.... Seems to be a topic beyond the scope of this thread (though this thread seems to be fairly tolerant of a variety of topics so long as they are anywhere remotely connected to BTC walls - and even then... ooofffffta...). Agreed. To stick to speculation, I speculate the main problem at the mo is the same one that allowed the dominance of the Roman empire, a small but coordinated force can defeat a much larger uncoordinated force and that looks like a problem on all markets, btc is small fry in comparison. The decaying oscillations are interesting there. Its a means by which a small force can have big effects and the principle is used in all kinds of things, its also very easy to detect and influence. A distributed bot would easily overwhelm it, basically folks running the bot would pick a bull or bear role with their holdings and the bot would push in one direction or the other, it would amplify rather than decay but overall it would add weight and thus stability to the market. It would mean trusting exchanges though and imho that's a bad idea until distributed exchanges come into common use (or exchanges that keep your holdings in multisig wallets under shared control). EDIT: There's no need for communication between bots, the oscillations are the signal and the bot take an action on detection. I would NOT give the smaller force as being more coordinated, they just seem to have more opportunities to dump BTC, which creates the appearance of coordination. So, the easier it is to get in fiat and to flood the markets with fiat (at the whims of the people interested in BTC), then the more difficult it will become for the bears to manipulate the price down with their ability to easily move their BTC around.... Fiat is NOT so easy to move and there are quite a few financial barriers to move around fiat... but if that moving around of fiat (just getting it onto an exchange quickly, easily and inexpensively) is made easier, then watch out BEARS!!!!
|
|
|
PayPal acceptance is a game changer
that will add even more selling pressure. remember, every time new merchant jumps in - just sell. I think that PayPal BTC acceptance will have more influence then merchant selling pressure. maybe 2 years ago. now I simply dont care because they are so late to the party. That's because you, Tarmi, seem to have a fairly robust predilection to take any news, good, bad or other, and to translate it into "BTC bear logic" really? sorry for asking, but why would I ever want to spend my BTC and pay all the fees to paypal? isn't the whole point of BTC to avoid charges? add to that the fees for USD/BTC conversion. all I see in paypal accepting btc is selling/redistribution of old cheap coins. It will happen you are right, there will be selling pressure, but also what will happen is more people coming into out small community of BTC users at much faster pace, which will have more influence than selling pressure. More people without BTC who will buy BTC just because PayPay said they should not fear of BTC. PayPal is something like internet religion, I think that there is a huge army of people who only watch PayPal moves and plan their strategy according to that. When PayPal adds new option there is a huge number of people who just want to try the new option, now when BTC is a new PayPal option, get ready for the revolution. Just as AmazonStuff asserted, there are considerable advantages to have more BTC liquidation opportunities. Not only does it provide the immediate liquidation route, it also provides for BTC publicity and BTC credibility. Individuals can choose the extent to which it is practical for them to spend their BTC through a service or to refrain from such or to exercise a different method of payment or even to refrain from purchasing. The fact that potentially paypal is skimming additional profits should NOT detract from the usefulness of having such liquidation avenue available to BTC holders. In the beginning of the adoption of any new technology, we should expect a premium price paid for such... however, over time, likely competition evolves and enters the space.. accordingly, the more profits being made, the more competition that will enter the space... These are basic free market concepts.. and sometimes it takes time for them to evolve, and we should NOT jump to too many conclusions merely based on the direction of early development, and accordingly, we need NOT view the situation with "bear logic" unless we are trying to skew reality, spread FUD and/or failing to see the whole picture.
|
|
|
PayPal acceptance is a game changer
that will add even more selling pressure. remember, every time new merchant jumps in - just sell. I think that PayPal BTC acceptance will have more influence then merchant selling pressure. maybe 2 years ago. now I simply dont care because they are so late to the party. That's because you, Tarmi, seem to have a fairly robust predilection to take any news, good, bad or other, and to translate it into "BTC bear logic"
|
|
|
...
Check edit and buy food from vendors that accept btc directly, those that use payment processors are supporting a competing economy I have some mixed feelings about these points. I understand the point that you are making and I agree that if you know that the business is holding BTC, then they would be the preferred business to patronize. However, I tend to believe that anyone taking BTC is a good thing, and surely, we should also be sympathetic to the businesses using payment processors (and really we do NOT have any meaningful way to verify the extent to which the payment processor businesses are directly converting or holding some percentage). We should, if we can, be inclined to replace any BTC that we spend, anyhow. Another ongoing issue remains the tax treatments to use BTC as a form of currency... which is bullshit to have this accounting disincentive hanging over our heads.... Currently, I am trying to get around this (put this off) by simultaneously (within a week or so) replacing any BTC that I spend, and that way I can claim that there was NO capital gains or loss (makes for easier accounting for me, so far). Now, down the road, if I begin to make some substantial purchases that also include capital gains, then I will NEED to account for such gains in my projected IRS filings for the year. Maybe consider residence in Germany if you're likely to be badly stung with that one, they stated funds from addresses that haven't moved for more than a year are tax-free. No idea how long that will last, they had the same opening on precious metals but changed it fairly recently. +1 on the more accepting btc the better and accepting via a payment processor is far better than not accepting, the spending drive gets to me is all, "spend, spend, spend" sounds a lot like the "waste, waste, waste" of perpetual "growth". I have some business issues in the US of A that I am trying to get in order - otherwise I am considering various ways to become location independent. Currently, I am attracted to south east asia, more than europe - and part of my thinking is that I can live a lot better on a lot less (accordingly, live well within my means, and continue to accumulate wealth with a mostly passive income). Potentially, later in life, I will be able to travel and live in more expensive areas...... Well, anyhow, this is more of a work of progress than anything set in stone... Further, I am anticipating that there are going to be a lot of ongoing wishy-washy developments and adjustments when it comes to various tax treatments of BTC... from what I understand, Americans traveling abroad would NOT be required to count the gains of their spent BTC, so long as those BTC are spent overseas. Regarding number of merchants, the more the better, and regarding spending, there are a lot of mixed blessings about that, and the USA, as most of us already realize, has one of the worst spending records - and some of the american consumerism habits are spreading to other areas around the world... NO simple solutions there when it comes to inequality and wasteful spending while some people are barely able to scratch by meager livings others are living wastefully high on the hog. Seems to be a topic beyond the scope of this thread (though this thread seems to be fairly tolerant of a variety of topics so long as they are anywhere remotely connected to BTC walls - and even then... ooofffffta...).
|
|
|
...
Check edit and buy food from vendors that accept btc directly, those that use payment processors are supporting a competing economy I have some mixed feelings about these points. I understand the point that you are making and I agree that if you know that the business is holding BTC, then they would be the preferred business to patronize. However, I tend to believe that anyone taking BTC is a good thing, and surely, we should also be sympathetic to the businesses using payment processors (and really we do NOT have any meaningful way to verify the extent to which the payment processor businesses are directly converting or holding some percentage). We should, if we can, be inclined to replace any BTC that we spend, anyhow. Another ongoing issue remains the tax treatments to use BTC as a form of currency... which is bullshit to have this accounting disincentive hanging over our heads.... Currently, I am trying to get around this (put this off) by simultaneously (within a week or so) replacing any BTC that I spend, and that way I can claim that there was NO capital gains or loss (makes for easier accounting for me, so far). Now, down the road, if I begin to make some substantial purchases that also include capital gains, then I will NEED to account for such gains in my projected IRS filings for the year.
|
|
|
^ i don't know where all the hate for MMI comes from. Back in the day he mined and was hugely bullish. He reads the charts and now calls a bear market = everyone pours vitriol and hate.
This sort of behaviour simply reinforces the cultist profile of BTC users -- tow the party line or be ridiculed. Sad but I guess a symptom of the interweb these days.
mmi is often patronizing and a straight out asshole sometimes. You get out what you put into it... "Sometimes?" Raid_N: You are being very charitable in your word choice. Probably a more accurate description would be "a large majority of the times." If Mmitech has any nice bone(s) in him, he very rarely shows it in this thread.
|
|
|
... The hoarding "problem" seems way overstated to me. Certainly, you would want to spend your less appreciating assets first..... .but if the economy were to evolve to such a state that there were only bitcoins or bitcoin-like assets/currencies, then assets/currencies would need to establish themselves in such a way that they could compete with bitcoin and that they would be able to retain their value, or appreciate in value, like what remains anticipated with bitcoin.
The hoarding "problem" is quite likely an attack and any site/jurno making an issue out of it should raise red flags (plenty of copycats too though). More spending means more coins entering the market and so more down. Probably we are on the same page, Stan Distortion. To explain further (at the risk of repeating myself), I am NOT encouraging anyone to hoard coins for the mere sake of hoarding (and anyhow "hoarding" is a negative and derogatory label); however, if someone holds a bunch of different kinds of assets/currencies, they would spend the less appreciating assets first.. such as the dollar... and when they run out of dollars, they are NOT going to starve to death.. merely b/c they want to hold their bitcoins. If a person is hungry, and his/her health could suffer from NOT eating, then food will be more valuable than holding bitcoins (and we do NOT even need that level of extreme to cause people to spend their bitcoin, if it were the ONLY asset/currency that they hold), or at least I would think so. In this same reasoning, people will like to desire and practice the maintenance of various life conveniences, and accordingly, they will need to (want to) spend their bitcoins to achieve such (that is if they ONLY hold bitcoins, and they do NOT hold other liquid assets/currencies). In other words, I agree with your sentiment, Stan Distortion, that hoarding as a supposed "problem" is a fiction of status quo financial entities/interest spreading disinformation (FUD) about BTC.
|
|
|
btc is the butt of all jokes.
-word on the street
You must live on some looney financial district street in which they are joking about the thing(s) that is/are the most threat to them... that is the likely success of BTC. In any event, I feel a little bit safer, attempting to predict the page count in this thread in the next week than the price of BTC in the next 6 months.. the page count of this thread is quite a bit more predictable. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg8947806#msg8947806In that regard, since we are already in the solid 8,8XXs, we may start seeing some post dumps; however, probably the real post dumps will NOT start before Saturday.. when the page count begins to approach 8,888.. and it is probably that the page dumpers will allow the page count to reach 8,888 for maximum effect.... in order that they can take that pleasure away from us, once we think that we have achieved it... Also, it is possible that they will attempt to throw us off, and NOT dump. at all. ... those fuckers!!!!!
|
|
|
I've managed to buy back 7 bitcoins so far.
I'm still down 8. Must buy 8 more btc must buy 8 more btc
The way the price is currently dropping, you may be able to buy some more for around $380? No guarantees with this shit, that is for sure... In the 10 minutes on bitstamp we have witnessed nearly 2.2k btc dumps.
|
|
|
For all the bears who think that 2013 was an unrecoverable bubble, please identify another bubble where 9 months after the pop the underlying fundamentals are better than it was during the bubble.
Our situation is simply that a lot of miners and short/medium-term speculative investment have coins that need to be moved to strong hands. There is simply a reservoir of coins (which is increasing by 3600 per day) that need to be moved before we can make significant moves upwards. Bitcoin is so useful that someday this reservoir is gonna run dry.
I seem to remember there was a strong argument on this forum that hoarding coins (nice euphemism "strong hands") is bad for BTC in the long run. What you are essentially advocating is the same thing Shroomskit constantly proposes: nobody sells until the price reaches a level which enables laggard early-adopters to become super-rich. Why would everyone do this? Why sell them...ever? Just buy what you want to buy with them. The hoarding "problem" seems way overstated to me. Certainly, you would want to spend your less appreciating assets first..... .but if the economy were to evolve to such a state that there were only bitcoins or bitcoin-like assets/currencies, then assets/currencies would need to establish themselves in such a way that they could compete with bitcoin and that they would be able to retain their value, or appreciate in value, like what remains anticipated with bitcoin.
|
|
|
is it true we will become wealthy? If you are a gentleman, yes. Otherwise, i'm NOT sure.
|
|
|
Bitcoin is about to race up to $830
When? ? I am starting to lose confidence about any exponential race up into the $800s arena b/c posters have been writing these kinds of predictions since about February-ish.. yes sooner or later, someone is gonna be correct - but why now? Why not 6 months from now?
|
|
|
DROP CUT YOUR LOOSE BAGS!
FIFY
|
|
|
Which one am I? In the longer gif, the other granny fights back. But I dunno. Yeah, when I see squabbles between members, usually, it is too difficult to determine who started it, and which if any is hitting below the belt, because both posters appear ridiculously entrenched in defending their position... it's like when we get into our various political battles, which I am NOT inclined to resume at the moment.
|
|
|
Ffs you guys get a room I have you both on ignore and so do many people here
Good for you, and it remains unclear how you would know about what other are doing, unless they are sending you PMs to inform you of such?
|
|
|
How does a bull test a bidwall (without temporarily becoming a bear)?
through leading? By spreading FUD, and therefore getting someone else to do it, while you watch.
|
|
|
This might need a new thread judging only by its length.
There's no way I'm gonna attempt reading all that.
Don't quote it all. LOL! That's why I timed it to be posted at the last part of the thread I'm sure JayJuanGee would read it.. He seemed so obsessed with discussing things with other people That was very courteous of you to time it to put the post at the end of the thread... Thank you, Akujin. You are the GREATEST!!!!
|
|
|
Which one am I?
|
|
|
Well based on how you react with a single image and a three word sentence, and how it ended up with something like "psychological problem", "competition", "bot", "emotion", etc. , there's a posibillity that we end up with that since you already mentioned about my sentences not comprehensible I think you have pretty much summed it up. Your posts go on a variety of stream-of-consciousness attempts to connect a large variety of ideas by stringing words together and then making strained connections between such words. It causes me to believe that your level of comprehension remains somewhat at the word level, rather than at the sentence level. As you improve with your comprehension abilities, you should, hopefully, be able to progress to the paragraph level and then page and then chapter and then book... Not everyone has comprehension ability or learns comprehension skills; however, hopefully, NOW that I have pointed this out to you, possibly, you will be able to take action to work on these skills. Hopefully, you will improve with some of your abilities, but I do NOT really have much hope to assist you in the near-term future.. because, as I said earlier, developing skills can take time.. NONETHELESS, i will attempt to pay attention to some of your posts to verify whether there is any potential for coherence and/or comment(s) from me.
|
|
|
|