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Question: When will the next Bitcoin price bubble start?
it's starting now! - 25 (18%)
Late August - 25 (18%)
September - 27 (19.4%)
October - 7 (5%)
November - 13 (9.4%)
December - 4 (2.9%)
Q1 2015 - 5 (3.6%)
Q2 2015 - 6 (4.3%)
2nd Half 2015 - 5 (3.6%)
2016 - 9 (6.5%)
never, it's down from here - 13 (9.4%)
Total Voters: 139

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Author Topic: When will the next bubble start?  (Read 4209 times)
Markos
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August 02, 2014, 02:58:58 PM
 #21

A little bubble in October from ~250 USD, like the bubble from 2 USD to 6 USD almost three years ago.

The big bubble probably in 2016, to five digits...
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yunkie
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August 02, 2014, 03:35:57 PM
 #22

3 december
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August 02, 2014, 03:44:10 PM
 #23

My best guess is that COIN lists on 8 November, the 10th anniversary of GLD listing.

And all the turkeys in North America cried out in terror.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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August 02, 2014, 05:35:31 PM
 #24

When do you think will the next Bitcoin price bubble start?
I think the next bubble will start in July 2015.
it's just my opinion  Smiley
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August 02, 2014, 10:50:34 PM
 #25

I'm hoping that the next time we significantly rally that it isn't a bubble at all.  Every time we shoot up and then fall back down is when the press (and then governments) jump all over BTC and try to add more regulations.

Obviously we are going to have to deal with regulation, but the more volatile we are, the greater the chances for over regulation
All assets have bubbles as it is part of the market process. The question is how often do you see bubbles. In assets like housing it is very rare that you see bubbles (less then once per lifetime) as the total value of all housing is very large, and this kind of assets is very established.

Newer kinds of assets on the other hand tend to see more bubbles as they have a smaller market cap so small amounts of money entering and/or exiting them would have a greater affect on the price.
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August 03, 2014, 01:06:39 PM
 #26

August next year
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August 03, 2014, 05:55:31 PM
 #27

Maybe in two or three months from now we should have started the rally.
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August 03, 2014, 08:01:24 PM
 #28

judging by the results of this poll at time of this posting, I would see that most of the users here want the rally to begin now, or at least very soon.
Polls like this just show how immature and unrealistic much of this community is. I cant see any sort of bubble happening ever again really, only a slow rise with greater adoption. right now we are seeing apathy and thus a slow decline. things like the ETF will only serve to prop it up a little. Market is small enough to manipulate too, don't forget. That could spell real trouble for btc valuation.
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August 03, 2014, 09:04:27 PM
 #29

judging by the results of this poll at time of this posting, I would see that most of the users here want the rally to begin now, or at least very soon.
Polls like this just show how immature and unrealistic much of this community is. I cant see any sort of bubble happening ever again really, only a slow rise with greater adoption. right now we are seeing apathy and thus a slow decline. things like the ETF will only serve to prop it up a little. Market is small enough to manipulate too, don't forget. That could spell real trouble for btc valuation.


Your view of reality seems even less in touch than those of us waiting for and hoping for a bubble.  Based on the totality of investments, adoption and expectations, a rally and a bubble seems more likely than NOT - despite the realities of downward manipulation and all of that.

The current low size of the market cap is NOT capable of handling a lot that bitcoin is capable of handling and is poised to handle upon the upcoming increases in its market cap.

Invest accordingly, and we will see whose investment pays off, no?  Another good thing about bitcoin is that it allows for people to chose their own level of investment based on their view of the future... and the biggest obstacle seems to be getting started and setting up some BTC handling account(s)....

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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August 03, 2014, 10:38:33 PM
 #30

judging by the results of this poll at time of this posting, I would see that most of the users here want the rally to begin now, or at least very soon.
Polls like this just show how immature and unrealistic much of this community is. I cant see any sort of bubble happening ever again really, only a slow rise with greater adoption. right now we are seeing apathy and thus a slow decline. things like the ETF will only serve to prop it up a little. Market is small enough to manipulate too, don't forget. That could spell real trouble for btc valuation.
Every asset class will have bubbles. Every asset class has had many bubbles in the past and will likely have them again in the future. The bigger the total value of the asset class is, the less frequent bubbles tend to happen, but they still happen for everything.
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August 03, 2014, 10:49:40 PM
 #31


Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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August 04, 2014, 11:37:43 AM
 #32

The average prediction so far is 24.11.2014 (2014-11-24) not counting the "never" votes.

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August 04, 2014, 11:53:55 AM
 #33

When do we call it a bubble? Presumably it is after we reach a new high, in which case I don't know that we'll see it this year.

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August 04, 2014, 11:55:12 AM
 #34

Read my lips:

No
more
bubbles.
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August 04, 2014, 05:09:04 PM
 #35

Mid September! People are finished unwinding from their stressful holidays and are looking to put their money somewhere. The fall awakens our instincts of hoarding food and valuables. So people will be putting some FIAT in BTC then.

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August 04, 2014, 05:13:15 PM
 #36

I picked October, but admit I could have thrown a dart and had the same level of confidence and a broken monitor.

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August 04, 2014, 05:24:44 PM
 #37

Well, bear after bear after bear repeats "not until after all the leveraged longs have been squeezed." So I think it'll happen when enough bears have taken this position to get squeezed themselves. Tongue
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August 04, 2014, 05:29:27 PM
 #38

Well, bear after bear after bear repeats "not until after all the leveraged longs have been squeezed." So I think it'll happen when enough bears have taken this position to get squeezed themselves. Tongue

Yes! Yes Yes! When the Finex bubble is big enough and all the bears seemingly rejoice and call the bubble off. THEN! In a stealth attempt the bubble is going to manifest itself and start blowing up (in the good bubble-sense)

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August 04, 2014, 05:53:24 PM
 #39

December. Things are looking rather FURry at the moment. We need to achieve a constant bull market first. I don't see the price rise exponentially already. Many people still expect the bubble to happen right now in August. First we need total desperation!

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August 06, 2014, 07:06:26 PM
 #40

bumping for a few more votes...
 Grin

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