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1301  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 06:12:01 PM
Sorry, your message is too long and I will allow myself to answer it selectively.

Russia will be forced to sell less gas and oil on much lower prices.
And how do you plan to implement it? And most importantly, when? So far, all the efforts of the West to ensure that Russia begins to earn less and cannot afford to continue the special operation ends with the fact that we are discussing a record positive trade balance of Russia, that is, the West was able to significantly reduce imports to Russia by sanctions, but could not even close proportionally reduce export from Russia. And even if physical export from Russia still fell, this brings more money to the Russian budget, because oil prices are quite high, and gas prices are even inadequately high. The weak link in the cornerstone of your reasoning is that you wishful thinking.

This means shortages your propaganda seems to forget about.
But I hope you remember the chronic deficit of your budget well. For many years of zero and even negative rates, the European Union has become accustomed to living beyond its means, plugging huge holes in the budget with loan allocations. Welcome to the era of rising key rates. Welcome to the era of double digit inflation. And say goodbye to the era of cheap money, the European Union is already on the verge of bankruptcy - and you fantasize about the coming financial difficulties of Russia? Take care of your pressing financial difficulties. Who in their right mind would buy European bonds with negative yields, especially after Europe froze Russian money in front of the whole world? This is not Russia, an unreliable supplier of energy resources, but the European Union, an unreliable buyer. Look at the dynamics of the euro exchange rate, if now for one euro they give one dollar, then in six months for one euro they will only give 50 cents, and in a year for one euro they will give you a fist in the eye. Think about it at your leisure.

While shortages are indeed possible, it's the industry that will be affected most, not the population, exactly because the politicians love their seats.
Well, of course, the European Union will do a great job with the shortage of gas if it stops the heavy and chemical industries. The main thing is that ten million Ukrainian refugees and ten million new unemployed people do not freeze from the cold in winter. Great plan, as reliable as a Swiss watch.  Grin
1302  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 04:12:11 PM
Did it occur to you that in the same way as "it won't be easy, but Russia will cope", also EU will cope? Of course, it will not be easy, as it's a harsh awakening.
But, as a friend of mine use to say, every kick in the ass produce another step forward. EU may do now (sadly under pressure) some moves they should have done from the first place.
Right now, let's face it, it's a situation both sides are losing similarly and both sides can, similarly, evolve.
Ahaha, you all quarreled there already, although the embargo only on coal began to operate only today. By December, when the oil embargo comes into effect, different EU countries will begin to pull the blanket over themselves. The European Union is sewn together with too fragile threads from too different countries and Europeans are too accustomed to a high standard of living for the European Union to be able to maintain its unity in the face of severe energy shortages. Already several European leaders and governments have resigned since the start of the special operation in Ukraine, and they will all have to resign - because that is how democracy works. And they will be replaced by more sensible politicians who will be forced to abstract from politics and begin urgently solving the economic problems that have accumulated since the pandemic - because that is how democracy works. And in order to quickly solve economic problems, it is not a shortage of energy that is needed, but its excess, which Europe, with all its desire, has nowhere to get from except Russia. Think about it at your leisure.

ps It's strange that I'm telling you how democracy works, because you seem to have completely forgotten about it. Grin

And with the planes, we'll come up with something, don't even hesitate. If a country is capable of developing sixth-generation fighters, it will somehow figure it out with passenger airliners.
I would not brag about your military planes, which until today have not managed to dominate the sky above Ukraine, and therefore I think that it is just ordinary propaganda that Russia is powerful.

Oh, but they do have 6th generation planes! Definitely!
I mean, maybe it's true that their own military doesn't know that since even the su57 is the fifth generation, but they totally do. It's the new super stealth aircraft that you can see at all, it's so stealth even the bombs dropped from it don't do any visual damage at all.  Grin
Fifth-generation fighter jets are already occasionally flying over Ukraine, and Russian design bureaus are developing next-generation fighters, because Russia is always one step ahead and has not stopped new developments even in the most difficult years. The West naively thought that it had defeated the USSR in the Cold War, but in fact, with the collapse of the USSR, it liberated Russia from a dozen fraternal republics that had been sucking all the juice out of Russia for decades. Now try to defeat Russia if you can.

They sit there in Europe with empty arsenals and two front divisions of combat faggots and think they are the kings of this party lol.
1303  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 10, 2022, 02:50:20 PM
So a referendum will not be recognized by Ukraine.
And who asks the opinion of Ukraine? When (if) these regions become part of Russia, the river of military aid from the West will turn into a thin stream or dry up altogether. Because it is one thing to help Ukraine defend its territories, and quite another to help Ukraine attack Russian territory. Think about it at your leisure.
1304  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 02:44:12 PM
About a thousand Western companies left the Russian market, and this cost them hundreds of billions of dollars in direct losses (but this also negatively affects Russia's GDP figures). Is this a problem for Russia? Is. But this is not a dramatic problem and it is also an opportunity. When the market is freed, there is a free place on it for internal development or for substitution by imports from friendly countries.

I'm curious what will the "friendly countries" do about really important things there are very few companies produce them and they've put Russia onto sanctions list.
It's easy to mock the exit of "sparkling water", but I've read not long ago about increasing problems caused by the lack of components for airplanes. The news tell that the industry has started cannibalizing some of the already broken planes to obtain components for the rest. Of course, this cannot work for long term.
And who promised that it would be easy? There are problems with airplanes, cars, microelectronics, software - they are serious and need to be addressed. Of course, Russia will cope with these challenges one way or another. But that won't stop the Russians from watching the impressive spectacle of EU energy suicide. Any sane person understands that it is impossible to replace the falling volumes of energy supplies either this winter, or even next. And with the planes, we'll come up with something, don't even hesitate. If a country is capable of developing sixth-generation fighters, it will somehow figure it out with passenger airliners.
1305  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 12:54:19 PM
Dude, Russia has over 10,000 sanctions and Russia's GDP is down less than 5%. If this is your success, then what is failure?

But I thought sanctions are not doing a thing, now a 5% drop and further going down acceptable?
It crashed 7.8% during Covid with everything closed and now doing just fine with, just looking above, hundreds of billions in extra income but is going down by 4.9%?

I don't get it, simple I can't, how does this work? You get an extra 30% income from your work but when you come back home you suddenly owe money?  Grin
This must be one economical miracle, or again the devil is in details, the export balance is so high up and the GDP is going down maybe because everything that was made in Russia was dependent on imports, so without imports which have crashed to zero, there is no production, only ladas without airbags and stabilizing aircraft for spare parts.
When you don't even have potatoes so serve at your local McPutin something really fishy must be happening in Mordor.
I am not saying that the sanctions are not felt at all, because this is not true. About a thousand Western companies left the Russian market, and this cost them hundreds of billions of dollars in direct losses (but this also negatively affects Russia's GDP figures). Is this a problem for Russia? Is. But this is not a dramatic problem and it is also an opportunity. When the market is freed, there is a free place on it for internal development or for substitution by imports from friendly countries. And most of the companies that left simply lost the market and money, like Coca-Cola. Or do you really think that without sparkling water, the quality of life of Russians will worsen? Western sanctions in 2022 did not cause serious damage to Russia, because the West had already imposed all the really critical sanctions against Russia in 2014 after the annexation of Crimea, and Russia has completely learned to live under sanctions. But Europe did not learn any lessons after 2014 and did not take care of its energy security, for which it is now paying.
1306  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: August 10, 2022, 10:01:24 AM
P.S. Keep in mind that we are talking about changing a world order that has been in place for decades. It will take a long time, specially since the existing "order" resists being replaced.
The process of abandoning the dollar in international trade did not begin today, but previous attempts were severely suppressed by the United States (in Iraq and Libya). But with the suppression of Russia, the United States has some technical difficulties, and this gives hope that the abandonment of the dollar as a world reserve currency and the base currency in energy trade will gradually expand around the world.
1307  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 08:47:08 AM
It is not surprising to read that Russia is profiting from this situation.

Yeah, total profits, then can you explain this?
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/russian-economy-declines-4-yy-q2-after-35-yy-increase-q1-econ-ministry-2022-07-27/

Quote
The Russian economy declined by 4.0% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2022 after a 3.5% rise in the previous three months, the economy ministry said on Wednesday.
The first quarter was expected to have been the last with sound growth before the Russian economy took a hit from sweeping sanctions for Moscow's decision to send troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24.
The ministry also said the economic decline deepened to 4.9% year-on-year in June after a fall of 4.3% in May.

Yeah, when Europe grows by 0.9% the European Union is going to collapse, when Russia's GDP is down 4%, the fall accelerated to 4.9% and their oil is selling at 74$ , Russia is doing soooooo great!
Now I understand why our discussion on the other thread went like this, confirmed, you see only what you want to see, suddenly when it comes to this government you fully trust all the data! Yeah, ironic!


Dude, Russia has over 10,000 sanctions and Russia's GDP is down less than 5%. If this is your success, then what is failure?

ps winter is coming.
1308  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion on: August 10, 2022, 06:51:26 AM
It seems, despite the image that some media may give us, that Russia is not doing badly financially.

Russia More Than Triples Current-Account Surplus to $167 Billion

Quote
Russia’s current-account surplus more than tripled from last year after notching record levels since the invasion of Ukraine, as declines in imports combined with booming revenues from energy and commodity sales abroad.

The surplus in the current account, the broadest measure of trade and investment flows, widened to almost $167 billion in January-July, compared with just over $50 billion during the same period a year earlier, the Bank of Russia said in a preliminary estimate published on Tuesday.

The proceeds have become a critical source of hard currency for the Kremlin since the invasion in February. A collapse in imports, driven in part by international sanctions over the war, has contributed to the surplus. It reached a preliminary $138.5 billion for the first six months of 2022.

When you consider how pathetic it is that sanctions have been imposed on Russia by the European Union, have resulted in things like this:

LMAO: India resells Russian oil to the European Union.

It is not surprising to read that Russia is profiting from this situation.


It's funny that a multiple increase in Russia's trade surplus against the backdrop of a special operation is actively pedaled in the Western media as a symptom that things are going badly in Russia. They say the economy is exploding from the fall in imports and there is nowhere to put the money, even cry. Grin
1309  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Concerning Trump & the FBI invasion on: August 10, 2022, 06:26:40 AM
Fresh Russian joke: In the published photos from the search of Donald Trump, a Ukrainian refugee recognized her toilet bowl. Grin
1310  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 10, 2022, 04:31:40 AM
I will say a few words about the "barrage of fire" tactics, which the allied forces of Russia and the LDNR used to break into the fortified areas in Avdiivka. This is an old trick from the times of the First World War, which the Russian Army masters to perfection. To use it successfully, you need good logistics, because you will need to spend a huge amount of artillery shells and multiple launch rocket systems. Russia is now spending about 5,000 tons of artillery shells per day in Ukraine on the use of a "barrage of fire" (not counting high-precision missiles). For each unarmored target in the Donbass, 300-500 shells are spent. After such artillery preparation, assault detachments with the support of armored vehicles go into battle, usually formed according to the national principle (Tuvans, Buryats, Chechens, etc.), which use their native language in radio communications, which provides additional protection against radio interception. If the assault squads meet strong resistance, they move back and artillery again works on the identified positions. Such tactics make it possible to successfully advance without numerical superiority and with minimal losses (but with an increased consumption of artillery shells).

That's why 50 or even 100 HIMARS can't turn the tide of this operation. Russia can concentrate 10-15 divisions of howitzers and MLRS on a small sector of the front, and they plow everything with cheap shells and unguided rockets. And Ukraine can oppose only 1-2 divisions, which, moreover, are forced to hide from drones and high-precision missiles. The success of the operation to liberate Donbass is not a matter of strategy or tactics, it is a matter of logistics and timing.

Nothing new. RF shelling with 60's equipment and "conquering" a land of rubble. There are several things that you got wrong:

- HIMARS is precisely there to fuck up those logistics you describe and with just 4 of them, high value targets have been destroyed. It is clear to anyone that the pace of the offensive has slowed.
- RF can concentrate troops... at the cost of leaving other areas dangerously undefended. There are tiny advances from Ukraine in the South. In themselves they do not mean much, but the fact that there's actually any advance should give you food for thought on how strong the grip on the invaded lands is.

But the biggest caveat is that the tactic is slow and costly. RF cannot maintain and army working at that pace for a long period of time under economic sanctions and certainly will need to convince many of joining an army that has a reputation for not giving a F*k for their soldiers and sending then unprepared and untrained.

Regarding "high precision"... nothing to be shown for that. The technical weaponry exists, but is so limited that makes zero effect. Ukraine has always been ready for air raids and missiles and use the right tactics to minimise the effects of these.

Overall, there is nothing like a "winning strategy" going on at all.
Ukraine still has a whole month to implement its plan for a decisive counterattack on Kherson. Then there will be a referendum, according to the results of which the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions are likely to be reunited with Russia.

Although what am I talking about? Talk about a counterattack on Kherson turned out to be part of an information-psychological operation, in other words, another fake.  Grin

Quote
Чи була це ІПСО? Безумовно, сьогодні всі публічні коментарі - це частина ІПСО. Нам потрібно деморалізувати російську армію. Вони повинні розуміти, що тут постійно буде територія вогню, що їх тут будуть спалювати. Це ключове.
1311  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanction isn't the right option on: August 10, 2022, 04:12:57 AM
On the other hand, is the nation of Russians really not to blame for the fact that civilians are dying every day in Ukraine, their homes, schools, hospitals, etc. are being destroyed. This is not done by the nation of Russians? Maybe Ukraine is attacked by aliens? Or are they husbands, children, fathers and brothers of those "innocent" Russians? And about 300 thousand Russian soldiers and officers who are being killed in Ukraine, are they also innocent?
Something in Russia is not visible at all mass protests against the war. And according to polls, more than half of the "innocent" residents of Russia support Putin's actions to seize Ukraine. No, all citizens of Russia should bear responsibility for this.
I am glad that you openly express your fascist views here on the forum. Grin
These are not fascist views, so don't label them. I proceed from the fact that, in terms of the form of government, the Russian Federation is a republic where the people, the nation, are vested with the highest power in the country. The people elect or hire senior government officials to a certain position and determine the scope of their rights and duties. These officials must act within and on the basis of the Constitution, its laws and regulations. Such a social structure is fixed, with some exceptions, in all civilized states. Therefore, the people, the nation is responsible for the actions of its officials, including if a half-witted senile with imperial ambitions turns out to be in power. For such cases, the people must provide for effective forms of dismissal or recall of such an official from office. Also in this case, no state or their officials have the right to interfere in the internal affairs of a foreign state. I repeat once again: with such a structure of state power, only the people, the nation is responsible for the actions of their officials in power. Unless, of course, you consider Russia to be a monarchy in terms of the form of government - a kingdom, a kingdom, an empire, etc., where the sovereign ruler is not responsible and does not account for his actions to the people. I am a lawyer by education and profession and I know what I write. There is no manifestation of fascist views in my judgments. I do not put a certain nation on some grounds above other nations.
As a highly educated person, you cannot fail to know that the idea of the collective responsibility of an entire people resonated with Adolf Hitler.
1312  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia's economy is 'imploding' on export decline, economists claim on: August 10, 2022, 04:10:14 AM
According to a Yale University study, the withdrawal of more than 1,000 international companies from the Russian Federation after Putin's invasion of Ukraine will affect 40% of the country's GDP. The collapse of imports devastated its foreign technology-dependent automotive, aviation and defense industries. Russia's gross domestic value added fell by 62% in the construction sector, by 55% in agriculture and by 25% in industry. Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Federation have decreased by $75 billion.
The authors of the Yale report note that Putin's plans to pivot to the East make neither economic nor practical sense. In 2021, Russia exported only 16.5 billion cubic meters of gas to China, compared to 170 billion cubic meters to Europe. Now Russia's westernmost gas field, Chayanda, connected to China via the Power of Siberia 1 pipeline, has a maximum projected annual capacity of just 25 billion cubic meters - "and that only by 2025." "Other gas fields, in particular Sakhalin and Khabarovsk, should be connected to the Power of Siberia. But even when the entire Far Eastern gas network is completed, its throughput will still not reach the capacity of one of the Russian gas pipelines to Europe - Nord Stream - 1" (55 billion cubic meters)," the authors note.

At the same time, the announced Power of Siberia 2 pipeline with a capacity of 50 billion cubic meters per year, which should connect the Yamal Peninsula in the Arctic with China, remains a plan on paper. Gazprom, being cut off by sanctions from attracting international finance and buying Western equipment, cannot finance this project. Therefore, in fact, everything is very bad in Russia.
Can you provide a link to the source so that I can read the report in the original (and so that the Autobot does not ban you for plagiarism)?
At your request, I provide links to several articles with the abstracts of the Yale University report and to the report itself:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4167193
https://topcor.ru/27313-britanskij-zhurnalist-mjetjuz-razvorot-rossii-k-kitaju-ne-imeet-smysla.html
https://ecodefense.ru/2022/08/05/sanctions-are-crippling-russian-economy/
https://forbes.ua/ru/inside/devyat-mifiv-pro-vidnovlennya-rosiyskoi-ekonomiki-popri-zayavi-kremlya-sanktsii-pratsyuyut-ale-ikh-potribno-bilshe-the-economist-26072022-7353
Thanks, very informative. I have read the original report and I can say that this study (and especially the conclusions from it) are highly politicized. Indeed, Russia has difficulties with the size of the positive balance of payments, but I would not dramatize this situation. After all, if your balance has become sharply positive, then someone's balance has become sharply negative. And if you have a large surplus of energy resources, then someone else has an equally large deficit. And this is a really serious problem.

However, I see three Polish names among the authors of the report, and Poland is traditionally at the forefront of European Russophobia.
1313  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 08, 2022, 06:35:58 PM
I will say a few words about the "barrage of fire" tactics, which the allied forces of Russia and the LDNR used to break into the fortified areas in Avdiivka. This is an old trick from the times of the First World War, which the Russian Army masters to perfection. To use it successfully, you need good logistics, because you will need to spend a huge amount of artillery shells and multiple launch rocket systems. Russia is now spending about 5,000 tons of artillery shells per day in Ukraine on the use of a "barrage of fire" (not counting high-precision missiles). For each unarmored target in the Donbass, 300-500 shells are spent. After such artillery preparation, assault detachments with the support of armored vehicles go into battle, usually formed according to the national principle (Tuvans, Buryats, Chechens, etc.), which use their native language in radio communications, which provides additional protection against radio interception. If the assault squads meet strong resistance, they move back and artillery again works on the identified positions. Such tactics make it possible to successfully advance without numerical superiority and with minimal losses (but with an increased consumption of artillery shells).

That's why 50 or even 100 HIMARS can't turn the tide of this operation. Russia can concentrate 10-15 divisions of howitzers and MLRS on a small sector of the front, and they plow everything with cheap shells and unguided rockets. And Ukraine can oppose only 1-2 divisions, which, moreover, are forced to hide from drones and high-precision missiles. The success of the operation to liberate Donbass is not a matter of strategy or tactics, it is a matter of logistics and timing.
1314  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: August 08, 2022, 05:34:48 PM
Gas storage occupancy in Europe at the beginning of August 2022:
Germany - 70%,
Spain - 78%,
Czech Republic - 79%,
France - 81%,
Sweden - 91%,
Poland - 99%,
Britain - 100%.

That's all there is to know about Putin's screeching propaganda that Europe will freeze without Russian gas Smiley
The numbers look good except for Germany. Germany's demand for gas is huge, and its gas storage facilities are just a buffer to smooth out the fluctuations in gas consumption in winter and summer. Even if Germany fills its storage facilities by 100% by November (which will be extremely difficult to do with 20% pressure in the Nord Stream), this will be enough for her for a month and a half of a moderately cold winter.
The Russian gas company Gazprom has recently reduced gas supplies via the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline from 40% to 20% of its capacity. Russia is openly putting pressure on EU countries to force them to buy oil and gas on their own terms.

But how bad is gas in Germany?
The German economy is extremely stable and will withstand the reduction in Russian gas supplies, Christian Scheuing, Chief Executive Officer of Germany's largest bank Deutsche Bank AG, said in an interview with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper.

Even if a complete halt to imports triggers a recession, the German economy will be able to cope with the consequences "no matter how bad they are," he said.

Now gas storage facilities in Germany are 69% full. This was stated by the head of the Federal Network Agency Klaus Müller on Tuesday, writes Evropeyskaya Pravda with reference to Spiegel.
At present, 0.4 percentage points are added to the volume of gas in storage every day.
Under the new regulation, gas storage facilities in Germany must be at least 75% full by September 1st. They should be 85% full on October 1st and 95% on November 1st. According to Müller, three-quarters of all gas storage facilities in Germany are already more than 80% full, and in some cases even more than 85%.
Therefore, Germany will not remain without gas.
Of course Germany will solve this issue one way or another. But whether after that Germany will remain the locomotive and donor of the European Union - that is the question. And the answer is rather negative. For years, Germany enjoyed an abundance of cheap resources from Russia, and now it's over. It is no longer possible to resell excess gas to neighboring countries, earning more on the virtual reverse than Gazprom on gas supplies to Europe. There will be no more German industrial giants whose profits fed the poor countries of the European Union (such as the Baltics, Poland or Greece). Germany will survive, but the EU is fucked up.
1315  Other / Archival / Re: Entrepreneurship or Office job? on: August 08, 2022, 05:25:51 PM
The struggle between the decision of being your own boss and working under someone is becoming more difficult to make as economic situations become tougher. From evaluation around me, self proclaimed entrepreneurs are quitting entrepreneurship because of difficulty in maintaining a business and reduced sales due to reduced purchasing power from people, an effect of the economic situation. Office workers on the other hand who also have been on one salary grade for a long time now are becoming fed up with how their monthly salary is no longer sufficient to secure a comfortable lifestyle for a month also due to the higher cost of living. What do you think is the way forward?
If you are faced with a choice, then you need both.
1316  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanction isn't the right option on: August 08, 2022, 07:36:38 AM
On the other hand, is the nation of Russians really not to blame for the fact that civilians are dying every day in Ukraine, their homes, schools, hospitals, etc. are being destroyed. This is not done by the nation of Russians? Maybe Ukraine is attacked by aliens? Or are they husbands, children, fathers and brothers of those "innocent" Russians? And about 300 thousand Russian soldiers and officers who are being killed in Ukraine, are they also innocent?
Something in Russia is not visible at all mass protests against the war. And according to polls, more than half of the "innocent" residents of Russia support Putin's actions to seize Ukraine. No, all citizens of Russia should bear responsibility for this.
I am glad that you openly express your fascist views here on the forum. Grin
1317  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia's economy is 'imploding' on export decline, economists claim on: August 08, 2022, 06:19:25 AM
According to a Yale University study, the withdrawal of more than 1,000 international companies from the Russian Federation after Putin's invasion of Ukraine will affect 40% of the country's GDP. The collapse of imports devastated its foreign technology-dependent automotive, aviation and defense industries. Russia's gross domestic value added fell by 62% in the construction sector, by 55% in agriculture and by 25% in industry. Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Federation have decreased by $75 billion.
The authors of the Yale report note that Putin's plans to pivot to the East make neither economic nor practical sense. In 2021, Russia exported only 16.5 billion cubic meters of gas to China, compared to 170 billion cubic meters to Europe. Now Russia's westernmost gas field, Chayanda, connected to China via the Power of Siberia 1 pipeline, has a maximum projected annual capacity of just 25 billion cubic meters - "and that only by 2025." "Other gas fields, in particular Sakhalin and Khabarovsk, should be connected to the Power of Siberia. But even when the entire Far Eastern gas network is completed, its throughput will still not reach the capacity of one of the Russian gas pipelines to Europe - Nord Stream - 1" (55 billion cubic meters)," the authors note.

At the same time, the announced Power of Siberia 2 pipeline with a capacity of 50 billion cubic meters per year, which should connect the Yamal Peninsula in the Arctic with China, remains a plan on paper. Gazprom, being cut off by sanctions from attracting international finance and buying Western equipment, cannot finance this project. Therefore, in fact, everything is very bad in Russia.
Can you provide a link to the source so that I can read the report in the original (and so that the Autobot does not ban you for plagiarism)?
1318  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: August 07, 2022, 04:47:01 AM
First, it is not a good idea to keep accusing each other of lying to each other. We are in an open discussion on a public forum, not a challenge.
Your eagerness to teach me how to do the right thing is commendable, but redundant. Grin
Second, Russia could not oppose the cooperation agreement between Ukraine and NATO in 1992 because it was at its most vulnerable time after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the fall of the Soviet Union. With Russia recovering and restoring its global position as a regional and global power, it is natural that it will not stand idly by in the face of NATO's provocations. Unfortunately, Ukraine was the scapegoat provided by America under the cover of NATO to push the region towards war .
You are right, Ukraine has become a victim of the pressure of external circumstances and its own stupidity. Initially a suicidal idea to build their national identity on hatred of Russia. Ukraine does not and did not have a chance to defeat Russia in a military conflict, but the US and NATO said you can, and we will help you in every possible way. It's just stupid, and now Europe has a problem of how to replace Russian gas supplies. Technically, this is the success of US diplomacy in the framework of the concept that for the collapse of Europe it is necessary to quarrel Germany and Russia. The shortsightedness of this concept is that its success creates a new cluster center of power in the world Russia - India - China, with strong influence in South America, Africa and the Middle East, and this casts doubt on the active hegemony of the United States, in alliance with Britain, with strong influence in Australia, Western Europe and Japan.
1319  Economy / Economics / Re: How much food can you store for survival?3 on: August 07, 2022, 04:15:11 AM
As the above user suggested if you were able to save dry fruits then it is able to be kept for a longer time period. For example if you're keeping Banana, it'll be wasted within a week. Same if you dry it and keep it on air tight containers it'll last for much longer time period. I don't know will people follow this and all in your country. In my region people used to dry banana and it is mostly exported and gives better revenue for the farmers. The price gets doubled when dried.
Yep, a dehydrator plus a vacuum packaging solves the problem of long-term food storage without dependence on electricity (no need for a refrigerator, just a dark, cool place). Moreover, it is possible to dry not only fruits, but also vegetables and meat in a dehydrator. Powerful industrial dehydrators cost a lot of money, but small home dehydrators are quite affordable.

Dehydrated foods are good for long-term storage, you can't argue with that. But in difficult conditions they have a disadvantage. Dehydrated foods lead to an increase in water consumption. Otherwise - a violation of the kidneys, circulatory and lymphatic systems. Some foods (such as meat) contain salts, which can also lead to swelling and fluid retention in the tissues, but this is not the same as not having to drink water, fluid stagnation is also a negative process. Fruit dehydration increases the concentration of sucrose and fructose, which also leads to additional thirst and increases fluid intake, which is one of the most valuable foods. In a word - for critical situations, products are needed that will not provoke fluid intake.
You are right and it doesn't matter if you have a separate water strategy and drinking water supply. There are too many advantages to dehydrated foods to ignore without trying to make up for the shortcomings.
1320  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: August 06, 2022, 02:18:48 PM
From this perspective, all wars are absurd, and thus we cancel all those historical narratives about states' strategies and intelligence interests.
Your talk seems logical to a large extent, but it is really difficult for me to accept that a giant authority like Russia, with its arms extended to protect its interests in all parts of the world, takes decisions based on whims and not from an objective study of reality.
And to be frank, I was somewhat convinced that Russia wants to put an end to NATO's presence on its borders by getting its hands on Ukraine as well as protecting its interests from selling gas to Europe. But when I read information about it selling oil for half its price, I really feel that something is missing from my analysis and that things may be much deeper.

Absolutely agree with your assumption. When I tell people who do not live in Russia and Ukraine what Russia is doing, they tell me - "hey guy, stop it! It can't be like that! They're not complete idiots!".
.... But then I turn on Russian channels to them, show documentary footage .. And they sit, with frozen bewilderment on their faces, and say "no ... well, it shouldn't be like that ... This is nonsense!... But so it is!... How can this be?"

Believe me - what seems abnormal to a normal person is the norm in Russia Smiley


"And to be frank, I was somewhat convinced that Russia wants to put an end to NATO's presence on its borders by getting its hands on Ukraine as well as protecting its interests from selling gas to Europe." - on this occasion, I say very simple, logical, and, importantly, easily verifiable information: before Russia's terrorist attack on Ukraine, Ukraine had NO PLANS TO JOIN NATO! There was only a desire to switch to new, progressive standards of building an army according to the Western model, instead of the morally, technically and ideologically outdated concept of building an army according to the "Soviet".

It is also easy to prove the lies of other Russian propaganda narratives, just double-check them, and soon you will understand what is actually being built on a LIE!
What kind of nonsense are you talking about? Plans for Ukraine's accession to NATO are enshrined in the Constitution of Ukraine.

Yeah, you decided - the dumber you lie, the more they will believe? Smiley I understand that you are from Russia, and your lies are part of the culture and mentality, no offense, but there are simply no other explanations for what you wrote!
So:
1. I wrote that until 2014, when Russia launched a terrorist war against Ukraine (see source text above), Ukraine did not have a decision to join NATO. There were only movements in the direction of moving away from the old and obsolete Soviet weapons and the transition to advanced weapons standards.
And I absolutely say that after 2014, yes, Ukraine took the vector to join NATO! Is everything right here? Smiley
2. And now your answer. You tell me that I am writing nonsense (see your original text above), such as evidence, you throw up a link to a bill that allegedly says that this was adopted BEFORE 2014. ! But you throw me an article that says that these changes have been made to ... ATTENTION! In 2018!!! And signed by the President Poroshenko P.A., who was elected to the post of President already AFTER the Russian terrorist attack on Ukraine!
Are you stupidly lying in order to lie, which is typical for the inhabitants of totalitarian states, where it is customary to deny reality in order to try to justify oneself or are not educated to read and understand? The choice is yours ! Smiley

Below is the original signature of the document in the original language.

"
II. Цeй Зaкoн нaбиpaє чиннocтi з дня, нacтyпнoгo зa днeм йoгo oпyблiкyвaння.
Пpeзидeнт Укpaїни П. ПOPOШEHКO.
Пoпepeдньo cxвaлeний
Bepxoвнoю Paдoю Укpaїни
22 лиcтoпaдa 2018 poкy
м. Київ,
7 лютoгo 2019 poкy.
№ 2680-VIII.
"

Let EVERYONE get acquainted with your "truth", and how you primitively distort reality, in the hope that this will not be checked!
Breathe deeply, you are excited. Relations between Ukraine and NATO began in 1992, when Ukraine, after gaining independence, joined the North Atlantic Cooperation Council. A few years later, in February 1994, Ukraine entered into a framework agreement with NATO under the Partnership for Peace initiative, followed in 2002 by the NATO Individual Partnership Plan. Between these events, in April 1999, a NATO mission opened in Kyiv. You either do not know the latest history of your own country well, or you are lying openly.
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