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2901  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2023, 08:26:55 PM
I grabbed some silver.

I am stacking more btc.
Why silver?  Physical silver comes at a premium you can't recover - it's nearly CA$10 an ounce on ounce coins right now (25%) and you'll get spot when you sell unless you're brave enough to do it privately but it's not worth the risk imo.  Are you a closet prepper Phil?
I buy from sellers I know on btc talk

I grabbed 40 oz for 988.

which is 24.65 an oz

just A bit over spot.

I am looking to have four investments

silver
btc
fed bonds
real estate.

I do have some of each along with mining income and pensions.

Of course equities usually fit into the way that people diversify their assets, and you had mentioned that you had a form of 401k .. which would allow you to have some exposure to equities and bonds through that too... depending on how diversified that you might have that, but there are ONLY 5 fund categories in that one anyhow..

Surely, silver, gold and other commodities is a kind of a category in which bitcoin might not completely be able to completely replace their physicality. so there could be some limited use cases in having some exposure to them.. perhaps?

Multisig solves a lot of potential security issues without making things complex (which is a security issue by itself). It really should be the standard in case of managing anything else than pocket change.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjS5qF65Yos

Shamir Backup seems like the best option to me. for a casual anyway.

Pretty easy and safe and secure.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7WkAN0Gac4

I am not resting assured from those two videos, so in that regard, I have my doubts that shamir backups are a slam dunk as better than multi-sig.. including that multi-sig allows for not having to bring all the keys together at the same place (even though surely Antonopolis had pointed out one of the dangers to have the  public keys for all three but maybe only needing the private keys for two)

It seems that one of the dangers that bitebits was wanting to lesson is the potential problems of being reliant on one manufacturer, but sure, if you end up overcomplicating your matters, then you become your own danger to yourself.
2902  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2023, 07:29:31 PM
I grabbed some silver.

I am stacking more btc.

Hard to get excited about stacking the shitcoin also known as silver, but hey if you have ways to get it and ways to sell it that are comfortable to you, then you are likely one or two steps ahead of a lot of "us" mostly non-commodity holding normies.. and not even conceding the stacking of silver to be a good idea (even if you might be able to figure out the sourcing and/or the ways to liquidate).

[edited out]
Speaking of how to take care of our hardware devices, I always remember an interesting film on that very topic - it's worth watching if you haven't seen it already.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hf97ofTlZhk (Schloss Bitcoin (2020) - deutscher Kurzfilm - Crime Black Comedy Subtitles in English, French & more)

Yeah.. I watched that from another time that you had posted it... it is quite good in a kind of nerdy way, as you seem to be suggesting, and I also forwarded it to some folks in real life.. and then also I posted it once or twice in other places on the forum without remembering exactly that you had been the one that posted it previously.

..... Another thing to note is that the attacker does not have an immediate indication that the correct passphrase was found, because ALL possible passphrases (even "wrong" ones) result in valid (albeit empty) wallets. So, the attacker will need to check the blockchain against ALL passphrase candidates, and reject those that result in empty wallets.

I don't really disagree with what you are saying here overall AlcoHoDL - however, there is a bit of a difference between entering a passphrase that leads to a previously used location versus one that leads to a bunch of empty wallets (that thereby presumptively would have to be created since the route had not previously been attempted).

In other words, if you enter in passphrase that leads to empty wallets, Trezor will provide a message:

"This hidden wallet is empty.  To make sure you are in the correct hidden wallet, please type the passphrase again."

And it thereby allows you to enter the passphrase again to confirm or to just exit out.

There is another box that you can check that says: "I understand passphrases cannot be retrieved."

On the other hand, if you enter a valid passphrase that has value contained therein, it will not give any message or prompt, but just open up to the wallet and the balances of the various accounts therein will be shown.


By the way, reading through some of this triggered me into looking into the decoy pin feature, and I surely do not see how to set up a decoy pin.  I did not even know such a feature existed on Trezor even though I heard that some other devices (such as cold card) has such a feature.. and they also have the brick me pin.. and I don't really like the idea of a brick me pin, but I do like the idea of erasing all the data... but I still cannot find how to enable such a feature on the Trezor..

Ok.. I just found it, and it appears that you have to use a "terminal window" in order to set it up, which seems a bit confusing to me.. and goes to show that some of us (including yours truly) are spoiled by GUI interfaces.

https://trezor.io/learn/a/create-wipe-code-to-erase-device

I particularly liked vapourminer's "Trezor wipe-restore" method. Never thought of it, and it does make sense for those not using their Trezors often (myself included).

My use of the trezor seems to go in streaks.. and there could be several weeks that I am using it, but then not using it for months or even years.. and maybe these kinds of activities can vary - including that we might want to actually test out our device and system at least once a year and perhaps more often..   I have some recent business activities that are likely going to cause me to have to start to access the trezor more often, but surely I can see guys going more than a year without even touching their device.. which then could go to questions about whether we for sure know if our trezor is missing.. hahahahaha.. depending on how secure we might be in terms of placing it next to the TV remote or next to our computer, or in the bedroom between the mattresses or in a safety deposit box in the next city over or in our parents cellar safe or in another country that we visit once every two years.. hahahahaha

It's a trade-off, with potentially dire consequences at either extreme. I choose the middle ground, i.e., a PIN and passphrase that are complex enough to deter even a seasoned thief/hacker, but memorable enough to reside in the neurons of my brain -- that last part could potentially be dangerous in case of amnesia or head injury.

Don't forget the dangers of hypnotism.. or gosh are there truth syrums that someone could put into your drink. and maybe you really don't want to know certain things without having to consult with some kind of way to put some pieces together.. but if you enter your pin or passphrase (or even your 12/24 words) enough, it might get committed to your short term and even long term memory.. is that a good thing or not?.. I do know that the longer I take to access some of my information, it can sometimes seem very complicated, even though I had previously thought (a couple years earlier) that I had created a pretty straight forward system.. but then does it really work..

By the way, I have a little bit of a story, and I am not sure how much I should tell, but I had a situation in which I needed the seed phrase that was supposed to be in three parts and I was missing one of the parts (for reasons), and so I knew that I had two back ups of the three parts, and so I called up a life-long friend, and he surely is not very technical and even though talked with him about bitcoin several times, his eyes glaze over while he is looking at how complicated his flip phone is or that he is trying to get his remote on his TV to work.. (he doesn't have internet).. but anyhow.. I called him up, and I asked him if he could go to the location in which one of the pieces was located, and I would give him the code to get in, and then I would give him instructions about how to get to it while we were on the phone live, and he said o..k.. and he would call me when he was at the location.  It took about 5-10 minutes just to get to locating the place where the words were, and I told him that it would probably be 8 words, and he told me that it is only 4 words.. and then I remembered that it was a 12 word split up instead of a 24 word split.. and so when he read me the 4 words, he mentioned that one of the words was "xxcxxxxx", and I said that does not even sound like a real word, and he read it several times and told me that is what it says.  I said o.k... so I wrote down the 4 words, and I told him that I would let him know if I had any problems in terms of getting access to the wallet that I was wanting to get, but I would have to do it in a few hours.

So when I put together all 12 words, and I typed in the "xxcxxxx"  by the time I got to the second letter, there was already a suggestion that had the word to be "xxrxxxx".. so my friend could have had sworn that the word the one with the "c" and neither of us even thought about the word with the "r".. so sometimes simple mistakes can be figured out, but some kinds of more complicated mistakes might be a lot more difficult to resolve.

Oh.. and by the way,. the whole time my friend was telling me that he was not even going to try to remember anything that I was telling him.. a kind of courtesy message to say that he was recognizing and appreciating that I was sharing private financial information with him.. but part of the reason that I picked him to do it was that I already considered him to be someone who I could trust with that information and even more information than he might be comfortable knowing about.

I'm glad we're having this discussion, it certainly helps us all be more aware of the potential dangers and act accordingly.

ditto
2903  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Everything you wanted to know about Grayscale BTC Trust but were afraid to ask! on: September 09, 2023, 05:47:10 PM
It does not need to be the approval of Grayscale's ETF, I reckon it will be any ETF because the approval of 1 will be the approval of much of them.
once one gets approved, all the others will update their applications using a copy of the accepted template. thus fast approval

Could be.

i still think blackrock will get approved before grayscale as the

could be

SEC wil wait for the appeals court to release guideance on what is an what is not an acceptable reason to decline, so they can use that specific reason to decline grayscale again

I am having trouble with your expectations regarding what the Appeals court is going to be doing in its guidance.


They already told the SEC that it has failed to provide any kind of a reason and so therefore the Appeals court has told the SEC and the world that the SEC's failure to provide an any kind of a reason that is not arbitrary/capricious is insufficient.

Why would the guideline tell the SEC what a good reason might be?  That makes no sense.

Generally speaking the precedence that comes from the Chevron case, I believe, is that agencies have a wide range of reasonableness and courts are not going to second guess them as long as they provide a reason and any reason that does not devolve into arbitrary/capricious or otherwise in violation of various public policy norms.. Now that the court has proclaimed that the SEC had already acted arbitrary/capricious, the SEC has to come up with some kind of a reason that makes sense in the context of things rather than making it seem that they are just making shit up.. and why would the court give them guidance in regards to how to do their job in terms of thse kinds of matters, does not make a lot of sense to me.

Chevron remains the standard but the SEC already got themselves into a bit of a pickle by what the court had already ruled their behavior to be, which is arbitrary/capricious and really lacking any kind of a reasonableness .. and the court would not even need to agree with the SECs reasons as long as they can come up with something that makes some kind of sense and does not devolve into again being arbitrary, capricious or in violation of some other public policy norms.

Your overall point about the possible stalling tactics of the SEC to use the muddiness of trying to figure out what to do might be enough of a reason to grant Blackrock (and maybe others) before Grayscale, even though that could end up getting them into trouble if it appears that delay Greyscale is a kind of retaliation rather than also having some kind of rational basis that makes some kind of sense in the whole scheme of things.

right now with grayscale and DCG in hot water due to the whole genesis, gemini, FTX saga. i dont see how SEC can see confidence in grayscales fund management.. where as blackrock has decades of experience

Yes, it seems reasonable that the SEC could have some doubts in regards to a lot of the outstanding and ongoing litigation around DCG... and they likely need to attempt to take that into account in one direction or another, which could cause some uncertainties in terms of approving Grayscale.. .. so surely there remains ongoing uncertainties regarding how the SEC might end up playing these various matters in light of a variety of deadlines... and they likely already have some ideas where they want to go.. but then various court rulings do have to be taken into account and sometimes even some of the new applications that relate to Ethereum products (not wanting to necessarily consider that the shitcoins are any kind of a major factor even though, we cannot always know how the SEC might relate these various products, litigations and applications in order to justify what it is that they are doing, what they are saying they are doing and/or planning to do)
2904  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: September 09, 2023, 05:09:24 PM
I make regular purchases often but the only reason why I have such nerve is the trust I have in Bitcoin, nothing else. This means that if it were to be another asset that doesn't have the tradition of halving and people's belief in Bitcoin, I would not dare it because as an experienced trader, I like the market to guide me rather than taking the risk. This cautious approach applies even if I have much money as the rule of "no matter how the market goes down, it will bounce back" has failed many. Some would also wait and wait in vain for decades without success in their shares according to my experience. This is why I like to only hold a bullish market and opt out when the market is bearish to cut loss. This will certainly reduce risk and give more trading precisions.

But for Bitcoin, one can truly continue to DCA or do something similar to what I now do instead. Like myself, I've stopped DCAing if the true definition of equal division is to be observed. What I do now is to continue to inject my spare money into Bitcoin instead of saving it in a bank where it will be useful to them but almost useless to me. This has really helped me to save a lot and continue to increase my store of Bitcoin. It has also helped me to stop unnecessary spending as I watch monthly how I own more Bitcoin and think every day how rich I will become in the next 2 years or thereabout.

I appreciate your providing how your perspective has changed and even your practices have changed, but it seems that you also are not very hedged in terms of how much value that you might be keeping in various fiat systems.. which may or may not be very practical for most people to consider something like keeping all of their value in bitcoin... even though the most common error is in the other direction, which is the overwhelming majority of the world's population, seemingly more than 99% either do not have any bitcoin, or they have piddly bitcoin allocations... and so that's the way of the world and those who are overly allocated in bitcoin are likely going to prosper quite well into the future, so long as they do not end up recking themselves by overly allocating in such a way that they do not adequately account for their various fiat expenses and/or that there could be overwhelming periods of time in which bitcoin price goes sideways or even down and so hopefully you don't end up becoming one of those people who end up not being sufficiently hedged for either BTC price direction.
2905  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2023, 05:07:32 PM
Poll has finally ended. 38 for Yes and 59 No. Not completely surprising, but for the 38 people who voted Yes, well let me just say I am proud of you.

There's been a considerable dropoff in merit farming in the WO since I opened this thread (although it still exists to a certain degree). I reckon I will re-open and bump it if it picks back up again.

At least Duderino seems like he's considering being more selective with merits, so that's good.

Just a reminder to all merit sources, you don't need to give away all your source merits! Ideally you are giving them out for good posts that demonstrate the slightest inkling of original thought, and not just for copy/pasted tweets about number going up, or because somebody expresses admiration for you or agrees with you. I dunno, I guess the takeaway is don't let yourself be so easily fooled and manipulated. Its happened to me a few times, nobody's perfect, but let's not consistently reward low effort copy/paste posts. It just leads to a multiplication of such posts in what is arguably the best thread on the forum.

Fuck off with your "last word" lecturing to imply that there might have had been some kind of need for merit source members in the WO thread to take some kind of action to tailor and/or improve their smerit sending practices in the WO thread in accordance with your baloney fantasy standards... and your bullshit implications that your thread had any kind of substantive/meaningful (or even desirable) effect in the direction of the WO in regards to your quasi-delusional wannabe a merit czar ideas of "troll problems" in the WO thread.**

**I would have said the same thing within that other thread, but you locked the thread after you set forth your fantasy-landia self-absorbed morality assertions.
2906  Economy / Economics / Re: Everything you wanted to know about BTC options but were afraid to ask! on: September 08, 2023, 09:33:46 PM
I didn't know earlier, but I stumbled on a series of videos that are quite informative about option trading: Glassnode Clips.
There is a video from three days ago, that analyses the drop in implied vols in Bitcoin:

This video shows how to interpret in the current trading environment using concepts like implied volatility, delta skew, volumes, and Open interest.
source ?

Did you try clicking on the pic?
2907  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2023, 09:19:56 PM
[edited out]
Some thoughts:

If nobody can access your seed your won't need any passphrase, if the seed was created with sufficient entropy ...which should always be questionable though!
Also, you are right, even a short passphrase will leave anyone who gets your seed in doubt if there even is a hidden passphrase wallet and if it makes sense to put in the work to look brute force for any.

A 128 bits phrase can secure your seed with the same security the seed secures your BTC, if that's what you want/need for ease of mind.

Nice thing: totally independent from all that passphrase science is the PIN which can secure your Trezor 100% against seed extraction from the open source chip. If the PIN strong enough your device will be worthless to any attacker.

From this discussion, I think that I am starting to understand some of the ideas more also, and truely if you hafve to use a 37 or 39+ character pin, then holy fucking shit, you are not going to be using that wallet very often because Trezor frequently requires you to enter in the pin when you are doing various transactions and to confirm transactions.. and maybe it is just to wake up after a few minutes of inactivity and maybe some of those settings could be tweaked in order to not require the 37-39+ character pin every single time.. ..

I don't know the exact answer, even though I know what I do, and from time to time, I also tweak what I do order to try out new things.. and surely we can do what vapourminer suggested which then allows for various seed phrases to be entered each time we are going to use the trezor and maybe if we have a few days of trezor work we conduct a variety of transactions prior to deleting the seed from the device.. which does seem like a bit of extra work, too.. but maybe not a bad compromise..

I think that I had mentioned in another thread that I had some border crossing experiences in which I would not have the seed on my trezor but a different seed, so I am not totally opposed to the practice of carrying a trezor with either a dummy seed or no seed.. but then at some point, i had started to feel less comfortable with that particular seed, so I ended up switching seeds (creating a new wallet).

Another thing is that through the years, many of us might have old wallets and we may or may not be able to access them anymore, but there still could be questions about the extent of their value and even concerns that maybe some value could end up getting sent to them or maybe some historical fork could be extracted...so I am not even sure how to keep track of old wallets and old addresses, even though I have read some posts on the topic too.. with some members entering old wallet addresses into a bitcoin tracker (or watcher) and those seem a bit potentially dangerous practices too.. to be discovered to be watching certain bitcoin wallets/addresses might create inferences that you either own them or had owned them at one time... and then to have them in one place to be connected could be problematic too.. and some of us have probably already made some of those kinds of mistakes in terms of how we are managing our addresses.
2908  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin Legal Tender in Central African Republic on: September 08, 2023, 08:54:58 PM
Snip
Hello Jay
I don't think you should keep stressing yourself over an issues or discussion that I think at last no credit could be given to you as I believe argument always linkage to some personal beefing. Why not just give a deaf ears to this thread and let it be as I think this could be something that may ends tragically as I have seen post that I myself can't continue to keep replying to this thread. You have given your points and there is nothing much to prove to anyone about what he is saying

I think I am off from here.

I am not upset.. and yes, no problem if you want to bow out.. because surely each of us decide the extent to which to participate, to respond or not... and sometimes the posts get repetitious and other times they start to deviate too much from the thread's topic... and sometimes threads get locked or someone rage quits... I cannot say what might happen, but I don't see any kind of tragedy, yet, even though both DrBeer and I seem to be starting to repeat ourselves on some of these points... which largely might end up allowing for the natural death of the continuation regarding these threads of discussion.

.....
If you didn’t have to strain yourself and write another post, you could copy your previous post:

Get the fuck out of here.

I don't have any burden or obligation to try to make any kind of case to establish that bitcoin has improved some country in order to make my earlier point that was largely asserting that your earlier post was full of shit. You are the one who has the burden to prove your case rather than me.

Great point.. I was pretty sure that I had remembered making such a point.. .so yeah. .thank's for doing the "looking it up" work for me... You proving yourself to be a great little helper DrBeer.     Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

The semantic load is the same - absolutely empty Smiley A lot of words, no arguments, no reasoned answers. Unilaterally, in order not to waste time, I stop this useless and meaningless dialogue Smiley

Don't stop.  I was just getting to know you.

You can't stop now.

PS Yes, I have nothing against the fact that some people believe in some fairy tales, that's normal Smiley

Good luck and prosperity to you Smiley

Yes, and good luck with your no coiner (or is it low coiner?) status.  You are likely going to need it, and no one here, including yours truly, is saying that you have to be some kind of bitcoin lover and to allocate high amounts to bitcoin in order to potentially prosper, but turning a blind eye to bitcoin or arguing that people should not get involved at all seems to be where you are coming from with your ongoing nonsensical belaboring of dumb and non-fact backed up points.

So think about position size of 1% to 25% into bitcoin, and if you are on the bearish side, then stay on the lower ends of that.. such as 1%... you don't need to take more bullish stances in order to still be able to prosper quite well... and between about 2014 until 2020, I was largely suggesting the initial investment range to be in the 1% to 10% territory, but the investment thesis for bitcoin has gotten quite a bit stronger since March 2020 which justifies the movement up to 1% to 25% and also the movement up from $10 per week to $100 per week, yet at the same time, each of us needs to figure out his/her own particulars in order to figure out the right amount of balance in terms if we choose to be aggressive in our bitcoin investment without devolving into a territory of overly aggressive in such a way that we end up recking our lil selfies, which also seems to be part of the example of the guy that I had provided earlier for him to be buying 0.33 BTC at $15k and then to be selling that same 0.33 BTC at around $6k.. which surely was a demonstration that he had been over investing into bitcoin in such a way that he had not prepared himself financially and/or psychologically for the price movements that ended up being contrary to the direction of what he had expected.
2909  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How is your DCA solution? on: September 08, 2023, 08:37:30 PM
I believe no fund are too small for someone to lose.
These are not easy questions, and of course, no one should want to either be reckless, lazy and/or failing to think through situations, but people can also get reckt or to miss out on a variety of opportunities, or paying too much in fees, or to be spending too much time on certain non-productive activities and worries by being overly cautious and unwilling to take various risks.

sometimes there are advantages towards having some money on exchanges and the whole system of bitcoin (and sure shitcoins too) come from price discovery and liquidation avenues being established on exchanges... so many guys here are lecturing about not keeping value on exchanges as if it were the ONLY thing going on, and sure on an individual level, you may well be motivated to maximize your own protections, but you also need to balance how much you might consider to be too much to be willing to lose and not putting yourself in a position that you are overly jittery.

And yeah, $500 has a different feeling to it for depending on your savings (investment portfolio) stash and your income so is different for:

1) someone who does not have any other savings and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

2)  someone who does not have any other savings and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,

3) someone who has $10k in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

4) someone who has $10k in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,  

5) someone who has $100k in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

6) someone who has $100k in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,  

7) someone who has more than $1 million in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

8 ) someone who has more than $1 million in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,

Do I need to go on with more examples to make my point?    Your feelings about the potential loss of $500 is going to feel different depending on the size of your savings and also the size of your discretionary income

And sometimes money is being made (or options are increasing) by using those third-party services, not that I am suggesting that there is a need to trade BTC or to get involved in shitcoins, but just that there could be some advantages by having money on third parties, especially if someone has a cushion and still might be considering ways in which s/he is not thinking in terms of all or nothing in regards to whether to use a 3rd party service but instead considering how much exposure do they consider to be acceptable in comparisons to a variety of other goals that they might have that might even place some value in having money (value) in various places... and I am not even referring to getting involved in shitcoins.. but there could even be some value to keep money in places that are known not to make money (such as keeping some money in fiat) and even to lose money, merely because it is good to have options of ways to be able to spend that money... or even to be able to invest if some opportunities were to potentially come.
Though I didn't purely mean saving in an exchange is wrong neither does withdrawing funds from exchange to external wallet is bad, I think all are for investors safety. But those who gets little budget as op shouldn't incur any additional expenses at the cost of DCA and at some point should apply other technique that could helps narrow down his fee, which about 3 to 4 post above gave a good point by also buying from p2p service provider and there could be every possibility to reduce his expenses and that could channeled more to his holding instead of ending up being spent on fee from cex.

You expression above shows a good representation.. and of course all may not be the same so it varies.

I don't want to be a hypocrite because earlier I had mentioned a need to attempt to tailor our answers to what OP is asking and what might be some suggestions that are sufficiently related to what OP is asking without necessarily imposing new hypotheticals onto the situation - however, at the same time, these are public threads, and we are not necessarily going to ONLY go towards answering the OP, but also attempting to address like situations, and largely I gave my examples to attempt to rebut your claim that a loss of anything is too much, and I am trying to suggest that it is not the case, and maybe also to assert that we do not even know enough about OP.. even though he did let us know that he has already figured his own budget amount to be somewhere in the territory of $14 to $20 per week or maybe just $50 in a month which would be less than $14 per week.

But since we are in a public thread, we likely need not be completely constrained to the narrow circumstances of OP. because even OPs circumstances could start out to be like one thing, but many of us know that even cashflows and expenses can change and even views of bitcoin that thereafter end up contributing to changes in  terms of how much OP might become available towards bitcoin purchases and how much he has saved, which then might bring him outside of the parameters that he had initially described to be relevant to his then situation.

I think that in subsequent posts, OP also said that he had some reluctancies towards some of the P2P suggestions, but that he would be willing to look into the matter to see if he might find some that he considers to be suitable for his situation... I personally find some of the P2P to be complicated, but again, I have not really used them, except for the ones that result in face to face cash transactions. .. which may well be quite satisfying if we can get passed some of the potential security concerns in terms of figuring out where to meet.. which sometimes it can be helpful to have reputational systems for that when meeting strangers.. and then if there are local meet ups that can be good, but some people might be nervous (or scared) to get involved in local meetups, too.
2910  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gifting satoshis to future generations on: September 08, 2023, 08:24:21 PM
There is some truth in what you are saying Blitzboy, and frequently I find myself telling people about bitcoin while at the same time suggesting that they don't come crying to me if they lose money on it or they fuck something up, and frequently people see my approach as NOT sufficiently advocating for what I am saying that they do because I am not standing behind it sufficiently enough... and yeah there is ONLY so much that any of us can do (including letting people know that they are responsible for their own decisions, including not deciding and not acting), and maybe sometimes we do end up getting more raveled into helping someone (and holding their hands) in way too many ways, and it can be a difficult balance because some people actually need some hand-holding in order to really get started enough and to a far enough place that they can be thereafter be let out on their own.
I think some of this depends on how willing and self development they are ought to be because you could try all means to pass information and knowledge to people but the abilities and desires for such people or groups of person's to dilute those Information given to results as a point of interest ( there are some fellow who loves the words "bitcoin" but had barely give it a time).

You and I know today that for someone to be fully bathed in bitcoin and all tells that relates with formation and configuration and reserved on self development that leads to self study and reliance. Though it's pretty much cool learning and gaining the knowledge from those whom we may think that are better than them but willingness to put more efforts to practice depends on personal interest.

 I don't think holding hands could solved the problems of those who are wishing for a self development as I think we are in a computerised world were information could likely be source and diluted without having to be much more depending on personal tells from those whom we may introduce to the space.
The world is fast rising place which everyone I mean, anyone are liable for whatever lose the incurred while accepting to ventured into bitcoin investment. The truth is before investment we should first accept the risk aspect before the benefits aspect of it.

Sure, there likely needs to be some motivation for learning and/or taking some steps to set up a wallet or to learn about how to use a bitcoin wallet if there happens to be "free bitcoin" inside, and maybe the recipient of the gift is not going to pay attention until the amount gets to be over a certain amount or they perceive some kind of value that they can get from the gift (the bitcoin) that they perceive to outweigh the costs upon them to have to learn or to have to listen to a parent who is "lecturing at" them.

Maybe the giver teaches the bitcoin recipient that the recipient has a duty to pass on and to hold the family legacy, and maybe that could be an incentive for some recipients to want to learn and to take on such responsibility.  Sometimes it is not clear how to inspire someone who might otherwise not be inspired or feel some kind of a need to learn.

2911  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2023, 08:12:17 PM
This is a Legendary Person ! What a true and pure Person .. ☺️❤️
https://youtu.be/Ir3eJ1t13fk?si=WAO9L26eSpbiwrKv

God bless !

How are you thinking that bitcoin fits (or would fit) into his life?






Anyone?






Anyone?
2912  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How is your DCA solution? on: September 08, 2023, 07:37:54 PM
I believe no fund are too small for someone to lose.

These are not easy questions, and of course, no one should want to either be reckless, lazy and/or failing to think through situations, but people can also get reckt or to miss out on a variety of opportunities, or paying too much in fees, or to be spending too much time on certain non-productive activities and worries by being overly cautious and unwilling to take various risks.

sometimes there are advantages towards having some money on exchanges and the whole system of bitcoin (and sure shitcoins too) come from price discovery and liquidation avenues being established on exchanges... so many guys here are lecturing about not keeping value on exchanges as if it were the ONLY thing going on, and sure on an individual level, you may well be motivated to maximize your own protections, but you also need to balance how much you might consider to be too much to be willing to lose and not putting yourself in a position that you are overly jittery.

And yeah, $500 has a different feeling to it for depending on your savings (investment portfolio) stash and your income so is different for:

1) someone who does not have any other savings and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

2)  someone who does not have any other savings and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,

3) someone who has $10k in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

4) someone who has $10k in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,  

5) someone who has $100k in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

6) someone who has $100k in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,  

7) someone who has more than $1 million in savings, and has an income that ONLY allows for $10 - $30 savings per week,

8 ) someone who has more than $1 million in savings, and has an income that allows for $400 - $800 savings per week,

Do I need to go on with more examples to make my point?    Your feelings about the potential loss of $500 is going to feel different depending on the size of your savings and also the size of your discretionary income

And sometimes money is being made (or options are increasing) by using those third-party services, not that I am suggesting that there is a need to trade BTC or to get involved in shitcoins, but just that there could be some advantages by having money on third parties, especially if someone has a cushion and still might be considering ways in which s/he is not thinking in terms of all or nothing in regards to whether to use a 3rd party service but instead considering how much exposure do they consider to be acceptable in comparisons to a variety of other goals that they might have that might even place some value in having money (value) in various places... and I am not even referring to getting involved in shitcoins.. but there could even be some value to keep money in places that are known not to make money (such as keeping some money in fiat) and even to lose money, merely because it is good to have options of ways to be able to spend that money... or even to be able to invest if some opportunities were to potentially come.
2913  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: September 08, 2023, 06:44:46 PM
-
To invest in Bitcoin you must depend on DCA. You can invest monthly and weekly.
Buy Bitcoin at DCA ratio when Bitcoin price is low and save for long term. You save bitcoins monthly or weekly which will later be earned in a whale.
As long as you need to hold Bitcoin carefully because long-term successful journey will get the most performance according to DCA.
DCA is the best way to buy Bitcoin.

Thank you for reminding me about the investment strategy that I have implemented so far. Of course DCA is an investment method or strategy that is worth recommending to anyone, even though DCA is not liked by all investors. I do as much as I can, all for long term goals.

Basically the strategy doesn't benefit investors, it's how they buy, but when you are able to ignore the volatility and hold it for a long period of time until you sell at a higher price, that's what benefits you. This means that good investment management is what will make you successful in generating profits.

Well, we know that holding for the long term is really what matters, so it is not always clear how much management would be necessary at the core, but some of the problems (and maybe challenges) come from having a cashflow that is coming in and the fact that we did not necessarily have a lump sum (or credit that we want to use on bitcoin) that was available to us at earlier dates, so as the money is coming in, we have to decide how are we going to spend it... including that maybe we have $100 to $800 per month that is extra that we can spend on bitcoin, and maybe it largely ends up being less than $100 per week, but at the same time, every once in a while, maybe once or twice per year, we get some kind of an extra lump sum payment of several thousand dollars that maybe we can consider towards investing all of it into bitcoin as a lump sum, or we might want to strategize with it... even though financially it might not be exactly clear if we might be better off just lump summing right way...

and the same is likely true with maintaining our BTC portfolio once we might have reached our accumulation goals, and then we are largely maintaining, but at the same times we are teetering between wanting to accumulate more and wanting to cash some out.
2914  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Important to know: Difference Coin / Token and shady marketing practices on: September 08, 2023, 06:36:42 PM
It is important to note that being a coin and running on a blockchain does not give any extra legitimacy to the project. The developing team can put in a little effort to creating a crap blockchain and investing loads on marketing. This is not false advertising cause it is actually a coin but a shitty one.
So, for the sake of accuracy, these products are called "Alttokens" instead of "Altcoins" as long as they are still a token. The popular term for such products would then be "Shittoken" instead of "Shitcoin" accordingly.
In your example it will be tokens and not alttokens, cause there is no top token the way we have Bitcoin and it is not an alternate version.
I am okay lumping them all as shitcoins or altcoins, cause making a distinction makes some look more valuable than the others.
- Jay -

In reading through this thread, some similar kinds of ideas passed through my head in terms of considering how much value comes from making some of the subcategorizations of the various kinds of shitcoins and the various kinds of ways to scam people in various kinds of ways that largely amount to various kinds of affinity scams on bitcoin that either make comparisons or contrasts to bitcoin, whereby bitcoin is adding most of the value - while at the same time, the various shitcoins sometimes can end up serving as real world laboratories in order that if they do happen to come up with something that might work in bitcoin and provide value in bitcoin, then it could be added into bitcoin at the base layer or at a second or third layer.

So does the difference between Coin and Token really matter in the whole scheme of things, maybe not in terms of BIGGER picture ideas, but sometimes in terms of the devils of implementing some kind of a potential non-scam feature, then how the feature functions and the extent to which it actually had been tested could make some differences to know whether it was on a token or a coin and to thereby consider the various incentives that might have played out on a scam project versus if it were to be attempted to be added to bitcoin where the incentives might already be different, and then will the scam token or coin or feature have some positive or negative affects on bitcoin and would it be able to add value.. or make money for whoever is able to implement it on bitcoin and to be able to tie it to bitcoin rather than to some having it connected to some project that has questionable underlying base layer features.

2915  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How is your DCA solution? on: September 08, 2023, 06:09:55 PM
Binance is actually cool though, but you may need to save about $500 worth of btc before withdrawal I think at this point you may not be spending much at point of withdrawing your funds. If you wanna constantly wanting to withdraw all time you buy, you may spend much at the cost of wanting to make withdrawal.

If you think about it, $500 is not really that much to be holding on an exchange that has been around for a decently long time and there really are not any strong signs that they are going to rug pull anyone, even though they have been under quite a bit of pressure in the past year or so and even more so since November/December 2022... which likely shows that there were just people who were pissed off about the obvious scam of FTX going down and somehow wanting to make a connection to Binance and to blame Binance/CZ and a bunch of just nonsense spin because American regulators and financial institutions feel that they cannot control Binance/CZ as much as they would like.

Anyway back to the point about $500 not really being very much, even though it could take OP 6 months to a year to get up to $500 in his account, and surely the first year or so, there may be some desire to move some of the accumulated BTC off of Binance, but after a year or two, the percentage of his overall BTC holdings will become smaller and smaller and after a few years, maybe $500 worth of BTC purchases that are sitting on Binance might only be less than 20% of OPs overall BTC holdings size... .. and sure no one wants to lose 20% of their BTC holdings, and so there still is a kind of balancing in term of the practicality of the withdrawal fees.. and it likely feels much more manageable to be paying 1% to 5% on withdrawal fees rather than 10% to 20% on withdrawal fees... which could just cause disincentives to be spending so much on withdrawal fees so it is worth some risk of holding with third parties just to reduce the withdrawal fees to more acceptable levels, while trying to stay practical and without necessarily getting too greedy about the amount of reduction that would be prudent and reasonable.
2916  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2023, 04:32:01 PM
Maybe, I have finally cracked the #Bitcoin code.

The November 28th Cycles Theory has held the key.

Using 4-year time cycles against my Theory, produces Bitcoins exact behavior in time since its inception.
                                          
Cycles are centered around the date of the first halving Nov 28th.

Bitcoin price action began at the first bottom October 8th, 2010. This is where cycle curves peak, every 4 years.

Tops and bottoms come +/- 21 days from Nov 28th at their appropriate times on the curve. Tops on the upswing, bottoms on the pinnacle.

After Bitcoin bottoms, price makes an early first cycle move (orange) and enters into a mid-cycle lull.

This is the longest part of the cycle, where Bitcoin spends time around the median price (half of previous ATH), until the curve bottoms.

The bottom of the curve launches the majority of the bull run (blue circle).

The thought that everyone is expecting 4-year cycles allows them to continue right on track. Things like price and exact timing maintain surprise.

These times cycles continue to hold true to this day. We have now almost certainly put in the early top (4) and are entering the mid-cycle lull.

These take place in June in the year following the bottom. The second cycle did this in 2 years after, in June 2016.

The bull run will launch on Nov 28th, 2024.

The next top will be +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2025.

The next bottom will be +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2026.

The next mid-cycle lull: June 2027.
https://twitter.com/CryptoCon_/status/1699797267895775624
[img wi]https://i.ibb.co/D5tTWYW/20230908-164352.jpg[/img]

To me, that sounds too rigid... .. and like a guess based on selectively choosing retrospective data

in addition buy a birthday card and write a creative text on it with the actual passphrase in between that only your trusted person knows about it, atleast that's what i did.

For OpSec sake, I hope you did not actually do this..

But hey,.. whatever.

There sometimes can be some creative ways to share passphrases, seedwords and/or parts of these in various places, and then ONLY certain people need to know that they need to be assembled  and the order in which each of the parts might need to be assembled.. ..

like

First:  30th year birthday card  


Second:  bible in the living room
 


third refrigerator magnet

and


Fourth license plate on grandpa's 1976 TransAm


And since those 4 places are vulnerable it may be better to have only 3.. and it probably would be good to have a second set (a backup set)...

and yeah, it ends up getting complicated to have these kinds of things, and for which wallets?  All wallets?... and maybe that is ONLY for 1 wallet.. so what if you have 20 wallets?  and various other secrets (like passwords?). or  does the getting of the one group of passwords give access to everything else.. like a master password.. like bitwarden.. or last pass or something in which we might not want to have all of our passwords.. which would have its own vulnerabilities.

If there aren’t any bad actors this cycle,


That's a pretty BIG





"If"

^^ I think the 4-year cycle is pretty common knowledge by now right? The only reason the last cycle was slightly different and messed up the models a bit was because FTX manipulated the market buy using people’s BTC to pump shitcoins. If there aren’t any bad actors this cycle, things could end up getting pretty wild.
But the current market situation is also wilder than a few years ago. The bitcoin price can suddenly decrease or rise, then fall and fall again, and then remain at that low price for a while.

The presence or absence of news still makes the market move erratically and confuses those who analyze it and in the end, many people make mistakes in their analysis.

You seem to be focusing on substantive numbers jcojci, rather than percentage moves.

I doubt that it is getting any wilder in terms of percentage moves, even though there surely are some matters that can be framed as wild aspects.. such as how much time we are spending below the 200-week moving average...
2917  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2023, 03:59:28 PM
I must be in the wrong thread... like a lost little puppy..

and having the questions:

What is crypto?  Does it somehow relate to this here topic?
Crypto?

Reminds me of John Carvahlo's taunting of Roger Ver with the term "Bcash"..

bcash

bcash


bcash




hahahahahaha

So not bragging about your holdings is another easy security layer.

Part of the reason why 0.63 BTC will have to be downgraded, at some point.

@AlcoHoDL, Trezor vulnerability is something that has been known for years, there was a lot of discussion about it in the technical discussion boards, but luckily every user can protect himself by setting a passphrase, and there is also another option, which is the use of an SD card.

When it comes to passphrase, the conclusion is that they should be at least 37 characters long :

A physical access to a Trezor One, Trezor T, Keepkey, or B-wallet allows an attacker to extract the 12/24-words within a few minutes using a low-cost setup (~100$), with a very high reproducibility (we had 100% success). We finally proved it can be fully automated allowing anyone to use it in case someone would sell the Extraktor box (similar to old Playstation hacks). This attack can not be fixed. The only mitigation is to use a strong passphrase: we recommend 37 random characters to maintain the same level of security.

For those who are interested in how to protect themselves additionally with the help of an SD card :

Trezor T (2.3.0) and Trezor One (1.9.0) firmware update

Also, one thing I forgot is that it is possible to set a so-called fake PIN that can be left as a bait, and if it is entered, all data from the hardware wallet will be deleted.

The Wipe Code
Another exciting new feature is the wipe code that acts as a “self-destruct PIN” that erases your Trezor if someone tries to unlock your device without your consent. If the wipe code is entered into any PIN entry dialog, then all private data will be immediately erased from your Trezor and the device will be reset to factory defaults. You can write the wipe code somewhere near your Trezor as a decoy PIN, so if someone tries to unlock the device without your consent, they will cause it to erase itself. You can also use the wipe code to reset your Trezor without using a host device. This update can be enabled on both Trezor models.
A 128 bits PIN should do the trick as well, as it is used to encrypt the seed on the chip.

(Please let me know if you think I'm wrong)

I still have problems with the need for 37 random characters for the 25th word.. and let's say if someone just has 10-15 somewhat random characters, then how long is it going to take to break into the Trezor?

Remember each time that we log into the device and sometimes we might get disconnected and have to log in again, it can take quite a bit of time to be logging in these 37 random characters each time...

I am not going to say how many digits that I actually use, and  I also am not going to give any hints either... and it is bad enough that I said that I use such a device, in theory.

By the way, we have a long term member in these here parts that swears by that piece of crap, aka Ledger, and surely there are probably quite a few members who may or may not be in the closest about their use (and apparent belief) in the Ledger crap.

~snip~
A 128 bits PIN should do the trick as well, as it is used to encrypt the seed on the chip.

(Please let me know if you think I'm wrong)
You are definitely right, considering that I am not a user of Trezor, I was not even aware that in 2021 they increased the maximum PIN length to even 50 digits, and they say that 39 digits is quite enough to protect the seed from hacking. It's actually a good thing for those who for some reason don't want to use a passphrase or maybe don't even know such an option exists - although it's an option they always recommend to advanced users.

Everyone should use the passphrase.. and it should not be considered advanced... and maybe using 37 random characters might be considered advanced.

But I still wonder if a relatively short password might just be considered a less advance version. and is better than no password at all.. so why do we have to have a need to overly complicate matters by suggesting so much complication, when surely it must add quite a bit of difficulty to just have a shorter 25th word in there (or 13th word seems to be more standard) rather than no extra word (passphrase) at all.

In other words, why let the perfect be the enemy of the good?

We have a lot of cases where users wonder why they don't see anything on their balance even though they have the correct seed, and then it turns out that they actually added an extra password without which the seed creates a completely new set of addresses.

It might be a bit impractical to enter a PIN that's 39+ digits long, but for the average user it's probably easier than setting a passphrase.

Oh I see that the 39+ pin is different from the extra word...and that 39 character pin would resolve the other issue regarding a hacker getting ahold of the physical device and breaking into it.. so that still leaves the issue of the 13th or 25th word actually not needing to be very complicated, and a 8-15 character passphrase may well make it quite difficult to get at the wallet because they would first need to know (or suspect) that such a wallet (or extra portal to a wallet) actually exists in connection with the 12 or 24 word seed that was extracted from the device.
2918  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: September 08, 2023, 03:29:32 PM
[edited out]
OK, I respect your opinion, but you do you. Personally, I won't be buying ANY Bitcoin at the current price levels because due to the current macro-economic situation around the world, we could get another opportunity to buy Bitcoin with a big discount again and front-run everyone. Give it until March next year, but it could happen again before that. Probably by the end of this year?

My bids are on $20,000.
         ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I am not even sure if I am just doing me because I am trying to suggest a kind of variance of bitcoin accumulation methods that would depend on the individual situation, and you seem to get so caught up on price predictions, that your technique seems to devolve into gambling if it were applied to everyone.. and yeah you have the luxury of having had been accumulating bitcoin since 2016, so you can wait and still be prepared for Up, while someone without any kind of meaningful BTC accumulation may well need to consider ongoing accumulating of bitcoin rather than waiting around for BTC prices that might not end up happening.. and that results in failure to invest as much as he should have had invested.

I cannot tell anyone when they start to have the luxury of being able to wait, and surely I have not really been employing any kind of strict DCA since early 2017, and maybe I even stopped in early 2016.. It sometimes can be difficult to figure out exactly what any  of us might be doing when we employ a variety of techniques and sometimes trying to figure out whether any new money is coming in or not... which surely I ended up feeling that I had to bring some new money in between about June 2022 and January 2023 based on the then BTC price dips that went way beyond expectations... so in that sense, I suppose that I am contradicting my own statements about not employing DCA since 2017, since I brought new money into my budget in between June 2022 and January 2023 and placed that value into buying on dip slots.. so that might not even be characterized as DCA since it was plugged into dip values even though it was new fiat coming in to support the then shortages of fiat in my bitcoin investment portfolio.

[edited out]
DCA is good for those people who have enough disposable income that comes in regularly every week/month. But for a pleb like me, I need to pick good price levels where I could get the most of my limited capital. Plus read the news. Why would I buy now if I know there's some probability that some macro-economic and geo-political events will crash ALL markets all over the world?

You would buy if you don't have any bitcoin and you would also buy if you have a lot of extra fiat, and there might be other reasons that you figure that you cannot gamble on the BTC price going down so you might choose to spend part of your budget now and save the other part just in case the BTC prices crash.

As long as the Federal Reserve is not turning on the money printer, economies and markets will eventually crash back down again.

So you are saying that there is a chance that markets will not crash?  That would be another reason to buy some BTC now rather than waiting.

[edited out]
Agreed, DCA is best for those who have a regular income and it will be different for those who have no regular income. Because they have to keep track of the market movements which are difficult and challenging. Moreover, it cannot be said that our predictions will always be effective. Generally, financial markets are heavily influenced by systemic economic and geopolitical factors, there may be some potential but it is not easy to predict for everyone. Even the wisest people make mistakes in such assumptions. We know that any monetary policy by the Federal Reserve can affect market movement, but that does not mean that any monetary policy implementation will certainly trigger a market crash. So there is no substitute for DCA to keep secure investment accordance with the time.

There is also nothing wrong with doing both.  DCA'ing and saving some dry powder for dips.
2919  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How is your DCA solution? on: September 08, 2023, 02:43:59 PM
Overall, I don't have any problem with your strategy erep, but it still seems to be a strategy that would have better chances of working well for someone who has already built a decent BTC stash, and so if you are either a no coiner or a low coiner who is still in the earliest of stages of building a BTC portfolio, it may well take several years, before there is any value in waiting to buy on dips rather than just buying regularly at any price (aka DCA).
When I hear a low coiner talking about waiting on the dip to invest, I tend to see someone who is most likely not going to invest at all. Why do I say this;
Being a low coiner at this stage is defined by one with very minimal experience. Yes, there might be those who have gained theoretical knowledge by taking several studies but, it doesn’t end there. When you start buying and experiencing the flux of the market, there the market plays it’s best cards on you.

So yeah, a low coiner has little or no experience and as such, you can’t predict the dip for sure nor is any of the veterans which makes you procrastinate on investment even after presented with the best opportunity.

You might be right Mr. Right, but it seems to be problematic to merely describe a low coiner in terms of the amount of experience that s/he has with bitcoin rather than the more obvious description that a low coiner would be someone who does not have very many coins as compared to how many s/he should have based on his/her own financial situation.

For example if someone has a $100k investment portfolio, and ONLY has less than 1% in bitcoin, then that would seem to be a low coiner, and maybe even some of us might argue having 1% to 5% into bitcoin would also be a low coiner, but at least that person might have allocated low, but still at least they got off of zero and they got over a 1% allocation in bitcoin.

There are so many people, institutions and governments who are either completely without bitcoin and/or below a 1% allocation, and I would prefer to focus on them first.. and using some kind of a quantifiable measurement that relates to how many coins that they have instead of just how experienced they are in bitcoin, even though you are likely correct that there is a pretty high correlation that shows the more time that anyone spends studying bitcoin, the more likely he is going to act and the more likely that he acts in relation to bitcoin, the more likely he is going to transition out of low coiner status.

Another thing is that OP seems to be talking about $50 to $100 per month, so it is not a whole hell of a lot to work with, and depending upon how high of an annual salary s/he has, it could take well over 10 years, at such rate, to even get to a point of having a year's worth of salary invested into bitcoin..
I have seen some users on the forum propose a $1 per day and over $7 a week. The $100 seems even better as compared with these but, it’s what there income allows of them and that’s good enough for them but still, they should be ready to do the time it takes to add a lot of value and that could be such a long time, who knows.

I would never want to suggest that anyone invest more than they can afford in terms of their own cashflow and expenses considerations, so those examples of $1 per day or $10 per week are fine if that is all that someone can afford, and surely I used to make those same kinds of suggestions prior to March 2020, and after March 2020, I started to default by suggesting $100 per week rather than $10 per week because it seems that some people need to be more aggressive in their thoughts about bitcoin, especially if they already know that they can afford $100 per week, and those investing $100 per week starting in March 2020, are likely going to have difficulties ever catching up to those who started with $10 per week 4 years earlier (let's say March 2016), but still I was thinking that the devaluation of the dollar and also some of the price bounces (and strength of bitcoin's investment thesis after March 2020, justified upping the starting recommendation to $100 per week while also with the caveat that there is a recognition that doing as best as you can might well have an end result that might ONLY be $10 per week for some people.

Another thing I recognize and appreciate is that no one should be picking out numbers based on another person's recommendation, even though I am likely going to continue to start out with $100 per week rather than $10 per week but people should recognize that $100 per week is likely aimed at a western audience.. and if your income is not in the $30k or more per year ballpark, then you may well be needing to adjust down those numbers... because another way to think about it would be investing between 1% and 25% of your income into bitcoin, and you are ONLY going to be able to invest at the higher ends of that range if you really have your shit together, otherwise you should be picking more realistic and sustainable numbers for yourself, and someone who makes $26k per year might be able to $100 per week which is 20% of his her annual salary ($500 per week), but someone who ONLY makes $13k per year may well be going overboard with $100 per week, because that would constitute 40% of his/her salary, so s/he may have to go through a lot of gymnastics to allow for 40% to work in a way that is sustainable.. including questioning whether s/he already had set up some kind of an emergency fund or maybe some of that money getting taken out for investing goes to bitcoin and the other part goes towards making sure that the emergency fund is solid.
2920  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin Legal Tender in Central African Republic on: September 08, 2023, 02:17:58 PM
There's something that can never be argued because we know too well that the rise of bitcoin is gain or profits of another while the fall is lose to another but the tendency to utilize this opportunity then lies in the hands of the holder be it a trader or whatsoever.

Well I won't argue with you at some point because, any falling or fallen economy can never be built through bitcoin introduction, as I believe is left on the hands of their government to take appropriate care of their economy, I think bitcoin can only create additional opportunities to the inhabitants but as a means of restoring a fallen economy is something I can't say with all certainty.
You are absolutely correct!
Absolutely agree with you. To summarize, the situation will be like this:
1. Bitcoin will never save, any economy. For a simple reason - it cannot do it
2. Bitcoin is a good means to make money on speculative transactions. Yes, let me remind you again - cryptocurrency today is absolutely a speculative asset.  Well, or an opportunity to make money for not very honest people who can take advantage of the current problems of bitcoin owners and capitalize on them.

Everything else is fairy tales and dreams Smiley
I agree with two of your points which are:
1)  you and your ideas are fairy tales and dreams.
and
2) cryptocurrencies (not talking about bitcoin) are speculative to such an extent that the vast majority of them are some form of scam in terms of printing money and/or affinity scams upon bitcooin trying to seem like or to be like bitcoin.

Your point about bitcoin not being able to fix countries is lame, and surely improvements to any situation is likely a product of multiple things going on, and bitcoin would not be the ONLY thing that is going on but within a package of other things in which it may or may not be able to take credit for its "on the margin" kinds of contributions in any situation, whether personal investment, institutions and/or governments.  It is easier to look at the situations of individuals, so if you attempt to apply bitcoin systems to institutions and/or governments, then more complexities come into place, but a lot of the same individual are still going to apply to the more complex systems of institutions and governments, but there are just more things going on with institutions and governments as compared with individuals.
Grin Grin Grin Grin
Stupid - because you can't prove otherwise ? Fairy tales - because you have no arguments and to my arguments and explanations your response is "get the hell outta here" !?? Smiley))
I gave arguments to which you could not answer anything but attacks. I even gave you a chance and asked you to show which economy Bitcoin has already helped - in response only unintelligible sounds. I asked you to show how Bitcoin can help the population of the country, but you showed an example when a person invested, "thanks" to you, 5000 dollars in Bitcoin, and you did not warn him of the risks and volatility, and then returned him 2000 dollars.  You are confusing the general public with investors, and telling some fairy tale excuses Smiley
It is not interesting to communicate with you, but it is funny Smiley

I have already told you that I have no obligation to provide examples or to complete your assignments, when largely I had been rebutting you rather than arguing any of my own case... and largely you have been making various arguments regarding how bitcoin is not valuable or helpful to people, institutions and/or governments, which the on the ground facts seem to already rebutt you without my even having to say anything - even though it still can be helpful to point out the various times when you are out of touch, which seems to be quite a bit of the time.

In order to understand bitcoin as already being a success, there is no need to point out any particular country, since the fact of the matter continues to be that bitcoin is becoming more and more liquid around the world on a regular basis and serving as an alternative way to hold value and to transmit value, including transitioning between currencies.

So one aspect of bitcoin is its ability to be transacted right now, and another aspect is to hold bitcoin and to consider the extent to which your purchasing power may or may not be increased in the future, which it not guaranteed, even though we can see that historically bitcoin's purchasing power has continued to increase, so the guy who sold his 0.333 bitcoin to me at around $6k in mid 2018 and only got around a bit more than $2k for it, would have been able to receive right around $8,650 today as I type, but he chose not to hold the bitcoin until now and he chose to sell it in mid 2018 at a personal loss.  His choice.  I had no obligation to say anything to him, and I might have said more than I needed to in terms of trying to suggest that he does not sell his BTC to me at a loss... but he was insistent, and he is in the best position to know what he wants to do, even though he admitted that he was receiving less than half the value from the coins as what he had bought them from me right around 6 months earlier.  He seemed fairly embarrassed by the whole situation, and maybe part of the reason is that I already knew him from the earlier transaction, and if he knew of some other place that he could have sold his bitcoin on the same terms, he might have gone to the other location in order to save himself from some of the embarrassment that he seemed to have had been experiencing when he sold the coins to me at a personal loss to him.

Whether bitcoin value comes from the utility of using it for transmissions of value or from storing it or from some other kinds of use case, there seems to ongoingly increases in the value in bitcoin based on many use cases that people find, including just holding it. 

Surely there are some currencies that are more liquid than bitcoin on a world wide basis, and it seems that the dollar is the most liquid of currencies, but some folks seem to not want to transact in dollars or to hold dollars, and so bitcoin serves as one of the other options for those people. and even institutions and governments are making similar kinds of choices to hold bitcoin rather than dollars or to figure out some kind of balancing regarding how much of each of those currencies/assets that they would prefer to hold, and even if they don't know what is Gresham's law, many of people are likely motivated by Gresham's law principles in terms of choosing which kinds of currencies(assets) to spend first and which currencies/assets to hold for longer term periods.

Regarding the extent to which bitcoin helps any economy, those kinds of answers go back to fairness in regards to distribution of currencies and bitcoin's ability to provide a counter-example regarding it's limited supply - which ultimately creates better incentives over the money printing dynamic of fiat systems that both undermines the holders of the currency that is being printed out of thin air and the printed out of thin air money also ends up getting distributed in ways that advantage those who are closest to the money printer as compared to those who are further out being more disadvantaged because their money devalues through inflation,

...and so bitcoin does not have that kind of money printing corruption, and so its built-in fairness likely helps all economies by improving the incentives and not taking value away from people who hold onto their currencies.  As more and more people realize bitcoin as being the soundest of monies, then it seems quite likely that bitcoin will end up expanding various economies because it is a more fair money, and so bitcoin seems to do these kinds of fairness creation things overall.. and maybe we will see results in El Salvador first, since El Salvador seems to be attempting to be a beacon of Bitcoin adoption, even though there are enclaves all around the world that seem to be attempting to imitate aspects of El Salvador's bitcoin adoption. and attempting to be more permissive regarding bitcoin and perhaps increasing ways in which bitcoin is being used in circular economy kinds of ways.   
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