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2401  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 02, 2012, 12:39:01 AM

CAUTION: Article is unintentionally hilarious with gems like, "Both admins and investors are responsible for the sustainability of any successful HYIP."

Why is this sentence funny in any way?
Because the only way a HYIP can be successful is if it experiences perpetual exponential growth at a rate higher than the world economy is growing. Otherwise, people are just receiving fraudulent transfers of other people's money as the HYIP as a whole gets deeper and deeper in debt.The longer a HYIP runs, the more it loses.
2402  Economy / Economics / Re: Does hoarding hurt Bitcoin ? on: August 01, 2012, 01:13:37 PM
If it weren't for hording BTC would still be at sub dollar prices.
True, and at sub-$1 prices, every $.10 change in the price would be 10% or more.

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But it's the same thing for Gold.
I don't think that's true because of gold's ornamental and industrial uses. But certainly the price would be much less.
2403  Economy / Economics / Re: Does hoarding hurt Bitcoin ? on: August 01, 2012, 12:53:04 PM
Hoarding only hurts Bitcoin by increasing volatility. When new people start hoarding, they push the price up. When hoarders panic and sell, they push the price down. A large number of consistent hoarders, buying a consistent amount of Bitcoins on a regular basis, however, help by stabilizing the demand for Bitcoins. A more stable value for Bitcoins will help to make Bitcoins more useful as a medium of exchange which is vital for long-term success.
2404  Economy / Speculation / Re: I have made a 25% return this week trading *against* the pirate on: August 01, 2012, 12:50:38 PM
If you were an early oil baron what would you pay to corner the oil market by buying saudi arabia ? 7% seems cheap  Smiley
It almost always costs more to corner the market than you can possibly make after having cornered it. If you try to corner the market on something people don't need, nobody will care that you've cornered it, you still won't make any money. And if you try to corner the market on something people need, you'll wind up having to pay more and more over fair market value to corner the market, and people still won't pay more for something than it's worth to them.
2405  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 01, 2012, 12:41:16 PM
have you not seen this yet ? Cheesy
https://www.globaloilfund.com/
Obvious HYIP.
http://hyip-watch.blogspot.com/2012/07/global-oil-fund-aftermath_18.html
CAUTION: Article is unintentionally hilarious with gems like, "Both admins and investors are responsible for the sustainability of any successful HYIP."
2406  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 01, 2012, 11:17:15 AM
Micon is hilarious. Been following this thread closely trying to see some evidence of scam or ponzi but all I got was wikipedia links...
Do you really not understand the simple fact that there has never, in the history of humanity, been anything remotely resembling a low risk investment that can promise to return 3000%? However, the list of things that have claimed to be such and have actually been Ponzi schemes is quite long. Even his supporters admit that the scheme cannot last (this is simple mathematical fact). The only question is whether it ends with Pirate paying people back or with Pirate not paying people back. And Pirate basically has no incentive to pay anyone back.

This isn't rocket science.

2407  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 10:47:20 AM
After the price rose above $12, it was extremely obvious that this was a hack. Anyone who traded elsewhere with the assumption that the btc-e trade was legit deserves to have the trade rolled-back.
I agree, but it's very hard for a business to say to its customers, "you were stupid to trust us, so you deserve to lose". I'm sure they can find lots of places btc-e talks about how secure and reliable they are and how customers can and should trust them. It's hard to turn around and blame people for doing what you've asked them to do.

Also, watching it happen, it wasn't obvious to me that it was an exchange hack until much later. In fact, until very late I considered it still a possibility that someone was using a large amount of real LR.
2408  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 09:22:25 AM
That's why you make backup, so in case of problems you do a rollback and problem solved. Not like the scammers of bitcoinica that "we have no backups lol"
Unfortunately, it's not problem solved for at least two reasons. First, you can't rollback coin withdrawals. (They may have a similar problem with LR withdrawals, but I doubt it.) Second, you will have customers who will, in many cases justifiably, feel that rolling back legitimate trades rips them off. (You'll also have a bunch of jerks demanding to keep their ill-gotten gains, such as people who deposited BTC, sold them for $50 each, and then tried to withdraw USD. But screw them.)

For example, consider someone who saw the price rise at BTC-e and then bought a Mt. Gox code and then bought bitcoins at Mt. Gox, withdrew them from Gox and deposited them at BTC-e. A rollback would give them their bitcoins back. That still leaves them out the commission they paid for the Gox code plus  two Mt. Gox commissions (buying the bitcoins and then having to sell them). They also may take exchange losses depending on the timing and are left having to withdraw USD from Mt. Gox.
2409  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: July 31, 2012, 07:42:56 AM
As long as my assessment is correct, nothing about this is illegal or fraudulent.
That's only because your assessment seems to be that he makes the money by magic. If you dispute this, please state as clearly as possible how he makes the money. If your assessment is based on public information, then tell us what it is. If you claim your assessment is based on secret information you refuse to share, then there is absolutely no reason anyone should believe you.
2410  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: UPDATE: on: July 31, 2012, 07:39:56 AM
dev: we got some fake LR deposits so they just bought btc and withdraw

dev: karl1982, exchange not hacked, we just receive fake LR USD
I'm kind of having a hard time seeing what the difference is. If you can get fake USD into an exchange, you've hacked it.
2411  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 06:04:57 AM
Any chance the money came from sold LTC that were forked due to successful 51% attack?
No.
http://marketscry.info/?s=ltcusd&t=5000
2412  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 05:25:53 AM
My exchange in development already have a different wallet for each user.
So you don't plan to do hot/cold wallets? Or you are going to have two wallets for each user?
2413  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 05:12:37 AM
Sooo... I transfered btc from mt.gox over to btc-e before i saw the price issue/hack. My coins still have not appeared after 6 confs, what are the chances Ill see those coins again?
That will depend on the scope of their losses, whether they're able and willing to make them up, and if not, how they apportion them.
2414  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 03:41:24 AM
I posted the BTC address for my jet ski wear ring fund in the chat, 1KYZrqHjJAXntGhpBVqv9gdoGbFNircvKn, and someone sent it .01 BTC.
2415  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 03:34:25 AM
I'm monitoring the btc-e chat, and they seem to believe Mr. Wubbles is trolling.
He is. That doesn't mean he's not the hacker.

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He had obviously lied before about deleting the database. If Mr. Wubbles had the ability to do that, there would be a much easier way of "hurting the exchange" without hurting its users: withdraw the hot wallet directly.
I agree. The hacker cannot do that, they can only buy BTC and withdraw them, most likely.
2416  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 03:26:18 AM
FWIW, I do believe the hacker is using the name 'MrWubbles'.
I do believe MrWubbles is falsely taking credit. SupaDupaJenkins may be the culprit, however.
It's possible it's false, but it seems convincing to me. Maybe I'm too quick to trust people when they say I can't trust them.
2417  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 03:19:27 AM
FWIW, I do believe the hacker is using the name 'MrWubbles'.
2418  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 03:04:30 AM
1. Sell ALL USD immediately. There is almost certainly not enough USD to pay out.
How? By buying BTC at $45?

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2. Withdraw ALL BTC immediately. Unless fractional reserve was employed, there should be enough. No BTC was reported to have injected, so this may be your only option of financial recovery.
I agree that people should do this, but it's not going to work. The exchange has no rational justification for fully reimbursing bitcoin holders while screwing over usd holders.

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3. Change passwords for other websites immediately. The database is likely to leak, if a SQL injection was the culprit.
Definitely. Better safe than sorry.
2419  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 02:29:17 AM
New theory: hacker emptied the BTC-e BTC wallet first and all that's happening now is him having some fun with the other users..
Close. He's using the high price to induce others to refill it with real BTC deposits.
2420  Economy / Speculation / Re: A Theory on what pirateat40 is doing on: July 30, 2012, 10:43:12 PM
Well after a couple of month I'm currently only risking my profit. So every week I take the interest out as pure profit.
So ponzi or not I'm a happy man  Tongue
That is not true. You risk a lot more than that if you continue to intentionally receive fraudulent transfers of other people's money. Willful ignorance is not a defense.

http://utahsecuritiesfraud.com/2010/08/02/clawback-lawsuits-how-investing-in-a-ponzi-scheme-can-bite-you-twice/
http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2012/05/30/victims-of-li-ponzi-scheme-not-out-of-the-woods-yet/

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CBS 2′s Lou Young spoke with Greg Ameo, who said that the trustee handling Cosmo’s collapsed investment firm is demanding even more money.

“Fifteen grand, and I lost over $160,000. I think I’m getting screwed twice, basically,” Ameo said.

The recent charges are part of a claw-back proceeding. Anybody who withdrew money from their accounts at Agape World, Cosmo’s Ponzi front, within 90 days of its collapse, can be ordered to pay it back. The claw-back even applies to money that was part of the original investment, officials said.
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