Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Mining speculation => Topic started by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 07:31:40 AM



Title: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 07:31:40 AM
This is a quote from a thread titled:  "GekkoScience BM1384 Project Development Discussion"

The following statement was edited by the original author but quoted by another member before it was edited.

No they haven't. All I've been told is S7 would be announced around July with the new "innovative and competetive chip" and that "right now we have no more info to the public". I would bet the comms are pretty similar to the BM1384, which was identical to the BM1382 as far as I can tell, but the pinouts and packages haven't yet been the same from one chip to the next so I don't expect them to do it again. Hopefully it wouldn't take long to adapt a functional BM1384 board to a BM1386 (or whatever) board if they don't change their IO protocols and voltages,  basically just redrawing footprints and rerouting some lines.

Then you can make some USB sticks, and make some return for the near future, I'm interested in the miners, but the questios is the cost of the unit.

If the numbering of rigs is consistent with past numbers of rigs by Bitmaintech, the S6 (even number) will be a large form factor with built-in PSU like the S2 and S4 models.  The S7 (odd number) will be a similar form factor to the S3 and S5 without PSU.

I would expect the S7 to be approximately 2 TH/s @ .37 watts per GH for a total of 740 watts to make it available for power from a 750 watt [preferably 850 watt] PSU. 

I would expect the S6 to be approximately 4 TH/s @ .35 watts per GH for a total of 1,400 watts from a built in PSU that is able to provide 1,600 to 1,800 watts for potential over clocking.

As for the pricing of each rig; only time will tell.  The price seems to fluctuate with the price of Bitcoin as of late.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on March 26, 2015, 07:58:26 AM
i would expect at least 22nm for one of the two, or you think it's still to early for that?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 08:03:11 AM
i would expect at least 22nm for one of the two, or you think it's still to early for that?

Hard to say, Amph.  Most expect ASIC manufacturers to skip the 22nm.  However, they just might go with it at the right price.  Only time will tell.  I'm kind of leaning towards the 22nm.  Hence the .37 watts per GH for the S7 and .35 watts per GH for the S6.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 08:12:12 AM
A part of me also has me believing manufacturers will not go with the 16nm until the price comes down.  Availability of the 14nm doesn't look too good either.

Also, the 14nm would be quite a big jump in power efficiency and would make the selling of such rigs skyrocket.  As such a rig would last a long time concerning its race with difficulty.  That's my opinion anyway.  I don't know that a rig with efficiency as low as .17 watts per GH is good for bitcoin mining right now or not.  If it was made available, only the big boys could afford it.  As it would be quite expensive due to the present costs of the 14nm chips.

I do know this will be a very interesting year in bitcoin mining rigs.  That's for sure.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alani123 on March 26, 2015, 08:45:03 AM
BITMAIN Earth S1, the beginning.

https://i.imgur.com/vxJsHbe.png
First of all, s6 will not operate on SHA-256 ASICS.

S6 will operate on 10mm supercomputers made from mutated, hyperintelligent human brain cells. Bitmain estimates that those miners are going to be so efficient and effective that about 1/5 of the world's population will in some way invest in bitcoin. The demand is going to be so high that the bubble that's going to be created will make Bitmain the largest company in terms of revenue and reserves on earth.

Bitmain creates its own state and decentral bank. Shortly after they announce that there's not going to be a s7 miner since s6 turned out to be so efficient that it will remain profitable until the day only transaction fees are mined.

That's when Bitmain decides to invest into spacecrafts. In record time, they successfully launch a manned mission to Europa, the frozen moon. They establish a base there, this way it's easier for them to satisfy demand for miners from outer space. They also cover the planet's surface with self-sufficient S6s and since the planet itself is so cold, they manage to overclock them at a stable +40% hashrate.

https://lightsinthedark.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/europa_tstryk.jpg

Hashnest.com is now the main source of income of every state, human being and company worldwide. The planet is renamed to Bitmain Earth s1.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 08:51:56 AM
 :D

Sounds like they have a plan indeed.  Welcome to planet S1... ;D

Quite the imagination you have there...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 09:07:20 AM
It's actually quite possible the S6 has the same chip as the S5 and comes out in April at .49 watts per GH and powered by a 2,200 watt PSU but running at 1,960 watts at 4,000 GH/s.  This would make it within the wattage available for a 120 volt/20 amp circuit @ 2400 watts.  They may recommend it for a 240 volt circuit and insist the 120 volt circuit have 12 gauge wiring and a 20 amp outlet.  Most outlets wired to a 20 amp circuit in the home are rated at 15 amps (1,800 watts).  One would need to go to the local hardware store to purchase a 20 amp outlet while making sure the wiring for the outlet is in fact 12 AWG and not 14 AWG.

Then we see the new chips in the S7 in July.

I think this will more than likely be the case after further thought.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on March 26, 2015, 04:32:43 PM
It's actually quite possible the S6 has the same chip as the S5 and comes out in April at .49 watts per GH and powered by a 2,200 watt PSU but running at 1,960 watts at 4,000 GH/s.  This would make it within the wattage available for a 120 volt/20 amp circuit @ 2400 watts.  They may recommend it for a 240 volt circuit and insist the 120 volt circuit have 12 gauge wiring and a 20 amp outlet.  Most outlets wired to a 20 amp circuit in the home are rated at 15 amps (1,800 watts).  One would need to go to the local hardware store to purchase a 20 amp outlet while making sure the wiring for the outlet is in fact 12 AWG and not 14 AWG.

Then we see the new chips in the S7 in July.

I think this will more than likely be the case after further thought.

That would be a big jump if they go from 110 to 220.  I think they would stay with 110 since use it so many models.  But who knows.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 05:39:27 PM
It's actually quite possible the S6 has the same chip as the S5 and comes out in April at .49 watts per GH and powered by a 2,200 watt PSU but running at 1,960 watts at 4,000 GH/s.  This would make it within the wattage available for a 120 volt/20 amp circuit @ 2400 watts.  They may recommend it for a 240 volt circuit and insist the 120 volt circuit have 12 gauge wiring and a 20 amp outlet.  Most outlets wired to a 20 amp circuit in the home are rated at 15 amps (1,800 watts).  One would need to go to the local hardware store to purchase a 20 amp outlet while making sure the wiring for the outlet is in fact 12 AWG and not 14 AWG.

Then we see the new chips in the S7 in July.

I think this will more than likely be the case after further thought.

That would be a big jump if they go from 110 to 220.  I think they would stay with 110 since use it so many models.  But who knows.

Yes, it would be a big jump.  I can still see them saying this could be used on 120 volt but with stipulations like I mentioned.  They would probably say if on 120 volt, it needs to be dedicated to this rig; having 12 AWG wiring feeding a 20 AMP outlet; not a 15 AMP outlet.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: desertfox470 on March 26, 2015, 07:53:32 PM
Speculation? Well I have some insider information.

https://i.imgur.com/vxJsHbe.png
First of all, s6 will not operate on SHA-256 ASICS.

S6 will operate on 10mm supercomputers made from mutated, hyperintelligent human brain cells. Bitmain estimates that those miners are going to be so efficient and effective that about 1/5 of the world's population will in some way invest in bitcoin. The demand is going to be so high that the bubble that's going to be created will make Bitmain the largest company in terms of revenue and reserves on earth.

Bitmain creates its own state and decentral bank. Shortly after they announce that there's not going to be a s7 miner since s6 turned out to be so efficient that it will remain profitable until the day only transaction fees are mined.

That's when Bitmain decides to invest into spacecrafts. In record time, they successfully launch a manned mission to Europa, the frozen moon. They establish a base there, this way it's easier for them to satisfy demand for miners from outer space. They also cover the planet's surface with self-sufficient S6s and since the planet itself is so cold, they manage to overclock them at a stable +40% hashrate.

https://lightsinthedark.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/europa_tstryk.jpg

Hashnest.com is now the main source of income of every state, human being and company worldwide. The planet is renamed to Bitmain Earth s1.
Sounds like a plan to me :) It is predicted though there may be planet size computers in the future. It would be truly amazing to see.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Minerjoe on March 26, 2015, 09:30:46 PM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on March 26, 2015, 09:32:08 PM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Minerjoe on March 31, 2015, 07:09:16 PM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on March 31, 2015, 11:13:27 PM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

I think this is part of why it's taking so long.  These big mining outfits did not get big by being stupid.  If they can run this gen gear a while longer and not rush to a new generation it makes sense to a point.

Also at a point when electricity vs hash is to low then there will be more of a incentive to go develop next gen gear.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 01, 2015, 01:47:01 AM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

I think this is part of why it's taking so long.  These big mining outfits did not get big by being stupid.  If they can run this gen gear a while longer and not rush to a new generation it makes sense to a point.

Also at a point when electricity vs hash is to low then there will be more of a incentive to go develop next gen gear.

I would have to agree with you there.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: crazyivan on April 03, 2015, 06:36:26 AM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on April 03, 2015, 10:51:51 AM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

at least those new miner are better than s5

ratio is 2.37 for wattage ( 1400 vs 590) but hash power is 3.46 in ratio ( 4000 vs 1155), they are 1.45 times better if they would have the same wattage


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 03, 2015, 06:15:43 PM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

at least those new miner are better than s5

ratio is 2.37 for wattage ( 1400 vs 590) but hash power is 3.46 in ratio ( 4000 vs 1155), they are 1.45 times better if they would have the same wattage

Agreed.  I plan on buying some.  Not sure how many though.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 03, 2015, 06:24:45 PM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.

I can see your estimate of S6 not coming out till Q3 or Q4 of this year IF NO S7 were to come out.  However, an S7 has to be on the way for THIS year.  Why?  Because the competition will have a 3rd generation rig out by Q3 or Q4 of THIS year.  Do you honestly think Spondooliestech would go an entire year without new equipment on the market and that new equipment being a 3rd generation rig?

Bitmain, would come out with an S7 THIS year as well to compete.  IF my speculation holds out for an S7 in Q3 or Q4, it only makes sense for an S6 to come out this year and soon.  Why soon?  Look at how short lived the S4 was...  Because the S5 came out shortly afterwards.  To make the S6 less short lived like the S4, it would behove Bitmain to come out with it sooner [say... April or May].  Then they would come out with an S7 (3rd Gen.) in Q4 of this year more than likely.

It actually makes more sense for a 3rd generation S7 rig to come out with low prices of BTC.  It would actually get more sells to offset the low price of BTC by paying for less power.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on April 03, 2015, 07:59:10 PM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.

I can see your estimate of S6 not coming out till Q3 or Q4 of this year IF NO S7 were to come out.  However, an S7 has to be on the way for THIS year.  Why?  Because the competition will have a 3rd generation rig out by Q3 or Q4 of THIS year.  Do you honestly think Spondooliestech would go an entire year without new equipment on the market and that new equipment being a 3rd generation rig?

Bitmain, would come out with an S7 THIS year as well to compete.  IF my speculation holds out for an S7 in Q3 or Q4, it only makes sense for an S6 to come out this year and soon.  Why soon?  Look at how short lived the S4 was...  Because the S5 came out shortly afterwards.  To make the S6 less short lived like the S4, it would behove Bitmain to come out with it sooner [say... April or May].  Then they would come out with an S7 (3rd Gen.) in Q4 of this year more than likely.

It actually makes more sense for a 3rd generation S7 rig to come out with low prices of BTC.  It would actually get more sells to offset the low price of BTC by paying for less power.

huge risk to build the s-7 with a tape out of 22 16 or 14 sized chips as a full sized  tape out of 1000's of chips = $$

The s-6 would be the same chips.  I see the s-6 sooner then June 1 .

 I see the s-7 in Sept or Oct

All of the above is based on coins running 200 to 300 usd each.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 03, 2015, 10:29:35 PM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.

I can see your estimate of S6 not coming out till Q3 or Q4 of this year IF NO S7 were to come out.  However, an S7 has to be on the way for THIS year.  Why?  Because the competition will have a 3rd generation rig out by Q3 or Q4 of THIS year.  Do you honestly think Spondooliestech would go an entire year without new equipment on the market and that new equipment being a 3rd generation rig?

Bitmain, would come out with an S7 THIS year as well to compete.  IF my speculation holds out for an S7 in Q3 or Q4, it only makes sense for an S6 to come out this year and soon.  Why soon?  Look at how short lived the S4 was...  Because the S5 came out shortly afterwards.  To make the S6 less short lived like the S4, it would behove Bitmain to come out with it sooner [say... April or May].  Then they would come out with an S7 (3rd Gen.) in Q4 of this year more than likely.

It actually makes more sense for a 3rd generation S7 rig to come out with low prices of BTC.  It would actually get more sells to offset the low price of BTC by paying for less power.

huge risk to build the s-7 with a tape out of 22 16 or 14 sized chips as a full sized  tape out of 1000's of chips = $$

The s-6 would be the same chips.  I see the s-6 sooner then June 1 .

 I see the s-7 in Sept or Oct

All of the above is based on coins running 200 to 300 usd each.

I don't think the price matters.  Competition will put out new rigs regardless.  I would think so anyway...  That's what has me believing the S7 will come out in Q3 or Q4 regardless.  It's a sure money maker if the S7 is more power efficient to offset the lower price of BTC [IF the price of BTC is lower at that time].

I honestly believe the S7 would be the same form factor as an S3 and S5 [Requiring a PSU].  This would reduce costs of the rig.  I think Bitmain knows they can still charge the same costs per GH as what they are now if the price of BTC remains the same or is lower.  

It will be interesting to see what the difficulty does in the next 6 months if the price of BTC remains the same.  If the difficulty shoots up, this will also justify making and selling a more power efficient rig.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on April 03, 2015, 10:39:15 PM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.

I can see your estimate of S6 not coming out till Q3 or Q4 of this year IF NO S7 were to come out.  However, an S7 has to be on the way for THIS year.  Why?  Because the competition will have a 3rd generation rig out by Q3 or Q4 of THIS year.  Do you honestly think Spondooliestech would go an entire year without new equipment on the market and that new equipment being a 3rd generation rig?

Bitmain, would come out with an S7 THIS year as well to compete.  IF my speculation holds out for an S7 in Q3 or Q4, it only makes sense for an S6 to come out this year and soon.  Why soon?  Look at how short lived the S4 was...  Because the S5 came out shortly afterwards.  To make the S6 less short lived like the S4, it would behove Bitmain to come out with it sooner [say... April or May].  Then they would come out with an S7 (3rd Gen.) in Q4 of this year more than likely.

It actually makes more sense for a 3rd generation S7 rig to come out with low prices of BTC.  It would actually get more sells to offset the low price of BTC by paying for less power.

huge risk to build the s-7 with a tape out of 22 16 or 14 sized chips as a full sized  tape out of 1000's of chips = $$

The s-6 would be the same chips.  I see the s-6 sooner then June 1 .

 I see the s-7 in Sept or Oct

All of the above is based on coins running 200 to 300 usd each.

I don't think the price matters.  Competition will put out new rigs regardless.  I would think so anyway...  That's what has me believing the S7 will come out in Q3 or Q4 regardless.  It's a sure money maker if the S7 is more power efficient to offset the lower price of BTC [IF the price of BTC is lower at that time].

I honestly believe the S7 would be the same form factor as an S3 and S5 [Requiring a PSU].  This would reduce costs of the rig.  I think Bitmain knows they can still charge the same costs per GH as what they are now if the price of BTC remains the same or is lower.  It will be interesting to see what the difficulty does in the next 6 months if the price of BTC remains the same.

I think price is a huge factor.  If it was 1k per BTC again they would throw a ton of cash quickly to get a new generation.   

But with price so low it does not make a company want to throw away money.  It means tighter margins, and being better with their cash.    I don't think we will get the 6 months but I also don't think we will have a quick arms race to next nm chips super quick.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 03, 2015, 10:48:12 PM
We might see S6 somewhere in the second part of this year. S7, I highly doubt, not with these BTC prices.

I can see your estimate of S6 not coming out till Q3 or Q4 of this year IF NO S7 were to come out.  However, an S7 has to be on the way for THIS year.  Why?  Because the competition will have a 3rd generation rig out by Q3 or Q4 of THIS year.  Do you honestly think Spondooliestech would go an entire year without new equipment on the market and that new equipment being a 3rd generation rig?

Bitmain, would come out with an S7 THIS year as well to compete.  IF my speculation holds out for an S7 in Q3 or Q4, it only makes sense for an S6 to come out this year and soon.  Why soon?  Look at how short lived the S4 was...  Because the S5 came out shortly afterwards.  To make the S6 less short lived like the S4, it would behove Bitmain to come out with it sooner [say... April or May].  Then they would come out with an S7 (3rd Gen.) in Q4 of this year more than likely.

It actually makes more sense for a 3rd generation S7 rig to come out with low prices of BTC.  It would actually get more sells to offset the low price of BTC by paying for less power.

huge risk to build the s-7 with a tape out of 22 16 or 14 sized chips as a full sized  tape out of 1000's of chips = $$

The s-6 would be the same chips.  I see the s-6 sooner then June 1 .

 I see the s-7 in Sept or Oct

All of the above is based on coins running 200 to 300 usd each.

I don't think the price matters.  Competition will put out new rigs regardless.  I would think so anyway...  That's what has me believing the S7 will come out in Q3 or Q4 regardless.  It's a sure money maker if the S7 is more power efficient to offset the lower price of BTC [IF the price of BTC is lower at that time].

I honestly believe the S7 would be the same form factor as an S3 and S5 [Requiring a PSU].  This would reduce costs of the rig.  I think Bitmain knows they can still charge the same costs per GH as what they are now if the price of BTC remains the same or is lower.  It will be interesting to see what the difficulty does in the next 6 months if the price of BTC remains the same.

I think price is a huge factor.  If it was 1k per BTC again they would throw a ton of cash quickly to get a new generation.   

But with price so low it does not make a company want to throw away money.  It means tighter margins, and being better with their cash.    I don't think we will get the 6 months but I also don't think we will have a quick arms race to next nm chips super quick.

I hope you're right.  I don't care to have an arms race until I'm relocated from Alabama to Washington State.  The price can go up or down as much as it wants to then.  As long as it does not go below $60.00, I'll be fine until the blocks halve.  Then [When the blocks halve] the price needs to be at least $120.00 for me to do a little better than break even.  And that's with present efficiency of the S5 or under clocked SP20.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on April 03, 2015, 11:40:31 PM
I buy into the maxim:

Mining follows price. It's a slow response, but when price goes up, mining WILL follow eventually, and vice-versa.

I am 99% sure that Price does NOT follow mining. If it was I'd be way better off than when I started in July of 2013. As I recall BTC was about $100, and difficulty was about 26 million. I paid way too much for my 333Mhz Block Erupter stick miner.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on April 03, 2015, 11:50:12 PM
I buy into the maxim:

Mining follows price. It's a slow response, but when price goes up, mining WILL follow eventually, and vice-versa.

I am 99% sure that Price does NOT follow mining. If it was I'd be way better off than when I started in July of 2013. As I recall BTC was about $100, and difficulty was about 26 million. I paid way too much for my 333Mhz Block Erupter stick miner.

Price is not jumping to much it's been pretty steady at a low price.   That is part of why I don't see this being a fast race.

Also we all overpaid on the block erupter if I remember right there was a deal to get so many cheaper depending on how many you bought.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 03:41:47 AM
I buy into the maxim:

Mining follows price. It's a slow response, but when price goes up, mining WILL follow eventually, and vice-versa.

I am 99% sure that Price does NOT follow mining. If it was I'd be way better off than when I started in July of 2013. As I recall BTC was about $100, and difficulty was about 26 million. I paid way too much for my 333Mhz Block Erupter stick miner.

Yes, mining follows price.  Not the other way around as some on bitcointalk.org have argued.  I'm actually kind of glad I did not start mining until September 22, 2014.  I started out with 10 S3's; then bought 6 more two weeks later; then bought 5 S4's and two more S3's about 3 weeks after that.  That put me at 18 S3's and 5 S5's for about 3 months before I bought 15 SP20's from Spondooliestech.com.  I just recently added six S5's.  I've also gone to server grade PSU's instead of the Corsair AX860's.  I'm still using the Corsair's on S3's but I'm not buying any more of them.

The following is my update on "Difficulty"

I thought miners would like to see the following good news developing every difficulty change:


Bitcoin difficulty on Mar 24 2014 was 5,006,860,589 [BTC-e $588.71].  On Mar 22 2015 it was 46,717,549,645 [BTC-e $266.36].  That means the difficulty rose 9.3 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Feb 17 2014 was 3,129,573,175 [BTC-e $612.00].  On Feb 22 2015 it was 46,684,376,317 [BTC-e $230.23].  That means the difficulty rose 14.9 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Jan 24 2014 was 2,193,847,870 [BTC-e $774.98].  On Jan 27 2015 it was 41,272,873,895 [BTC-e $252.58].  That means the difficulty rose 18 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Jan 02 2014 was 1,418,481,395 [BTC-e $782.00].  On Dec 30 2014 it was 40,640,955,017 [BTC-e $308.86].  That means the difficulty rose 29 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Nov 29 2013   was 707,408,283 [BTC-e $1,019.60].  On Dec 02 2014 it was 40,007,470,271 [BTC-e $377.50].  That means the difficulty rose 56.5 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Oct 26 2013 was 390,928,788 [BTC-e $171.37].  On Oct 23 2014 it was 35,985,640,265 [BTC-e $354.17].  That means the difficulty rose 92 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Sep 25 2013 was 148,819,200 [BTC-e $122.55].  On Sep 25 2014 it was 34,661,425,924 [BTC-e $401.91].  That means the difficulty rose 232.9 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Aug 24 2013 was 65,750,060 [BTC-e $106.34].  On Aug 31 2014 it was 27,428,630,902 [BTC-e $475.90].  That means the difficulty rose 417.1 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Jul 22 2013 was 31,256,961 [BTC-e $84.50].  On Jul 25 2014 it was 18,736,441,558 [BTC-e $594.47].  That means the difficulty rose 599.4 times more than what it was a year prior.

Bitcoin difficulty on Jun 29 2013 was 21,335,329 [BitStamp $88.83].  On Jun 29 2014 it was 16,818,461,371 [BitStamp $599.86].  That means the difficulty rose 788.3 times more than what it was a year prior.

The numbers above reveal at one time we had as much as a 788.3 times increase in difficulty over a year's time.  That number has reduced to 9.3 times more than what we had the year prior.

If you look at the numbers below [curtesy of https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty)] you can see what I see.  For example:  On Apr 29, 2014 the difficulty was 8,000,872,136.  Do you honestly think it will be close to 10 times that at 80 Billion a month from now on April 29, 2015?  
On May 24, 2014 the difficulty was 10,455,720,138.  Do you honestly think it will be close to 10 times that at 100.4 Billion this coming May 24th of 2015?
On Jun 29, 2014 the difficulty was 16,818,461,371.  Do you honestly think it will be close to 10 times that at 160.8 Billion on June 29, 2015?
On Aug 31, 2014 the difficulty was 27,428,630,902.  Does one really believe it will be close to 10 times this at 270.4 Billion on August 31, 2015?

The difficulty is 46.7 Billion at present.  I expect a network difficulty no higher than 55 Billion by May 24th of 2015  May 24, 2014 the difficulty was 10,455,720,138.  That would be an increase of 4.45 times what we had a year prior.  I can see only a 1.5 times more than what we had a year prior by November of 2015 IF the price of bitcoin continues at price levels between $235.00 and $335.00.

Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s

Yes, there is plenty of talk of the 3rd generation chips (rigs) coming out by the Summer of this year (2015).  The power efficiency and hash rate of these 3rd generation rigs remains to be seen.  Will 3rd generation rigs encourage miners who stopped mining to start back up again because of their power costs being above 15 cents per kWH?  I would say it's quite possible.  Especially, if the price of bitcoin remains at the $235.00 to $335.00 level.  

If bitcoin price is higher than $335.00 by the end of November, 2015, we could definitely see more miners wanting to come back into the fray.  The only issue is will they be able to buy these 3rd generation rigs from those who will manufacture them?  The demand for power efficient 3rd generation rigs could be quite high.  The 3rd and 4th quarter of 2015 will be a very interesting year indeed for the miners.

Cheers miners!



If Difficulty were to change right now, it would be 49,302,662,464.  This time a year ago it was 6,119,726,089.  That would be 8.05 times more than what it was a year ago.  The previous difficulty change was 9.3 times more than what it was a year ago.  Back the change year over year back in June of this year was 788.3 times.  I would have hated to increase my hash rate 788.3 times what I had started with a year prior to mine the same amount of bitcoin that I did a year prior.  Meaning, if I had 1,000 GH/s in June of 2013, I would have to have 788,300 GH/s a year later in June 2014 to mine the same amount of bitcoin.

I say this is a good thing for miners at the moment.  Difficulty rose exponentially for a while when we jumped from CPU mining to GPU mining.  The increase was more than 1,000 year over year shortly after the change from CPU to GPU mining.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Bananana on April 04, 2015, 03:58:57 AM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 04:00:49 AM
I buy into the maxim:

Mining follows price. It's a slow response, but when price goes up, mining WILL follow eventually, and vice-versa.

I am 99% sure that Price does NOT follow mining. If it was I'd be way better off than when I started in July of 2013. As I recall BTC was about $100, and difficulty was about 26 million. I paid way too much for my 333Mhz Block Erupter stick miner.

Price is not jumping to much it's been pretty steady at a low price.   That is part of why I don't see this being a fast race.

Also we all overpaid on the block erupter if I remember right there was a deal to get so many cheaper depending on how many you bought.

I don't see it becoming much of a race either at the moment.  Yes, block erupters did not last very long.  The S1 really didn't last very long either.  When did the S3 first come out?  The S3 has actually lasted the longest thus far among ASIC's because the difficulty has not increased as much year over year as each difficulty change passes by.  I can see the S5 lasting even longer because of the decrease in difficulty year over year compared to months prior.  The 3rd generation rigs will last even longer before they are no longer profitable if the price of BTC remains the same.

The good thing is this:  I can see the difficulty the end of August sitting at approximately 67,000,000,000.  At the end of August last year the difficulty was 27,428,630,902.  This means we will have had an increase of 2.44 times more than what it was a year prior.  This also means one would need to little more than double their hashing power from what they had a year prior.  It used to be as much as 700 times what it was a year prior.  Can you imagine having to increase your hash rate 700 times what it was a year prior to make the same thing as what you did then?  I'm very happy I'm not having to try to do that anymore.  I hope to see it get down as low as 1.5 times more than what it was a year prior.  Will we ever see that kind of increase year over year?  I'm sure we will some day.  However, I don't see it anytime soon.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 04:03:06 AM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

If Bitmain comes out with another compact unit, it would more than likely begin with the letter "U" like the U3 is presently.  The U3 is at 63 GH/s.  I could see a U4 at 100 GH/s with approximately 1/2 the power of the U3.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 04:13:30 AM
The more I think about it.  Now is a better time to get into bitcoin mining than it was a year ago.  One does not have to be concerned with as large of an increase in difficulty now as they did a year ago.  I can't imagine having to increase my hash rate more than 700 times what it was a year prior to mine the same amount of bitcoin that I mined a year prior.  The main thing holding most back at the moment is the price of bitcoin in relation to their power costs.  Those who move to an area with extremely low power costs stand a better chance of surviving.  Especially, when the blocks halve.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: crazyivan on April 04, 2015, 05:49:32 AM
The more I think about it.  Now is a better time to get into bitcoin mining than it was a year ago.  One does not have to be concerned with as large of an increase in difficulty now as they did a year ago.  I can't imagine having to increase my hash rate more than 700 times what it was a year prior to mine the same amount of bitcoin that I mined a year prior.  The main thing holding most back at the moment is the price of bitcoin in relation to their power costs.  Those who move to an area with extremely low power costs stand a better chance of surviving.  Especially, when the blocks halve.

This may and may not be true. Yes, it s correct, we do not see those 40% monthly diff jumps anymore and I hope we ll not see this with current available hardware. However, I m sure companies are working on next gen and next next gen which might increase their efficiency big time. Probably the only limiting factor is this limping BTC price. If it starts picking up, more money will be available for development as well.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on April 04, 2015, 06:05:44 AM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

they should instead try to use better fan to reduce the noise, it should be about time already, or at least make it regulable with 4 pin on the circuit board


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Bitcoin Buyer Reload on April 04, 2015, 06:08:00 AM
lets wait to june and see how the s6 will perform. since the difficulty level has taken a big rise because miners did not enjoy getting little. difficulty has rise. satoshi predicted that


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Bananana on April 04, 2015, 02:27:28 PM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

If Bitmain comes out with another compact unit, it would more than likely begin with the letter "U" like the U3 is presently.  The U3 is at 63 GH/s.  I could see a U4 at 100 GH/s with approximately 1/2 the power of the U3.

I actually have a typo in my previous post as I actually wanted to say 10 Th/s. U3 is good but only if it can deliver higher hash so the total hash per space is small.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 06:41:20 PM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

Compact, I would think, is still quite a ways off.  Even 3rd generation will generate a lot of heat if they have a high hash rate.  It seems like to me if we are using less voltage [less amperage (meaning less wattage)], I would think the rigs would generate less heat.  I imagine it depends on the size of the rig in relation to its hash rate (number of chips).  I'm sure others on here are much more knowledgeable in this area of engineering and design than I am regarding the subject of heat generation with mining rigs.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on April 04, 2015, 06:59:44 PM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

If Bitmain comes out with another compact unit, it would more than likely begin with the letter "U" like the U3 is presently.  The U3 is at 63 GH/s.  I could see a U4 at 100 GH/s with approximately 1/2 the power of the U3.

I actually have a typo in my previous post as I actually wanted to say 10 Th/s. U3 is good but only if it can deliver higher hash so the total hash per space is small.

I don't think we will get 10 TH from S6.  I'm guessing it has the S5 chips with more efficient design.  I would guess 4-5 TH.

10TH I think will be have to be a big thing such as next gen chips.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 08:08:03 PM
The more I think about it.  Now is a better time to get into bitcoin mining than it was a year ago.  One does not have to be concerned with as large of an increase in difficulty now as they did a year ago.  I can't imagine having to increase my hash rate more than 700 times what it was a year prior to mine the same amount of bitcoin that I mined a year prior.  The main thing holding most back at the moment is the price of bitcoin in relation to their power costs.  Those who move to an area with extremely low power costs stand a better chance of surviving.  Especially, when the blocks halve.

This may and may not be true. Yes, it s correct, we do not see those 40% monthly diff jumps anymore and I hope we ll not see this with current available hardware. However, I m sure companies are working on next gen and next next gen which might increase their efficiency big time. Probably the only limiting factor is this limping BTC price. If it starts picking up, more money will be available for development as well.


I have to agree with you.

I see the S6 keeping the existing 28nm chip and architecture as the S5 but in an S4 size form factor with built-in PSU.  It would be on the market no more than 6 months [Just before 3rd generation comes out in September/October].

.51 watts per GH/s for 4,000 GH/s = 2,040 watts total.  Remember, the efficiency rating for the S5 @ .51 watts per GH/s included the one fan it has.  If this rig has four fans with built-in PSU, it may be close in wattage to what I just speculated (2,040 watts).  The PSU may go up to 2,200 watts to allow some room for over-clocking.

The present cost of the S5 [Without shipping] is .29565217 cents per GH/s.  With built-in PSU, the price per GH/s is definitely higher.  I'm going with the same price for the S5 at the moment.

If the S6 was 4000 GH/s x .29565217 cents per GH/s = $1,182.61 for the rig without including costs for built-in PSU.  I can see this rig easily going for $1,450.00 if we also factor in the built-in PSU.  Now we would have to add in shipping costs.  For one single unit the shipping could be $150.00 if it's the same form factor as the S4.  Now we are looking at $1,600.00 after shipping for a 4,000 GH/s rig.

Here is what the "speculated" S6 could mine with 4,000 GH/s at an estimated difficulty of 50,000,000,000:

https://i.imgur.com/kW2sIP7.png (http://imgur.com/kW2sIP7)

Here is the electricity costs [At 10.5 cents per kWH] for this rig if it were 4,000 GH/s @ .51 watts per GH/s = 2,040 watts [With 4 fans]:

https://i.imgur.com/I5MPwTi.png (http://imgur.com/I5MPwTi)

If your power costs were lower, it would certainly be better regarding ROI.  I only provided these as an example.  I still have fourteen (14) IBM 2880W server grade PSU's with breakout boards waiting to be used.  I'm more likely to buy rigs without PSU's at the moment because of this.  Others may not be in my situation.  I don't know.  If you do not have the PSU's sitting around, like myself, and you are looking for more hash rate in a form factor designed for server racks, this may be the rig for you.  I will more than likely continue buying more S5's while I wait on the 3rd generation because of these PSU's I have sitting on racks taking up space.  



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 08:14:59 PM
Was hopping S6 to be really compact and have really high hash like 10Gh/s for each. Compact is awesome!!

they should instead try to use better fan to reduce the noise, it should be about time already, or at least make it regulable with 4 pin on the circuit board

I really don't see a "chance" for lower fan noise until 3rd generation that will require less watts per chip; meaning less power, meaning less heat; meaning less necessity for high RPM fans to get the heat out.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 04, 2015, 08:28:56 PM
The more I think about it.  Now is a better time to get into bitcoin mining than it was a year ago.  One does not have to be concerned with as large of an increase in difficulty now as they did a year ago.  I can't imagine having to increase my hash rate more than 700 times what it was a year prior to mine the same amount of bitcoin that I mined a year prior.  The main thing holding most back at the moment is the price of bitcoin in relation to their power costs.  Those who move to an area with extremely low power costs stand a better chance of surviving.  Especially, when the blocks halve.

This may and may not be true. Yes, it s correct, we do not see those 40% monthly diff jumps anymore and I hope we ll not see this with current available hardware. However, I m sure companies are working on next gen and next next gen which might increase their efficiency big time. Probably the only limiting factor is this limping BTC price. If it starts picking up, more money will be available for development as well.


If the S7 includes .22nm chips, we could see .35 watts per GH.  If the S7 includes next generation 16nm or 14nm chips, we could see efficiency in the .21 to .14 watts per GH/s range.  It's really hard to say what chips Bitmain will use in the S7 to possibly be released in July.  This has me wondering why an S6 would be made with present chips used in the S5?  Are they going to do the same thing again like they did with the S4?  Meaning, come out with a rig like the S4 that's only on the market for 3 or 4 months then it's gone again because of new technology.  The S4 came out in October and only went through 2 batches.  We may see the same thing with the S6 if Bitmain comes out with an S6.

If we have .35 watts per GH/s in the S7, lets see if it is enough to create a "Farm War" which can affect difficulty:

.35 watts per GH/s

A 1,655 GH/s rig @ .35 watts per GH/s would total 579.25 watts.  I chose to keep the S7 at a similar total wattage as the S5.  It only makes sense to keep it there to avoid making consumers purchase new PSU's to power the new rig.  I've put the difficulty at 55,000,000,000 because that is where I believe it will be by the time July arrives.  

https://i.imgur.com/l00a344.png (http://imgur.com/l00a344)

https://i.imgur.com/Ne0obNZ.png (http://imgur.com/Ne0obNZ)


$112.80 in one month with difficulty at 55 Billion and BTC price @ $248.401 (BTC-e Exchange)
$  40.92 in one month with 10.5 cents per kWH for power costs.
$  71.88 in one month after power costs.

Present cost per GH/s without shipping for the S5 is $0.29437229 per GH/s.  If it were the same for the S7, the costs of the S7 would be $487.19 with a 22nm chip @ .35 watts per GH/s efficiency.  Again, this is only speculation to see if this would create a "Farm War."  ROI on this rig would be 6.7 months at present price of BTC with 10.5 cents per kWH power costs.  That ROI did not include shipping costs.  Not really much of a game changer to create a "Farm War" in my opinion.

However, if the next generation were 16nm or 14nm at [lets say] .21 watts per GH/s as a conservative estimate, this could be a game changer.  Lets see [This time I'm using a similar wattage to the S3 (347.55 watts) for the sake of the sheer size of the rig]:

An estimated 1,655 GH/s @ .21 watts per GH = 347.55 watts total for the rig.  The example below includes difficulty at 55 Billion and price of BTC @ $248.401


https://i.imgur.com/l00a344.png (http://imgur.com/l00a344)

https://i.imgur.com/ofprQ1j.png (http://imgur.com/ofprQ1j)



$112.80 in one month with difficulty at 55 Billion and BTC price @ $248.401 (BTC-e Exchange)
$  24.52 in one month with 10.5 cents per kWH for power costs.
$  88.28 in one month after power costs.

Present cost per GH/s without shipping for the S5 is $0.29437229 per GH/s.  If it were the same for the S7, the costs of the S7 would be $487.19 with a 16nm chip @ .21 watts per GH/s efficiency.  This would have ROI at 5.52 months if difficulty and price of BTC went up and/or down the same percentage during that time frame.  This ROI did not include shipping!  The ROI would be very close to 6 months with shipping.

This would definitely encourage more to invest into new hardware.  Especially, the big mining operations.

I think more people would be willing to buy a miner this efficient because they reason it will last a fairly good while after ROI.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Rabinovitch on April 05, 2015, 04:19:03 AM
What do you guys think about this my post in the similar speculation thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=920048.msg10985965#msg10985965 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=920048.msg10985965#msg10985965)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on April 05, 2015, 05:51:35 AM
You know the BM1384 can do under 0.35W/GH, right? I worked over some numbers a month ago speculating S2 upgrade kits, with suitable chip density they could make a 3.6TH miner off a 1KW PSU with the same power density (and therefore same fan volume) as the S2 if they really felt like it. It's possible to get 0.21W/GH from 28nm if done right, and pretty easy to do with 22nm.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 05, 2015, 07:50:35 AM
What do you guys think about this my post in the similar speculation thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=920048.msg10985965#msg10985965 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=920048.msg10985965#msg10985965)

Batch 5 of the S5' is sold out now.  It will be interesting to see what happens.  Seems like we will see something happening soon.

There are two possible scenarios here.

1) Bitmain sells out used S5s from their own farm and makes an upgrade with some devices based on some next chip (as I mentioned before somewhere in this forum, many of Russian bitcoiners receive used S5s) and after their upgrade we will probably see S6, S7 or whatever.

2) Bitmain decided to go out of business and sells out their facilities (all that used S5 buyers receive) and we will not see any new hardware from them. They stopped even to promise that "upgrade for S2 will be available soon". They keep silence about S6 also.

Any comments?..

An interesting theory you have there.  I suppose it can make one wonder.  I only hope this is not the case.  Neither one sound good to me in the least.

I have not seen nor heard of these rumors you speak of.  How do you know the rigs received in Russia were used rigs?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 05, 2015, 07:54:45 AM
You know the BM1384 can do under 0.35W/GH, right? I worked over some numbers a month ago speculating S2 upgrade kits, with suitable chip density they could make a 3.6TH miner off a 1KW PSU with the same power density (and therefore same fan volume) as the S2 if they really felt like it. It's possible to get 0.21W/GH from 28nm if done right, and pretty easy to do with 22nm.

Like I mentioned earlier, I'm sure there are others on bitcointalk.org who understand engineering and design about hardware and chips more so than myself.  I was not quite sure what the BM1384 could do.  I have not taken the time to research it very well.  0.21 watts a GH would be great.  If this is the case, we might see Farm Wars back in business again and difficulty climbing again.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 05, 2015, 08:24:32 AM
Difficulty has officially changed...

Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688         5.84% increase       353,951,052 GH/s


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Rabinovitch on April 05, 2015, 09:25:20 AM
I have not seen nor heard of these rumors you speak of.  How do you know the rigs received in Russia were used rigs?

First, inside many of S5 there was a lot of dust.

Second, if there were more or less large batches of S5s we should get the same versions of boards at the same time. Guys from bits.media told about v1.5, v1.7, v1.9 they received several days ago. IMHO hardware revisions should be sold according to the rule "first revision produced - first sold". So since all HW versions of hashing blades being sold these days, we can conclude that they all together were laying somewhere in Bitmain's data center and hashing (collecting the dust...), and now they sell it out by a "first HW version that came to hand" scheme.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 05, 2015, 02:57:15 PM
I have not seen nor heard of these rumors you speak of.  How do you know the rigs received in Russia were used rigs?

First, inside many of S5 there was a lot of dust.

Second, if there were more or less large batches of S5s we should get the same versions of boards at the same time. Guys from bits.media told about v1.5, v1.7, v1.9 they received several days ago. IMHO hardware revisions should be sold according to the rule "first revision produced - first sold". So since all HW versions of hashing blades being sold these days, we can conclude that they all together were laying somewhere in Bitmain's data center and hashing (collecting the dust...), and now they sell it out by a "first HW version that came to hand" scheme.

I can see what you mean there.  Either they were hashing or they could be "refurbished."  Either case is not good.  If one pays for a "new" unit, they want a "new" unit!!!  A used or refurbished unit should be at a used or refurbished price.

This could also explain why the price of the rigs have come down some in the last couple of weeks.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on April 05, 2015, 06:18:50 PM
I have not seen nor heard of these rumors you speak of.  How do you know the rigs received in Russia were used rigs?

First, inside many of S5 there was a lot of dust.

Second, if there were more or less large batches of S5s we should get the same versions of boards at the same time. Guys from bits.media told about v1.5, v1.7, v1.9 they received several days ago. IMHO hardware revisions should be sold according to the rule "first revision produced - first sold". So since all HW versions of hashing blades being sold these days, we can conclude that they all together were laying somewhere in Bitmain's data center and hashing (collecting the dust...), and now they sell it out by a "first HW version that came to hand" scheme.

I can see what you mean there.  Either they were hashing or they could be "refurbished."  Either case is not good.  If one pays for a "new" unit, they want a "new" unit!!!  A used or refurbished unit should be at a used or refurbished price.

With hardware companies doing producing in batches.  What choice do they have it does not sell out?   

In a perfect world they would leave it new in box after a small test.  But with not selling them all I think it's understandable they run them.  That way if they don't see them and have to put it in a cheaper batch they don't lose money.

I don't think there is a company that can take the hit on just storing boxes and boxes of miners after paying for them to be made. 


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on April 05, 2015, 08:13:44 PM
You know the BM1384 can do under 0.35W/GH, right? I worked over some numbers a month ago speculating S2 upgrade kits, with suitable chip density they could make a 3.6TH miner off a 1KW PSU with the same power density (and therefore same fan volume) as the S2 if they really felt like it. It's possible to get 0.21W/GH from 28nm if done right, and pretty easy to do with 22nm.

Like I mentioned earlier, I'm sure there are others on bitcointalk.org who understand engineering and design about hardware and chips more so than myself.  I was not quite sure what the BM1384 could do.  I have not taken the time to research it very well.  0.21 watts a GH would be great.  If this is the case, we might see Farm Wars back in business again and difficulty climbing again.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.0

There is an efficiency chart in the first post of the thread about miners with that chip, which has been on the front page of the hardware forum for four months. That's what I calculate off of.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 06, 2015, 12:27:32 AM
I have not seen nor heard of these rumors you speak of.  How do you know the rigs received in Russia were used rigs?

First, inside many of S5 there was a lot of dust.

Second, if there were more or less large batches of S5s we should get the same versions of boards at the same time. Guys from bits.media told about v1.5, v1.7, v1.9 they received several days ago. IMHO hardware revisions should be sold according to the rule "first revision produced - first sold". So since all HW versions of hashing blades being sold these days, we can conclude that they all together were laying somewhere in Bitmain's data center and hashing (collecting the dust...), and now they sell it out by a "first HW version that came to hand" scheme.

I can see what you mean there.  Either they were hashing or they could be "refurbished."  Either case is not good.  If one pays for a "new" unit, they want a "new" unit!!!  A used or refurbished unit should be at a used or refurbished price.

With hardware companies doing producing in batches.  What choice do they have it does not sell out?   

In a perfect world they would leave it new in box after a small test.  But with not selling them all I think it's understandable they run them.  That way if they don't see them and have to put it in a cheaper batch they don't lose money.

I don't think there is a company that can take the hit on just storing boxes and boxes of miners after paying for them to be made. 

I believe I would have to agree with you there.  Which could also explain the price lowering maybe.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on April 06, 2015, 12:28:40 AM
You know the BM1384 can do under 0.35W/GH, right? I worked over some numbers a month ago speculating S2 upgrade kits, with suitable chip density they could make a 3.6TH miner off a 1KW PSU with the same power density (and therefore same fan volume) as the S2 if they really felt like it. It's possible to get 0.21W/GH from 28nm if done right, and pretty easy to do with 22nm.

Like I mentioned earlier, I'm sure there are others on bitcointalk.org who understand engineering and design about hardware and chips more so than myself.  I was not quite sure what the BM1384 could do.  I have not taken the time to research it very well.  0.21 watts a GH would be great.  If this is the case, we might see Farm Wars back in business again and difficulty climbing again.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.0

There is an efficiency chart in the first post of the thread about miners with that chip, which has been on the front page of the hardware forum for four months. That's what I calculate off of.

Sorry, I haven't taken time to do much research on that chip along with the math.  Thanks for the link!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: RealMalatesta on June 24, 2015, 07:57:06 AM
In all this speculation about S6 and S7, I'd like to get some information from Bitmain first.

Since Friedcat has disappeared, rumours are in the air that Bitmain and/or persons who are deeply involved in Bitmain's management had been on the board of AMhash ASICMiner.

Furthermore, the rumour goes that Bitmain had therefore firsthand access to specifications from AMhash ASICMiner chips, i.e. that Bitmain was able to produce chips which were designed for AMhash ASICMiner before AMhash ASICMiner was able to produce them.

These rumours are serious, and so I think it would be vital to know if

a) Bitmain was on the AMhash ASICMiner-board
b) any and which officer/emploee was on the AMhash ASICMiner-board
c) Bitmain and/or any of its officers/employees had thus access to any of the designs from Friedcat/AMhash ASICMiner

IF any of these questions is answered with "Yes", I believe it may take some looong time until S6/S7 come out.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on June 24, 2015, 10:17:51 AM
AMHash, or ASICMiner? Far as I know they're two different enterprises, if not exactly two different companies.

So are you suspecting that Bitmain's next gen chip is actually a repackaged BE300? Or that the BM1384 ripped it off? The BE300 was in engineering samples when the BM1384 was already being installed on miners, and also had more performance and a substantially different protocol. I guess it's possible that Bitmain might have taken hash core design from BE300 data and added on their own interface logic for data and comms, but I doubt that went into the BM1384 given the timing. The next chip, maybe, but then why would it take them eight months to pull it off?

Would be interesting to know for sure, but I would be surprised to find Bitmain swiped BE300 IP.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: RealMalatesta on June 24, 2015, 10:22:52 AM
AMHash, or ASICMiner? Far as I know they're two different enterprises, if not exactly two different companies.

So are you suspecting that Bitmain's next gen chip is actually a repackaged BE300? Or that the BM1384 ripped it off? The BE300 was in engineering samples when the BM1384 was already being installed on miners, and also had more performance and a substantially different protocol. I guess it's possible that Bitmain might have taken hash core design from BE300 data and added on their own interface logic for data and comms, but I doubt that went into the BM1384 given the timing. The next chip, maybe, but then why would it take them eight months to pull it off?

Would be interesting to know for sure, but I would be surprised to find Bitmain swiped BE300 IP.

Sorry, you're right... edited AMHash to ASICMiner...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on June 25, 2015, 01:34:22 AM
I think Bitmain is just holding their tech, no reason to sell the new product and raise difficulty when they can mine on it themselves and wait for competition to sell theirs first. Once a competitor puts out a new better than S5 miner than we will see the release of the new Bitmain products.

yeah this is very likely true.  there is zero need to grow hash rate unless price jumps.

I feel once sfards pushes out gear the s-6 and or s-7 will come out to put it in place. until then not much change.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: gallery2000 on June 25, 2015, 05:15:20 PM
There will be no S6 or S7.  Bitmain just declared BK on a chinese forum.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on June 25, 2015, 06:02:27 PM
wish s7 will have same cooling and same holes and screws so i can upgrade to c3!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: unamis76 on June 25, 2015, 07:43:23 PM
There will be no S6 or S7.  Bitmain just declared BK on a chinese forum.

Bankruptcy? Can you please link that thread?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on June 25, 2015, 08:03:41 PM
There will be no S6 or S7.  Bitmain just declared BK on a chinese forum.

Bankruptcy? Can you please link that thread?
Yeah I am not sure what BK is but I don't see how it could be Bankruptcy weren't they making bank? Like Hashnest is tons of profit and they hash at least like 25% of the network.

gallery2000 has had some wild threads and wild posts.  he is not what I consider a reliable poster.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on June 25, 2015, 08:18:47 PM
There will be no S6 or S7.  Bitmain just declared BK on a chinese forum.

Bankruptcy? Can you please link that thread?
Yeah I am not sure what BK is but I don't see how it could be Bankruptcy weren't they making bank? Like Hashnest is tons of profit and they hash at least like 25% of the network.

Don't believe gallery2000's hype.

I personally know of efforts by Bitmain to sell the new equipment coming out at a pretty reasonable price but once it earns your payment you give it back to them (you retain bonuses it earns) this may be the new model they want to start and possibly still selling large bulk to farms.

Group buys may begin to be the norm for home miners.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: tripppn on June 27, 2015, 12:37:20 AM
I have a real love/hate feeling about Bitmain's keep quiet till it's ready to ship way of doing things.  I have to respect the fact that they don't do pre orders, at least no ones that are more then a couple weeks from shipping and they are always at least very close to shipping on time. 

On the other hand I want to know what those guys are up to... ???  The suspense is killer


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2015, 04:03:27 AM
I have a real love/hate feeling about Bitmain's keep quiet till it's ready to ship way of doing things.  I have to respect the fact that they don't do pre orders, at least no ones that are more then a couple weeks from shipping and they are always at least very close to shipping on time. 

On the other hand I want to know what those guys are up to... ???  The suspense is killer

well sfards has floated 1129 so they intentionally priced high and will self mine for a while. much like avalon did.

once again    bitmaintech still has very little incentive to sell us s-6's or s-7's.

They will slowly replace all their s-5's with s-6's and s-7's and keep selling s-5's at a price just a bit too high too buy.

Why it is good business for them to do so.

Very slow diff growth works for them if they are upgrading s-5's to s-6 or s-7 gear.

Just follow what they have done since the s-3 came out.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on June 28, 2015, 10:59:13 PM
it would be interesting if miners producers have/will have a deal to sell at higher price, not like spondoolies vs bitmain, sp20 vs s5
they will upgrade, we will upgrade slower...
diff will go up slowly and they will have higher % of the network, and ~ constant % between themselves....


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on June 29, 2015, 01:32:24 AM
it would be interesting if miners producers have/will have a deal to sell at higher price, not like spondoolies vs bitmain, sp20 vs s5
they will upgrade, we will upgrade slower...
diff will go up slowly and they will have higher % of the network, and ~ constant % between themselves....

I think this is what they will do for the time being. It also is safer for them with the ½  ing   coming up.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 02, 2015, 09:35:12 AM
There has been more buzz on the s-7  so maybe it comes out in late July.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sergio on July 02, 2015, 10:44:14 AM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

Not really. In fact when the S5 was first released it was sold for about $300 USD, but shortly after Bitmain got news that spoondolies was out of the hardware bussiness they jacked up the price to $340, well as of now the S5 costs $360, growing difficultly and a growin price.

I am sure at $300 they were making a  profit, so to say the profit magin is really low it is not accurate, doing basic math you can easily conclude that the profit margin is over 20%.

profit margin is really really low for indepent miners, not for the hardware vendors.

.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 02, 2015, 11:35:29 AM
Any ETA on S6? At least speculative?

I'm still thinking mid to late April.

Well, with the current BTC price, I m really not sure how profitable for them is to develop new miners. The profit margin s really, really low.

Not really. In fact when the S5 was first released it was sold for about $300 USD, but shortly after Bitmain got news that spoondolies was out of the hardware bussiness they jacked up the price to $340, well as of now the S5 costs $360, growing difficultly and a growin price.

I am sure at $300 they were making a  profit, so to say the profit magin is really low it is not accurate, doing basic math you can easily conclude that the profit margin is over 20%.

profit margin is really really low for indepent miners, not for the hardware vendors.

.


 I agree with this part in bold.

I would argue that hardware builders have tighter margins then you think.
I would also argue that bitmaintech keeping price at 360 or more is not the issue.
I actually think they showed longer term thinking bty doing that.
If they sold gear dead cheap at 250 or so I think it would have lowered price of coins.
When they did the price war with sp-tech coins dropped under 200 usd around 180 in January 2015.

Our problem is exchange failures and lack of demand for btc by the general public.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on July 02, 2015, 05:15:42 PM
While it would be nice to actually hear something concrete on the S7 from Bitmain, I wonder what will actually motivate them to start selling it to the public? Do they need the cash?  Could they do just as well by replacing some set of their in-house S5 gear and continue to sell S5's? I think every one has accepted "new" means it has a warranty, not that it actually means "unused".

Is there actually any competitive threat to them at this time?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on July 03, 2015, 10:26:36 PM
Is there actually any competitive threat to them at this time?
Isn't BitFury deploying / about to deploy their new chips?  From a consumer sales standpoint, no, Bitmain doesn't have any serious competitive threats.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on July 04, 2015, 06:26:42 AM
While it would be nice to actually hear something concrete on the S7 from Bitmain, I wonder what will actually motivate them to start selling it to the public? Do they need the cash?  Could they do just as well by replacing some set of their in-house S5 gear and continue to sell S5's? I think every one has accepted "new" means it has a warranty, not that it actually means "unused".

Is there actually any competitive threat to them at this time?

if the old trick of preorder to have money upfront isn't working anymore, and their revenue would be greater in selling those new miners, they will go for that way

remember that efficiency is not that great on those new miners, they are still working with 28nm(at least the last rumors said so...), so i doubt there is much to gain if all the s5 were to be replaced with s6-s7


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 04, 2015, 02:22:41 PM
selling the s-7 rather then mining with it is not really a good idea.

the new pattern for asic builders is replace your older gear slowly with the newer gear.  all the while slowly selling the older gear at the highest price the market will allow.

Both avalon and bitmaintech slowly sell the avalon 4.1 at high price and the s-5 at high price while mining it,

they then replace the 4.1 or the s-5 with more efficient gear.  they have no need to rush.

the new avalon mini does .4 watts vs .53 watts.  the new s-7 does > watts vs .52 watts.


the trick is to allow over-clocked gear die in the field   see my sp20 stat thread.

what does all of this do.  it lowers the builders risk it ends the gear-up wars  and allows for safer profit for the building-self mining company.

SO when the s-7 comes out look for a .35 to .4 watt item priced to break even in about 180-210 days if your power cost is 8 cents.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on July 04, 2015, 02:52:00 PM
selling the s-7 rather then mining with it is not really a good idea.

the new pattern for asic builders is replace your older gear slowly with the newer gear.  all the while slowly selling the older gear at the highest price the market will allow.

Both avalon and bitmaintech slowly sell the avalon 4.1 at high price and the s-5 at high price while mining it,

they then replace the 4.1 or the s-5 with more efficient gear.  they have no need to rush.

the new avalon mini does .4 watts vs .53 watts.  the new s-7 does > watts vs .52 watts.


the trick is to allow over-clocked gear die in the field   see my sp20 stat thread.

what does all of this do.  it lowers the builders risk it ends the gear-up wars  and allows for safer profit for the building-self mining company.

SO when the s-7 comes out look for a .35 to .4 watt item priced to break even in about 180-210 days if your power cost is 8 cents.

You and I are on pretty much exactly the same page regarding the S7's performance, Phil.  Earlier in the thread I stated that the S7 should likely get around 1.5TH/s for the same 590W the S5 demands.  Your numbers put the range between 1.475TH/s and 1.685TH/s.  Hopefully they will make the thing a bit quieter.  My S3s are virtually silent compared to the noise the SP20 and S5 make.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: -droid- on July 04, 2015, 05:10:19 PM
selling the s-7 rather then mining with it is not really a good idea.

the new pattern for asic builders is replace your older gear slowly with the newer gear.  all the while slowly selling the older gear at the highest price the market will allow.

Both avalon and bitmaintech slowly sell the avalon 4.1 at high price and the s-5 at high price while mining it,

they then replace the 4.1 or the s-5 with more efficient gear.  they have no need to rush.

the new avalon mini does .4 watts vs .53 watts.  the new s-7 does > watts vs .52 watts.


the trick is to allow over-clocked gear die in the field   see my sp20 stat thread.

what does all of this do.  it lowers the builders risk it ends the gear-up wars  and allows for safer profit for the building-self mining company.

SO when the s-7 comes out look for a .35 to .4 watt item priced to break even in about 180-210 days if your power cost is 8 cents.

You and I are on pretty much exactly the same page regarding the S7's performance, Phil.  Earlier in the thread I stated that the S7 should likely get around 1.5TH/s for the same 590W the S5 demands.  Your numbers put the range between 1.475TH/s and 1.685TH/s.  Hopefully they will make the thing a bit quieter.  My S3s are virtually silent compared to the noise the SP20 and S5 make.

Yeah the noise was one of my wishes for the upcoming batch, hopefully they go the Avalon 4.1 route


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 05, 2015, 04:15:55 AM
If they could justify the chip cost, Bitmain could have put out a 500W 1.4TH miner on the S[odd] chassis six months ago; it just would have had 51 chips per blade instead of 30. That's a practical maximum for chip density on a board that size, and gets there with the same 3x17 string they're using in the S4+ (which, by the by, if it was made with BM1384 the same PSU could source six modules instead of four and we'd have a 4.2TH miner drawing 1600W wall, which would have been one heck of a nice S6). Given the S5 could do 1.2TH off 600W for about half the investment and was still the best thing anyone could buy, there was no need. To get a significant and also cost-effective improvement would require a new chip, so I don't begrudge them the design at all. Even a 2x16 string, a practical stock clock would have been 100GH less (about 1050GH, albeit at under 500W wall) but that kind of efficiency wasn't really necessary. The only real competition at the time was the SP20, and they already had it beat on price by a long way.


ASICMiner's BE300 proved there's still a lot of room left in 28nm, as its specs were about 25% better than BM1384 across the board (0.19 vs 0.25 bottom clock, 0.35 vs 0.45 top clock). I'd expect to see at least a 30% efficiency gain from Bitmain's S7 chip. The BM1380 top clock was something like 6W per chip, BM1384 about 10. I'm going to assume the new chip will have a similar top clock power dissipation of 10W, with a 30% better efficiency than the BM1384. I think a slightly higher chip density than 60 is likely, as the core voltage will probably be reduced - say, 750mV stock vs 800mV stock gives a 16-chip string instead of 15 for 64 chips per machine instead of 60. If that's the case, and we're running at about 85% practical maximum clock (fairly typical neighborhood given S1/S3/S5 stock setpoints), we'll see probably 8W per chip for 530W DC consumption (including fan and controller, still under 600W at the wall) and approximately 1800GH.

As much as it would be super nice, I kinda doubt Bitmain will put up the extra $10 for quieter fans. They tested it out a bit with the S3, full shroud and dual fans for super durability and silent running, but the S5 they really didn't care - single super-loud fan, cheap plastic side panels, designed more for bulk shelving customers than regular folks. As long as 90% of their sales go to people that aren't concerned with how loud the fans are (admittedly, I'm among them though I'm by no means a bulk buyer - I just don't care about fan noise until it approaches SP10 annoyance/pain levels), Bitmain's not going to do jack to make miners quieter if it means adding expense.

That's my guesses anyways.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on July 05, 2015, 03:17:55 PM
Great points sidehack.  The BE300 did indeed beat the BM1384 and show that there's still plenty of wiggle room with the 28nm tech to get some nice efficiency gains.  Do I think Bitmain's going to throw all of their cards on the table with this next S6/S7 generation and offer up the best they can get from their chips?  Honestly, no.  Even though they could very easily put out an S7 running 1.8TH/s at under 600W, I just don't see the incentive for them to do so.  This will likely be a "hey it's good enough" generation while they transition to a smaller process node to compete with KnC's 16nm tech (which promises some absurdly low power draw).


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: -droid- on July 05, 2015, 05:11:19 PM
Great points sidehack.  The BE300 did indeed beat the BM1384 and show that there's still plenty of wiggle room with the 28nm tech to get some nice efficiency gains.  Do I think Bitmain's going to throw all of their cards on the table with this next S6/S7 generation and offer up the best they can get from their chips?  Honestly, no.  Even though they could very easily put out an S7 running 1.8TH/s at under 600W, I just don't see the incentive for them to do so.  This will likely be a "hey it's good enough" generation while they transition to a smaller process node to compete with KnC's 16nm tech (which promises some absurdly low power draw).

When does KnC plan to introduce this 16nm chip?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: TheRealSteve on July 05, 2015, 05:18:23 PM
When does KnC plan to introduce this 16nm chip?
Your guess is as good as any.  They announced various stages of it in the past.
2014-11-18 - 16nm plan announcement - http://www.kncminer.com/blog/newsarchive#announcing-solar-a-step-change-in-processing-capability
2015-02-03 - tapeout complete - http://www.kncminer.com/blog/newsarchive#accel-investing-in-kncminer-16nm-tape-out-completed
2015-06-03 - deployed - http://www.kncminer.com/blog/newsarchive#changing-the-game-again

2015-07-05 - must be so efficient they can stand to bleed relative hash rate - https://i.imgur.com/HMvyTPa.png


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 05, 2015, 05:24:01 PM
Just as soon as they figure out another surefire way to steal money from everyone and still convince important people that they're a respected business. I'm still confused how investors trusted them enough to pay for 16nm dev after they spent the whole last year ripping people off with nonexistent and/or poorly-made products.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 05, 2015, 05:38:24 PM
My KNC confusion is pretty simple if they built this chip  and it 2 or 3x better then any chip ever built  why don't they really show proof of it. 

They could get a shit ton of investment money and then rob them too.

So far I have not seen clear evidence of a .1 watt mining machine mining as of today.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: TheRealSteve on July 05, 2015, 05:48:44 PM
So far I have not seen clear evidence of a .1 watt mining machine mining as of today.
Remember when Spondoolies-Tech was planning one (https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/guy-corem-ceo-spondoolies-tech-speaks-miners-future-mining/)?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on July 05, 2015, 05:54:06 PM
they don't have it!!!!
there is no .1w machine! ;)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 05, 2015, 06:01:52 PM
Kinda like when BitFury talked big game about their 0.19W/GH chip in exactly one press release and never talked about it again?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Jamphone on July 05, 2015, 06:02:13 PM
My KNC confusion is pretty simple if they built this chip  and it 2 or 3x better then any chip ever built  why don't they really show proof of it. 

They could get a shit ton of investment money and then rob them too.

So far I have not seen clear evidence of a .1 watt mining machine mining as of today.

If they had the chip, they wouldn't be losing market share of the network hashrate distribution. KNC is in a lot of trouble. Those leaked financials from December 2014, at a higher BTC price, showed them bleeding value at a rate of 5% of their total book value ($4.6 million) every 6 weeks. That's an "bankruptcy on the horizon" rate. Hence why they needed $15 million of equity in January, but have nothing to show for it. They'll have to raise more cash again soon, even with a new chip. Production will cost tens of millions, and the factories in China will require at least partial payment up front.

While mining in Sweden sounded smart in 2013, the electricity rate is higher there than Iceland, Georgia, and the better rates of North America and China. Plus, their farm supposedly cost $20+ million to house less than 10 MW. I bet the Chinese spend far less than that to house 10MW. Throw in the cost of low pay scale employees, which in Sweden is $80K+ USD, 12 weeks vacation and benefits, the high tax rate in Sweden (25% VAT plus high income rates) and I would bet they're going to have to shutter that operation before the end of 2015. Throw in millions of liability in law suits. KNC may produce a chip, but the company is either going to have to sell it for nothing to a creditor/investor or sell the whole company. They simply do not have the funds on hand to manufacture a final product.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 05, 2015, 06:08:06 PM
My KNC confusion is pretty simple if they built this chip  and it 2 or 3x better then any chip ever built  why don't they really show proof of it.  

They could get a shit ton of investment money and then rob them too.

So far I have not seen clear evidence of a .1 watt mining machine mining as of today.

If they had the chip, they wouldn't be losing market share of the network hashrate distribution. KNC is in a lot of trouble. Those leaked financials from December 2014, at a higher BTC price, showed them bleeding value at a rate of 5% of their total book value ($4.6 million) every 6 weeks. That's an "bankruptcy on the horizon" rate. Hence why they needed $15 million of equity in January, but have nothing to show for it. They'll have to raise more cash again soon, even with a new chip. Production will cost tens of millions, and the factories in China will require at least partial payment up front.

While mining in Sweden sounded smart in 2013, the electricity rate is higher there than Iceland, Georgia, and the better rates of North America and China. Plus, their farm supposedly cost $20+ million to house less than 10 MW. I bet the Chinese spend far less than that to house 10MW. Throw in the cost of low pay scale employees, which in Sweden is $80K+ USD, 12 weeks vacation and benefits, the high tax rate in Sweden (25% VAT plus high income rates) and I would bet they're going to have to shutter that operation before the end of 2015. Throw in millions of liability in law suits. KNC may produce a chip, but the company is either going to have to sell it for nothing to a creditor/investor or sell the whole company. They simply do not have the funds on hand to manufacture a final product.


 If they sold off the "0.1 watt chip"   Would be nice to get a lot of them.  

@sidehack how about 1000 or so  0.1 watt chips to build something with.  ::)


 We can only dream.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: TheRealSteve on July 05, 2015, 06:10:17 PM
Kinda like when BitFury talked big game about their 0.19W/GH chip in exactly one press release and never talked about it again?
Maybe a bit more like HashFast and Cointerra .. or even that ASIC|rising bunch.  But at least Spondoolies somewhat lives on and BitFury's expanding, so they have the lack of bankruptcy and skepticism of existence going for them :)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 05, 2015, 06:24:19 PM
Phil - I don't know enough about BitFury's current line to know if I want to bother working with it at all. I mean, SFARDS claims 0.19W/GH SHA performance and I know I don't want to play with theirs. If BitFury sticks to ~10W non-BGA chips instead of ~100W chips, sure that'd be awesome. From what I understand, KNC tends to like big fat stupid chips so unless someone else contracted the dev I probably wouldn't mess with 'em.

Spondoolies new chip, last I heard anything, was on the same size/power scale as the Rockerbox. I guess lines at the foundry are backing up because they're overdue for release but still in business. That's good. As much as I may like to rag on their product line as being overly complex and expensive, the economy does need a diverse set of manufacturers and they're one of the good (which is to say, not evil) ones.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: J0hnnyb on July 06, 2015, 07:53:37 PM
any news from Bitmain/Hashnest?

they put 2000 "New" S5 for 420 US dollar to sell at the shop.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on July 07, 2015, 06:44:15 AM
any news from Bitmain/Hashnest?

they put 2000 "New" S5 for 420 US dollar to sell at the shop.

I assume by "New", they mean "Well tested for the last 3 months"? I guess the $420 price is in line with what I hear is a recent Bitmain price increase for the S5 (to $378).

Is this an odd way to "clear inventory" before a new product comes out? Usually a company will discount an older product prior to the introduction of a newer product (e.g. the S7).


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on July 07, 2015, 07:52:55 AM
With all due respect, it's kinda hard not to laugh when "Lack of Bankruptcy" make a company worthy of serious consideration.  :)

Probably need to work on a new lexicon for Bitcoin mining:

New means "Not previously sold by the manufacturer and comes with a Warranty"

Doing Well means "Hasn't filed for Bankruptcy (Yet)"


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sloopy on July 11, 2015, 03:19:34 AM

It is great to read all of your opinions on manufacturers especially when talking efficiency.

A point a couple of you made had me down a rabbit-hole of thoughts regarding the present and future of mining. So much that if you have the time I would enjoy appreciate understanding more about is the fact the S3 (S3+ or ++ most never saw, much less touched) was better built than the latest offering, the S5. Dual fans, metal case, routed airflow, ran much cooler and the S5 with plastic sides, no top, and no bottom, along with more speculation. It is probably unusual speculation, but I think has a real question.

More specifically to my area of curiosity is those of you who have been around and had hands on with every bitmain product available to you S1, S2, S3, S4, S5, USB models matter, what is your opinion regarding the next version of hardware?
point 1: which must already be running / being tested or 'burned in' by BITMAIN... today, correct or not and why?; has every model been burned in? How long do you think they are 'burned in'? I understand it takes some testing to feel good about a product shipping and I am curious.
B: How much market share does bitmain have versus bitfury including any speculation or known facts regarding other ventures, ie pools, private mines, trading, or any category you feel is applicable. Another side of this is simply of all the miners in the field today and 1 year from today, what are the numbers, your guesses please.
3: If, now seriously, if, there ever is a hashpower war / attack, or whatever you want to call it, (entertain the worst possible scenario from Mike Hearn regarding the money side of bitcoin facing off the hashing side of bitcoin) far out speculation like the bitcoin network is being attacked by the reptilian overlords from the future who use humans for cloning experiments and gambling...
...how much literal hashpower / which pools, people, companies, etc would have to collude hashpower to impact the network in the most-likely way? Could Bitfury do it, KNC, BITMAIN, F2pool and BITMAIN, how much hashpower does it take today assuming you have the knowledge? It has very much surprised me to hear how large the bitcoin network is in terms of hashing power and look at a mining pool chart and see so much hashing power controlled by so few people. How much hash could be held by the fewest number of poeople or could we ever see it all owned by one company? 
A for example on this one is say, Discus Fish / F2POOL and Kano.IS were being 'mind-controlled' by those future lizards and the lizards can only impact the people owning / running these two pools, what could they do with current gen, and do they have anything on the workbench of R&D lab which could own the bitcoin network in a negative, or positive way, and what is that way?


 


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: camsarria on July 11, 2015, 06:54:38 PM
Www.bitcoinbrothers.de

Winter is comming! August 1


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: soy on July 11, 2015, 08:57:08 PM
So, a July miner from Bitmain hasn't happened so far.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: SunnyIgor on July 11, 2015, 09:33:20 PM
I think it was a ""end of July miner"" from Bitmain
 ;)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 11, 2015, 10:15:04 PM
Yeah, there is still quite a bit of July left. Bitmain likes to announce a couple weeks before they actually start shipping, but a July announcement for an early August miner would still be okay.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 12, 2015, 12:07:02 AM
Yeah, there is still quite a bit of July left. Bitmain likes to announce a couple weeks before they actually start shipping, but a July announcement for an early August miner would still be okay.

Be interesting to see what the s-7 does vs the s-5. 

will .52 watts per gh drop to .35 watts per gh.

My guess is .38-.41 watts per gh for the s-7


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 12, 2015, 12:19:41 AM
A 2x16 string on the S5 instead of a 2x15 would have made it a 1TH miner at 0.43W/GH wall. I'm assuming they'll have a new chip that does better than that. I'm rooting for board-level top clock at or below 0.32W/GH, but that's not based on anything just what I'd like to see.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on July 12, 2015, 12:35:44 AM
A 2x16 string on the S5 instead of a 2x15 would have made it a 1TH miner at 0.43W/GH wall. I'm assuming they'll have a new chip that does better than that. I'm rooting for board-level top clock at or below 0.32W/GH, but that's not based on anything just what I'd like to see.

I'm hoping for a new chip.   Your thread has surprised me at what the current chip can do.   They really could make a next gen and make it more efficient.

Anything in low .3W/GH would be nice.   Maybe a underclock option to get in high .2W/GH would be even nicer.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 12, 2015, 12:45:56 AM
If they keep going with the unregulated string option (which does offer the best efficiency and cost) it'll always run at a fixed operating point, which for chip cost reasons they'll always set near the top of the chip's practical limits. They could make a 0.38W/GH wall 1.4TH miner in the S[odd] chassis with existing chips if they wanted to, but the chip cost would be about twice that of the S5. I was surprised they didn't do something like that for a rackable miner, instead going with BM1382 for the S4+ (where the BM1384 could have given 4TH off the same power consumption and the same basic design). Maybe they'll put out an S6 with BM1384 in a high-density string and an S7 with the new chip, and charge a premium for both because they're both pretty good gear.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on July 15, 2015, 07:09:25 AM
Bitmain's site is now claiming to be out of Batch 5 on the S5. I suspect they now have incentive to get around to releasing whatever is next, since they appear to have managed to clean out their old stuff despite their price gouging price raises this month.

 (edit) Never mind, it seems to be temporarily "out of stock" when they're adjusting the amount of price gouge. It's been bouncing in and out for a few days now.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 15, 2015, 03:25:58 PM
Bitmain's site is now claiming to be out of Batch 5 on the S5. I suspect they now have incentive to get around to releasing whatever is next, since they appear to have managed to clean out their old stuff despite their price gouging price raises this month.

No that was merely temporary while they raised prices on it from 399 to 414 plus shipping.

They have no reason to sell s-7's at this moment.  The current pricing is working and they will continue to do this as long as they can.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on July 15, 2015, 04:49:19 PM
Wasn't the design of the S2 supposed to be that modular machine?  A bunch of boards on a backplane that could easily be swapped out.  Unfortunately, they (Bitmain) never followed through with any upgrade kits.  That kind of setup would be great for the datacenter guys.  Keep the chassis and just upgrade the boards.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 15, 2015, 05:30:34 PM
Bitmain's site is now claiming to be out of Batch 5 on the S5. I suspect they now have incentive to get around to releasing whatever is next, since they appear to have managed to clean out their old stuff despite their price gouging price raises this month.

No that was merely temporary while they raised prices on it from 399 to 414 plus shipping.

They have no reason to sell s-7's at this moment.  The current pricing is working and they will continue to do this as long as they can.
Asic sellers piss me off this is why I keep building GPU rigs and just selling the alt coins for bitcoin. I don't have to deal with shady company practices constantly. I really want a modular asic machine soon.

Since the altcoin economy is somehow less shady...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 15, 2015, 06:06:45 PM
But "whatever is the most profitable" at any given moment is based pretty heavily on everyone else's speculation, manipulation and lies. With very few exceptions, altcoin mining is a zero-sum game where the only winner comes out ahead at the expense of everyone else whose timing was not quite as good.

I do agree a modular miner is necessary. S2 should be that, if Bitmain (or someone else) decides to make use of that framework. The stuff I'm working on could become a solution, but there are a lot of "if" to it.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: -droid- on July 15, 2015, 06:09:54 PM
Wasn't the design of the S2 supposed to be that modular machine?  A bunch of boards on a backplane that could easily be swapped out.  Unfortunately, they (Bitmain) never followed through with any upgrade kits.  That kind of setup would be great for the datacenter guys.  Keep the chassis and just upgrade the boards.

Yeah I think you are spot on with this.  the S2 was supposed to be the answer to everything.  Being able to have the boards on a backplane was a good selling point for them and the apparent upgrade path was promising.  too bad they never really cared to follow through.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: spazzdla on July 15, 2015, 06:12:16 PM
If your coin isn't protected by ASIC's it is useless as any country can just smash it at will with a super computer if it ever becomes a fraction of a threat.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on July 15, 2015, 06:58:38 PM
so no new specs for s6 yet, it was supposed to come out this months? are we really talking about julòy 31?

i hope it isn't something too bulky like the s4, i prefer cheap miners with very good efficiency, maybe i can jump again on the whole mining thing


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 15, 2015, 07:22:07 PM
The S4 is actually my favorite size/shape for a rackable miner. It's well-proportioned compared to a lot of things, especially like Spondoolies gear. I'd welcome another miner in that form factor - a better miner than an S4+ anyways. If they used the same size boards/modules as in the S4 and S4+ with, say, a 5x17 string of BM1384 instead of 3x17 BM1382 they could have done 4.2TH in the same size box off the same PSU. If they come up with a new chip 20-30% better those numbers would still be possible with fewer chips and a higher clock.

Something small in the S[odd] form-factor to replace S5 would certainly be nice. Maybe back down around the 400W range instead of 550, keep it a bit quieter. A chip 20% better than BM1384 in a 2x16 string could see the same ~1150GH off less than 400W from the wall. If you want S5 power level, a 3x16 string would run you 1.7TH off 600W wall.

This is assuming the same V/F curves as a BM1384, with 80% the J/GH.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on July 15, 2015, 07:37:25 PM
Then I'll wait for the S8, because the S4+ was a disappointment. Overpriced and inefficient. On an absolute scale, the efficiency actually wasn't so bad, but when you compare it to what they could have done for the same price (using chips that were not over a year old) the product was sort of an insult. Maybe they're starting a new trend of using old chips on the S[even] at higher density and lower clock, where the S8 will appear in six months with BM1384 on it, not be competetive with much else being sold at the same time, and cost three times the S7 price for 2.5 times the S7 performance at 120% the S7 power consumption per unit but hey it has an internal PSU.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on July 15, 2015, 07:44:53 PM
Bitmain's site is now claiming to be out of Batch 5 on the S5. I suspect they now have incentive to get around to releasing whatever is next, since they appear to have managed to clean out their old stuff despite their price gouging price raises this month.

I'm seeing batch 5 inventory on their main site (it let me add 400 to cart) and over 1,100 units via hashnest.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on July 16, 2015, 04:23:37 PM
Perhaps they're building "next gen" machines and using them to replace S5s in their cloud operations, then turning around and selling the used S5s as "new"?

 Hmmmmm - where have we heard THAT sort of thing *cough KNC cough* before?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on July 16, 2015, 04:31:03 PM
Perhaps they're building "next gen" machines and using them to replace S5s in their cloud operations, then turning around and selling the used S5s as "new"?

 Hmmmmm - where have we heard THAT sort of thing *cough KNC cough* before?

They never claimed the hashnest S5's are new, so that can very well be the case. They have probably been selling used units in hashnest for a while, but as long as there are no issues of them breaking, etc.. I guess it doesn't really hurt anyone.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: IainKay on July 22, 2015, 08:05:11 PM
Perhaps they're building "next gen" machines and using them to replace S5s in their cloud operations, then turning around and selling the used S5s as "new"?

 Hmmmmm - where have we heard THAT sort of thing *cough KNC cough* before?

They never claimed the hashnest S5's are new, so that can very well be the case. They have probably been selling used units in hashnest for a while, but as long as there are no issues of them breaking, etc.. I guess it doesn't really hurt anyone.

As long as its a discounted price and not marketed as new I have to agree.

No doubt the chips lifespan will be reduced having been run professionally 24/7 so I would hope very discounted prices.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Xircom on July 25, 2015, 06:25:16 PM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on July 25, 2015, 06:26:00 PM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.

Yes, what I heard as well.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on July 25, 2015, 06:37:58 PM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.
This correlates with what doggie said that the S4+ was the S6 and we aren't going to see one, but I the 2 month before launch is new information. Did they say if it was a new chip by any chance?

Last I heard is that it might take another month or two, with no concrete ETA. I don't think anything is coming in July like we expected.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: RichBC on July 25, 2015, 07:31:20 PM
I would like to see an S5e with the design geared towards very best J/GH at a sensible price. So still based on the existing 1384, chip rather than a more expensive 1386 chip. Chain mode but able to run at 12V, so 20 chips / chain, (0.6V) or more if that improved the J/GH? Needs them to sort whatever is preventing the S5 running at 0.6V?

If it could get close to the chip spec of 0.249J/GH  @ 0.6V this would give a best in class efficiency Miner which I think for the Home User is what we need.

So with 2 boards this would give only 330GH, with very low consumption to see us through a few difficulty increases. Then also a S5e+ version with 4 boards and 660GH?

People could still choose to return it to higher hash rates by increasing the voltage.  :)


Rich


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Biodom on July 25, 2015, 08:30:45 PM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.

They are selling used S5 miners right now (I assume from their own mines). Naturally, they are probably replacing those miners with new (S7), otherwise why bother.
In two months they might start sales, but I have no doubt that during these two months they will be delivering from factory to themselves and mining with unannounced New miners-that 80PH jump in hashing speed very nicely coincided with used S5 sales announcement-don't you think?.
After 1-2 mo, they will sell to us, probably a mixture of brand new and from their mine.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: -droid- on July 27, 2015, 05:42:31 AM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.

They are selling used S5 miners right now (I assume from their own mines). Naturally, they are probably replacing those miners with new (S7), otherwise why bother.
In two months they might start sales, but I have no doubt that during these two months they will be delivering from factory to themselves and mining with unannounced New miners-that 80PH jump in hashing speed very nicely coincided with used S5 sales announcement-don't you think?.
After 1-2 mo, they will sell to us, probably a mixture of brand new and from their mine.

That's a pretty good assumption, however I think in 1-2 months they won't be selling mixture, it'll all be used and the new gear they rotate out to their personal farm to "test" for later batches


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on July 27, 2015, 03:11:36 PM
There wont be an S6. They jump to the S7and we are around 2 month before launch.
Thats what they told me.

They are selling used S5 miners right now (I assume from their own mines). Naturally, they are probably replacing those miners with new (S7), otherwise why bother.
In two months they might start sales, but I have no doubt that during these two months they will be delivering from factory to themselves and mining with unannounced New miners-that 80PH jump in hashing speed very nicely coincided with used S5 sales announcement-don't you think?.
After 1-2 mo, they will sell to us, probably a mixture of brand new and from their mine.
That's exactly why they're selling off the old S5 stock: it's been replaced by newer gear.  There's no way Bitmain is just emptying out their datacenters to just "get ready" for the new gear.  It's already there, or those S5s would still be mining away and not for sale.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: spazzdla on July 27, 2015, 03:14:36 PM
I would like to see an S5e with the design geared towards very best J/GH at a sensible price. So still based on the existing 1384, chip rather than a more expensive 1386 chip. Chain mode but able to run at 12V, so 20 chips / chain, (0.6V) or more if that improved the J/GH? Needs them to sort whatever is preventing the S5 running at 0.6V?

If it could get close to the chip spec of 0.249J/GH  @ 0.6V this would give a best in class efficiency Miner which I think for the Home User is what we need.

So with 2 boards this would give only 330GH, with very low consumption to see us through a few difficulty increases. Then also a S5e+ version with 4 boards and 660GH?

People could still choose to return it to higher hash rates by increasing the voltage.  :)


Rich


330GH and only 82 watts eh.. that would be pretty freaking amazing.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on July 27, 2015, 04:16:40 PM
what if s7 will come out ~December! :o :o :o


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Philipma1957onvacation on July 28, 2015, 01:14:18 AM
what if s7 will come out ~December! :o :o :o


they should arrive nov 1. You read it here first


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Amph on July 28, 2015, 07:23:25 AM
what if s7 will come out ~December! :o :o :o

they share the same efficiency if i' not mistaken and s6 was supposed to coem out this month, i would release both together, if they do not differ in xx nm productive processing


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on July 28, 2015, 07:50:15 AM
what if s7 will come out ~December! :o :o :o


they should arrive nov 1. You read it here first

So much for "The summer of 2015 for new ASIC miners". Do you think Bitmain will have sold all of it's existing S5 "well tested and mining for months" stock? What will they sell if the completely sell out of their "used, sold as new" S5 hardware?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on July 29, 2015, 12:37:25 AM
what if s7 will come out ~December! :o :o :o


they should arrive nov 1. You read it here first
A guess or insider knowledge? Nov 1st isn't bad and would be nice but if the price is too high it could cut into some extra christmas money and I can't have that lol.

A guess on what I would do if I was building s-7's to replace my s-5's.  everytime I sold 100 s-5's I would put in some new s-7's

especially if I was using s-5 chips.  we know an s-5 chips can do .31 watts  in an usb stick.

So if it can do .36watts in a s-5++  I can just sell off s-5's at high price and do an easy swap to s-5++

As the owner of bitmaintech I have no need to do a better chip.  thus no risk of the ½ing issues.

If I am lucky ai can have my entire farm swapped by early nov.   and then put the s-5++ up for sale.  people will buy gear at .36watts.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on July 29, 2015, 05:35:28 PM
Based on stuff that Bitmain has posted in various places, I am sure that what they are doing is replaceing the S5s in their own farm with S7s and selling off the used S5s.
 I suspect when they run low on the S5s is when they'll start selling S7s retail, though there MIGHT be some overlap.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on July 29, 2015, 08:37:30 PM
The expectation to date though has been that the "S7" would involve a new ASIC (e.g. BM1386), and NOT a new board with S5-class chips on it (the S5++ moniker).

This would certainly fit the S4+ model which was an "S4 do-over" with only the boards guys doing the work, and the ASIC guys sitting on the bench.

Good thing this a speculation thread, as we won't really know until they announce specs, or ship on to somebody outside of Antpool.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: soy on July 30, 2015, 03:39:51 PM
Perhaps they're building "next gen" machines and using them to replace S5s in their cloud operations, then turning around and selling the used S5s as "new"?

 Hmmmmm - where have we heard THAT sort of thing *cough KNC cough* before?

They never claimed the hashnest S5's are new, so that can very well be the case. They have probably been selling used units in hashnest for a while, but as long as there are no issues of them breaking, etc.. I guess it doesn't really hurt anyone.

As long as its a discounted price and not marketed as new I have to agree.

No doubt the chips lifespan will be reduced having been run professionally 24/7 so I would hope very discounted prices.

The "having been run professionally 24/7" is better than run sometimes for the same period because the cool down and warm up are more likely to see damage than steady running.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: gablay12 on August 04, 2015, 12:36:01 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 04, 2015, 01:29:55 PM
There have been comments (by Dogie I think, or someone from Bitmain itself) that they are going to skip the S6 and go straight to an S7. In any case, if they came out with another water-cooled rig it would be probably be called the "C3" in keeping with their current naming progression.


 Buying an S5 and needed power supply right now is VERY VERY IIFY on ROI unless you have 5 cent/KWH or cheaper power. The size of difficulty increase is going up since all of the "next gen" announcements to date, and looks likely to go up faster for a few months or a bit longer than it did the first half of this year, with the widespread adoption of "next gen" mining gear in the big mining farms as the gear becomes available.


 I'm hoping for an S7 that does over 2TH for under 600 watts and $600 or less, otherwise ROI is going to be very iffy even WITH cheap electric due to the bitcoin halfing next summer (unless bitcoin climbs a LOT somewhere between now and then, or the current rate of difficulty increase drops by at least half of the last couple of incriments for the next year). I'm also hoping that Bitmain goes back to making the voltage adjustable, rather than the S5's "chained power" setup - that would be worth an extra $100 easy, as you could undervolt later on and keep the mining profitable for a lot longer or at higher power costs (an SP20E can be profitable at 18 cents/kwh if you undervolt it enough, an S5 right now loses money at that power cost with current difficulty and bitcoin pricing).

 2TH at 400 watts or 3Th at 600, might be able to sell as high as $800 and still manage to ROI at some point, but I suspect Bitmain is going to release the S7 with a chained-power design at or very close to the highest rated voltage the chip can handle (just like the S5) at the cost of efficiency and somewhat of a loss of long-term ROI ability.

 What I'd LIKE to see is an "S5 Lite" model, still using the BM1384 but chaining 18 chips - should run about 800Mh/s at less than 350 watts - in the $400 range. THAT would ROI no problem, and still be profitable after the halving for quite a while even if Bitcoin price stays flat and difficulty increases stay in the RECENT 2-3% on average range.



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 04, 2015, 01:46:05 PM
There have been comments (by Dogie I think, or someone from Bitmain itself) that they are going to skip the S6 and go straight to an S7. In any case, if they came out with another water-cooled rig it would be probably be called the "C3" in keeping with their current naming progression.


 Buying an S5 and needed power supply right now is VERY VERY IIFY on ROI unless you have 5 cent/KWH or cheaper power. The size of difficulty increase is going up since all of the "next gen" announcements to date, and looks likely to go up faster for a few months or a bit longer than it did the first half of this year, with the widespread adoption of "next gen" mining gear in the big mining farms as the gear becomes available.


 I'm hoping for an S7 that does over 2TH for under 600 watts and $600 or less, otherwise ROI is going to be very iffy even WITH cheap electric due to the bitcoin halfing next summer (unless bitcoin climbs a LOT somewhere between now and then, or the current rate of difficulty increase drops by at least half of the last couple of incriments for the next year). I'm also hoping that Bitmain goes back to making the voltage adjustable, rather than the S5's "chained power" setup - that would be worth an extra $100 easy, as you could undervolt later on and keep the mining profitable for a lot longer or at higher power costs (an SP20E can be profitable at 18 cents/kwh if you undervolt it enough, an S5 right now loses money at that power cost with current difficulty and bitcoin pricing).

 2TH at 400 watts or 3Th at 600, might be able to sell as high as $800 and still manage to ROI at some point, but I suspect Bitmain is going to release the S7 with a chained-power design at or very close to the highest rated voltage the chip can handle (just like the S5) at the cost of efficiency and somewhat of a loss of long-term ROI ability.

 What I'd LIKE to see is an "S5 Lite" model, still using the BM1384 but chaining 18 chips - should run about 800Mh/s at less than 350 watts - in the $400 range. THAT would ROI no problem, and still be profitable after the halving for quite a while even if Bitcoin price stays flat and difficulty increases stay in the RECENT 2-3% on average range.



That sound like wishful thinking to me =/

There's little incentive for them to develop(or sell) such effective miners. Truth be told, a jump from .5 to .29 or less stock is pretty big and probably expensive to develop versus the alternative.
There's sure to be a gain in efficiency over the "last generation" but the big ASIC market demand is to miners with cheap electricity. Big datacenter located in China and other few places in the world where electricity is 4cents~/kwh. Then a smaller demand from smaller miners with also cheap electricity. And then a even smaller demand from smaller miners with no so cheap electricity (8+ cents).

So all in all, maybe we'll get a expensive unit with high efficiency, but i wouldn't bet on it, since its not that lucrative for Bitmain anymore.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on August 04, 2015, 03:30:34 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: J0hnnyb on August 04, 2015, 03:31:18 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 04, 2015, 03:45:29 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 04, 2015, 03:47:53 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 04, 2015, 04:30:11 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).

It is good to have additional input. However i'd kind of like to read it from Bitmain. It's just hard to warrant putting money on that probable fact since in the end, there's no guarantee that they will be announcing a new unit that will be ready to ship in the immediate or near future.
There's no guarantee it will be indeed in another 2-6 weeks that Bitmain will give us an announcement in the first place... or that it will lead to a shift in ASIC value.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 04, 2015, 04:32:41 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).

It is good to have additional input. However i'd kind of like to read it from Bitmain. It's just hard to warrant putting money on that probable fact since in the end, there's no guarantee that they will be announcing a new unit that will be ready to ship in the immediate or near future.
There's no guarantee it will be indeed in another 2-6 weeks that Bitmain will give us an announcement in the first place... or that it will lead to a shift in ASIC value.


From: Bitmain Technologies Limited <info@bitmaintech.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 21, 2015 9:55 PM
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5

Hi,
No details yet, new product may be released in one or two months later, we don't have the exact info yet.
Please pay attention to our official announcement or update in website.
Thanks.



From: Bitmain Tech <info@bitmaintech.com>
Date: 05/27/2015 10:38 PM (GMT-05:00)
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5
Hi,
S7 will be released in July, but we don't have the detailed info yet.
Please wait for our official announcement later.




Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 04, 2015, 04:35:58 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).

It is good to have additional input. However i'd kind of like to read it from Bitmain. It's just hard to warrant putting money on that probable fact since in the end, there's no guarantee that they will be announcing a new unit that will be ready to ship in the immediate or near future.
There's no guarantee it will be indeed in another 2-6 weeks that Bitmain will give us an announcement in the first place... or that it will lead to a shift in ASIC value.


From: Bitmain Technologies Limited <info@bitmaintech.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 21, 2015 9:55 PM
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5

Hi,
No details yet, new product may be released in one or two months later, we don't have the exact info yet.
Please pay attention to our official announcement or update in website.
Thanks.



From: Bitmain Tech <info@bitmaintech.com>
Date: 05/27/2015 10:38 PM (GMT-05:00)
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5
Hi,
S7 will be released in July, but we don't have the detailed info yet.
Please wait for our official announcement later.




That's good, there's no point in debating the legitimacy of this. It did get reported several time already by trusted member.

Now if only "May(be) in 1 or 2 months we might be releasing S7" was just a little bit less vague and included some technical specs we could start extrapolating values. xD


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 04, 2015, 04:37:20 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).

It is good to have additional input. However i'd kind of like to read it from Bitmain. It's just hard to warrant putting money on that probable fact since in the end, there's no guarantee that they will be announcing a new unit that will be ready to ship in the immediate or near future.
There's no guarantee it will be indeed in another 2-6 weeks that Bitmain will give us an announcement in the first place... or that it will lead to a shift in ASIC value.


From: Bitmain Technologies Limited <info@bitmaintech.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 21, 2015 9:55 PM
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5

Hi,
No details yet, new product may be released in one or two months later, we don't have the exact info yet.
Please pay attention to our official announcement or update in website.
Thanks.



From: Bitmain Tech <info@bitmaintech.com>
Date: 05/27/2015 10:38 PM (GMT-05:00)
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5
Hi,
S7 will be released in July, but we don't have the detailed info yet.
Please wait for our official announcement later.




That's good, there's no point in debating the legitimacy of this. It did get reported several time already by trusted member.

Now if only "May(be) in 1 or 2 months we might be releasing S7" was just a little bit less vague and included some technical specs we could start extrapolating values. xD

Agreed. I'll ping them again in a few weeks. Hashnest is down to 210 S5's.. maybe they'll announce something when it's down to 0. Or I guess they can just replenish it with more used inventory.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 04, 2015, 04:43:57 PM
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



where did you get that information? link?
S6 is water cooled 4.4 TH machine with 2200 Watt PSU.They will release it as soon as they melt down their S5 stocks.

And yes, S5 will do good profit from now on to the release.



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

any confirmation on this?

thx!


I am pretty sure he is just jesting. The water cool serie is C, not S in the first place. There's also rumors(not sure if the confirmation is true) of the S6 being skipped altogether. Seem logical with the recent S4+, anyways.
This is a speculation thread, he was probably just voicing his Christmas wishes.

Bitmaintech has mentioned to several people (including myself) that the next unit coming is the S7. There can certainly be an S6 down the road, but I'd imagine the next one out will be the S7 as they keep saying. Their original ETA was to make the announcement in July, but last I spoke to them (2 weeks ago) they said to wait another month (or maybe even 2).

It is good to have additional input. However i'd kind of like to read it from Bitmain. It's just hard to warrant putting money on that probable fact since in the end, there's no guarantee that they will be announcing a new unit that will be ready to ship in the immediate or near future.
There's no guarantee it will be indeed in another 2-6 weeks that Bitmain will give us an announcement in the first place... or that it will lead to a shift in ASIC value.


From: Bitmain Technologies Limited <info@bitmaintech.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 21, 2015 9:55 PM
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5

Hi,
No details yet, new product may be released in one or two months later, we don't have the exact info yet.
Please pay attention to our official announcement or update in website.
Thanks.



From: Bitmain Tech <info@bitmaintech.com>
Date: 05/27/2015 10:38 PM (GMT-05:00)
Subject: Re: BITMAIN AntMiner S5
Hi,
S7 will be released in July, but we don't have the detailed info yet.
Please wait for our official announcement later.




That's good, there's no point in debating the legitimacy of this. It did get reported several time already by trusted member.

Now if only "May(be) in 1 or 2 months we might be releasing S7" was just a little bit less vague and included some technical specs we could start extrapolating values. xD

Agreed. I'll ping them again in a few weeks. Hashnest is down to 210 S5's.. maybe they'll announce something when it's down to 0. Or I guess they can just replenish it with more used inventory.

Yeah, i don't know if they planned on gradually selling all their S5 but if their farm size is any indication of how many S5(but also maybe S4/+) there may be, they could tally up the used S5 for sale from many hundred to some low thousands.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 04, 2015, 06:50:36 PM
I get the feeling late October maybe Nov. before the s-7 sells as for higher diff jumps  like 4 and 6 % also not going to happen that easy.

Basically cheap power trumps better asics.

a 3 cent farm with used s-3's  crushes a 6 cent farm with new  s-5's do the math.  for a 4ph farm of  of each.

unless the s-7 jumps to .1 watts massive diff rates will not happen.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 04, 2015, 08:14:34 PM
Diff isn't just about the S7.

 It's also about KnC "Solar", which was announced to be "in production" a while ago, though in unknown quantity.
 It's about whatever BitFury is selling to their big farm customers - again, no hard data but I remember a MBP posting about "next gen" a while back.
 It's about whoever bought most of that first batch of Sfards machines to a small degree.
 It's also going to be about the Innosilicon A3 and products built from that when it is released.
 It might end up being in part about other manufacturers that haven't made any sort of announcements to date.



 I'm betting we'll see the S7 specs announced about the same time that BitMain makes their "final" batch of used S5s available for sale, and the machine itself will go on sale about the same time the last of those used S5s get sold off.


 As to WHEN that will be, dunno. Hoping for early September but not holding my breath....



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: soy on August 05, 2015, 04:11:50 PM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 05, 2015, 04:19:06 PM
Price: 440.0 USD(1.55783314฿)  Stock: 177

Slowly getting to 0.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 05, 2015, 09:31:58 PM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?

Hmm luck affect the guessed network hashrate too, i wouldn't go saying Bitmain went and offlined 100PH in a shot. It's not 296 today either, look more like 360. But its possible they onlined a bunch of hardware yesterday and offlined a batch of S5 today to be ready to ship for the 14th+ august date.

I find the up spike and then down spike exactly syncing with bitmain's S5 event days pretty funny. And maybe suggest that Bitmain is truly doing what everything think they are doing...

Price: 440.0 USD(1.55783314฿)  Stock: 177

Slowly getting to 0.

They can replenish the stock at anytime, too.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 06, 2015, 12:49:43 AM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?

Hmm luck affect the guessed network hashrate too, i wouldn't go saying Bitmain went and offlined 100PH in a shot. It's not 296 today either, look more like 360. But its possible they onlined a bunch of hardware yesterday and offlined a batch of S5 today to be ready to ship for the 14th+ august date.

I find the up spike and then down spike exactly syncing with bitmain's S5 event days pretty funny. And maybe suggest that Bitmain is truly doing what everything think they are doing...

Price: 440.0 USD(1.55783314฿)  Stock: 177

Slowly getting to 0.

They can replenish the stock at anytime, too.
Well the idea is they can't as they have switched over fabrication to the new units and are not making any of the old S5 now, so the idea is when they are out of S5 they won't have a hold and wait on selling units but bring out their new units.

Right, but i am saying, they can replenish their stock with S5s they currently run in their mines and maybe some they have in storage. And they sure do have a lot of them.

Since they can simply power down a section of the miner and refurbish the S5's they can effectively replenish the stock at any time.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 06, 2015, 01:33:08 AM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?

 Common short term variation. Don't look at instantanious hash rates, look at a longer-term average like on bitcoinwisdom. Short spikes ALWAYS happen, and sometimes they're pretty big.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: soy on August 06, 2015, 01:54:14 AM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?

Hmm luck affect the guessed network hashrate too, i wouldn't go saying Bitmain went and offlined 100PH in a shot. It's not 296 today either, look more like 360. But its possible they onlined a bunch of hardware yesterday and offlined a batch of S5 today to be ready to ship for the 14th+ august date.

I find the up spike and then down spike exactly syncing with bitmain's S5 event days pretty funny. And maybe suggest that Bitmain is truly doing what everything think they are doing...

Price: 440.0 USD(1.55783314฿)  Stock: 177

Slowly getting to 0.

They can replenish the stock at anytime, too.

Read your post, went back and looked at the graph (https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=30days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=) and see I was wrong.  Looked at my daily notes and see I must have misread the chart, having the wrong info recorded.  The chart indicates it dropped to 327.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 06, 2015, 02:42:30 AM
Noon yesterday net hashrate was 413 and today it's 296.  Is the big swing from Bitmain, KnC or the hot weather?

Hmm luck affect the guessed network hashrate too, i wouldn't go saying Bitmain went and offlined 100PH in a shot. It's not 296 today either, look more like 360. But its possible they onlined a bunch of hardware yesterday and offlined a batch of S5 today to be ready to ship for the 14th+ august date.

I find the up spike and then down spike exactly syncing with bitmain's S5 event days pretty funny. And maybe suggest that Bitmain is truly doing what everything think they are doing...

Price: 440.0 USD(1.55783314฿)  Stock: 177

Slowly getting to 0.

They can replenish the stock at anytime, too.

Read your post, went back and looked at the graph (https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=30days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=) and see I was wrong.  Looked at my daily notes and see I must have misread the chart, having the wrong info recorded.  The chart indicates it dropped to 327.

Indeed, though the values are always guesstimates from the network blockrate. Nevertheless it still looks like the rate dropped sharply exactly at the time where they shipped me a batch, as if they offlined a batch after finishing preparing and offloading the last batch.

Also i use this website to track the hashrate and diff; https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 06, 2015, 09:44:16 AM
I'd tend to agree that the noticeable drop was probably related to Bitmain - but I'd guess it was "pulled the August 5 batch to ship it" machines, not pull machines that aren't due to ship for almost a week, given the actual timing and the timing on WHEN they shipped that "August 5" batch.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 06, 2015, 06:08:13 PM
I'd tend to agree that the noticeable drop was probably related to Bitmain - but I'd guess it was "pulled the August 5 batch to ship it" machines, not pull machines that aren't due to ship for almost a week, given the actual timing and the timing on WHEN they shipped that "August 5" batch.

I would doubt so. I received the tracking number and confirmed the package was in UPS hands at the same time it spiked. I do not think the machine can teleport from the mine, while in use, to packaged and in UPS's hands within minutes.

But it is possible after making room in the storage, they went back to their mine and started unplugging more stuff and then plugging new stuff, refilling the storage with more S5s.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 06, 2015, 06:59:25 PM
if bitmain is firing up s-6/7 to replace the used s-5's they are selling.  It would account for hash rate drop the last few days.

They also can time taking the s-5's offline right before the diff changes thus making the next diff 3% less.  it does appear they did this.


but none of us can be sure unless the network grows a lot on the next adjustment.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: valkir on August 06, 2015, 09:20:39 PM
Really curious to see the S6 or S7. Been a long time since the last gear!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mez on August 06, 2015, 10:07:01 PM
soon ™


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: Rabinovitch on August 07, 2015, 09:19:25 AM
Are you ready for some details about S5+?  ;)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: valkir on August 07, 2015, 03:56:03 PM
This could be really nice. But damn it take a lot of power. Any idea if they will do a 2 modules or 1 modules model?
Any ETA ?  ;D


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 07, 2015, 06:31:00 PM
Are you ready for some details about S5+?  ;)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285)
I hope that is a personal mod and not a real thing coming from bitmain as it would be quite the disappointment instead of a sleek S7, I am done with the +'s.

Um, yeah. Definitively. I want something small factor and easily modable (sound wise mostly). And ideally something stackable. And this is definitively not what i would be looking for...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: RealMalatesta on August 07, 2015, 10:39:10 PM
Are you ready for some details about S5+?  ;)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg12076285#msg12076285)
I hope that is a personal mod and not a real thing coming from bitmain as it would be quite the disappointment instead of a sleek S7, I am done with the +'s.

Um, yeah. Definitively. I want something small factor and easily modable (sound wise mostly). And ideally something stackable. And this is definitively not what i would be looking for...
Hopefully this is just one of the few experiments that Bitmain has done and will decide to not release (just like they did with the S2 upgrade kits) The people want a new miner and a new chip!

Ah, c'mon, just some of them for having fun would be good.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 16, 2015, 02:58:54 AM
Officially on the US site now:

https://bitmaintech.com/productDetail.htm?pid=0002015081407532655504JMKzsM067B


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 16, 2015, 03:06:47 AM
Officially on the US site now:

https://bitmaintech.com/productDetail.htm?pid=0002015081407532655504JMKzsM067B

This ain't the S6 or S7, however.

We're still waiting for the news from Bitmain that was supposed to be here last month.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: amelen on August 16, 2015, 03:10:59 AM
Officially on the US site now:

https://bitmaintech.com/productDetail.htm?pid=0002015081407532655504JMKzsM067B

This ain't the S6 or S7, however.

We're still waiting for the news from Bitmain that was supposed to be here last month.

Yup, but still pretty big news of a new unit from them. Unfortunately, with the sound decibels and power usage, the S5+ will be hard to use outside of a true data center.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: steven.G999 on August 16, 2015, 04:31:14 AM
They are selling S5+ now, that means we won't see S7's in a short time. Maybe after Christmas?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 16, 2015, 05:15:29 AM
They are selling S5+ now, that means we won't see S7's in a short time. Maybe after Christmas?

It was supposed to by July, but with this we can speculate getting them by as far as November. We'll just have to wait and see i guess.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on August 17, 2015, 07:43:06 PM
I also want to add that we know absolutely nothing about the S7. We don't know it's price, hashrate, power consumption, size/shape, date for 1st shipment, or chip technology. While I am willing to bet that it will be newer chips than the BM1384 for the S5 and S5+, we should probably not take it for grated it will be "home miner friendly". Every body seems to be assuming it will follow the pattern of the S1/S3/S5 in terms of form factor, and 120V usable power consumption.

I too was assuming that to be the case, though the S5+ makes me wonder. If we had a run a speculative poll of what an S5+ would have looked like back in June, who would have predicted the beast that was delivered? I think it would have been a "kindler, gentler, quieter, more efficient" S5, rather than three S5 frames bolted together with 3 blades per frame and 2x the fans, all at least as loud as the S5, practical only with 220V power.

I hope the S5+ doesn't mark a turn to "data center or farm" mining only. It might though.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 17, 2015, 09:47:40 PM
Based on Bitmain's past record of reusing design work, I'd bet the S7 will be same form factor and same front/back plates as the S3/S5.
I'd go 80/20 on 2 hash boards vs. 3 like the "S5+".
I'd bet on it being 1KW power consumption or less, but not on HOW much less.
Definitely new chip with better specs - but how much better is a good question, and a high probability they'll run the chip at or very close to it's LEAST efficient point to maximize hash rate NOT efficiency.

 Price, actual hash rate, power consumption, and date of first shipment are the big questions right now.
 Chip technology doesn't really matter except indirectly in how it affects the hash rate and power consumption.



 The S5+ is perfectly practical with 110V - I have no clue why people keep saying it needs 220. You DON'T have to run it from a single power supply after all.
 I do still think the S5+ should have been called the S6 though, even if it's not really rack-mount form factor it's CLOSE.

 I don't think the S5+ has a direct effect on when the S7 will go on sale - I think the only real holdup on the S7 right now is Bitmain clearing out all of their "used farm/Hashnest" S5 units as they get them replaced by S7 (or perhaps S8 or "S7+) units.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 17, 2015, 09:53:11 PM
Based on Bitmain's past record of reusing design work, I'd bet the S7 will be same form factor and same front/back plates as the S3/S5.
I'd go 80/20 on 2 hash boards vs. 3 like the "S5+".
I'd bet on it being 1KW power consumption or less, but not on HOW much less.
Definitely new chip with better specs - but how much better is a good question, and a high probability they'll run the chip at or very close to it's LEAST efficient point to maximize hash rate NOT efficiency.

 Price, actual hash rate, power consumption, and date of first shipment are the big questions right now.
 Chip technology doesn't really matter except indirectly in how it affects the hash rate and power consumption.



 The S5+ is perfectly practical with 110V - I have no clue why people keep saying it needs 220. You DON'T have to run it from a single power supply after all.
 I do still think the S5+ should have been called the S6 though, even if it's not really rack-mount form factor it's CLOSE.

 I don't think the S5+ has a direct effect on when the S7 will go on sale - I think the only real holdup on the S7 right now is Bitmain clearing out all of their "used farm/Hashnest" S5 units as they get them replaced by S7 (or perhaps S8 or "S7+) units.

The people complain because it needs 2x 220-240v for optimal efficiency and also because 220v is more efficient, about 2% less waste, which at 90% is a 20% reduction in waste, up to 40%. Etc.

We could see a s7 be at around 0.8kWh for like 2.5TH. We'll see.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 17, 2015, 11:08:06 PM
Based on Bitmain's past record of reusing design work, I'd bet the S7 will be same form factor and same front/back plates as the S3/S5.
I'd go 80/20 on 2 hash boards vs. 3 like the "S5+".
I'd bet on it being 1KW power consumption or less, but not on HOW much less.
Definitely new chip with better specs - but how much better is a good question, and a high probability they'll run the chip at or very close to it's LEAST efficient point to maximize hash rate NOT efficiency.

 Price, actual hash rate, power consumption, and date of first shipment are the big questions right now.
 Chip technology doesn't really matter except indirectly in how it affects the hash rate and power consumption.



 The S5+ is perfectly practical with 110V - I have no clue why people keep saying it needs 220. You DON'T have to run it from a single power supply after all.
 I do still think the S5+ should have been called the S6 though, even if it's not really rack-mount form factor it's CLOSE.

 I don't think the S5+ has a direct effect on when the S7 will go on sale - I think the only real holdup on the S7 right now is Bitmain clearing out all of their "used farm/Hashnest" S5 units as they get them replaced by S7 (or perhaps S8 or "S7+) units.

The people complain because it needs 2x 220-240v for optimal efficiency and also because 220v is more efficient, about 2% less waste, which at 90% is a 20% reduction in waste, up to 40%. Etc.

We could see a s7 be at around 0.8kWh for like 2.5TH. We'll see.

the s7 won't come out for months. 

 There is a good chance s-5++  can be made to run downclocked to 4.75th and use 1800 watts  that translates to .375 watts a gh.

I will be ordering an s-5+ this weekend and try to test the findings out from this thread.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1151460.0


if it tests as expected the s-5 generation has a lot of life left to it.

No need for bitmaintech to sell s-7's

They will off load all s-5's and s-5+'s for months to come.  and if the mods allowing for lower power use pan out  we will not see a s-7 until Jan or feb.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 18, 2015, 02:16:18 AM
Based on Bitmain's past record of reusing design work, I'd bet the S7 will be same form factor and same front/back plates as the S3/S5.
I'd go 80/20 on 2 hash boards vs. 3 like the "S5+".
I'd bet on it being 1KW power consumption or less, but not on HOW much less.
Definitely new chip with better specs - but how much better is a good question, and a high probability they'll run the chip at or very close to it's LEAST efficient point to maximize hash rate NOT efficiency.

 Price, actual hash rate, power consumption, and date of first shipment are the big questions right now.
 Chip technology doesn't really matter except indirectly in how it affects the hash rate and power consumption.



 The S5+ is perfectly practical with 110V - I have no clue why people keep saying it needs 220. You DON'T have to run it from a single power supply after all.
 I do still think the S5+ should have been called the S6 though, even if it's not really rack-mount form factor it's CLOSE.

 I don't think the S5+ has a direct effect on when the S7 will go on sale - I think the only real holdup on the S7 right now is Bitmain clearing out all of their "used farm/Hashnest" S5 units as they get them replaced by S7 (or perhaps S8 or "S7+) units.

The people complain because it needs 2x 220-240v for optimal efficiency and also because 220v is more efficient, about 2% less waste, which at 90% is a 20% reduction in waste, up to 40%. Etc.

We could see a s7 be at around 0.8kWh for like 2.5TH. We'll see.

the s7 won't come out for months. 

 There is a good chance s-5++  can be made to run downclocked to 4.75th and use 1800 watts  that translates to .375 watts a gh.

I will be ordering an s-5+ this weekend and try to test the findings out from this thread.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1151460.0


if it tests as expected the s-5 generation has a lot of life left to it.

No need for bitmaintech to sell s-7's

They will off load all s-5's and s-5+'s for months to come.  and if the mods allowing for lower power use pan out  we will not see a s-7 until Jan or feb.

But i find that irritating, the s5+ is a very big chunk. A single unit form S5+ would be nice and affordable by piece. The S5+ right now is big and noisy, a lot of heat. I don't know what kind of noise you could get to with high quality performance low noise fans but that one unit is like my whole farm. =/


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 18, 2015, 01:51:38 PM
Based on Bitmain's past record of reusing design work, I'd bet the S7 will be same form factor and same front/back plates as the S3/S5.
I'd go 80/20 on 2 hash boards vs. 3 like the "S5+".
I'd bet on it being 1KW power consumption or less, but not on HOW much less.
Definitely new chip with better specs - but how much better is a good question, and a high probability they'll run the chip at or very close to it's LEAST efficient point to maximize hash rate NOT efficiency.

 Price, actual hash rate, power consumption, and date of first shipment are the big questions right now.
 Chip technology doesn't really matter except indirectly in how it affects the hash rate and power consumption.



 The S5+ is perfectly practical with 110V - I have no clue why people keep saying it needs 220. You DON'T have to run it from a single power supply after all.
 I do still think the S5+ should have been called the S6 though, even if it's not really rack-mount form factor it's CLOSE.

 I don't think the S5+ has a direct effect on when the S7 will go on sale - I think the only real holdup on the S7 right now is Bitmain clearing out all of their "used farm/Hashnest" S5 units as they get them replaced by S7 (or perhaps S8 or "S7+) units.

The people complain because it needs 2x 220-240v for optimal efficiency and also because 220v is more efficient, about 2% less waste, which at 90% is a 20% reduction in waste, up to 40%. Etc.

We could see a s7 be at around 0.8kWh for like 2.5TH. We'll see.

the s7 won't come out for months.  

 There is a good chance s-5++  can be made to run downclocked to 4.75th and use 1800 watts  that translates to .375 watts a gh.

I will be ordering an s-5+ this weekend and try to test the findings out from this thread.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1151460.0


if it tests as expected the s-5 generation has a lot of life left to it.

No need for bitmaintech to sell s-7's

They will off load all s-5's and s-5+'s for months to come.  and if the mods allowing for lower power use pan out  we will not see a s-7 until Jan or feb.

But i find that irritating, the s5+ is a very big chunk. A single unit form S5+ would be nice and affordable by piece. The S5+ right now is big and noisy, a lot of heat. I don't know what kind of noise you could get to with high quality performance low noise fans but that one unit is like my whole farm. =/

the biggest downside is 7.7th is all riding on the controller  it goes poof and you lose your hash until a new controller is shipped to you.

S-5's can run 4 blades on one controller.  so if you have 2 s-5's you can double up the units until the new controller arrives.

AS for the wires being to short to do that  s-5's can run on their sides s-5's can run pointed straight up  so the controller can reach all four blades.

It would be nice to be able to buy  extra controllers from bitmaintech but as far as I know you can't.  ( I could be wrong here)



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 18, 2015, 05:24:56 PM
Ah. Thanks philipma1957 i noticed the 2 unused connector and was wondering if the controller was able to run loaded 4 blades. This is pretty nice, it could be nice to pickup a S5 with defective controller board and double up effectively getting a second S5 for real cheap. :)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 19, 2015, 12:34:08 AM
Ah. Thanks philipma1957 i noticed the 2 unused connector and was wondering if the controller was able to run loaded 4 blades. This is pretty nice, it could be nice to pickup a S5 with defective controller board and double up effectively getting a second S5 for real cheap. :)

yeah there are threads from JAN 2015 that show it.

 also  a  thread that show s-5's mounted on a 20 inch box fan pointed straight up.  they ran for months  no issues.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on August 19, 2015, 02:09:21 PM
Well... the BM1385 certainly beat our predictions in this thread... it's slated to be 0.23W per GH (or 230W per TH).  Now we just have to wait and see what the actual units will look like.  If they're still drawing the same 590W like the S5, that's about 2.5TH/s.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 02:13:50 PM
My guess for an S7, based on BM1385 posted info and a few assumptions (that 0.216W/GH 0.66V 32.5GH are concurrent at an expected stock operating point):

2x18 string per board for 72 chips total
2340GH per machine
About 530W DC expected draw, 590W wall (with 90% PSU)

This puts it at running a bit cooler than the S5, so hopefully also a bit quieter.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on August 19, 2015, 04:06:09 PM
I was a bit generous with the 2.5TH/s, but I just fudged it... you did the actual numbers and came up with a very acceptable value of 2.34TH/s for 590W at the wall.  I wonder if they're going to go with the large heatsinks (like the S1/S3/S5) or if they're going to adopt the individual smaller heatsinks like in the S5+...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 05:04:48 PM
I hope they keep the same heatsink size. It's a fairly practical power density and I would not be opposed to seeing the S1 formfactor become somewhat of a standard for small miners. S5+ is a disaster.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 19, 2015, 07:08:02 PM
I hope they keep the same heatsink size. It's a fairly practical power density and I would not be opposed to seeing the S1 formfactor become somewhat of a standard for small miners. S5+ is a disaster.

Its good that you know so. I would love some PCB to upgrade S1s from you, if you can ever get your hand on enough chips. Even though it could be hard to get them out anytime soon.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 08:03:21 PM
Good that I know so what? All of that was hopes and opinions.

I'm hoping between myself and PlanetCrypto we can strike a deal with someone for chips. I would like to have a GekkoScience-branded actual miner (whether a standalone machine or "S1 Upgrade" or both remains to be seen) shipping for Christmas but it's not going to be easy.

I'm looking forward to hearing more info about the BM1385, an actual performance graph and such. That'd be nice.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jonnybravo0311 on August 19, 2015, 08:10:22 PM
S1 upgrades?  Who still has those ancient things? :P


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 08:26:05 PM
(the S3 and S5 use the same chassis so would also be compatible)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 19, 2015, 10:37:30 PM
Good that I know so what? All of that was hopes and opinions.

So nothing. Its good that you agree that the S5 was a rushed mess. That's my opinion on your opinion. In the end, just another opinion. :)

S1 upgrades?  Who still has those ancient things? :P

I do, at my electricity cost they still earn me, even after the BTC crash in the last 24 hours. So if the crash kick off some other miners, all the better for me.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 10:52:09 PM
S5, or S5+? The S5+, like the S4+, I have a hard time understanding. Now if instead of designing an S5+ with 7.7TH in a terribly hideous and cumbersome form-factor and very little improvement on technology already eight months old, or an S4+ using more-than-year-old chips in a mediocre and highly-overpriced offering worse than any miner sold this calendar year, they had retooled the S4 build around the BM1384, it might have been something. A 5x17 string instead of 3x17 of BM1382 would have built a 4.2TH miner in the same case, same heatsinks, same PSU. That would have been worth buying. A clumsy behemoth trying to extract 1KW from a box the size of an S1 and with about a 10% power savings over the stuff they were shipping last Christmas, with no good way to power it and no good way to even shelve the thing safely? Yeah, definitely a mess.

I got about a dozen S1 sitting on the shelf waiting, and several stripped-down dead S5 chassis as well.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 19, 2015, 10:57:06 PM
S5, or S5+? The S5+, like the S4+, I have a hard time understanding. Now if instead of designing an S5+ with 7.7TH in a terribly hideous and cumbersome form-factor and very little improvement on technology already eight months old, or an S4+ using more-than-year-old chips in a mediocre and highly-overpriced offering worse than any miner sold this calendar year, they had retooled the S4 build around the BM1384, it might have been something. A 5x17 string instead of 3x17 of BM1382 would have built a 4.2TH miner in the same case, same heatsinks, same PSU. That would have been worth buying. A clumsy behemoth trying to extract 1KW from a box the size of an S1 and with about a 10% power savings over the stuff they were shipping last Christmas, with no good way to power it and no good way to even shelve the thing safely? Yeah, definitely a mess.

I got about a dozen S1 sitting on the shelf waiting, and several stripped-down dead S5 chassis as well.

I meant the S5 design seemed rush and very inefficient compared to what it should be able to produce. For instance see the huge efficiency gain from just undervolting the 1.91v board to 11.5v. Lose nearly no hashrate, save 12% in power. *Roll eyes*
You yourself managed to do much better with that chip.

For the S5+ i don't even want to talk about it anymore. Its more a Frankenstein thats beneficial to Bitmain than anything else. In comparison the S5 is a gem.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 19, 2015, 11:14:15 PM
Well... the BM1385 certainly beat our predictions in this thread... it's slated to be 0.23W per GH (or 230W per TH).  Now we just have to wait and see what the actual units will look like.  If they're still drawing the same 590W like the S5, that's about 2.5TH/s.

 18 chips per string, that's a given from the BM1385 published specs and Bitmain's long-standing tendancy to run their new designs at "max hash/max volts".

 That works out to 2.34 TH at about 540 watts "at the wall", on a 2 board 2 string per board "same as S5/S3/S1" form factor unit.
 I suspect the actual final announced specs will be a HAIR off from that estimate, more on the power side than the TH side.

 I would guess the unit will initially be priced at 3.5-4 BTC, but that's a LOT more speculative and I wouldn't be shocked at anything up to 5.


 Release date? Whenever Bitmain finishes replacing their "farm" S5s, or when a competator shows up with working hardware or at least announces working production of chips (other than SFards, whish is starting to make me think "Sfarts" of late) of those competators that sell to the public.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 19, 2015, 11:17:47 PM
Well... the BM1385 certainly beat our predictions in this thread... it's slated to be 0.23W per GH (or 230W per TH).  Now we just have to wait and see what the actual units will look like.  If they're still drawing the same 590W like the S5, that's about 2.5TH/s.

 18 chips per string, that's a given from the BM1385 published specs and Bitmain's long-standing tendancy to run their new designs at "max hash/max volts".

 That works out to 2.34 TH at about 540 watts "at the wall", on a 2 board 2 string per board "same as S5/S3/S1" form factor unit.
 I suspect the actual final announced specs will be a HAIR off from that estimate, more on the power side than the TH side.

 I would guess the unit will initially be priced at 3.5-4 BTC, but that's a LOT more speculative and I wouldn't be shocked at anything up to 5.


 Release date? Whenever Bitmain finishes replacing their "farm" S5s, or when a competator shows up with working hardware or at least announces working production of chips (other than SFards, whish is starting to make me think "Sfarts" of late) of those competators that sell to the public.

Indeed, unless they need to kill off competition (again) they don't need to release this yet. This would just undermine their... mine. :)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 19, 2015, 11:37:29 PM
Don't forget the controller and fan power, which could easily be another 25W (becoming 28 more at the wall).

The S5 is inefficient for the chip, because it's running at the top of what's possible for it. The S[odd] miners always did that, and the S[even] miners came later with higher chip density and lower per-unit power. Inefficient or not, the S5 was the most efficient machine available at the time, and nobody's really beaten it in a cost-effective way in the last 8 months. Sucks to say, but that was a pretty optimal design when you consider $/GH and that efficiency was already "good enough".

I'm betting they announced the chip as a preemptive strike on Spondoolies or LK Group announcing new gear (speculative, of course). Quite possibly they're only toying with factory samples now, which is why they aren't announcing an S7 design or any performance curves beyond the one data point. Or they're only letting slip a little bit of info and they've actually had them for months and just aren't telling everyone about their already-deployed S7 stacks because they don't want to yet.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 19, 2015, 11:50:17 PM
Don't forget the controller and fan power, which could easily be another 25W (becoming 28 more at the wall).

The S5 is inefficient for the chip, because it's running at the top of what's possible for it. The S[odd] miners always did that, and the S[even] miners came later with higher chip density and lower per-unit power. Inefficient or not, the S5 was the most efficient machine available at the time, and nobody's really beaten it in a cost-effective way in the last 8 months. Sucks to say, but that was a pretty optimal design when you consider $/GH and that efficiency was already "good enough".

I'm betting they announced the chip as a preemptive strike on Spondoolies or LK Group announcing new gear (speculative, of course). Quite possibly they're only toying with factory samples now, which is why they aren't announcing an S7 design or any performance curves beyond the one data point. Or they're only letting slip a little bit of info and they've actually had them for months and just aren't telling everyone about their already-deployed S7 stacks because they don't want to yet.

That's true, it is still a good unit and will still be for a while. However the S1 was easy to undervolt. And quiet.(Still ROI able to me at 1J/GH) +Wifi
The S3 downclock well and is quiet. +Wifi (but no proper external connector iirc)
The S5 was meant to be super underclockable as well (remember the 0.2J/GH portion of their first information out?), but then suddenly it seem like it had to be rushed and sold cheap. As if they just wanted to kill off the competition. Only the latest PCB seem to handle undervolting. But i guess i'm speculating quite a bit in what could have beens.

And Yep, releasing those right this moment is still a waste for them. But the right time may come to be soon. They are possibly just keeping it as ammo to kill off the competition as soon as they come out.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 20, 2015, 07:40:54 AM
Don't forget the controller and fan power, which could easily be another 25W (becoming 28 more at the wall).


 Note that the specs they published on the BM1385 were the "at the wall" spec numbers, NOT the chip numbers, for power.

 I'm STILL saying they already have S7's built and hashing away in their farm/Hashnest.

 I suspect the CHIP can go down to more like .12 at "optimal efficiency" undervolt.


 The only "waste" to them on actually putting the S7 up for sale right now would be if they still have any of those S5+ things or any S5's left in their hands unsold. I'm CERTAIN that's the only thing they are waiting on, though if someone else releases a miner that might preempt them.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on August 20, 2015, 08:50:06 AM
Don't forget the controller and fan power, which could easily be another 25W (becoming 28 more at the wall).


 Note that the specs they published on the BM1385 were the "at the wall" spec numbers, NOT the chip numbers, for power.

 I'm STILL saying they already have S7's built and hashing away in their farm/Hashnest.

 I suspect the CHIP can go down to more like .12 at "optimal efficiency" undervolt.


 The only "waste" to them on actually putting the S7 up for sale right now would be if they still have any of those S5+ things or any S5's left in their hands unsold. I'm CERTAIN that's the only thing they are waiting on, though if someone else releases a miner that might preempt them.


It is very unlikely they have S7's already at data centers.  Don't really see a huge jump.  Unless they put in S5 slots and did not do a big batch.

I think it's likely they have prototypes or working models.  But I don't think they have a batch made yet for their dc.   I think once mass production they will likely list quickly on site.  We are not there yet in my mind.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: blindminer on August 20, 2015, 11:08:49 AM
oh men  :'(  I bought 25 s5's last week!  :'(


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: sidehack on August 20, 2015, 12:41:56 PM

 Note that the specs they published on the BM1385 were the "at the wall" spec numbers, NOT the chip numbers, for power.


I'm fairly certain that's false. The chip spec they posted was 0.216W/GH which translates to 216W/TH and the machine-level number they gave was 230W/TH assuming a 93% PSU; 216/0.93=232 which backs up that assertion.

My bet is 2x18 string, 32.5GH per chip makes 1.17TH per board at 253W per board so about 505W for the pair at 2.34TH. Add 25W for controller and really loud fan makes 530W. A typical 90% PSU takes that up to 589W at the wall, or a 93% gives you 570W wall. I certainly wouldn't complain if it came in under that. I also certainly wouldn't complain to see a chip-level performance curve chart like they posted for the BM1384.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 20, 2015, 04:15:56 PM

 Note that the specs they published on the BM1385 were the "at the wall" spec numbers, NOT the chip numbers, for power.


I'm fairly certain that's false. The chip spec they posted was 0.216W/GH which translates to 216W/TH and the machine-level number they gave was 230W/TH assuming a 93% PSU; 216/0.93=232 which backs up that assertion.

My bet is 2x18 string, 32.5GH per chip makes 1.17TH per board at 253W per board so about 505W for the pair at 2.34TH. Add 25W for controller and really loud fan makes 530W. A typical 90% PSU takes that up to 589W at the wall, or a 93% gives you 570W wall. I certainly wouldn't complain if it came in under that. I also certainly wouldn't complain to see a chip-level performance curve chart like they posted for the BM1384.

so 570 to 600 at the wall for 2340 gh =  .2435 watts a gh to  .2564 watts a gh


even at .28 watts a gh (shit psu bronze or worse) it would still be a solid improvement


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on August 20, 2015, 04:28:37 PM
Basically we're likely to see a S5 design/fan/noise thing with around same watt consumption but twice the hashrate.

Unless they continue that monster trend of 3x units.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: QuintLeo on August 21, 2015, 09:32:41 AM

 Note that the specs they published on the BM1385 were the "at the wall" spec numbers, NOT the chip numbers, for power.


I'm fairly certain that's false. The chip spec they posted was 0.216W/GH which translates to 216W/TH and the machine-level number they gave was 230W/TH assuming a 93% PSU; 216/0.93=232 which backs up that assertion.


 The spec I saw was the 230 watt / TH "at the wall" in that chart, the one that had the S5 listed at 510 watts/TH (which IME is a hair low, but some folks have reported hitting it in reviews).

 I'm not sure how much power a BB uses, the fan ALONE is about 20 watts though (presuming the use the same fan as on the S5, I don't see any reason they'd change that) and the linkage board/logic probably used a watt or two.

 I suspect the S7 eats a hair less power than the S5 did for it's hair-more-than-double hashrate - sidehack seems to be ending up at pretty much the same place as I did from slightly different start points. 9-)


Quote

It is very unlikely they have S7's already at data centers.  Don't really see a huge jump.  Unless they put in S5 slots and did not do a big batch.


 I don't see any reason why they would waste the time replacing Hashnest S5s with those S5+ things, only to have to turn around and replace them AGAIN with S7s. I do see a VERY FAINT possibility they have a "S7+/S8" design going into Hashnest.

 Those "used" S5s are getting replaced by SOMETHING, after all.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on August 21, 2015, 12:59:29 PM
Unless they continue that monster trend of 3x units.

15 or 16th monster..... muahahahhahah
i'd buy!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on August 21, 2015, 02:35:50 PM
Unless they continue that monster trend of 3x units.

15 or 16th monster..... muahahahhahah
i'd buy!

If they sell an 11th to 15th beast I will buy it.

If they go big

I rather they sell something that maxes at 2700 watts  not 3500 watts







Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on August 21, 2015, 02:44:26 PM
i was thinking of underclocking the s5+ to ~2.8kw :)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: valkir on August 21, 2015, 03:03:24 PM
I will prefer a 1500w-1700w max gear. So we could put that on a 15a 120v breaker.  ;D


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on August 21, 2015, 04:17:23 PM
Unless they continue that monster trend of 3x units.

15 or 16th monster..... muahahahhahah
i'd buy!

If they sell an 11th to 15th beast I will buy it.

If they go big

I rather they sell something that maxes at 2700 watts  not 3500 watts



I would have to agree with you there, Phil.

All of my circuits are 240 Volt @ 30 Amps = 7,200 watts.  It would be beneficial to put two big rigs on a 30 amp circuit without pushing it to its 7,200 watt limit for safety purposes.  If less than 2,700 watts, it would be nice to have the rig low enough to put 3 or 4 rigs on one 240V/30A circuit.

Does anyone have any speculation about the "cost" per GH on the S7?


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on August 21, 2015, 04:30:19 PM
In terms of the cost for the S7, I'll just bet it's more than you'll want to pay. I think that the primary driver for the S7 price will be "Whatever the market will bear". Unless they have some serious competition in terms of gear, they will try and extract every dollar they can for each miner. I don't think they care about ROI times, except to the extent that their customers do calculations and then buy or refuse to buy. Since the price of BTC also factors into customer calculations on return, that will fold in, but the number one driver will be what folks are willing to pay, large or small.

Right now, they seem to have approximately zero credible competition. The SFARDS pricing provided them with plenty of room to the upside. Besides, it's easy to lower the price later if folks aren't buying. I expect they they think there is plenty of pent up demand for new hardware, and they are probably correct. That won't lead to a low price.

Just my rather cynical $.02 on the pricing guesses for the S7.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on August 21, 2015, 04:42:41 PM
In terms of the cost for the S7, I'll just bet it's more than you'll want to pay. I think that the primary driver for the S7 price will be "Whatever the market will bear". Unless they have some serious competition in terms of gear, they will try and extract every dollar they can for each miner. I don't think they care about ROI times, except to the extent that their customers do calculations and then buy or refuse to buy. Since the price of BTC also factors into customer calculations on return, that will fold in, but the number one driver will be what folks are willing to pay, large or small.

Right now, they seem to have approximately zero credible competition. The SFARDS pricing provided them with plenty of room to the upside. Besides, it's easy to lower the price later if folks aren't buying. I expect they they think there is plenty of pent up demand for new hardware, and they are probably correct. That won't lead to a low price.

Just my rather cynical $.02 on the pricing guesses for the S7.

Thanks for sharing your thoughts, alh.

I only wish I knew what that amount will be...

I would almost be willing to bet the first batch will be gone in less than 12 to 24 hours.  Many more would be miners with power costs as high as $0.20 cents per kWH will be priced into buying this rig with almost double the hash rate at half the power.  We already know large farms, small farms, hobbiest, etc... will want to get their hands on this rig.  I can see the difficulty getting as high as 100 to 110 Billion by end of April 2016.

I may not jump on the S7 band wagon until batch 2 or 3.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alh on August 21, 2015, 06:25:35 PM
I would also argue that without announced specifications (hashrate, power draw, etc.), and a fairly firm date for product delivery, price is kinda meaningless. Yes,  we got some good insight as a result of the BM1385, but the rest is still highly speculative. There are a variety of possible results using that chip, all of which have their advantages and drawbacks, along with associated costs.

As I've said before, price is the easiest thing to adjust on a product like this. All the engineering stuff is difficult to change once completed, but we've seen Bitmain tinker with the prices more than once in a week back in February.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: alani123 on August 21, 2015, 11:45:32 PM
BITMAIN Earth S1, the beginning.

https://i.imgur.com/vxJsHbe.png
First of all, s6 will not operate on SHA-256 ASICS.

S6 will operate on 10mm supercomputers made from mutated, hyperintelligent human brain cells. Bitmain estimates that those miners are going to be so efficient and effective that about 1/5 of the world's population will in some way invest in bitcoin. The demand is going to be so high that the bubble that's going to be created will make Bitmain the largest company in terms of revenue and reserves on earth.

Bitmain creates its own state and decentral bank. Shortly after they announce that there's not going to be a s7 miner since s6 turned out to be so efficient that it will remain profitable until the day only transaction fees are mined.

That's when Bitmain decides to invest into spacecrafts. In record time, they successfully launch a manned mission to Europa, the frozen moon. They establish a base there, this way it's easier for them to satisfy demand for miners from outer space. They also cover the planet's surface with self-sufficient S6s and since the planet itself is so cold, they manage to overclock them at a stable +40% hashrate.

https://lightsinthedark.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/europa_tstryk.jpg

Hashnest.com is now the main source of income of every state, human being and company worldwide. The planet is renamed to Bitmain Earth s1.



Seems like my prediction wasn't that far off.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: valkir on August 23, 2015, 01:16:32 AM
Yep  :P almost that. ahahah nice one!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: jlauzon on September 10, 2015, 03:57:59 PM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on September 10, 2015, 10:12:50 PM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


It's $1,823.00; Not $1,923.00 USD + shipping costs.  Its been available for purchase at least a week now.  I bought on day two (2) of their first availability.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: torepia on September 10, 2015, 10:17:24 PM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


It's $1,823.00; Not $1,923.00 USD + shipping costs.  Its been available for purchase at least a week now.  I bought on day two (2) of their first availability.

He's talking about the S7 on hashnest. They cost 100$ more xD


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: dmwardjr on September 10, 2015, 11:31:27 PM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


It's $1,823.00; Not $1,923.00 USD + shipping costs.  Its been available for purchase at least a week now.  I bought on day two (2) of their first availability.

He's talking about the S7 on hashnest. They cost 100$ more xD

Thx for clarifying...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on September 11, 2015, 06:46:26 AM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


It's $1,823.00; Not $1,923.00 USD + shipping costs.  Its been available for purchase at least a week now.  I bought on day two (2) of their first availability.

He's talking about the S7 on hashnest. They cost 100$ more xD

Thx for clarifying...

Makes sense that they charge some for a PSU.   They are not going to eat the cost of anything.

Likely the 100 pay's for the PSU and cost of person to install it.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on September 11, 2015, 05:29:09 PM
The S7 is showing up on Bitmain's site. Sorry if this is duped in another thread.


The fist pre-sale round will be deployed before 11:59PM on October 10th 2015 beijing time.

AntminerS7
Price: 1923.0 USD(8.05349228฿)  Stock: 978

         Power: 0.249w/GHS
Maintenance Fee:$0.0005796/GHS/Day


It's $1,823.00; Not $1,923.00 USD + shipping costs.  Its been available for purchase at least a week now.  I bought on day two (2) of their first availability.

He's talking about the S7 on hashnest. They cost 100$ more xD

Thx for clarifying...

Makes sense that they charge some for a PSU.   They are not going to eat the cost of anything.

Likely the 100 pay's for the PSU and cost of person to install it.

Or they just use their own PSU, which they mostly charge you for, but don't give back to you ever. Sound clever to me!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on September 11, 2015, 05:37:07 PM
Now ... we need a new thread :).  We should be speculating S7+, S8, etc.   

So not sure who is the one who is active enough in this thread to do it, I think would be a good idea to get a new fresh start as this has already hit market.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on September 11, 2015, 05:37:56 PM
Now ... we need a new thread :).  We should be speculating S7+, S8, etc.   

So not sure who is the one who is active enough in this thread to do it, I think would be a good idea to get a new fresh start as this has already hit market.

Well you're plenty active, go ahead. :P Then post the link here.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: eoakland on September 15, 2015, 11:46:27 AM
i have been out of the game for a bit, i am just now seeing that Bitmain has an S7..that is nuts !   is anyone even mining anymore in California ?   :o


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on September 15, 2015, 02:27:51 PM
Power costs in Cali are very high.

I would think some diy solar is being done.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: gablay12 on September 22, 2015, 07:50:56 AM
There is a miner community in Boston and Washington.I have only one close friend running an S3+ in Cali (he is out of states for more then a year  ;D ).


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: carlosmnk on September 22, 2015, 03:15:10 PM
Hi, Bitmain has closed their S7 sales.
Could be they are thinking about launch a smaller S7? something like Antminer S7 mini? Or maybe S6!!

It could be a smaller one with 42 chips per blade and with "only" 2 blades, with the same S5 configuration, draining 640w "at the wall" and doing 2520Gh/s??

The price could be 4.9BTC

What do you think??


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: mavericklm on September 22, 2015, 04:13:15 PM
not happening!

see s5+.... that's why next step was an 1/3 s5+ look-a-like but with new chips

i don't see any ''business reason'' in doing an Q7 or other version besides s7 and s7+

time will tell!


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: gablay12 on September 22, 2015, 06:31:14 PM
There were 1000 S7 miners.They are just out off stock.Does any have an idea when the sales will begin on Bitmain's site?



Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: BitcoinNewsMagazine on September 23, 2015, 07:08:40 PM
There were 1000 S7 miners.They are just out off stock. Does any have an idea when the sales will begin on Bitmain's site?

Probably not until after S7 hash starts trading on Hashnest, and then restock late October. You can still buy an S7 to hash at https://www.hashnest.com/hash_currencies/25/shop stock remaining is over 800.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: VirosaGITS on September 25, 2015, 07:43:04 AM
There were 1000 S7 miners.They are just out off stock. Does any have an idea when the sales will begin on Bitmain's site?

Probably not until after S7 hash starts trading on Hashnest, and then restock late October. You can still buy an S7 to hash at https://www.hashnest.com/hash_currencies/25/shop stock remaining is over 800.

I don't know but i hope you're wrong. I and many of us still have coupons that expire mid October. Would be pretty annoying if we're unable to redeem or trade them because they aren't reopening sales for a month.

Personally i was expecting they would re-open as soon as they're done shipping, so anytime until sep 31. I guess that won't leave a lot of time to find a use for our coupons...


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: gablay12 on September 25, 2015, 12:29:56 PM
If you want to sell your S7 discount coupons you can contact me.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: soyab0007 on October 29, 2015, 07:31:27 PM
anyone having S7, please contact me


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: BitcoinNewsMagazine on October 29, 2015, 08:02:35 PM
There were 1000 S7 miners.They are just out off stock. Does any have an idea when the sales will begin on Bitmain's site?

Probably not until after S7 hash starts trading on Hashnest, and then restock late October. You can still buy an S7 to hash at https://www.hashnest.com/hash_currencies/25/shop stock remaining is over 800.

Bitmain announced today sales for S7 to hash will reopen Nov 3. They still had 600 S7 left for sale when they closed the shop and started S7 trading on Hashnest. No mention of price but it would be hard to imagine they could get away with increasing price.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: philipma1957 on October 29, 2015, 08:04:22 PM
There were 1000 S7 miners.They are just out off stock. Does any have an idea when the sales will begin on Bitmain's site?

Probably not until after S7 hash starts trading on Hashnest, and then restock late October. You can still buy an S7 to hash at https://www.hashnest.com/hash_currencies/25/shop stock remaining is over 800.

Bitmain announced today sales for S7 to hash will reopen Nov 3. They still had 600 S7 left for sale when they closed the shop and started S7 trading on Hashnest. No mention of price but it would be hard to imagine they could get away with increasing price.

if btc is at 400 they may price it at 5 btc.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: BitcoinNewsMagazine on October 29, 2015, 08:15:15 PM
Bitmain has always priced in dollars and as long as I have been following them I have never seen them increase prices. BW is already pre-selling B-Eleven (https://bitcoinnewsmagazine.com/b-eleven-14-nm-hosted-bitcoin-mining-pre-order/) hash for less than half the price of S7 so there is now reason to keep prices down.


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: p3yot33at3r on October 30, 2015, 01:26:06 AM
B-Eleven - a pre-order cloud mining contract using yet to be made super duper efficient chips.......

No thanks  ::)


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: toptek on October 30, 2015, 01:48:21 AM
This is a quote from a thread titled:  "GekkoScience BM1384 Project Development Discussion"

The following statement was edited by the original author but quoted by another member before it was edited.

No they haven't. All I've been told is S7 would be announced around July with the new "innovative and competetive chip" and that "right now we have no more info to the public". I would bet the comms are pretty similar to the BM1384, which was identical to the BM1382 as far as I can tell, but the pinouts and packages haven't yet been the same from one chip to the next so I don't expect them to do it again. Hopefully it wouldn't take long to adapt a functional BM1384 board to a BM1386 (or whatever) board if they don't change their IO protocols and voltages,  basically just redrawing footprints and rerouting some lines.

Then you can make some USB sticks, and make some return for the near future, I'm interested in the miners, but the questios is the cost of the unit.

If the numbering of rigs is consistent with past numbers of rigs by Bitmaintech, the S6 (even number) will be a large form factor with built-in PSU like the S2 and S4 models.  The S7 (odd number) will be a similar form factor to the S3 and S5 without PSU.

I would expect the S7 to be approximately 2 TH/s @ .37 watts per GH for a total of 740 watts to make it available for power from a 750 watt [preferably 850 watt] PSU.  

I would expect the S6 to be approximately 4 TH/s @ .35 watts per GH for a total of 1,400 watts from a built in PSU that is able to provide 1,600 to 1,800 watts for potential over clocking.

As for the pricing of each rig; only time will tell.  The price seems to fluctuate with the price of Bitcoin as of late.





well see with the new S7 coming @ 3.5 th in Nov, if it is still over priced , I'll hold out till Dec then sell all my S5 and wait for the new miner at a much reduced price in Jan or Feb, if that wasn't a BS story or even do one of the Group buys but that's not the same as having it in front of me .

I can sell all my S5 right now if want to for 300 to 310 and have them sold in no time till maybe Dec . add a PSU with a break out  board Maybe 90 more :) .


Title: Re: Bitmain Antminer S6 and S7 Speculation
Post by: notlist3d on October 30, 2015, 04:48:25 AM
This is a quote from a thread titled:  "GekkoScience BM1384 Project Development Discussion"

The following statement was edited by the original author but quoted by another member before it was edited.

No they haven't. All I've been told is S7 would be announced around July with the new "innovative and competetive chip" and that "right now we have no more info to the public". I would bet the comms are pretty similar to the BM1384, which was identical to the BM1382 as far as I can tell, but the pinouts and packages haven't yet been the same from one chip to the next so I don't expect them to do it again. Hopefully it wouldn't take long to adapt a functional BM1384 board to a BM1386 (or whatever) board if they don't change their IO protocols and voltages,  basically just redrawing footprints and rerouting some lines.

Then you can make some USB sticks, and make some return for the near future, I'm interested in the miners, but the questios is the cost of the unit.

If the numbering of rigs is consistent with past numbers of rigs by Bitmaintech, the S6 (even number) will be a large form factor with built-in PSU like the S2 and S4 models.  The S7 (odd number) will be a similar form factor to the S3 and S5 without PSU.

I would expect the S7 to be approximately 2 TH/s @ .37 watts per GH for a total of 740 watts to make it available for power from a 750 watt [preferably 850 watt] PSU.  

I would expect the S6 to be approximately 4 TH/s @ .35 watts per GH for a total of 1,400 watts from a built in PSU that is able to provide 1,600 to 1,800 watts for potential over clocking.

As for the pricing of each rig; only time will tell.  The price seems to fluctuate with the price of Bitcoin as of late.





well see with the new S7 coming @ 3.5 th in Nov, if it is still over priced , I'll hold out till Dec then sell all my S5 and wait for the new miner at a much reduced price in Jan or Feb, if that wasn't a BS story or even do one of the Group buys but that's not the same as having it in front of me .

I can sell all my S5 right now if want to for 300 to 310 and have them sold in no time till maybe Dec . add a PSU with a break out  board Maybe 90 more :) .

The interesting thing will be once we get Avalon to compare to both of them.  I think it will be interesting if it truly does have the underclocking many suspect.

Avalon will do two things push bitmain on efficiency if they are able to beat it by sizeable amount when underclocked.  And also a machine to push them a tad on pricing.  So really Avalon coming out gives us Hobby and Home miners a lot of hope compared to just 1 single miner being out.