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1121  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 28, 2013, 02:34:35 PM
why don't you at least put the funds into ASICMINER PT shares until something worthwhile comes along.

Hi jmutch, I've considered this previously, even before multiple shareholders PM'd me urging as much. My principle concern stems from months of research in the securities section of this very forum. There you'll find multiple mining companies that have been crippled or destroyed by treating on hand cash as investment funds or outsourcing hash rate. I'm a fairly conservative fella by nature...though I doubt you guys even noticed. Smiley GLBSE's collapse and numerous other betrayals prompted me to set up this company in such a way that we didn't extend trust to anyone we didn't have to.

Over time I've come to trust btct.co and more specifically burnside. Conveniently he's also the operator of the ASICMiner-PT on that exchange, and as a result I wouldn't be opposed to bASIC-MINING parking a sizable portion of our assets in shares there. There's clearly enough liquidity on the exchange now that we can get our funds out relatively quickly if necessary.

Do any shareholders object to bASIC-MINING purchasing 200 shares of ASICMiner-PT on btct.co and distributing 100% of the dividends to shareholders? If so what are your concerns?

Cheers.  
1122  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 28, 2013, 02:16:45 PM
So word on the street is some guys that ordered there batch 2 on the same day as us got a tracking number today any word on ours?

Hi solstoce, nothing yet, but I'll keep an ear to the ground. I saw that...very encouraging.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=167726.msg2295271#msg2295271
 
1123  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 28, 2013, 01:49:09 PM
The current tech is perfectly acceptable, that's why we have some on pre-order, but that doesn't mean that any price is a good price. AM blades seem terrific, they're just very high priced. This situation, like the one you described with many incorrect predictions of soaring hash rates in 2012 was created by hardware vendors that exaggerated their delivery schedules. If BFL and BTCFPGA had been able to ship ASIC products in the numbers they claimed in Q4 of 2012 then ASICMiner blades surely would not command the huge premiums they do at this time, though it seems likely difficulty would be far higher than it is right now anyway.

We have hardware capable of 155ish Gh/s paid for that's already overdue AND we have a sizable cash position to expand our hash rate significantly going forward. Despite the frustrating delays, I feel we're well positioned. 

The last estimate I saw was for an increase of nearly 14% for the next BTC re-target, though admittedly the estimates don't tend to be all that accurate till a few days before a re-target.

Cheers.

Again, there is the hope and prayer on "new tech" there are 2 products ordered.  3 batches of avalons, 2000 total units and they have only delivered 700 of them in the past 6 months.  Not to mention the thousands of BFL that haven't shipped.  Not sure if you haven't noticed but the estimates are already down to 11%.  The network had a few quick blocks early which made it look as if the retarget was going to be much higher, but hashrate isn't actually higher it's flat.  Like i said before, the network follows price as it's main indicator and price hasn't moved in some time and the network is stalling.  I think this company is missing a great opportunity right now.

Hi malona82,

We're not talking about new tech anymore and I'd hardly call multiple Avalon pre-orders a "hope and prayer". They've delivered and I think the chances that they won't continue to deliver are next to zero. They're overdue, and their CS leaves a whole bunch to be desired, but they're plainly not BFL(which we fortunately haven't a single bitcent tied up in).

No I've not noticed the estimates down to +11%, allchains currently indicates +13%, but again the estimates are not historically reliable 9+ days out. I disagree with your assessment that the network is stalling as I see no evidence to support such a conclusion. Your own prior estimate called for an average increase of 8%, so I fail to see how a fuzzy estimated increase of +11 to +13% can be described as stalling.

Cheers. 
1124  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 28, 2013, 06:14:24 AM
The current tech is perfectly acceptable, that's why we have some on pre-order, but that doesn't mean that any price is a good price. AM blades seem terrific, they're just very high priced. This situation, like the one you described with many incorrect predictions of soaring hash rates in 2012 was created by hardware vendors that exaggerated their delivery schedules. If BFL and BTCFPGA had been able to ship ASIC products in the numbers they claimed in Q4 of 2012 then ASICMiner blades surely would not command the huge premiums they do at this time, though it seems likely difficulty would be far higher than it is right now anyway.

We have hardware capable of 155ish Gh/s paid for that's already overdue AND we have a sizable cash position to expand our hash rate significantly going forward. Despite the frustrating delays, I feel we're well positioned. 

The last estimate I saw was for an increase of nearly 14% for the next BTC re-target, though admittedly the estimates don't tend to be all that accurate till a few days before a re-target.

Cheers.
1125  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 28, 2013, 04:27:40 AM
While the increase in the exchange rate has enabled many that would otherwise have shut down to keep mining with GPUs, it seems likely that Avalon batch 1 shipping(20Th) as well as ASICMiner bringing 3Th online in February had more than a little to do with the rapid rise in network hash rate and therefore difficulty. While ASIC deployment has been slower than expected due to slipping delivery dates by some, ASICMiner's hash rate has gone from 0 to over 20Th since February plus they've sold 60 blades at auction and more directly.

This kind of huge increase in hash rate is typical when newer more efficient technology takes over. A similar period of increased network growth occurred when GPUs took over from CPUs. This period of increased network growth will not stop until mining is again marginally profitable. The cost to produce ASIC mining chips is heavily front end loaded so why would ASICMiner and Avalon, who have proven they can produce large numbers of working chips, stop producing inexpensive chips until something more efficient supplants them?

Cheers.
1126  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 08:07:55 PM
I'm not following your 8% difficulty increase per adjustment and I don't understand why you think it will trail off when BFL hasn't shipped much of anything...yet, Avalon b2 & b3 are late, and both ASICMiner and Avalon have hundreds of Th of chips on order now. Again, forgive me as I have very little time today, but I didn't want you to think I'm disinterested in your numbers or the conclusions you've reached based on them.



I'm certainly no mathematician, but that looks like a bit more than 8% increase every three weeks...more like 300% just since February. What am I missing?

Cheers.

Edit: Operating costs are paid for from my own stake.
1127  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 05:53:21 PM
I'll just do some quick numbers which I know all of you have done.  But when we are talking about a company here with this size of resources we should really be thinking about putting this to work.  anyway.  Lets say we AVG .225 which is 1/2 of what we would be getting today over the next year which should be looked at as pretty conservative because we know we would get much more then that over the next 2 or 3 months without any doubt.  but that would be .225x365 =82.5 per blade.  that's 50% profit in just 1 year.  and the great thing is, all the investors would be paid back and the company would be paid back 32 of the 50 it spend just in the first year.  now lets assume avg .1 btc a day in year 2.  that's another 36 btc.  and again we still have the mining capacity.  it's obviously going to drop as time goes on and there is some uncertainty.  but i'd rather us buy this now so we know we'll get a payback then wait a year and hope that some better opportunity arrives.

The fact is that there haven't been many opportunities out there that will give such good returns.  And surely if there is a company out there that can make better products they surely won't be selling them until it no longer benefits them to use the product themselves.  There is a reason ASICMINER is selling their equip and it's based on their own hash rate.  They need to increase the network hash to increase their own.  anyway.  Lets not overlook this as a real alternative to hope and prayer.  I see that there is already a strong bias against this but I advise strongly to rethink because there aren't that many opportunities out there and yet we all the the asic companies springing up but none deliver.  There is more risk in waiting on them then just do it now with what we have been presented to us now.  We can be a real powerhouse in the mining arena and at this point blades are our best bet.  As time goes on we will restock the coffers with profits from the blades and payback investors while we wait for these supposed great opportunities which we will be fighting every tom dick and harry for.  Lets do this now and get ahead of the game instead of being right along side the BFL folks.

I'm not able to give your numbers my full attention at this time, but rather than being conservative, I think your assertion that we'd average .225/day/blade or 2.25BTC/day for 10 blades over the course of a full year is rather optimistic. Thank you for the detailed post, and I look forward to giving it the attention it deserves in the near future.

Cheers.
1128  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 05:30:44 PM
Buying the blades is a great idea.  I don't understand the point of many of the people on here and their concerns with it.  There isn't any investment that will be out there that will benefit us like the blades will.  Do you all realize that the prices of asics will only come down as difficulty rises.  That's the supply demand side of this.  I would rather us spend 500 BTC on something that will return the 500 btc after lets say 6 months and then from there on we have mining capacity for life.  If you keep waiting we will never have any mining capacity other then the 2 avalons that will ship when?  There is zero reason for us not to buy the blades.  People keep looking at this as if we are getting some massive interest rate on the BTC in hand.  We don't.  Do every 3 weeks that we don't spend it means the difficulty rises and ROI shrinks.  You have to look at it in a better way which is we pay the going rate now which will be the same ROI as if we wait x days til a supposed better opportunity arrives.  In all honesty after 1 year of mining all investors will be paid back their initial investment as well as the company can reinstate the growth policy and it will be completely refilled.  I mean come on.  Why are people so gung ho about keeping 1k BTC in the coffers for some opportunity that has never arrived?  The blades are a great way to put the mining company mining.  I mean seriously, i've spent $3k USD on mining equipment and i'm mining 2x as much as BASIC is.  Time to put the money to work that investors have invested 200k on. 

Thanks for posting malona82. bASIC-MINING has deployed nearly 200BTC to purchase mining gear, and this does not include the original BTCFPGA order on which the company was founded. I share your enthusiasm and I too am tired of waiting. We have motions up for voting to reach a consensus on which path to follow at this time.

Since you mentioned specific time frames in your post, may I ask why you chose 6 months as a break even date for an ASICMiner blade purchase? There are so many variables that go into such an estimate, I'm curious how you arrived at this number.

500BTC spent on blades would realistically yield us 110-120Gh/s or 28-31Mh/s/share while the Avalons purchased for 176.73BTC will yield us between 152-156Gh/s or 39-40Mh/s/share. Time will tell if the large premium being paid for ASICMiner blades over Avalon gear is worth it or not. Either way I will abide by whatever shareholders decide with these motions.

Cheers.  
1129  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Butterfly Labs Forced "On Hold For Refund" for all my Single SC orders on: May 27, 2013, 02:56:21 PM
blah blah blah noob.. blah blah blah josh .. blah blah blah shill .. blah blah blah sock puppet..

I was on the fence about where all this was going in this thread...but *THIS* post won me over!

So pro!

Quote
blah blah blah astro turf .. blah blah blah obviously Mr Obvious being obvious ..

You guys need a new repertoire.. Really.

...and THEN you made additional pro comments! Shocked

1130  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL upgrade now offered on 5ghz orders.(screenshot) on: May 27, 2013, 12:09:39 PM
Good to hear another voice rather than the usual rants. Hopefully BFL will soon start serious shipping and finally silence the trolls.

Definitely. Curse those trolls and their perfectly reasonable complaints about this scam!
1131  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 03:17:32 AM
You mean because I posted four threads? No, actually there are multiple posts within those threads.
1132  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 02:50:18 AM
Nah.. i just wanted to say all that, without caring if it has been discussed before..

Thanks again for your contribution. Does that mean you didn't notice that I linked to threads with posts written by people that have received batch 1 & 2 Avalon mining gear?
1133  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 27, 2013, 02:36:49 AM
Avalon has the same great opportunity that BFL has -- why ship out something to your customers if you can plug it in and double your ROI?  Sell it to them after the difficulty climbs up 2x.  Wouldn't you do the same?  This inevitable business strategy that comes from these mining companies causes dreamers like creativex to sit back waiting for someone to sell him a golden shovel.  Nobody will sell you a golden shovel, dude.  If someone had a supply of ASIC chips that were 4x cheaper than eruptor blades, they WOULDN'T let you have them!  It would be like giving away free money, you would be insane to think that you might be able to get some -- stop dreaming!

Thanks for another valuable post.

Please see this thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=140539.0

...and this thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=146451.0

...and this thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=137534.0

...and this thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=141154.0
1134  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 11:16:11 PM
I will dare to sound a bit rude on this one, but here's my thought on buying BFL pre-orders:

While I believe that BFL *might* eventually (like in a year or so) ship either was they promised or not-that-much-what-they-promised-but-better-than-nothing, I have good reasons to think that they may fail completely and never deliver anything, and the primary reasons for this wouldn't be technical reasons.

The current business conduct of BFL and/or Josh is unacceptable. What would you expect from a business that has failed to deliver their pre-orders for almost one year? You would expect them to stop taking MORE, NEW pre-orders, wouldn't you?

Second, Josh seems to spend a considerable time fighting back libel and/or insulting those who insult him, like if he were a kid in school fighting back others "that have started it". This is not business behavior, but rather childish.

Possible outcomes could be someone going really crazy about the whole thing and shutting them down completely with legal lawsuits. This is a much more probable outcome in my opinion than what others seem to think on the forum. And as much as I would hate that, if things go to awry for them and it gets really personal, someone too angry could go beyond reason and physically attack him (even shoot him down). This is the main reason why I think they pretend their most expensive "Mini-Rig" to be soldout, they don't want to take the risk of holding too much money from the same man.

These are the reasons why I think buying BFL pre-orders from people tired of waiting is a bad investment.

I share your concerns about BFL.
1135  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 08:51:46 PM

how do you handle buying bfl preorders? if you were to. I dont understand how the exchange would work

Not following, is it no longer possible to pay with Bitcoins?

not that, its about how do you keep people accountable in pre-order resales

like do they give you their BFL login/password and change the shipping address? I don't really see how escrow would be helpful for all legs of the exchange etc. this is more so curiousity because I see alot of other ppl doing it

Both BFL and Avalon have stated that they'll not change shipping addresses for pre-orders already placed there's no reliable mechanism in place to efficiently change shipping addresses. That being the case I believe it's a mistake to purchase someone else's pre-order. As a result of this I haven't spent a great deal of time hypothesizing on how best to do this, but I think it'd depend on the level of trust established with the original purchaser of the pre-ordered gear. Escrow-ed funds + two instances of shipping would likely be the safest method.
1136  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 08:20:24 PM

how do you handle buying bfl preorders? if you were to. I dont understand how the exchange would work

Not following, is it no longer possible to pay with Bitcoins?
1137  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 07:59:44 PM
K, thanks. Americans please do not buy any virtual shares, it's bad...or may be at some point in the future.

Perfect.

For those that think this is inadequate there's always this mess:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=75802.2360

I'm not interested in following that path.

If that's settled, I'd like to stay on topic please. That being mining hardware.
1138  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 07:31:59 PM
Ty...and yes it is.
1139  Other / Archival / Re: btt on: May 26, 2013, 06:38:22 PM
just curious, what are your plans for when the SEC gets an emergency injunction and seizes all your assets. you are an american issuing securities

maybe you should look into a reverse merger and list on the pink sheets, you have enough funds for that

you can't confirm that the people buying are americans but you should at least pretend that this isn't offered to americans

Hi stslimited. I'm not so arrogant as to think I can slow the tireless march of Fascism. I expend my energies attempting to control the things within my sphere of influence. To the rest...

Stercus Accidit
1140  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Butterflylabs Huge SCAM on: May 26, 2013, 06:07:41 PM
Describing BFL's pyramid scam as a "kerfuffle" is itself a "kerfuffle". The notion that they're just incompetent, but well meaning or trustworthy is SO last year. What was that 2012 drop dead date for chip delivery again? Roll Eyes

The article linked above also dismisses BFL reps' lack of social graces as a by-product of their nerdiness and tech savvy nature, yet it's been proven again and again that their Chief Operating Officer knows next to nothing about chip production, product design, chip cooling, power consumption, or a multitude of other elements essential to the production of a product as technically challenging as an ASIC mining device. This is why BFL has outsourced nearly everything, supposedly to people that DO know this stuff. So what is it that BFL people do all day again? ...and why can't they treat investors with the respect they deserve?
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