Oh boy. That's what I thought when I read the first lines of your topic.
A community with 3.5 million registered users has 2.7 million banned/nuked accounts, 700k accounts are dormant, and just 56k individuals have been active for the past three months.
LoyceV beat me to it, but there are not 2.7M banned or nuked accounts. Archived is a term used by BPIP to say inactive for more than 90 days.
If I take random accounts from this BPIP page:
https://bpip.org/metalog.aspx?d=2023-05-22RoadSideRomiyo is archived on BPIP, but I can guarantee you that he is not banned.
nemec is archived on BPIP, but I can guarantee you that he is not banned.
mertcanidig is archived on BPIP, but I can guarantee you that he is not banned.
And so on...
I did some analysis and there is a somewhat high chance that the forum will disappear before 2030 if the information on
https://bpip.org/ is accurate.
You give a fairly precise date, it would have been nice to give the details.
I hope you didn't draw a line from 3 points like the person who predicted that Bitcoin would consume all the electricity in the world by 2020.
If you want to take a bet whether or not this forum will still be online at the end of 2030, I'm open
.
Since the forum is losing traffic each month, which is awful from a financial standpoint
Theymos doesn't care about the financial standpoint. So much so that he cancelled the bidding for ads.
Oh, you were thinking from your financial standpoint ?
I'm curious about the forum's membership reduction and what can be to blame.
[...]
unfriendly environment for Newbies/users ?
DT members oppression ? ( so much red than green these days)
The merit system (high demands for quality) ?
The moderation/rules ( using the ban button more often) ?
Low Bitcoin adoption ?
Lets Talk...
I answered 'Others' in your poll and I will clarify by trying to generalize : human stupidity/cupidity are the causes of all this.
The question of why there are so few active accounts is a good one. But there are another questions : why are there so many inactive/banned accounts ? Why such a big difference ?
The first point is not to underestimate the number of multi-accounts. It's a national sport here. Many people have realized that they can easily make money with an account on a forum. Why not make 2 accounts, then 3... 5, 10... 100... It worked for airdrops where you had to leave an address in a topic, or twitbook campaigns where everything was easy. Now, there are no more airdrops or campaigns like that, or it doesn't pay any more. Thousands of accounts have been orphaned.
And yet Timelord's topic is still updated every day. Multi-accounting still exists and sometimes large farms of accounts are found. But it's the stupidest or laziest ones who get caught. There are probably some smarter ones who continue to do multi-accounts, but they end up stopping because of the amount of useless tokens they collect.
Human cupidity.
And we can also count on the maliciousness of some who want to abuse others (malware, phishing, etc...). Some have reached an industrial level by using hundreds... thousands of hacked or recently created accounts. It ended up in a war between bots, I don't have the numbers but Mindless Electron (Mitchell's bot) must be the account that banned the most people on this forum.
Human stupidity.
And I remember when I was a newbie, I was young, pure and innocent (I didn't know what a signature campaign was). And my research on Bitcoin often brought me to Bitcointalk, and sometimes to the English section. I clicked on a topic that seemed interesting, the first answers were interesting, then there was an answer that repeated the same thing, then another and another one. I remember thinking what the fuck is this ? A parrots forum ?
Before accusing the mods, the DTs, merit, or seeing the straw in the neighbor's eye, look at the beam in your own eye. Do you think a beginner in cryptos wants to read the tons of shitposts that are dumped daily ? Whether this forum has a phone version or not. Whether this forum has notifications or not...
I'm ready to get on the first plane and go suck the dick of the first CM
(this is not a promise, it's just a way of speaking ) who adds this rule: "if your post doesn't add anything to what has already been said in the topic, it wille not be counted."
I don’t really have any data on the number of active users, but playing around with the way back machine we can retrieve some historical snapshots based on BPIP’s Active Profiles counter:
Date ActiveUsers Diff 2019-11
2021-04 324.800 -outlier
Comments:
- 2021-04s reading is odd, and doesn’t seem coherent. I’d discard the reading
Is the number for 2021-04 is not correct and you discard it?
Or it is a correct number but only unexplained by what happened on forum in April 2021?
2021 is a bull market after 2020 halving and the forum could possibly have more new users and more active users than in previous years with bear market.
Mmmmm April is the time for Theymos jokes. And 2021 was about the
NFT thing and Theymos used all the buzz words. When I was talking about multi-accounting here... +200K people is really huge, and it's a theory out of my ass, I have no evidence to prove it. But when I see that tens...hundreds have put their real photos for the KYC joke, I must not be very far from the truth.
Human stupidity.
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