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2481  Other / Off-topic / Re: Bitcoin 410 richest addresses, updated often. on: January 19, 2013, 11:28:49 AM

It's all about estimation and odds/probability.


Estimations and statistics are useless if your underlying model is flawed...
Truth is you can't tell which coins are lost or used as savings account, you can't even estimate it correctly.
2482  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BitcoinQuickStart.com simplifies things for newbies on: January 19, 2013, 11:09:10 AM
depends on whether you are talking about price inflation or monetary inflation
really? How many types of inflations there are? Are you an economist? Sad Cheesy
No, I am not an economist, but I have the internetz:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_inflation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_inflation

Anyways, I'd really read a good introduction to Bitcoin. But which one really is that?

Check the website being discussed ...
2483  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 07:56:02 PM

A proper dump like we've seen in the past could easily take out everything down $13.  I'm waiting for that one, and the subsequent panic selling.   Grin

I think you meant "down to 13", down by 13 would be ... well, quite spectacular.
2484  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: GoldMoney [FB post]: James Turk in conversation with Félix Moreno de la Cova on: January 18, 2013, 07:35:51 PM
jesus f. christ! Turk just can't let go of the tangibility issue. He should read Trace Mayers opinion on that. He probably has but doesn't agree.

He has a point about the long history of gold, but I think the transactional properties of bitcoin more than make up for that.

I think Turk's opinion about gold vs bitcoin is more about certainty and safety, and less about what exactly the definition of tangibility is.
I kind of agree, the value of gold as a physical commodity will never go to 0, there is no counter-party risk etc.  
The only thing that would seriously harm golds valuation long-term is if its monetary aspect was lost because of a better alternative.... something like bitcoin (which is why i own both  Smiley ).
To me, bitcoin is golds monetary properties on speed, but there are certain risks involved.
2485  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin drops to $4/BTC....... what would you do? on: January 18, 2013, 06:46:15 PM
(i.e. as much as I could possibly afford while still being able to sleep at night)

This
2486  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin drops to $4/BTC....... what would you do? on: January 18, 2013, 06:43:14 PM
You mean absent an obvious reason (like mayor government declares war on bitcoin, a successfull attack or something like that)?

Hell, I would bend over to kiss my lucky ass  and buy the hell out of it...  
2487  Economy / Speculation / Re: why this rally? on: January 18, 2013, 06:40:32 PM
You'd do well to buy shares of Satoshi dice. Think of it as an investment of an investment. Bitcoins grew in value, and Satoshi dice did too. From 0.0048 - 0.006 now. That's a nice increase.

Indeed. 80% ROI in less 2 weeks but what's the next step Smiley

I would buy some shares of SD if it was not so difficult.
Indeed it took me hours and lot of patience to get into it!

But it (currently) worth it, I hope !

I was considering buying like a month ago, but the 30 BTC mpex buy-in fee is too steep for my taste...
That plus I am wondering what is stopping SDice competitors from coming up with a clone site with better odds (maybe some already exist?).
So far not the best choice not to buy, but hey, I can live with the decision.
2488  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 'Allo 'Allo!- Answering the phone with "Bitcoin?" on: January 18, 2013, 06:34:16 PM


rofl, hadn't seen that one before  Grin
2489  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 01:56:40 AM
I'm no expert but is what Adam doing not "shorting"? Or does shorting have another definition?

Normally, shorting means you sell things that you don't already own (so you have to borrow them from your broker/exchange/whatever).  Otherwise, its just plain old selling.
2490  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin nearly reaching its highest ever market capitalisation on: January 18, 2013, 01:46:00 AM

Huh? No it didnt , are you looking at 1-year chart?
2491  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 01:43:31 AM
So what is being zhoutonged?
zhoutong made a the first trading platform which alowed users to short sell bitcoin (or go long) with leverage( meaning you could trade with up to 10times more money then you actually had in the account)
the catch was if you went short and the price went up to much all your funds would go to zhoutong.
so we called it getting zhoutonged

Oh, k , thanks for the first understandable post Smiley .
2492  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 01:28:59 AM

oh when I "short"  I mean I'm selling on the exchange with intention to buy back lower....

lol, you know thats not shorting right, thats just not being long  Cheesy

So what is being zhoutonged?
2493  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Shouldn't we start using safer keys from now instead of waiting for problems? on: January 18, 2013, 01:19:35 AM

M0 generally only includes "Notes and coins (currency) in circulation".

If you are looking for a measurement that includes things like personal bank accounts and various electronic records of money then you are looking at something more like MB (includes Federal Reserve Bank credit) or M1 (includes traveler's checks of non-bank issuers, demand deposits, credit union share draft accounts, and other checkable deposits).


Oh, ok, thanks!
2494  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Shouldn't we start using safer keys from now instead of waiting for problems? on: January 18, 2013, 12:38:12 AM
The global currency supply (M0) is roughly $5T

Then why does this Zerohedge post quote PIMCO (no small fry) saying there is 12.5 trillion $ in currency reserves around the world?
Are they not talking about M0?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-01/pimco-gold-simple-facts
2495  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: Bets of Bitcoin - Bitcoin betting on real world events on: January 18, 2013, 12:15:10 AM
I just wanted to report that somebody bet on  http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1052  after the event happened. (I wuz on time  Wink )

You made your bet yesterday?

Oh, does it work with 1-day cut-offs?  I did not know that (if so, which geographical location is used to determine this?).  No, I bet today, but prior to the 15.38 being breached.
2496  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BitcoinQuickStart.com simplifies things for newbies on: January 17, 2013, 10:11:22 PM
One thing I would add to "how do I store bitcoins" is the fact that you should refresh your backups before doing more than 100 transactions.  This is something that took me a while to find out, and vague references to it kinda scared me when I was starting out (which isnt that long ago  Smiley ). I am assuming it works the same way for multibit as for the original client.
2497  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BitcoinQuickStart.com simplifies things for newbies on: January 17, 2013, 09:54:07 PM
Great idea


In "What is Bitcoin":

I find "Well, bitcoins don't get value from any words of government, which is known as "fiat"." somewhat confusing.
I mean, I know what fiat is, but some people might interpret this sentence as " not getting value from goverment = fiat " (even though you use 'instead' in the next sentence).

Personally, I would change " bitcoins get value because people who learn how they work often begin to want them" to "bitcoins get value because they are scarce and useful, both as a medium of exchange and as a store of value."

"This makes Bitcoin a deflationary currency rather than an inflationary one, meaning the value of each bitcoin will probably increase over time, instead of decrease."  --> depends on whether you are talking about price inflation or monetary inflation (you are probably talking about price inflation).  Maybe change to "This makes Bitcoin resistant to inflation, meaning its value won't be eroded over time"?
2498  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 17, 2013, 06:52:39 PM
Someone just thrown a yes coin there, after >$15.38 happended. Would that count as long as admin don't close the bet or would he cut off and return all bets after it hit? Or take over as a penalty for cheating? Grin

Coins will be returned for bets that was placed after the event happened.

Somebody just tried for for 1 BTC though, too late buddy !

Tried for what? I know you can still bet on it, but your late bets will be returned after the admin determine the event cut off time.

Yes, but that person probably didnt know that.
2499  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: Bets of Bitcoin - Bitcoin betting on real world events on: January 17, 2013, 06:49:18 PM
I just wanted to report that somebody bet on  http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1052  after the event happened. (I wuz on time  Wink )
2500  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 17, 2013, 06:42:05 PM
Seems like only yesterday I was considering buying at 14.3$ ... Oh wait, it was!

Actually, my funds just didn't clear in time  Angry , damn you banking system, damn you !!!   Wink

Still waiting for my funds to get there since last week. I'm never using gox again.

If you'd done any research you'd know people have been having issues.  There are other ways.  If you haven't sorted it out by this time then that's not their fault, it's yours.  

There are so many people blaming others for their own mistakes on this forum. It's hard to watch.

I wasn't really blaming them, more for the 'comical effect' (hey, I am trying...) than anything else.  
Actually, my funds cleared today, but I thought 14.8 was pretty high, wanted it to go back to 14.4 before buying, guess that wasn't the best idea.
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