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161  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ? on: April 22, 2024, 03:48:06 PM
Those people who expected fireworks of high prices at the time of halving, those who listened to analysts predicting high prices immediately after the event, and those who invested all their last money, expecting a quick profit, will be disappointed. And as a rule, these are people who are not real Bitcoin holders. But reasonable people know that it takes time for growth and calmly react to everything that is currently happening in the market.
162  Economy / Reputation / Re: AI Spam Report Reference Thread on: April 22, 2024, 03:29:46 PM
Rabbitqt

You're touching on an important aspect of Bitcoin mining economics. While the block reward halves approximately every four years, the value of Bitcoin has historically increased over time. This increase often compensates miners for the reduced block reward, as you mentioned.

The value of Bitcoin does indeed matter more than the quantity of coins received. If Bitcoin's value doubles or more with each cycle, as you suggest, miners could potentially earn more from transaction fees and the increased value of their holdings.

However, it's worth noting that the relationship between block rewards and Bitcoin's value isn't always straightforward. Market volatility, competition among miners, and network fees can also impact miners' profitability. So while increased Bitcoin prices can offset the reduced block reward, miners still need to adapt to changing market conditions to stay profitable.

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Seems overly optimistic about Bitcoin's growth trajectory. While Bitcoin has shown impressive growth over the years, a 48.12% compound annual return is quite high and not sustainable in the long run.

Assuming we start with a Bitcoin price of $1:

Upper Line: If we compound at 48.12% annually for 10 years, the price would be $1 * (1 + 0.4812)^10 = $5,352,077. That seems unrealistic given the current economic and market conditions.
 
Lowest amount support: Using the same calculation, starting with $1 and compounding at 48.12% annually for 10 years, the price would be $1 * (1 + 0.4812)^10 = $5,352,077. Again, this is unrealistic.

Mid and stable level: If we take $33,000 as the mid-level price, let's see how it fares. Starting with $1 and compounding at 48.12% annually for 10 years, the price would be $1 * (1 + 0.4812)^10 = $5,352,077. This calculation shows that the mid-level price doesn't align with a 48.12% annual growth rate either.

Moreover, considering the current supply of Bitcoin is around 19,688,421 BTC, such high valuations would make the total market cap astronomically large and unsustainable. This would imply a total market cap of approximately $105.4 trillion, which is several times the current market cap of all cryptocurrencies combined.

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Higher Bitcoin prices can indeed help miners cope with reduced block rewards after a halving, but it's not a straightforward win. The halving cuts the amount of Bitcoin miners get per block in half, which is a significant reduction no matter the price. As Bitcoin gains popularity, more miners join the network, making it tougher for everyone to mine blocks. This increased competition can eat into profits, even if Bitcoin's price is rising.

Additionally, while more users mean more transaction fees, these fees can be unpredictable. They might not always make up for the reduced rewards from mining blocks. And let's not forget, Bitcoin's price can be pretty wild. While we hope for continuous growth, it's not guaranteed. All these factors combined mean that miners still face challenges like increased competition and fluctuating fees that can impact their profitability, even with higher Bitcoin prices.

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163  Economy / Economics / Re: Young people are less likely to accept traditional employments in this era! on: April 22, 2024, 12:04:25 PM
As a representative of an older age than the age the OP is talking about, I can say that the Internet is, roughly speaking, spoiling our youth. All these views of the beautiful life that they observe on social networks and all the expensive things supposedly earned from the Internet business create a very deceptive and illusory impression that you can easily earn money while sitting on the couch in your home. And such advertising makes lazy people out of people who don’t want to work. But how many people do we know who live beautifully on earnings from the Internet? Wanting and having are very different things. Those people who waste time looking for work online waste their time getting good qualifications offline. I’m not talking about everyone, because sometimes there are talents who build their businesses online in parallel with offline ones. And young people need to regularly open their eyes to the reality of the future and the fact that time will not wait for them.
164  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Be careful about some messages to your DM on: April 22, 2024, 10:46:03 AM
Are you fucking serious???
I have sent several messages to the most respected and active members of this forum,eight to be exact
I didn't offer anyone anything at all,but i realize that no one wants to share information for free
I have not and will not be recruited into any project
I didn't ask anyone for seed phrases and have no intention of doing so
You're all out of your minds here!!!!
In one post you called me a scammer
People,what's wrong with you ALL?
I didn't ask anyone to click on any links or download any files
Why are you all so angry and accusing people of something they didn't do?
You all called me a bastard
ARE YOU PEOPLE SANE OR NOT?
I regret.

It looks like people are only responding to fill their signature quota. I asked the moderators to close the topic since the OP, unfortunately, apparently does not know how to do this.

Should we also complain to the moderators that the answers are already of little value?


There must be no discussion between you and any stranger from this forum that requires you leaving this forum to discuss with them on telegram like apps, this is the real danger, thanks for sharing OP.
While the topic is still open, let me find out why? Especially the word "must not"
Are you prohibiting this? Grin
165  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Don't be confused, bitcoin halving doesn't translate into bitcoin All time high on: April 22, 2024, 06:15:50 AM
It would be very naive to think that immediately after the halving, the growth of Bitcoin will reach new records, and I would like to believe that newcomers understand this. But I think it’s also wrong to dissuade people from buying. We cannot predict what will happen to the price; however, most have positive expectations for Bitcoin prices to rise, and if we talk about people coming with investments in Bitcoin at this time, they need to remove the illusion of getting rich quickly for at least a year or two.
166  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Understanding the Impact of Social Media in Gambling. on: April 21, 2024, 03:33:10 PM
Do you think the influential people you write about are interested in you and our children? Besides, how can you prohibit them from something that brings them money? You need to start with yourself, with raising your child, so that he or she understands the danger of becoming addicted to gambling. And all other people advertising gambling will do what they consider necessary for themselves.
167  Other / Archival / Re: Exchanging crypto to fiat. I need a new system. on: April 21, 2024, 10:00:22 AM
https://www.bestchange.ru/litecoin-to-dollar-cash-in-nyc.html
168  Economy / Economics / Re: Also consider your mental State of health while investing for wealths. on: April 21, 2024, 09:50:51 AM
Should we ask ourselves what will happen if we lose everything? I think yes. From the very beginning, you need to lose the whole situation with losing money. If we consider everything in advance, then there will probably be other plans, like plan B. But yes, people with an unstable psyche, even those with free capital, better take care of their health, because someone who cannot cope with stress will make a lot of mistakes if troubles take him by surprise.
169  Other / Meta / Re: Email used to create this forum? on: April 21, 2024, 09:29:37 AM
Another interesting point. OP, do you have notifications for the forum? Every time someone writes about a topic, you follow it responsibly. Anyway, this is a good trait. But maybe you can use your interest in the forum in another, more positive direction. Your second alternative account is probably not the kind of troll that you are playing here.
170  Economy / Economics / Re: It's better to invest now than to regret it in a hospital bed. on: April 21, 2024, 06:49:58 AM
I think that the purpose of the OP’s post is that thinking about the future is better than living one day at a time. Although relying only on investments, I would call it a so-so activity. While we are young, we must earn a name, which then must bring money from the name. Making some profit and building your own business that will generate profit from it can be a good cushion for the future. But as for health, you should take care of it not when you begin to feel that it is deteriorating. However, I think the OP is young, his understanding is going in the right direction, and his investments will be able to provide him with a noble old age.
171  Other / Meta / Re: Introducing scammers to the forum. on: April 21, 2024, 05:01:56 AM
OP, you may want to ask a slightly different question. How do people who fall into the hands of scammers immediately after being scammed find and come to this forum to complain? Why don't they think first? Therefore, no matter how much you protect stupid and naive people, you cannot save them from their own stupidity. If you are a reasonable person, you will not fall into the hands of scammers; if not, then this should not bother the forum. This is not a primary school.
172  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Currency/cryptocurrency exchange Obmify on: April 20, 2024, 12:13:58 PM
If you compare BestChange with this so-called "monitoring" OP,  it is like comparing an elephant with a mouse. Anyone who has exchanged money on BestChange several times knows the convenience of their interface and the speed of operation of the exchangers that they allow into their aggregator. But the site provided by the OP just made me laugh that it could provide some kind of sharing convenience… Just look at the customer reviews; most are fake, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they were copied from BestChange. If you can express this with a like, then there is a big dislike. Undecided
173  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Promotion of cryptoprojects in Russian on: April 20, 2024, 11:53:16 AM
Why not create an offer in the Russian-language section of the forum? Perhaps there you would find interested persons on the necessary topic or with translations of those sites that could be interesting to the Russian-speaking audience.https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=10.0
174  Other / Meta / Re: Why is merit not common on trading discussion board on: April 20, 2024, 10:36:07 AM
You can pay attention to which post and which topic receives the most merit.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=merit;stats=recent
The trading section may not be the most popular. In my opinion, experienced traders are unlikely to share the necessary advice or even visit this board if they are based on the opinion that their strategy should be gestated like a child is gestated, with your experience and secrets. While visiting this board, those who only spread demagoguery do not do anything to make these posts successful.
175  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin halving is hours ago. Will you hold your BTC to April 2028? on: April 20, 2024, 09:34:07 AM
For newcomers coming to Bitcoin now, these days can be a good time to start their investments before the next halving. Anyone who has been watching the market but is afraid to take part in investments can test themselves and their patience by waiting until 2028. But those who have been holding for a long time will, of course, wait for the intended goals to make a profit and start the next race.
176  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Where best to enjoy this forum... on: April 20, 2024, 08:51:10 AM
The title of the topic is somewhat confusing, perhaps due to translation difficulties. OP, by default, I would award all users who use a mobile phone, and especially those who write large and useful posts from it, a separate title for patience.
I read and write on the forum from a computer; a large screen and a comfortable keyboard are big pluses. By being able to see the entire text, we also have a greater ability to move around the forum comfortably, even with such a strict style that some people find boring.
Nevertheless, the forum allows you to receive some privileges to earn money for a computer or laptop. Let this goal serve as a good motivation for newcomers to stay on the forum.
177  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Focus on knowledge, build up belief, then investment plan, success will come. on: April 19, 2024, 12:41:47 PM
This is an excellent post that contains everything you need to understand that no success happens by accident. The presence of many qualities in people who successfully own Bitcoins, such as patience, endurance, and good experience, will naturally lead to success. This can be equated to any successful business, because only step by step does a person become more competent in those areas where he is trying to develop his business. If we talk about haste, then in a hurry thousands of stupid mistakes are made, and where people do not learn from mistakes, they get very bitter experiences and conclusions that only the lucky ones are lucky with Bitcoin.
178  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What did I spend my Bitcoin on? on: April 19, 2024, 11:57:58 AM
Transactions from your wallet went to this address. Remember.

https://ninjastic.space/addresses?address=1FmC6gUV1tkT7HHmQzo3NwtgZs3WGSz4Rd
179  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: buying bitcoin with a creditcard on: April 19, 2024, 11:38:59 AM
Keep in mind that when you are going to buy Bitcoin with your card, you have to undergo verification, so you need to provide your identity. Also, there will be a charge for your purchase. I think a more easy option for you is to make a P2P purchase. So you can avoid a lot of hassle when buying Bitcoin. Even you can seek on the forum Currency Exchange section to purchase Bitcoin by cash. Just make sure the seller is trusted; otherwise, use an escrow service. So you are safe. 

I don't know why, but I don't trust negative trust users, even with escrow. And I think that most will have the same attitude. Appearing on a forum after a long time to seem interested in buying Bitcoin, yeah, he might find some weirdo who will believe him and exchange first. Look at the OP's tags; the system works great.
180  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Stay alert and keep suspect of when someone is helping you out of your wallet on: April 19, 2024, 10:38:03 AM
OP, a topic for children. You are an adult, hopefully, and should understand that anything you do on the Internet can easily become a trap, especially when it comes to your finances. Therefore, learn on your own; you don’t need these problems with sending screenshots; such things can end up not only with your “trusted” friend. If you understand what needs to be done, check everything many times; if not, then study without haste. But the very raising of such a topic unnecessarily should be obvious to normal people, and is simply not worth a thousand words.
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