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2041  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 01:46:24 AM
Think about this: Imagine the Greek govt used their current funds to buy back their own bonds for pennies on the dollar. They would have much less debt outstanding, right?
Yes, that's right. This does a huge service to their borrowers, allowing them to have a certain payment rather than a payment at risk. And it helps the Greek government, because they pay out at a reduced rate. It also increases the value of their debt, which benefits their current debt holders (since their bonds are worth more) and the Greek government (because they can borrow more money at reduced interest because of the higher bond values). Everyone wins.

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Greek debt and even other riskier debt markets are likely to plummet and initially show virtually non-existent trade in the case of default, as investors back off. The situation is comparable with a drying-up in emerging market liquidity in early 2009, during the global financial crisis.

But the debt could get a boost if the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) rescue fund buys it up.

Russia's recapitalisation of its banks in 2009 enabled them to buy their own debt back at 50-60 percent of face value, kickstarting a recovery in emerging market debt.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/13/uk-greece-debt-emerging-idUSTRE79C4BM20111013

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This is a breach of their bond contract because as the issuer of a bond you (and only you!) are obligated to pay back bonds at face value, and using funds to buy back at a discount is an improper use of available funds.
I don't agree. The point of a bond is to raise money that you can do whatever the hell you want with. I don't agree that it's an "improper use of available funds". I don't agree that the concept of "available funds" is even coherent in that sense.

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Now, if you are saying that if Goat makes a distinction between his personal speculation on GLBSE and Tygrr operations, we run into the whole insider trading debate. Should the CEO of a company be allowed to short the company's shares in his own e-trade account? No. Shareholders should demand that their CEO does not create conflicts of interest via his personal trading/security positions.
As I said, I'm only arguing the case where he has no inside information.
2042  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Why I trust Patrick Harnett on: September 06, 2012, 01:40:32 AM
Just because something negative happens to another service provider that had a great track record doesn't mean that the same thing will happen to others with an un-blemished record.
You realize that you're rebutting an argument nobody made. This is likely because the arguments that have been made have no rebuttal. All of the signs of a scam are present. No explanation other than a scam is plausible. Therefore, it's almost certainly scam.
2043  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 01:32:18 AM
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If it's not done on inside information, it's win/win for everyone.

Just the fact that Goat receives a payment makes him privy to inside information!
I agree, that's why I limited my argument to only trades not done with inside information.

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The problem is that if Goat buys back bonds, he still has the Pirate deposits that were backing them. If pirate pays out later, it will be impossible to pass-through those payouts to the bondholders. This would not be acting as a true pass-through. The pass-through operator should just be moving money from A to B, and buying back some bonds at a discount would be causing a distortion.
Not at all. He just pays through precisely the same way and winds up paying some of the money to himself. It is no different from anyone else buying the bonds -- it just happens to be him. (Again, assuming he doesn't leverage information he gained as the operator. By the way, if it were me, and I had any good reason to believe a payout was imminent, I would freeze bond transfers to protect bond holders from others who might get word early.)

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In order to act as an accurate pass-through Goat should simply funnel anything he gets from Pirate through as a dividend, and be open as he can about any communication with Pirate.
I agree.
2044  Economy / Services / Re: [WTS]VPN that skews law enforcement.[14 countries] on: September 06, 2012, 01:29:00 AM
Do you oversell bandwidth?
Since he sells unlimited bandwidth and probably doesn't actually have unlimited bandwidth ...

Of course, everyone oversells bandwidth.
2045  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Petition to Shutdown BTC-e and have all assests given back to the tax payers on: September 06, 2012, 01:25:40 AM
Also, child pornography could be distributed through text chat with something we call a "hyperlink".
I don't think so. A hyperlink can't be child pornography (under the laws of pretty much all civilized countries except Australia), so distributing a hyperlink can't be distributing child pornography.
2046  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 01:21:04 AM
Again, if an issuer of a bond buys back bonds at a discount with "some other source of money" they are defaulting in breach of contract. This is because bondholders who don't happen to have asks up will get the shaft if the bond later becomes completely worthless.
I don't get it. He's breaching the contract because not everyone gets nothing?

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If pirate refunds all deposits and closes accounts, Goat should buy back at face value (BTC1.00) using a bid wall.
Yes, if he makes a full refund.

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If pirate provides a partial refund, Goat should pay that out as an equally diluted dividend, and let everyone know under what conditions the payout was made, and whether he expects further payouts.
I agree.

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The reason Goat can't buy back bonds is that the future payouts from Pirate are not certain and buying back would be deleting information. This is unfair if Pirate eventually pays sometime down the line.
I don't get that. So long as he doesn't trade on inside information, I don't see why he can't buy bonds just like anyone else could buy bonds. Presumably, the people selling are happy to sell at the prices they chose to sell at. (Again, assuming he has no special inside information.) And these buys push up the prices of the bonds, which benefits all the bond holders.

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Basically, Goat does not have the freedom to speculate as to what should be the fair price at which to buy back the bonds. He can only retire them at face value or pay out dividends of whatever Pirate sends him.
I don't see why. Why can't he benefit his bondholders by allowing those who prefer to sell to do so and at the same time boosting the value of the bonds? If it's not done on inside information, it's win/win for everyone. How are his interests averse to the bondholders?
2047  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 01:16:00 AM
The contact says I will buy back the bonds if the deposit is refunded...
I'd have to look at the contract to see exactly what that means. The issue would be if you were the only person who knew that you were going to get a refund of, say, .33 BTC per bond and bought up a bunch of bonds for less than that prior to passing the payment from Pirate through to bond holders. That could be argued to be constructive fraud. I'm not sure that argument would work, but someone could make the argument. It's also a pretty scummy thing to do because it's an act based on inside information gained in the course of actions you take on behalf of your bond holders that's against the interests of those bond holders.

Say McDonald's hires me to scout out locations that are best for a new McDonald's. And say I find one that's absolutely perfect and selling for $100,000 and because of the inside information I gathered doing the scouting, I know it's worth $150,000 to McDonald's. Can I buy it and resell it to McDonald's for the $150,000? Or can McDonald's reasonably expect that I won't use information gained in the process of acting in their interest to perform a personal transaction for my personal benefit at their detriment? I would think McDonald's could sue you in that situation, and I think your case would be similar.
2048  Other / Off-topic / Re: Total beginner at programming here. (C++) on: September 06, 2012, 01:12:15 AM
Just to clarify, I wasn't criticizing your commenting (it looks good to me), I got lazy with commenting after a while and it cost me a lot of time later on, just a heads up.
It's not uncommon, at least for me, to look back at code written just a month or two ago and be completely baffled about what it was doing.
2049  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 01:07:49 AM
If pirate pays out and Goat uses the money to buy back bonds, that is a breach of contract. The pass-through as described passes through as dividends.
All he would have to do is use some other money to buy back bonds slightly before passing through the payments as dividends. It's a pretty scummy thing to do, but it's not an explicit breach of the contract. It might be considered implicit breach, similar to constructive fraud.
2050  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 06, 2012, 12:55:50 AM
At this point what would be considered reasonable collection efforts?
It depends who is suing who.

If a bondholder were suing you for failing to protect their interest, I think you could make an argument that nothing is a reasonable collection effort. You have no way to recoup your collection costs from bondholders. And there's no particular reason to think any collection effort would be effective. There's no precedent for successful recovery.

If a bondholder were suing Pirate as an intended third-party beneficiary, I think they could more plausibly argue that your collection efforts were insufficient.

It may seem odd that there's a difference, since it's fundamentally the same question. But the basis for comparison is different. In the case of someone suing you, they're basically arguing that you should undertake recovery efforts that are unlikely to recover much at your own expense and then give the bondholders all the proceeds. In the case of them suing Pirate, they'd presumably be attempting to recover at their own expense with only those actively suing Pirate benefiting.

Another possibility would be your bond holders suing you for running a Ponzi scheme. I don't think that's likely to work for a variety of reasons. Similarly, I don't see Pirate's other victims suing you either.

Essentially, from a legal perspective, you can probably do pretty much whatever you want and get away with it (just like Pirate, assuming someone doesn't track him down and give him some street justice). The one thing you probably can't get away with is trying to get your bondholders for pay for you to go after Pirate. Even if that's in their interest, it's not in the agreement. (That was a mistake, by the way. The agreement should have let you deduct reasonable collection and extraordinary operating expenses from recovered funds.)

IANAL. This is my speculation. Since there's pretty much no precedent for any of this, we're all just guessing.
2051  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: ★ VESCUDERO's Risk-free Weekly Term deposits at 1.5% ★ on: September 06, 2012, 12:00:23 AM
weekly interest only comes from new investment.  

Unless you can prove this, you should not use such statements.
He can, and he did. No other conceivable substantial source is known and this has been true of every similar claim in the past. You don't have to rule out every inconceivable alternative to have proven something. Proof doesn't require omniscience, just reasonable certainty.

In context, it's clear that "only" doesn't rule out the possibility that some miniscule amount occasionally comes from some other source. "Only" can mean the only substantial factor or effect. For example, "Don't argue, you'll only make him mad" doesn't mean that you won't also cause air to vibrate.

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Although I appreciate the fact that you are trying to warn people, you should say: 'I think this is a ponzi' or 'I strongly believe this is a ponzi' or 'If this is not a ponzi, I will give you all my money*', but not 'This is a ponzi'
There is no difference. When a person makes a claim, they are stating that they believe that claim is true. We understand that people are neither perfect nor omniscient.

If I say "Your wife is cheating on you", every rational person who understands the English language knows that I mean that I have reason to believe their wife is cheating on them. You would not conclude that it must be the case that she is in fact cheating on you. Nor would you believe that I was stating that logical proposition just to bring it up for discussion. The most natural interpretation of "Your wife is cheating on you" is that the speaker has reasons that he believes justify believing that your wife is cheating on you. "I think your wife is cheating on you" says precisely the same thing, just more weakly.

There is absolutely no reason he should weaken his warning. In fact, if he could think of any way to make it stronger, he should do that.
2052  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The transition to AnCap on: September 05, 2012, 11:57:34 PM
Myrkul seems to overlook the fact that in AnCap World, there is no stipulation or grand plan that says the landowners around my residence give a crap about being in the road business at all. Also, land changes ownership, and new owners may have new plans.
If the government ran all the supermarkets, you'd say the exact same thing about food. You would worry that all the grocery stores would close and you would starve. But, the thing is, in an AnCap world, there's money to be made by solving real problems. If the problem you've identified is a real one, then someone will find a way to solve it and charge you for that solution. And then someone else will find a better way to solve it and charge you less. And before you know it, the problem's gone. Problems are opportunities.

You might think it sucks to have to pay for everything. But the fact is, you're paying for everything now. It's just being done by an inherently inefficient government with little to no incentive to innovate and facing no competition.

As for the land ownership issue, there's a more specific response. Land ownership includes some bundle of rights. And society, if it's going to have property, has to work out what that bundle of rights is. It may be that preventing people from reasonably crossing your land to access other people's land isn't in that bundle of rights. It may be that shooting anyone who accidentally stumbles onto your land isn't in that bundle of rights. Just as, for example, taxing satellites that pass over your land likely wouldn't be.

Also, covenants can run with land and can specifically exclude some rights for the benefit of nearby land owners. A society has to come up with rules for how those covenants can be enforced, whether they can be valid in perpetuity, and so on.

2053  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: bitfloor needs your help! on: September 05, 2012, 11:54:14 PM
FYI - I had some ACH (USD) transactions from the weekend pending when bitfloor went down that *did* complete this afternoon.

As Roman promised these transactions were not stopped/interrupted. 

I would assume that had he been the culprit these monies would also have disappeared.
It's much more dangerous to steal USD than Bitcoins. Also, if it was Roman, how would he explain the missing USD? (Not that I'm saying Roman stole the coins, I'm just saying this reasoning is very flimsy.)
2054  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: September 05, 2012, 11:48:05 PM
I would advise you to be wary of any scheme set up to circumvent Goat and settle up with Pirate directly.  Firstly, keep in mind that more or less nobody has been paid back yet: for all the talk about Goat, he is not actually in any kind of exclusive position of being left out of reimbursement.  Secondly, unless someone can mount a very strong case in an actual court that this is an intended third-party beneficiary situation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third-party_beneficiary), it is not clear that anyone has the right to go behind Goat's back on this.  There might be a legitimate fear that doing so could constitute tortious interference (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tortious_interference) with Goat's contractual rights.
Not to mention the rights of other bondholders who are entitled to a portion of any payout on the shared debt. If two people jointly own a home, one person can't pick a half of the house, sell it keeping all the money, and tell the other person "well, I sold my half. You can sell yours". The agreement with Goat determines how payments on the shared debt is distributed.

By the way, I've done some more research, and I'm much less confident that the intended third-party beneficiary argument would work unless you could show that Goat was not making reasonable collection efforts.
2055  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: How to Identify a Ponzi on: September 05, 2012, 11:43:58 PM
I don't think this is generally applicable. Do you have any examples other than Pirate? An example of a legitimate pass-through is the GSDPT (Gamma satoshiDice pass through), which allows people using one exchange to invest in an asset listed on another exchange.
Madoff would be an example.

http://money.cnn.com/2010/12/09/news/companies/madoff_feeder_funds/index.htm?iid=EL
2056  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is blockchain.info illegal? on: September 05, 2012, 05:08:40 PM
Blockchain.info, aside from being a great tool and web wallet, offers and advertises a coin mixer service - or to put it in plain English, a money laundering service. Under what jurisdiction is money laundering legal??
Under any jurisdiction that doesn't have a law that makes what blockchain.info illegal. If there's a US Federal law that you think makes it illegal, I'd love a citation. Honestly, I don't know if it's legal or not. My bet is that you could probably find some law you could cram it into, but that's true of almost anything.
2057  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: bitfloor needs your help! on: September 05, 2012, 05:01:35 PM
Sorry, but that's flawed reasoning. You are saying you trust people more because they have proved they are not trustworthy. By that reasoning you should trust bitcoinica with everything you have.
+1, unfortunately. My life experience suggests that people actually don't learn lessons and instead repeat prior behavior if they can get away with it. (This is not a personal judgment about any particular person.)
2058  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] V.HRL Vendor's High Risk Loan up to 3% interest weekly on: September 05, 2012, 05:00:29 PM
If you have a look at the portfolio below the OP you can see that the weekly incoming dividend is 7.2 btc. 4.5 out of it from Obsi. If it goes to zero the remaining will be 2.7. Divide it with the number of outstanding bonds and you will get. 0.016 btc per bond weekly. If 0.01 goes into dividends 0.006 left to get the NAV growing slowly.  

This calculation does not takes into account my fee which I will not take the first eight weeks anyway.
Honestly, you just fundamentally don't "get it". If I have a mortgage on my house, and my house burns down, do you think the bank will still let me take out a second mortgage? I mean, I can still make the payments, right?
2059  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: **SILKROAD** down?? please, can anyone confirm? on: September 05, 2012, 01:08:02 PM
Is there a list of forbidden sites? It would be good to know what sites are taboo here in order to avoid being banned.
Yeah, here it is:

[links to illegal sites removed]
2060  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: bitfloor needs your help! on: September 05, 2012, 01:01:30 PM
I guess most newly incoming bitcoins can go straight to the cold wallet and have the exchange run on a manually updated hot wallet.
That's correct. There are serious risks if you don't have incoming bitcoins go directly to the cold wallet.

For example, recently an exchange was hacked with a bogus LR transfer. The hackers bought up Bitcoins and pushed the price up to some absurd amount. This encouraged people to deposit more Bitcoins in their accounts to sell them at the bogus rate. If deposits had gone to the hot wallet, these deposits could have been stolen as well.

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It's more the hot wallet I'm trying to understand. It is needed for the exchange to instantly process transactions directed by customers. So there'll always be a kind of command path going from website to wallet, no matter how far away you hide the hot wallet, and we'll have to trust that path we setup ourselves. A good hacker will find that path and command the bitcoind. So there's actually no need to trust our path if we can't trust our website.
Right, that's why you don't keep that much money in the hot wallet. A starting point is your average one-day volume.

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Now, of course you can have the hot wallet pull for commands and transactions, but then.. how do you trust the content of those commands and transactions? Because, basically, that is that same public website with input from customers.
You can't. That's the point of the hot wallet. It holds the coins you can afford to lose if you're hacked.

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If we can't trust the website giving commands into the hot wallet, [edited:]how can we trust that same website to collect and offer the hot wallet valid and intended commands to pull?
You can't, that's why you don't keep a lot of money in the hot wallet.

To be clear, you do make the hot wallet as secure as you can. But the risks you mention above are fundamental and they are the reason having a cold wallet is essential. If an account is holding more than about $100,000, the keys to that account should never appear on any one machine that provides remote access from the Internet.
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