It makes sense that there is a lot of speculation with the hash rate change and ASIC's coming out.
There are 7,200 BTC issued per day (well, until around Nov 30th, then 3,600 BTC issued per day) -- regardless of the amount of mining (with the exception of the few days until difficulty adjusts for any rise or fall).
Why would the hash rate and ASICs coming out affect the Bitcoin exchange rate?
it wont. not really
what will happen is all the miners that held off selling for the reward drop, will panic sell when they see the reward halfing had little effect on price + mining with the new ASICs is going to be barely profitable, that's one more reason to sell off the horde.
how much coins have been mined for hording?
i think half of all coins is not a bad guess... that's 5million coins.... HELLO!
supply with literally double over night.
The Plunge! its coming... are you ready
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maybe i was wrong 
