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2581  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.01 BTC Free Daily Giveaway Now! on: April 20, 2014, 06:26:33 PM
"Image below shows that a player almost wins 140 times from the starting amount because of EveryDice’s low house edge."
Haha thanks for adding me to the blog ED. Will be back in a week to invest or win Wink

Where is this blog?

http://blog.everydice.com/

Just saw the site hits 100BTC bankroll and a 1BTC max win, bravo!

It is not as big as PD or JD but there is a nice community and now 1B to be won each roll Grin
2582  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: April 19, 2014, 09:01:49 PM
Are you in Venezuela?

It can be interesting to go there to sell some bitcoins and get a free trip

Nope... I am residing in South Asia. It is really difficult to get any fiat deposits in to BTC-E or Bitstamp. People living in the US or the EU have a lot of options. But here we don't have that many. Withdrawal is not a problem, especially after BTC-E added the withdrawal to the Credit Card option. We desperately need some Bitcoin ATMs here.


Ok

The potential of growth is huge because the infrastructure is just getting in place and when it will be in place it will have to mature
2583  Other / Off-topic / Re: POST COUNT 100 !!! on: April 19, 2014, 09:00:37 PM
Hard to beat someone who's been here for years without being here for years yourself. Smiley

It is not hard if the guy didn't post a lot Grin

Look at here : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=mlist;sort=registered;start=0 half the members (5/10) that registered in 2009 are still newbies

hilariousandco registered November 20 2013 and posted 7357 so far!! 56posts/day in average!! I posted 18posts/day in average and I feel I am posting all the time
56 post per day in AVERAGE?
I could easily post 56 times a day, and sometimes I do, but EVERY DAY? Gee wiz.

that's some dedication, I can see my self reaching 56 post a day when the section is active and people are commenting, but doing it everyday that's another level of dedication
Oh yeah. I suppose people can post from their phones nowadays, I can't though. 56 posts per day from my computer, I can't imagine the headache, haha.

If you are involved in interesting conversations and you are sick in the hospital, making short posts it is doable but if you have a balanced life and you make long posts it is pretty unhealthy amha
2584  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.01 BTC Free Daily Giveaway Now! on: April 19, 2014, 08:58:51 PM
If you invest more and don't divest you stand to make more, I don't think bonuses for loyalty should even discussed in that case, I am not invested but it is my opinion
2585  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2014, 08:38:27 PM
I wish someone would take a few months to gather all the predictions made in this forum and make a list of the best nd worst predictors

You need to have a standard how to measure the goodness of the prediction.

I said that the price would go to 450 when it was 850, and it did, 2 days after. Many thought that was impressive.

If I now say that price will go to 450, it is not very impressive.

In my thread there is a prediction contest, and the idea is that the average of other predictions become the standard that you have to beat, to get some glory and fame.

Yes of course

I wish someone would take a few months to gather all the predictions made in this forum and make a list of the best nd worst predictors

 'Someone' has already invented such a prediction-validating mechanism. In fact, this very thread was originally created for speculators who engage in such predictions.

 It occured in very rudimentary forms since ancient times, saw a further sophistication during Roman rule, disappeared during the dark ages (obviously), reappeared in the late middle ages mostly around Italian city-states, & finally, emerged in its modern financial trading market form in ~1602 in the Netherlands, as the Dutch East India Company's shares were first traded among investors.

 Later, the ~1880's featured the advent of something yet closer to current currency/crypto trading exchanges - world currencies began to be backed by gold, and the first large-scale retail forex trades started taking place.

 It wasn't until 1996 that the Internet gave these foreign currency exchanges the capacity to run the entirety of trading electronically. Various digital new currency projects such as e-Gold/etc were soon undertaken excitedly by a series of hopeful entrepreneurs.

 ..Sadly, in large part due to vulnerable centralization & the absence of math-based strong encryption systems as core features of these innovations, they ended up failing & dimming public opinion of any digital currency concepts as irreedeemably flawed Ponzi schemes. Nevertheless, amongst the ashes of these unsuccessful experiments, a different, vastly more sound, secure & viable project came to light : Bitcoin.

 It is thusly that in early 2011 the very first bitcoin exchange markets were founded, bringing us full-circle to the present day as we find, with the warmth of serene satisfaction, that exchange markets indeed offer the best mechanism through which to filter the least skilled from the most skilled predictors, by comparing traders' accounts' initial investments with their net equity several months or years later.

(Sorry, I just love history xD)

Very interesting

"https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=193526.0"
We have a few posts of rpietila; posts were extremely bullish and positive in May 2013, it is different now
2586  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2014, 06:40:50 PM
I wish someone would take a few months to gather all the predictions made in this forum and make a list of the best nd worst predictors
2587  Other / Off-topic / Re: Your time machine is here...what year would you like? on: April 19, 2014, 06:35:50 PM
1
1 what?
Year one? Why would you like that?

That would be the time jesus was born?
Yes indeed, but it's more fun to see people posting their reasons and ideas! If everyone just posted numbers in this thread it'd be quite boring indeed.

At least we are done with the people saying they will go back in 2010-2012 to buy BTC
2588  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: will the bitcoin reach $1000 one day...? on: April 19, 2014, 05:25:52 PM
if it reaches 1k one day , that time i should be having 5-10k BTC on my hand

It did reach 1k, and IMHO we will be close to that in late-2014.

What do you mean? You will have bought 5-10k??

Probably a typo I guess. Maybe he want to say he will have 5-10K USD (he has 5-10 BTC)
Eh yeah, quite obvious that he meant that. Cheesy

Right, not a very interesting information then  Grin It is pretty commun to have 5-10BTC!
2589  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: FlashBTCPonzi ¤ 115% Min/Max 1%fee TRUSTED ¤ Round 2 LAUNCHED !!!! on: April 19, 2014, 05:05:13 PM
1 Confirm and waiting to deposit again fighting in 4 hours  Grin

2confirmations in a few minutes

https://blockchain.info/address/12v9RSJAEz7HUA8iD6ePsMeGGcaZVGZq4G 2BTC deposited

Please update when he runs with the money. Smiley

Haha will do, please don't deposit more than you would set on fire for fun Grin
2590  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: FlashBTCPonzi ¤ 115% Min/Max 1%fee TRUSTED ¤ Round 2 LAUNCHED !!!! on: April 19, 2014, 05:01:52 PM
where is the adress?!?

previous message

it gives the indication Got error 157 'Unknown error code' from NDBCLUSTER in blockchain
2591  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: FlashBTCPonzi ¤ 115% Min/Max 1%fee TRUSTED ¤ Round 2 in 15 minutes ! on: April 19, 2014, 04:50:46 PM
All visitors in Bitvisitor all visited Wink

It probably brought a few players but it would be good if there is a campaign while the round is open
2592  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: FlashBTCPonzi ¤ 115% Min/Max 1%fee TRUSTED ¤ Round 2 in 30 minutes ! on: April 19, 2014, 04:42:49 PM
Where is the new deposit adress?

It will be up on the website in 15min, you can check the count down on the website

35% refund and 55% refund for the last 2deposits is pretty good
2593  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: will the bitcoin reach $1000 one day...? on: April 19, 2014, 03:41:23 PM
if it reaches 1k one day , that time i should be having 5-10k BTC on my hand

It did reach 1k, and IMHO we will be close to that in late-2014.

What do you mean? You will have bought 5-10k??
2594  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. on: April 19, 2014, 03:37:29 PM
I think people will not only buy but overpay

http://pages.ebay.com/link/?nav=item.view&id=221025080235

Not only for gold, but for Bitcoin also. I know some of my friends who bought Bitcoins from localbitcoins.com for a 25% premium. In my country, it is really difficult to purchase coins through Bitstamp or BTC-E. Quite difficult to deposit cash. So everyone have to depend on localbitcoins, despite the steep commissions which they charge.  Angry

Are you in Venezuela?

It can be interesting to go there to sell some bitcoins and get a free trip
2595  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2014, 03:35:20 PM
no bans on chinese saturday or sunday likely - maybe another reason why we are rallying.

I think this rally has flattened out, the question now is whether there will be another one or if we'll slowly go down again for a while.

I am all BTC at this point but I'm tempted to short and see if I can increase my coins.

well the bear run was so weak, and this is a strong and impulsive move that seems unexplained. I think the most likely explanation, we are continuing the bull run.

We are cruising at half a grand and it could accelerate; I feel the market is very sensible so if it tanks quite a bit we could go down a lot but if it goes up in the mid 500s we should break a few resistances
2596  Economy / Services / Re: [PrimeDice] [Highest Paid Signature] Earn up to 2.4 BTC/Month by Posting on: April 19, 2014, 03:33:09 PM
Any news for the payment ?

I didn't receive mine but I am not worried, there are tens of members to verify and pay so I wouldn't be surprised if it takes up to 72h
2597  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.01 BTC Free Daily Giveaway Now! on: April 19, 2014, 03:31:41 PM
How often do you make payments to investors? Or do they just take any profit (assuming there is some) at the time they divest their interest?

When someone loses the investment grows and when someone wins it decreases, you can check that online on the website

Be sure you can legally invest in a bitcoin casino where you live
2598  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: FlashBTCPonzi ¤ 115% Min/Max 1%fee TRUSTED ¤ Round 2 in 2 HOURS ! on: April 19, 2014, 03:11:26 PM
The site is up for me as well, so you will change the address on the first message of this thread first?
2599  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair - Instant on: April 18, 2014, 10:27:30 PM
well, looking better than yesterday  Grin

update 27.03.2014  invested 0.50274831BTC, ~0.5730%. someone invested around 10BTC site bankroll 87.729964 & site profit 7.5761368
update 29.03.2014  invested 0.50119015BTC, ~0.5799%.        --                               site bankroll 86.413821 & site profit 7.3096741
update 31.03.2014  invested 0.50105838BTC, ~0.5818%.        --                               site bankroll 86.111018 & site profit 7.2879652
update 01.04.2014  invested 0.49928940BTC, ~0.6559%. someone divested around 10BTC site bankroll 76.112282 & site profit 7.0671325
update 03.04.2014  invested 0.49568540BTC, ~0.6559%.        --                               site bankroll 75.570088 & site profit 6.5321816
update 05.04.2014  invested 0.50258219BTC, ~0.6748%.        --                               site bankroll 74.468509 & site profit 7.5569766
update 06.04.2014  invested 0.51373044BTC, ~0.6751%. someone lost a good bunch    site bankroll 76.089872 & site profit 9.2192624
update 08.04.2014  invested 0.51381687BTC, ~0.6748%.                                          site bankroll 76.142872 & site profit 9.2322916
update 10.04.2014  invested 0.51486498BTC, ~0.6749%.                                          site bankroll 76.278760 & site profit 9.3902180
update 11.04.2014  invested 0.51932647BTC, ~0.6750%. dan&diceclay on a roll            site bankroll 76.925722 & site profit 10.061522 wooohooo two digits!  Cheesy
update 13.04.2014  invested 0.52600862BTC, ~0.6710%.                                          site bankroll 78.382643 & site profit 11.099135
update 15.04.2014  invested 0.55111937BTC, ~0.6695%. someone lost big (thresher?)   site bankroll 82.317594 & site profit 14.909130
update 17.04.2014  invested 0.54708222BTC, ~0.5726%. lots of gambling, more invest   site bankroll 95.540405 & site profit 15.189882

nota bene: site wagered 1149.8203BTC -> we're still above the expected profit at 0.99% house edge

Does that mean the site profit will go down before the site wagered amount goes up to match it?

Just as in rolling dice, getting lucky (or unlucky) in the past doesn't ensure that you'll get unlucky (or lucky) in the future.  Over the long run, everything should even out to the statistical average, but that long run can easily be hundreds of billions of rolls (for example, JD is on 1 billion rolls and they are running 36,000BTC BELOW expectation).  

Totally agree with FUR Smiley

It is mathematically unrelated event. But even if in the long run site's profitability should match with its house edge, it doesn't mean that the site has to lose in order to balance its profit. For example, if in the first month a site with 1% HE is profiting 2% and in the next 11 month the site is profiting 1%, then in average site's profit is already near 1%, that is ~1.083% (assuming same wagered amount on each month).

i don't understand guys which come with say 0.001 BTC , double it few times in a row, than decide to take more risk and put their chance to 1-20% and lose all....why didn't they keep playing with the way it worked? ?

There is no system that works better than an other

There's no system that can change ev. But a system does able to change the other factors. Lets take martingale for example, while the ev remains the same, "chance of a person leaving the site in a winning condition" does increase Smiley

No playing a martingale is the same as betting big to get a small payout
2600  Other / Off-topic / Re: Just made a Bitcoin graffiti on: April 18, 2014, 03:24:34 PM
Lol
God damn it, why does no one trust me at the internet Cheesy
The picture was taken at night because I live outside the town and I get in the center only when I go out, at night of course
Ths thread is making me laugh so hard Cheesy

I would never do such  a thing
For starters I never used paint, I'm well known to be one of the guys who loves the town, I alwYs brag how we're the 2nd oldest town in the world, did 2 articles about it in our local newspaper Cheesy
I folloe our football club altough we fell out  the first division, I'm like the bigest local patriot around
Would never harm a monument since I'm a historian too, spend my time learning our history even went on regional championship twice..
This goes against everything I believe in
I just took a picture to get some donations, that's all

You lied in the first place or you are lying now so you lost some trust.

Lol
God damn it, why does no one trust me at the internet Cheesy
The picture was taken at night because I live outside the town and I get in the center only when I go out, at night of course
Ths thread is making me laugh so hard Cheesy

I would never do such  a thing
For starters I never used paint, I'm well known to be one of the guys who loves the town, I alwYs brag how we're the 2nd oldest town in the world, did 2 articles about it in our local newspaper Cheesy
I folloe our football club altough we fell out  the first division, I'm like the bigest local patriot around
Would never harm a monument since I'm a historian too, spend my time learning our history even went on regional championship twice..
This goes against everything I believe in
I just took a picture to get some donations, that's all

You should go clean it off if you're such a monument historian. Take a picture and then maybe people might donate to your clean up operation.

Yes indeed good idea!
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