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Author Topic: SafeDICE.com ★ Bitcoin Dice ★ Monero ★ 0.5% Edge ★ Fast Cashout ★ Since 2014  (Read 275727 times)
dooglus
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November 25, 2014, 09:10:26 PM
 #81

I play quite slowly - I'm on a connection with a lot of latency.

My balance ended .xxxx7567

I set out to win 4 satoshis:



After that last bet, I was surprised to see my balance didn't end .xxxx7571 as expected. Instead it ended .xxxx7539 - that's 32 satoshis too low. I waited, watching the balance, and it took maybe 10 seconds before it adjusted itself to .xxxx7571.

I don't know how the client's idea of the balance is getting out of sync with the server's, but it is bad that it does. (I guess you send the bet result and the balance update in two separate messages, one of which sometimes gets lost - sending them together would fix the problem).

People base their bets on their current balance, so you should make sure the balance that is shown is correct.

I reported something similar recently - I guess I just wanted to let you know it is still happening, and needs fixing. Smiley

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November 25, 2014, 09:17:01 PM
 #82

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

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November 25, 2014, 09:30:24 PM
 #83

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

Entirely possible. A wager is the bet amount. For example betting 10 btc at 1.01× contributes 10btc to the wager total. Trust me if goes fairay quickly, even with relatively small balances.
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November 25, 2014, 09:30:52 PM
 #84

Just tested the site's fairness for my own thoughts. Server rigging I think is indeed present here but thats just me. I did one trial and it shocked me. Betting 0 repeatedly until +2 units (of 0) or -20 units. I was doing 49.75% 2x payout, I always bet low. I reached -20 before I reached +2. In fact I never even reached +1. One sample, doesn't matter yeah yeah yeah but whatever.

.







.
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November 25, 2014, 09:39:46 PM
 #85

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

Entirely possible. A wager is the bet amount. For example betting 10 btc at 1.01× contributes 10btc to the wager total. Trust me if goes fairay quickly, even with relatively small balances.

Oh, I don't think so. For 200 BTC wagered I think that there must be a minimum of good profit (minimum 0.5-1 Bitcoin). 200 BTC is too much to have only that profit of BTC. Then, everyone can think in its best way.

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dooglus
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November 25, 2014, 09:53:00 PM
 #86

Just tested the site's fairness for my own thoughts. Server rigging I think is indeed present here but thats just me. I did one trial and it shocked me. Betting 0 repeatedly until +2 units (of 0) or -20 units. I was doing 49.75% 2x payout, I always bet low. I reached -20 before I reached +2. In fact I never even reached +1. One sample, doesn't matter yeah yeah yeah but whatever.

You've been around provably fair dice sites to know better than this.

Do I really have to explain to you how it works?

Verify your rolls - see for yourself whether it's rigged. If it is, go public with your findings. "rigging I think is indeed present here but thats just me" is worthless, but the proof you seek is at your fingertips.

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

Entirely possible. A wager is the bet amount. For example betting 10 btc at 1.01× contributes 10btc to the wager total. Trust me if goes fairay quickly, even with relatively small balances.

Oh, I don't think so. For 200 BTC wagered I think that there must be a minimum of good profit (minimum 0.5-1 Bitcoin). 200 BTC is too much to have only that profit of BTC. Then, everyone can think in its best way.

Most bets have a house edge of 0.5%. That means the expected profit is around 1 BTC. Actually I think most of the volume happened before the edge was dropped, so maybe we need to double that to 2 BTC.

I've bet only 5.2 BTC, and have a profit of 0.77 BTC (when I "should" have a loss of 0.026 or something):



If you add the 0.77 BTC that I won to the site's profit, it looks a lot healthier. And I represent just 5 BTC of action out of a total 200 BTC.

What you fail to realise is that variance is a bitch. It's quite possible (and even likely in the short term) for the house to over or under perform by a huge margin.

Both of the posts I just answered drew unsound conclusions. KoS: maybe the site is rigged - but if it is, you can prove it. Gianluca95: the law of large numbers applies to large numbers. 80k bets isn't a large number; maybe the site stats are fake, but you've not proved it.

This post is NOT an endorsement of safedice. I play there occasionally with funds I'm prepared to lose. This is not me "shilling", "promoting", "endorsing", or any such thing. Got it? Good! Smiley

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November 25, 2014, 09:59:26 PM
 #87

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

its possible man, look at bitdice 32k wagered but only 500+ profit. people win back their losses, so profits can be so slow.
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November 25, 2014, 10:11:28 PM
 #88

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

its possible man, look at bitdice 32k wagered but only 500+ profit. people win back their losses, so profits can be so slow.

Well, with 32k wagered and a house edge of 1% we would only expect a profit of 320 BTC, so they're actually doing better than expected.

Is it another good example of a dice site not making their expected profit - just they're off in the opposite direction.

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November 25, 2014, 10:46:30 PM
 #89

Oh, I don't think so. For 200 BTC wagered I think that there must be a minimum of good profit (minimum 0.5-1 Bitcoin). 200 BTC is too much to have only that profit of BTC. Then, everyone can think in its best way.

Check it now - I just took the profit down to exactly 0!



Edit: profit was at 0.04 and a bit after someone else finished playing. I made these bets to take it to 0:


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November 25, 2014, 11:07:40 PM
 #90

dooglus you amaze me dude

you know how to play on dice sites ...i dont think you are in minus on any site Smiley
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November 25, 2014, 11:10:25 PM
 #91

dooglus you amaze me dude

you know how to play on dice sites ...i dont think you are in minus on any site Smiley

yeah he made the profit back to zero LOL
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November 26, 2014, 01:01:32 AM
 #92

i tried this site and its not bad..i like pd better  Tongue

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November 26, 2014, 01:35:50 AM
 #93

I have 15BTC wargged already
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November 26, 2014, 04:05:35 AM
 #94

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

We have more than 100BTC wagered in the 2 days after launching, each bet ever placed is public, I'm sure the data is real Smiley

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November 26, 2014, 04:09:20 AM
 #95

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

We have more than 100BTC wagered in the 2 days after launching, each bet ever placed is public, I'm sure the data is real Smiley

Goodluck with that. I hope someone will not run with your investments.
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November 26, 2014, 04:48:40 AM
Last edit: November 26, 2014, 04:59:12 AM by coincolonel
 #96

dooglus you amaze me dude

you know how to play on dice sites ...i dont think you are in minus on any site Smiley

Dooglus is minus on pd afaik.. only on pd...
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November 26, 2014, 05:06:26 AM
 #97

dooglus you amaze me dude

you know how to play on dice sites ...i dont think you are in minus on any site Smiley

Dooglus is minus on pd afaik.. only on pd...

What do you mean by minus sir?
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November 26, 2014, 05:38:15 AM
 #98

dooglus you amaze me dude

you know how to play on dice sites ...i dont think you are in minus on any site Smiley

Dooglus is minus on pd afaik.. only on pd...

What do you mean by minus sir?

He means this:



As for "knowing how to play", it's a mixture of luck, and running martingale sequences where I have a relatively small chance of busting.

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November 26, 2014, 05:42:11 AM
 #99

Fixed, along with another update today Smiley

  • Bet setting is remembered even after you closed the browser (shortcut, roll low, and win chance / payout).

It doesn't seem to be storing my 2x payout.

It goes back to 1.99x when I reload.

The 'lo', and hotkeys are saved. It also has the chance locked, whereas I always have the payout locked.

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   1% House Edge
KingOfSports
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November 26, 2014, 05:58:25 AM
 #100

Just tested the site's fairness for my own thoughts. Server rigging I think is indeed present here but thats just me. I did one trial and it shocked me. Betting 0 repeatedly until +2 units (of 0) or -20 units. I was doing 49.75% 2x payout, I always bet low. I reached -20 before I reached +2. In fact I never even reached +1. One sample, doesn't matter yeah yeah yeah but whatever.

You've been around provably fair dice sites to know better than this.

Do I really have to explain to you how it works?

Verify your rolls - see for yourself whether it's rigged. If it is, go public with your findings. "rigging I think is indeed present here but thats just me" is worthless, but the proof you seek is at your fingertips.

There is something of wrong in your website. In which way is possible to have 200+ BTC wagered in only some week? I think that is impossible. Are you sure that there data are real?

Entirely possible. A wager is the bet amount. For example betting 10 btc at 1.01× contributes 10btc to the wager total. Trust me if goes fairay quickly, even with relatively small balances.

Oh, I don't think so. For 200 BTC wagered I think that there must be a minimum of good profit (minimum 0.5-1 Bitcoin). 200 BTC is too much to have only that profit of BTC. Then, everyone can think in its best way.

Most bets have a house edge of 0.5%. That means the expected profit is around 1 BTC. Actually I think most of the volume happened before the edge was dropped, so maybe we need to double that to 2 BTC.

I've bet only 5.2 BTC, and have a profit of 0.77 BTC (when I "should" have a loss of 0.026 or something):



If you add the 0.77 BTC that I won to the site's profit, it looks a lot healthier. And I represent just 5 BTC of action out of a total 200 BTC.

What you fail to realise is that variance is a bitch. It's quite possible (and even likely in the short term) for the house to over or under perform by a huge margin.

Both of the posts I just answered drew unsound conclusions. KoS: maybe the site is rigged - but if it is, you can prove it. Gianluca95: the law of large numbers applies to large numbers. 80k bets isn't a large number; maybe the site stats are fake, but you've not proved it.

This post is NOT an endorsement of safedice. I play there occasionally with funds I'm prepared to lose. This is not me "shilling", "promoting", "endorsing", or any such thing. Got it? Good! Smiley
Just cause a site offers provably fair verification doesn't mean it actually is. It's been proven through someone creating a site showing it that if the server can predict a trend you use such as always betting low or always betting high, a rigged server can give rigged seeds assuming that person doesn't change their pattern or their client seed. It was one series but for me enough to decide I'll pass here. Probably isn't a rigged server but whatever.

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