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Economy => Gambling discussion => Topic started by: Reatim on March 23, 2025, 03:10:21 PM



Title: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Reatim on March 23, 2025, 03:10:21 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Charles-Tim on March 23, 2025, 03:14:31 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there. Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting. If you start to bet, you can be exposed to bettors vulnerability which makes them lose. One of the vulnerabilities is frequent betting.

Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad. You can lose, but if you win, it can lead to more confidence (even overconfidence) which is a bigger trap of money loss.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: YOSHIE on March 23, 2025, 03:28:41 PM
confidence is a dangerous thing
Maybe it often happens, especially in sports gambling, where when we really trust ourselves the results of our predictions will have good opportunities and will win, instead confidence That will harm ourselves, that is the world of gambling, not based on analysis, strategy or prediction, precisely based on luck.

The situation is getting worse if the predictions that are believed to be missed from hope, it is far more dangerous than ordinary gambling, the reason is usually if we already trust the results Winning is usually we will risk all our money, that's where the danger will happen, we might be stressed or frustrated.

So will as usual, don't overdo it or trust our own results, because everything we do in gambling is a game.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bittraffic on March 23, 2025, 03:41:37 PM

If you think you are good then just trying betting it on sports platform. There have been many advertised in the forum. I have seen people predict sports matches actually, they are only doing it for themselves to make money.

But if you are confident, try showing your capital and win, if you have a good winning rate, maybe there will be people interested in asking to bet for them.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: FatFork on March 23, 2025, 03:46:02 PM
am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You haven't bet, so you've proven nothing. Two lucky guesses don't make you an expert. Decide if you want to gamble or not.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: khiholangkang on March 23, 2025, 03:49:17 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


It's just your feeling because your prediction is validated by the reality of the results of the match that has been carried out, but you may only be a coincidence, and not allowed to take one sample as a trial of your analysis skills you must also have more predictions to judge how great you are.

If the words of the 10 matches that you are analyzing after this have 9 correct matches according to your predictions and analysis then I will say that you are great and you deserve to do gambling in accordance with the capabilities of you have and you have the right to be confident in your analysis when there are many samples or trials done in many teams competing.

This is just a suggestion to question whether you are really great or not, and you will know the results after doing so, your confidence will be very important in this situation.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: MArsland on March 23, 2025, 03:52:11 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Your confidence with evidence of winning bets is very good, and there is nothing wrong with climbing a higher betting level to test how far the analysis can be relied on. In terms of betting, several factors are plus points when you have basic capital in determining choices. Instinct, self confidence supported by analysis that you personally find can reduce the probability of defeat. But you must remember that betting is not only about relying on ability, because human error often occurs that reverses the situation unexpectedly. And that's where luck comes into play ;D


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: moneystery on March 23, 2025, 03:57:40 PM
if you are surprised by your own prediction, it means that from the beginning you were not so sure about your prediction and only made a prediction based on self-confidence and cognitive bias without being supported by strong analysis. the two predictions that you have made and then it worked are most likely just your luck, it is not likely that you can get the same result when you make another prediction in a real bet. but it is your choice, whether you want to make another prediction and put it on a real bet or not. but only bet what you can afford to lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Mrbluntzy on March 23, 2025, 03:58:20 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Whatever advises you get here, you are still left with the final decision either to bet or your prediction or not. Since you have made some predictions which were successful, it doesn't guarantee that your next prediction will be successful again and even if those your previous prediction were also bad, it doesn't mean that others will be bad as well. You never would be too sure of the outcomes of gambling that's why you have to gamble responsibly and stake with the amount that will not make you frustrated if you lose it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: kotajikikox on March 23, 2025, 04:02:09 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there.
Maybe analyze why your predictions were right. Was this the only time your predictions were right? Was it all optimism or were you actually unconsciously basing your predictions over something like data and previous performances?
Quote
Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting.
Yeah I believe not too much harm will be done if you try only with a small amount to start. But if you win, make sure that you do not get carried away and start betting bigger amounts.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: xLays on March 23, 2025, 04:12:23 PM
https://nypost.com/2023/01/15/gambler-loses-massive-1-4-million-bet-on-chargers-jaguars-game/
Quote
One bettor wasted a massive $1.4 million wager after betting on Los Angeles before the Jaguars mounted an epic comeback to beat the Chargers 31-30, according to Action Network’s Darren Rovell.

It seems that a gambler has loss this massive amount (1.4 million USD) playing a bet with an odds lower than 1.01! (exactly 1.008)

I think there are several lessons here:
- there is not easy bet! even lower odds there is always a risk.
- it's really risky playing an huge amount. This not helps gambler because the risk is much much higher then rewards!
- gambling is not easy at all! it's really hard achieve a profit even for easy games!

what your opinion about this gambling issue? did you had experience similar experience? how a good gambler should avoid such mistakes?

I will never forget this one. The reason he placed such a big bet is because he’s confident it will hit. Would you place the same big bet on the opposite side? Of course not, right? Unless you’re the most reckless person in the world. But even if you were the richest person in the world if you’re not a risk-taker, you wouldn’t bet against 1.01 odds. What do you think people feel when they lose a bet at 1.01 odds with that huge amount like let’s say they went all-in and lose.



Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: len01 on March 23, 2025, 04:21:51 PM
Don't let your confidence disappear after making one mistake. I mean, right now you feel confident like you have the right skill to predict. But remember guys, gambling is all about luck even though sports betting has a lower risk but sometimes the surprise comes to destroy your confidence and make you angry and bet recklessly.
Do it with a small amount if you want to try it again to avoid deep disappointment.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Zadicar on March 23, 2025, 04:28:06 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You wouldn't know unless you would be trying out for yourself, the key on here is that you should really be that throwing up that amount on which you can afford to lose as always and never comes into such extent that you would be going all in with your bets. If you do really want to prove out your curiosity if you are really that wanting to know if you are doing good then its not bad to make a bet and find out if you do make out some good analysis. When it comes to luck then its default because we do know that on gambling/betting world then it will always be that significant but since we are talking about sports betting then you would be having that edge or having that better odds on winning if you do really know on what sport you are dealing with or simply analysis is significant or helpful on which in comparing when you do deal up with casino games then it would really be that an another story.  Confidence is a dangerous thing? If that certain thing will be the reason that you do make out some all in steps then this is what considered to be that very dangerous.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: PX-Z on March 23, 2025, 04:28:18 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Just try it with at least three more games, placing bets with an amount you can afford to lose. If your predictions remain consistent and accurate, then consider increasing your bets. I wouldn’t call it just luck, because you can actually make informed guesses based on the probability of sports games or matches using the given team statistics.

Good luck and let us know the results!


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Salahmu on March 23, 2025, 04:28:35 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If you are predicting without gambling you are partially a gambler because changing your mind to gamble is at your fingertips, but however is a serious determination to have been predicting games that was actually wining without having the urge to play any because that's were must people get connected to gambling, by the time people won from there analysis they would feel they are supposed to be the first to win from it before any other person. However note that being able to predict twice only means that you are still inexperienced and a beginner in gambling compare to someone who has done more than 200 predictions and won 50 but consider themselves as a learner. Starting gambling now is your decision but be ready for inaccurate predictions. However if you would want to be certain of your prediction skills, give yourself everyday prediction for two months or three then you find out the kind of analyzer you are.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Fortify on March 23, 2025, 04:34:24 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


This is true, the brain is always looking for patterns and potentially extrapolating them based on very small amounts of evidence. It's possible to win a heads/tails coin flip five times in a row, but nobody sensible would assume that they could predict the outcome for every future coin flip - you generally have a 50/50 chance of being correct for each flip. Someone who thinks they have an edge in a certain field would do best to create a log of their betting and if your advantage stays true over a long time, with hundreds of attempts, you might be on to something. You'd do best to remember that the bookmakers can change their algorithms which might break you strategy at any time.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: rachael9385 on March 23, 2025, 04:35:13 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


You could actually be good at predicting games but don't get carried away by that, too much confidence can lead to disaster. It's just like a gambler that's having constant winning streaks, it's possible for the gambler to start thinking that he or she has a winning strategy that can always work, after a while they'll realize that they have just been lucky. In case you think of actually starting to stake on your predictions make sure that your stakes are moderate, it's not always about your analysis, you can do all that and still lose the bet.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: r_victory on March 23, 2025, 04:36:25 PM
Confidence is a good thing. Lack of prudence is dangerous. Don't do anything you don't feel confident about doing, and accept the outcome, whatever it may be. After all, you need to believe in your predictions, otherwise, why take the risk?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: leonair on March 23, 2025, 04:41:35 PM
Confident is not always dangerous. Confidence often helps a person to do great things. Without confidence in you, you will procrastinate in most tasks.  Because when you don't have confidence you will be mentally weak and mental weakness never leads anyone to success. However, one's confidant does not work well in gambling. Because it depends on luck. And no one can ever change his destiny with a confidence. Gambling can be enjoyed with confidence which can add to the fun but gambling can never be won with confidence. so confidence is dangerous for gambling, I agree on that but not for others sectors


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: danherbias07 on March 23, 2025, 04:48:20 PM
It's normal to feel that way, but I would suggest placing bets for 10 events. See if you can get 6/10 or better than that. That's when you can think that you are really good at what you are doing and not just from 2 times of predicting it right. You could be on a lucky streak, but that doesn't mean you can do it perfectly. Test it with money involved, that's not a problem. But be sure that you are not using way too much, just an amount that you can afford to lose just in case you get it wrong.
It's like testing the waters for the meantime and then you will do it more as you progress. Still, you may want to limit the overconfidence because that's when it mostly gets wrong.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bitzizzix on March 23, 2025, 04:50:17 PM
What you need to know is that there is no truly consistent win in gambling and if some of your bets are successful, it does not necessarily mean that your next bet will be successful and it could be that the previous success was just a coincidence. So you have to be careful, indeed sometimes in such a situation you will be carried away by the atmosphere that makes you feel confident but this must be watched out for and considered for the next bet and there is nothing wrong with involving analysis and other related things to help you in making decisions because of doubt.
And I think as a gambler I have felt this and most of the next bets are unsuccessful because of the confidence that is only because you succeeded in the previous bet that makes you forget to stay careful and play with full awareness so as not to be carried away by the atmosphere that has the potential to make you controlled by the game that you should be the one controlling the game.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Renampun on March 23, 2025, 04:52:17 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


your analysis that you successfully apply in your gambling is proof that you are in the process, there is nothing wrong with that especially if you really like the sport you are betting on then you are processing data. it's different if you play slots, slots actually can't be analyzed all the analysis you use is just in vain, to succeed in slots you only need to do tricks, that's all, many slot players become slot addicts because they are delusional, they think that they are very lucky, invincible on the machine but in the end it's all wrong, they are trapped in a fantasy of being too confident.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Rockstarguy on March 23, 2025, 04:57:47 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If over the time your predictions always comes through,  do not let it to get into your head to much because sports predictions are not guarantee and anything can happen,  even if you predictions happens just like how you want it is as a result of luck.

 If you are lucky always and you let so much confidence make you think you can always get it right, this can be a trap for you that you would want to use so much money to bet and the outcome is not what your predictions is. You can make your predictions and also know that sport betting is also unpredicted,  it is a game of luck.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: uneng on March 23, 2025, 05:03:15 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
If you feel too high, maybe it's better to quit gambling for now and come back once you are stabilized once again. The fact you are feeling powerful, ecstatic by a recent accurate prediction, is likely to influence your judgement. Therefore, your next analyzes may be determined by emotion, instead of reasoning, and that is never good.

I guess that if you don't win your next bets you will feel really regretful for not having stopped before. So why to take this risk ahead, while you can simply enjoy the winnings you have just achieved? For me, it's obvious you should stop, otherwise you wouldn't even be asking it here.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: $crypto$ on March 23, 2025, 05:10:42 PM
Try your accurate prediction to bet in the casino you will feel whether this prediction is accurate or not.
In reality, it can be reversed, so don't make the mistake again, which means you need to analyze to make a betting decision.
Sometimes I also have the same hunch as the prediction and bet finally won.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ambatman on March 23, 2025, 05:12:06 PM
You could be that good or just lucky but don't let it get to your head.
Bet within your capacity and with the mindset that
Whatever would go wrong could go wrong.

Take for example today, it was a constant that Barcelona women would destroy Real Madrid females
The odds was even supporting same with barca winning at 1.1
Long story short I placed a bet for barca and they lost


The thing is always happening don't means it would forever.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Frankolala on March 23, 2025, 05:20:21 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Don't get too excited for getting your predictions right and gave you a good win. You might feel that you have understand the tactics of winning, and that will give you more confidence to bet again. This was how a lot of gamblers felt before they end up losing big and later realized that it was by luck they got their first prediction right. When yiu are lucky, appreciate your luck and walk home.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Cantsay on March 23, 2025, 05:22:46 PM

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


One thing I have come to realized is that when you’re just making predictions without any actual plan to bet on it you tend to do well because you won’t be bothering about you losing anything so your thought at that moment is very much clear - but when you’re to bet on it you tend to start thinking of other things as well which is going to affect how much your prediction or your brain is going to be efficient.

I have done it several times and trust me when I tell you that the results at the end of the game is always shocking. You’d just predict different games and they’ll all be correct but the moment you decide to bet on anyone else you’ll start losing and all your predictions skills will instantly be nowhere to be found. So I’d advice you not to think you’d have a 100% accuracy or wins because you’ve been doing well in your previous predictions the results are always shocking.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: alegotardo on March 23, 2025, 05:37:24 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Yeah!

First of all, congratulations on making accurate predictions! This shows that you have a good understanding of the sport and the teams involved. However, it is important not to get carried away by emotion and to keep a cool head.

But come on... it is great to see that you are confident in your prediction skills and that your previous predictions have been correct, but remember that overconfidence can be quite dangerous when it comes to betting, so before you jump into it for real always consider the following factors:

  • Objective analysis: Make sure that your predictions are based on objective analysis and not just optimism or intuition, so you should always check the data, statistics and trends to have a clearer view of what might happen and even be prepared to change your strategy mid-game if necessary.
  • Risk management: Remember that betting always involves risk and so you should be prepared to lose, accept defeat if it occurs and not chase losses.
  • Diversification: You may have heard the cliché “don’t put all your eggs in one basket,” and that applies here too… instead of betting everything on a single game or sport, consider betting on different sports, teams, or events to diversify your risk.

Remember, confidence is important, but caution and risk management are key to avoiding problems. Good luck!


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Felicity_Tide on March 23, 2025, 05:46:22 PM
~snip

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


It might be that you've started maintaining a rightful analysis that has lead to the two recent wins, and it might also be that you've been lucky in the last two wins. It is very impossible to tell which one has been working for you because you've just had two wins. How about you continue with the same analysis method, and try it for the next 4-5 games, we might then make a proper evaluation to know which one has been working.

Personally, I won't advise you to start using money now. Just continue with your analysis and pretend like your money is on the line. But if you feel that you have more than enough to risk just to test yourself, then the decision is all yours. But my advise remains the same.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Zigabel on March 23, 2025, 06:11:00 PM
Until your money is invested,  never take credence for accuracy or a feel that you are well correct enough because at this point emotions set in and then you would know if you are actually incharge well enough again.

Making such predictions when you don't aren't willing to place a bet on them just yet may feel like you know the game better because at that poithe bias and sentiment of your money isn't involved just yet but the moment all of that is involved you begin to see things differently maybe trying to be even more careful with your picks than you have been before and all of that can contribute to you not been able to make the best of decisions with you picks at that time as much as you have always done when you has nothing at stake.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Victorybit1 on March 23, 2025, 07:27:14 PM
If you are so sure of your predictions then start staking already, but I must say that sports betting has a way of frustrating you. Just because you are getting your predictions right doesn't mean it's always going to be like that. One advice I would give you is to never stake too high on a bet that you think you are very sure of, it always has a way of disappointing you. I'm not saying that it's not possible for the bet to be successful, you just have to be careful so you don't let overconfidence ruin your bankroll. Every gambler started like this but at some point you'd see what it's all about.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Stalker22 on March 23, 2025, 07:32:38 PM
Listen, you made a couple good calls that ended up panning out. Thats it.  Feels nice when luck is on your side! But lets be real - it was just that: luck and  you are no some prediction wizard just cause two optimistic hunches worked out.  Its just hopes and dreams.

Confidence is not a dangerous thing, but too much confidence can be.  Getting drunk on two lucky breaks just shows you might be naïve here.  This betting game is full of dudes who thought they cracked the code during a hot streak.  They always end up busted and broke though. 

So should you bet? I cant stop you.  But dont quit your day job just yet. ;)  Call it beginner's luck and keep expectations realistic.  Just my two sats anyways.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Smartvirus on March 23, 2025, 07:40:24 PM
anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


No matter how confident you get, always try to play it safe and not going too far in the stakes. By that I mean, not having to gamble more than you can afford to lose. Confidence can fail you this way and you would loose yourself even before the bet would be lost.

It’s always a funny thing with gambling, once you’ve got money bet in a market, it always looks as though it’s going against you. Good habit, limit the number of bets you place in your accumulation and stick to safe bets.

Don’t be over confident in your gambling, it leads to too much risk taking.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Su-asa on March 23, 2025, 07:41:40 PM
I would like you to share some of your previous bets if you don't mind, so we can be sure of what you are saying. some predictions are like traps, even though your instincts tells you to bet on them you should also be careful with the amount you wager so you don't lose everything. Something out instincts are wrong so one should also becareful when betting any game from their instincts.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Alphakilo on March 23, 2025, 07:57:49 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I disagree respectfully. Confidence is not a dangerous thing. Confidence is a quality that is admirable and should be possessed by every one.

What is dangerous is over-confidence. It will make you make decisions based on wrong thinking.

This is the time for you to put your money where your mouth is. Go ahead and place a bet with the money you can afford to lose. What's the worse that can happen.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: cryptoaddictchie on March 23, 2025, 08:17:09 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Well I suggest you bet on it. If past results given you a hogh chance of being correct then it means you are good and likely to win. Sometimes its just mind game and lack of confident we missed. Youll never really know until you try. Why? What if you bet and made a fortune with that, imagine the possibilities and opportunity right? Who knows youll end up being a prediction master and make a fortune and name out of it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bhadz on March 23, 2025, 08:22:46 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Only you can answer that to prove if you're good and lucky. There is no other people that can prove to you that until it becomes an actual bet and it has won you some money. Don't be afraid of losing even if it turns out that you're just a good analyzer but not a gambler. Everyone has to start from somewhere and you'll see if you fit that shoe of being a gambler. And for that reason, it's going to take you a while before you decide to bet on, that's okay and only do it whenever you are comfortable and ready.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Miles2006 on March 23, 2025, 08:30:01 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I was expecting something different probably you must have place a bet after getting 2 or more accurate prediction, for the fact you decide to wait first shows how careful the whole process should be personally i will place a bet not minding the outcome so long as you’re comfortable with the money used for example you can start with something little. At a certain extend confidence will only cause excess pressure and what if you never get to win at first after displaying some skill, just bet using the amount you are comfortable with.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Accardo on March 23, 2025, 08:42:34 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Well I suggest you bet on it. If past results given you a hogh chance of being correct then it means you are good and likely to win. Sometimes its just mind game and lack of confident we missed. Youll never really know until you try. Why? What if you bet and made a fortune with that, imagine the possibilities and opportunity right? Who knows youll end up being a prediction master and make a fortune and name out of it.

The possibility is low, Op is only influenced by gambler's fallacy, just like yourself, cryptoaddictchie, a form of cognitive biases that convince players that past events determines what's going to happen in the future. And winning big is among the reason why gamers try to fix themselves into believing that analysis could make a difference in hitting the jackpot someday.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: swogerino on March 23, 2025, 08:45:02 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


It is always difficult to get such predictions right especially when in sport betting there can be external factors that can influence the outcome, in sport betting there is the referee, a player committing an own goal or the forward players missing a lot of opportunities and I mean clamorous opportunities. Let me make an example taken from today in F1 where if you had bet for the Ferraris, both of them to finish in the top 6 and they did you would have won, yet both cars were disqualified for some sort of aerodynamics misuse and as such your bet would have been lost, this sucks yeah, and that is enough reason to show that we don't have any real power over events we bet on.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: _BlackStar on March 23, 2025, 08:50:39 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Basically - there are times when some of your predictions come true, but there are times when some of them may be wrong. Gambling has wins and losses - you can have winning streaks and losing streaks, meaning there is always a risk that you need to consider before risking your money. If you are 100% sure about your predictions - then gamble only with 25% of your budget, save the rest for tomorrow or another opportunity. If you win the bet with that 25% budget - then you are lucky, but if you lose then you only lose 25%.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: cryptoaddictchie on March 23, 2025, 09:08:21 PM
The possibility is low, Op is only influenced by gambler's fallacy, just like yourself, cryptoaddictchie, a form of cognitive biases that convince players that past events determines what's going to happen in the future. And winning big is among the reason why gamers try to fix themselves into believing that analysis could make a difference in hitting the jackpot someday.
Well its like in trading past historical results are used and consider for potential price. Well I didnt say he will win jackpot due to this but he can have a chance to win or profit if he could tried his skills on predicting. Theres a difference, plus Im only stating what on my mind.

If thats a bias then so be it. How come you cant use your skills for that. Yes I get it luck is in play, but this is just an added skills for gambling. Dont you think others doesnt employ it?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: passwordnow on March 23, 2025, 09:17:47 PM
i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Tell me your predictions and let's try to bet on it. But it shouldn't only me that will bet for it but also you, so if I win money you also win money and if I lose money, it won't only be losing. It's a matter of trust to yourself, if you did these test bets and you were successful with them. Believe me, it's going to be different when actual money is involved. You can be as good as you are without bet on it and try to predict but it's going to be unknown if you won't give yourself a chance to do it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Churchillvv on March 23, 2025, 09:20:04 PM
I guess you have to experiment what you have been preaching so at this point you will either be lucky or loss so try and figure out that what exactly is fact whether it's you knowing how to predict or luck has just been by your side this while.

But of course you might have doubt yet trying with what you can afford to loss will put you on a safer side.

i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Tell me your predictions and let's try to bet on it. But it shouldn't only me that will bet for it but also you, so if I win money you also win money and if I lose money, it won't only be losing.
I like the idea here but I also would have to join the experiment but I'm not sure OP will be ready to play such deals with anyone. Lol


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: mcdouglasx on March 23, 2025, 09:20:35 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Of course, it’s easy to think that getting a couple of bets right makes you an expert, but that could just be luck. Intuition can trick us into believing we have more control than we actually do. To really know if you understand the game, you need to look at a much larger set of predictions over time. That way, you can see if there’s a pattern or if it was just chance. Don’t get too confident with those occasional wins, because bias can mess with your judgment. Take it slow and keep learning. Consistency is what truly shows expertise.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Hatchy on March 23, 2025, 09:28:52 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You are being lucky mate and your mindset might be playing a good trick on you. Best advice, don't get carried away. How ever you have been placing those bets that have made your win then, maje sure to stick to it. Sometimes alot of gamblers might be fooled by their wins into thinking that they are experts and they might try to increase their risk and then end up losing so much than they expected. Lucky us on your side but expect anything to happen don't get carried away


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Slow death on March 23, 2025, 09:31:00 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Getting 2 games right does not mean that you have become a sports betting guru. You should test more games to see how many times you will get it right. You should also not take into account bets with odds below @1.70. If you are choosing games with low odds, something like games below @1.70 and you have been getting it right, then you are not doing anything. When you put your money in, you will see that in the long run you will be at a loss.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Wakate on March 23, 2025, 09:31:28 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If you know that your predictions are always giving your profits, then you don't need to be scared to make another prediction if you are certain that the next one might end up becoming a win. We are not always right when it comes to gambling which is something you need to understand. Even though you keep making predictions that keep becoming a win, do not forget that a time will come when your predictions might not continue to become a win. This is a normal thing when it comes to gambling. All I will advise you is to keep trying your luck because their are even gamblers that haven't made any significant profit in 2 months straight.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Jating on March 23, 2025, 09:38:05 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Its' double edge sword, when you are winning you feel that you are invincible and can't make any wrong predictions. Of course, you might be lucky or just you analyze the game correctly as per your experience. And with that you hope that you can extend that winning streak of yours.

However, there are days that all your predictions are not going to fall into pieces but you are still confident on your next bet and look forward for breaking your losing streak. But what if you losses again? So confidence has both negative and positive consequences.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ryu_Ar1 on March 23, 2025, 09:39:13 PM
We must realize that in the end, even though what we have done is very good and successful in some stakes, we cannot be overconfident because of that because after all, bad luck sometimes always comes when we are overconfident.

Not that we should not be confident because it clearly must be done because after all when the choice has been made then indirectly we must be prepared to be brave in accepting risks but that does not mean it should be a reference on the pretext that we can do everything just because we got the advantage in the previous bet.
Because after all we have to be ourselves and not be overly confident in something just because the pride of the gamble we did got a big profit before.

Don't let the confidence that we have destroy hope in the future because we are too sure of our instincts so that we forget the objectivity in the bets made.



Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Judith87403 on March 23, 2025, 09:43:09 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


Of course is always like that most times in gambling were your analysis will just work exactly as you predicted, why sometimes your analysis can also fail you, of course is always like this remember? But for the fact that you made two claims that ended up being a true doesn't mean it will keep working for you. Though you can also decide to give it another trial and it works, but that does not make you an expert predictor. Because it could be that you're still in the wining line. So therefore when trying next time don't hope for a particular outcome because it might not work as you expected this time.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Agbamoni on March 23, 2025, 09:50:14 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If you know that your predictions are always giving your profits, then you don't need to be scared to make another prediction if you are certain that the next one might end up becoming a win. We are not always right when it comes to gambling which is something you need to understand. Even though you keep making predictions that keep becoming a win, do not forget that a time will come when your predictions might not continue to become a win. This is a normal thing when it comes to gambling. All I will advise you is to keep trying your luck because their are even gamblers that haven't made any significant profit in 2 months straight.
I don't tally with your advice. It is normal for someone who is winning consistently to gambler more but with carefulness. If he feels he should gamble again after, then he can pause. It will be bad if he keeps gambling more and more and end up losing all the profits he made because of over confidence. Everything in gambling is luck. No matter how lucky we are we should know is not going to last forever. If certainty is possible in gambling then no one will be losing at all, for someone like me who can be very good at predicting games then i will surely be winning steady.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: passwordnow on March 23, 2025, 09:58:44 PM
i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Tell me your predictions and let's try to bet on it. But it shouldn't only me that will bet for it but also you, so if I win money you also win money and if I lose money, it won't only be losing.
I like the idea here but I also would have to join the experiment but I'm not sure OP will be ready to play such deals with anyone. Lol
Let's see, it's only going to take a matter of time for him until he's got enough to make a decision whether to do so or not. I think it's a good experiment and putting up a few bucks on it won't hurt our pockets for betting someone's prediction. I've done this a lot of time so it won't be a problem to me but if it's a problem to the predictor himself, that's when we get out.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sandra_hakeem on March 23, 2025, 10:03:28 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Okay... So what do you wanna hear? You just said you felt drunk in power, which obviously means that you know that ain't normal, but then what more is it if not that you're just being lucky? If your guts challenges you to a battle, making you question your skills, be careful! For better clarity, I'd say just try to make another prediction. This time, wager a little amount that you can afford to lose and see the miracle.
Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad.
That's one of fastest ways to drain himself to zero balance. I think that's also like the simplest hurdle on the way for a beginner like himself... Too much confidence (if not placed under control) can always change the purpose of why you started gambling in the first place.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Orpichukwu on March 23, 2025, 10:07:33 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
You are actually free to be feeling that way, but as you have made some predictions and it ends up playing just as you have predicted, you might regret why you did not place a bet on them, but that shouldn't make you use money which is bigger than what you can afford to lose to place a bet in your next prediction. Instead, I will let you try it out with any little amount of money next time to see how things will work out. After all, even if you lose the money, there won't be much difference since you can afford to lose it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sanitough on March 23, 2025, 10:19:56 PM
Could you share your record with us? How many games have you predicted so far, and what’s your winning rate?

It has to be based on a large number of games and predictions, otherwise, it’s too early to conclude that your system really works. In actual betting, there are both winning and losing streaks, but what truly matters is being profitable in the long run. That’s the key: long-term results.

And just to point out, betting on paper is very different from placing real bets... but I’d still love to see how you’ve done so far!


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Hispo on March 23, 2025, 10:29:46 PM
I would not even dare to do what you are doing and try to predict games without having a minimum of money at stake, because of exactly what you are experimenting. You could have gotten a good amount of money had you put money where your mouth was, but you did not.
Now you will feel tempted to do the same again and perhaps, even betting more than you should because of the previous experiences you had with your predictions (which turned out to be correct).

Confidence is okey, but here we are talking about over-confidence and creating high expectations on the accuracy or your future bets.
Be careful with that.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: EluguHcman on March 23, 2025, 10:30:35 PM
am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
It is okay counting on yourself when it gets to do with bets which I am sure that everyone does. But what I would not encouraging is believing your high esteem and just bets with an unbudgeted amount just because you think you have become a super predictors after seeing accurate results on playing a demo game.

OP I don't believe you are that perfect on predicting future outcomes of the sports games like the football, based on your story you are as lucky as sometimes when we place some uninteresting bets just by trial and lucky to win despites the fact we did not sit to analyze the games.

So you can still go on and place the bet as long you are a bettor and always bets according to what you can afford. It would still part of the game that you will either win or loose.

So I would say you were just lucky giving the right prediction but if you think it is of your possession, then I will challenge you to tell me what outcome of the Manchester United and the Manchester City match would become comes April 4 and the Chelsea and Brentford match on April 6.

I will keep your prediction to this undated after the match.
So you can give your predictions let's keep it rolling.
Meanwhile... I need a accuracy as you may believe you are one professional in gambling that is exempted win by luck but of your capacity.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: lienfaye on March 23, 2025, 10:40:19 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
In sports betting, knowledge is an advantage to know what could be the result of the game. Therefore, your prediction is not entirely because of luck, your knowledge about it has a participation to maximize your chance to predict it correctly.

However, luck is still a major to win in gambling regardless of what you're playing (sports betting, casino games etc.) Hence don't be too confident and have a less expectation. Because it's more joyful to win when you least expect it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Pi-network314159 on March 23, 2025, 11:29:25 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

That is one fun thing about gambling and or betting, most times when you predict games without using a real Cash to bet, it usually happens to play out and your mind will trick you that you would have won big if you would have betba real Cash but to be honest you may not have even won if you bet with a real Cash because betting behave so strange that you win more when you don't stake real Cash but fail when you stake with real Cash. So you can make trial if you are doubting me. But I wish you beat of luck though before you will stake and lose and thinks that I am the reason for your badluck ;D


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: mirakal on March 23, 2025, 11:34:41 PM
There’s no wrong if you start betting based on what your prediction says, but let’s be straightforward, never bet an amount more than you can afford to lose. Your confidence is not all guaranteed safe and true, one mistake will eventually lead you to a bigger losses, and that’s one thing you should avoid so you won’t fail in your own trap. Yes, confidence is a dangerous thing, unless if you are in controlled of your emotions and learn to avoid things that will leave you in frustration.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: TelolettOm on March 23, 2025, 11:45:11 PM
That's called more reckless without a basis. The name is also just reckless capital, so the results are just a matter of luck, more on luck. Sometimes, we are too confident to decide something, especially in playing slots. We think and hope very much that we can really get a win in the bets and in large amounts, or we are very sure that we will win any bet or slot, and because of this very big belief, it makes us too confident to gamble with big bets. and that's actually quite dangerous. Because no matter what, we also have to be able to play more measuredly


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Bitcoinsummoner on March 24, 2025, 01:51:10 AM
~

Confidence is really a very dangerous habit. People are not afraid of anything because of confidence. And in gambling, confidence is a very dangerous habit. A gambler accumulates a kind of confidence in himself before gambling. He always thinks that he will win by gambling and it is impossible to beat him. "It is impossible to beat him" This dangerous level of ego, and dangerous confidence helps him lose everything. This arrogance and confidence make him interested in gambling and as a result of this interest, he loses all his wealth. So confidence is good and overconfidence is a dangerous level of bad. Stay away from any confidence as much as possible and try to stop yourself from gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: milewilda on March 24, 2025, 02:41:04 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

We do know that betting on sports does really need up that luck but it will really be that just normal into those times or days that you would be making out some predictions but didnt put up any bets with it or money into those but it turned out to be a win on which it will really be giving out that kind of mentality or kind of confidence on which you are really that indeed doing the right thing. The main thing on here is that if you are really that curious on trying out to see whether you are really that having a good analysis or not, then it will really be that up to you. Just make it sure that you are really just that using up on the amount on which you can afford to lose so that whenever or whatever the result or outcome it would be on which you wont really be ending up on regretting. We do always have that curiosity once we've been that dealing up with something and turned out to be that right or having those good calls but since you haven't been able to made out some bet then it wont really be that much of an issue if ever it lost but on the moment it do win then it will really be having that sense of regret that you had missed out on taking up a bet because once you have done that then that will surely means on making some wins too. Out of some curiosity then it will be not so bad that you will be able to consider out on taking up such bet and finding out if you are a good predictor with those analysis then you could really be that a good sports bettor.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: yahoo62278 on March 24, 2025, 03:15:32 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Maybe instead of making an actual bet you start posting your predictions and keeping track of your wins/losses. If you have better than a 60% win rate, users may start following your picks and send ya a tip here and there.

I wouldn't get too cocky over calling 2 correct results. Maybe you chose huge favorites?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: michellee on March 24, 2025, 04:40:48 AM
Sometimes, we are lucky when we just predict and not placing our bet. That is often happens to some people but when they want to see the real by placing their bet, they are not lucky enough like when they predict. That can make them curious why that is not happening so they keep trying by placing more bets. If you want to know, you need to place your bet and see if you are good at analyzing or just been lucky. But be careful, if you lose, you may want to test more and more so you need to have a good self control.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: peter0425 on March 24, 2025, 05:09:42 AM
If you want to know, you need to place your bet and see if you are good at analyzing or just been lucky. But be careful, if you lose, you may want to test more and more so you need to have a good self control.
I would say to just enjoy the process of betting and watching the sport. Do not think too much about it because that is when it can get all complicated. You may now be putting too much expectations on yourself which might as well just be pure luck. Some gamblers are good at analyzing but they can sometimes make mistakes, it is natural and common.

Sometimes however they also get lucky which is what could have happened to you. Either way you will always lose at some point but it does not mean that you will never win either. So just try to have fun and keep everything light.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: fruktik on March 24, 2025, 05:35:51 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Well, you yourself wrote about excessive confidence in your abilities. So what's the problem? And it is that you have no practical experience in this matter. You should definitely develop it and go through this to understand your abilities for the analytical process. Until then, you can chat as much as you like, but in reality, nothing will happen. Only actions can say at least something about a person.

Therefore, boldly dare and do not be afraid that you will be wrong. But never think that you have caught the bird of happiness and it is ready to work for you. This is a very stupid and dangerous misconception.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: DaNNy001 on March 24, 2025, 06:09:52 AM
Those that have been in the game for a long time can relate to this.. overconfidence is the reason why people stake so much in gambling, they become too sure of their strategy and most times the end result might not be very pleasant.. just because your predictions have been going smoothly doesn't mean that you are invincible, you need to be careful when you finally decide to place a bet.. no matter how sure you think your predictions might be always be on the safe side, stake what you can afford to lose, don't chase the market looking for Profit.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Mr. Magkaisa on March 24, 2025, 06:38:10 AM
Theres nothing wrong in making a prediction as in this workld there are no perfect. everything can be possibkle.
in a 99.99 prediction there is always 0.01 percent that can make that prediction wrong. what you need to control is your emotion.
Confidence is good, we make our decision before we are confident! but over confidence is a thing that will destroy you. so control it!


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Cityhunter34 on March 24, 2025, 06:49:14 AM
Confident is not always dangerous. Confidence often helps a person to do great things. Without confidence in you, you will procrastinate in most tasks.  Because when you don't have confidence you will be mentally weak and mental weakness never leads anyone to success. However, one's confidant does not work well in gambling. Because it depends on luck. And no one can ever change his destiny with a confidence. Gambling can be enjoyed with confidence which can add to the fun but gambling can never be won with confidence. so confidence is dangerous for gambling, I agree on that but not for others sectors
Having confident is quite good for us, but to be honest when it comes to gambling confident can never guarantee you winnings, rather it will going to lead one into more losses at the end of day. Because though as someone that is gambling with full confident when your predictions doesn't work out as planned, you most likely chase after your losses in gambling, due to the confident in you. However, I think is not quite good for a gambler to rely on confident when gambling because without luck on your side your confident is totally nothing.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: retreat on March 24, 2025, 06:50:01 AM
-snip-

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


This can be called a "Hot Hand Fallacy" you just believe that your success in predicting before will make you successful again in the next prediction. Moreover, what you do is just a claim, you don't really involve yourself in the real bet. Because when you involve yourself in the real bet, the results can be 180 degrees different from what you think. This can be quite risky for you, because you only bet based on your previous claim - and you could just be lucky first - but no one knows what your fate would be if you put your money on the real bet.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sanitough on March 24, 2025, 07:45:42 AM
Theres nothing wrong in making a prediction as in this workld there are no perfect. everything can be possibkle.
in a 99.99 prediction there is always 0.01 percent that can make that prediction wrong. what you need to control is your emotion.
Confidence is good, we make our decision before we are confident! but over confidence is a thing that will destroy you. so control it!
I’d rather believe in a 50-50 chance for the outcome of my prediction than think on a tiny 0.01% chance that it could go wrong because that’s just not realistic. That’s the nature of gambling,  there are no guarantees, no matter how confident we are in our picks. If we can’t accept that we will experience losses along the way, then sports betting isn’t for us, and we’ll never be successful at it in the long run.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ricardo11 on March 24, 2025, 07:55:15 AM
Confident is not always dangerous. Confidence often helps a person to do great things. Without confidence in you, you will procrastinate in most tasks.  Because when you don't have confidence you will be mentally weak and mental weakness never leads anyone to success. However, one's confidant does not work well in gambling. Because it depends on luck. And no one can ever change his destiny with a confidence. Gambling can be enjoyed with confidence which can add to the fun but gambling can never be won with confidence. so confidence is dangerous for gambling, I agree on that but not for others sectors
Having confident is quite good for us, but to be honest when it comes to gambling confident can never guarantee you winnings, rather it will going to lead one into more losses at the end of day. Because though as someone that is gambling with full confident when your predictions doesn't work out as planned, you most likely chase after your losses in gambling, due to the confident in you. However, I think is not quite good for a gambler to rely on confident when gambling because without luck on your side your confident is totally nothing.
Being overconfident in gambling is not a good thing at all. Because gambling can never bring you a sure win, gambling is very dependent on luck, so what is the certainty of gambling? And what is gambling based on? your favorite team's game that's why so confident? Is your favorite team undefeated? Does this team never lose? Is there any guarantee that this team will definitely win? Actually this type of thinking is very negative, and because of this thinking, gamblers face a lot of losses, because they gamble with more money than they can afford because of their confidence, but in the end they face losses, and suffer huge losses. So it is important to have the right thinking, there is no such thing as certainty in gambling, so gambling with more money than they can afford is never reasonable.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: freedomgo on March 24, 2025, 07:56:59 AM
Those that have been in the game for a long time can relate to this.. overconfidence is the reason why people stake so much in gambling,..
I agree with this, and I can also relate it to my own experience. For me, bankroll management is really important. No matter how confident I am in my pick, I try to control myself and not get too aggressive with my bets. For example, if my standard stake is $20 per game, and I feel more confident than usual, I might go up to $30.. I think that’s reasonable. But going all the way to $100 would be too much, especially if things don’t go as expected.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Kelward on March 24, 2025, 08:04:57 AM
There’s no wrong if you start betting based on what your prediction says, but let’s be straightforward, never bet an amount more than you can afford to lose. Your confidence is not all guaranteed safe and true, one mistake will eventually lead you to a bigger losses, and that’s one thing you should avoid so you won’t fail in your own trap. Yes, confidence is a dangerous thing, unless if you are in controlled of your emotions and learn to avoid things that will leave you in frustration.
You can't be overconfident in what you don't have control over it's outcome, so your confidence doesn't matter much in determining the result. Predictions means that you're not sure of what the result will be so you should focus on what you have a control over and that is the amount for the bet. It's been said many times and over again on this board that you should gamble with the amount that you can afford to loose, that is where you have the power to make decisions. I believe that it's overconfidence that will make somebody to use a huge amount of money to place bet but most times they lose, so confidence in gambling is not a guarantee for wins.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Proty on March 24, 2025, 08:31:37 AM
Yes confidence is indeed a dangerous thing when it comes to gambling because confident can make a gambler to put in all his life into a single game with the hope that the game will play . confidence will make a gambler to see gambling as not being a game of luck  but of much experience and skills.so to me having confidence while gambling is not just dangerous but detrimental to ones health because of the physiological effect that comes with losing one's more and also being disappointed.gambling is a game of luck and gambler's should always stake with what they can afford to lose and not to put confidence in any game for them not to be tempted into staking more than what they can afford to lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: iv4n on March 24, 2025, 08:46:56 AM
...am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Why not both? Good analytical skills increase the chance of winning, but again, you can't win without a little luck, and sometimes a lot of luck is needed.

Confidence is not a dangerous thing, we need to be confident in our actions/bets/moves... But we also need to accept loses and bad moves, if we are smart we will analyze what went wrong and we will try to be better next time. Winning & losing is part of gambling, and when we involve some money it can become tricky for our minds, especially if we are pushing the limits with our bets.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Outhue on March 24, 2025, 09:15:22 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


This is a part of the reason why some people believe that gambling is spiritual, some believe that the best way to be a gambler is giving calls to other gamblers, if this is what you are good at then do it and make money from it in return, I am sure that some platforms are fully based on giving gamblers predictions, and they make money someway, you can think about it.

A smart gambler from China also believes that gamblers shouldn't take more than 1% of what they win and give the rest to the public or else they will lose the power of predicting right, just like yours OP, I don't know how true is this but people from different countries do believe that there is more to gambling than we know.

They believe that some are gifted with gambling powers and if they win and eat all the wins alone they will start losing the power.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: sompitonov on March 24, 2025, 09:30:22 AM
The thing is that you can't connect past successful predictions with those that will happen in the future. Because absolutely no one knows what awaits you around the corner, it can become the longest winning streak, or on the contrary, it can become the most losing streak. Your confidence is just an illusion of deception. Only one thing is important, bet money and check your predictions with money, if you do not do it with real money, then your predictions are worth absolutely nothing. Sometimes if I am confident in a prediction, then I will definitely bet on it, because I understand that if I do not do it and it comes true, then I will regret it for a very long time.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: lovesmayfamilis on March 24, 2025, 09:44:24 AM
I often remember this expression that sounds: like it is good to be confident in some things, but it is scary and very bad to be self-confident. We are living people, and everything can always happen one day, completely independent of our forecasts and expectations. Even the most beloved and studied team in all respects can lose, or you, being in a depressed mood, or maybe in an excited mood, can make a mistake completely unexpectedly. Emotions always play and will play a big role in people's lives. We must be able to listen to them and react correctly if we cannot periodically do everything right. Experience grows from the fact that we learn and grow, and the more lessons we go through, the more successful and confident we will be in life.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Reatim on March 24, 2025, 01:07:06 PM
I wouldn't get too cocky over calling 2 correct results. Maybe you chose huge favorites?
the other one is a favorite i will admit but it was still not a straightforward prediction to be honest because there were better competitors than him even if the athlete i predicted to win was quite talented on his own

the other prediction was a total shot in the moon but i was so surprised it happened which is why i said that maybe optimism brought me there it definitely still keeps my head in the clouds i am not gonna lie


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: rodskee on March 24, 2025, 01:13:16 PM
The thing is that you can't connect past successful predictions with those that will happen in the future.
we really can't connect anything to the future because no matter what we do no one is able to predict the future but the best we can do is use history to try and predict what can happen the future

like they say, history is bound to repeat itself and humans have always stuck by that saying
Quote
Only one thing is important, bet money and check your predictions with money, if you do not do it with real money, then your predictions are worth absolutely nothing.
if you do not put any real money you will always be thinking of what if's so it is better to just get things over with because you might always think that you can become a millionaire or something by betting and you will surely be humbled


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: summonerrk on March 24, 2025, 01:17:08 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

When I was into betting, I made conclusions about my bets based on: What were the results of previous meetings with other teams, as well as the places where the match would take place, Based on this, I created some correction coefficients that helped me more accurately predict the results of the future match.
When I gained experience, after some time, I became very confident. And based on this, it seemed to me that I could already predict the match very accurately and on one not very lucky day. I put almost my entire deposit on one bet, where the odds were all very attractive. After that, I lost.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: banana33 on March 24, 2025, 01:36:08 PM
Yes confidence is indeed a dangerous thing when it comes to gambling because confident can make a gambler to put in all his life into a single game with the hope that the game will play . confidence will make a gambler to see gambling as not being a game of luck  but of much experience and skills.so to me having confidence while gambling is not just dangerous but detrimental to ones health because of the physiological effect that comes with losing one's more and also being disappointed.gambling is a game of luck and gambler's should always stake with what they can afford to lose and not to put confidence in any game for them not to be tempted into staking more than what they can afford to lose.

but then confidence in what, gambling must be something that is done with caution and for fun, whoever puts the lives of his family in danger to play bets is stupid and does not realize it, we all play here but doing it with caution is what makes the difference


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: arwin100 on March 24, 2025, 01:39:25 PM
Yes confidence is indeed a dangerous thing when it comes to gambling because confident can make a gambler to put in all his life into a single game with the hope that the game will play . confidence will make a gambler to see gambling as not being a game of luck  but of much experience and skills.so to me having confidence while gambling is not just dangerous but detrimental to ones health because of the physiological effect that comes with losing one's more and also being disappointed.gambling is a game of luck and gambler's should always stake with what they can afford to lose and not to put confidence in any game for them not to be tempted into staking more than what they can afford to lose.

but then confidence in what, gambling must be something that is done with caution and for fun, whoever puts the lives of his family in danger to play bets is stupid and does not realize it, we all play here but doing it with caution is what makes the difference

But sometimes it deceive you and that will make you do crazy decision. Many people fall for the trap like thinking about they are winning but it end up for thing losing at then left out without getting anything.

That's why trust your intuition because this attitude would help us realize that we are dealing to much on this risky activity and provably we could decide to quit once everything is excessive or we can sense that there's no point to continue especially for playing those risky gambling games.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Mpamaegbu on March 24, 2025, 01:52:07 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
The "I now feel drunk in power" part reminds me of my early days of demo trading when I would make encouraging wins and profits. It got to me like I've mastered the act of trading. It looked like I could easily jump in and make few bucks and then exit trades without much hassles. It was that way in my head until I came into live trading. Like the proverbial frog, I soon discovered it the hard way that there were two types of water – cold water and hot water.

OP, you might be winning now because nothing is at stake. I'm sure once there's a financial commitment on the bet, your mindset will change also. Fear and greed will set in


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ricardo11 on March 24, 2025, 02:02:23 PM
Yes confidence is indeed a dangerous thing when it comes to gambling because confident can make a gambler to put in all his life into a single game with the hope that the game will play . confidence will make a gambler to see gambling as not being a game of luck  but of much experience and skills.so to me having confidence while gambling is not just dangerous but detrimental to ones health because of the physiological effect that comes with losing one's more and also being disappointed.gambling is a game of luck and gambler's should always stake with what they can afford to lose and not to put confidence in any game for them not to be tempted into staking more than what they can afford to lose.

but then confidence in what, gambling must be something that is done with caution and for fun, whoever puts the lives of his family in danger to play bets is stupid and does not realize it, we all play here but doing it with caution is what makes the difference

But sometimes it deceive you and that will make you do crazy decision. Many people fall for the trap like thinking about they are winning but it end up for thing losing at then left out without getting anything.

That's why trust your intuition because this attitude would help us realize that we are dealing to much on this risky activity and provably we could decide to quit once everything is excessive or we can sense that there's no point to continue especially for playing those risky gambling games.
Everyone has the feeling and desire to win, but sometimes expecting too much will lead the gambler to despair. When someone expects too much to win, he is willing to take more risks than he can afford, but he does not think about the losses. Due to the false feeling of winning, the gambler does not think about reality, and is forced to take bigger risks again and again, but each time he loses and his losses increase.
Therefore, it is very important to maintain self-control, those who cannot control their greed and emotions, they can never keep themselves away from disaster, and this is proven in reality.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: hedgeh0g on March 24, 2025, 02:10:59 PM
Everyone has the feeling and desire to win, but sometimes expecting too much will lead the gambler to despair. When someone expects too much to win, he is willing to take more risks than he can afford, but he does not think about the losses. Due to the false feeling of winning, the gambler does not think about reality, and is forced to take bigger risks again and again, but each time he loses and his losses increase.
Therefore, it is very important to maintain self-control, those who cannot control their greed and emotions, they can never keep themselves away from disaster, and this is proven in reality.
The big problem is that many players refuse to understand that they have an addiction, because their confidence in success is above everything else. They never want to think about losing, so most often this happens in practice, when they arrange a test on their wallet and money. And only after they lose this money, they begin to think a little, and even then not always. Some players continue to play, thinking that if I was so unlucky, then next time I will definitely be lucky and repeat the same actions again. It looks like the same circle, but at one point it can stop because the player will no longer have anywhere to get money from.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Albarq on March 24, 2025, 02:42:42 PM

The big problem is that many players refuse to understand that they have an addiction, because their confidence in success is above everything else. They never want to think about losing, so most often this happens in practice, when they arrange a test on their wallet and money. And only after they lose this money, they begin to think a little, and even then not always. Some players continue to play, thinking that if I was so unlucky, then next time I will definitely be lucky and repeat the same actions again. It looks like the same circle, but at one point it can stop because the player will no longer have anywhere to get money from.
of course it becomes a thought for the players, and demands themselves to achieve glory by continuing to be enthusiastic even though the physical becomes more drained and it will continue for an unspecified time, and money is their end point in achievement but it is something difficult with a lot of thoughts there, sometimes the goal of success makes players try harder because there will be brightness for the future.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Solosanz on March 24, 2025, 03:23:12 PM
I think you're just lucky.

Why do you not try to record all of your predictions with and without betting? then we all can see is it really true or not.

If it was true, then it means you have a character that not able to perform under pressure, although this also happens to other people too. I'm not sure if this is possible or make sense, but you should try to fake yourself while betting, think like you didn't bet even though you will bet.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Strongkored on March 24, 2025, 03:29:57 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You should try it because being smart in predictions but never betting officially does not give any results. Whether it's just luck or not, can only be proven by betting, but you should know that being able to successfully predict in several bets is not a reference that you are smart, because you will definitely experience what is called losing and the important thing is that overall it remains profitable, because it is impossible to always win just as it is impossible to always lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Pandu Geddon on March 24, 2025, 03:38:49 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If you have the funds and the interest to risk your money, why don't you try betting on your predictions? It can be done easily but don't be too excited. When you bet your money, then you must be prepared to lose.
In gambling there is also a risk of addiction, you can learn how to avoid addiction and you will be strong enough not to be tempted. And what you need to know also, there will be no absolute victory in gambling even though you have predictions that you consider accurate. There are times when you will receive a series of defeats that bother you.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: btc78 on March 24, 2025, 03:42:50 PM
You should try it because being smart in predictions but never betting officially does not give any results. Whether it's just luck or not, can only be proven by betting, but you should know that being able to successfully predict in several bets is not a reference that you are smart, because you will definitely experience what is called losing and the important thing is that overall it remains profitable, because it is impossible to always win just as it is impossible to always lose.
once is by chance, twice is coincidence and thrice is a pattern so maybe try to bet for another time and see if it works out the third time before you decide whether you may actually be good at predicting things or not

when you decide to bet with money though don’t expect to win right away and win constantly after that you can lose but maybe if you keep doing what you have always been doing for the past correct predictions then you can win

also predicting on your head and actually making a bet on a casino with bookmakers and odds involved would be a lot different


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Patikno on March 24, 2025, 03:50:01 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Basically, all types of gambling that we do are very influenced by the luck factor, so I personally think that you are lucky. Maybe the analysis we do can be a reference for predictions to get a win, but for accuracy no one can do it continuously. Therefore, I conclude that gambling with excessive confidence is not allowed, it is better to keep doing limits especially in the allocation for gambling, so that we do not fall into deep disappointment when gambling, and if that happens then there are so many risks that will occur, and the worst is falling into addiction or a desire to avenge defeat. Even if you still want to continue betting, then you should limit your allocation and be willing to accept the losses that may occur, because basically a responsible gambler is one who is ready to accept risks and does not easily fall into emotions when gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Yucky on March 24, 2025, 03:56:48 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

No matter how good your previous predictions have been, it's still a 50/50 chance. You can make this prediction and it will be perfect, just like the previous one, or it won't. But you'll never know unless you try.

If you can't kill the curiosity to try, then give it a try, just to shut that curiosity once and for all. But use an amount that's not too much for you, a budgeted amount, and keep testing the waters.

Sometimes, you just have to try things out to know for yourself. You can't keep guessing, you can't keep asking. And yes, overconfidence can be dangerous, making you feel like you've got it all covered, until you find out that you don't. But regardless, try with a small amount.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: GxSTxV on March 24, 2025, 04:00:34 PM
I have seen this with a friend before, once he won a significant amount from a combined bet with over 10 matches all of them were correct. He gained a great confidence of himself and started to share his bets with us and giving promises that it's going to turn as a win. However, it wasn't the case and he suffered losing all the profits, even made more deposits. What happened is he got one time lucky, he thought that he is too good or found a holygrail to beat the casino.

Confidence can be a weapon for you or against you. Sometimes, you need confidence to make that bet and win. Other times, it's dangerous if you lose control just like what happened to my friend.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Iranus on March 24, 2025, 04:11:51 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

It is true that to win in gambling, you need to be lucky. However, in sports gambling, along with good luck, experience and good analytical skills are important. Then we can be successful. If we can analyze correctly, we can win most of the bets. However, many times the favorite teams lose. However, if we are experienced enough, we can avoid most of the losses in sports gambling. So I would say that you did not win only because of good luck. You were able to analyze the matches correctly, your skills are good, this is also one of the reasons for your victory.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Hewlet on March 24, 2025, 04:21:43 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Whatever your mind is made up to do, there's nothing wrong about giving it a shot but just be ready for whatever result you get from it at the end. Gambling is a choice and having the ability to make good analysis is what gives one an edge to at least have a sense of control over his gambling wins so it is not just something you are depending on mere luck. However, overconfidence could be a huge problem that if not properly managed can ruin you as a gambler. even as a starter, do assume you know it all even though you must have tried some tactics without using actual money on it, there's a big difference between making a prediction when money is not involved and doing the same when money is involved. at least, starting little till you ascertain how effective the strategy works in real life is a good point to start.



Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Zadicar on March 24, 2025, 04:31:51 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Whatever your mind is made up to do, there's nothing wrong about giving it a shot but just be ready for whatever result you get from it at the end. Gambling is a choice and having the ability to make good analysis is what gives one an edge to at least have a sense of control over his gambling wins so it is not just something you are depending on mere luck. However, overconfidence could be a huge problem that if not properly managed can ruin you as a gambler. even as a starter, do assume you know it all even though you must have tried some tactics without using actual money on it, there's a big difference between making a prediction when money is not involved and doing the same when money is involved. at least, starting little till you ascertain how effective the strategy works in real life is a good point to start.


You are the ones would really be able to answer it out when it comes to this because once that curiosity kicks in, then it will really be giving out that kind of urge on which you should be testing out specially at the time that you have been able to see positive results in previous bets but you didnt end up on having no bets because you are really that assuming out that it might be a lose but since you are really that making out some analysis then it is really that showing up some good bets and giving out some positive results. If you do find yourself to be that effective, then why not on trying out to place up some bets? As long you are really just that putting an amount on which you can afford to lose then there would really be no issue. On the moment that you would be winning then it does shows out that you are good at analysis and having some mix of luck of course.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: o48o on March 24, 2025, 04:44:09 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I would say that go for it. I am sure that you already know most things i would recommend, because it sounds like you are self-aware of any dangers this confidence might bring.
The fact that you admit that it could be based on illusion, is really healthy way to look at it.

I know that it's appealing to think that maybe you are some sort of genius who have found infinite money button and feeling that is normal. Everyone thinks they have found an edge at some point.

Enjoy the money, but don't forget that it can be gone as fast as it came. Don't try to predict your success in the future with the trajectory of the past, because this is gambling and admitting you are lucky is way healthier way, even if it somehow wasn't just luck.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: alastantiger on March 24, 2025, 04:53:32 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You won't know until you actually do it hence I will advice you to go right now and put your money where your mouth is, you mightn't know but you might be one of the few talented people that can analyzed the sports that you're talking about. What you'll do first is to not invest a large amount of money into the bet but start with a small amount and watch what the outcome of your bets are becoming for some few games. With more games that you win, you can then raise the quantity of money that you're using to bet so it increases your chances of getting a bigger reward. Don't think that you're good when you haven't involved money because money has its own spirit. Confidence is a good and dangerous thing when used in a wrong way because confidence can blind you from the reality of how something truly is.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: AmoreJaz on March 24, 2025, 04:57:06 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
You won't know until you actually do it hence I will advice you to go right now and put your money where your mouth is, you mightn't know but you might be one of the few talented people that can analyzed the sports that you're talking about. What you'll do first is to not invest a large amount of money into the bet but start with a small amount and watch what the outcome of your bets are becoming for some few games. With more games that you win, you can then raise the quantity of money that you're using to bet so it increases your chances of getting a bigger reward. Don't think that you're good when you haven't involved money because money has its own spirit. Confidence is a good and dangerous thing when used in a wrong way because confidence can blind you from the reality of how something truly is.

What he can do is place a small amount of bet first and try if he is really lucky with his bets. Now, slowly increase the amount if you feel that you are right with your bets, but make sure you are still using your spare funds. Because some people are not actually playing their real cash because of the fear that they will lose it all. You won't know your actual results in predicting the game if you won't try it with actual money. You will always feel the "what if" every time you see that your prediction is on the winning side.
So that feeling won't stop up until you really try your real cash to bet. And see how you are really good with your prediction when it comes to the actual betting. That's when you will really gauge your prediction skills not during the time that you are just watching and predicting the end game of the match without shelling out real cash.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: WeedGoW on March 24, 2025, 05:00:56 PM
It is great to know your prediction is true. Sometimes predictions increase their self-confidence. I think you have done a lot of analysis to make this prediction. Actually, I bet on a cricket game too much. Because I know if you can do the right analysis in cricket, then of course you will win. When I bet, I bet very much then bet and I win most of the time. If you want to make a difference between prediction and betting, remember that a small amount of risk is to take through some choice. If you are studying and studying more deeply, your prediction accuracy may increase, but since you are seeing both predictions and bets together, it is very important to be careful about your financial status, mental preparation for risk-taking and your real perspective towards sports.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Aanuoluwatofunmi on March 24, 2025, 05:02:16 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You get it right by luck for the first time does not mean you will have the same experience continually, this is gambling for you, maybe what happened to you after this was overconfidence, which anyone of us can also fall a victim if we don't pay attention to the game we play and how gambling works in general perspective, some may because of these try to put in huge amount of money as stake to later discover they missed it and lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: I_Anime on March 24, 2025, 05:06:51 PM
Is two different when you predicting without putting any money and when you are putting money , everything is all about self control because lack of self control is one of the major thing that usually lead to losses due to many factors like chasing after your losses after experiencing some few losses , is for you to ask yourself if you can handle your emotions when things ain’t going your way I can’t actually tell if you have a good predicting skills or just luck all I can say is just be careful at there because you ain’t the first with such mindset, there a lot folks that actually thought they have a good predicting skills and they end up with losses countless times .


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: suzanne5223 on March 24, 2025, 05:29:07 PM
There's no danger in confidence. Overconfidence is what is dangerous.
Every gambler is good at analyzing the game when the result is yet to be out, and when previously analyzed results are intact but when things turn south the story is the other way round.
What I am trying to say is that every game is a game of chance and has nothing to do with your experience in analyzing because surprises are bound to happen which can get everything as the gambling game is a concern. However, there's nothing bad in trusting your potential and trying your luck, just make sure you're going with the amount you can afford to lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Dickiy on March 24, 2025, 07:16:35 PM
I agree with the title above that self-confidence can be very dangerous if it is too involved in gambling, the problem here is that the result at the end of the game is always about two things, namely winning or losing regardless of how hard you make predictions and analyze a team, meaning the possibility of defeat will always be there.
There are several things that should not be too involved in gambling, including hope and self-confidence as we are discussing, none other than when we are too confident, we will most likely bet with a larger amount than we can afford, which will also increase the possibility of regret when the results turn out to be lost.
So regardless of how accurate your predictions are, in my opinion, don't trust too much and don't put too much hope before the results come out.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: icebar on March 24, 2025, 08:01:07 PM
It is good to have confidence, but excessive confidence can increase the amount of loss rather than profit. In the case of betting, if a gambler does not have confidence, then the chances of that gambler winning are reduced. But luck is a factor in gambling, the more confidence we grow, if luck does not favor us, then we will never be able to win in betting. Due to overconfidence, the amount of loss of a gambler often increases to a large extent.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: coolcoinz on March 24, 2025, 08:17:06 PM
Think of it in terms of probability, OP. You were right twice in a row and that gives you confidence, but getting something right when the chances are 50% twice in a row is pretty easy and happens all the time. Just play dice and see how many times you will get 2 in a row and then you lose 2 in a row.

To create a pattern and show you statistically are a good player you need to analyze 100+ bets. It's impossible to tell if you were lucky or good after 2 bets. If you're scared of losing money and want to see if you're good, bet the minimum like $1, or make imaginary bets and see how you do after the next 20 bets.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: finaleshot2016 on March 24, 2025, 11:53:07 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If your predictions are just being positive then it's kinda risky because probably it's from luck because you didn't rely on analysis. Luck played a big role on your wins.
I also felt that before but turned out I'm wrong because sometimes that confidence came from luck, once luck depleted on yourself, bro you'll gonna shutdown.

Be always practical and be analytical, no one is powerful like that 'cause if there are, there are many of you guys but as you can see, those who've won a lot turns out to make their money gone too because of that reasoning.

Be careful..






Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Kristiyana on March 25, 2025, 12:16:24 AM
Yeah, in terms of gambling confidence is a dangerous thing. I knew of a gambler who lost a huge of money all in the name of confidence, While most gamblers also got deceived by those random predictors that claims to be an expert in terms of gambling, and most people are so naive to use thier money to buy those thier odds just because they trusted the source which the game came from and sometimes after buying this odds then can decide to stake it with 4x that amount they use to purchase those odds. and sometimes they will be so unlucky to win from those odds which they buy from those expert, This is why we don't need to have too much confidence in gamble regardless to the source that the game is coming from.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: dunfida on March 25, 2025, 02:51:03 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If your predictions are just being positive then it's kinda risky because probably it's from luck because you didn't rely on analysis. Luck played a big role on your wins.
I also felt that before but turned out I'm wrong because sometimes that confidence came from luck, once luck depleted on yourself, bro you'll gonna shutdown.

Be always practical and be analytical, no one is powerful like that 'cause if there are, there are many of you guys but as you can see, those who've won a lot turns out to make their money gone too because of that reasoning.

Be careful..
Luck would be always the determining factor on which its something that will really be that needed neither been dealing up with sports betting or casino games but we do know that on sports betting it will really be needing up to have some application of analysis on which this will really be that a determining factor too on whether you would really be able to have better chance of winning or not. Checking out into the situation in having in torn between to make a bet or not with real money, then it will really be that up to you and if you do have that money that you can spend on then it will be that up to you. Important thing is that you should really be that investing into the amount on which you can only afford to lose. Never make yourself having this kind of consideration on putting up some all in amount just to justify your curiosity.

Confidence would really be a dangerous thing but it will be depending whether you are spending up that much money out of it or not. It all matters on how much you do spend because this is where gamblers do usually messed up at the moment that they cant be able to control their spending at the moment that they do make out some bets. So it will really be that vary on someones decision.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Oluwa-btc on March 25, 2025, 10:20:23 PM
if you are surprised by your own prediction, it means that from the beginning you were not so sure about your prediction and only made a prediction based on self-confidence and cognitive bias without being supported by strong analysis. the two predictions that you have made and then it worked are most likely just your luck, it is not likely that you can get the same result when you make another prediction in a real bet. but it is your choice, whether you want to make another prediction and put it on a real bet or not. but only bet what you can afford to lose.

On a sure note, confidence is important for what it stands for in gambling,but overly times,the negative outcomes usually outweighs the  positive outcomes.Its balanced when both territories can foster
and manage their confidence levels.Lest any games venture in lossess in lossess,them overconfidence is a big target.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Fortify on March 25, 2025, 10:26:15 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

It is a dilemma that we all face in life, having confidence is a good thing but it only comes from lots of experience and sometimes we might be too quick to classify a streak of good luck as some innate knowledge that we are able to decipher. They say it can take 10,000 hours to become an expert in a field, which usually means a good year or two of learning, so maybe if you are falling under this number it needs a bit more practice. One thing that you will learn over so much time is all the "black swan" type events that might wipe out a string of success. If we talk about sports betting, there will be all sorts of rare scenarios that pop up in every game but you might only see them once or twice a year - misjudging outcomes or the consequences of your bets due to these technical situations can end up very expensive.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: DubemIfedigbo001 on March 25, 2025, 10:45:45 PM
...
It is a dilemma that we all face in life, having confidence is a good thing but it only comes from lots of experience and sometimes we might be too quick to classify a streak of good luck as some innate knowledge that we are able to decipher.
Confidence is a good thing, but overconfidence is disastrous. A gambler relying on his luck that has come by series of times and kissing his grabbling discipline in the process of simply overconfidence. We need to apply moderation in all our actions on the casino, even when we're winning, there should be a time to stop and move on to the next activity. That way we're preparing ourselves with discipline for our reaction during losing steaks.

Overconfidence would make the gambler think it's his right to keep winning no matter what and his sudden switch to loosing streak might seem to him as abnormal and he'll strive to get back to winning streaks, maybe to no avail and from overconfidence it enters desperation, furthermore to depression and a new helpless addict is formed.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: tread93 on March 26, 2025, 01:01:37 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


uhhh yeahhhh, duh! lol. If you're feeling confident and you've already made two picks that could have been winners everybody knows that the third time is always the charm! Eh? Or was that just me that paid attention in gambling school? ;P. Why not man? I mean seriously what have you got to lose? You've got to trust your gut and if you feel you can take the risk and are confident in it then I say LFG!!!!! This is not financial advice in any way shape or form just an opinion and not meant to be taken to heart.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Bitcoinsummoner on March 26, 2025, 03:10:55 AM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You get it right by luck for the first time does not mean you will have the same experience continually, this is gambling for you, maybe what happened to you after this was overconfidence, which anyone of us can also fall a victim if we don't pay attention to the game we play and how gambling works in general perspective, some may because of these try to put in huge amount of money as stake to later discover they missed it and lose.

After reading your comment, I share my own experience,

"I was very good at math, math was my favorite subject. I practiced math whenever I felt like it. While practicing this extra math, I memorized all the math in my textbook. An extra level of confidence was working inside me. When I went to the exam hall, I was really surprised when I saw the math questions. All the questions were common to me. I started writing the answers to the questions without looking at the questions. The examiner changed a number in the middle. But because of the extra conference, I started doing the math without reading the question a second time. At the end of the exam, I read the questions carefully and saw that the questions had changed a little. But by then, my exam was over. Now, the catch I made was bad because of my extra confidence." So I will say, "Excessive confidence is really a cause of harm"!


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: kotajikikox on March 26, 2025, 04:20:46 AM
uhhh yeahhhh, duh! lol. If you're feeling confident and you've already made two picks that could have been winners everybody knows that the third time is always the charm! Eh? Or was that just me that paid attention in gambling school? ;P.
Where is this gambling school so I can enroll?

Also isn't the saying that third time's the charm applies if you have been losing and people will encourage you to try again for the third time to see if things will finally turn around for you. In OP's case, they have been lucky enough for two tries already. Will the third time repeat the previous two successes? Who knows? It could be the end of a streak.
Quote
Why not man? I mean seriously what have you got to lose?

Well, money! But this is why OP should just go for a small amount so that it is not big of a loss. If he does lose


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: tread93 on March 28, 2025, 02:43:28 AM
uhhh yeahhhh, duh! lol. If you're feeling confident and you've already made two picks that could have been winners everybody knows that the third time is always the charm! Eh? Or was that just me that paid attention in gambling school? ;P.
Where is this gambling school so I can enroll?

Also isn't the saying that third time's the charm applies if you have been losing and people will encourage you to try again for the third time to see if things will finally turn around for you. In OP's case, they have been lucky enough for two tries already. Will the third time repeat the previous two successes? Who knows? It could be the end of a streak.
Quote
Why not man? I mean seriously what have you got to lose?

Well, money! But this is why OP should just go for a small amount so that it is not big of a loss. If he does lose

Haha I was only kidding about the gambling school. I just feel like if you've got two in a row then you've got good odds to hit on the 3rd try in a sports betting type of scenario. But of course he could still lose the money. Hopefully he won't bet more then he has to lose if he does go for it after all. I mean eventually he probably will place a bet on it one day, even if it's not right away.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on March 30, 2025, 04:38:06 PM
Overconfidence would make the gambler think it's his right to keep winning no matter what and his sudden switch to loosing streak might seem to him as abnormal and he'll strive to get back to winning streaks, maybe to no avail and from overconfidence it enters desperation, furthermore to depression and a new helpless addict is formed.

Well, I start from something: if we have confidence, things will turn out better for us , Considering that there are sports bets, and even with our confidence  , if we lose, it's something we must accept with humility and that's it , There's nothing worse than indecision and lack of confidence, because it will never bring good things.

I think that when you, as a person, know what you're facing, confidence will get you out of a bad situation faster, whether it's in casinos or even sports betting.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Zigabel on March 30, 2025, 05:16:10 PM
You get it right by luck for the first time does not mean you will have the same experience continually, this is gambling for you, maybe what happened to you after this was overconfidence, which anyone of us can also fall a victim if we don't pay attention to the game we play and how gambling works in general perspective, some may because of these try to put in huge amount of money as stake to later discover they missed it and lose.
Greed is the major reason one will be willing to risk huge amounts just to be able get even bigger returns meanwhile they could have rather go with a reasonable amount such that it becomes sustainable with multiple trials even when the whole thing is mostly luck dependent.  With lucky you may get first two or three trials right and then you begin to feel so much like you have gotten just the best strategy only to start loosing such that if you don't have a money management strategy,  you may not stay long in the game before you loose everything including that which you have made as profit much earlier.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Shadiq on March 30, 2025, 05:30:12 PM
Maybe you are good at analysis or you may be lucky. If you understand the games well and have deep knowledge about the games then I would say you are good at analysis. But if you win by analyzing the games after reading the media and some articles then I would say you are lucky. Because if you do not understand the games or are not experienced in the games, proper analysis is not possible. Because the situation of the matches is not always the same.

Whether you are a good analyst or lucky, if you can be disciplined in betting then betting can be positive for you. If you cannot control your emotions then betting will almost certainly bring something negative for you.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Awaklara on March 30, 2025, 05:31:13 PM
Greed is the major reason one will be willing to risk huge amounts just to be able get even bigger returns meanwhile they could have rather go with a reasonable amount such that it becomes sustainable with multiple trials even when the whole thing is mostly luck dependent.  With lucky you may get first two or three trials right and then you begin to feel so much like you have gotten just the best strategy only to start loosing such that if you don't have a money management strategy,  you may not stay long in the game before you loose everything including that which you have made as profit much earlier.
I don't think gamblers who bet big to get big wins are greedy. Gamblers see opportunities and they take risks. That's not greed.
It's different if a gambler has already gotten a big win that is satisfying, but chooses to continue the game to get an even bigger win rather than exiting the game and enjoying his winnings. I think that's more of a greedy gambler.
Gamblers who take risks still have to go through calculations. At least they consider the odds and also the amount of bets they can make.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: gunhell16 on March 30, 2025, 05:55:26 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


You know, op, that's no different from the majority of gamblers who are losers and only a few or rarely win often. The same goes for the predictions we make or do.
If there are times when our predictions are right, just think of it as luck, where luck is we don't know when it will happen to us.

It's hard to trust the predictions we make because maybe later on, because you're so confident that your prediction is right, you'll suddenly go broke in the end, which can cause you stress that could lead you to depression if you lose a large amount. So be careful of course or play at your own risk as a gambler.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Lannakosa on March 30, 2025, 06:00:09 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

You won't know if you don't try, it seems to me that a player should a priori make a bet only when he is sure. In other cases, when there are doubts, it is better to refuse the bet, even if it turns out that you were right, it is better to skip the bet where there are doubts. Even if you are a good bettor and you will have a big series of victories, this does not mean that you cannot have a series of several defeats in a row and you can even be sure of your bets, gambling is always a risk.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: leonair on March 30, 2025, 06:07:52 PM
Greed is the major reason one will be willing to risk huge amounts just to be able get even bigger returns meanwhile they could have rather go with a reasonable amount such that it becomes sustainable with multiple trials even when the whole thing is mostly luck dependent.  With lucky you may get first two or three trials right and then you begin to feel so much like you have gotten just the best strategy only to start loosing such that if you don't have a money management strategy,  you may not stay long in the game before you loose everything including that which you have made as profit much earlier.
I don't think gamblers who bet big to get big wins are greedy. Gamblers see opportunities and they take risks. That's not greed.
It's different if a gambler has already gotten a big win that is satisfying, but chooses to continue the game to get an even bigger win rather than exiting the game and enjoying his winnings. I think that's more of a greedy gambler.
Gamblers who take risks still have to go through calculations. At least they consider the odds and also the amount of bets they can make.
Even after losing repeatedly in gambling, one who continues to test one's luck or place big bets in the hope of winning something big is definitely called greed. If you predict an opportunity and bet big money on it in order to win something big, isn't that greed? You will never get a winning guarantee in gambling. And if you lose, you will lose the entire amount you bet. So isn't it greed to bet money at high risk? I think gambling itself is a greed. That is why if someone gambles regularly, he cannot give up gambling easily. Because his regular gambling activity makes him very greedy.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Slow death on March 30, 2025, 06:35:32 PM
I think that when you, as a person, know what you're facing, confidence will get you out of a bad situation faster, whether it's in casinos or even sports betting.

In sports betting, when a person invests their feelings, they get some games right, they start to feel very confident that they can get all the games right, which is why they make bad decisions, like putting a lot of money on a bet thinking they won't make a mistake. In these cases, people even put money they can't afford to lose.

For example:

A person puts $1 on a game and gets it right. On this first bet, the person is still afraid of betting, but decides to bet again and gets it right. Then, the person starts to think they won't lose. That's why they'll put a lot of money in, borrow money or sell some asset and bet. When they lose, they can commit suicide. I've seen many cases like this here in my country.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Rabata on March 30, 2025, 06:48:11 PM
You get it right by luck for the first time does not mean you will have the same experience continually, this is gambling for you, maybe what happened to you after this was overconfidence, which anyone of us can also fall a victim if we don't pay attention to the game we play and how gambling works in general perspective, some may because of these try to put in huge amount of money as stake to later discover they missed it and lose.
Greed is the major reason one will be willing to risk huge amounts just to be able get even bigger returns meanwhile they could have rather go with a reasonable amount such that it becomes sustainable with multiple trials even when the whole thing is mostly luck dependent.  With lucky you may get first two or three trials right and then you begin to feel so much like you have gotten just the best strategy only to start loosing such that if you don't have a money management strategy,  you may not stay long in the game before you loose everything including that which you have made as profit much earlier.
When a gambler shows too much confidence in gambling, that confidence will manifest in the form of greed. It is certainly good to have confidence in betting because if you have confidence, you can bet without any doubt. But sometimes this confidence becomes one of the reasons for loss. Although luck is an important factor in gambling, those who are overconfident do not want to trust that luck. They think that what they are doing will happen. But when the reality is different, they only regret it.

In the case of betting, if you lower your expectations, it is definitely possible to get good results. In gambling, you must control your greed, otherwise it will be difficult to take the right decision. A gambler who control their greed he can do better in gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: swogerino on March 30, 2025, 06:50:47 PM
I think that when you, as a person, know what you're facing, confidence will get you out of a bad situation faster, whether it's in casinos or even sports betting.

In sports betting, when a person invests their feelings, they get some games right, they start to feel very confident that they can get all the games right, which is why they make bad decisions, like putting a lot of money on a bet thinking they won't make a mistake. In these cases, people even put money they can't afford to lose.

For example:

A person puts $1 on a game and gets it right. On this first bet, the person is still afraid of betting, but decides to bet again and gets it right. Then, the person starts to think they won't lose. That's why they'll put a lot of money in, borrow money or sell some asset and bet. When they lose, they can commit suicide. I've seen many cases like this here in my country.

Confidence and gambling does not fit well in the same sentence yet I agree with you, confidence is a total destroyer for anyone playing as confidence is build upon dreams one may have and as such you are not thinking that clearly, this obscures further when someone is excited because he has found a few games right before playing again. This is a dangerous case and people should treat this with caution yet no one does, the only good thing is that in sport betting rarely we see extremely addicted persons from gambling so at least sport betting does not make the same harm as playing slot machines can do.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Wonder Work on March 30, 2025, 06:54:19 PM
I don't think gamblers who bet big to get big wins are greedy. Gamblers see opportunities and they take risks. That's not greed.
The reasons for greed can be seen in many ways, but those who make big bets in this casino and lose repeatedly cannot be considered greedy because those who play the game make big bets only when they understand the situation and can take risks. Some win big bets but still do not calm down, and later, it is seen that they have lost all their money while making big bets again. That is why greed cannot be allowed to come; you have to take risks consciously. Moreover, if you go towards it greedily, there is a high possibility of losing money.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Pi$$ on March 30, 2025, 06:56:52 PM
Because if you do not understand the games or are not experienced in the games, proper analysis is not possible. Because the situation of the matches is not always the same.
there is usually a level of experience that comes with being familiar with the sports and being someone that has been a frequent gambler. such experience doesn't come by just reading through sports journal or getting insight from punters. everyone makes his analysis based on his level of experience. because of how experienced some punters assume themselves to be, they might make a dangerous prediction that might almost be too hard to be true. you can only be confident o what you have a control of, gambling is a game of luck, confidence or overconfidence does not work with it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Su-asa on March 30, 2025, 07:01:11 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
I don't seem to understand you clearly but if you have been making your predictions in the sport game which you didn't mention, and you have not yet make any bet with your real money yet. IMO two things are involve already. Which is, you might be good at it or you might be lucky on your predictions. But you shouldn't feel too excited to wager what you can not afford to lose on the game any time you are ready to stake your money on it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Agbe on March 30, 2025, 07:14:04 PM
I think you are only lucky From what you are explaining here because if you say that you have been only able to get two accurate results right then to me you're not yet ready for you to be putting your money in where your mouth is, gambling is one thing that is a serious matter that involves money so you have to be mentally prepared to face what ever thing that you will face and that includes preparing your minds for accepting losses which is one integral part of gambling that I have seen so apart from you been confident when it comes to gambling you have to know that gambling is a serious matter that is beyond only having confidence


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Odusko on March 30, 2025, 07:33:23 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
I don't seem to understand you clearly but if you have been making your predictions in the sport game which you didn't mention, and you have not yet make any bet with your real money yet. IMO two things are involve already. Which is, you might be good at it or you might be lucky on your predictions. But you shouldn't feel too excited to wager what you can not afford to lose on the game any time you are ready to stake your money on it.
Cases like this happen to wake us up to responsible gambling because the ops sounds as if he is about to start gambling irresponsibly and that will not go well in the long run, what is most important in gambling is the ability to control when and how we gamble and that has to do with the amount of time and money we spend in gambling, the ops sound as if he will blow up his previous winning and going in a direction of chasing his winning which eventually will lead him into lost at the end.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: ChiBitCTy on March 30, 2025, 07:57:33 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


I don't equate confidence and arrogance as the same thing.  It's one thing to be arrogant, which in gambling means a whole other thing.  This would mean that one is OVERLY-confident, might underestimate their opponent, likely not thinking clearly because they are maybe overanalyzing thing or over estimating etc etc.  Confidence can be a big part of what makes a gambler good at what they do.  If you aren't, you're unlikely to ever be good at it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Zoomic on March 30, 2025, 08:26:25 PM
Confidence isn't a dangerous thing; gambling is just so unpredictable. Especially in sports betting, you can have all the knowledge you need to analyze a particular match. You might be well-informed about the past records of the teams involved and the players, but a very small, insignificant event during the match can ruin the bet. This is what makes gambling interesting.

There are days when our confidence has worked perfectly for us, and there are days when circumstances beyond our control make us lose, even with our high level of confidence. Every gambler still needs some level of confidence. We should also not confuse our own personal biases with confidence, as this could be another reason why we fail


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: death69 on March 30, 2025, 08:31:18 PM
Like the rest of us have been, are, and will be, you are drunk on variance rather than power. Self-confidence? Dangerous? Of course. But necessary. The problem isn't confidence, it’s mistaking short-term correctness for long-term edge. Two hits . Two hits is hardly nothing. Two hits is noise. Two hits is noise that feels like signal.

What you’re really asking isn’t whether you’re good. You want to know whether you could trust yourself. The truth is, nobody knows. Not you, not me, not even the most sharpest chance odds-makersin the room. What matters is whether you can create a structure based on two lucky calls that isn't driven by dopamine surges. Do you formalize it? Build a framework? Or do you ride blind into the next event hoping to high-five chance again?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Koadharber on March 30, 2025, 08:45:32 PM
Confidence isn't a dangerous thing; gambling is just so unpredictable. Especially in sports betting, you can have all the knowledge you need to analyze a particular match. You might be well-informed about the past records of the teams involved and the players, but a very small, insignificant event during the match can ruin the bet. This is what makes gambling interesting.

There are days when our confidence has worked perfectly for us, and there are days when circumstances beyond our control make us lose, even with our high level of confidence. Every gambler still needs some level of confidence. We should also not confuse our own personal biases with confidence, as this could be another reason why we fail
Or lets say that there's no such thing about that 100% winning chance when it comes to gambling or betting on which its true that no matter whether you are drunk or not but still it wont really be giving out that kind of chance or giving out that kind of assurance that you would really be able to win up a particular bet. The only thing differs on here is that when you do really that having that confidence is that you cant be able to do necessary analysis on which it will really be that needed when we do speak about that sports betting or something which is really that this is significant. There are really just that those conditions on which you would really be that having that sure thing kind of choices on which there are moments such as this.

Its true that on the moment that you would really be experiencing up those loses then you would really be that eventually be able to have that kind of  realizations at the end specially if you do saw that you are already that losing up that much. You will be able to find out on how you do took up those loses just because of just that not applying the realistic approach.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Makus on March 30, 2025, 08:47:17 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


There are some scenarios where we learn better the hard the way, if you keep getting advise from people to tell you what to do, you may end up not deeming the advice as valuable. I believe  in personal experience too much words will only limit you to a certain amout of knowledge.  If you probably  place the trade to the way you feel comfortable with and end up losing it, then you'll  discover  for yourself that gamble is a game of luck, and we can't be luck all the time. But if the harken to advise from others, there is a possibility that you can make a wrong decision at the right time and possible with a huge amount because you've already conceived in your mind that it's easy  to money from gamble.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: serjent05 on March 30, 2025, 08:54:33 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Having confidence is fine but overconfidence is the problem.  You can try to bet with your sound predictions but always remember that predictions is not 100% foolproof since no one can guess what will happen in the future at a 100% accuracy.

Please do note that the reason behind the word prediction simply means guessing the possible outcome of something and thus speak for itself that it may not be a 100% correct.  If you have the confidence on your quality of prediction, why not put your money into it.  Whether you are actually good at analyzing things or just lucky can be answered by you alone since we have no idea how knowledgeable you are when it comes to predicting the outcome of certain sports.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Miles2006 on March 30, 2025, 09:10:09 PM
Well, I start from something: if we have confidence, things will turn out better for us , Considering that there are sports bets, and even with our confidence  , if we lose, it's something we must accept with humility and that's it , There's nothing worse than indecision and lack of confidence, because it will never bring good things.

I think that when you, as a person, know what you're facing, confidence will get you out of a bad situation faster, whether it's in casinos or even sports betting.

You’re right, confidence plays a role while betting either analyzing bet meanwhile excess confidence might lead to heart break if the person is emotional. It’s advised gamblers bet with what’s available and if anything happens afterward they intend to stay comfortable, I know it sounds crazy trying to stay comfortable after losing a bet yet gambling with little amount makes gambling easy and stress free. Confidence is good but, in terms of gambling activity confidence is never guarantee and we all know gamblers will go extra miles achieving whatever they want when betting, confidence is not a criteria.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: DaNNy001 on March 30, 2025, 09:15:34 PM
Confidence is a good thing. Lack of prudence is dangerous. Don't do anything you don't feel confident about doing, and accept the outcome, whatever it may be. After all, you need to believe in your predictions, otherwise, why take the risk?

Confidence in this aspect is okay but when we are talking about the context of the topic we are referring to how comfortable gamblers are with the bets they make forgetting that gambling is a 50/50 thing, you can either win big or lose a big amount. It's good to be sure of any bet you place but don't allow your confidence to affect your financial decisions, some people get too sure of their bets and most times they end up staking a huge amount of money and losing it. Don't be too sure of any bet, don't stake above your limit. No matter how sure it might look maintain your stake.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: summonerrk on March 30, 2025, 09:17:05 PM
As a rule, problematic bettors are people who truly love sports and have been brought up since childhood to be those who must follow their convictions and aspirations to the end.
Also there are even girls like that. For example, I know one who has problems with betting, but she trusts that she will win and does not give up. This is the so-called champion spirit, but unfortunately, bookmakers are well aware of this weakness. This type of people take advantage of it.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: $weetne$$ on March 30, 2025, 09:25:09 PM
There are days when our confidence has worked perfectly for us, and there are days when circumstances beyond our control make us lose, even with our high level of confidence. Every gambler still needs some level of confidence. We should also not confuse our own personal biases with confidence, as this could be another reason why we fail

Without some level of assurance which happens because you are confident, you can not even submit your bets because you will be doubting yourself. The circumstances beyond our control can be the reason we lose or win depending on what our bet was. At times I do not follow my confidence but go the opposite direction and it works for me. Confidence is both good and bad and it also depends on how we are making use of the confidence. For when we are playing sport betting, if you are not confident in the clubs that you are choosing to win then how then do you want to game to play in your favour. Being confident for sport games and casino games are different because your confidence I'm casino games is not going to change anything.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Rockstarguy on March 30, 2025, 09:39:42 PM
As a rule, problematic bettors are people who truly love sports and have been brought up since childhood to be those who must follow their convictions and aspirations to the end.
Also there are even girls like that. For example, I know one who has problems with betting, but she trusts that she will win and does not give up. This is the so-called champion spirit, but unfortunately, bookmakers are well aware of this weakness. This type of people take advantage of it.
It is good to have the champion spirit in gambling and to also think big but this shouldn't affect the money that is being used in gambling. It is believe when one think positively it is very easy to achieve the thogs that you want but being positively should jot let one to invest so much money that can't be afford,  thinking being positively will surely double up the money. Gambling is very unpredicted and od needs to be very mindful with amount that is used to gamble.  Having the mind of a champion is not a guarantee that if one use a big amount of money it will lead to winning big amount of money.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Natalim on March 30, 2025, 09:54:07 PM

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results


Let us say that your prediction is right, but never think it will always happen. Honestly, you are just so lucky this time, but don't get too confident that your next bet will be as lucky as before. Well, in sports betting, we can think that winning is easy because we can analyze the team's performance. But we can't set aside the situation that we still need luck to win. Many gamblers win big in sports betting, but we can't deny that many lose due to their confidence. And my message to you, mate, is congratulations, but don't live in an overly confident manner.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Orpichukwu on March 30, 2025, 09:58:59 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
I don't seem to understand you clearly but if you have been making your predictions in the sport game which you didn't mention, and you have not yet make any bet with your real money yet. IMO two things are involve already. Which is, you might be good at it or you might be lucky on your predictions. But you shouldn't feel too excited to wager what you can not afford to lose on the game any time you are ready to stake your money on it.
Making predictions and the predictions happening based on how you predict sometimes can make the person feel like they have some kind of superpowers to get gambling scores right, and I agree with you that the OP should not allow that to get to him where he can make the decision of using a larger amount of money to gamble based on the type of confidence that he might have in himself, as the result of the game might end up not coming out like they predicted, as luck might not be on his side that day.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Su-asa on March 30, 2025, 10:03:38 PM
Well, I start from something: if we have confidence, things will turn out better for us , Considering that there are sports bets, and even with our confidence  , if we lose, it's something we must accept with humility and that's it , There's nothing worse than indecision and lack of confidence, because it will never bring good things.

I think that when you, as a person, know what you're facing, confidence will get you out of a bad situation faster, whether it's in casinos or even sports betting.

You’re right, confidence plays a role while betting either analyzing bet meanwhile excess confidence might lead to heart break if the person is emotional. It’s advised gamblers bet with what’s available and if anything happens afterward they intend to stay comfortable, I know it sounds crazy trying to stay comfortable after losing a bet yet gambling with little amount makes gambling easy and stress free. Confidence is good but, in terms of gambling activity confidence is never guarantee and we all know gamblers will go extra miles achieving whatever they want when betting, confidence is not a criteria.
Agreed. Confidence is not guaranteed because being confident can lead to heartaches like you stated and if you become confident about the games you predict it makes you wagers more than you can afford to lose. And to be specific, it's not advisable to wager with what you can not afford to lose because winning is not guaranteed, a gamblers win their bets based on how lucky they are.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Hatchy on March 30, 2025, 10:05:47 PM
am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well, if you know you can trust your predictions to some extent I'll advice you try them starting with very little risk. Don't place much money on them yet till you verify that you got the skill you are assuming. But then, you should also be aware that it's all about being lucky when you are predicting.dont expect every round of your bets to be same as the last. If you have such mindset you may easily get upset and try to gamble without a plan on how to manage your risk and a avoid losing too much.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Odusko on March 30, 2025, 10:14:38 PM
am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well, if you know you can trust your predictions to some extent I'll advice you try them starting with very little risk. Don't place much money on them yet till you verify that you got the skill you are assuming. But then, you should also be aware that it's all about being lucky when you are predicting.dont expect every round of your bets to be same as the last. If you have such mindset you may easily get upset and try to gamble without a plan on how to manage your risk and a avoid losing too much.
At least if he feels that he has developed a strategy then he should not gamble with more than 5% of the total available funds that he set out to gamble with, because if he already made some positive progress in previous bets, it shows the possibility of having a potential future in that format and he should avoid overconfidence but at the same time not giving up on the newfound development putting it to test is what make it a strategy and to do that rightly he needs to do that with a small amount of money.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Crypto Library on March 30, 2025, 10:28:20 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is
anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
I think it's good to have confidence, but it's definitely not good to have overconfidence.
So I think you should act strategically, like first of all, before you start gambling, you should set loss and win limits, if you touch them, you should take a break from gambling for that day or for that period. The attitude here should not be that if you win one bet, you will win all your bets.
I think that from this kind of overconfidence, at least profit can never be achieved because gambling depends entirely on luck. Here, analysis can be useful, but if we forget that it depends on luck, then analysis skills will definitely not be useful to us.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: suzanne5223 on March 30, 2025, 11:59:07 PM
Confidence in this aspect is okay but when we are talking about the context of the topic we are referring to how comfortable gamblers are with the bets they make forgetting that gambling is a 50/50 thing, you can either win big or lose a big amount. It's good to be sure of any bet you place but don't allow your confidence to affect your financial decisions, some people get too sure of their bets and most times they end up staking a huge amount of money and losing it. Don't be too sure of any bet, don't stake above your limit. No matter how sure it might look maintain your stake.
That's technically what this is all about.
I never consider confidence to be a bad thing because if a gambler doesn't trust his/herself, who will trust the gambler. The lack of understanding of the major gambling concept is what leads to over-confidence in some gamblers when the concept of gambling is to always favor the house.
This is why I always say gambling is not for everyone, because only those who understand the concept of gambling and also accept the concept are those who are worth gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: OgNasty on March 31, 2025, 02:04:35 AM
When it comes to gambling I always assume people are messing around and trying to have some fun when they seem confident about winning. The odds are against you so it is a bit of a fool’s errand to feel like you are going to win. I’m sure it happens, but to me at least when I see it, I just think it’s someone having fun.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bounceback on March 31, 2025, 02:49:10 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Maybe you have the skills to predict the game accurately in that match, but if in the next match you want to try to place a bet, then my advice is not to be too confident and place a large bet because it is possible that in your next prediction the results will not be as you expected, indeed sometimes we always assume that we are able to predict sports matches well but in reality after placing a bet our predictions do not apply in betting.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: fruktik on March 31, 2025, 05:38:59 AM
Well, if you know you can trust your predictions to some extent I'll advice you try them starting with very little risk. Don't place much money on them yet till you verify that you got the skill you are assuming. But then, you should also be aware that it's all about being lucky when you are predicting.dont expect every round of your bets to be same as the last. If you have such mindset you may easily get upset and try to gamble without a plan on how to manage your risk and a avoid losing too much.
If you have the skill to analyze well, then it's time to apply it in practice. But it seems to me that not everything is so simple and there are some "pitfalls" that will one day put all these prejudices in their place.

Well, I don't really believe that you can come up with a strategy that will work in gambling and betting. All these are tricks and nothing more. That is, in this way a new audience is involved in the game process.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ishicryptic on March 31, 2025, 06:06:20 AM

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I think that it is quite ok to be confident about the games that you are about to bet on but don't be overconfident to use the amount that you cannot afford to loose, your level of confidence don't matter as much as the amount that you are willing to risk. From my experience and my observation of other bettors I know that with all your confidence about the analysis that you made you can still lose your bet and that means that luck determines wins more than confidence. I have seen and heard about many people that gambled with a huge amount of money and later lost everything, and I know that it could only be overconfidence that can make them to place such bets.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: mirakal on March 31, 2025, 06:45:31 AM

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results


Let us say that your prediction is right, but never think it will always happen. Honestly, you are just so lucky this time, but don't get too confident that your next bet will be as lucky as before. Well, in sports betting, we can think that winning is easy because we can analyze the team's performance. But we can't set aside the situation that we still need luck to win. Many gamblers win big in sports betting, but we can't deny that many lose due to their confidence. And my message to you, mate, is congratulations, but don't live in an overly confident manner.
Let’s be straightforward, with gambling whether its casino games or sports betting, confidence will only lead you to anticipated losses. Why? Because no matter how lucky or skilled you are, the fact that you can’t still predict accurately what will be the final outcome, then most likely losing will be the end game.

Just don’t be too much confident and get carried away by your emotions, you will only lose that way. Bet only on what you can afford to lose, and bet where there is high probability of winning, that way you are betting based on a real gambler’s point of view.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: danherbias07 on March 31, 2025, 06:52:29 AM
When it comes to gambling I always assume people are messing around and trying to have some fun when they seem confident about winning. The odds are against you so it is a bit of a fool’s errand to feel like you are going to win. I’m sure it happens, but to me at least when I see it, I just think it’s someone having fun.
But the truth is, someone might not be having fun anymore. I think I've played enough slots for a long time, and I can say I got sick of the repeated results. A different multiplier will only come once in like 5000 - 10000 bets in slots and maybe even worse. I've heard some gamblers say I am lucky that I already received a max multiplier while they haven't in their whole time of playing different slot games, even though they are now a high-ranked VIP player.
Truly, confidence can sometimes cause our own chaos because we think we are going to win somehow with all the bets that we make. But it doesn't always end that way, and it could actually cost us a lot of money first.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Byebyebtc on March 31, 2025, 07:18:30 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

That is how it always looks like at first until you start using real money to bet, its called force of attraction lol. but do not be decieved by feew predictions you got right even an AI depends on luck to get a winning bet, So i think your just passing through a phase in the journey dont be carried away by some feew accurate bets, when your fully into betting you will understand that a higher prcentage depends on luck, its a game any thing can happen in a game.
 So ill advice you or any other person in your position not to be too confidence when it comes to bettng, yes confidence also plays a big role in the game but over confidence can ruin a lot aswell.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Frankolala on March 31, 2025, 07:20:34 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Maybe you have the skills to predict the game accurately in that match, but if in the next match you want to try to place a bet, then my advice is not to be too confident and place a large bet because it is possible that in your next prediction the results will not be as you expected, indeed sometimes we always assume that we are able to predict sports matches well but in reality after placing a bet our predictions do not apply in betting.
Over confidence leads to unnecessary losses because that will make you stake with high amount of money to win big. Over confidence brings in greed, because you will feel that's the best time for you to win back all your losses with just one bet. Gambling is not a skill that you will have the confidence in yourself because you are a professional. Gambling is based on luck and no one can control his/her luck.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: davis196 on March 31, 2025, 07:25:16 AM
Quote
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

"Confidence is dangerous"? OP, your forum thread title seems misleading and "clickbaity". I thought that you are a hardcore gambler, who made a huge mistake because of his confidence. It turns out that you are actually afraid to make a bet on your predictions. Do you really consider yourself confident? It seems that you are everything else but confident. It seems to me that you are overthinking too much. It doesn't hurt to make a small bet on your predictions. If you win, that's great, if you lose, no big deal. You didn't bet your house and your life savings after all. Why you mind sharing with us the sport, were you made successful predictions?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: madnessteat on March 31, 2025, 07:53:48 AM
I don't understand why OP is asking this. If a person makes a prediction publicly and bets on it, he should be ready not only to lose money, but also to negative statements in his direction and loss of reputation in case of a mistake. If he is not ready for this, he simply does not need to publicize his actions. In my opinion such questions look very silly. It is about the same as asking strangers on a forum whether he should marry this or that girl.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Reatim on March 31, 2025, 08:27:22 AM
Quote
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

"Confidence is dangerous"? OP, your forum thread title seems misleading and "clickbaity". I thought that you are a hardcore gambler, who made a huge mistake because of his confidence. It turns out that you are actually afraid to make a bet on your predictions. Do you really consider yourself confident?
i was until i thought better of it i am saying that confidence could be a dangerous thing if we don’t reel it in i was thinking like from now on every prediction i make might have a good chance of becoming true but of course realistically i know this isn’t possible but confidence from previous predictions may lead you to thinking that and i know i am not the only person that ends up thinking like this

confidence is still dangerous even at its first stages
Quote
Why you mind sharing with us the sport, were you made successful predictions?
it was a motorsport formula 1 to be exact and there are a lot of variables in the sport so i was pleasantly surprised not only did i predict the winner but also other point scoring drivers


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: sompitonov on March 31, 2025, 08:40:19 AM
Checking your predictions and bets with real money is what is necessary, because I often wanted to bet on a match, but did not do it, in the end everything happened as I thought, and it was very offensive. So that this does not happen now, if I am confident in the bet, then I make it. But there are important points here, for example, we must decide for ourselves exactly how big a bet we can afford, and in no case should we overestimate ourselves because of this excessive confidence. Because if the bet is too big, it will knock us out of the game, and what is even worse, it will have a depressive effect on us, which will haunt us for months. You can never be 100% sure of anything.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: SatoPrincess on March 31, 2025, 03:09:59 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I laughed when I read this post because it reminded me of when I was doing demo trading. I had a lot of successful trades with my demo account and that spurred me into opening a live account and start trading for real. And I can tell you for a fact that your analysis and predictions can be very different when your money is at stake. Don’t let over confidence get into your head unless you will trick yourself into believing that you have a special gift for predicting matches.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Fivestar4everMVP on March 31, 2025, 03:27:39 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Confidence can be very bad or very good, it all depends on how we choose to use it. In sports betting, over confidence is definitely a very dangerous thing just as you said in the title or subject of this thread.

I've lost around $3000 before in sports betting due to over confidence in a team I believe would win a match against a really smaller team, but to my greatest shock, the smaller team ended up winning the match and that was how I lost my money.

The fact that you were to correctly predict the outcome of the two games you talked about shouldn't be a reason for you to become over confident in your way of analyzing games and prediction, if you decide to bet real money on your next prediction, make sure to bet with an amount of money you are very sure you can afford to comfortably lose, don't get crazy and allow over confidence lead you into betting all your life savings on a game you just might end up losing, don't make that mistake.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: banana33 on March 31, 2025, 03:29:48 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on April 02, 2025, 06:36:53 PM

In sports betting, when a person invests their feelings, they get some games right, they start to feel very confident that they can get all the games right, which is why they make bad decisions, like putting a lot of money on a bet thinking they won't make a mistake. In these cases, people even put money they can't afford to lose.

For example:

A person puts $1 on a game and gets it right. On this first bet, the person is still afraid of betting, but decides to bet again and gets it right. Then, the person starts to think they won't lose. That's why they'll put a lot of money in, borrow money or sell some asset and bet. When they lose, they can commit suicide. I've seen many cases like this here in my country.

Yes, I understand very well what is happening, but for that Reason I have always said that a person who falls into all those things means that he does not have a Clear vision of what gambling means and to what extent he can do something, the person who gambles is totally Responsible for making his decisions, the first step to being addicted is that the person himself allows it , one as a thinking and intelligent person must know what his limit is and how far he can go with his money , if he decides to risk it in an irresponsible manner because nothing good will come to him.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Frankolala on April 02, 2025, 06:45:52 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Of course, gambling is not what one should have the confidence on so that he does not gamble blindly and run at big loss. I could remember way back, when I love gambling on whot cards. I have a way of reading the game whenever I am playing against an opponent. That gave me too much confidence that I can make good profit whenever I am gambling but instead ut distracted me and I mislead me into a big loss.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: sotelorene on April 02, 2025, 07:02:53 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Of course, gambling is not what one should have the confidence on so that he does not gamble blindly and run at big loss. I could remember way back, when I love gambling on whot cards. I have a way of reading the game whenever I am playing against an opponent. That gave me too much confidence that I can make good profit whenever I am gambling but instead ut distracted me and I mislead me into a big loss.

Having confident is good but not in gambling because nobody knows how to gamble or what the result will be so anyone who is claiming to have confident in gambling is deceiving him or herself and the only time this person will realize he or she doesn't is when they will incur a heavy loss that will make them depress. Gambling is a game of luck and so no matter the rate of winning you are making or having is just a luck.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Vaskiy on April 02, 2025, 07:16:20 PM
Maybe for your understanding or to find out the confidence level, go for a bet with a very small amount. It can be just a dollar. Now you'll understand the reality. When you don't spend, you make the prediction with the perfect analytical mind, and you're free to do it. That doesn't happen when you go spending money. You'll not do the prediction right. Your mind always has the spending in mind, and for the spending only, you'll be choosing the odds and not based on what you've known about the athletes or the team. So, don't just get dragged as your predictions keep winning all the time.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Jaycoinz on April 02, 2025, 07:17:22 PM
It's easy to get confident when you are on a winning streak, many gamblers at this phase feel like they have a winning strategy that can constantly out them in profit forgetting that anything can happen in gambling. It's a game of luck, it's possible to win 5 times in a row and it's also possible to lose 5 times in a row, this is why you must always be careful about how you much you stake on any bet. Don't let overconfidence make you stake too high on any bet no matter how sure it might be. Gambling has a way of disappointing even after doing a proper research.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ricardo11 on April 02, 2025, 07:20:43 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Of course, gambling is not what one should have the confidence on so that he does not gamble blindly and run at big loss. I could remember way back, when I love gambling on whot cards. I have a way of reading the game whenever I am playing against an opponent. That gave me too much confidence that I can make good profit whenever I am gambling but instead ut distracted me and I mislead me into a big loss.

Having confident is good but not in gambling because nobody knows how to gamble or what the result will be so anyone who is claiming to have confident in gambling is deceiving him or herself and the only time this person will realize he or she doesn't is when they will incur a heavy loss that will make them depress. Gambling is a game of luck and so no matter the rate of winning you are making or having is just a luck.
No one can disbelieve this, but those who neglect it will definitely face losses. Overconfidence in using strategies in gambling is just an unnecessary thing, because it is completely dependent on luck. No matter how much experience or strategy you have in gambling, it is completely dependent on luck, so you should never gamble with an amount that you cannot afford to lose. A wise person will never see gambling as a means of income, he will consider everything well and gamble only for entertainment. And everyone should have such thoughts that they never face major disasters.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: harapan on April 02, 2025, 07:23:11 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results


It's not adviceable to build confidence in gambling because you ain't sure of the outcome in most cases and it's either you win or lose, so having so much confidence isn't the right decisions to take or do but what's important is you gambling responsibly taking note of the risks taken if it's really worth it. Sometimes when you put so much confidence in some predictions and expect a good return, it may end up the other way round thereby limiting your chances of winning therefore over confidence in gambling isn't good.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: boyptc on April 02, 2025, 07:25:10 PM
Maybe for your understanding or to find out the confidence level, go for a bet with a very small amount. It can be just a dollar. Now you'll understand the reality. When you don't spend, you make the prediction with the perfect analytical mind, and you're free to do it. That doesn't happen when you go spending money. You'll not do the prediction right. Your mind always has the spending in mind, and for the spending only, you'll be choosing the odds and not based on what you've known about the athletes or the team. So, don't just get dragged as your predictions keep winning all the time.
That is the logic when we gamble and when we're not.

Whenever we gamble, we think that we've got it right because when we don't bet, the best predictions comes out to our mind.

And that's why we think that it's a missed opportunity if we don't bet at all. That's the reason why we feel regretful after not betting when our predictions are right with the sports that we're following.

This is normal and the opposite usually happens whenever we bet and so, that's particular for gamblers and we encounter that in most times.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Muba20 on April 02, 2025, 07:26:37 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Of course, gambling is not what one should have the confidence on so that he does not gamble blindly and run at big loss. I could remember way back, when I love gambling on whot cards. I have a way of reading the game whenever I am playing against an opponent. That gave me too much confidence that I can make good profit whenever I am gambling but instead ut distracted me and I mislead me into a big loss.
Sometimes if you are not confident then you will have to be in a state of hesitation in taking decisions. You will have to be in doubt about which bet you will participate in. That is why it is necessary to be confident. When a gambler increases that confidence level, there is a possibility of loss rather than profit. Being confident is certainly good but there must be a limit otherwise there is a possibility of increasing the amount of loss. When a gambler is more confident, he will develop the courage to take big risks. If luck is not in his favor then he will have to lose his money. Since nothing is certain in gambling, the possibility of losing increases if he is overconfident.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Koadharber on April 02, 2025, 08:55:55 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Of course, gambling is not what one should have the confidence on so that he does not gamble blindly and run at big loss. I could remember way back, when I love gambling on whot cards. I have a way of reading the game whenever I am playing against an opponent. That gave me too much confidence that I can make good profit whenever I am gambling but instead ut distracted me and I mislead me into a big loss.
Sometimes if you are not confident then you will have to be in a state of hesitation in taking decisions. You will have to be in doubt about which bet you will participate in. That is why it is necessary to be confident. When a gambler increases that confidence level, there is a possibility of loss rather than profit. Being confident is certainly good but there must be a limit otherwise there is a possibility of increasing the amount of loss. When a gambler is more confident, he will develop the courage to take big risks. If luck is not in his favor then he will have to lose his money. Since nothing is certain in gambling, the possibility of losing increases if he is overconfident.
No matter which way you would really be trying to choose on but still you would really be ending up on having those cons or negative aspects too. When you are that too confident then it might be that causing up that too much betting you do made, if you are trying out to hesitate then you wont really be having any progress or chances that you would be able to win up something because you havent been able to put up something. Everything will really be having its own effect on which you would really be needing up to consider you cant really just that make yourself that trying out to grasps on everything on which when it comes to betting then the always key to have a non stressful way on dealing it is to make use of the amount on which you can afford to lose and having some fun. Dont think about anything else because this was meant in the first place on have such fun. There are really just that those moments on whom you do really believe that you are really just that too good on making up some bets on which this will really be that bringing out that kind of confidence. lol


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Makus on April 02, 2025, 09:11:50 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Maybe you have the skills to predict the game accurately in that match, but if in the next match you want to try to place a bet, then my advice is not to be too confident and place a large bet because it is possible that in your next prediction the results will not be as you expected, indeed sometimes we always assume that we are able to predict sports matches well but in reality after placing a bet our predictions do not apply in betting.
Over confidence leads to unnecessary losses because that will make you stake with high amount of money to win big. Over confidence brings in greed, because you will feel that's the best time for you to win back all your losses with just one bet. Gambling is not a skill that you will have the confidence in yourself because you are a professional. Gambling is based on luck and no one can control his/her luck.

Overconfidence in gamble is mostly exercised in sport betting because a gamble can make his analysis off their previous performance and logically all games should go according to his prediction but there come the luck factor. Even a small team out of no where can put a big team on their kneels, that is why we must be careful when taking certain risks. Where I'm from some gamblers tends to deceive themselves or should I say give themselves hope by making some prediction and tagging the game a sure 2 odd, and situations like this, a huge amout of money is used to play these game, though sometimes the wining looks attractive but in reality most of these games end up in lost irrespective of the effects they put in making the prediction.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Kristiyana on April 02, 2025, 09:21:24 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


You know this feeling of yours can easily make one to lose all the money he profited from gambling and also together with your capital. If you made a two claims that ended up being true of course is a normal thing in gamble most gamblers can even be lucky to experience 2 to 3 winnings in a row but that doesn't mean that they're expert predictors, rather they're just being so lucky to win in the initial time. Just so you know that for the fact that you made 2 claims that ended up being true does not mean that you're good at analyzing, rather you're just being so lucky to win.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Natalim on April 02, 2025, 09:51:46 PM
It's easy to get confident when you are on a winning streak, many gamblers at this phase feel like they have a winning strategy that can constantly out them in profit forgetting that anything can happen in gambling. It's a game of luck, it's possible to win 5 times in a row and it's also possible to lose 5 times in a row, this is why you must always be careful about how you much you stake on any bet. Don't let overconfidence make you stake too high on any bet no matter how sure it might be. Gambling has a way of disappointing even after doing a proper research.
Honestly, we can't celebrate early in gambling because we are just relying on luck, and at any time, the course changes. One common mistake that happens the most is to increase bets because they feel lucky. This kind of approach is quite dangerous, and I admit that I'm doing this thing. But I've learned already that controlling ourselves is very important in gambling. Greed will never make us earn more rather, it will give us losses.

That is why only a few gamblers earn money because of the lack of self-control. We tend to believe that our luck lasts long, but it never does.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: death69 on April 02, 2025, 10:01:43 PM
No matter which way you would really be trying to choose on but still you would really be ending up on having those cons or negative aspects too. When you are that too confident then it might be that causing up that too much betting you do made, if you are trying out to hesitate then you wont really be having any progress or chances that you would be able to win up something because you havent been able to put up something. Everything will really be having its own effect on which you would really be needing up to consider you cant really just that make yourself that trying out to grasps on everything on which when it comes to betting then the always key to have a non stressful way on dealing it is to make use of the amount on which you can afford to lose and having some fun. Dont think about anything else because this was meant in the first place on have such fun. There are really just that those moments on whom you do really believe that you are really just that too good on making up some bets on which this will really be that bringing out that kind of confidence. lol
No one is willing to admit that paradox. Overconfidence will sink you, hesitation will freeze you, and trying to exactly balance both will cause you to fall. Good luck. This is not about putting money down. Your whole operating system for life is this. Your handling of your money, your dating behavior, the job you pursue, even the dumb coffee you take without considering it. The same damned wiring is used. Every action you do will always leave "cons," always without exception. The trap is believes there is a straight path.

People fix on discovering this mythical "optimal" approach to live: confident but not too much, cautious but not too afraid. It’s pointless. See you are always paying a cost. Either you pay later regretfully or you pay upfront with risk. No free lunch. Never was. Of course, fun gets less importance. People overlook that. This constant need to “win” turns life into a job. Betting, business, anything. Using what you can lose without self-torture makes it much more fun. However, if you find it difficult to separate from the result, even your "fun" is really disguised stress. Own your losses. Own your choices. Or you’ll never own anything at all.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Antotena on April 02, 2025, 10:03:10 PM
There are some scenarios where we learn better the hard the way, if you keep getting advise from people to tell you what to do, you may end up not deeming the advice as valuable. I believe  in personal experience too much words will only limit you to a certain amout of knowledge.  If you probably  place the trade to the way you feel comfortable with and end up losing it, then you'll  discover  for yourself that gamble is a game of luck, and we can't be luck all the time. But if the harken to advise from others, there is a possibility that you can make a wrong decision at the right time and possible with a huge amount because you've already conceived in your mind that it's easy  to money from gamble.

Having self confidence in what you do is a goal, you can't be doing something and wait for others to boost your confidence, it's your duty to make ttat call and if it works that's on your luck and if doesn't, it's your responsibility to adjust because you can't be wrong all the time and you can't be right all the time, it's your understanding that is going to determines if your loss is going to be more than your profits or if your profits is going to be more than your loss.

As a gambler, if you are learning about confidence, learn to use your instinct for somethings, there are times that your skill will be giving signs that are not given but technically you think it's still okay to leave it and then continue, if in this case your instinct is telling you to cashout or take the profit you have, you try to ignore but the thought come backs, kindly take the cashout and that's the best you can do for the amount been made.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Fivestar4everMVP on April 02, 2025, 10:10:13 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


You know this feeling of yours can easily make one to lose all the money he profited from gambling and also together with your capital. If you made a two claims that ended up being true of course is a normal thing in gamble most gamblers can even be lucky to experience 2 to 3 winnings in a row but that doesn't mean that they're expert predictors, rather they're just being so lucky to win in the initial time. Just so you know that for the fact that you made 2 claims that ended up being true does not mean that you're good at analyzing, rather you're just being so lucky to win.
There is this dude I knew for sometime here in my area where I live, he plays our local lottery game every day, he was working as a bikeman, so he was possibly seeing good money from the work and spends part of the money on lottery games every day.

A week came when he won the lottery game twice in one day, the second day, he won once, and the third day, he won twice again, all consecutively, he made good money in every of this win and I believe he started staking even higher than he was initially staking before because he believed the winning will keep coming, but unfortunately for him, he was wrong.
After those wins, he never won again for more than 2 months of playing everyday like he used to, at a point, I no longer see him in my neighborhood and when I asked, I was told he has relocated to another neighborhood because people began to query abuse him for having the opportunity of winning a huge amount of money and still wasting it all on the same game.

Winning 2 or 3 times consecutively in gambling should not be seen that the gambler has become perfect in making good analysis and choosing good winning games, it's all simply on luck (at least, most of the time.)


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Onyeeze on April 02, 2025, 10:22:13 PM
Okay I want you to understand that betting is quite different from any other thing,in betting I don't think its real for someone to make a consistent predictions in gambling, you can be lucky to make one or two betting correct but it can't continue as you may think, gambling is diabolic in the aspect that you can't predict accurately always, theirs no confidence in prediction, a prediction is a thinking which we are not sure of the outcome.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Nwada001 on April 02, 2025, 10:42:00 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Sometimes for some people to learn about confidence, they need to be hit by disappointment for trusting themselves too much in something which they should never have; your friends who have lost a lot in gambling because they have too much confidence in their game have learnt their lesson. You don't need to tutor them again about it; even if they want to place a bet on games they predicted, they will approach with caution, knowing fully well that they don't control the game outcome like they think they did before.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Bushdark on April 02, 2025, 10:54:06 PM
You have to be very careful about the confidence that you put on things, when you are too sure you risk making mistakes and it is a moment then losing control and losing everything, I know people, my friends who have bet a lot because they thought they will never be wrong, but then in the end being sure of what they did they were wrong and lost everything, bissing being prudent and not always risking everything
Sometimes for some people to learn about confidence, they need to be hit by disappointment for trusting themselves too much in something which they should never have; your friends who have lost a lot in gambling because they have too much confidence in their game have learnt their lesson. You don't need to tutor them again about it; even if they want to place a bet on games they predicted, they will approach with caution, knowing fully well that they don't control the game outcome like they think they did before.
Most time disappointment does not make us confident, rather it makes ur weak and weekends for those that are not that strong.
We ought to be strong and this is based on the kind of person we are, whether we are kind of person that like facing any challenges or someone that is always weak when they face challenges. Our mental state is what is going to determine whether we are strong and ready to take and disappointment that will make us strong as time goes on. There are people that are more motivated when they are weak especially when they see people striving and doing well.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Richbased on April 02, 2025, 10:54:37 PM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

For me i would have said you should bet money on it this time around and see how it goes because if you don't fantasize your experience, you won't know the reality of it. When you bet and it doesn't work same as when you were making mere predictions without actually betting, it will make you become more careful and know that it can be natural to just see things the way the work without getting involved because if you do, you will be seeing things in a different direction. If you are making some analysis without betting and they are working for you, it does not mean that you are smart but it could be that those periods are just your lucky days.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: salad daging on April 02, 2025, 11:20:54 PM
Okay I want you to understand that betting is quite different from any other thing,in betting I don't think its real for someone to make a consistent predictions in gambling, you can be lucky to make one or two betting correct but it can't continue as you may think, gambling is diabolic in the aspect that you can't predict accurately always, theirs no confidence in prediction, a prediction is a thinking which we are not sure of the outcome.
The name is also a prediction, of course the results are uncertain, right? In gambling, who has to make wrong predictions, even if we examine the ratio of predictions that we spend more losing than winning.
The last gambling victory always depends on luck, and this game must be made fun so as not to be too sad if you lose.
I always make predictions - whatever the result will be accepted.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: SamReomo on April 02, 2025, 11:39:16 PM
i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?
Go for it if you trust your instincts as there's no harm in trying. I suggest you to start betting with low amount at first and when you get good at sport betting then overtime you can make it better.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Questat on April 03, 2025, 11:06:38 AM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

For me i would have said you should bet money on it this time around and see how it goes because if you don't fantasize your experience, you won't know the reality of it. When you bet and it doesn't work same as when you were making mere predictions without actually betting, it will make you become more careful and know that it can be natural to just see things the way the work without getting involved because if you do, you will be seeing things in a different direction. If you are making some analysis without betting and they are working for you, it does not mean that you are smart but it could be that those periods are just your lucky days.
Perhaps we can never say we are right until we try it. Many gamblers assume that their predictions are correct because of the same strategy that applied when they won in the past. But in the end, they lose.

Honestly, it was difficult to become confident in gambling, where we just relied on luck. It doesn't matter if this strategy worked in the past, as we can no longer expect it to work again. I think we have to understand that all of our predictions are just a sort of wild guess. It means that it can be right or wrong.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: radjie on April 03, 2025, 01:23:53 PM
Okay I want you to understand that betting is quite different from any other thing,in betting I don't think its real for someone to make a consistent predictions in gambling, you can be lucky to make one or two betting correct but it can't continue as you may think, gambling is diabolic in the aspect that you can't predict accurately always, theirs no confidence in prediction, a prediction is a thinking which we are not sure of the outcome.

In the sense that no matter how accurate our predictions are in gambling, if luck is not on our side, the related predictions will be wrong. The victory obtained in gambling is certainly from the luck alone, but it is better to believe in yourself to place a bet than the results of other people's predictions, even though the final result is a win or a loss, we can feel satisfied because the bets we make do not depend on other people.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: panjul07 on April 03, 2025, 04:20:38 PM
Confidence is not a dangerous thing but over-convidence is.
When it comes to sports betting, how can we place bets if we are not confidence with our prediction, should we place bets that we doubt? Ofc not, right?
The most important thing is that we are still under control when we are confidence with our predictions.
Under control here is about the bet amount we are going to place, we should confidence with our bets but we should have a limit on how much to bet so we wont regret it much if we lose the bets which we are confidence with.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Oluwa-btc on April 03, 2025, 08:46:15 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there. Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting. If you start to bet, you can be exposed to bettors vulnerability which makes them lose. One of the vulnerabilities is frequent betting.

Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad. You can lose, but if you win, it can lead to more confidence (even overconfidence) which is a bigger trap of money loss.

Exactly mate,confidence is needed in gambling,but overconfidence is what misleads then into reckless you display is actually the biggest mistake any can impose on themselves.
Overconfident players most times plays beyond their limits,and these guys are prone to chasing unexpected losses and end up with so many unpluanned error.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: justdimin on April 04, 2025, 07:20:50 PM
It's easy to get confident when you are on a winning streak, many gamblers at this phase feel like they have a winning strategy that can constantly out them in profit forgetting that anything can happen in gambling. It's a game of luck, it's possible to win 5 times in a row and it's also possible to lose 5 times in a row, this is why you must always be careful about how you much you stake on any bet. Don't let overconfidence make you stake too high on any bet no matter how sure it might be. Gambling has a way of disappointing even after doing a proper research.
Even on a losing one, because we believe that the next one will now be a win but this is not true because gambling works randomly. That being said, there is no such thing as strategy here. Maybe we can say that it was our lucky day but nah. Gambling luck doesn't last that long. No casino will survive with that. 5 times win a row is already impressive but if for me, I think I'm not brave enough to risk high for this and then risk more for more.

But, if let say I'm already there, I will only be thankful and stop. Same goes for the other 5 times lose. My wife actually have this saying ; That if one or a few bets are negative then we are just bad luck that day. We proved this already tho a lot of times.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on April 06, 2025, 07:09:24 PM
Well I think OP should learn something, not only in gambling but in all areas of life, if you have an analysis and you have or believe that it is the right thing to do and you think that the way is to bet, then do it, take the leap of faith, the most that can happen to you is to lose and that is contemplated in the normality of betting, that is, the only thing I do tell you is that if you bet only do it with money that you are willing to lose, do not commit a lot of money that you will not be able to cover other expenses later.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Agbe on April 06, 2025, 07:31:27 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there. Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting. If you start to bet, you can be exposed to bettors vulnerability which makes them lose. One of the vulnerabilities is frequent betting.

Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad. You can lose, but if you win, it can lead to more confidence (even overconfidence) which is a bigger trap of money loss.

Exactly mate,confidence is needed in gambling,but overconfidence is what misleads then into reckless you display is actually the biggest mistake any can impose on themselves.
Overconfident players most times plays beyond their limits,and these guys are prone to chasing unexpected losses and end up with so many unpluanned error.
Confidence has nothing to do with how successful an individual is in gambling because you may be intusiestic and confident about your gambling but it's different from the reality on ground, gambling is a scheme that has been designed to favour a limited number of people so I don't see what confidence and winning in gambling , gambling should not be taken serious by any one because it is something that is targeting people money


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Koadharber on April 06, 2025, 08:18:06 PM
It's easy to get confident when you are on a winning streak, many gamblers at this phase feel like they have a winning strategy that can constantly out them in profit forgetting that anything can happen in gambling. It's a game of luck, it's possible to win 5 times in a row and it's also possible to lose 5 times in a row, this is why you must always be careful about how you much you stake on any bet. Don't let overconfidence make you stake too high on any bet no matter how sure it might be. Gambling has a way of disappointing even after doing a proper research.
Even on a losing one, because we believe that the next one will now be a win but this is not true because gambling works randomly. That being said, there is no such thing as strategy here. Maybe we can say that it was our lucky day but nah. Gambling luck doesn't last that long. No casino will survive with that. 5 times win a row is already impressive but if for me, I think I'm not brave enough to risk high for this and then risk more for more.

But, if let say I'm already there, I will only be thankful and stop. Same goes for the other 5 times lose. My wife actually have this saying ; That if one or a few bets are negative then we are just bad luck that day. We proved this already tho a lot of times.
On the moment that you are already chasing up your loses then it do already signifies that you are already addicted into it and this is something that you should be avoided in the first place because on the moment that you've been that impulsive because you've been hoping that you can make money on the next roll on which we do everyone knows that everything will be that required with that luck on every roll on which simply means that you cant be able to rely and having that kind of optimism at the time that you are suffering consecutive loses on which this is something that you must be avoiding or must that stop completely before things becomes that even more severe when it comes into this aspect. We do know that on the moment that things becomes messy then this is the time that we do make out those regrets and banging up the wall just because you've been doing such bad stuffs because you cant be able to make yourself stop earlier and now that you have lost big time then it do becomes a big problem.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sonia_123 on April 06, 2025, 09:46:59 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

It is not adviceable to have so much confidence because it will always fail you since you lose track of yourself and feel there is nothing stopping you from winning, such confidence ends up disgracing you because you can never what you are so confident about .

Over people do not have self control and can't manage situations they find themselves, they also shows impatient, lack regards for people's opinions, they make people feels bad.
It causes poor decision making, under estimating people's ability.
As a gambler you need to avoid this habit so that you can flourish in gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Accardo on April 06, 2025, 11:02:59 PM
Well I think OP should learn something, not only in gambling but in all areas of life, if you have an analysis and you have or believe that it is the right thing to do and you think that the way is to bet, then do it, take the leap of faith, the most that can happen to you is to lose and that is contemplated in the normality of betting, that is, the only thing I do tell you is that if you bet only do it with money that you are willing to lose, do not commit a lot of money that you will not be able to cover other expenses later.

Losing is the worst possible outcome of gambling, nothing else. It shouldn't be perceived as an avoidable thing, but something that comes next to winning. Being confident after a win or two, is great, yet it's not enough to erase the expectations of losing. Because players are not prepared to lose, they get disappointed at a glance of it on the screen.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Julien_Olynpic on April 07, 2025, 02:10:08 AM
You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong. I'm not talking about theoretical predictions, but about predictions that result in real bets. In general, in any activity there are a lot of theoretical myths that quickly dissipate as soon as you start practicing. Unfortunately, practice is always very different from theory. If you think your predictions are very accurate, then ask yourself what is it about your analysis that makes your predictions very accurate? Most likely, we are deceiving ourselves.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: danherbias07 on April 07, 2025, 04:43:55 AM
You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong. I'm not talking about theoretical predictions, but about predictions that result in real bets. In general, in any activity there are a lot of theoretical myths that quickly dissipate as soon as you start practicing. Unfortunately, practice is always very different from theory. If you think your predictions are very accurate, then ask yourself what is it about your analysis that makes your predictions very accurate? Most likely, we are deceiving ourselves.
Yeah, that's the best explanation of it. But I do understand OP because I have been on that road, too. Whenever I don't place any bets, that's when my predictions come true. There's something that messes up those types of events, and I think it's unexplainable. I don't believe it is the system, but maybe it is we who are at fault here. The best solution would be to never miss a bet but it will be an expensive feat. Also, making a record of every bet might help just to see if we are doing it right or if it equals the plans with no bets yet. The pressure because of the money on the line could also be a big factor on why the results are different.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Koadharber on April 07, 2025, 05:21:21 AM
You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong. I'm not talking about theoretical predictions, but about predictions that result in real bets. In general, in any activity there are a lot of theoretical myths that quickly dissipate as soon as you start practicing. Unfortunately, practice is always very different from theory. If you think your predictions are very accurate, then ask yourself what is it about your analysis that makes your predictions very accurate? Most likely, we are deceiving ourselves.
Yeah, that's the best explanation of it. But I do understand OP because I have been on that road, too. Whenever I don't place any bets, that's when my predictions come true. There's something that messes up those types of events, and I think it's unexplainable. I don't believe it is the system, but maybe it is we who are at fault here. The best solution would be to never miss a bet but it will be an expensive feat. Also, making a record of every bet might help just to see if we are doing it right or if it equals the plans with no bets yet. The pressure because of the money on the line could also be a big factor on why the results are different.
That really sucks on which on the time that you dont make out any bets and made out some choices and turned out to be a win then that kind of feeling on which that make you disappoint because you had missed out, and at the moment that you do make out some bet but ended up on a loss then that kind of emotion will be giving out that kind of trying out to make bets or gambling without having those hesitation or will be that betting accordingly just because you do made out some good choice earlier. There are moments that you d become that impulsive at the moment that your choices turned out to be loses and those non serious picking ending up on a win. Too much confidence will be always that a dangerous thing not only just that on gambling but also in other aspect or things in life. You will be that needing up not to be confident because not all outcomes will be that going on what you had wanted or what you wished for.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sandra_hakeem on April 07, 2025, 06:04:45 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is
I don't know actually for a fact if I should encourage you, or just brush it off (like, whatever experience I've had). This seems more welcoming when you haven't deposited real money yet. That's exactly what happens on trading platforms if you're on a Demo account -- everything doesn't go so smooth when you're funded. Seeing yourself and a Demi-god will only get you in more trouble.

You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong.
Maybe that's the part he hasn't realized just yet. Sometimes, let them plunge into a pool of hot oil and test the feeling, so next time, you don't have to explain what it feels like to them. One the most effective strategies from the house is refreshing your rosters with games, but the former works like magic, just like in his case.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: fruktik on April 07, 2025, 06:04:59 AM
Losing is the worst possible outcome of gambling, nothing else. It shouldn't be perceived as an avoidable thing, but something that comes next to winning. Being confident after a win or two, is great, yet it's not enough to erase the expectations of losing. Because players are not prepared to lose, they get disappointed at a glance of it on the screen.
I remember the time when I had nothing but victories during the whole day while playing slots. I spent more than 12 hours in a row in an offline casino and was able to increase my initial deposit by 100 times. Yes, that was it. I managed to make 100x. That was, of course, something in my gaming practice. I myself could hardly believe it then, but the fact remains a fact. I remember that this amount of money was comparable to the average salary in the country. I was so happy about this event that I was beaming with happiness. Also, I managed not only to win a decent amount of money, but also to buy myself some things. I did not play with them again and that was the right decision.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bubilas on April 07, 2025, 08:57:07 AM
You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong. I'm not talking about theoretical predictions, but about predictions that result in real bets. In general, in any activity there are a lot of theoretical myths that quickly dissipate as soon as you start practicing. Unfortunately, practice is always very different from theory. If you think your predictions are very accurate, then ask yourself what is it about your analysis that makes your predictions very accurate? Most likely, we are deceiving ourselves.

That's right, because playing for money always puts any gambler into a different state, completely different from a regular game not for material values. Therefore, you need to understand that sitting on the couch and predicting the results of matches in your mind is easy, especially when memory tends to be selective. I mean when we remember successful match predictions more often than unsuccessful ones.
And that's why many people think that they are excellent analysts.
And when the game comes to betting for money, the balance "remembers all the mistakes."


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Fivestar4everMVP on April 07, 2025, 09:05:28 AM
Losing is the worst possible outcome of gambling, nothing else. It shouldn't be perceived as an avoidable thing, but something that comes next to winning. Being confident after a win or two, is great, yet it's not enough to erase the expectations of losing. Because players are not prepared to lose, they get disappointed at a glance of it on the screen.
I remember the time when I had nothing but victories during the whole day while playing slots. I spent more than 12 hours in a row in an offline casino and was able to increase my initial deposit by 100 times. Yes, that was it. I managed to make 100x. That was, of course, something in my gaming practice. I myself could hardly believe it then, but the fact remains a fact. I remember that this amount of money was comparable to the average salary in the country. I was so happy about this event that I was beaming with happiness. Also, I managed not only to win a decent amount of money, but also to buy myself some things. I did not play with them again and that was the right decision.
Very good choices you made there, and I used the word "choices" because you actually made two good choices, first is choosing not to play in that casino again after that win, and I believe that you didn't also continue playing in another casino because if you did, then the second choice you made wouldn't have been possible, you possibly would have lost all the money back to the casino in a twinkle of an eye.

The second choice you made is choosing to use the money you won to buy yourself some physical things, this is one effective way to create and keep good memories of our gambling activities and wins, as you will live to always remember this experience whenever you see that thing you bought with the money you made from gambling, it always gives a special kind of feeling, most especially if the item is something that serves you everyday, like a TV, home theater (music system), personal computer and so on.. 😁


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Z390 on April 07, 2025, 09:08:28 AM
There is no such thing as accurate predictions in gambling, you are just been lucky if you win three times in a role, some people can even be right more than three times predicting a match outcome but in the end gambling shows them who is the boss.

The moment you start believing that you are not just lucky but a smart predictor is when you've messed everything up, it is only a matter of time before you get your final answer, the type that will humble your great sense of predicting.

A smart gambler will always accept that he or she is just lucky even when the wins comes one after the other, you are merely lucky, don't let it get into your skull thinking you are cool or a genius.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Dr.Bitcoin_Strange on April 07, 2025, 10:34:10 AM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well, you don't need to feel like that because when you are too confident you could be clouded by pride and it can cause you to make some mistakes too. If you are always lucky in winning your bets, congratulations and keep up with what ever strategy you are using but just be smart to know that you will can also lose when you don't expect and that's why you must only bet with the amount you can afford to lose.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Smartprofit on April 07, 2025, 11:40:04 AM
In my opinion, it is impossible to assess how good an analyst you are until you start betting on sports with real money.

I remember watching a movie about criminals who planned to rob a bank. In order to gain access to gold bars, they had to open a safe. They planned to put the bank guards to sleep with a special gas, so the safe had to be opened wearing a gas mask. One of the criminals volunteered to open the safe, citing that he was an excellent burglar. The gang leader decided to make sure that this was the specialist they needed and arranged a dress rehearsal.

While the candidate burglar was opening the safe, the leader pulled a gun out of his pocket and put the gun to the man's temple, shouting that he would shoot this man if he did not hurry. The unlucky burglar panicked and began to ask why the gang leader was doing this?  "We will have only 5 minutes to open the safe," the gang leader said calmly, "Any surprises are possible, your companions who will be next to you will also panic and demand speed of work from you. If you are not stress-resistant enough, then you are not suitable for this role!"

A player who bets on sports also constantly works under stress. Therefore, in order to have reasonable confidence that you are a good player, you need to make real bets on sports (betting real money).


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: GigaBit on April 07, 2025, 12:30:16 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there. Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting. If you start to bet, you can be exposed to bettors vulnerability which makes them lose. One of the vulnerabilities is frequent betting.

Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad. You can lose, but if you win, it can lead to more confidence (even overconfidence) which is a bigger trap of money loss.

Exactly mate,confidence is needed in gambling,but overconfidence is what misleads then into reckless you display is actually the biggest mistake any can impose on themselves.
Overconfident players most times plays beyond their limits,and these guys are prone to chasing unexpected losses and end up with so many unpluanned error.
Yes, overconfident gamblers lose regularly. Being overconfident in gambling sometimes makes it easier to win, but when that level is excessive, that gambler will definitely lose. The gamblers who often lose their entire bankroll are more overconfident gamblers. Another thing I have noticed is that those who have access to sufficient money are usually prepared to take big risks in gambling. Those gamblers are not afraid of losing, but being overconfident, they also take big risks and at some point their losses increase greatly. You cannot be sure about winning and losing in gambling, and it is normal to lose suddenly even in a winning match. That is why it is better to prepare yourself to handle gambling naturally without being overconfident.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: DaNNy001 on April 07, 2025, 03:43:37 PM
Don't let your confidence disappear after making one mistake. I mean, right now you feel confident like you have the right skill to predict. But remember guys, gambling is all about luck even though sports betting has a lower risk but sometimes the surprise comes to destroy your confidence and make you angry and bet recklessly.
Do it with a small amount if you want to try it again to avoid deep disappointment.

Don't you think feeling confident even after getting a prediction wrong is being delusional?.. just like the topic says, it's a dangerous thing...no matter how solid you think your predictions are always remember that it only takes one thing to just go wrong, sometimes a game doesn't go according to your prediction because the players can miss Chances or get a red card and so many other factors that cannot be controlled..All you can do is predict and hope to get lucky, you can't be too sure that things would go in your direction, sports betting is full of surprises.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Negotiation on April 08, 2025, 05:12:24 PM
Confidence can be a positive element in gambling or betting but overconfidence especially when it is not in line with reality can be really dangerous. Being confident does not mean that you will always make the right decisions rather it means that you have made a certain decision based on the correct information and analysis and you believe in that decision. We all know that gambling depends on luck so it is most important to maintain your control and focus on analysis and reality while playing. Overconfidence is where you bet based on your own ideas or previous experience without proper information or analysis and your results become uncertain and the risk increases.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: fruktik on April 09, 2025, 05:33:27 AM
Losing is the worst possible outcome of gambling, nothing else. It shouldn't be perceived as an avoidable thing, but something that comes next to winning. Being confident after a win or two, is great, yet it's not enough to erase the expectations of losing. Because players are not prepared to lose, they get disappointed at a glance of it on the screen.
Yes, how many times in a row was there a disappointment that the deposit was zeroed out, but I still continue to play. So what if there is a series of failures? This is a completely normal phenomenon for those who play gambling. It would be strange if everything developed in a completely different way. That's how it should be.

Once there was a case when I could not win anything at the casino for a whole week. Then incredible luck smiled on me and I was able not only to win back the money that was lost, but also to make even more than 2x.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: kotajikikox on April 09, 2025, 06:06:05 AM
You think your predictions are accurate only until you start making real bets. This is what almost always happens in life. It's amazing, but it's true. As soon as you start doing real practical activity, unusually rare events start happening unusually often. You start to wonder how often your predictions turn out to be wrong.
It may have something to do with real betting affecting the way you think a lot more compared to when you are only betting with no risks involved. You may be a bit more analytical. Or maybe you overthink too much. You second guess. Or you get too scared. There are so many unexplainable phenomenon that happens when you start betting with real money. It really is very easy to say things when you are not gambling but once you are betting, it is hard to ignore the excitement and keep objective.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: michellee on April 09, 2025, 08:40:21 AM
Confidence can be a positive element in gambling or betting but overconfidence especially when it is not in line with reality can be really dangerous. Being confident does not mean that you will always make the right decisions rather it means that you have made a certain decision based on the correct information and analysis and you believe in that decision. We all know that gambling depends on luck so it is most important to maintain your control and focus on analysis and reality while playing. Overconfidence is where you bet based on your own ideas or previous experience without proper information or analysis and your results become uncertain and the risk increases.
Most people become over confidence especially when they win for some rounds. They don't think to stop gambling after that winning but will still chasing more winning which is not a good idea to do. Being confident need control so we don't become over confidence like other people so we can make a right decision to stop gambling while we have that win money.

We should remember that over confidence can make us loss in gambling because we feel that we are a pro gambler that will win more. What we need to have are awareness to know when we must stop gambling so we don't deeper in gambling and prevent the big loss.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: nara1892 on April 09, 2025, 08:57:40 AM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Sim_card on April 09, 2025, 09:08:04 AM
Well I think OP should learn something, not only in gambling but in all areas of life, if you have an analysis and you have or believe that it is the right thing to do and you think that the way is to bet, then do it, take the leap of faith, the most that can happen to you is to lose and that is contemplated in the normality of betting, that is, the only thing I do tell you is that if you bet only do it with money that you are willing to lose, do not commit a lot of money that you will not be able to cover other expenses later.

Losing is the worst possible outcome of gambling, nothing else. It shouldn't be perceived as an avoidable thing, but something that comes next to winning. Being confident after a win or two, is great, yet it's not enough to erase the expectations of losing. Because players are not prepared to lose, they get disappointed at a glance of it on the screen.
I agree with you because in gambling is either you win or lose whether you like it or not. This is the reason why one needs to limit his losses by using little amount of money that he can afford to lose to gamble, and also withdraw his win whenever he is in profit and quit the game. To avoid him gambling back with his profits because losing is inevitable.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: KiaKia on April 09, 2025, 09:16:32 AM
Two lucky bets must not make you feel like you are a expert.

Confidence on the wrong things will never end up well.

All hails to every gamblers that have confidence one way or the other on gambling, like how did you do it? Having confidence on something that's out of your total control, isn't that suicide?

Part of gambling is rigged, there is no way you can defeat a casino, even if you win today you will be back tomorrow or other day, you are completely in the palm of gambling control yourself.

Those who choose to be a responsible gambler are not idiots, they understand the whole breeding ground called gambling, if you don't do it right you will get dealt with.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: AmaGold70 on April 09, 2025, 10:40:08 AM
anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well, you don't need to feel like that because when you are too confident you could be clouded by pride and it can cause you to make some mistakes too. If you are always lucky in winning your bets, congratulations and keep up with what ever strategy you are using but just be smart to know that you will can also lose when you don't expect and that's why you must only bet with the amount you can afford to lose.
Yes, actually there is nothing to feel about because when someone is often winning in gambling over too confident can actually makes you to have some pride that would lead you into making some mistake at the end.  At least with what you have said I think is the best way because anybody that is always winning in gambling should no that is your luck not by any strategy and the right way for you to be safe is by betting with only what you can afford.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Dr.Bitcoin_Strange on April 09, 2025, 11:58:21 AM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.

You are right mate, even if he is not good in making accurate prediction, he should still not forget that gambling can always bring an uncertain result especially when you don't expect the result. He should also make sure to always use his strategy to be able to always make more accurate prediction. If he is too overconfident or cultivate the attitude of pride, he might not be able to do the predictions as accurate as before.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: lienfaye on April 09, 2025, 12:21:51 PM
anybody that is always winning in gambling should no that is your luck not by any strategy and the right way for you to be safe is by betting with only what you can afford.
Well, there's nothing wrong if you believe that your strategy has something to do on why you win. However, it's best not to be so confident as it can also disappoint a gambler big time if what he/she expected didn't happened.

We still need luck in order to win but knowledge can help since you can apply it to the game especially in skill-based. Anyway, regardless how confident you are and what games you're playing (casino games or skill-based), don't forget the basic rule to use only the money that you can live without.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bettercrypto on April 09, 2025, 12:25:19 PM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.

You are right mate, even if he is not good in making accurate prediction, he should still not forget that gambling can always bring an uncertain result especially when you don't expect the result. He should also make sure to always use his strategy to be able to always make more accurate prediction. If he is too overconfident or cultivate the attitude of pride, he might not be able to do the predictions as accurate as before.

Then I can also add, we know that there is no accurate prediction. But what is sad is that even though they know that the prediction is not accurate, they assumed that the analysis of their prediction was correct and that is the problem for them.

Although, it is not bad to have confidence but of course make sure that what we are giving confidence to is really right so that we will not be happy with what we give such things.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Bitcoinsummoner on April 09, 2025, 01:07:33 PM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.

You are right mate, even if he is not good in making accurate prediction, he should still not forget that gambling can always bring an uncertain result especially when you don't expect the result. He should also make sure to always use his strategy to be able to always make more accurate prediction. If he is too overconfident or cultivate the attitude of pride, he might not be able to do the predictions as accurate as before.

Absolutely, you're right. In gambling, uncertainty is always part of the game, and even the best strategies can sometimes fall short. Overconfidence can destroy everything, while a disciplined approach helps in making better calculations.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: zuzie on April 09, 2025, 03:39:59 PM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.

You are right mate, even if he is not good in making accurate prediction, he should still not forget that gambling can always bring an uncertain result especially when you don't expect the result. He should also make sure to always use his strategy to be able to always make more accurate prediction. If he is too overconfident or cultivate the attitude of pride, he might not be able to do the predictions as accurate as before.

Absolutely, you're right. In gambling, uncertainty is always part of the game, and even the best strategies can sometimes fall short. Overconfidence can destroy everything, while a disciplined approach helps in making better calculations.

Yes, therefore, self-awareness must be applied so that gamblers will reduce and prevent fatal risks in front of their eyes, instead of being happy, they will receive regret and sadness.
Confidence in gambling is not wrong, but this confidence must be controlled as well as possible, usually gamblers who have high self-confidence are novice gamblers or gamblers who are already addicted.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: hedgeh0g on April 09, 2025, 03:52:58 PM
Yes, therefore, self-awareness must be applied so that gamblers will reduce and prevent fatal risks in front of their eyes, instead of being happy, they will receive regret and sadness.
Confidence in gambling is not wrong, but this confidence must be controlled as well as possible, usually gamblers who have high self-confidence are novice gamblers or gamblers who are already addicted.
In general, I would like to say that self-confidence in gambling only makes things worse. For example, the more professional a player is, the more he begins to question many things with the help of his accumulated knowledge and experience, which helps him stay afloat. Therefore, I will never be confident in gambling. But confident players bet all their money, and therefore lose to prove their case. But later they wonder why it didn't work or say phrases like "this is happening to me for the first time."


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: rachael9385 on April 09, 2025, 05:23:41 PM
Do not let your accurate predictions deceive you. No emotions there. Betting is totally different. But if you can be disciplined enough and go against your will and also not using more than small amount of money, why not give it a try. But expect loss while betting. If you start to bet, you can be exposed to bettors vulnerability which makes them lose. One of the vulnerabilities is frequent betting.

Yes, while betting, confidence is very bad. You can lose, but if you win, it can lead to more confidence (even overconfidence) which is a bigger trap of money loss.

Every beginner thinks that they are skilled till they star experiencing what gambling is all about. We all had that optimism when we started predicting games but at the long run we figured out that gambling isn't a hundred percent predictable. Instead of advising newbies it's better they experience it themselves so they can learn properly. Telling them otherwise feels like you are not being positive enough for them,  confidence isn't just bad it can ruin you financially as a gambler.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: nara1892 on April 10, 2025, 08:11:03 AM
It is possible that you are quite good at analyzing but there is also a possibility that previously you were nothing more than lucky, you can evaluate what you analyzed in the previous bet that led you to victory, if you find that the analysis you did really had a big contribution in achieving the previous victory then you can do the same thing on the next bet, but one thing I will suggest is to make sure that you only bet using a small amount, an amount that you can afford to lose, because of course gambling is still gambling.

You are right mate, even if he is not good in making accurate prediction, he should still not forget that gambling can always bring an uncertain result especially when you don't expect the result. He should also make sure to always use his strategy to be able to always make more accurate prediction. If he is too overconfident or cultivate the attitude of pride, he might not be able to do the predictions as accurate as before.

Yup that's the point, we are on the same page here which in my opinion gambling is still a risky activity regardless of how hard you try to predict a match to win.

So the conclusion is there is no exception to not implementing risk management such as limits on the amount of bets or expectations of winning, not infrequently I see gamblers who eventually lose control which makes them lose more money because they are too confident with predictions that they think are right and that's the reason my friend.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Dr.Bitcoin_Strange on April 10, 2025, 11:56:55 AM
So the conclusion is there is no exception to not implementing risk management such as limits on the amount of bets or expectations of winning, not infrequently I see gamblers who eventually lose control which makes them lose more money because they are too confident with predictions that they think are right and that's the reason my friend.

An experienced gambler wouldn't be too confident in all their bet because they know that all prediction is not 100% certain, it's possible that someone can make an accurate prediction but the possibility that the best team they bet on can mistakenly lose the match and cause their bet to end in lose, that's why I don't even put much attention in gambling because the source of income I have is more consistent than gambling, so there's no room for overconfot in gambling.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Kristiyana on April 10, 2025, 12:09:24 PM

  At least with what you have said I think is the best way because anybody that is always winning in gambling should no that is your luck not by any strategy and the right way for you to be safe is by betting with only what you can afford.

Though you may be right, but I think it depends on the strategy that you're using as a gambler. Because most gamblers can only decide to go with the strategy of betting a single game, and you know there's a difference between betting on multiple games and when you're betting in a single game. if you're this set of gamblers that always go for single game of course your chance of winning will be very high, at some point you can start having confidence in your strategy. I hope you understand what I mean.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Ricardo11 on April 10, 2025, 12:38:07 PM
So the conclusion is there is no exception to not implementing risk management such as limits on the amount of bets or expectations of winning, not infrequently I see gamblers who eventually lose control which makes them lose more money because they are too confident with predictions that they think are right and that's the reason my friend.

An experienced gambler wouldn't be too confident in all their bet because they know that all prediction is not 100% certain, it's possible that someone can make an accurate prediction but the possibility that the best team they bet on can mistakenly lose the match and cause their bet to end in lose, that's why I don't even put much attention in gambling because the source of income I have is more consistent than gambling, so there's no room for overconfot in gambling.
This subject every gambler should understand very well, because it is a true and natural thing. We have seen many times, a team win where the team had a high chance of losing, and many times a strong team loses to a weak team. These are always unpredictable, so you should not make any decision in such a way that you will have to face difficult problems if the result is not as per your expectations, and in gambling the result is never as per your expectations. That is why you should gamble with the right thinking and the right mindset, and never be overconfident, because the result can be anything.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: gunhell16 on April 10, 2025, 02:54:36 PM

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?


You might be like Nostradamus who can predict the future dude, Just kidding aside. How did you say you're good at analyzing things in the casino when you're gambling? Because it's hard to predict the results when you're inside the casino platform.

Because if your predictions are always like that and accurate, you'll be able to beat the house edge for sure because you know the results of every game in casino games,
no matter what category it is, right?


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on April 10, 2025, 05:50:11 PM

Well I think OP should learn something, not only in gambling but in all areas of life, if you have an analysis and you have or believe that it is the right thing to do and you think that the way is to bet, then do it, take the leap of faith, the most that can happen to you is to lose and that is contemplated in the normality of betting, that is, the only thing I do tell you is that if you bet only do it with money that you are willing to lose, do not commit a lot of money that you will not be able to cover other expenses later.
Losing is a natural part of the game; we can't be alarmed by these things. If we don't accept that we lose, then we're playing the game in a very bad way, and the reality of things will hit us hard when it happens, and we won't want to accept it.

In fact, the most common cases of addiction are because gamblers don't accept that they lose , When that happens, they start suggesting other things: revenge against the casino, swindling, then a lack of moneya whole host of things that contribute to falling into a potential addiction.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: zuzie on April 11, 2025, 01:42:45 AM
Yes, therefore, self-awareness must be applied so that gamblers will reduce and prevent fatal risks in front of their eyes, instead of being happy, they will receive regret and sadness.
Confidence in gambling is not wrong, but this confidence must be controlled as well as possible, usually gamblers who have high self-confidence are novice gamblers or gamblers who are already addicted.
In general, I would like to say that self-confidence in gambling only makes things worse. For example, the more professional a player is, the more he begins to question many things with the help of his accumulated knowledge and experience, which helps him stay afloat. Therefore, I will never be confident in gambling. But confident players bet all their money, and therefore lose to prove their case. But later they wonder why it didn't work or say phrases like "this is happening to me for the first time."

Yes, that's right, this self-confidence will worsen the financial condition of gamblers with strong self-confidence and cannot be controlled properly, then gamblers in each session of their game will be more daring and not think long that the results of their predictions and courage in betting may be off target. And yes, gamblers will soon realize when they often experience consecutive defeats.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: nara1892 on April 11, 2025, 11:12:36 AM
So the conclusion is there is no exception to not implementing risk management such as limits on the amount of bets or expectations of winning, not infrequently I see gamblers who eventually lose control which makes them lose more money because they are too confident with predictions that they think are right and that's the reason my friend.

An experienced gambler wouldn't be too confident in all their bet because they know that all prediction is not 100% certain, it's possible that someone can make an accurate prediction but the possibility that the best team they bet on can mistakenly lose the match and cause their bet to end in lose, that's why I don't even put much attention in gambling because the source of income I have is more consistent than gambling, so there's no room for overconfot in gambling.

Of course, I am also sure that an experienced gambler must have known and understood about the concept of winning and losing in gambling, they understand that no matter how hard they try to predict a match, in the end gambling is always a game of probability.
In sports betting, the best team that is statistically superior does have a greater chance of getting three full points (winning) but that does not mean it is impossible for them to lose in the end, the situation and conditions can really trigger mistakes, such as playing away or blunders are included in it.
So it can be concluded that defeat will always be part of the game and that is the reason why gambling for entertainment is the most appropriate goal.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on April 14, 2025, 01:56:29 AM

I agree with you because in gambling is either you win or lose whether you like it or not. This is the reason why one needs to limit his losses by using little amount of money that he can afford to lose to gamble, and also withdraw his win whenever he is in profit and quit the game. To avoid him gambling back with his profits because losing is inevitable.

Undoubtedly, it's true What we have to accept the most is loss. When I was starting out, I was ashamed to say I lost Afterward, you accept things as they are, and everything depends on the level of trust you have That's why sometimes some players struggle to mature certain concepts, and one of those is failure.

But one of the things you have to accept the most is knowing how to lose and sometimes knowing how to win.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: bisdak40 on April 14, 2025, 03:07:49 AM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I experience this once in a while, and it's called 'coincidence or luck.' No one has a crystal ball to predict the outcome of a game, not even hardcore analysts. If they can fail, how much more likely are we to miss the mark when we predict only occasionally? If you're not a gambler, I suggest you avoid betting and instead observe your predictions. You'll see that they often go the other way over time.



Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: GideonGono on April 16, 2025, 12:48:42 PM
i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I've also experience it so many times, I could get the correct prediction when I am not betting, but when my money is at stake it would be a different story.
It might be luck or you might really be good at analyzing so why not try with an amount that wouldn't hurt you, start with small bets to know the truth.


Title: Re: confidence is a dangerous thing
Post by: Bitcoinsummoner on April 16, 2025, 02:26:04 PM
So the conclusion is there is no exception to not implementing risk management such as limits on the amount of bets or expectations of winning, not infrequently I see gamblers who eventually lose control which makes them lose more money because they are too confident with predictions that they think are right and that's the reason my friend.

An experienced gambler wouldn't be too confident in all their bet because they know that all prediction is not 100% certain, it's possible that someone can make an accurate prediction but the possibility that the best team they bet on can mistakenly lose the match and cause their bet to end in lose, that's why I don't even put much attention in gambling because the source of income I have is more consistent than gambling, so there's no room for overconfot in gambling.
This subject every gambler should understand very well, because it is a true and natural thing. We have seen many times, a team win where the team had a high chance of losing, and many times a strong team loses to a weak team. These are always unpredictable, so you should not make any decision in such a way that you will have to face difficult problems if the result is not as per your expectations, and in gambling the result is never as per your expectations. That is why you should gamble with the right thinking and the right mindset, and never be overconfident, because the result can be anything.

Gambling is a game full of uncertainties. For example, a very strong team can lose unexpectedly, and a very weak team can win unexpectedly. The main reason for losing in gambling is overconfidence. The right move at the right time is the key to winning in gambling. A Gambler can't consider their loss. They forget that they will win all the time without losing a single penny.