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1941  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Халвинг Лайткоинга, чего ожидать on: December 27, 2019, 05:53:21 AM
Я про лайт писал и по нему проводил параллели - он открыл год халвинга похоже лучше чем его закроет Sad Но так то я тоже надеюсь на биток и верю что он все же закроет свой год халвинга выше чем его откроет... главное чтобы цену не укатали слишком до конца этого года )))

Лайт может всё он может помните и по 3.45 год торговаться и потом рвануть на x100, я так думаю что это цифра она магическая и притягивает его. Пусть конечно я ошибаюсь, но майнеры то уходят. Вопрос куда? Сложность Скриптовая ни у кого и не прибывает. Просто отключили свои майнеры похоже

Не думаю, что майнить другие валюты на скрипте особо выгоднее, поэтому, скорее всего, действительно просто отключили

У Bitcoin сейчас хешрейт на максимумах, даже не смотря на недавнее снижение цены до $7300. Поэтому не исключаю, что, возможно, цена BTC после халвинга не взлетит вверх, а просто сложность майнинга Bitcoin снизится, например, до значений апреля 2019 года (аналогично Litecoin)

Я думаю, что мы еще увидим новые максимумы по битку. Но не столько из-за халвинга, ибо халвить там уже практически ничего не осталось, сколько из-за очередного хайпа и пампа, возможно и связанного с халвингом. Если Феникс опять включит печатный станок, что далеко не гарантировано, как и существование самой биржи, но тем не менее, то тогда курс могут загнать и на 50к и за 50к

Но точно не надолго
1942  Economy / Speculation / Re: Ponzi scheme and Bitcoin on: December 27, 2019, 05:42:58 AM
Would the collapse of a Ponzi scheme effect the price of Bitcoin?
Though a hypothesis that the collapse of the Chinese Plustoken, a classic Ponzi scheme similar to bitconnect or countless others affected the price of Bitcoin, this seem to be accceptible although it's unlikely to be the major factor but distribution of stolen funds correlate very well with market downturns

Scams like Ponzi schemes are unlikely to affect Bitcoin significantly. To put it differently, do regular scams, let's call them dollar-only, affect the dollar valuation when they close the shop? Apparently, not. But it is essentially the same with Bitcoin as these shops don't affect or undermine the cryptocurrency infrastructure itself. However, this is not the case with cryptocurrency exchanges, especially the biggest ones. If Bitfinex was able to push the prices up many times all the way to 20k, it should also work in reverse as well, and it does indeed

The bottom line is that we should care about semi-legit exchanges, not so much about outright Ponzi schemes
1943  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 26, 2019, 09:21:41 PM
Are you laughing? I wrote everything in my message above. I, like many other users, had an old signature. I'm 100% sure I didn't use "10% daily" signature

I was just asking

Anyway, just ignore him. If that gives you some peace of mind, think that with such meaningless accusations he only further discredits himself until no one takes him seriously (as is obviously the case already). That should be your consolation, not retaliation. Such things typically work themselves out eventually quite well

You didn't even understand the situation and left me a negative feedback

All the more reason to discard this issue as completely inconsequential
1944  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 26, 2019, 08:42:32 PM
~snip~

I did leave him a negative feedback referring to this message. In my opinion, he leaves negative feedback without understanding the situation. I was wearing the old Cryptotalk signature just like you. There's nothing wrong with the payment now. Thank you

Are you sure you didn't put that signature on?

When I first read about the new codes (I mean about the InvestBox), I had first changed the signature. Then I saw people bickering about it, and since I didn't quite like the idea myself (after looking into it), I quickly put back the old Cryptotalk signature. The point is, I could also claim I had been wearing the old signature all the time, but technically, that wouldn't be totally correct even if I used that questionable and suspicious sig only for a few minutes and didn't make any posts with it
1945  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 26, 2019, 02:00:59 PM
On the other hand, this current counting system also works OK

How do you know that it works ok?

Really, if you have to avoid posting at around some time (which actually amounts to a period of time more like 3-4 hours and beyond) so that you don't lose some of your posts, I'm not really sure if it is rightful to say that the system is working fine. Further, if it works good for you personally, it doesn't in the least mean that it works good for everyone else, right? Simply put, bugs won't go away just because you chose to ignore them
1946  Economy / Economics / Re: Hi Excuse me Are currencies a "store of value on: December 26, 2019, 12:42:46 PM
For example, Wheat is a commodity, the price of wheat depends on both how much wheat is produced but also how much wheat is consumed at the same time, so it is a double jointed result, if there is a lot of demand and not enough produced then price of wheat goes up, if there is a lot of demand but a lot of produced then stays about same, if there is no demand and less produced it is around the same yet again but when there is no demand yet too many produced the price goes down

I'm not sure if wheat is a good example

Indeed, its price depends on the balance of supply and demand as everything else which gets traded out there. But wheat cannot be a good store of value simply because it can't retain its value over any significant amounts of time. It starts to "depreciate" almost instantly as it quickly loses its consumer properties (read, quality) after having been harvested. Apart from that, just its storage alone requires significant expenses which subtracts a lot from its usefulness as a hypothetical store of value (whatever that value might be)
1947  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Martingale revisited on: December 26, 2019, 12:29:36 PM
I have a key stat which is the rate of earning per total wagered amount (currently at 8%+), as long as i keep it higher than the house edge, the final result should come out possitive since a common house edge is 1% the casino is expected to earn from me 1% of wagered amount, however since my rate is 8%, there is still a big gap of 7% so that the house edge can't eat my capital+ earning (unless the casino decided to raise it house edge to above 8% which is likely a NEVER happening thing)

All good but be aware that you are supposed to lose

I mean the casino expects you to lose eventually. If, on the other hand, you are not losing and going on, actually sucking in money from the casino instead, they may not quite like it. As long as the amount thus lost by the casino is not great, they may turn a blind eye to your actions as other people trying to follow the approaches described in this thread could compensate for the casino loss through their own loses. However, if you are winning big, don't be surprised to get kicked out at the end of the day, and probably not in the way you may like it or at least find acceptable and appropriate (read, prepare yourself for really ugly and nasty things)
1948  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 26, 2019, 09:00:59 AM
Looking at my post history,your deduction actually makes sense to me, I posted 3 posts before 9 pm forum time and other posts just after,at least it gives me an idea on how the bot works. Thanks for answering.
It's not 9 o'clock like him said, I'm pretty sure about the time that bots count my posts, because I always finish all 5 posts. All posts are completed before 7 pm, they will be counted on that day (according to the forum time), posts after 7pm, they will be charged the next day. You can check your post again on it  Wink I believe it is correct

A full quote of what I said seems appropriate (with emphasis added):

It means that all posts made after 9:00 PM forum time will be counted for the next day because it's already a new day for the bot. But there is also a sort of middle ground since actual counting depends on when exactly the bot queries the forum. Technically, it doesn't matter so much when you make a post as when the bot counts it. Put differently, if it counts your posts after 9:00 PM, they will be counted toward the next day even if you posted them earlier

Regardless, the bot correctly counted my posts by yesterday's evening, so the issue is kinda solved (apart from the wrong post count on December 22). Still, it would be very nice and welcome if Yobit added a button to the panel with which we could force the bot to check our post counts, say, once every hour (to prevent abusing the button). Even being able to use this button once a day could help us better understand where we stand

What do you guys think?
1949  Economy / Economics / Re: Hi Excuse me Are currencies a "store of value on: December 26, 2019, 03:31:15 AM
Too much price instability does not mean that they cannot be value stores. It may not be a value store for large companies. However, they can be an investment tool for ordinary people. Picking up some bitcoin and putting it aside can make huge gains in the future.

This is the main problem with the forum. Did you even read the OP or simply wrote the post by reading title alone?
OP isn't talking about Bitcoin or cryptocurrencies. She's pointing the discrepancy in one of the 3 major functions that traditional money (i.e. fiat currencies like USD) performs

In fact, it can't be any other way

I wrote extensively on the subject and had rather heated discussions and arguments with a few forum members in the past. It is ironic how stubborn and obstinate people can be (and then proceed to being outright obnoxious and offensive) when their deep-entrenched ideas are thoroughly challenged so much that it makes an interesting subject for exploration on its own merits and for its own sake

The point is, the functions of storing value and being a medium of exchange (synonymously known as a means of payment) are mutually exclusive. Simply stated, you can't have a good store of value and a good medium of exchange at the same time. It is either the former or the latter. And while we are at it, the function of a unit of account is not really a function of money as it is the very concept of it (read, there is no discrepancy here)
1950  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling as a profession: there's people who live out of gambling? on: December 26, 2019, 03:07:28 AM
Even though with this strategy you won't win an amount sufficient for buying a cup of coffee, the psychological effect of constant winning is very important. The mindset you get after such play can help you to earn hundreds of dollars in some other than gambling field

You seem to have gotten it wrong again

You can in fact earn enough dough for a cup of coffee and beyond in a pretty consistent way provided the casino stays more or less provably fair all that time (and it doesn't kick you out which they probably will eventually). If you use the potential of this approach to its fullest, i.e. increase your balance to ultimately obtain the max win allowed, you should be able to book enough on a monthly basis. Not sure about hundreds of dollars but certainly in the range of dozens
1951  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 26, 2019, 02:44:24 AM
Hi,
I would like to know when does a "day" finish when it comes to counting posts? I mean I posted 6 posts on December 25 forum time,but 3 were counted for December 25 and the other 3 were counted for December 26 in my dashboard

As I got it, the bot internally uses UTC+3 timezone

It means that all posts made after 9:00 PM forum time will be counted for the next day because it's already a new day for the bot. But there is also a sort of middle ground since actual counting depends on when exactly the bot queries the forum. Technically, it doesn't matter so much when you make a post as when the bot counts it. Put differently, if it counts your posts after 9:00 PM, they will be counted toward the next day even if you posted them earlier. At least, that's what I managed to deduct from my own observations (read, they are not necessarily true)
1952  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 25, 2019, 03:46:34 PM
skip

I check your posts, and for sure day 22nd is counted wrong. I don't see issue with time of posts.

About the bot and posts counting - from my observation, sometimes posts after 5pm (forum time) are counted for next day, sometimes posts before 7pm (forum time) are counted for present day. So if you want to be sure for which day post will be counted, just do not post between 5pm and 7pm forum time

That has a simple explanation. Say, you make a post at 5 PM forum time, but if the bot queries the forum after 9 PM forum time, which will already be a new day from the bot's point of view, your post will be counted toward the next day. So if there are time-out issues involved, and the bot fails to get the post counts for today, it may potentially count all posts from this day as tomorrow's. But since you can only make so many posts, you may start losing posts

The bottom line is that the bot needs some patching as it is stealing from us
1953  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 25, 2019, 03:19:45 PM
skip
This also depends on the amount of time that the bot is active - bot's time zone. I don't know if its time zone depends on the time you subscribe to their campaign. But I have calculated that time before

The bot uses Moscow timezone, which is UTC+3

It means that if you post at, say, 9:05 PM forum time, your post will be counted toward the next day because it is already next day in that timezone. That's the reason why this post which was technically posted yesterday according to forum, will be counted as today's post (provided it is counted at all, of course). Simply put, when you make 10 posts throughout the day you should get 5 posts counted

With this time zone, the number of posts you have may be different, it means that one post will be counted for the previous day, the other 4 posts belong to the next day, so the next day you are only counted 4 posts

Just accept it this is not the case here
1954  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 25, 2019, 02:37:34 PM
Dear Users!

Dear Yobit!

Please fix your bot as it is apparently broken, at least with respect to certain forum accounts. I don't assume ill intent on your part since it looks more like a technical issue to me (bot timing out when trying to get post counts for certain accounts or something to that tune), but as you don't expect half-assed replies from us, we could rightfully not expect a half-assed attitude from you, either (for the record, I put a lot of effort in all my posts except for a single daily bump)

More specifically, on December 22 (see below) I made 10 posts but got counted only 4 (yes, I'm aware of the max post limit). Please note that all my posts were spread throughout the entire day so it is not like I was post-bursting or whatever:



Then today I have already contributed 6 posts (without this post) but have only 2 counted at the moment (they appeared a few minutes ago in the panel):



This is a real issue which should be dealt with in a constructive way

I think that the problem of not charging BTC for posts was only temporary and has now been solved. Many people who reported this said later that BTC has started to be counted and there no more complains appear.

Care to read just a couple posts before the one you replied to?

Can you show your posts on the 24th to 25th in the yobit panel?

There was nothing to show (right now I have 2 posts counted for today)
1955  Economy / Services / Re: CryptoTalk.Org Signature Campaign [Yobit Panel] on: December 25, 2019, 01:58:19 PM
The bot is not working for me. I updated the CryptoTalk signature right after the new codes had been posted here (then updated again from the OP in case there were errors in the codes) and made a few posts since then. None of my posts has been counted yet. I was able to withdraw to my balance all previous payments, though

I don't understand how the bot works

How long has it been since you wrote that post? The bot will count everyone's posts every 3-4 hours, but that doesn't mean for definitely, it may take longer. You should double check it again, or at least wait some more time.

Here were are:



It's been over 12 hours since I made the first post with the updated signature. Technically, it was yesterday -- forum time, but the bot seems to be using Moscow timezone (UTC+3) anyway, so I should already have at least 3 posts counted by now. I have refreshed the page like a dozen times today, and it didn't help

What else could I do?

Have you waited that long?

Look through my posting history and see for yourself
1956  Economy / Services / Re: Yobit.net signature campaign on: December 25, 2019, 01:44:53 PM
The bot is not working for me. I updated my CryptoTalk signature right after the new codes had been posted here (then updated again from the OP in case there were errors in the codes) and made a few posts since then. None of my posts has been counted yet. Just in case, I was able to withdraw to my balance all previous payments, though (read, I'm not banned from the campaign)

I don't understand how the bot works, which posts are counted and which not, and whether it works at all
1957  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling as a profession: there's people who live out of gambling? on: December 25, 2019, 11:01:23 AM
There are a lot of people now use trading as a source of income because they know they will earn on it. But most of the traders do not have enough knowledge of what is happening in the market, and this can be the reason why they lose their trades. Not all beginners lose their first trade; thus, it helps them to improve their trades and use this as a guide to succeed. Those people who already got a lot of income by using cryptocurrency now focuses on trading because they know they can earn more than their salary on work

Looks like a piece of plagiarism posted in the wrong topic in the wrong board, and probably even at the wrong time (as there seems to be no way to get away with these little shenanigans nowadays). Don't mind if my post gets deleted in case my suspicions turn out true. With that said, I essentially agree that cryptocurrency trading is not very far from gambling for the majority of trading folk (read, most are going to lose in the end)

But this is a different topic
1958  Economy / Economics / Re: Top Three Emotions to Check to Succeed! on: December 25, 2019, 10:22:22 AM
if you have a strong knowledge in trading or investment, confidence is not a problem that is an issue there is your strategy, someone has different strategies for success, you must understand yourself
I dont think confidence comes from knowledge of trading. one can be theoritically very strong in trading but does that make then a confident one? Rarely a person of this sort would actually be trading. They would apply for a post of financial manager who are literally involved in pumping and dumping coins by whales acting as middlemen between whales

I'm not even sure anyone can be "theoretically strong in trading"

To me, it would feel like a very high degree of sarcasm if someone addressed someone else in that way. Just imagine a person being referred to as "a very knowledgeable boxer" who never actually fought a round in the real ring. Could we call him a boxer at all? I guess, no, and the same is equally applicable to trading. You can be a strong trader only if you trade successfully in real markets, and that means genuine, first-hand experience
1959  Economy / Economics / Re: Hi Excuse me Are currencies a "store of value on: December 25, 2019, 08:54:00 AM
But what I also found out during my research is that there are two conflicting theories in regards to what causes the demand for money. One of them, the Cambridge cash-balance theory, saying that "money's ability to store value is more important than its function as a medium of exchange". And another one, Fisher's theory, saying that "demand arises because money is needed for exchange"

Keep in mind that both of these theories had been developed with hard currencies in mind and circulation, i.e. paper money back in the day was redeemable for gold. With fiat money, the Cambridge cash-balance theory becomes obsolete, especially now when many people are living on credit (read, households have negative cash reserves)


Yet, for most people in the world (read: for the people living in developing and undeveloped countries) hard currencies, such as United States dollar, Euro, Swiss franc, British pound sterling and Japanese yen, is still a store of value, regardless of the fact that they are not backed by gold anymore. Since we are talking about 85% of the world population here, I think it's too early to write off the capacity of money(hard currencies, at least) to serve as a store of value.

Or am I missing something here?

Well, that goes well beyond theories of money circulation

As it is more about the concept of money itself. If something aspires to become money, it must necessarily be a store of value, at least short to midterm. Put differently, anything which cannot keep its value over time cannot be money. Indeed, there are other requirements such as fungibility, fast transactions and low transaction costs, but having a capacity to more or less retain value is an absolute necessity. Hyperinflating currencies like the Venezuelan bolivar quickly lose this capacity and thus stop being money
1960  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling as a profession: there's people who live out of gambling? on: December 24, 2019, 11:04:32 PM
Since the highest bet, required after 9 losses in a row, was 0.00032116, theoretically I could do it with my BTC balance too. And I would be more than happy on winning 40k+ sats in 2 minutes, but I would lose my entire BTC balance in the case of 15 reds in a row, so I decided to not risk it

You shouldn't try it with Bitcoin

I tried that in 2015, and failed miserably losing 1.5 BTC (worth around 500 dollars back then). The only way you can successfully use this strategy is by playing with doges, and starting with the minimum bet at that

What's important is that I think I'm starting to understand what you mean by "exploiting the outliers"

Really simple, isn't it?

You earn by enjoying the variance which randomness readily makes available to you due to its nature. You may not see a lot of outliers (since they are statistical outliers, after all, and thus not supposed to be seen too often), but their power is incredible. So as long as you use it wisely and with caution whenever you can (as not every casino allows it), you will be able to beat the house consistently
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