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Author Topic: Guesses on when we'll break $10  (Read 7932 times)
molecular
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July 21, 2012, 12:19:01 PM
 #21

Ask Pirate.

This.  Pirate = the bitcoin price.

Rubbish, of course. If Pirate = price then price would be exactly where you have (unsuccessfully) been predicting it's going to be.

Pirate, or someone, is trying desperately to control the price... but isn't.


This is what I looks like to me. When it hits 9 there is a COMEX style smackdown but underlying pressure is there to bring it back up again.

exactly, like gold/silver on comex. good analogy. except the bitcoin world is a lot faster and also mtgox is not paper-bitcoin, meaning pirate might run out of treasure to sell.

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July 21, 2012, 10:22:41 PM
 #22

Probably pretty soon.  Like 2 days.
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July 21, 2012, 10:32:47 PM
 #23

Monday or Tuesday.

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July 21, 2012, 11:26:13 PM
 #24

13 days. My magic crystal ball prediction.

Regardless, I don't really care. I want price stability more than an extra dollar-value on all my coins... Tongue

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July 21, 2012, 11:26:19 PM
 #25

Within 3 days it's very likely that we'll break $10. It's a major psychological barrier and the market is very bullish. The bulls are eager to crush $10. (Almost) everyone wants to see this happen, simply because it's epic.

I also think that Bitcoin could possibly take it without crashing back to single digits. We might overshoot, we might overshoot big time actually, but breaking $10 is not too much yet. It's destined to happen and the more people realize that, the sooner it will be broken.

Honestly I feel that we're currently in a bear trap. At $10++ it might switch to a bull trap eventually but right now I strongly feel we're in a bear trap.

Hold on to your seats guys.

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July 21, 2012, 11:38:46 PM
 #26

Coming soon:


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July 22, 2012, 12:14:54 AM
 #27

I want price stability more than an extra dollar-value on all my coins... Tongue

I think the coins have to be worth a lot more to achieve any long term stability. If marginally "rich" folks can move the price more than a few cents with a small fraction of their money, well... stability is a pipe dream.
That much is true. I just feel jumping up too quickly is not going to result in good things for anyone...
A lot of sentiment I see looks too blindly bullish. Which scares me a little. That's about it.

The show must go on!

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July 22, 2012, 12:28:27 AM
 #28

Re: Guesses on when we'll break $10

Just as soon as a few more deposits clear for me  Kiss


p.s. might not make it in over the weekend..

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system.
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July 22, 2012, 12:53:24 AM
 #29

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

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July 22, 2012, 03:42:37 AM
 #30

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

For consistency a correction like from 7.2 to 5 would be either 6.6 for a relative calculation or 7.3 for absolute. My bet is on 6.6 Wink
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July 22, 2012, 03:47:39 AM
 #31

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

For consistency a correction like from 7.2 to 5 would be either 6.6 for a relative calculation or 7.3 for absolute.


Actually, using the start and end of the rally and a relative calculation:

10^(((log(5)-log(2))/(log(7.22)-log(2)))*(log(9.7)-log(5)) + log(5)) = 8.02
10^(((log(3.87)-log(2))/(log(7.22)-log(2)))*(log(9.7)-log(5)) + log(5)) = 7.03

If things go the same way, we will sustain a crash to 7 but stabilize at 8.  That is if 9.7 is the high for this rally, which I very much doubt!

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July 22, 2012, 03:51:57 AM
 #32

cool you actually came up with a formula to match adams prediction  Grin
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July 22, 2012, 04:20:14 AM
 #33

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

For consistency a correction like from 7.2 to 5 would be either 6.6 for a relative calculation or 7.3 for absolute.


Actually, using the start and end of the rally and a relative calculation:

10^(((log(5)-log(2))/(log(7.22)-log(2)))*(log(9.7)-log(5)) + log(5)) = 8.02
10^(((log(3.87)-log(2))/(log(7.22)-log(2)))*(log(9.7)-log(5)) + log(5)) = 7.03

If things go the same way, we will sustain a crash to 7 but stabilize at 8.  That is if 9.7 is the high for this rally, which I very much doubt!

thats the big question

is the rally over!?

If the rally is over, then we can expect to slowly make our way to a stable 8

but with pirate40 and so many other variable in play who the hell knows.

We could wake up Monday morning to find the 15$ mark was demolished. Pirate40 Totally out of coins, Dreaming it ill go back down. A Strong up-ward force Shooting bitcoin AS high as it can go looking for a "top", add to that headlines reading "Bitcoin's second bubble" and someone asks "what the hell is bitcoin, is it a scam?".

what is the "top" on that shit, at what price will you sell out?

fuck man I will NEVER sell out, not at 5$ not at 5000$.

we are sitting on a time bomb, it could go off today, it could go off 10 years from now, but its fucking ticking that's for sure

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July 22, 2012, 04:27:49 AM
 #34

fuck man I will NEVER sell out, not at 5$ not at 5000$.

That's my exit strategy, man!
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July 22, 2012, 04:38:28 AM
 #35

fuck man I will NEVER sell out, not at 5$ not at 5000$.

That's my exit strategy, man!

what your going to sell high? you sell high, I'll buy low

"exit strategy" what a dummy

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July 22, 2012, 05:00:16 AM
 #36

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

That is something someone who doesn't understand how markets work would say.

Bitcoin long-term is bullish, but to say it will be "never ending" is just silly.

Money will flow in to bitcoin and out of bitcoin.....rinse repeat....at what rate this happens is anyone's guess.

I still believe the recent ~50% run up in price since 2 months ago is all speculation.

I mean how many more merchants accept bitcoin from then until now? What like 20?

Bitcoin is still in its infancy. More of a steady rise in price over long-term is healthier for the bitcoin economy.

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███████████████████████████████████████

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July 22, 2012, 05:24:51 AM
 #37

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

That is something someone who doesn't understand how markets work would say.

Bitcoin long-term is bullish, but to say it will be "never ending" is just silly.

Money will flow in to bitcoin and out of bitcoin.....rinse repeat....at what rate this happens is anyone's guess.

I still believe the recent ~50% run up in price since 2 months ago is all speculation.

I mean how many more merchants accept bitcoin from then until now? What like 20?

Bitcoin is still in its infancy. More of a steady rise in price over long-term is healthier for the bitcoin economy.

look go to Google
type in "never ending bull run"
click images
the very first image is me cheering

i am not kidding, do it

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July 22, 2012, 05:49:19 AM
 #38

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

That is something someone who doesn't understand how markets work would say.

Bitcoin long-term is bullish, but to say it will be "never ending" is just silly.

Money will flow in to bitcoin and out of bitcoin.....rinse repeat....at what rate this happens is anyone's guess.

I still believe the recent ~50% run up in price since 2 months ago is all speculation.

I mean how many more merchants accept bitcoin from then until now? What like 20?

Bitcoin is still in its infancy. More of a steady rise in price over long-term is healthier for the bitcoin economy.

look go to Google
type in "never ending bull run"
click images
the very first image is me cheering

i am not kidding, do it


I'm sorry can't do it mate. I've already done the research on how markets work. There is no "never ending bull" market. That's like saying the price can only go up. Even in hyperinflation the bull run ends. DUhhh

███████████████████████████████████████

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      d█████████████████████████b     
    d██████████████████████████████æ   
  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.                  History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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July 22, 2012, 06:08:39 AM
 #39

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

That is something someone who doesn't understand how markets work would say.

Bitcoin long-term is bullish, but to say it will be "never ending" is just silly.

Money will flow in to bitcoin and out of bitcoin.....rinse repeat....at what rate this happens is anyone's guess.

I still believe the recent ~50% run up in price since 2 months ago is all speculation.

I mean how many more merchants accept bitcoin from then until now? What like 20?

Bitcoin is still in its infancy. More of a steady rise in price over long-term is healthier for the bitcoin economy.

look go to Google
type in "never ending bull run"
click images
the very first image is me cheering

i am not kidding, do it


I'm sorry can't do it mate. I've already done the research on how markets work. There is no "never ending bull" market. That's like saying the price can only go up. Even in hyperinflation the bull run ends. DUhhh

hehe


If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system.
- GA

It is being worked on by smart people.  -DamienBlack
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July 22, 2012, 06:13:16 AM
 #40

Have'n a beer watching the game  Smiley

10$ will either appear next week, or in 4 months

I think its very likely we will be seeing a short term down trend from here. much like 7.20 to 5, this time the 9.50 high will stabilize at 7$ 8$

but in the long term and mid term  bitcoin is defiantly going for a never ending bull run.

Its not unreasonable to think an EXTREME price correction on the up side will happen in the next few years, it really wouldn't take much to set off the bomb that is bitcoin

That is something someone who doesn't understand how markets work would say.

Bitcoin long-term is bullish, but to say it will be "never ending" is just silly.

Money will flow in to bitcoin and out of bitcoin.....rinse repeat....at what rate this happens is anyone's guess.

I still believe the recent ~50% run up in price since 2 months ago is all speculation.

I mean how many more merchants accept bitcoin from then until now? What like 20?

Bitcoin is still in its infancy. More of a steady rise in price over long-term is healthier for the bitcoin economy.

look go to Google
type in "never ending bull run"
click images
the very first image is me cheering

i am not kidding, do it


I'm sorry can't do it mate. I've already done the research on how markets work. There is no "never ending bull" market. That's like saying the price can only go up. Even in hyperinflation the bull run ends. DUhhh
Never ending bull run

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