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101  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 02, 2015, 03:08:08 PM
Thank you for the info David.

So shares need to be 12 months old before they can be sold on OTC Market. It will be fun to see how this develops with limited supply there.
102  Economy / Speculation / Re: Weekly MACD is green! on: March 02, 2015, 01:42:22 PM
The 1w Parabolic SAR flipped side on TradingView today also.

https://www.tradingview.com/v/VByTV0oe/

103  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 02, 2015, 11:18:28 AM
The ticker has changed to GBTC now.

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/profile

Curious to know what is your take on this comment?

Quote
In a statement, the Digital Currency Group said, “Although we have been assigned a ticker symbol, no assurances can be given as to when or if such trading will commence, or that an active public secondary market for BIT shares will develop or be maintained.



I guess they must say that until an official announcement. I don't doubt that it will be traded after they got the OK from FINRA and the BIT showed up on OTC Market.
104  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 02, 2015, 10:51:00 AM
The ticker has changed to GBTC now.

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/profile
105  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 02, 2015, 12:11:36 AM
As I get it they still can only sell a year old shares though, just that now there are ones that are old enough.
Even if this is true does it prevent BIT from buying more bitcoins ? (and sell 1 year old shares )

~83k coins have been in the BIT for more than a year, so these will be sold at the OTC market if the investors can buy new shares for a lower price than they sell them for. And then the number will increase every month if there is demand.

Not quite, those bitcoins will be sold only if the owners of the corresponding shares are allowed to redeem them (sell them back to SMBIT).  If the owners sell the shares on the OTC market, SMBIT neither buys nor sells.

Redemptions have been suspended since last October.  It is not clear if and when they will be allowed again.  

Long term investors with shares older than 1 year (about 83k coins) will sell them on OTC market if they can buy new cheaper shares from Grayscale. This will happen if the price on OTC market is higher than on the regular bitcoin exchanges.
106  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 11:11:11 PM
As I get it they still can only sell a year old shares though, just that now there are ones that are old enough.

Even if this is true does it prevent BIT from buying more bitcoins ? (and sell 1 year old shares )


~83k coins have been in the BIT for more than a year, so these will be sold at the OTC market if the investors can buy new shares for a lower price than they sell them for. And then the number will increase every month if there is demand.
107  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 11:05:17 PM
As I get it they still can only sell a year old shares though, just that now there are ones that are old enough.

Hmm... I hope you are wrong.  Huh
108  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 10:54:30 PM
Secondmarket investors could not sell in the past and now the expiry period is over, and that means it's publicly traded, right?
Or can anybody explain what exactly else that means?

Yes, the BIT will be listed on OTC Markets and it will be publicly traded.

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/BTCV/profile

(The ticker will change to GBTC.)

I mean implicitly, and only if IPO investors decide to sell, because where else are BIT shares supposed to come from?

As long as the bid price on the OTC market is higher than on the regular bitcoin exchanges, Grayscale will purchase bitcoins, create shares in the BIT and sell the shares to accredited investors which will sell the shares on the OTC market.
109  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 10:48:48 PM
Secondmarket investors could not sell in the past and now the expiry period is over, and that means it's publicly traded, right?
Or can anybody explain what exactly else that means?

Yes, the BIT will be listed on OTC Markets and it will be publicly traded.

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/BTCV/profile

(The ticker will change to GBTC.)
110  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 01:52:50 PM
This showed up in my Google news alert today  Smiley
http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/BTCV/profile

Well, it seems that SMBIT is listed at OTCQX finally.

Is trading there open yet?

No, but I guess it's getting closer since they listed the BIT.
111  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: March 01, 2015, 12:17:12 PM
This showed up in my Google news alert today  Smiley

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/BTCV/profile
112  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 01, 2015, 12:11:25 PM
This showed up in my Google news alert today  Smiley

http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/BTCV/profile
113  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: February 28, 2015, 04:51:26 PM
molecular, what is the source of randomness inside the Trezor?

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2d36lb/is_the_trezor_seed_entropy_truly_and_provably/cjlmv90
114  Economy / Speculation / Re: For people still in denial about willy on: February 24, 2015, 11:04:18 PM
Quote
In short, our report did not mean to imply that Willy by itself caused or was a dominating part of the big price moves of late 2013 and early 2014, but merely that it would be hard to claim it did not contribute in some noticeable way to them. Considering the amount of bitcoin moved, those contributions could be large or small; the exact effects are very hard to estimate.

http://insidebitcoins.com/news/what-part-did-the-mt-gox-bot-really-play-in-the-bitcoin-price-bubble/30162
115  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 24, 2015, 09:16:56 PM
Damn, now I have to set one up...
OK, how about:
Jun 2015   BTC0.1793
Dec 2015  BTC0.1972
Jun 2016   BTC0.2170
Dec 2016  BTC0.2387
Jun 2017   BTC0.2625
Dec 2017  BTC0.2888
Jun 2018   BTC0.3177
Dec 2018  BTC0.3812
Jun 2019   BTC0.4574
Dec 2019  BTC0.5489
?

What are these numbers?
116  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 24, 2015, 09:10:47 PM
Sorry Kupsi, I had to go look at some of your old posts.   To bad people didn't listen to you then.   You are right. $10 dollar coins are extremely cheap.  Hope you held onto all of those.

Some listened.

I've sold a few to cover living expenses, but I have enough to not work again if the price continues its long term uptrend. Smiley
117  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 24, 2015, 08:38:24 PM
My investment portfolio is doing even better than expected, I'm up thousands of $$ today.

How's that bitcoin investment working out for all of you? Just wondering, because from here, it doesn't seem to be going too well.

I'm doing pretty ok. Right on schedule.

Quote
This is my magic schedule:

Jun 1 2012 $5
Dec 1 2012 $10
Jun 1 2013 $20
Dec 1 2013 $40
Jun 1 2014 $80
Dec 1 2014 $160
Jun 1 2015 $320
Dec 1 2015 $640
Jun 1 2016 $1280
Jun 2 2016 Retire  Wink

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1412469#msg1412469
118  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 24, 2015, 02:29:54 PM
Thankfully, the Silk Road was eventually shutdown - the price of the bitcoin dropped immediately and sharply (though today reincarnations of this dark bazaar now exist).

After 14 days, the price was higher than before Silk Road was shut down. Then the price increased 10x in two months.
119  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 24, 2015, 01:45:12 PM
The first legitimate bubble took the price quickly from $1 to $2 to $32, and then in short order back to $2. It took another 3 years for the price to recover to around $20 in value, as public awareness of the existence of bitcoin slowly grew, and new money flowed in.

It took 1 year and 9 months. After three years, the price was ~$600.
120  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: February 24, 2015, 12:57:24 AM
i foresee the Trezor replacing the offline wallet and its pc and being more secure since the offline wallets can be susceptible to a USB malware attack.  as far as i know, there is no way to get privkeys off a Trezor so in that sense it is safer
I think this is a dangerous assumption to make.

Trezor has a larger attack surface than an offline laptop, since you have to plug it in directly to a potential hostile machine every time you use it.

You can reduce your attack surface with an offline laptop by using CD-R media instead of USB drives, or maybe by using the audio cable transfer method.

Trezor & Offline Armory multisig FTW Smiley
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