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12461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2017, 04:12:07 PM
900 -meh
700 -sad
500-600 -dejected

I think it would 500s for me. I'm far from convinced we've said goodbye to sub 1000 forever yet. It really hasn't been that long since it was surpassed for the first time in a long time. Time will tell.
12462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2017, 04:03:54 PM
So what price would it have to return to make people feel sad? $900? $800? $700?

This action won't last forever. The question is whether it's just beginning to rev up or run out of steam.
12463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will this be 1:1? on: March 02, 2017, 03:28:40 PM
But we cant really compare both things coz they are really different they might be good on treating as an investment but every one of them has its potential and capabilities which didnt posses by one.

You can because what matters is what people use something for. They are indeed radically different but Bitcoin can potentially completely fulfil the purpose that gold has as a hedge and store of value, plus some extras on top. That being the case it is a valid comparison.

It is of course absolutely nowhere near that at present but who knows what the future holds?
12464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why I failed to make a fortune as an early bitcoin adopter? on: March 02, 2017, 01:48:51 PM
I don't understand how difficult it is not to get scammed and lost your Bitcoins through gambling and other means. That is why I am always confused when people say they didn't make a fortune by being an early investor of Bitcoin.

It's impossible to project yourself back to the mind set of people who were around in the earliest days. It could easily have turned to dust so anyone selling at $1 having paid 1c thought they were being sensible and financial ninjas.

As for the gullibility for scamminess, no, I don't understand that. I don't care if it's magic internet money, I'm not giving it to anonymous pricks with no comebacks who make ludicrous promises.

I got into BTC in 2013. Everywhere told me Gox was the place to go. I spent five minutes researching it and thought 'what the fuck is wrong with people? Why would they trust this shithole?' and shopped elsewhere.

And everyone here right now is still an early adopter.
12465  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Here comes the Satoshi drama on: March 02, 2017, 01:40:01 PM
So what would be the implications of this? I've never quite gotten the patent thing, especially patent trolling. I assumed that if something had been in use by millions for years you couldn't retrospectively apply patents, but that's why I'm asking.
12466  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will this be 1:1? on: March 02, 2017, 12:47:42 AM
I always planned to swap a few Bitcoins for Gold coins if we ever reached parity, but now that it actually could happen, I feel like I might be missing out on future bif Bitcoin rises if I swap into gold!

Yes. I've been thinking similarly. I don't rate gold as any type of investment myself but it would be fun to own a lump of it. Then again even if less than one BTC buys an ounce I think I'd grow to loathe it in the years to come. I'll wait for 0.05 per ounce.
12467  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Any Good and Reliable Retail Stores that Accept Bitcoin? on: March 01, 2017, 11:10:08 PM
In the UK I don't know of any big shops that take Bitcoin, but there's cryptodechange.com which have gift cards for places like Tesco.

Cex. 250 high street stores should be enough to qualify as big. They also pay you in Bitcoin when you offload your filth on them. Scan and Overclockers take BTC along with a few others but it is a hopeless scene compared to others countries still.

I use giftoff.com for gift cards. They have a slightly weird selection but there's some biggies on there.
12468  Economy / Speculation / Re: Whither China? on: March 01, 2017, 03:52:23 PM
I don't think the Chinese government will ever want to stop people from trading bitcoins. They will just put enough curbs on it, to prevent a bubble from forming. Apart from imposing capital controls, the Chinese government will want to prevent a crash from happening (and ordinary people losing money).

The Chinese government has shot their bolt. There's nothing much else they can do now.

The West has hit an ATH without China and probably from now on it's largely going to ignore a crippled Chinese market if and when it reemerges.

China will either have to develop a totally closed market which is possible if the government takes all exchange coins and give you an IOU, or ride everyone's coattails from now on. Their supposed command over the rest of us has been proven to be a paper tiger and I think that's permanent.

Mining is the last thing the government can do to scare us. What they may have failed to account for is that the rest of the world would be delirious with delight if Chinese mining was wiped out forever too. They're a cancer.
12469  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: NEM (XEM) Official Thread - 100% New Code - Easy To Use APIs on: March 01, 2017, 03:14:22 PM
XEM was crazy last summer  Grin

Yes, but why did it drop?

Because it was a totally empty pump orchestrated by a small number of exchange whales who probably didn't know the slightest thing about XEM.
12470  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 01, 2017, 03:11:45 PM
Well, one big difference, and what would be absolutely critical for Bitcoin ETFs and Trusts moving forward, is 100% on-demand transparent auditing of holdings.  That has to be a thing, and it should be trivial and built-in.  If Bitcoin exchanges and brokers can expose it easily (well some have chosen to anyway), then COIN or any of the other ETFs should be able to make that happen on any given Sunday.

Otherwise it'll just become like Gold ETFs long term.... no transparency, no proof of holdings, fractional reserve trading, naked short-selling, etc.

It's eminently achievable but I'm not sure enough future newcomers will care about that. I can foresee them being offered Bitcoin or crypto trackers even when there are auditable alternatives.

All most people care about is a rising number. There are enough snake oil salespeople to lay that on while it lasts. The KNCminer ETN is backed by real coins but that's a purely voluntary action as far as I can tell. Future ones won't be.
12471  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 01, 2017, 02:54:52 PM
The launch of the first Gold ETF was hardly bullish. For the first year of its existence, the metal's price actually dropped. Eventually, it took off, but more as a result of the turmoil unleashed by the global financial crisis than on its own merits.

https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2017-02-27/winklevoss-bitcoin-etf-bet-is-a-countdown-to-zero-or-less

So bitcoin price drops after ETF aproval?  Shocked

The gold market has been fully developed for millennia. That's a deeply silly comparison.

GLD probably hasn't done gold any favours though. I wonder whether a Bitcoin ETF will do the same.
12472  Economy / Speculation / Re: Whither China? on: March 01, 2017, 12:05:42 PM
they have never been controlling anything in bitcoin. at some point they only had large portion of the mining hashrate and before that it belonged to other countries and China had nothing and now it is again starting to be distributed.  check this: https://blockchain.info/pools

I think it's safe to assume that most of those pools are under the control of the same people. They know it's bad for PR unless they give the surface impression of decentralisation. If we really knew how few people commanded mining we'd probably all put our knickers on our head and run around the room screaming.
12473  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: February 28, 2017, 08:53:08 PM
NO 0 % chance to reach 10k in thi run. In fact this run is almost over.

That very much depends on whether this run turns into a bubble and it certainly isn't a bubble yet. It would be unhealthy if one did develop but if it did then all bets are off.
12474  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: NEM (XEM) Official Thread - 100% New Code - Easy To Use APIs on: February 28, 2017, 07:59:07 PM
All my harvested blocks are empty, just a few of them has some XEM. When is going the time when all the blocks contains a considerable amount of xem.

When people start actually using it for something. Right now I assume the only movements are between wallets and back and forth to exchanges.
12475  Economy / Speculation / Re: Whither China? on: February 28, 2017, 05:31:45 PM
I expect outside pressure will make china irrelevant in the game sooner or later. Their only strength is cheap electricity, that is ALL.

They also make the miners which is rather important. It would be a vast amount of fun if there was a concerted BU power grab and they were to find themselves permanently fired. I suppose they could rent out their mining warehouses to heat orphanages from then on. The mining cartels could do with a shot across their bows.
12476  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL : ETF approval or disapproval on: February 28, 2017, 05:07:49 PM
Really surprised to see that everyone is expecting a massive dump of coins after the verdict if people are sure about it then why is the price is hovering at this range . I did not understand about the time limit.can you please clarify that.

They initially set themselves a time limit about making the BATS rule change last year. If I remember rightly they allowed themselves three extensions of that time limit.

Once the final extension is up, which is this one, they have to make a decision. If they don't announce a decision by then then it's a yes by default. Weird setup.
12477  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL : ETF approval or disapproval on: February 28, 2017, 05:02:34 PM
Polls don't matter and are misleading. Donald Trump won against all odds, Brexit happened against all odds, so why can't the ETF happen against all odds too?

Also some people forget that if the time limit is hit without either approval or disapproval the ETF gets automatically approved (im not sure if this has ever happened before but its another possibility)

Automatic approval has never happened. It be flabbergasted if it did happen with something with so many unknowns.

I suppose people are speculating with more agility because it's down to a few stuffy bureaucrats rather than entire populations. I wonder what they'd think if they had a perusal of the feverish speculation going on in pockets of the internet. The scale of it must be a first for them.
12478  Economy / Speculation / Whither China? on: February 28, 2017, 04:03:35 PM
What with all our current action it's odd how rarely commented on it is that China is a goner for now. Who'd've thunk it just a short time ago and that elsewhere would shrug it off?

What form will the Chinese market take when it's reactivated? Will it not be reactivated at all? Will the PBOC kindly take charge of everyone's BTC and give them tokens to play with? Have the Chinese with coins remaining buggered off to Japanese markets? Will this affect mining eventually?

Give us your speculations.
12479  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 28, 2017, 03:26:10 PM
Suffering from the up and downs and keeping everybody on the edge of going "Ahhhh!" at $1196 but then a minute later going "Awwwwhh!" when it drops to $1180.
I don't know about you all but being on a see saw ride like that makes me very upset when it can't make up it's mind if it wants to stay or go over $1200 and stay there.
Sort of like an old gf that doesn't know if she likes you so see leaves but comes back after seeing you living the good life with someone else who is good and you are better off without them.Cheesy

I for one am sooo totally over chop now. Either it goes for it or it falls back. We'll know fairly soon what it intends to do. Any day above ground is a good day.
12480  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 28, 2017, 02:03:30 PM
Wouldn't it just take more than a color of the rainbow to do that?

Don't forget the secret signalling to their masonic friends out there. That's to save a few goats and orphans being slaughtered in bizarre predictive ceremonies. And $1180 or so is 'suffering'?

Golly.
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