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Author Topic: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service  (Read 85270 times)
cypherdoc
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March 29, 2012, 03:40:02 PM
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Welcome to the first and only comprehensive Market Analysis service based primarily on Cycle Theory and paid with Bitcoin.

I combine a healthy dose of fundamental analysis (probably 70% technical and 30% fundamental), a bit of Wave Theory, and a lot of market experience and intuition.

This service will be about making the right calls in the general economy of gold, silver, oil, stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and how they effect Bitcoin.  If you think you can invest in Bitcoin without understanding what's going on in the real world economy, think again.  Bitcoin is heavily influenced by outside economic factors and liquidity.

There are some big changes coming in the global economy right here and now.  Planning for a future of high volatility will be challenging.  

The service will cost 1 BTC per month.  New subscribers can sign up at any time and be prorated. Recurring subscribers should try to send the payment during the last week of every month since a "month" will start on the first of the following month and the accounting will have to be done before then.   Please send me a pm with your email address and I will respond with a unique Bitcoin address to which you'll make those payments.  I will send out Monday-Friday intraday trading alert emails that track the stock, bond, currency, commodities, and precious metals markets as well as Bitcoin. These tend to be short quick hit alerts but will also be supplemented with more comprehensive cycle analysis newsletters and articles on a variety of subjects surrounding Bitcoin and how it is effected by other asset markets.

The format will go into depth about Cycle Theory and how it's applied to different markets.  You will learn about market structure and the various timeframes that I follow to make my analyses.  Subscribers will learn what has been going on "beneath the hood" of all my viewpoints and predictions.  I will often send out updates and alerts during the trading day and most times I will average daily emails and oftentimes more than once a day.  The first week of the service has made me realize just how in to this stuff I really am and I think my subscribers would agree.

Thanks to all of you who have already signed up.  Feel free to make suggestions as to how to improve the service and please bear with me as I go thru growing pains. The response has been outstanding and I appreciate all my new subscribers.

Several of you have felt comfortable emailing me throughout the trading day asking for my advice and I welcome those interactions anytime.

Below is a list of verifiable market calls I've made over the last year where I have identified major trend changes (corner picking) which is an incredibly difficult thing to do. I've updated the charts to reflect todays position (4/6/12) and you can see these calls have moved even further in my favor since they were first displayed in the original post, especially the pm miners:

I said to short gold 9d before the top here: "Gold: I smell a trap"



I also made it publicly clear when I sold silver beginning at $49, with an average sell price of $44 last May, in the first leg down.  I bought between $9-$12.

These are in chronological order top to bottom. Of interest, note how I transitioned from becoming a gold/silver bull to a Bitcoin bull. Remember silver topped 4/28/11:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5540.msg82056#msg82056

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5540.msg82062#msg82062

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=6202.msg93588#msg93588

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=6452.msg96613#msg96613

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=6322.msg99806#msg99806

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=6322.msg99815#msg99815

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=7891.msg116808#msg116808

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=7891.msg116814#msg116814

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=8845.msg130768#msg130768




Here I called the 2nd big wave down in silver:  "Because its time"



I also called the top in the pm miners here: "this was one huge head fake"



Here was a nice appreciative poster back on 9/23/11: "I knew you'd be smiling"

And another:  "Hail to the King"

I also said to cover those same pm shorts as well as go long stocks here at the bottom on 10/6/11: "we may be in for a multi month run up before the final fall"      



I predicted HOW this stock rise would proceed in my blog. See the post about "Entering Trending Mode"  made when we broke up out of the consolidation range bounded by the 10/26/11 high: http://financialriskanalytics.weebly.com/1/post/2012/01/entering-trending-mode.html



I predicted the EXTENT of the stock rise on 10/27/11 and that it would rise over the May 2011 highs which it didn't do until 2/20/12: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=35956.msg596053#msg596053



Here's where I made the call on the bottoming of the USD:  "this whole thread is filled with my rationales as to why i think the USD can rise"



Here's where I called the bottom in Bitcoin back on October 18, 2011:   Warning:  How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze?



miscreanity had the decency and kindness to say some nice things about my calls from the old thread: "Keep picking the corners - you're damn good at it."

S3052 gave me some credit as well: "Congrats to the great call."

Please check it out.

*Disclaimer: Although this service includes market analysis, all ideas, opinions, recommendations and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein, are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an inducement or instruction to invest, trade, and/or speculate in the markets. Any action or refraining from action; investments, trades, and/or speculations made in light of the ideas, opinions, and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk an consequence, financial or otherwise.

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cypherdoc
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March 29, 2012, 05:03:01 PM
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i have 5 of you so far.  thanks.

anyone want to add anything about how i can make it better/smoother?
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March 29, 2012, 05:22:07 PM
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i'm shooting to publish my first newsletter Sunday 4/1/12.

i will be outlining several key alarms that are going off in the general markets right now that you must pay attention to for your financial health.

i will also give my opinion on how this will affect Bitcoin which is at a major juncture as far as i'm concerned.
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March 29, 2012, 07:46:19 PM
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8 is great.
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March 29, 2012, 11:29:20 PM
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Be that as it may, Cypherdoc, I think 9 is fine.

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March 30, 2012, 06:44:36 AM
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i'm shooting to publish my first newsletter Sunday 4/1/12.

i will be outlining several key alarms that are going off in the general markets right now that you must pay attention to for your financial health.

i will also give my opinion on how this will affect Bitcoin which is at a major juncture as far as i'm concerned.

I agree with you that we will soon see major market turbulence across the board

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com
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March 30, 2012, 02:34:10 PM
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i'm shooting to publish my first newsletter Sunday 4/1/12.

i will be outlining several key alarms that are going off in the general markets right now that you must pay attention to for your financial health.

i will also give my opinion on how this will affect Bitcoin which is at a major juncture as far as i'm concerned.

I agree with you that we will soon see major market turbulence across the board

turbulence...I prefer the falling stone analogy  Wink


Want to learn how to chart/trade bitcoin? Subscribe Smiley
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=63880.0
cypherdoc
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March 30, 2012, 02:39:51 PM
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cypherdoc
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March 30, 2012, 02:43:49 PM
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remember when the gold bulls were hyping Newmont Mining (NEM) just a few months back b/c it was paying a dividend and how finally, finally, the turn had been made in gold stocks.

continuing to probe lower...
S3052
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March 30, 2012, 05:22:22 PM
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i'm shooting to publish my first newsletter Sunday 4/1/12.

i will be outlining several key alarms that are going off in the general markets right now that you must pay attention to for your financial health.

i will also give my opinion on how this will affect Bitcoin which is at a major juncture as far as i'm concerned.

I agree with you that we will soon see major market turbulence across the board

turbulence...I prefer the falling stone analogy  Wink



Both, markets will (1) fall like a stone and (2) will be dirupted with trrading halts, closure of exchanges. This is also a big risk. Because even if you are on the right side of the trade, if exchanges / banks are closing, you may not get any funds out any more.
This is where the alternative Bitcoin comes into play.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com
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March 30, 2012, 06:54:03 PM
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Why? Are you a gold bug? Grin

"Bitcoin had been transformed from an anarachistic challenge to the financial status quo, to the crypto spawn of Satan, fuelled by cut-throat greed and delusions of avarice." - MatTheCat
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March 30, 2012, 08:12:02 PM
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Why? Are you a gold bug? Grin
I wish...  Embarrassed

That's a nice ignore list... Can I be on it too?

While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
Programmer/Math Nerd
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cypherdoc
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March 31, 2012, 01:50:01 AM
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*March 30th- First issue emailed.*

A bit primer on Cycle Theory and how i picked the Oct 2011 bottom.
cypherdoc
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March 31, 2012, 05:55:37 PM
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fresh off the press:

http://bitcoinmedia.com/bitcoin-vs-metals/
waspoza
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March 31, 2012, 07:22:22 PM
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Good reading, thanks.

Too bad you started your service. There will be less to read for non subscribers. Sad
cypherdoc
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April 01, 2012, 03:47:19 AM
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*March 31-Newsletter #2 emailed*
"What goes in to picking a corner."

thanks for the great response.  now that you guys got me going i can't stop.  2 newsletters out even before the formal subscription has begun! Wink
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April 01, 2012, 05:03:02 AM
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graphs added to OP: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=74587.msg825951#msg825951
cypherdoc
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April 01, 2012, 06:13:33 AM
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additional kudo from a poster added to OP.

"Entering Trending Mode" link added to OP.
cypherdoc
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April 01, 2012, 07:41:16 AM
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Good reading, thanks.

Too bad you started your service. There will be less to read for non subscribers. Sad

My goal is to make my subscribers more money than non subscribers Smiley
cypherdoc
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April 01, 2012, 03:03:24 PM
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updated OP
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