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Author Topic: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!  (Read 1808 times)
newIndia (OP)
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January 07, 2015, 05:44:30 PM
 #1

First of the slot: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000773970e892164af18f115358193146f093ee3dd0b53739b

Last of the slot: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000245edc44ca808b057edc59e789f5d1cd69eafc8b9efb9a0

This is awesome !!! Smiley

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January 07, 2015, 06:07:44 PM
 #2

Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?

newIndia (OP)
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January 07, 2015, 06:09:39 PM
 #3

Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?


It means that currently the difficulty is low to have 10 minutes gap. Hence the difficulty will jump up soon at the next update. Prediction is around 12% Up.

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January 07, 2015, 06:18:52 PM
 #4

There's been quite a massive spike in the hashrate, so it will pull the difficulty adjustment forward quite a bit...

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

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January 07, 2015, 06:25:25 PM
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wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried
newIndia (OP)
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January 07, 2015, 06:30:34 PM
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wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried
No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

Interestingly, the price is going up again. So, efficient mining equipment or cheap Ghash from cloud mining companies can still make profit.

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January 07, 2015, 06:43:28 PM
 #7

wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried
No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

Interestingly, the price is going up again. So, efficient mining equipment or cheap Ghash from cloud mining companies can still make profit.
cheap ghash almost always means ponzi scheme which eventually will fail just saying
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January 07, 2015, 07:04:14 PM
 #8

No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

There is a chance that in the near future it may oscillate before becoming stable. If the price keeps moving a lot then the block time may remain too high or too low.

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January 07, 2015, 07:05:21 PM
 #9

Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?

It has nothing to do with changing difficulty. The difficulty changes every 2016 blocks.

It probably has little to do with changing hash power since adding blocks at that rate implies a 1700% increase, which is extremely unlikely.

It is just luck. Sometimes in takes a hour to add a block and sometimes it takes a few seconds.

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January 07, 2015, 07:33:56 PM
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Brb, making thread crying about long confirmation times.

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January 07, 2015, 09:41:04 PM
 #11

really this is very amazing. Sometimes the luck smiles for us.
Congratulations to all who had the pleasure to enjoy this "luck"

newIndia (OP)
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January 07, 2015, 10:09:26 PM
 #12

Brb, making thread crying about long confirmation times.

Thought of including that in this thread only Wink

Last block found one hour ago...

https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000a727b25e962d11a0f3a70c153237789a0b939cf331b035b

newIndia (OP)
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January 12, 2015, 05:37:52 PM
 #13

Last 5 blocks have been found in 5 minutes...

First: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000010d0ce80d50d90b1439b617534c49f221888a2d4e626d596

Last: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000017dfe3f5ebf13fdcf41b255ad0c3da4fc880745a221bf959

elephantas1
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January 12, 2015, 05:46:23 PM
 #14

are you tracking those blocks on purpose or is it just random because you cant find it really often Cheesy
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January 12, 2015, 06:08:08 PM
 #15

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

Only the long-term distribution is important (and that's what Difficulty is for), the short term is too random to pay attention to.
The probability of 7 or more blocks in 12 minutes (1.2 expected, when difficulty matches actual hashpower; in reality, this expected figure is higher) is about 1 in 4,000. In other words, this happens by random chance more often than once a month (on average), when difficulty is holding steady. Not too surprising.
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January 12, 2015, 06:15:17 PM
 #16

7 found blocks in 12 minutes...isn't that just called luck?

Not trying to a wise ass, but isn't that normally what occurs if there's blocks found close together.  Good pool luck?

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January 12, 2015, 06:17:41 PM
 #17

Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.

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January 12, 2015, 06:19:04 PM
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probably not with the difficult increase just now too

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newIndia (OP)
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January 12, 2015, 06:20:13 PM
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Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.

Can not become a trend because of difficulty adjustment Wink

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January 12, 2015, 06:21:34 PM
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Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.

Can not become a trend because of difficulty adjustment Wink

Agreed.

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