Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Long-term offers => Topic started by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 04:48:10 PM



Title: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 04:48:10 PM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp (lol)   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      Seems to have paid back his small ponzi to create trust for next scam      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: P4man on September 01, 2012, 05:03:17 PM
As Joel Katz argued convincingly, mybitcointrade (star/ziggy) would be a Stock Generation ploy, not a traditional ponzi:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.msg1087555#msg1087555

I also dont think Starfish is a ponzi, although any faith I might have had in Patrick and particularly his judgement is long gone. Dont know the others, wont comment.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: ShadowAlexey on September 01, 2012, 05:03:32 PM
Em, do you take into account fact that mining operationing can give you 3-4%/w of return?
By the way, u still havnt prove that btcst was ponzi, as others. In Business you cant make money when they are laying in your pocket, it means, that you cant return everyones money so easily... Why wont u go to the bank and tell them that they are ponzii, because it cant payout to everyone at once?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: P4man on September 01, 2012, 05:31:04 PM
Em, do you take into account fact that mining operationing can give you 3-4%/w of return?

only on an asset that continually loses value, and generally much faster than the dividend payouts. In the end you will lose on all those mining bonds, not win, but they arent ponzi's, just bad investments.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: dank on September 01, 2012, 05:33:46 PM
That's nice, Dank Bank isn't up there.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 05:51:44 PM
That's nice, Dank Bank isn't up there.

im sorry but your scam isn't organized enough to be a ponzi.  did anyone buy u a house or car yet?  i think u have a chance given how easily tricked this community is.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 05:57:16 PM
Em, do you take into account fact that mining operationing can give you 3-4%/w of return?
By the way, u still havnt prove that btcst was ponzi, as others. In Business you cant make money when they are laying in your pocket, it means, that you cant return everyones money so easily... Why wont u go to the bank and tell them that they are ponzii, because it cant payout to everyone at once?

1) comparing a traditional bank to these 2bit ponzis insults science.  In the USA bank assets must be > total deposits.  FDIC insures this.  a "bank run" is not comparable to how a Ponzi unfolds

2) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ah0rJ1eK8mwpdEs2MFRfbGQybGhNamo1aGhDSURaT1E#gid=0  here is a doc showing how at 7% per week if you invest $100 it returns $130 trillion in 8 yrs.  still think its not a Ponzi?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 01, 2012, 06:08:25 PM
That's nice, Dank Bank isn't up there.

im sorry but your scam isn't organized enough to be a ponzi.

...I just spit Coke all over my keyboard reading that...lol


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: dank on September 01, 2012, 06:18:57 PM
That's nice, Dank Bank isn't up there.

im sorry but your scam isn't organized enough to be a ponzi.  did anyone buy u a house or car yet?  i think u have a chance given how easily tricked this community is.
If it's not a ponzi, how is it a scam?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: ShadowAlexey on September 01, 2012, 06:19:57 PM
Em, do you take into account fact that mining operationing can give you 3-4%/w of return?
By the way, u still havnt prove that btcst was ponzi, as others. In Business you cant make money when they are laying in your pocket, it means, that you cant return everyones money so easily... Why wont u go to the bank and tell them that they are ponzii, because it cant payout to everyone at once?

1) comparing a traditional bank to these 2bit ponzis insults science.  In the USA bank assets must be > total deposits.  FDIC insures this.  a "bank run" is not comparable to how a Ponzi unfolds

2) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ah0rJ1eK8mwpdEs2MFRfbGQybGhNamo1aGhDSURaT1E#gid=0  here is a doc showing how at 7% per week if you invest $100 it returns $130 trillion in 8 yrs.  still think its not a Ponzi?
Hey, who told you that pirate or others dont have assets over their total deposits? They can be absolutely same with banks. They just need time to turn they assets to btc. In some cases this might not be possible in short time, same with banks.

You are still judging on facts, that no one promised you. Where have u read that this would last for even one year guaranteed? Everyone is saying only about next 2-3 month MAX, and in that case they are much lower that 7%/w


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: EskimoBob on September 01, 2012, 06:27:05 PM
Micon, you are missing your poker scam site from the list. LOL
 


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Raoul Duke on September 01, 2012, 06:29:11 PM
That's nice, Dank Bank isn't up there.

im sorry but your scam isn't organized enough to be a ponzi.  did anyone buy u a house or car yet?  i think u have a chance given how easily tricked this community is.
If it's not a ponzi, how is it a scam?

Oh, shit. "Byron", dank is kicking your ass. This will be fun.
Don't bother resplying to me as I'll only see it if someone quotes you.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: P4man on September 01, 2012, 06:30:27 PM
Hey, who told you that pirate or others dont have assets over their total deposits? They can be absolutely same with banks. They just need time to turn they assets to btc. In some cases this might not be possible in short time, same with banks.

Banks disclose their assets and revenue streams. Ponzi's do not. Moreover, its up to the creditor to prove his creditworthiness, not the other way around. If you go  to a bank and ask for a loan, the bank will ask you to prove your creditworthiness through income or assets; you dont tell the bank  to prove you are a broke bummer.  You could (and probably should) ask the bank to prove they are solvent before depositing there though.

If you dont want your scheme to be labeled as a ponzi, all you have to do is prove a credible revenue stream that can generate those interest rates and prove your assets. If you fail to do both, it should be assumed a ponzi.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: ShadowAlexey on September 01, 2012, 06:39:16 PM
Bank wont provide me info.
And patrik provides where his funds is used in, so whats the problem?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: greyhawk on September 01, 2012, 06:41:31 PM
Bank wont provide me info.

Where do you live?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: P4man on September 01, 2012, 06:44:01 PM
Bank wont provide me info.

Dont be silly.

Quote
And patrik provides where his funds is used in, so whats the problem?

Like I said, I dont think Patricks fund is a ponzi. Unlike you or pirate, he does disclose financial information and revenue streams. That doesnt mean Id be willing to invest in him because I dont trust his judgement at all, but a ponzi, no, most likely not.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 09:32:51 PM
Bank wont provide me info.

Dont be silly.


Agreed.  I will be happy to argue if someone feels differently than me, but keep it lofty.  Let's say you bank at Bank of America, like over 25% of Americans do (this point is scary to me, BTW)  Well BOA is a publicly traded company, required to post quarterly financials which are verified by the SEC, and easily obtained:

http://money.cnn.com/quote/financials/financials.html?symb=BAC&dataSet=BS

so there is the Bank of America balance sheet showing assets and liabilities.



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: repentance on September 01, 2012, 09:41:36 PM
Not all scams are ponzis but just because they aren't a ponzi doesn't mean they're not a scam or that they're viable.

I agree that "long-term offers" is an inappropriate label for many of the high-risk programmes being offered and that a more suitable way of segregating the different types of investments being offered needs to be found.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 09:42:00 PM

I also dont think Starfish is a ponzi, although any faith I might have had in Patrick and particularly his judgement is long gone. Dont know the others, wont comment.

nope, total Ponzi for Starfish / PatrickHarnett

1%/wk to borrow money is still crack prices, still yields you owing giant interest as scam builds, and he is even making up increasing numbers month-over-month to show you the business is growing.    This one is a slow Ponzi.  


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 01, 2012, 09:42:28 PM
Not all scams are ponzis but just because they aren't a ponzi doesn't mean they're not a scam or that they're viable.

I agree that "long-term offers" is an inappropriate label for many of the high-risk programmes being offered and that a more suitable way of segregating the different types of investments being offered needs to be found.

by APR % IMO


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: FreeMoney on September 01, 2012, 09:45:57 PM
Micon, you are missing your poker scam site from the list. LOL
 

It is my poker site and it isn't a scam.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: 556j on September 01, 2012, 10:45:56 PM

I also dont think Starfish is a ponzi, although any faith I might have had in Patrick and particularly his judgement is long gone. Dont know the others, wont comment.

nope, total Ponzi for Starfish / PatrickHarnett

1%/wk to borrow money is still crack prices, still yields you owing giant interest as scam builds, and he is even making up increasing numbers month-over-month to show you the business is growing.    This one is a slow Ponzi.  


btc is different than USD. What do you think of 0.5%/week? Total scam in anything denominated in USD right? But fastcash4bitcoins.com took out a loan like this. This is a reputable business with proven business model, do you think it's unreasonable for unproven entities to pay slightly more interest in loans? To accuire btc cost upwards of 4% if you deal with shitbag companies like bitinstant that pay their employees slave wages with no benefits and no insurance, so the interest isn't that unreasonable. Patrick is very transparent as well. How many ponzi disclose their total deposit?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 01, 2012, 10:59:22 PM
I've asked nrd525 if he would do assessments on the offers in this sub-section based on his checklist.  I was looking at how the Kraken Fund would come out using his nine point plan and also how other institutions might fare.  However, I've appeared to annoyed a few people around the forum so I wouldn't consider expressing an opinion - not sure what I did to annoy P4man, probably something to do with Pirates.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: fabrizziop on September 01, 2012, 11:11:59 PM
Not all scams are ponzis but just because they aren't a ponzi doesn't mean they're not a scam or that they're viable.

I agree that "long-term offers" is an inappropriate label for many of the high-risk programmes being offered and that a more suitable way of segregating the different types of investments being offered needs to be found.

by APR % IMO

I don't think the starfish is a ponzi starfish. He asks loans at 1% per week. You must consider most BTC loans around here are at about >10% per month, so, if he takes BTCs and lends BTCs there is a reasonable business to be made, with a healthy profit margin. He is as transparent as he can be without disclosing personal info. I'm even thinking to do that at a smaller scale (small enough for me to cover losses) if I get the guts.

Personally I'd give him a lot of money if he accepted USD-denominated deposits, and I could even make some nice passthroughs in my country, taking the risk myself.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: TheOtherGuy on September 02, 2012, 12:05:23 AM
Not all scams are ponzis but just because they aren't a ponzi doesn't mean they're not a scam or that they're viable.

I agree that "long-term offers" is an inappropriate label for many of the high-risk programmes being offered and that a more suitable way of segregating the different types of investments being offered needs to be found.

by APR % IMO

So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 12:14:52 AM
Micon, you are missing your poker scam site from the list. LOL
 

It is my poker site and it isn't a scam.

I think he was referring to DonkDown or TheMiconSystem (an infobook a guy paid me to use likeness / make material for in 2005-7)

At this stage there are very few people I would do business with.  SealsWithClubs & FreeMoney are currently the gold standard for trustworthiness in this community.  

Attacks on others' credibility is deflection from the real issue - There are so many scams in this sub-forum right on the heels of BCST and it's time to clean them up.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 02, 2012, 12:15:20 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.

2) Realistically assess the risk to investors.

3) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place so that if they do take losses, they'll be able to reasonably assure themselves that those losses were due to legitimate investment losses and not just him deciding to keep people's money.

4) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place such that if there are reductions in the total worth of all investments, losses will be taken proportionately by all investors instead of processing full payouts to those who happen to withdraw first and leaving essentially nothing for those who don't withdraw at the right moment.

It's not a matter of whether it's a Ponzi or not really. There are lots of scams that aren't Ponzis. The idea is to show that it's a legitimate loan or investment. If there was something that was otherwise a legitimate investment but couldn't do at least two of these four things, rational people would not invest in it.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 12:29:00 AM

I also dont think Starfish is a ponzi, although any faith I might have had in Patrick and particularly his judgement is long gone. Dont know the others, wont comment.

nope, total Ponzi for Starfish / PatrickHarnett

1%/wk to borrow money is still crack prices, still yields you owing giant interest as scam builds, and he is even making up increasing numbers month-over-month to show you the business is growing.    This one is a slow Ponzi.  


btc is different than USD. What do you think of 0.5%/week? Total scam in anything denominated in USD right? But fastcash4bitcoins.com took out a loan like this. This is a reputable business with proven business model, do you think it's unreasonable for unproven entities to pay slightly more interest in loans? To accuire btc cost upwards of 4% if you deal with shitbag companies like bitinstant that pay their employees slave wages with no benefits and no insurance, so the interest isn't that unreasonable. Patrick is very transparent as well. How many ponzi disclose their total deposit?

1) BTC is only a different currency, same principles of economics apply and are modified accordingly (i.e. taking in to account the deflationary nature)

2) the culture of "unproven business models" must stop.  If you are selling drugs and need to buy precursor, you are likely browsing this forum in TOR anyway, so post the pix when you buy it. Mining? show the rig.  Growing weed and need lights? borrow, buy, and post pix of grow setup.  I thought for sure there would be a SR bond on GLBSE by now.  There now exists a culture of "just send me BTC, I do something, and much like everyone else in this sub-forum I cannot tell you what I'm doing, but I'll pay you 1-3% per week and even though I'm profitable, I always need new money.  Businesses usually take on rounds of funding.  Seed money - start the business, then it grows.  How could someone doing something profitable keep needing more and more new investment?

3)  Just because Patrick posts a list he made up of loans outstanding doesn't make him "very transparent" - do we have block chain results for all these loans and paybacks?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 12:36:50 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.


Once again JoelKatz nails it.

I will say it plainly:  I believe that PatrickHarnett is blatantly making up his statistics on number of loans, repayments, etc.  To answer the question he would have to block-chain verify these transactions.  When he posts his August stats, let's see some block-chain verified loan repayments & interest payments.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 12:37:49 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.

2) Realistically assess the risk to investors.

3) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place so that if they do take losses, they'll be able to reasonably assure themselves that those losses were due to legitimate investment losses and not just him deciding to keep people's money.

4) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place such that if there are reductions in the total worth of all investments, losses will be taken proportionately by all investors instead of processing full payouts to those who happen to withdraw first and leaving essentially nothing for those who don't withdraw at the right moment.

It's not a matter of whether it's a Ponzi or not really. There are lots of scams that aren't Ponzis. The idea is to show that it's a legitimate loan or investment. If there was something that was otherwise a legitimate investment but couldn't do at least two of these four things, rational people would not invest in it.


Thanks for the list Joel.  

1: Given confidentiality, and a lack of audit processes, it might be difficult to confirm.  I could get various people to verify the loans/rates/payments that they've made and similarly the list of dividends received over time from GLBSE and other investments that pay regular returns.  To provide the full list, demonstrating how 200 coins/week are generated I would expect people to pick on holes and deliberate omissions rather than the overall picture.

2: That's a good idea, and I do assess the risk of the loans and investments that I make.  I probably have one of the better databases of credit risk, but I still have some that have been spectacular failures (Rebate springs to mind).

3: Normally I take the losses, and not my customers.  Not aware of anyone that has had a loss on their deposit yet.  If anyone can provide a counter example that would be useful.

4: See #3 above.  People depositing to Starfish are not really exposed to the underlying.  When I consider some of the real-life bank runs I have observed, there can be queuing.  I think that if someone wanted to force the issue and required me to liquidate all my assets at a loss (rather than an orderly wind out) then they should accept that as their choice.  I have discussed that with several people recently and it is a feature of most investment funds/deposit schemes that coins are put to work, not simply lying around.

Also, thank you for noting there are many more scams than ponzis.  There are many scams on these forums, and I have had a decent number of people that have stolen funds from me either by simply running away with coins through to more elaborate identity theft.  However, I also have some other people I do good business with, some deals returning up to 5% a week (occasional), but more generally in the 2% to 2.5% per week range.  

I will add that currently I don't need any more funds to run the current business, and extra funds simply add more drag on profitability.  That's why I have limits on accounts in both number and value.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 12:40:29 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.


Once again JoelKatz nails it.

I will say it plainly:  I believe that PatrickHarnett is blatantly making up his statistics on number of loans, repayments, etc.  To answer the question he would have to block-chain verify these transactions.  When he posts his August stats, let's see some block-chain verified loan repayments & interest payments.

You mean like 6b92e6ad01b05c5a004a8425df2534d7465dcf9d11c78a139cf1813071f1cf15

or this receiving address: 1KSp4tdijUq4ghqWNmHBE9BiddqEGPLmHA


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 12:53:37 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.


Once again JoelKatz nails it.

I will say it plainly:  I believe that PatrickHarnett is blatantly making up his statistics on number of loans, repayments, etc.  To answer the question he would have to block-chain verify these transactions.  When he posts his August stats, let's see some block-chain verified loan repayments & interest payments.

You mean like 6b92e6ad01b05c5a004a8425df2534d7465dcf9d11c78a139cf1813071f1cf15

or this receiving address: 1KSp4tdijUq4ghqWNmHBE9BiddqEGPLmHA

no, like all of these: 

Quote from: PatrickHarnett
Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 13,500
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 29,400
Net assets 15,900BTC

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC


Also how much cash?  BTC?  what are "investments" ?  can we see some Block chain verification, or real world verification on how this money is used to generate more monies?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 02, 2012, 01:37:01 AM
2) Realistically assess the risk to investors.

3) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place so that if they do take losses, they'll be able to reasonably assure themselves that those losses were due to legitimate investment losses and not just him deciding to keep people's money.

4) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place such that if there are reductions in the total worth of all investments, losses will be taken proportionately by all investors instead of processing full payouts to those who happen to withdraw first and leaving essentially nothing for those who don't withdraw at the right moment.

It's not a matter of whether it's a Ponzi or not really. There are lots of scams that aren't Ponzis. The idea is to show that it's a legitimate loan or investment. If there was something that was otherwise a legitimate investment but couldn't do at least two of these four things, rational people would not invest in it.


2: That's a good idea, and I do assess the risk of the loans and investments that I make.  I probably have one of the better databases of credit risk, but I still have some that have been spectacular failures (Rebate springs to mind).
The point was that your investors had to be able to realistically assess the risk of investing with you.

Quote
3: Normally I take the losses, and not my customers.  Not aware of anyone that has had a loss on their deposit yet.  If anyone can provide a counter example that would be useful.
The point was that your investors have to know what will happen if they do take losses. For example, investors with Pirate took losses when Pirate failed to meet his own payout terms. Those investors now have no idea what the value of their investment is. Every Ponzi scheme will go through a long period in which people are told they didn't take losses and the investors are kept in the dark about the losses they are taking. There has to be a way for investors to know they have not in fact taken losses.

If your current total deposits exceed the fund's assets, then your investors have taken losses. If you're hiding that from them, that's a problem.

Quote
4: See #3 above.  People depositing to Starfish are not really exposed to the underlying.  When I consider some of the real-life bank runs I have observed, there can be queuing.  I think that if someone wanted to force the issue and required me to liquidate all my assets at a loss (rather than an orderly wind out) then they should accept that as their choice.  I have discussed that with several people recently and it is a feature of most investment funds/deposit schemes that coins are put to work, not simply lying around.
Are you saying that right now, the fund's total net worth exceeds deposits? If so, why don't your investors know by how much? Essentially, you are the only one who knows the actual value of the funds your investors supposedly own a portion of.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: VelvetLeaf on September 02, 2012, 06:02:12 AM
Don't you think a few mining pool with 0% fee should be added as ponzi too ?
Since they don't take any profit, you're at the mercy of the operator there, and they can close it anytime with by saying their site is "hacked".
I know some pools have been closed because it's "hacked".

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Comparison_of_mining_pools


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 06:06:36 AM

I also dont think Starfish is a ponzi, although any faith I might have had in Patrick and particularly his judgement is long gone. Dont know the others, wont comment.

nope, total Ponzi for Starfish / PatrickHarnett

1%/wk to borrow money is still crack prices, still yields you owing giant interest as scam builds, and he is even making up increasing numbers month-over-month to show you the business is growing.    This one is a slow Ponzi.  


Sad to see someone who has lost all faith in humanity. Is this an american thing? Here down under we still give people the benefit of the doubt which is why I tell Patrick off periodically when he takes the occasional risk on people which backfires ''fiscally''.

Why is is so hard to believe there are honest people in the world? Patrick donates more than $500 a month to our local homeless shelter and I get PISSED OFF (note the caps Bitlane) when his integrity is questioned. Google him for god's sake!! The man's an open book.*

Annoyed and vodka-powered (it's evening here),

Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

* Even his high school class photo is there


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 06:31:38 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.


Once again JoelKatz nails it.

I will say it plainly:  I believe that PatrickHarnett is blatantly making up his statistics on number of loans, repayments, etc.  To answer the question he would have to block-chain verify these transactions.  When he posts his August stats, let's see some block-chain verified loan repayments & interest payments.

Just as well we (Patrick and I) don't live in america where you can sue anything that moves. You are a screwed up sad person >:(

Wendy Wife of Starfish


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: jojo69 on September 02, 2012, 06:34:11 AM
LMFAO


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 06:34:38 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 06:51:17 AM
LMFAO

Great Ghost in a Shell avatar - Patrick has it on a t-shirt :)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 06:53:03 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)

She normally wears one-piece - maybe we'll do "private onsen" when we've in Beppu in November.

(and the btw - micon's done it now - Wendy's annoyed)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 06:54:16 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)

She normally wears one-piece - maybe we'll do "private onsen" when we've in Beppu in November.

(and the btw - micon's done it now - Wendy's annoyed)

Oh shit...I'm busted....damn text size in replies...LOL


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 06:56:01 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)

Sorry Pitlane, no bikini shots (I'm 46!!!) I do have a photo of my hip replacement scar if that is of interest...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 06:58:14 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)

Sorry Pitlane, no bikini shots (I'm 46!!!) I do have a photo of my hip replacement scar if that is of interest...

Don't worry. I am 38 and dig old chicks (I have to say that since I am also married...lol....and don't have much of a choice these days)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Buffer Overflow on September 02, 2012, 07:00:14 AM
Sorry to break it to you Wendy, but Patrick and I have been gay lovers for the pass 6 months. We have strong feelings for one another. Sorry you had to find out like this. ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 07:06:08 AM
Wife Of Starfish - Wendy Harnett (if you want to check I'm a real person)

Bikini Pics, or it never happened ;)

Sorry Pitlane, no bikini shots (I'm 46!!!) I do have a photo of my hip replacement scar if that is of interest...

Don't worry. I am 38 and dig old chicks (I have to say that since I am also married...lol....and don't have much of a choice these days)

I thought you were younger, but hey, well get the Skyline and Supra on the track and have some fun.  BufferOverflow and Wendy as reserve drivers.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Bitcoin Oz on September 02, 2012, 07:07:39 AM
So Micon, what else would you have PatrickHarnett disclose to show it is not a ponzi?
Anything sufficient to do these four things would be enough for me:

1) Determine that claimed profits are in fact profits from investments.

2) Realistically assess the risk to investors.

3) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place so that if they do take losses, they'll be able to reasonably assure themselves that those losses were due to legitimate investment losses and not just him deciding to keep people's money.

4) Assure investors that there's a mechanism in place such that if there are reductions in the total worth of all investments, losses will be taken proportionately by all investors instead of processing full payouts to those who happen to withdraw first and leaving essentially nothing for those who don't withdraw at the right moment.

It's not a matter of whether it's a Ponzi or not really. There are lots of scams that aren't Ponzis. The idea is to show that it's a legitimate loan or investment. If there was something that was otherwise a legitimate investment but couldn't do at least two of these four things, rational people would not invest in it.


Thanks for the list Joel.  

1: Given confidentiality, and a lack of audit processes, it might be difficult to confirm.  I could get various people to verify the loans/rates/payments that they've made and similarly the list of dividends received over time from GLBSE and other investments that pay regular returns.  To provide the full list, demonstrating how 200 coins/week are generated I would expect people to pick on holes and deliberate omissions rather than the overall picture.

2: That's a good idea, and I do assess the risk of the loans and investments that I make.  I probably have one of the better databases of credit risk, but I still have some that have been spectacular failures (Rebate springs to mind).

3: Normally I take the losses, and not my customers.  Not aware of anyone that has had a loss on their deposit yet.  If anyone can provide a counter example that would be useful.

4: See #3 above.  People depositing to Starfish are not really exposed to the underlying.  When I consider some of the real-life bank runs I have observed, there can be queuing.  I think that if someone wanted to force the issue and required me to liquidate all my assets at a loss (rather than an orderly wind out) then they should accept that as their choice.  I have discussed that with several people recently and it is a feature of most investment funds/deposit schemes that coins are put to work, not simply lying around.

Also, thank you for noting there are many more scams than ponzis.  There are many scams on these forums, and I have had a decent number of people that have stolen funds from me either by simply running away with coins through to more elaborate identity theft.  However, I also have some other people I do good business with, some deals returning up to 5% a week (occasional), but more generally in the 2% to 2.5% per week range.  

I will add that currently I don't need any more funds to run the current business, and extra funds simply add more drag on profitability.  That's why I have limits on accounts in both number and value.


Just out of curiosity what collateral did JRO list in his credit rating ? Does he have assets that creditors can place a lien on ?



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 07:09:05 AM
Sorry to break it to you Wendy, but Patrick and I have been gay lovers for the pass 6 months. We have strong feelings for one another. Sorry you had to find out like this. ;)

S'ok - I appreciate the ''heads up'' (as we say down here). Wondered where the new tricks came from after 26 years of same old, same old...



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: P4man on September 02, 2012, 07:09:57 AM
Sad to see someone who has lost all faith in humanity. Is this an american thing?

Patrick is all of  "humanity"? And for the record, Im not American, not even anglo saxon.

Quote
Here down under we still give people the benefit of the doubt

Really? So you can get a loan at a bank without providing any evidence of creditworthiness? You would trust anyone knocking on your door with  your money?

Where I live anyone taking in other people's deposits have to demonstrate their trust and creditworthiness. In the bitcoin world, this is 100x more important.

Quote
Why is is so hard to believe there are honest people in the world?

Its not hard to believe at all. Doesnt mean its smart to assume everyone is honest until proven otherwise, particularly if you are deciding who to hand your money to.

Quote
Patrick donates more than $500 a month to our local homeless shelter and I get PISSED OFF (note the caps Bitlane) when his integrity is questioned.

Im not saying patrick has no integrity, or even that he is a scammer, but its worth mentioning Madoff gave millions to charity. It doesnt prove a thing.

What Im questioning is Patricks judgement, and thats because of his utter failure to detect Pirate and half a dozen other scams and ponzis and give them undue credibility (not too mention, a lot of money) with his bogus credit rating system, vocal support and financial insurance. It has caused a lot of people to lose a lot of money, and will continue to do so.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 07:15:53 AM
I thought you were younger, but hey, well get the Skyline and Supra on the track and have some fun.  BufferOverflow and Wendy as reserve drivers.

Just because I act like an immature, spoiled kid.....doesn't...er... never mind ;)

..and yes. I love my Skyline GT-R.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 02, 2012, 07:18:55 AM
I thought you were younger, but hey, well get the Skyline and Supra on the track and have some fun.  BufferOverflow and Wendy as reserve drivers.

Just because I act like an immature, spoiled kid.....doesn't...er... never mind ;)

..and yes. I love my Skyline GT-R.

Respect for the GTR. I drive a Mk 6 Golf GTI.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 07:19:31 AM

Im not saying patrick has no integrity, or even that he is a scammer, but its worth mentioning Madoff gave millions to charity. It doesnt prove a thing.

What Im questioning is Patricks judgement, and thats because of his utter failure to detect Pirate and half a dozen other scams and ponzis and give them undue credibility (not too mention, a lot of money) with his bogus credit rating system, vocal support and financial insurance. It has caused a lot of people to lose a lot of money, and will continue to do so.

I can respect your question - I have made a judgement based on information that I had available.  i invested my own funds and, due to my link with the PPT.x series of assets on GLBSE, provided an early opportunity for people to invest in BS&T if they didn't have the necessary minimum.  Other people came afterwards and ran much larger pass-throughs.  

In the absence of any other bogus rating system, the unwary will fall for the more obvious scams, and I'm quite happy to consider improvements to the one I offer.  no one needs to adhere to it, and (again) it is simply a starting point for people looking to park funds.  I'm not aware of anyone that has come to me saying they have lost money because of it.

I repeat again, I know who Pirate is (which is why I have funds loaned to him), and I have a good understanding of the mechanics that would produce 5%+/week returns.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 07:21:18 AM

Just out of curiosity what collateral did JRO list in his credit rating ? Does he have assets that creditors can place a lien on ?



Yes, that would have been good to have - but he managed to raise a lot of capital on the basis of vapour-assets.  (definitely no rating given)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Justin00 on September 02, 2012, 07:31:22 AM
.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 07:38:17 AM
oooo random skyline thread :)

what typa GTR do we all you have ?

I had a 33 GTST (wrote it off at race track) and then a 33 GTR (sold it a year or two ago.. didnt drive much as was to pussyish after crashing the other one)

1989 R32 GT-R....a REAL Skyline GT-R ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Justin00 on September 02, 2012, 07:46:21 AM
can't argue with the truth.

oooo random skyline thread :)

what typa GTR do we all you have ?

I had a 33 GTST (wrote it off at race track) and then a 33 GTR (sold it a year or two ago.. didnt drive much as was to pussyish after crashing the other one)

1989 R32 GT-R....a REAL Skyline GT-R ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 08:45:35 AM
Hi PatrickHarnett's wife.  Nothing personal, just hate scams and feel the need to protect BTC.  Your husband is running a scam, and while it may be hard to accept it is the truth.

PatrickHarnett - back on topic - care to enlighten us as to where the ~$200k USD on deposit with you is working for the investors?


Quote from: PatrickHarnett
Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 13,500
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 29,400
Net assets 15,900BTC

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC


Also how much cash?  BTC?  what are "investments" ?  can we see some Block chain verification, or real world verification on how this money is used to generate more monies?

[/quote]


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Buffer Overflow on September 02, 2012, 09:19:49 AM
Your husband is running a scam, and while it may be hard to accept it is the truth.

Jesus, you certainly know how to insult someone. What are you actually trying to achieve here on this forum? Apart from annoy everyone.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 02, 2012, 09:22:31 AM
And back to more serious stuff - no, I will not be revealing my customer details and transactions.  I do not know of any entity that would so blatantly breach customer confidentiality in such a way.  If you wish to believe it is all a scam, reason isn't going to sway your opinion and I've already directed people to this thread for information regarding your warning.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Bitcoin Oz on September 02, 2012, 09:26:23 AM
Hi PatrickHarnett's wife.  Nothing personal, just hate scams and feel the need to protect BTC.  Your husband is running a scam, and while it may be hard to accept it is the truth.

PatrickHarnett - back on topic - care to enlighten us as to where the ~$200k USD on deposit with you is working for the investors?


Quote from: PatrickHarnett
Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 13,500
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 29,400
Net assets 15,900BTC

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC


Also how much cash?  BTC?  what are "investments" ?  can we see some Block chain verification, or real world verification on how this money is used to generate more monies?

[/quote]

Bitcoin mining returns a lot more than Patrick is that a scam too ?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 09:31:47 AM
And back to more serious stuff - no, I will not be revealing my customer details and transactions.  I do not know of any entity that would so blatantly breach customer confidentiality in such a way.  If you wish to believe it is all a scam, reason isn't going to sway your opinion and I've already directed people to this thread for information regarding your warning.

1)  you write numbers in an OP and claim "transparency" 

2)  you give other scammers high credit ratings and somehow convinced the mods to sticky it.

3)  your shameful actions are shameful.  I will be here to disrupt your scams and debunk them at every turn. 


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Metal on September 02, 2012, 09:32:05 AM
Clearly, the "How to Identify a Ponzi (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=100696.0;all)" post wasn't clear enough. The very first "hint" that something "might" be a ponzi was: > 50% APR.

Indeed, it makes no sense to ask people to lend you money at those ridiculously high rates. It's literally pissing away money. Even credit card companies' usury rates are nowhere near as bad.

So, props to Micon for trying to make it clearer. Too bad nobody will listen, as usual.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 10:46:58 AM
Clearly, the "How to Identify a Ponzi (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=100696.0;all)" post wasn't clear enough. The very first "hint" that something "might" be a ponzi was: > 50% APR.

Indeed, it makes no sense to ask people to lend you money at those ridiculously high rates. It's literally pissing away money. Even credit card companies' usury rates are nowhere near as bad.

So, props to Micon for trying to make it clearer. Too bad nobody will listen, as usual.


I ask you to join me Metal.

This culture of blatant scamming is embarrassing legit BTC operations like SealsWithClubs.  We can't be known as the scam-currency and expect to grow.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 10:52:44 AM
You can't correct people's greed.....

Look at GPUMAX, a 'Mining Service' ? Clearly a Money Laundering Operation, withheld miner payouts for days during this 'Pirate Fiasco' yet they get a quick taste of Bitcoins again and EVERYONE flocks back to them in droves.

People are fucking retards.

In the words of another great man, who, himself was a great scammer:
Quote
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice...and...er....we can't get fooled again


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: matthewh3 on September 02, 2012, 01:53:40 PM
http://ripper234.com/p/why-i-trust-patrick-harnett/

Disclosure I have small balances with Patrick Harnett and HashKing.  The reason I've split my money between two investors is to offer a better balance if one defaults.  Remember don't invest what you can't afford to loose.  Also I was discussing a possible very large loan off one of them not too long ago so I can see how they make money.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 02:16:21 PM
The reason I've split my money between two investors is to offer a better balance if one defaults.

Well, under the circumstances, you should be thanking your lucky stars that you did.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on September 02, 2012, 02:17:25 PM
Look at GPUMAX, a 'Mining Service' ? Clearly a Money Laundering Operation, withheld miner payouts for days during this 'Pirate Fiasco' yet they get a quick taste of Bitcoins again and EVERYONE flocks back to them in droves.
Although, payments are once again current. I just got paid by them again. Hey, maybe I have a part of your "2650" BTC  ;)

Hi PatrickHarnett's wife.  Nothing personal, just hate scams and feel the need to protect BTC.  Your husband is running a scam, and while it may be hard to accept it is the truth.
Can we please try to be civil? I can understand why Patrick wants to keep some of his personal details off the forum (although he's not terribly difficult to find if you look - If you must go on another crusade why not look up Patrick's phone number on google and you can call him to discuss this directly?)
I did have some small deposit with Patrick until recently - shortly after the BS&T collapse when my hopping proxy was also having a run of particularly bad luck, I decided to liquidate some of my investments until the storm died down, much as Kluge has done.

Speaking of which, why do you have Kluge on this list? Find me a ponzi that flat out stops accepting any new deposits due to market conditions. It's not even like Kluge's rates are hard to make in the bitcoin environment.

Finally - Quick question for Patrick - I notice you were buying BitcoinMax accounts soon after the BS&T collapse. How do you value these when determining overall liquidity (right now it seems like you've taken a really substantial hit on a mark-to-market basis) and what's your overall BS&T exposure looking like? That's got to be a pretty significant drag on your balance sheet...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 03:00:32 PM
Look at GPUMAX, a 'Mining Service' ? Clearly a Money Laundering Operation, withheld miner payouts for days during this 'Pirate Fiasco' yet they get a quick taste of Bitcoins again and EVERYONE flocks back to them in droves.
Although, payments are once again current. I just got paid by them again. Hey, maybe I have a part of your "2650" BTC  ;)

And there it is. Regardless of what Trendon has done or is involved in doing, at the end of the day, the community at large seems to have spoken again and what they are saying is: MONEY TALKS.

People can not be cured of GREED and will continue to use that service. As I have said previously, I was booted out of GPUMAX in Feb or March for 1 week, then got back in. I finally quit (by my own doing) in May. I didn't care about the extra $5/day I would make.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: AndrewBUD on September 02, 2012, 03:18:43 PM
Look at GPUMAX, a 'Mining Service' ? Clearly a Money Laundering Operation, withheld miner payouts for days during this 'Pirate Fiasco' yet they get a quick taste of Bitcoins again and EVERYONE flocks back to them in droves.
Although, payments are once again current. I just got paid by them again. Hey, maybe I have a part of your "2650" BTC  ;)

And there it is. Regardless of what Trendon has done or is involved in doing, at the end of the day, the community at large seems to have spoken again and what they are saying is: MONEY TALKS.

People can not be cured of GREED and will continue to use that service. As I have said previously, I was booted out of GPUMAX in Feb or March for 1 week, then got back in. I finally quit (by my own doing) in May. I didn't care about the extra $5/day I would make.


I would never use that GPUmax,,, Stuck to the regular pools from day 1...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Dansker on September 02, 2012, 05:41:09 PM
We can't be known as the scam-currency and expect to grow.

Doesn't it simply prove that bitcoins are in fact becoming an accepted currency, now that all the scammers are here?

I would be more concerned if there were no scammers; then we'd have to worry!


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 05:49:36 PM
Doesn't it simply prove that bitcoins are in fact becoming an accepted currency, now that all the scammers are here?

I would be more concerned if there were no scammers; then we'd have to worry!

So by implication, if it's not worth stealing, it's not worth anything ?...lol


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on September 02, 2012, 05:52:57 PM
Doesn't it simply prove that bitcoins are in fact becoming an accepted currency, now that all the scammers are here?

I would be more concerned if there were no scammers; then we'd have to worry!

So by implication, if it's not worth stealing, it's not worth anything ?...lol
Yeah pretty much.
Personally I can't wait for the first time I see a nigerian scammer try to explain to someone how to set up a MtGox account.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Scott J on September 02, 2012, 06:32:29 PM
Clearly, the "How to Identify a Ponzi (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=100696.0;all)" post wasn't clear enough. The very first "hint" that something "might" be a ponzi was: > 50% APR.

Indeed, it makes no sense to ask people to lend you money at those ridiculously high rates. It's literally pissing away money. Even credit card companies' usury rates are nowhere near as bad.

So, props to Micon for trying to make it clearer. Too bad nobody will listen, as usual.


I ask you to join me Metal.

This culture of blatant scamming is embarrassing legit BTC operations like SealsWithClubs.  We can't be known as the scam-currency and expect to grow.
Do you accept that some people borrow and pay back BTC at 10% per month in the lending section?

Do you accept that someone could borrow BTC for 1%/week, lend it out for 2.5% per week, then pay it back?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: totaleclipseofthebank on September 02, 2012, 09:01:33 PM
You should add Obsi's 1%/day ponzi scheme to this list. OBSI.HRPT

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91646.0

Also, obsi's futurefund seems like a ridiculous scam. FUTUREFUND

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=87093.0


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: EskimoBob on September 02, 2012, 09:17:20 PM
Here is one for you. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77469.0
Not a ponzy but this guy is wasting investors coin fast.
It has lost more value in August than any of the defaulted PPT's.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: greyhawk on September 02, 2012, 09:29:08 PM
I love the part where he goes "I can't be labelled a scammer. I am a forum mod."  8)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 02, 2012, 09:50:53 PM
Clearly, the "How to Identify a Ponzi (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=100696.0;all)" post wasn't clear enough. The very first "hint" that something "might" be a ponzi was: > 50% APR.

Indeed, it makes no sense to ask people to lend you money at those ridiculously high rates. It's literally pissing away money. Even credit card companies' usury rates are nowhere near as bad.

So, props to Micon for trying to make it clearer. Too bad nobody will listen, as usual.


I ask you to join me Metal.

This culture of blatant scamming is embarrassing legit BTC operations like SealsWithClubs.  We can't be known as the scam-currency and expect to grow.
Do you accept that some people borrow and pay back BTC at 10% per month in the lending section?

Do you accept that someone could borrow BTC for 1%/week, lend it out for 2.5% per week, then pay it back?

These are very good questions and are key to understanding these scams:  

1)  Yes, I fully accept that there are a handful of legitimate users borrowing at these high rates (more than 1% per week, 10% for a 1 month loan, etc)

2)  however, there are not nearly enough of them (go add up a month's worth) to support the giant sizes of these high interest borrowing scams.  Vescudo alone has $25k USD on deposit with him.  RustyRyan has $6k USD on deposit.  PatrickHarnett has $100k+ with him.

Everyone says "look guys - people borrow at X% per week So I borrow at (X-1)% per week from you, handle all the BS, and we'll share the profits"  At the current size of this community, you could do this for a few hundred coins per month and make a very small profit.

Judging by PatrickHarnett's amateur-hour "My First Balance Sheet" for Starfish:
Quote from: PatrickHarnett

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC

looks like he is loaning out $88k USD currently.  Seems like the community couldn't support a fraction of this.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on September 02, 2012, 09:55:02 PM
Clearly, the "How to Identify a Ponzi (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=100696.0;all)" post wasn't clear enough. The very first "hint" that something "might" be a ponzi was: > 50% APR.

Indeed, it makes no sense to ask people to lend you money at those ridiculously high rates. It's literally pissing away money. Even credit card companies' usury rates are nowhere near as bad.

So, props to Micon for trying to make it clearer. Too bad nobody will listen, as usual.


I ask you to join me Metal.

This culture of blatant scamming is embarrassing legit BTC operations like SealsWithClubs.  We can't be known as the scam-currency and expect to grow.
Do you accept that some people borrow and pay back BTC at 10% per month in the lending section?

Do you accept that someone could borrow BTC for 1%/week, lend it out for 2.5% per week, then pay it back?

These are very good questions and are key to understanding these scams:  

1)  Yes, I fully accept that there are a handful of legitimate users borrowing at these high rates (more than 1% per week, 10% for a 1 month loan, etc)

2)  however, there are not nearly enough of them (go add up a month's worth) to support the giant sizes of these high interest borrowing scams.  Vescudo alone has $25k USD on deposit with him.  RustyRyan has $6k USD on deposit.  PatrickHarnett has $100k+ with him.

Everyone says "look guys - people borrow at X% per week So I borrow at (X-1)% per week from you, handle all the BS, and we'll share the profits"  At the current size of this community, you could do this for a few hundred coins per month and make a very small profit.

Judging by PatrickHarnett's amateur-hour "My First Balance Sheet" for Starfish:
Quote from: PatrickHarnett

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC

looks like he is loaning out $88k USD currently.  Seems like the community couldn't support a fraction of this.
A lot of bigger loans get made over IRC. For example Patrick has set up some big 4-figure BTC loans to gigavps over IRC. It's still possible (indeed likely) that some of the lenders are scamming, but your argument is flawed.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlane on September 02, 2012, 09:59:00 PM
Judging by PatrickHarnett's amateur-hour "My First Balance Sheet" for Starfish:
Quote from: PatrickHarnett

July 2012 activity (updated 1 August 2012)
 - 14 loans repaid  (approx 7800BTC)
 - 32 loans current (approx 8800 BTC)
 - 66 deposits (total approx 15400)
 - deposits repaid during the month (at call) >3600

Total liabilities (Deposits + other commitments) = 19,700
Total assets (cash, BTC, investments) = 37,100
Net assets 17,400BTC

looks like he is loaning out $88k USD currently.  Seems like the community couldn't support a fraction of this.

Hey Bryan, I don't want to get in the middle of this, but there are a few things that you are missing, in the current view of your 'Starfish Microscope'.....

I have borrowed from Pattrick previously at decent rates and I know for a fact that he also currently finances certain hardware purchases, so the $88k is very believable and from what I know, may even be lower than normal due to the recent uncertainty in the hardware marketplace with upcoming technology emerging.

...just a thought, as it was before 'your time' here.
Allan


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Scott J on September 02, 2012, 10:00:55 PM
A lot of bigger loans get made over IRC. For example Patrick has set up some big 4-figure BTC loans to gigavps over IRC. It's still possible (indeed likely) that some of the lenders are scamming, but your argument is flawed.

Yes, Micon's thinking seems to be based on the small selection of loan requests placed in the lending subforum. He underestimates the size of lending market.

People who take out large loans probably have existing relationships with the lendors and contact them directly. No need to post a thread.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: moni3z on September 02, 2012, 11:16:45 PM
Although I think this guy Micon is 100% correct, it won't make a difference. Not like everybody on this board doesn't realize they're investing in ponzi schemes. They do it anyways because they believe they'll get out before the scam goes tits up and make a quick couple of K. Look at all these ponzi's, this is not unique to bitcoin. Notice how senior members of the board get in early and get out quickly after making their couple of thousands. Then the scam bloats and pops, HYIP admin runs away with all the funds, restarts a new scheme and repeats.

http://www.talkgold.com/forum/f261-.html
http://www.hyipstalk.com/hyip-discussion/
http://www.hyipsurftalk.com/current-hyips-discussion/
http://www.dreamteammoney.com/index.php?showforum=111
http://www.italkcash.com/
http://www.hyipexplorer.com/member/
http://www.moneymakergroup.com/HYIP-High-Yield-Investme-f9.html (over 3 million posts in this HYIP forum base)

imho, bitcoin is perfectly suited for Ponzi/HYIP schemes. Not only can you sell the fact that bitcoin speculation can potentially pay off, but you can easily automate the scheme and run it even more anonymously than perfect money and liberty reserve. I'm surprised there isn't a massive bitcoin HYIP forum, and only a handful here. The only difference between the programs here and those other forums is the HYIP admin's didn't have to invest $50,000+ in advertising and listing fees to start their ponzi.

HYIP investment is just another form of gambling. Just like poker you believe you have the skills to game the system and beat everybody else who ends up losing.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 03, 2012, 01:13:54 AM
Everyone says "look guys - people borrow at X% per week So I borrow at (X-1)% per week from you, handle all the BS, and we'll share the profits"  At the current size of this community, you could do this for a few hundred coins per month and make a very small profit.
Until your first default.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 03, 2012, 01:25:02 AM

imho, bitcoin is perfectly suited for Ponzi/HYIP schemes. Not only can you sell the fact that bitcoin speculation can potentially pay off, but you can easily automate the scheme and run it even more anonymously than perfect money and liberty reserve. I'm surprised there isn't a massive bitcoin HYIP forum, and only a handful here. The only difference between the programs here and those other forums is the HYIP admin's didn't have to invest $50,000+ in advertising and listing fees to start their ponzi.

HYIP investment is just another form of gambling. Just like poker you believe you have the skills to game the system and beat everybody else who ends up losing.

1) The mods here gave (still give) stickies to Ponzi lists and before Pirate imploded the Lending forum had PPT stickies - best advertising you can get, and free?

2) I understand there exists "sharp" HYIP players - i.e. getting your principle out before the boom after making some interest - it does appear you could make money doing this.  I would personally never attempt this.  You are making a scammer huge money while profitting extremely small yourself.  Unlike poker, the losers are completely duped - they thought they were "investing."  Also the duped masses must come in teaming numbers for the scammer to make big $ and the +EV HYIP player to profit small.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: matthewh3 on September 03, 2012, 07:16:45 AM
Here is one for you. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77469.0
Not a ponzy but this guy is wasting investors coin fast.
It has lost more value in August than any of the defaulted PPT's.

What happened??


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: 556j on September 03, 2012, 01:03:29 PM
Bryan is mad because his poker "friends" think bitcoin is a scam.

 http://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/showthread.php?796-Top-10-Reasons-Why-Bryan-Micon-is-Piece-of-Shit-Scumbag

You can't fix stupid. People that cannot tell the difference between "bitcoin was a currency used in a scam" and "bitcoin is a scam" aren't going to offer anything to bitcoin. Your illegal gambling site stands to gain a small bump. However I believe it would be very small. And it seems poker players have a lot more reasons to avoid your site than just the fact it uses btc. The accusactions of you using site admin status to game your players is interesting.

I think at some point you do more harm to your message than good. I do agree most everything in longterm offers is some variation of class scams. But the way you go about things (hostile, aggressive, illogical) would actually add some credibility to the things you are trying to protect sealswithclubs (I mean the community) from. You could learn some things from Joel on that front. I know perzonally I will avoid swc. Mainly because the admin abuse/bot accusactions seem as likely to me as the ponzi/scam ones. Supported by the way you act here and your googabled reputation.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 03, 2012, 03:51:33 PM
Bryan is mad because his poker "friends" think bitcoin is a scam.

 http://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/showthread.php?796-Top-10-Reasons-Why-Bryan-Micon-is-Piece-of-Shit-Scumbag

You can't fix stupid. People that cannot tell the difference between "bitcoin was a currency used in a scam" and "bitcoin is a scam" aren't going to offer anything to bitcoin. Your illegal gambling site stands to gain a small bump. However I believe it would be very small. And it seems poker players have a lot more reasons to avoid your site than just the fact it uses btc. The accusactions of you using site admin status to game your players is interesting.

I think at some point you do more harm to your message than good. I do agree most everything in longterm offers is some variation of class scams. But the way you go about things (hostile, aggressive, illogical) would actually add some credibility to the things you are trying to protect sealswithclubs (I mean the community) from. You could learn some things from Joel on that front. I know perzonally I will avoid swc. Mainly because the admin abuse/bot accusactions seem as likely to me as the ponzi/scam ones. Supported by the way you act here and your googabled reputation.


1)  That post is from a long time troll, in a thread populated by long time trolls, on a site populated by long time trolls.  Read the entire thread - click on the OP and see all of his posts, scroll a bit... I think you can see a pattern of trolling + wild, false accusations - it's a culture of stupid, and I've recently exited it.  Not meant to be taken seriously

2)  Freemoney owns SealsWithClubs.  I'm the pro there and help market the site.  The software we use, Mavens, has no such "admin access" - again you are reading a troll whose message certainly worked as intended.   SealsWithClubs has a rock solid history and if players were getting hole-carded by management you would have heard complaints.  Download the software yourself.  Msg Briggsoft as a concerned possible buyer of the software - you just cannot hole card on Mavens.  Some on this board have poked extensively at the software, and I'm proud to say it's passed all tests so far.

3)  I agree I get emotional and sometimes post aggressively.  I promise you it stems from my passion for BTC and desire to make it better.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 03, 2012, 04:53:25 PM
Also of note, here is the write up of BCST, in Slovenian: 


http://www.racunalniske-novice.com/novice/dogodki-in-obvestila/bitconi-vredni-vec-milijonov-evrov-izpuhteli-v-piramidni-shemi.html?GSM36f88fbc4c3c56feeb257a445ff23069


while the google-translate is worth a chuckle, these are the type of stories these scams generate.  Yes most people are stupid, and will generally read "look, that scam currency again"  - well even though they don't understand, to make bitcoin widely accepted they have to trust it.  It's so imperative that the 90%+ of the humans that will hopefully use bitcoin and won't ever understand it completely trust it - that's what makes it work.   let's start building the trust and not killing it.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: dank on September 03, 2012, 04:55:43 PM
Also of note, here is the write up of BCST, in Slovenian: 


http://www.racunalniske-novice.com/novice/dogodki-in-obvestila/bitconi-vredni-vec-milijonov-evrov-izpuhteli-v-piramidni-shemi.html?GSM36f88fbc4c3c56feeb257a445ff23069


while the google-translate is worth a chuckle, these are the type of stories these scams generate.  Yes most people are stupid, and will generally read "look, that scam currency again"  - well even though they don't understand, to make bitcoin widely accepted they have to trust it.  It's so imperative that the 90%+ of the humans that will hopefully use bitcoin and won't ever understand it completely trust it - that's what makes it work.   let's start building the trust and not killing it.
Then why is it that you don't come off as a trustworthy guy?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Dansker on September 03, 2012, 05:45:01 PM
Doesn't it simply prove that bitcoins are in fact becoming an accepted currency, now that all the scammers are here?

I would be more concerned if there were no scammers; then we'd have to worry!

So by implication, if it's not worth stealing, it's not worth anything ?...lol
Yeah pretty much.
Personally I can't wait for the first time I see a nigerian scammer try to explain to someone how to set up a MtGox account.

You are both right in my book. Thieves won't steal things with no value, they only take things that are in high demand.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: greyhawk on September 03, 2012, 06:29:11 PM
Update:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=97094.msg1157225#msg1157225


Looks like you keep on winning.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: 556j on September 03, 2012, 07:39:00 PM
Update:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=97094.msg1157225#msg1157225


Looks like you keep on winning.

He will be updating that thread years from now probably.


Quote from: BurtW
New status.  To be fair to team Ponzi the interests was not paid out, it was credited to the account and is compounding:
Code:
Week 416: 14,617,865,502,836,800 + 1,023,250,585,198,600 (interest) = 15,641,116,088,035,400

If he exchanged then at today's rate he will have over 162 Quadrillion USD . Woo go Burt!! Just that pesky issue of 21m limit on btc, will have to take out some of the interest a bit early and payoff Gavin to fix that. Or just cash 21m coins every other day.

edit: math fail, fixed now.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Bitcoin Oz on September 04, 2012, 03:33:53 AM
Also of note, here is the write up of BCST, in Slovenian: 


http://www.racunalniske-novice.com/novice/dogodki-in-obvestila/bitconi-vredni-vec-milijonov-evrov-izpuhteli-v-piramidni-shemi.html?GSM36f88fbc4c3c56feeb257a445ff23069


while the google-translate is worth a chuckle, these are the type of stories these scams generate.  Yes most people are stupid, and will generally read "look, that scam currency again"  - well even though they don't understand, to make bitcoin widely accepted they have to trust it.  It's so imperative that the 90%+ of the humans that will hopefully use bitcoin and won't ever understand it completely trust it - that's what makes it work.   let's start building the trust and not killing it.
Then why is it that you don't come off as a trustworthy guy?

I wouldnt leave coins with Micon either. But hes not the one holding peoples coins for some unknown use.  :)



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: unclescrooge on September 04, 2012, 07:50:06 AM
Bryan, you should add TangibleCryptography to your list of ponzis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99034.0

Clearly, 0.5 and 1% weekly, ponzi!


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 04, 2012, 08:17:23 AM
Bryan, you should add TangibleCryptography to your list of ponzis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99034.0

Clearly, 0.5 and 1% weekly, ponzi!
Actually, Tangible Cryptography sounds like more of a publicity stunt than a legitimate investment to me. You'll notice that it didn't last very long and is now fully funded. Unless TC wants to continue it as a publicity thing, they'll likely pay off all their investors very shortly, if they haven't already.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: unclescrooge on September 04, 2012, 08:40:26 AM
Bryan, you should add TangibleCryptography to your list of ponzis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99034.0

Clearly, 0.5 and 1% weekly, ponzi!
Actually, Tangible Cryptography sounds like more of a publicity stunt than a legitimate investment to me. You'll notice that it didn't last very long and is now fully funded. Unless TC wants to continue it as a publicity thing, they'll likely pay off all their investors very shortly, if they haven't already.

Actually I do agree with you, since earlier TangibleCryptography "complained" about their lack of clients. However the business model is plausible.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: bitlover on September 04, 2012, 05:23:09 PM

Then why is it that you don't come off as a trustworthy guy?

What? You realize that to "come off as a trustworthy guy" is the first thing most scammers have to learn to do, right? Also, there are legions of trustworthy people that do not appear to be so and that only show their value when it is truly needed.

In other words, the only way to determine the real trustworthiness of somebody is to disregard any personal data and things that can be used to buy good will like "but he donates so much to the poor children" (Sorry starfish & wife, I am only pointing something that scammers can and tend to do) and instead pay attention to the hard and cold numbers, business models, market conditions, and results. 

Also, please realize that ponzi schemes not only benefit the scammer but also the people who manage to get in and then out at the right moment. Those people are also interested in making the ponzi run for as long as possible to maximize their own personal gain. Therefore, third party testimonials need to be disregarded too unless they come -again- with plenty of cold, hard numbers to back them up. And for the record "I invested X and got paid Y as advertized" is not good enough because that's precisely how (and why) ponzi schemes work.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: PatrickHarnett on September 04, 2012, 07:54:17 PM

In other words, the only way to determine the real trustworthiness of somebody is to disregard any personal data and things that can be used to buy good will like "but he donates so much to the poor children" (Sorry starfish & wife, I am only pointing something that scammers can and tend to do) and instead pay attention to the hard and cold numbers, business models, market conditions, and results. 


No offence.  maybe I should try to emulate the bullies and others that are trying to save everyone from themselves.  Anyway, I think my wife has a much better character than I do.

Disregarding personal data, all you would be left with is the record of loans/investments and deposit repayments that I make.  That might not be a good thing because I ran with 1.5%/week for half a year before dropping it to 1%/week.  Note these are nominal rates, and while it is little point trying to educate people about real rates and market risk premiums, bitcoin is not comparable to USD or most OECD economies, so the rates are different.  Borrowing at 25%APR for a house is not that long ago.

Happy to be a faceless ATM for users.  Don't forget you pin number.



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Metal on September 04, 2012, 10:45:02 PM
Darn. Looks like there are completely legitimate businesses that can provide bitcoin-long-term-offer-esque returns after all:

http://www.reddit.com/r/finance/comments/zcwp9/can_someone_explain_how_someone_could_be_stupid/

Don't ask me how this is even legal.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Mosrite on September 07, 2012, 04:20:51 AM
Byron Micon is the Ponzi Breaker. He jacks fools.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: dust on September 07, 2012, 07:06:45 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=60117.msg1165301#msg1165301
EIEIO and by extension GIPPT in trouble.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 07, 2012, 07:35:26 AM
Jesus, I was finally added. Micon, I've had principal and interest for loans listed -- it's been that way since I started taking deposits in March. I made loans (back in January) before I took deposits, and have been returning deposits for months, now, because I dislike the risk. My deposit amounts have been decreasing, not increasing. Most lendees have verifiable forum names. My name, phone number, and address are about as public as possible without publicly posting my ID. It doesn't really matter if people are willing to pay more for short-term loans than what you consider reasonable - that doesn't make the lender a ponzi-operator. -But, knowing that (or ignoring it because knowing what you're talking about takes too long) and still listing what I do as operating a ponzi implies you are a lazy loud-mouth troll.... or a dullard. (or both)


Now, let's look at what your actions have done. Knowing Pat on a much more personal level (we talk daily -- almost everyone in the lending cartel talks daily with each other), I can vouch for him as an honest, hard-working person - intelligent in the field he works professionally, as well as in what he does on this forum. He's basically facing a run, now. I've been put in a similar situation (not related to depositors fleeing, but bad loans leaving me starved for working capital), where I've had to call in loans (voluntarily, for them) at a loss. Pro-rating interest and then also having them asked to return the funds early would be kind of obnoxious. Generally, lendees get to keep all the interest they would've otherwise paid, and just return principal, since we're grateful they returned principal at all, given we need it *now* to pay out depositors. If any financial institution on Earth were faced with depositors fleeing at the rate we've experienced the past month, they would've all crumbled. It's not because they're ponzis, but because they (and we) rely on consumer confidence. We need that trust, and we can't have 50% of deposits jumping out the window all within a few weeks, because it requires we liquidate our assets at a loss -- a big loss. Lenders now leaving the market may indicate they operated a ponzi (and just happened to be returning deposits in all cases of people involved with the lending cartel), but, more likely, I'd imagine it indicates they're deeply annoyed by a small handful of people waltzing around with a shit-brush and smearing it on their faces every day, do not enjoy working capital starvation through the exodus of depositors, and of course, have a lot of bad loans popping up because lendees were quietly using funds to put into a Pirate account. Negative trends take away that light at the end of the tunnel -- but maybe you're just weeding out people who jump too soon - Idunno.

Keep doing what you do until you feel better about yourself, though - I'll be sticking around with ya. :)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: WifeOfStarfish on September 07, 2012, 07:53:38 AM
Jesus, I was finally added. Micon, I've had principal and interest for loans listed -- it's been that way since I started taking deposits in March. I made loans (back in January) before I took deposits, and have been returning deposits for months, now, because I dislike the risk. My deposit amounts have been decreasing, not increasing. Most lendees have verifiable forum names. My name, phone number, and address are about as public as possible without publicly posting my ID. It doesn't really matter if people are willing to pay more for short-term loans than what you consider reasonable - that doesn't make the lender a ponzi-operator. -But, knowing that (or ignoring it because knowing what you're talking about takes too long) and still listing what I do as operating a ponzi implies you are a lazy loud-mouth troll.... or a dullard. (or both)


Now, let's look at what your actions have done. Knowing Pat on a much more personal level (we talk daily -- almost everyone in the lending cartel talks daily with each other), I can vouch for him as an honest, hard-working person - intelligent in the field he works professionally, as well as in what he does on this forum. He's basically facing a run, now. I've been put in a similar situation (not related to depositors fleeing, but bad loans leaving me starved for working capital), where I've had to call in loans (voluntarily, for them) at a loss. Pro-rating interest and then also having them asked to return the funds early would be kind of obnoxious. Generally, lendees get to keep all the interest they would've otherwise paid, and just return principal, since we're grateful they returned principal at all, given we need it *now* to pay out depositors. If any financial institution on Earth were faced with depositors fleeing at the rate we've experienced the past month, they would've all crumbled. It's not because they're ponzis, but because they (and we) rely on consumer confidence. We need that trust, and we can't have 50% of deposits jumping out the window all within a few weeks, because it requires we liquidate our assets at a loss -- a big loss. Lenders now leaving the market may indicate they operated a ponzi (and just happened to be returning deposits in all cases of people involved with the lending cartel), but, more likely, I'd imagine it indicates they're deeply annoyed by a small handful of people waltzing around with a shit-brush and smearing it on their faces every day, do not enjoy working capital starvation through the exodus of depositors, and of course, have a lot of bad loans popping up because lendees were quietly using funds to put into a Pirate account. Negative trends take away that light at the end of the tunnel -- but maybe you're just weeding out people who jump too soon - Idunno.

Keep doing what you do until you feel better about yourself, though - I'll be sticking around with ya. :)

+ heaps


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: dust on September 07, 2012, 08:19:41 AM
Micon, you are missing the most obvious current ponzi: OBSI.HRPT (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91646.0)

It is within his contract though to take everyone's money whenever he wants, so I don't even know if it can be considered a scam  ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Grinder on September 07, 2012, 08:22:01 AM
Lenders now leaving the market may indicate they operated a ponzi (and just happened to be returning deposits in all cases of people involved with the lending cartel), but, more likely, I'd imagine it indicates they're deeply annoyed by a small handful of people waltzing around with a shit-brush and smearing it on their faces every day, do not enjoy working capital starvation through the exodus of depositors, and of course, have a lot of bad loans popping up because lendees were quietly using funds to put into a Pirate account.
So, you are basically blaming Micon for the problems you get from bad loans. I guess the irony is now perfect, because this is exactly one of the issues your customers have been warned can give you problems returning their money even if it's not a ponzi. It seems to me they should be glad they pulled out their money before the losses got bigger than you could handle.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 07, 2012, 08:59:25 AM
I guess the irony is now perfect, because this is exactly one of the issues your customers have been warned can give you problems returning their money even if it's not a ponzi.
English, motherfucker - do you speak it?!

But... I think I see what you're getting at. I wasn't trying to make a connection between The Shit-Brush and lendees defaulting because they were covertly all-in on Pirate. As it happens, I haven't had any lendees default on me since Pirate wound down, defaulted (it's always [since April or so] been policy to forbid lendees from depositing in another deposit program, especially Pirate's since he disclosed nothing about what he was doing) - but some did experience losses beyond what they knew they had exposed to Pirate. That's not Micon's doing (I wouldn't dare give him the glee of thinking otherwise).

But - yeah, bank runs are a big problem for reasons I've already given. It ain't rocket science. If the majority of depositors leave a bank within a month - the bank's fucked, and if the bank isn't FDIC (or with CUs, NCUA) insured, remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. OTOH, as you point out, if the majority of depositors withdraw from a ponzi operation - the ponzi op's fucked (well, he'd probably just leave), and the remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. So - could indicate someone's operating a ponzi, but that's no reason for Shit-Brush to get all worked up because his ponzi predictions have almost all come true.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on September 07, 2012, 02:12:46 PM
Byron Micon is the Ponzi Breaker. He jacks fools.
Not really.
If Micon spent half as much time researching as he spent making wild accusations he'd have a good picture of the financial state of every lender on here.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: ZenInTexas on September 07, 2012, 02:40:26 PM
I think it's highly misleading for anyone in the bitcoin community to use the words bank, insured, trust account, deposit account or escrow account.  This is really aimed at rational bitcoin citizens that are accustomed to the western style reserve banking financial systems; I think a more appropriate term to describe these entities would be unregulated broker, unregulated lender, or even wholesale broker.  Bank is the word of the day, the others, I might discuss another day.  But all of these words share a common element, they are used by regulated entities to mean very specific things.

Banks can only function, when they are trusted.  Normal western style banks will fight to maintain a high level of customer service and honor all withdrawals.  You probably didn't read the real world bank deposit agreement, but In the fine print, their is usually a statement requiring prior written notification on amounts that would pose a danger to the normal operations of the real world bank.  But in practice, this is rarely enforced, because delaying or dishonoring a withdraw, will result in a loss of what they value most, trust.

A real world bank, will try to maintain that trust, even when faced with the prospect of more withdrawals than liquid cash (ie cash on hand, cash in the cash vault), they will make every effort to honor all the withdrawal the same day.  They will request the product(yes they call cash the product) from the reserve bank.  But that will never be the case for the bitcoin community, since it's virtual currency with no central banking operation.  If satoshi was an economist, he would probably cry if he saw the word bank used to describe something in the bitcoin world.  I tend to think he was a idealist coder, and didn't really understand the complexities of the finance world.

To make money, banks take short term deposits, and lend the funds out for longer terms, the interest differential is the profit.  But there is an inherit problem for banks when loans default above the anticipated default rate.  Also, when a real world bank faces the prospect of more withdrawals than available funds in liquid electronic accounts, they will take overnight loans from another bank.  When they are shut out of the interbank lending market, the real world bank will approach a discount window at the reserve bank (in secret usually).  For these reasons, a western bank usually has to earn a license, and is regulated to ensure it has the privilege of accessing the discount window.  I think we should all consider the use of the word bank to describe an entity in the bitcoin community an abusive brain teaser.

Pretty much all lending operations in the bitcoin world that pay interest on short term deposits, at any given time may face more withdrawal requests than available funds - each and every one of these lending operations should be considered by definition a ponzi scheme.   Anyone that pays a high yield on a short term deposit, in the bitcoin world needs to be labeled as a ponzi scheme - just to make folks aware of the risk.  In other words, they are taking money, and returning a fraction as interest without the backing of an interlending market and/or reserve window.  It's customers may face a situation where they can't get their money back, when they want it - not when the bank says they can have it.  If the intention of the entity was honorable but described themselves as a bank or used the word deposit in their operations; it was naive to think their customer's won't make a comparison to ponzi scheme - if they can't honor a withdrawal request.  

It's self-righteous to blame the customer, when the entity can't honor a valid withdrawal request on a short term deposit.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 08, 2012, 04:13:33 AM
I think it's highly misleading for anyone in the bitcoin community to use the words bank, insured, trust account, deposit account or escrow account.  This is really aimed at rational bitcoin citizens that are accustomed to the western style reserve banking financial systems; I think a more appropriate term to describe these entities would be unregulated broker, unregulated lender, or even wholesale broker.  Bank is the word of the day, the others, I might discuss another day.  But all of these words share a common element, they are used by regulated entities to mean very specific things.

Banks can only function, when they are trusted.  Normal western style banks will fight to maintain a high level of customer service and honor all withdrawals.  You probably didn't read the real world bank deposit agreement, but In the fine print, their is usually a statement requiring prior written notification on amounts that would pose a danger to the normal operations of the real world bank.  But in practice, this is rarely enforced, because delaying or dishonoring a withdraw, will result in a loss of what they value most, trust.

A real world bank, will try to maintain that trust, even when faced with the prospect of more withdrawals than liquid cash (ie cash on hand, cash in the cash vault), they will make every effort to honor all the withdrawal the same day.  They will request the product(yes they call cash the product) from the reserve bank.  But that will never be the case for the bitcoin community, since it's virtual currency with no central banking operation.  If satoshi was an economist, he would probably cry if he saw the word bank used to describe something in the bitcoin world.  I tend to think he was a idealist coder, and didn't really understand the complexities of the finance world.

To make money, banks take short term deposits, and lend the funds out for longer terms, the interest differential is the profit.  But there is an inherit problem for banks when loans default above the anticipated default rate.  Also, when a real world bank faces the prospect of more withdrawals than available funds in liquid electronic accounts, they will take overnight loans from another bank.  When they are shut out of the interbank lending market, the real world bank will approach a discount window at the reserve bank (in secret usually).  For these reasons, a western bank usually has to earn a license, and is regulated to ensure it has the privilege of accessing the discount window.  I think we should all consider the use of the word bank to describe an entity in the bitcoin community an abusive brain teaser.

Pretty much all lending operations in the bitcoin world that pay interest on short term deposits, at any given time may face more withdrawal requests than available funds - each and every one of these lending operations should be considered by definition a ponzi scheme.   Anyone that pays a high yield on a short term deposit, in the bitcoin world needs to be labeled as a ponzi scheme - just to make folks aware of the risk.  In other words, they are taking money, and returning a fraction as interest without the backing of an interlending market and/or reserve window.  It's customers may face a situation where they can't get their money back, when they want it - not when the bank says they can have it.  If the intention of the entity was honorable but described themselves as a bank or used the word deposit in their operations; it was naive to think their customer's won't make a comparison to ponzi scheme - if they can't honor a withdrawal request.  

It's self-righteous to blame the customer, when the entity can't honor a valid withdrawal request on a short term deposit.
In the past, it's been fairly easy to grab a low-rate intralender loan in the cartel room way below market rates to cover depositor requests when necessary. It's been extremely difficult lately, though, because Pirate's pervaded into almost the entire Bitcoin economy. We all knew how pervasive it was and I had strong words against it at first, but when people pop up personally guaranteeing (falsely, in many cases, it seems) something like 2.5%/wk and we can't assimilate them into the cartel to get agreements together, the only way to be competitive for deposits is to try matching or dramatically out-innovating them. The Vegas event inspired a lot of confidence with me, too. In most cases, we individually chose easy, impatient methods of competing with guaranteed PPTs, and while innovations like IOUcoin.com and co-lender guarantees on deposits have been in the works, couldn't be pushed out fast enough. We fell way short, Pirate ended up being in almost everyone's portfolio, depositors left after fear came about from Pirate's default/collapse, and now there are liquidity problems just about everywhere.

We'll try to cover Imsaguy's debt (he's the only current cartel member who's defaulted, AFAIK -- I haven't checked on HK, though) and work out an agreement with him and his depositors (incidentally, his main problem also wasn't a loss on Pirate [though that eliminated his liquid reserves -- Pirate's program was very attractive in that it wasn't a "hard" fixed-term like many CD offerings], and his problems can largely be availed just by purchasing his BTC debt, "locking" it into USD, and stomping the interest rate down until he can breathe again). Pat has funds to back what he's lent out personally. I can cover everything I owe. Burt can cover everything he owes. James, AmazinRando, and the like aren't experiencing TOO severe of liquidity problems, ATM, AFAIK. I don't think AR did lending - he was just there so we could help fund. JG doesn't often lend, either, but I think he may've had Pirate exposure, which I haven't looked into how much affects him. payb.tc, Goat, and some others (ciciu, vescurdo, and obviously dank) aren't in the cartel, so I don't watch whatever they may be doing, and have much less interest organizing a way to cover whatever they may owe since I don't know them nearly as well as people I talk to every day. We lack a reporting process for depositors who were unable to withdraw what/when they were entitled to, and that makes keeping tabs on everyone a bit difficult. That'll eventually be resolved. We've talked about explicitly insuring each other (individually) off-and-on, but with Pirate pervasiveness, I've never wanted to offer it in the more public cartel room, and I never came to agreements with individual lenders, so we all operated without outside backing - and with Pirate pervasiveness, it would have been useless in many situations because both lenders are going to be experiencing liquidity problems whether they're directly exposed to Pirate or not.

This is a systemic problem, not isolated to any single lender. Everyone's experiencing troubles right now, and since intra-lender loans have dried up, there're also no solutions to helping depositors get principal if they request it outside of calling in loans at a loss of previously-accrued interest (I don't think any lender has "hard" calls in loan contracts - so we offer to waive interest if they pay us principal). In a way, this environment's challenge is kind of fun, but of course, it needs to be treated with the sense of urgency it deserves, as most people did only do short-term fixed deposits. Back when the cartel had maybe five people in it, we talked a little about a collaborative bond to keep us symbiotic and less cannibalistic... it's unfortunate collaborative bonds turned out to be PPT bonds.

There's a lot of anger, now, but it'll pass. We'll have time to think about correcting fundamental problems again, but there'll be this event to point to, demanding we come up with solutions now rather than later, putting a little more enthusiasm in the solution-finding process, I'd think. We'll see. It's ultimately still a fun, experimental process, and we're learning as we go along. Pat's place is in energy consultancy. I was an administrative clerk. Mark's in some type of non-combat role over in Afghanistan (I think he might be back - I heard him mention TWC being slower than satellite over there). Nick... Idunno what Nick does, honestly, aside from drawing a decent salary. Burt's an engineer and plays hockey. HK's a landlord. None of us have a particularly full background in finance. Hell - I just read a textbook by Mishkin, looked at the lending sub-forum and thought "why not?"

On a related note... people looking to fix us might have interest being in the cartel to prod us into finding solutions, and helping find those solutions. I'd be eager to have you in.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 08, 2012, 04:37:55 AM
If Micon spent half as much time researching as he spent making wild accusations he'd have a good picture of the financial state of every lender on here.
Why would he care what the financial state of the lenders are? He's not trying to work out the right timing to invest in a Ponzi scheme and pull it before it fails. He's not interest in when they collapse.

I can know that someone who promises exorbitant interest rates, promises low risk, doesn't explain his business model, has no apparent business, makes regular payments at a constant rate, and requires an ever-increasing supply of borrowed money at these exorbitant rates is almost certainly operating a Ponzi scheme (or similar scam). This is so regardless of their financial state.

Pirate appeared to be in a very good financial state (and perhaps actually was) when he decided to stop making payments. If he stopped because he was broke, it was not obvious. Knowing Pirate's financial state would, at most, have allowed you to predict roughly when he would default.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: imsaguy on September 08, 2012, 05:05:40 AM
Why would he care what the financial state of the lenders are?

You're right, he's not worried about that.  He's worried about making a name for himself by throwing as much shit at the walls as he can and then going with whatever sticks while ignoring the rest.  Why must his posts be titled "Bryan Micon's XYZ" when all of his posts already have his name next to them.  Putting his name in the title is redundant.. unless of course he's striving for SEO.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 08, 2012, 05:17:03 AM
Well since I was named...

I have bought back my Insured Pirate bonds...

I have bought back my Uninsured non guaranteed tygrr bond D... 
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=98421.msg1169673#msg1169673

I do not at all need help from the lending cartel and was able to manage my own risk... Yes I'm pretty destroyed by this mess but I still covered my debts.

Thank you...

Sorry - wasn't meaning to imply otherwise, just say that a lot of us work together to prevent depositors noticing any liquidity problems on our end in response to Zen. I'm focused on salvaging the situation, keeping us all in good standing with the community, and moving forward as a collective, and wanted it known - for selfish purposes.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: blazing on September 08, 2012, 05:46:01 AM
Well since I was named...

I have bought back my Insured Pirate bonds...

I have bought back my Uninsured non guaranteed tygrr bond D... 
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=98421.msg1169673#msg1169673

I do not at all need help from the lending cartel and was able to manage my own risk... Yes I'm pretty destroyed by this mess but I still covered my debts.

Thank you...

Sorry - wasn't meaning to imply otherwise, just say that a lot of us work together to prevent depositors noticing any liquidity problems on our end in response to Zen. I'm focused on salvaging the situation, keeping us all in good standing with the community, and moving forward as a collective, and wanted it known - for selfish purposes.

It appears that HK is having liquidity problems. My interest payments have been stopped. Is hashking a member of the cartel and will assistance be provided to him by you?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 08, 2012, 05:47:46 AM
Micon, you are missing the most obvious current ponzi: OBSI.HRPT (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91646.0)

It is within his contract though to take everyone's money whenever he wants, so I don't even know if it can be considered a scam  ;)
It appears to be a Stock Generation style Ponzi scheme. It's a scam because it claims that funds are actually invested when they are not. (Or they're invested in obvious Ponzi schemes which are not actually investments at all.)

Quote
The business receiving these investments is in the financial sector and currently expanding. They have demonstrated an excellent return on my personal investments and I thought now would be a good time to offer an alternative to the other high risk pass-through investment opportunities on the market.

The way I explain why these are so idiotic is by making this offer: Give me $5,000. I'll go to Vegas and if I win, we'll split the money.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 08, 2012, 06:06:03 AM
Well since I was named...

I have bought back my Insured Pirate bonds...

I have bought back my Uninsured non guaranteed tygrr bond D... 
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=98421.msg1169673#msg1169673

I do not at all need help from the lending cartel and was able to manage my own risk... Yes I'm pretty destroyed by this mess but I still covered my debts.

Thank you...

Sorry - wasn't meaning to imply otherwise, just say that a lot of us work together to prevent depositors noticing any liquidity problems on our end in response to Zen. I'm focused on salvaging the situation, keeping us all in good standing with the community, and moving forward as a collective, and wanted it known - for selfish purposes.

It appears that HK is having liquidity problems. My interest payments have been stopped. Is hashking a member of the cartel and will assistance be provided to him by you?
Possibly - though maybe directly not by me. We have no leaders, really -- I don't get a final say, and there are no explicit cartel funds anyone can direct. HashKing is a member, though. Nick I've met in-person before, so I'm much more familiar with, and he's helped me a LOT personally - including offering a house at no charge while I was shopping around with a bit of desperation. HK's relatively new, and not someone I've met in-person, though he's also helped me out before when I was house-shopping -- I think we added him 3 months ago or so. I'm more often a recipient of intra-lender loans than a giver, to be honest, and we do things individually (much more "Anonymous"-like than having any serious organized structure -- there are no formal meetings, for example), but given how frequently we communicate in the room, we're often familiar enough with each other that we help when members have problems. When I had my GLBSE account emptied just a month or so ago, the cartel raised the equiv. of ~$4k to gift me - without any solicitation (though some "anti-solicitation") on my part - so there's a good bit of debt I feel I owe. I can help organize - and the rest of the cartel can, too. I'll likely be giving Imsa a large USD loan out of personal funds so he can get back to focusing on business instead of crushing BTC debt, and that pretty much empties me out as far as liquid non-reserved funds go. There are still a few not facing liquidity crises in the room, but we need to go outside the cartel for "real" money real quick, nowadays. However, it could probably be said that our informal job is to match people who want money up with people who have money, and in cases where we have fixed-term deposits, we're more guaranteeing the loan (for a fee) than issuing the loan with "our" funds - so... business as usual, I guess, now with higher stakes. :)

From the little I recall from HK in the cartel room, his problem is in liquidity, not negative equity, so we might be able to come to an agreement with him which is amicable for his depositors if he is unable to repay them within a reasonable amount of time (I have no idea if that's the case -- I'm speaking out of my ass a bit).


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on September 08, 2012, 06:12:58 AM
From the little I recall from HK in the cartel room, his problem is in liquidity, not negative equity, so we might be able to come to an agreement with him which is amicable for his depositors if he is unable to repay them within a reasonable amount of time (I have no idea if that's the case -- I'm speaking out of my ass a bit).
I'll admit that I don't know enough about the details to have much confidence in my conclusions. But I would just warn you that an equity problem often looks like a liquidity problem in the early stages.

For example, say you had people who borrowed money from you guys and then "invested" that money with Pirate planning to profit from the interest difference. Now that Pirate stopped making interest payments, they can't make interest payments either. This may appear to be a liquidity problem because your borrowers are either still hoping Pirate will pay back or just don't want to admit that they aren't going to pay back their loans. Once time, these non-paying loans will probably mostly fully default. If you make (or guarantee) loans to ease the liquidity problem, when those loans finally do fully default, there will probably be no money to pay you back.

A lot of people who thought they had little or no Pirate exposure may find out the truth is otherwise.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Kluge on September 08, 2012, 06:42:07 AM
From the little I recall from HK in the cartel room, his problem is in liquidity, not negative equity, so we might be able to come to an agreement with him which is amicable for his depositors if he is unable to repay them within a reasonable amount of time (I have no idea if that's the case -- I'm speaking out of my ass a bit).
I'll admit that I don't know enough about the details to have much confidence in my conclusions. But I would just warn you that an equity problem often looks like a liquidity problem in the early stages.

For example, say you had people who borrowed money from you guys and then "invested" that money with Pirate planning to profit from the interest difference. Now that Pirate stopped making interest payments, they can't make interest payments either. This may appear to be a liquidity problem because your borrowers are either still hoping Pirate will pay back or just don't want to admit that they aren't going to pay back their loans. Once time, these non-paying loans will probably mostly fully default. If you make (or guarantee) loans to ease the liquidity problem, when those loans finally do fully default, there will probably be no money to pay you back.

A lot of people who thought they had little or no Pirate exposure may find out the truth is otherwise.
I don't think many would consider Pirate debt an asset when calculating equity, anymore, including those you may consider scammy morons. There are obvious, extraordinary conditions right now causing liquidity problems, and if that's not a relatively short-term problem, I'd have no interest in it. Pirate debt was particularly attractive because, if you needed to, you could withdraw at any time. That is in contrast with the majority of BTC-related offerings. AFAIK, nobody offers demand deposits, and many (including myself) do not even allow CDs to be called prior to the date of maturity, even if the depositor offers to forfeit interest (at least - that's policy... something voluntary can be worked out). Traditional angel funding (in the unlikely event anything significant's ever repaid) is probably the harshest to collect on since there generally aren't hard terms defining exactly what should happen, except when $10m+ companies with a brigade of lawyers are able to draft it up in a satisfactory manner. So, you might get a slip of paper (if lucky) saying you own 10% of Bullocks, LLC - aaaand... well - good luck turning that into anything useful. With regards to that, debt is a very attractive investment, because it has easy-to-define terms. I'm strolling way off-topic, though.

The point is (or... was) - those who kept reserve funds in Pirate lost a good chunk (if not practically all) liquid funds, and now need to start calling in loans or denying renewals. When working something out (Imsa's case is different [and relatively easy to solve] since he wasn't very involved with lending outside the loss on Pirate), we need to figure out how much they can call loans for, figure out who would be willing to honor a voluntary call, and start the slow work of making that happen, because, as you and I have both noted, there are lendees who covertly invested funds in Pirate and had no intent (possibly ability) of covering losses. We aren't going to say "Oh - you say you have 10kBTC in deposits, 15kBTC in loans. Well, okay, sounds like you're good to go - here's a few thousand coins until you're back on your feet!" It also requires HK consent to us butting in and asking him these questions... Idunno - I'm talking about him a lot and I've heard very little from him. I don't think he publishes his operation finances anywhere, either... I don't mean to speak for him -- Idunno his situation very well, so I don't mean to imply anything about him or his situation.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Bitcoin Oz on September 08, 2012, 08:37:59 AM
It looks like the tide is going out and a lot of people are going to be left standing there without pants on.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: zyk on September 09, 2012, 01:06:53 PM

Cheers Zyk ;)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 20, 2012, 10:55:16 AM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in

updated to keep up with the new scams


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: MPOE-PR on September 20, 2012, 07:41:41 PM
I must say I did enjoy reading the prevarications of a certain "administrative clerk" with delusions of grandeur. "Cartel", eh?

Kids these days...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: totaleclipseofthebank on September 20, 2012, 07:55:49 PM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in

updated to keep up with the new scams

why no obsi.hrpt? 1% a day? No business model?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: 🏰 TradeFortress 🏰 on September 21, 2012, 05:00:14 AM
What do you feel about this?
https://docs.google.com/a/glados.cc/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvwwyRGyc1WgdGFKVlAtZVAzOGNqS1Brd05MUlFlT2c


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: EskimoBob on September 21, 2012, 09:06:12 AM
What do you feel about this?
https://docs.google.com/a/glados.cc/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvwwyRGyc1WgdGFKVlAtZVAzOGNqS1Brd05MUlFlT2c


Feel? Feelings have nothing to do with it.

Start reading http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponzi_scheme (This is recommended to most of you, who love screaming "ponzy", every time you see something you do not understand. ;)

I had a chance to ask some questions from Obsi about the OBSI.HRPT. Hi is running a passthrough to some really shady crap and it sure stinks bad. Ponzy? Not 100% sure. Chat was in open channel and he admitted that he is not sure can he get the coin out before the "location" is set up and running properly. "Location" = new shop for debt purchases and loans.

You can add this one to your list: [CRYPTOSTOCKS] Private loan pass-through (WIT), Dividend up to 1.2% daily (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=110352.0)  This is not his first time here, scamming people for coin.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Namworld on September 21, 2012, 09:34:18 AM
What do you feel about this?
https://docs.google.com/a/glados.cc/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvwwyRGyc1WgdGFKVlAtZVAzOGNqS1Brd05MUlFlT2c

There's a thread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109679.0 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109679.0)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: makomk on September 21, 2012, 11:08:35 AM
Traditional angel funding (in the unlikely event anything significant's ever repaid) is probably the harshest to collect on since there generally aren't hard terms defining exactly what should happen, except when $10m+ companies with a brigade of lawyers are able to draft it up in a satisfactory manner. So, you might get a slip of paper (if lucky) saying you own 10% of Bullocks, LLC - aaaand... well - good luck turning that into anything useful. With regards to that, debt is a very attractive investment, because it has easy-to-define terms. I'm strolling way off-topic, though.
Which is of course part of the reason the SEC has "accredited investor" rules which restrict those kinds of investments to the wealthy - anyone else is almost certain to get scammed.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on September 28, 2012, 10:31:34 PM
Ty for posts about new-er BTC ponzi's.  Will update this over the weekend.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: AndyRossy on September 30, 2012, 10:34:59 AM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp (lol)   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: MPOE-PR on September 30, 2012, 10:29:41 PM
I must say I did enjoy reading the prevarications of a certain "administrative clerk" with delusions of grandeur. "Cartel", eh?

Kids these days...

9/30/12

Effective immediately,

I am defaulting on my BDK.BND debt. Beyond this, I will no longer be honoring the contract in the form I originally laid out. I previously intended to empty my non-legal wife's (we personally consider ourselves married, but legally, we are individual and thus have rights we'd otherwise forfeit) 401(k). I obviously did not want to do this, but it became clear it was necessary as I was looking at $200-250/wk interest on this single debt while having been financially raped by loans to various members of the community (No, Pirate is not the primary cause of my distress. Please don't turn this into some Pirate discussion.). After weeks of tha stress, on top of previous stress... heated arguments... -- this is no longer an option. I do not think her response to my actions is unreasonable (she's already effectively lost tens of thousands due to my actions), but this clearly affects my ability to repay within what I'd consider a reasonable time-frame. I currently have a negative net worth excluding my residence which would be protected under a personal bankruptcy filing which I will not pursue unless a suit is formally filed against me. I'd advise against taking action on potential cynicism, and suggest you give me at least a couple months to confirm I am indeed making a decent effort toward repaying what I owe.

I am unable to pay interest on my current BDK.BND debt. It's impossible for me to keep up with that, living expenses, and interest on other debts which are small enough where I can close them - and I apologize, in a sense, for the unfairness of how this is being handled. BDK.BND-holders, who I've always wanted most protected from risk, are now getting the shaft. I cannot subject my wife to more loss, and will be forcing BDK.BND holders to suffer as a result of my unwillingness to liquidate my residence. I apologize for the trust I've violated, the business mismanagement, and this default as a result. If I were unable to compartmentalize, I would be unable to write this. I am truly and deeply sorry. I also apologize for not having the emotional fortitude to prevent what I'm also about to announce: I will not be communicating much, if at all. I will likely not read anything written in this thread beyond this post for months. I just can't handle it when there are many things I need to do to get the situation in order. I will not be responding to phone calls, Skype messages, nor responding to emails. I will not be clarifying what I've written, and will not be responding to questions. I just can't right now, and understand how bad that looks and is. Again, I apologize. I will post an impersonal message each time I make a dividend payment.

All BTC I currently own will go toward BDK.BND payments. These will come in the form of irregular, unannounced dividends -- there will no longer be .001BTC/bond dividends each week. I will never buy BDK.BND back, and that section of the contract can be considered practically void. I can do nothing but assure everyone that I have no intent to make any purchases of BDK.BND units, and will allow them to trade freely on GLBSE as people value them given I have absolutely no information on when, and in what amount, these bonds will be repaid. However, I promise I will repay the debt as it stands, as I'm able. So long as GLBSE is active, I am alive, and earning income, I will continue to make dividend payments on BDK.BND units as a gesture of goodwill (and appreciation for not suing me into bankruptcy) beyond the .101BTC "hard debt" I currently consider as existing. Basically - I will be making larger, more rapid payments until dividends beyond this date reach .101BTC/bond. After that time, I will continue paying irregular dividends in a way which is appropriate for the gratitude I owe, and possible for the amount I need to live. I am unable to provide a repayment schedule or dividend schedule. Essentially - I'm giving what I can without forcing an unreasonable amount of loss (beyond what I've currently caused) onto my non-legal wife, and I naively hope everyone trusts me to be doing exactly what I'm saying I will. I'll provide instructions in my will to give an update (with death certificate) on this forum in the event of my death. Though things have been pretty shit lately, I am not at all suicidal -- just gave the info in that last sentence as an FYI.

-Ben

(Additionally... Someone may remember I recently posted assets/liabilities on my side. This included many of my non-legal wife's assets. The CU/bank assets have been largely emptied to repay CD-holders and my mother, who fronted us money to purchase this house [I've since defaulted on that loan, too, after a partial repayment so I could repay CD-holders]. There is still one outstanding CD-holder who has been excessively generous in providing me time to repay.)

(Many individuals have my home address [NOT the Spring Arbor address. That is a family member's house. DO NOT release that address.]. I would prefer my home address not be released publicly, but would also not consider public release of that information unwarranted. If you are coming for a visit, I would like at least a voice message a day or two prior. Harm toward family's off-limits, and I would physically object to bodily harm which may result in my stay in a hospital, as that'd further impede repayment. I am armed, so please keep ideas of physical violence in check.)

Hey, whudda thunk it....


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: JoelKatz on October 01, 2012, 10:41:18 AM
But - yeah, bank runs are a big problem for reasons I've already given. It ain't rocket science. If the majority of depositors leave a bank within a month - the bank's fucked, and if the bank isn't FDIC (or with CUs, NCUA) insured, remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. OTOH, as you point out, if the majority of depositors withdraw from a ponzi operation - the ponzi op's fucked (well, he'd probably just leave), and the remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. So - could indicate someone's operating a ponzi, but that's no reason for Shit-Brush to get all worked up because his ponzi predictions have almost all come true.
I can't believe I missed replying to this. This is 100% completely and totally wrong. Bank runs are a 100% solved problem. Bank runs do not screw depositors.

It's not worth going into detail here, but the basic idea is this simple: Bank runs can only directly cause a liquidity crisis. They can only cause an equity crisis if a bank or lender is so poorly capitalized they should never have gone into business in the first place. Regardless of how much of a run you have, the total value of both the lender's capitalization and its loan equity will always be enough to ensure the depositors get back both their deposits and all earned interest. There may be a delay, but the money will get back to them. (And it's not hard to avoid even the delay, however, the lender will wind up broke with its capitalization  gone.)

That lenders don't structure to avoid this problem, despite how easy it is, just shows how inept they are and how indifferent they are to the interests of their depositors. (Or, more likely, how they are too poorly capitalized to operate properly or are outright scamming.)

Any time a bank or lender claims that depositors didn't get their money back (other than a delay where all principal and most interest is returned) because of a bank run, they are lying. The truth is most likely either that they were drastically undercapitalized to begin with , they made bad loans, they operated a Ponzi scheme, or they outright stole from their depositors.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Raoul Duke on October 01, 2012, 11:15:22 AM
vescudero seems to have paid back in full and is thus not a ponzi. im sure you will want to verify that but it is something that you should note. 

I suspect they will say that having paid back in full doesn't prove it wasn't a ponzi... Wait for it... ::)


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: smoothie on October 02, 2012, 09:22:49 AM
vescudero seems to have paid back in full and is thus not a ponzi. im sure you will want to verify that but it is something that you should note. 

I suspect they will say that having paid back in full doesn't prove it wasn't a ponzi... Wait for it... ::)

You would know this because Pirate paid you back in full? lol....

Oh right...."Look guys he pays!"

 :D


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Raoul Duke on October 02, 2012, 10:57:31 AM
vescudero seems to have paid back in full and is thus not a ponzi. im sure you will want to verify that but it is something that you should note. 

I suspect they will say that having paid back in full doesn't prove it wasn't a ponzi... Wait for it... ::)

You would know this because Pirate paid you back in full? lol....

Oh right...."Look guys he pays!"

 :D

Do you have any kind of reading disability?
The only one who's talking about pirate is you...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on October 02, 2012, 12:43:57 PM
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
Victor's paid back in full. You going to stop slandering the guy now?


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on October 03, 2012, 11:59:32 AM
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
Victor's paid back in full. You going to stop slandering the guy now?

nope, going to continue to "slander" as you say "out a scammer" as I say.

This payback is to further build confidence in a longer scam.  I'm on record for that now.  he is absolutely 100% a scammer.  He likely payed back this time because many of his so-called accounts were shills.  Take a look at how many sub-100 post users posted "+1 / paid me back in full" - mix those with the guys he really actually paid back and this venture was a cheap way to build confidence for the future.

I will update the OP to reflect this.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on October 03, 2012, 12:11:07 PM
vescudero seems to have paid back in full and is thus not a ponzi. im sure you will want to verify that but it is something that you should note. 

I suspect they will say that having paid back in full doesn't prove it wasn't a ponzi... Wait for it... ::)

Remember when you were arguing with JoelKatz about how you can't divulge trade secrets when you are running such a cool business? 

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=94900.msg1101345#msg1101345 

because I do. 

psy if you hadn't greated gangman style you would have lost all credibility.  You are trying to rub it in my face that I called Vescudero a Ponzi.  So are you saying because he paid everyone back he is a legitimate business man worthy of much trust from this community?  Go on record saying that now to further your battered history here.

Vescudero is a scammer.  This payback is to build trust for the future.  and also psy - how about giving me credit for calling out all of the scams that clearly were Ponzis.  Even if u credit the Vescudero as a loss I'm batting around .900



Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: AndyRossy on October 03, 2012, 12:38:10 PM
Vescudero is a scammer.  This payback is to build trust for the future. 

I laughed. I guess you can always use this argument. 


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Raoul Duke on October 03, 2012, 05:15:39 PM
Vescudero is a scammer.  This payback is to build trust for the future. 

I laughed. I guess you can always use this argument. 

I predicted it first.

vescudero seems to have paid back in full and is thus not a ponzi. im sure you will want to verify that but it is something that you should note. 

I suspect they will say that having paid back in full doesn't prove it wasn't a ponzi... Wait for it... ::)

Micon, I now understand why your wife left you. Women don't like guys who are so predictable as you.
I heard those kind of guys also make lousy poker players...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: MPOE-PR on October 03, 2012, 10:24:05 PM
But - yeah, bank runs are a big problem for reasons I've already given. It ain't rocket science. If the majority of depositors leave a bank within a month - the bank's fucked, and if the bank isn't FDIC (or with CUs, NCUA) insured, remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. OTOH, as you point out, if the majority of depositors withdraw from a ponzi operation - the ponzi op's fucked (well, he'd probably just leave), and the remaining depositors are probably fucked, too. So - could indicate someone's operating a ponzi, but that's no reason for Shit-Brush to get all worked up because his ponzi predictions have almost all come true.
I can't believe I missed replying to this. This is 100% completely and totally wrong. Bank runs are a 100% solved problem. Bank runs do not screw depositors.

It's not worth going into detail here, but the basic idea is this simple: Bank runs can only directly cause a liquidity crisis. They can only cause an equity crisis if a bank or lender is so poorly capitalized they should never have gone into business in the first place. Regardless of how much of a run you have, the total value of both the lender's capitalization and its loan equity will always be enough to ensure the depositors get back both their deposits and all earned interest. There may be a delay, but the money will get back to them. (And it's not hard to avoid even the delay, however, the lender will wind up broke with its capitalization  gone.)

That lenders don't structure to avoid this problem, despite how easy it is, just shows how inept they are and how indifferent they are to the interests of their depositors. (Or, more likely, how they are too poorly capitalized to operate properly or are outright scamming.)

Any time a bank or lender claims that depositors didn't get their money back (other than a delay where all principal and most interest is returned) because of a bank run, they are lying. The truth is most likely either that they were drastically undercapitalized to begin with , they made bad loans, they operated a Ponzi scheme, or they outright stole from their depositors.


Yeah. There's a reason uppity clerks don't get to run banks IRL.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on October 03, 2012, 11:11:21 PM
Micon, I now understand why your wife left you. Women don't like guys who are so predictable as you.
I heard those kind of guys also make lousy poker players...

You resort to personal attacks instead of responding to this:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=94900.msg1101345#msg1101345

so let me remind me of your words during the Pirate debacle: 

You consider that since you dont know how something makes money, its just not possible ? I guess trade secrets and the likes is also nothing but magic.
No, that's not what I said, please try reading it again. It's not that I don't know how it makes money, it's that I don't know how it could be possible that it makes money. So if I try to consider the possibility that it's making money, I literally have no idea what I'm considering.

Quote
have nothing against you personally JoelKatz but your approach to validating if something is fact or fiction in the businessworld is absurd. You dont have to believe in it but for the love of spacemonkeys making statements that since you cant imagine how it is functional therefore it cannot exist is beyond retarded.
That's not what I'm saying. I'm saying that if I don't know how something could be possible, I cannot consider the possibility of it. I literally don't know what it is I would be considering. My very first step in reasoning would be blocked as I tried to consider the consequences of an unknown thing.


And why is it that you need to know everything that goes on with other peoples business?
Is it such a difficult concept to grasp that some people know some stuff you don't know and that they are not obliged to disclose their trade secrets to you?

Just remember how wrong you were here, and how right you believed yourself to be at this time.

You are once again wrong, I am once again right, and we will once again it will take some time and another scam for you to believe me this time.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on October 04, 2012, 12:51:47 AM
I am once again right, and we will once again it will take some time and another scam for you to believe me this time.

In the case of Victor, why don't we judge any future scheme he comes up with on the face value of that.

What you should admit though is that Victor's most recent scheme wasn't a ponzi, on the basis that everyone has been paid back in full, with interest, on time.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on October 04, 2012, 01:33:11 AM
I am once again right, and we will once again it will take some time and another scam for you to believe me this time.

In the case of Victor, why don't we judge any future scheme he comes up with on the face value of that.

What you should admit though is that Victor's most recent scheme wasn't a ponzi, on the basis that everyone has been paid back in full, with interest, on time.

going live on DD radio like I do every Wed. at 7pm / would love to debate you on this point. 

724-LOL-DONK  to call in after 7pm


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on October 04, 2012, 02:04:06 AM
http://radio.donkdown.com:8000/radio.m3u  to listen

call me 724-LOL-DONK to debate / I'll set anyone straight.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Shadow383 on October 04, 2012, 02:04:33 AM
I am once again right, and we will once again it will take some time and another scam for you to believe me this time.

In the case of Victor, why don't we judge any future scheme he comes up with on the face value of that.

What you should admit though is that Victor's most recent scheme wasn't a ponzi, on the basis that everyone has been paid back in full, with interest, on time.

going live on DD radio like I do every Wed. at 7pm / would love to debate you on this point. 

724-LOL-DONK  to call in after 7pm
That'd be a very expensive international call for me  :D


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: jasinlee on October 04, 2012, 02:05:49 AM
Time to break out the autodialer.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Micon on February 15, 2013, 07:17:33 PM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp (lol)   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      Seems to have paid back his small ponzi to create trust for next scam      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in

remember all these guy!??

let's not let it happen again - fight the "deposit takers" at every measure!


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: Buffer Overflow on February 16, 2013, 02:20:09 AM
You've missed out Hashking on that list.


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: tbcoin on February 16, 2013, 02:27:43 AM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp (lol)   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      Seems to have paid back his small ponzi to create trust for next scam      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in

remember all these guy!??

let's not let it happen again - fight the "deposit takers" at every measure!

I only remember that vescudero remains a reputed trader ...


Title: Re: Bryan Micon's List of Non-BCST Ponzi's Still Running (with credit rating)
Post by: AndyRossy on February 16, 2013, 12:17:06 PM
In response to this post:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81542.0  by PatrickHarnett which is was stickied in the "Long-term offers" section, a misnamed Ponzi-corner of this forum which contains nothing but scams.  Well I was right about BCST and I'm going to be right about all these too.  Here are a bunch of Ponzi Schemes, all are poorly executed and all follow the standard Ponzi 101 model of having a totally obscure business plan with a totally outrageous interest rate.  I will be making spreadsheets for each scam showing why they cannot pay the outrageous rates.


Ponzi Schemes & Similar Scams
   User_name      Weekly      Monthly      Since      Credit Rating      Notes      Link   
   Capital One Corp (lol)   ~6%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=109883.0   
   Sky Deposits   1.25%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=108965.0   
   Mybitcointrade   5.00%      -      ?      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   RustyRyan   3.00%      -      28-Jul-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=96163.0   
   smart/ziggy      -      11.1%      May-12      F      PONZI          https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=81357.0   
   vescudero      1.50%      -      Jun-12      F      Seems to have paid back his small ponzi to create trust for next scam      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89122.0   
   Chungenhung      1.36%      6.0%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56853.0   
   Starfish BCB      1.00%      4.4%      Jan-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=61262.0   
   Kluge      0.97%      4.25%      Mar-12      F      PONZI      https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0   

Honorable Mention:
Dank and his various, odd scams that even the guys that got rolled by Pirate wouldn't invest in

remember all these guy!??

let's not let it happen again - fight the "deposit takers" at every measure!

I only remember that vescudero remains a reputed trader ...

Excuse me?