Glad you're having fun. For many years the United States inspired you with the idea that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are the strongest army in Europe, and for three whole months of winter you were preparing for the invasion of Russia. And when it happened, you weren't ready. And now Zelensky is running around with a burnt bottom and begging everyone in a row for more planes and tanks, and in general at least something, and "the strongest army in Europe" is fragmented, disoriented, deprived of air support and has not carried out a single successful counter- offensive. It's a shame.
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The fact is, Putin's Russia will be selling rubles to Germany to pay for gas, so euros will end up in Putin's pocket, just as it's happening now.
Russia does not need euros, but the freedom to dispose of them, to buy everything that Russia needs, even if sanctions are imposed on it. One phrase of Putin's "gas for rubles" made 6,000 Western sanctions a senseless hysterical dummy. It is foolish to threaten Russia when she holds you by the balls - Europe will quickly learn this lesson. Russia could itself overcome the sanctions through spacers and intermediaries, it has enough loyal partners in the world and enough experience. But then the Russians would have to pay overheads and commissions. Now the overhead costs of overcoming their own sanctions will fall on the shoulders of the West. This is an example of political judo, which Putin is very good at.
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For example, in America itself, the price of oil is now rising and this will cause inflation to get worse there
I'll tell you more, if now heavy Ural oil is sold at a significant discount to light Brent oil, then the situation will probably soon change to the opposite and heavy oil will become significantly more expensive than light oil. Because although it is needed relatively little for the regular operation of oil refineries, it is produced, apart from Russia, only by Iran and Venezuela. The United States has seriously quarreled with all the suppliers of heavy oil in the world. It seems Madeleine Albright once said that the United States would buy Russian oil for rubles only over her corpse. Well, she kept her word, R.I.P.
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No matter how you polish the turd, Putin wants more euros.
You think irrationally, what is the point of him wanting the euro if they are under sanctions? What to do with them - look at the frozen numbers on the screen? The European Union is now in an extremely difficult life situation for anyone in their right mind to want the euro. Uncontrolled price increases, strikes, an influx of refugees and strong internal divisions. My forecast for the European Union is that it will collapse in one or two years, and in a month one euro will be cheaper than one US dollar.
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Poland may get some of it's lands back.
I think with a probability of 90% Poland will try to squeeze out the Lviv region. They have a national idea "from sea to sea" there that constantly itches, but here is such an opportunity.
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I don't know about Russia's retaliatory capabilities against countries that don't border them but Putin will likely try something.
Putin today announced the sale of gas for rubles to unfriendly countries. Putin could easily force Gazprom to sell their euros at any rate he wants. The only reason to try to force e.g. Germany to do it is to basically renege on the contract - I bet the rate he wants will be something ludicrous and not the current market rate. Essentially he wants more euros, not rubles. Well, yes, I think Putin has enough rubles. But there is a nuance, now Germany, Austria, Japan and all other unfriendly countries that buy gas from Russia will want rubles. And in order to continue buying Russian gas, they will have to learn how to get around their own sanctions, which they have so generously imposed on Russia. And they will have to support the Russian economy, which they have already declared "torn to shreds." Walked now to the store - the shelves are full of products, including sugar. I didn’t buy it, I still have more than enough stocks from the pandemic. Prices for office paper are also artificially inflated, a pack of A3 paper is cheaper than a pack of A4 paper, although it is enough to cut an A3 pack in half at the nearest printing house and there will be two A4 packs. Maybe this is a good reason to reduce the bureaucracy in Russia and introduce electronic document management not together with paper, but instead. Russia has been living under sanctions for a hundred years, this will not scare us. We are Russians - God is with us.
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World once again move back to the crazy old days. I would like to point out that the supply situation for liquid fuels makes all owners of commercial vehicles in their own interest the conversion to the operation with wood generator gas as a duty. Anyone who does not convert his vehicle can not expect to continue to receive petrol or diesel fuel in the foreseeable future. Reichsminister Albert Speer, 22.10.1942 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXaoQ0k9JlgHalf hour start-up time takes all the stress out of the rush hour. With extra bag of supply and refulling stops more then 100km reach. Should be made compulsory for idiot politicians for daily work drive. Elon Musk recently launched a factory in Germany and even danced at the opening. To hell with gasoline, progressive Europe will soon drive only electric cars! And electricity for them will be generated by wind turbines. The main thing is that the wind does not blow from the east, from the territory of backward Russia. And then scientists will invent household teleporters and the problem of movement will be solved in a radical way. Just to live until brighter days! ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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Putin shows NATO the capabilities of modern Russian weapons and how to fight - without general mobilization, without numerical superiority and without burning entire neighborhoods with fire.
Good joke! But no, you are wrong: https://twitter.com/CBSNews/status/1499633290004905985Russian propaganda seems to be efficient. At least to fool yourself. Buddy, it's better for you not to know the alternative scenario, because instead of houses with broken windows on your video there would be only craters from rockets and air bombs and nothing else. During the month of the special operation, the losses of the personnel of the Russian troops exceed the losses among the civilian population. You seem to have problems with propaganda, because instead of understanding that the Russians are trying to minimize civilian casualties, screams are heard that the blitzkrieg failed. There would have been even fewer losses if the Ukrainian army had defended its people (and why else would an army be needed?), and not hide behind their backs. If Ukraine does not understand such simple things, well, it will no longer have its own army. Russian warship fuck you? Go fuck yourself.
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West should just stop ALL business with Russia
You are calling the West to economic suicide. The big economy of the West really means that the West has a lot of debt and well developed derivatives. But futures and options are not edible. The strength of the dollar and the euro is based on trust in them, which is now undermined by the freezing of funds from the Central Bank of Russia, and once undermined trust is very difficult to return back. Germany alone needs more LPG tankers to replace Russian gas than there are anywhere in the world. Once again, if all the tankers in the world drop their business and take gas to Germany, this will not be enough. Try to turn on the brain before demanding the impossible from the West.
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I don't know about Russia's retaliatory capabilities against countries that don't border them but Putin will likely try something.
Putin today announced the sale of gas for rubles to unfriendly countries. True. And it also applies to existing contracts that actually estate the payment in USD or Euro. The obvious target is Germany. As strategy to support the "rubble", mean the ruble is fine. The only slight little problem is that it completely contravenes the international law - and yes, I know that Putin does not care much about it and thinks he is the law and all that, but as silly as it may seem, it does create very serious concerns on his Russia as a trading partner, as contracts from now on are wet paper (or wet digitally signed PDFs). That is a massive increase of risk to any trade conducted with his Russia, which usually mean that prices of products coming from Russia will be paid at a discount and investments are likely to carry a massive risk premium. Do not be fooled, there is a price to pay for this and it is hefty and long lasting. It is interesting that you remembered international law now, and not a month ago, when the currency accounts of the Central Bank of Russia in dollars and euros were frozen, as well as after the parade of economic sanctions and the withdrawal of many companies from Russia with the refusal of their obligations. There is no more international law. And yes - this is primarily a blow to Germany, as the locomotive of the European Union. Now Germany will support the Russian ruble, or plunge into medieval darkness without heat and light. Perhaps the decision of the UK to leave the European Union was wise, because the fate of the European Union is very vague, it is likely to face an inglorious collapse into small European states - tolerant of refugees and decarbonized. Europe will get what it wanted and what it deserved.
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Евро сейчас обеспечен ... ХЗ, реально не знаю и не понимаю чем чем он сейчас "обеспечен". Пацаны, помогайте ))
У Соединённых Штатов Европы сейчас объективно очень сложная жизненная ситуация, возможно вскоре мы увидим череду экстренных катапультаций тире брекситов, а то и вовсе распад ЕС и возврат к национальным европейским валютам. Первая же серьёзная контр-санкция России это ни что иное как выстрел Европе точно в голову.
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Я бы сейчас больше переживал за евро, потому что зависимость ЕС от российского газа очень сильная и преодолеть её возможно минимум за пять лет в самом оптимистичном раскладе, но направление мысли в целом правильное. У Путина стальные яйца, Каддафи убили и за меньшее.
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The problem of Putin..
There is a good saying that might be relevant here. "The rhinoceros has poor eyesight, but with its weight, this is not his problem". ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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My point wasn't that there are zero Nazis defending Ukraine right now. Obviously there are Nazis on both sides of the battle. In Ukraine, they basically have no political power and are really only relevant because they are pretty good at fighting and have been recruiting others to join (like any 'good' Nazi anywhere in the world). Then there's the Nazis on the other side: Russian ethnic and imperialist nationalism has shaped the official ideology of the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics.[172] Far-right nationalist groups have played a greater role on the pro-Russian side of the conflict than on the Ukrainian side, especially at the beginning.[123][172] Leaders of the Donetsk People's Militia are closely linked to the neo-Nazi party Russian National Unity (RNU) led by Alexander Barkashov, which has recruited many fighters.[172][173][174] A former member of RNU, Pavel Gubarev, was founder of the Donbas People's Militia and first "governor" of the Donetsk People's Republic.[172][175] RNU is particularly linked to the Russian Orthodox Army, a religious ultranationalist unit which is part of the Donetsk People's Militia.[174][176] Other neo-Nazi units include the 'Rusich', 'Svarozhich' and 'Ratibor' battalions, which have Slavic swastikas on their badges.[172] Here's a pretty detailed paper, I've only gotten through part of it so far https://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/rnv95_uk_likhachev_far-right_radicals_final.pdfEnglish is not my native language, although I have a decent command of it. I do not quite understand the meaning of your message, what exactly do you want to convey to me? That there are people who adhere to ultra-right views in the People's Militia of Donbass? Well, it is possible - eight years of life under shelling from Ukraine probably contribute to the radicalization of views. As Domitius Ulpian said, "a way of thinking is not punishable." Inside your head, you can hold whatever views you want, whether right or left, and you can even go as far as you want in your ideological radicalization. In Russia there is no Ministry of Truth, which indicates how to think. It is not thoughts that are punished, but illegal actions. If there are illegal actions on the part of the people's militia of Donbass, they will also be punished. If these actions threaten Russia, they will be punished by Russia. Otherwise, this is an internal affair of the people's republics of Donetsk and Lugansk.
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I don't know about Russia's retaliatory capabilities against countries that don't border them but Putin will likely try something.
Putin today announced the sale of gas for rubles to unfriendly countries.
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Yeah there must be hundreds of thousands of those "nationalists" in Mariupol alone because Russian forces had attacked nearly every building and they still haven't been able to take the city.
Totally agree with you. There were especially many of them in the maternity hospital, the Nazis (lots of which are jewish, of course, like their clown President) pretended to be pregnant so that they would not be suspected, but noone can fool the majestic russian army like that. Only here such a question arises. How did russia, which has been declaring such a desperate struggle against the Nazis for so many years that they even have killed Stepan Bandera several times, miss the moment when there were so many of nationalists in Ukraine that entire cities had to be destroyed just to "denazify" them? Didn't they promote their pro-russian rats in the Ukrainian parliament? Didn't they give orders straight from moscow? How did it happen that they had to use such a powerful army for such a long time (after all, a month is not three days) to arrange a massacre of the Nazis? Probably, Azov has been secretly recruiting people all this time, only the stupid one will not understand this. But how could the liberating russia not notice this, if they have everything here "under control"? That`s a tricky question... Is a month too long for you to cover an area the size of the UK? Do not relax there, given the rich traditions of Bandera in Ukraine, there are at least a few more months of total cleansing ahead.
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But they can only write such rubbish Paper, sugar.. How about gas for rubles? ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) This is not rubbish, but a direct challenge to Russia throughout the global financial system as part of the first response to the economic sanctions imposed by the West. Europe will buy gas for rubles, try to think about this thought slowly for a deeper understanding of the meaning of what is happening.
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There are neo-Nazis in EVERY country in Europe. In Ukraine, they have absolutely no political power, ZERO.
You are walking on very thin ice trying to justify Nazism. In Russian cities there are no streets of Stepan Bandera, as in forty cities of Ukraine. There are no Nazi torchlight processions in Russia. In Russia, it is not customary to glorify Nazism. If there is something similar in other European countries, the current events in Ukraine are a chance to wonder if they want to continue doing this, risking running into a "denazification" operation. Russian troops are not liberating Ukraine, they are engaged in its "demilitarization". Without an army and weapons, you can jump as much as you like.
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Meanwhile in the real world
Easy, illusions don't interest me. Curiously, you are more concerned with what kind of planes the Russians will fly than what you will eat. While valiant Ukrainian soldiers are inflicting untold losses on Putin's army (according to Ukrainian propaganda), the disruption of the sowing campaign in Ukraine has already taken place. And Ukraine is the breadbasket of all of Europe (was). LOL, you're right, flying is going to be the least of Russia's concerns. It's just one of many examples for how fucked Putin is. He had to steal foreign-leased airplanes, otherwise he'd have nothing. How about sugar, figured that one out yet? Paper? Everything else that goes 2x up in price and/or disappears, including things that are supposedly made in Russia? Looks like someone didn't think through the whole "invade another country and fingers crossed for no sanctions" plan. Paper, sugar.. How about gas for rubles? ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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And here's something really special on Biden's instagram - his congratulations to the people of Iran on the new year (Nowruz) lol. It looks a little ridiculous, but what can you do just to annoy the Russians. Remind me which one of them is a professional comedian - Zelensky or Biden? Biden's jokes seem definitely funnier to me lately. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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