sat in the audience in Amsterdam in May and heard Gavin say something to the effect that he hoped bitcoin would be declared the ultimate winner down the road, but that it was very possible for some other math-based currency to become the dominant system.
I want to bet on the horse that eventually wins this race. And it's a marathon boys, not a sprint. So naturally the big question is: Is bitcoin more naturally suited for the long race or just as an intro coin to prove the concept? I guess we will find out.
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