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Author Topic: Washington’s $210 Trillion Deficit  (Read 2415 times)
Bit_Happy (OP)
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March 13, 2015, 06:29:46 PM
 #1

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.

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March 13, 2015, 08:31:03 PM
 #2

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.

IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.
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March 13, 2015, 09:24:22 PM
 #3

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.

IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.

Financing wars, as well as conducting them, allows the US to maintain the US dollar universal hegemony and its status as a global reserve currency, which is the US primary weapon of mass destruction in financial wars that this country is permanently engaged in...

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March 13, 2015, 09:56:04 PM
 #4

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.


IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.

Financing wars, as well as conducting them, allows the US to maintain the US dollar universal hegemony and its status as a global reserve currency, which is the US primary weapon of mass destruction in financial wars that this country is permanently engaged in...

How do wars have anything to do with this, other than the notion that nobody wants to screw over the US dollar because they dont' want the USA coming in with their bombs....

Don't get it.  Wars don't keep everyone on the planet using the almighty dollar as the basis for every trade.

Those who hold and those who are without property have ever formed distinct interests in society
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March 13, 2015, 10:29:56 PM
 #5

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.
Well Greece has an official total debt of about 350 billion, so about 0.15% of the number posted here I would assume it is more than Greece!

Given that the official debt number for the US is 18.7trillion, I don't know exactly where the other 193trillion come from.. I assum it is the total private debt of each person, company etc. it doesn't matter, it's all just numbers, they are still rich and will remain so.
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March 13, 2015, 10:53:16 PM
 #6

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.


IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.

Financing wars, as well as conducting them, allows the US to maintain the US dollar universal hegemony and its status as a global reserve currency, which is the US primary weapon of mass destruction in financial wars that this country is permanently engaged in...

How do wars have anything to do with this, other than the notion that nobody wants to screw over the US dollar because they dont' want the USA coming in with their bombs....

Don't get it.  Wars don't keep everyone on the planet using the almighty dollar as the basis for every trade.

The US rose to world power only thanks to the two world wars. At the end of WWII the United States controlled two thirds of the world's gold (they were custodians of the European gold), and in Bretton Woods they insisted that the world financial system should be based on the US dollar (allegedly backed up by their gold). Just what you wanted to know...

By the way, Great Britain only recently paid out their WWII debt to the United States

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March 13, 2015, 11:24:37 PM
 #7

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_and_state-sponsored_terrorism


and yeah, this is only the tip of the iceberg

all power to the $$

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March 13, 2015, 11:26:29 PM
 #8


petrodollar?

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March 13, 2015, 11:28:55 PM
 #9

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.
Well Greece has an official total debt of about 350 billion, so about 0.15% of the number posted here I would assume it is more than Greece!

Given that the official debt number for the US is 18.7trillion, I don't know exactly where the other 193trillion come from.. I assum it is the total private debt of each person, company etc. it doesn't matter, it's all just numbers, they are still rich and will remain so.

Good question:
It does specify "Washington" (Federal debt), so they are probably estimating all unfunded commitments (i.e. Medicare, Social Insecurity, etc)
The numbers do seem awful high.

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March 14, 2015, 02:31:57 AM
 #10

...

The numbers for the "US Debt" are all over the map, yet very high no matter where you look.  I do not really know whose figures to believe, but the debts and deficits are unsustainable.

Just the $18 tn works out to some $54,000 per man, woman and child in the USA.  

How does that get paid back?  It won't get paid back.

I have seen figures that include unfunded Social Security and MediCare liabilities (probably other liabilities included as well) that make the .gov debts run to $70 tn or more.

*   *   *

I do not have the figures at hand, but including corporate and household debts, we would be very, very high, probably over $200 tn.

*   *   *

There was an interesting article at Zero Hedge today about how the USA is probably "the cleanest dirty shirt in the closet."  Usually ZH is pretty down on the USA (probably a "Guest Post", LOL), but it is known that Japan is at some 400% of debt / GDP, the highest in the world (IIRC the US is around 240%).  The ZH article went on to show that China and Europe are even more screwed than we are...

I am not in a position to judge, but my opinion would be that we are better off financially than Europe, China and Japan.  FW my opinion IW.
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March 14, 2015, 07:12:34 AM
 #11

That is a lot of dollar bills. Then theres Australia who is 40b deficit lol.

Obama doing a great job.

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March 14, 2015, 07:24:50 AM
Last edit: March 14, 2015, 08:23:51 AM by deisik
 #12

...

The numbers for the "US Debt" are all over the map, yet very high no matter where you look.  I do not really know whose figures to believe, but the debts and deficits are unsustainable.

Just the $18 tn works out to some $54,000 per man, woman and child in the USA. 

How does that get paid back?  It won't get paid back.

Since the debt is denominated in the same dollars, the Fed could just print them and repay all the debts with the newly printed money. As an option (if it goes to that), they could also refuse to pay out debt to its foreign holders, or repay it and then ban the dollars which were issued for this purpose. Piece o'cake...

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March 14, 2015, 08:23:16 AM
 #13



Quote
At the end of WWII the United States controlled two thirds of the world's gold (they were custodians of the European gold), and in Bretton Woods they insisted that the world financial system should be based on the US dollar (allegedly backed up by their gold). Just what you wanted to know...

I always like to mention this when war and gold are brought up....the post war supply of gold was much more more than previously thought.

Additionally to the statement above, the US "inherited" (stole) the large majority of the gold that Japan plundered from Asia preceding and during the war. Late in the war, the Japanese had their supply lines back to the Home Islands cut by the Allies. Knowing they would lose the war from relatively early in the piece, the royal family had been transferring the combined plundered wealth of China and SE Asia back to the Emperor in order for them to be financially on their feet post war - they assumed they would be allowed to 'keep' many places in Asia (ie Phllipines), so when the supply routes were blocked they buried thousands and thousands of tonnes of gold underground (Yamashita's Treasure). Multiple complexes were built (Golden Lily sites), designed with booby traps and with the POW's who built the bunkers entombed within. To avoid destruction, these bunkers were built under churches, hospitals and places the Allies would not bomb. Most of the loot was in the Philippines and it was the source of Marcos's wealth. The US OSS took most of it though and used it to finance political parties around the world. (Notice how the Nazi's were hung but the Hirohito family & most Japanese military leaders were not; in fact most stayed in power for many years despite being war criminals - to 'fight' terrorism. Japan was never broke as stated.) The rightful owners in many cases tried to get it back (Rogerio Roxas won the worlds biggest civil case against Marcos Estate) while descendants of shady Filipino ("Santy") tried to sue Citibank for continually denying them access to their wealth and moving it offshore. Dirty, dirty world.
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March 14, 2015, 08:49:30 AM
 #14

Ah. Good news.  Smiley

According to Kotlikoff (the economist interviewed here), the fiscal gap was $222 trillion in 2012.  It follows that the US is $12 trillion (42 billion bitcoins) better off than it was just a couple of years ago.  Nice job guys!

By the by: the term is "fiscal gap", not "deficit".  The fiscal gap is a measure of how broke the government is whereas the deficit is simply how much it's pissing away each year.  "Washington's $210 trillion deficit" is just plain wrong.
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March 14, 2015, 07:32:09 PM
 #15

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.

IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.

The question is, how much can they keep running the show? Because as long as people accept dollars, the dollar will keep going and going even tho if the fundamentals of the system are a total scam.
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March 14, 2015, 07:59:24 PM
 #16

You read that right: $210 trillion.

A trillion here, a trillion there: pretty soon, we’re talking big money.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of Boston University testified before the Senate Budget Committee. As usual, his testimony is shocking

    The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25.

    “The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.
http://teapartyeconomist.com/2015/03/12/washingtons-210-trillion-deficit


I remember the official USA Federal Deficit being in the range of $14 Billion, $15 B, $18,000,000,000, but the numbers above are hard to comprehend. I hope the collapse can somehow be avoided for a long time.

IMO, it's just numbers on page somewhere. The US was broke and in deficit 20 years after it started thanks to Hamilton. The US should really stop financing wars. It's what made this mess anyway. Since we all know that won't happen, the best it can hope for is to continue control of the petrodollar dominating a large chunk of the World's commerce through their currency.

The question is, how much can they keep running the show? Because as long as people accept dollars, the dollar will keep going and going even tho if the fundamentals of the system are a total scam.

They will be running the show as long as there are states and nations which can be economically devastated by them. The US is a vulture that preys on wounded and weak animals. Recently, they tried to prey on Russia but got fought back strongly, and now they are trashing Europe for being the weakest link...

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March 14, 2015, 08:19:39 PM
 #17

Financing wars, as well as conducting them, allows the US to maintain the US dollar universal hegemony and its status as a global reserve currency, which is the US primary weapon of mass destruction in financial wars that this country is permanently engaged in...

Which means two things since the US government is not only not attacking Bitcoin, but endorsing it in many instances.  Either Satoshi = NSA, or they see collapse as imminent so there would be no point in attacking it and are letting people use it as a eugenics or wealth transfer mechanism to avoid a new dark ages.

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March 14, 2015, 08:33:22 PM
 #18

Financing wars, as well as conducting them, allows the US to maintain the US dollar universal hegemony and its status as a global reserve currency, which is the US primary weapon of mass destruction in financial wars that this country is permanently engaged in...

Which means two things since the US government is not only not attacking Bitcoin, but endorsing it in many instances.  Either Satoshi = NSA, or they see collapse as imminent so there would be no point in attacking it and are letting people use it as a eugenics or wealth transfer mechanism to avoid a new dark ages.

I think you are overvaluing bitcoin and its significance as well as its danger to the powers that be. They are not attacking bitcoin since they don't see hazard to their position and influence from cryptocurrencies. Why crush a fly with a steam-roller?

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March 15, 2015, 12:23:28 AM
 #19

Rather than looking at absolute numbers, it might be better to look at the ratio of debt/GDP. The worrying thing is, this has been going up as well over the years.



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March 15, 2015, 01:02:04 AM
 #20

Rather than looking at absolute numbers, it might be better to look at the ratio of debt/GDP. The worrying thing is, this has been going up as well over the years.

image

Quote
The fiscal gap is a comprehensive measure of a government's total indebtedness. Proposed by economists Laurence Kotlikoff and Alan Auerbach, it is defined as the difference between the present value of all of government's projected financial obligations, including future expenditures, including servicing outstanding official federal debt, and the present value of all projected future tax and other receipts, including income accruing from the government's current ownership of financial assets.[1] This method can be used to calculate the percentage of necessary tax increases or spending reductions needed to close the fiscal gap in the long-run.

i found an article from Laurence Kotlikoff

Quote
For the EU as a whole, the fiscal gap is 2.4 percent.
That’s sizeable, but it pales in comparison to the current U.S. fiscal gap of 10.5 percent.
It’s a strange world in which a totally bankrupt country — the U.S. — can borrow at extremely low cost while printing money at astronomical rates.
It’s a strange world in which policymakers can’t distinguish economic from linguistic measures of fiscal sustainability.
And it’s a strange world in which Italy, the developed world’s most fiscally responsible country, has to be lectured on fiscal prudence by countries in far worse fiscal shape.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/making-sense/whats-the-most-fiscally-responsible-country-in-the-developed-world/

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