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1981  Economy / Economics / Re: Is bitcoin volatility here to stay? on: December 20, 2019, 07:47:39 AM
As it is about real-life utility. Put differently, it doesn't matter how long Bitcoin will be around, for 10 years or for 100 years. There is only one way that its price can become stable (other than at zero, I mean), and that is through real-life application when it becomes more valued for something else which is not reckless and relentless speculation. Until then volatility won't go away. But to tell the truth, this is what many of us in fact like about Bitcoin
Definitely. Bitcoin's volatility is indeed what I like and also most of the other people in the cryptocurrency world because we can take advantage of the volatility to create money faster than the stock market. Since bitcoin came in my life, I cannot imagine more of my life that is trading a stable or slow moving asset like stocks and gold

This is what we like about cryptocurrencies in general

Technically, we feel essentially the same emotions and the same adrenaline rush when we are gambling in a casino. With some coins biting the dust and kicking off eventually, it is the cryptocurrency casino in and of itself. With other coins, it is better than a casino because if you lose, your losses are still paper only (until you fix them, of course), and if you have enough patience and hope, you can just wait out the bad times. In other words, cryptocurrencies are an advanced casino with a house edge in our favor, in favor of the brave and patient
1982  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? on: December 20, 2019, 07:07:13 AM
I don't think Dogecoin really has a price to use, but it has existed relatively early and is still alive. Over time, as new investors join in, they will hardly pay attention to this altcoin

That's strange logic

According to such reasoning, gold should have long been forgotten since it has been sticking around since the dawn of times. But it is quite ironic and even amusing how people think of cryptocurrencies as only investment or speculation vehicles without thinking that they can in fact have some application in real life. Isn't it funny? Dogecoin is a coin of choice for gambling, and this alone makes it attractive enough to investors and speculators as it clearly stands out from the other coins of its rank
1983  Economy / Economics / Re: Is bitcoin volatility here to stay? on: December 19, 2019, 09:58:33 PM
Bitcoin is still only around a decade old. It may take many decades for it to stabilize itself. Stocks, bullion.etc are less volatile when compared to Bitcoin, because they have been around for a long time and a lot many people trade with these assets. As the user base increases, the volatility of Bitcoin will go down. Perhaps within the next 3-4 years, the volatility of Bitcoin will become comparable with that of the stock market

It is not about sticking around

As it is about real-life utility. Put differently, it doesn't matter how long Bitcoin will be around, for 10 years or for 100 years. There is only one way that its price can become stable (other than at zero, I mean), and that is through real-life application when it becomes more valued for something else which is not reckless and relentless speculation. Until then volatility won't go away. But to tell the truth, this is what many of us in fact like about Bitcoin
1984  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What matters most to online casinos? on: December 19, 2019, 07:15:55 PM
Gambling is a business for the casinos owners. They have nothing to do with the winnings of players. They rather want gamblers to lose because in this way, house makes more money. Casino owners are capable of manipulating results and they are ones who at times will let you win few bets so that you don’t leave house. Even your wins are to serve them simply. The gambling is not entertainment for owners

Well, I agree that running a casino is not the same as playing there

However, I tend to disagree that the casino owners necessarily want gamblers to lose. As I suspect, it is more complicated than this sweeping generalization. The casino operators want profits, but they would be making more profits if they in fact allowed some of the players to win, and win handsomely at that. You know, it is beneficial for the business. Really, if all the players were losing all the time, who would be playing then?
1985  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Халвинг Лайткоинга, чего ожидать on: December 19, 2019, 06:31:59 PM
Получается чтобы лайт вырос в цене нам нужно чтобы на нем было падение объемов торгов, так? Но если так, то мы с июля по октябрь катились вниз как ценой, так и объемом торгов. Что то не сходится

Чтобы лайт вырос, нужно чтобы его активно покупали

А если его будут активно продавать, то как он может вырасти? Правильно, никак. Однако и в том и другом случае мы будет наблюдать рост объема торгов. И какой из этого следует вывод? А вывод простой. Цифра объема торгов сама по себе ничего не говорит про направление движения цены. В общем случае объем торгов показывает лишь активность участников рынка, поэтому нужно смотреть на разницу между совокупными объемами спроса и предложения, а не на их сумму
1986  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling as a profession: there's people who live out of gambling? on: December 19, 2019, 05:00:37 PM
Professional gamblers are often seen at casinos and famous gambling spots, but I am surprised that some of them are well-known business people and government officials, so the true definition of the gambling profession is not very clear because they clearly have a better source of income. Online gamblers who depend their lives financially are also not easily visible in the real world, except for a few colleagues who are seen discussing gambling activities with me as often as possible.
Those who are totally relying on gambling for their income do not feel like talking about it because this is something usually people take as a negative or bad habit. People take gamblers usually as lunatic or May be addicts. As far as rich people are concerned they are do gambling simply for entertainment and to kill their time. Even if they lose their money, this does not make them suffer from financial crisis

It is not only that

People who are "professionally" involved in gambling, even though this use of the term seems a bit oxymoronic to me (unless you are a casino's owner, of course), should be extremely superstitious up to a point where them telling someone about their gambling habits (or someone accidentally finding out) could be considered potentially ruinous to their luck. Whether it is really so or simply no one can be lucky all the time is open to discussion
1987  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How Truly Random is Random on: December 19, 2019, 03:24:31 PM
randomness is a powerful tool for casinos to stay profitable while keeping the game reasonably fair (meaning a fairly consistent chance of losing) for the players

Well, in fact randomness cuts both ways

And it is randomness that gives gamblers hopes to win. Casinos stay profitable not because of randomness but rather in spite of it. When you bet long enough, randomness gets removed from the equation entirely. And what remains, as you might have already guessed, is called house edge. Randomness can override the house edge but not for long, so technically it is against the casino. The latter just uses it to lure gamblers into believing that they can win, and they can in fact if they are lucky to conquer the odds and wise to keep their wins
1988  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Халвинг Лайткоинга, чего ожидать on: December 19, 2019, 01:17:49 PM
Несколькими постами ранее я уже приводил статистику объемов торгов лайтом, из которой следует, что он входит в топ-3 криптовалют по данному критерию. А высокая оборачиваемость валюты, т.е. увеличение ее скорости обращения, неизбежно приводит к инфляционному эффекту, что и может капитально занижать ценник лайта. Другими словами, если мы увеличиваем оборот в два раза, то это равнозначно увеличению количества монет в обращении в те же два раза, что очевидным образом негативно отразится на цене этой монеты (уравнение денежного обращения Фишера)

Спасибо за ссылки и объяснения, идеи вполне себе разумные. Только теперь узнал что для государства и экономики кредитные карты лучше чем наличные и чеки так как увеличивают обращение денег.
Раньше я думал что наоборот, а оказалось вот так вот

Речь не только об увеличении оборота. С помощью кредитных карт и кредита в целом в экономике создаются так называемые эндогенные ("внутренние") деньги, в данном случае кредитные деньги. Другими словами, речь идет еще и об увеличении денежной массы как таковой

Когда банк выдает кредит, например, при оплате покупателем в магазине товара свое кредитной карточкой, происходит создание денег из ничего, т.е. по сути из воздуха. И по своему функционалу это точно такие же деньги, как и любые другие деньги, скажем, наличка в виде монет и банкнот

Вот такой небольшой экономический ликбез
1989  Economy / Services / Re: CryptoTalk.Org Signature Campaign [Yobit Panel] on: December 19, 2019, 12:50:53 PM
I added the signature and seem to have successfully enrolled at the exchange with my post count set to its current value (minus this post). But I'd like to know what is going to happen when the post counts are updated at some point, and due to a bug in the forum engine the number of posts gets diminished as it happens now and then? Anyone seen that already?

Sorry if this has been asked before
1990  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How Truly Random is Random on: December 19, 2019, 08:59:45 AM
So, in short, no, two distributions will not be the same "specifically because they are random". They can be, though, but that would be despite they are random, and that would be an extremely unlikely event

Okay, let me try to explain it

It is not like you will have the same outcomes, and the distributions thus obtained won't be the same like two exact copies of something. Think of it as metrics that allow you to determine and establish with a certain degree of certainty that you are dealing with a random distribution and which should remain the same within a specified range

If these metrics do not follow a set of those describing a random distribution, the distribution you are analyzing is not random. It is like an accounting identity or an equation. If you know one part or side of it, it is irrelevant what makes up the other as its result will still be the same, no matter how many elements it may contain or what functions it may have
1991  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? on: December 17, 2019, 05:35:39 PM
Well... I know why they consider Dogecoin as a shitcoin. Because it is a shitcoin. In fact, Dogecoin can be considered as the benchmark for the shitcoins around the world. There can be no better example for a shitcoin other than this coin. There is practically zero development ever since this coin was created, and the entire code was copied and plagiarized from other projects such as Bitcoin and Litecoin

You are much confused about what has real value and what hasn't

But let me lend you a helping hand. First of all, gold has seen absolutely no development since it had been such made half a dozen billion years ago. And that only added more value to it. Then, you can't possibly call a coin a shitcoin which is seeing so much real-world adoption and use, probably most among all cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin included)

Put differently, if you ever consider Dogecoin a shitcoin, then you necessarily have to consider all cryptocurrencies shitcoins. And Dogecoin would still stand out for its utility as a coin of choice for gambling. It is impossible to discard this fact without at the same time discarding the whole cryptodomain as inconsequential and gambling as irrelevant

Another reason might be, it could also be because the doge fee is too low and bitfinex cannot get a lot of profit from every transaction made by traders

EOS withdrawals are totally free at Bitfinex, so it can't be such a reason
1992  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling as a profession: there's people who live out of gambling? on: December 17, 2019, 03:01:19 PM
It is them which kill so many aspiring martingalers as the latter obviously neglect their destructive potential. On the other hand, if you come prepared for them, you will not only be able to survive them but to actually earn something. You just need to keep them contained and make them work for you, not the other way around. Outliers are a reality of gambling, and whether they kill you or heal you (from being the prey to the casino) is up to you

But gambling is not trading. Even in trading it's hard to predict when those outliers will occur, let alone in gambling where, in my opinion, it's simply impossible. I mean, there is a simple formula to follow in order to be successful in trading, "Buy low, sell high", and yet we fail most of the time because there are too many factors to consider before calling a price either "low" or "high". But in gambling we don't even have such a formula. Or do we?

No, gambling is not trading

And that's the exact reason why outliers are a given in gambling and not in trading, simply because gambling (as in dice) is about chance and pure luck. Simply put, the comparison you make is not valid, as opposed to its conclusions (whatever those might be). Nothing but luck can prevent you from experiencing 30 reds in a row, and luck doesn't make a good friend in this field

Further, it is not so much about predicting future outliers as about patiently waiting for them. It is an outlier, after all, and thus you can be sure of two things. First, you can't possibly predict when exactly you are going to see one. However, and this is second, you can be damn sure that you will see them. Ironically, just before I read your reply yesterday, I had witnessed one such outlier that increased my entire betting capital by nearly 1%
1993  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? on: December 17, 2019, 09:48:01 AM
The team of Bitfinex have the right to do or choose which ever project they feel is best for their exchange, because it is theirs. However, that does not render dogecoin useless. In fact, doge might still be at the top and Bitfinex might still be bent on not listing it. Let them do what they feel is best to them

It is more complicated than that

As a matter of fact, people had been asking Bitfinex to add Dogecoin in the past (and maybe they are still asking). I remember it was like 2015 or even earlier, probably right after the launch of this cryptocurrency itself. Bitfinex has chosen a very wrong approach to deal with the matter. They started to defame Dogecoin instead of just keeping their mouths shut, and now this "policy of truth" backfires. If they add doges, expect a lot of fingers pointed, eyebrows raised, obscene words used   
1994  Economy / Economics / Re: Is bitcoin volatility here to stay? on: December 16, 2019, 04:26:31 PM
People are of the assumption that volatility will decrease with bitcoin reaching its maximum supply of 21 million. But I doubt that. With limited supply and ever increasing demand, price will keep on fluctuating and volatility might increase rather than decreasing.
That market needs to be stable in order to see less volatility and I think it will not happen anytime soon as long as the manipulators are free to do their thing

Manipulators are there for a reason

They are free to reign supreme, roam the markets and reap the profits specifically because there is not much everyday use in cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin remains mostly a speculative asset, and it is its speculative nature that makes so extreme manipulations possible in the first place (like the whole market of the second half of 2017 was one great manipulation by Bitfinex through tethers)

However, if the vast majority of bitcoins were used as a currency, i.e. you could buy things with Bitcoin and sell things for it, such manipulations wouldn't ever be possible. There would be no fools to sell their coins below their real-life value, as well as no fools to buy above that value as the price would return to its fair value in less than no time, with orderbooks empty and most exchanges closed
1995  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? on: December 16, 2019, 02:27:32 PM
It's possible that the owners of Bitfinex are doing that for morality sake - not everyone likes gambling
Do you know what Tron stands for and how it was supposed to be used?
Acronym (operating system nucleus) and I believe it should be used for running a real time activities to make virtual available almost instantly. An example the creation of blockchain games

Tron was an arcade video game during the early PC era

And two namesake movies have been filmed with references to this game - the original Tron, and the more famous sequel (actually, it was the first film that spawned the game). So do you know that the Tron coin was specifically developed to become "a free, global digital content entertainment system" (taken from here)? Bitfinex listing Dogecoin now would mean admitting being entirely wrong about it in the past (they were Bitcoin-only exchange at first). But it looks like Dogecoin is going to last longer than Bitfinex anyway, so who really cares?
1996  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? on: December 16, 2019, 01:42:08 PM
Dogecoin is #31 cryptocurrency at this moment according to coinmarketcap.com

Bitfinex now lists a shitload of shitcoins which I don't even bother to check at coinmarketcap. So are there any plausible reasons for not listing Dogecoin on this exchange other than having to eat their words as they had earlier called this coin ridiculous and not worthy of mentioning (let alone listing). Now it starts to look really pathetic on the Bitfinex part. Dogecoin is among the top cryptocurrencies which do have real application in everyday life even if this application in case of doges is mostly about gambling

Most exchanges require the developers to pay for a listing. The only exceptions are coins with such a high trading volume that it's worth listing them even without a developer payment, as you can make money on the fees

Is it true with respect to Bitfinex?

I've always thought they are adding new cryptocurrencies based on their usefulness and real utility, even if they had massively misjudged Dogecoin many years ago. At least, that's what they have always been claiming. Apart from that, the fact that Dogecoin has been on autopilot for so long and didn't fail speaks volumes for itself. It's likely the only currency that is truly negatively correlated to Bitcoin, to a certain degree

It's possible that the owners of Bitfinex are doing that for morality sake - not everyone likes gambling

Do you know what Tron stands for and how it was supposed to be used?
1997  Local / Бизнес / Re: Быстрые и качественные переводы English ⬄ Russian on: December 16, 2019, 01:18:55 PM
Очень многие заказчики (в основном, англоязычные) интересуются, как правильно организовать процесс перевода целых сайтов. Ниже описываю подходы к организации workflow по данной теме

Самым правильным, на мой взгляд, решением является использование системы локализации по типу POEditor (смотреть подробнее здесь). Использование подобной системы позволяет максимально автоматизировать и предельно упростить процесс мультиязычной поддержки сайта. Подобные системы также позволяют использовать подстановку переменных и учитывать особенности конкретного языка (например, русского)

Другим, более простым вариантом является использование самостоятельных приложений, например, того же POEditor'а в настольном варианте (смотреть здесь). Все то же самое, что и выше, но менее удобно, когда проект поддерживается сразу на нескольких (десятках) языках. Но для небольших сайтов это может быть в принципе оптимальным решением

Ну и самым простым и самым неудобным вариантом (в реальности, настоящий геморрой для более-менее крупного сайта) является использование таблиц в Гугле (Экселе), когда в одну колонку заносятся английские слова и предложения, а в соседнюю - их переводы. Понятно, что в этом случае перевод зачастую получается корявый, поскольку не учитывает нюансы типа падежей для таких языков как русский
1998  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How Truly Random is Random on: December 16, 2019, 11:24:29 AM
I would say that with random distributions there should be no apparent distinction as this is what you could rightfully expect from two identical distributions, where any random distribution should truly belong to, i.e. all random distributions should be alike (well, as I see it)

I may be wrong, but I see it differently. I think if we have two(or more) distributions which are alike, it means that the processes were influenced by the same factors. And if we knew the factors, those distributions would not appear random to us

You apparently make an obvious logical fallacy here

I don't remember how it is called (anyone welcome to chime in on this). What you say is true, i.e. if two distributions look alike, it may in fact mean they are the outcome of the same forces or processes running. However, this doesn't exclude random distributions as the latter are also an outcome of a random process. And they would be the same specifically because they are random. In other words, you can't have random in two distinctively different ways (with respect to resulting distributions, i.e. not how you technically produce them)

I think, if we are getting similar patterns as the result of a process, it implies that there is some order in that process. But there is no order in randomness, and exactly for this reason all gambling strategies fail in the long run

And that's exactly the reason why the distinction between the two truly random distributions should be as random. You simply can't have it any other way
1999  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Why does Bitfinex ignore Dogecoin? [Solved] on: December 16, 2019, 10:46:19 AM
Dogecoin is #31 cryptocurrency at this moment according to coinmarketcap.com

Bitfinex now lists a shitload of shitcoins which I don't even bother to check at coinmarketcap. So are there any plausible reasons for not listing Dogecoin on this exchange other than having to eat their words as they had earlier called this coin ridiculous and not worthy of mentioning (let alone listing). Now it starts to look really pathetic on the Bitfinex part. Dogecoin is among the top cryptocurrencies which do have real application in everyday life even if this application in case of doges is mostly about gambling
2000  Economy / Gambling / Re: WOLF.BET - Provably fair dice game $1,000 Daily Race7-day streak bonus on: December 15, 2019, 04:23:53 PM
Now this is how you secure your first place Shocked


I'm curious about the strategy employed. To me, it feels more like someone looking for publicity, notoriety, or whatever term one can come up with to describe this feat since it simply doesn't make sense to bet so much to get to the top if that was the goal indeed. On the other hand, it could be someone with big and deep pockets (like really big and deep) who was just playing for fun (or whatever) without actively pursuing such a goal in the first place (unlikely but still)

What do you guys think (apart from users fake, bets rigged, and results photoshopped)?
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