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3061  Economy / Speculation / Re: Do you believe Michael Saylor is currently getting antsy? on: January 27, 2022, 04:55:23 AM
The purchase price of Microstrategy in Ave is around $31,500. Additionally, Tesla's average buy-in price is $36k. Is Elon going to sell?

What are your thoughts, gentlemen?

Why would they sell LOW?? They have their whole future ahead of them to sell high. I doubt they got to be rich CEOs by implementing a sell at a loss strategy lol.

My speculation for that question would be if Tesla and Microstrategy’s stock prices went down because their quarterly income statement is being affected negatively because of their bitcoins held in their treasury, this might cause shareholders to pressure the company to sell their coins. However, between Tesla and Microstrategy, it is very clear that Tesla would be the first to dump if one of them dumps.

Also, it is not only Tesla and Microstrategy that are exposed to bitcoin. There are other institutional investors who are holding it, who also might dump it without thinking twice if their portfolios of stocks and bonds are taking losses. This might appear anatagonistic for much of you, however, I am not being antagonistic. This is reality.
3062  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: January 27, 2022, 04:00:50 AM
Others seem to be following suit with El Salvador and exploring their Bitcoin options.  Max Keiser stated that the next country to accept Bitcoin is known by him and that it is in South America.  They'd better hurry because the news today is that Turkey is exploring cryptocurrencies and is now widely expected to recognize Bitcoin as a currency also.  The dominoes are beginning to fall.  I can say that I'm genuinely concerned with so many people being onboarded onto Bitcoin's layer-2 with development of that layer being so extremely centralized to a handful of companies and almost no community support from developers (this website doesn't even have a Lightning section).  I just cross my fingers and hope that one company's mission to take over control of Bitcoin's governance doesn't lead to the failure of our global finance vision.

It is very clear that Max Keiser is talking about Argentina. There were some articles that mentioned that Jack Mallers has been in talks with the people in the Argentinian government for a partnership with his company strike.me. I reckon there might be an announcement within 3 months.

It appears that another country publicly holding bitcoin in their treasury might begin a geopolitical game of who is not holding bitcoin might be left behind. This will be very exciting to witness in the cryptospace hehehe.
3063  Economy / Speculation / Re: Do you believe Michael Saylor is currently getting antsy? on: January 26, 2022, 06:09:49 AM

It's possible that they have already sold in $60K. Or they just hold.

They bought a lot of BTC, I'm sure they wanted profit through it so it's only logical for them to sell and make money out of it. Michael Saylor or Elon must have hired a bunch of traders who do manage their portfolio to grow. Saylor has a Grayscale platform himself, he knows how to do it himself. If we only knew the BTC they have, it will be clear for us to see.
That will be without a doubt an interesting scenario, even if he did not sold all of his holdings if he sold some of his portfolio during the ATH then he has money and he can take advantage of the new dip or at least to resist it, still it is going to be interesting to see what he does from now on as the markets are really unstable with the whole Ukraine situation going on so it will be difficult to see recovery anytime soon.

Agreed. The thread should not be about if Michael Saylor is getting anxious, it should be more about what price is Michael Saylor waiting to buy the dip. It is very clear already that the community should not be worried about him or his conviction on his investment in bitcoin. Whatever Saylor is presently doing, we can be quite certain that he is always ready to buy more.


Michael Saylor in his room
3064  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance Calls for Global Crypto Regulation on: January 26, 2022, 04:03:29 AM
@Darker45. I do not know hehe. It certainly makes it appear that some people working in Binance’s human resources department are not good in their jobs or they might be desperate to find anyone for the position hehe.

However, you might also be correct! It might only be an attempt to make Binance appear compliant. This article was published last week. I reckon this might be why FTX was working with regulators from the beginning. Sam knew it would give his exchange the advantage.



In public, Binance said it welcomed government oversight. At the same time, the firm was withholding information from regulators, maintaining weak checks on customers and acting against its own compliance department’s recommendations, a Reuters investigation has found.

Source https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/finance-crypto-currency-binance/
3065  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: January 26, 2022, 03:41:55 AM
It appears this president is motivated with strong convictions in an ideology which also can be speculated that he will never listen to the IMF’s demand to remove bitcoin’s legal tender status in El Salvador. I support this tweet, however, I am afraid that Bukele should begin to be cautious for his family’s safety and his own. Those bloodless vampires behind the IMF will do anything to maintain the existing state of their monetary system.

I reckon the other South American leaders should unite and push back.



Wanna see hypocrisy?

Look at the ones supporting a President who wants to go to war to boost his approval ratings, sending gas prices to the roof in the midst of a global inflation that will send hundreds of millions into poverty.

But they’re concerned about McDonald’s jokes


Source https://mobile.twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1485754688628789249?s=12
3066  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: IMF urges El Salvador to remove Bitcoin as legal tender on: January 26, 2022, 02:31:48 AM
The IMF and the cronies running it are scared.  Of course they want El Salvador to drop bitcoin because it takes control from the surveillance state kleptocrats and puts it in the hands of people.  Does El Salvador want to eventually be free of the international control freaks or does it want to be under their thumbs in perpetuity?

The answer should be: keep bitcoin and give it time.  The IMF has destroyed countries world wide with the insane policies it has recommended, trusting them now is like trusting any fiat currency to retain value.  As inflation in the US showed last year, they can't do it.  Bitcoin can over time.


I disagree. This is a warning and this should never be underestimated. The people who are behind our present monetary system are ruthless and cold blooded monsters. They will do anything to protect the exisiting state of their monetary system. Bukele’s presidential term will end on 2024 with a chance to win again on the next election for another 5 years. It would not be very shocking if we witness a coup d’etat or something worse unless El Salvador removes legal tender status. Those cold blooded monsters work on a different set of rules.

However, if Bukele does not listen and the countries in all of South America unite under the acceptance of bitcoin as legal tender, the IMF will begin to be running it scared hehehehe.
3067  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Who’s who in the gambling subforum? on: January 25, 2022, 05:17:23 AM
...

In the end, isn't that what this thread is about?  Which of us is able to give predictions which translate into winnings?

This thread is about who shares valuable information and also the quality of their analysis and opinions after the information was given. Giving the correct predictions is certainly also important, however, listening to people who closely follows the sport and who knows what he is talking about to help readers in their own analysis is more important, I reckon. It is similar to the saying give a man a fish hehe.

I added you to the list and @aoluain. I knew you are a quality poster from the beginning, however, I am not very familiar with rugby. I had to read through the thread slowly. Presently with NFL season ending, I want to know more about this sport hehehe. Thank you for this thread!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5265288.0
3068  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 25, 2022, 04:28:45 AM
Hands down the best weekend of football I've seen in a LONG time.  And what a way to cap the weekend with one of the best games to date (atl/NE superbowl comeback still the best I've seen).  Unfortunate but no way next weekends games stands up to this weekend but who knows!!  With no dog in the fight I'm rooting for the underdogs and a San Fran Cindy superbowl lol.  If I had to guess though it will be: San Fran (throwing San Fran in a dilemma with Trey lance) and KC.  And taking KC SB winners.

Agreed! I am also rooting for the 49ers! It will be something special if they win the superbowl and will be so much special if it is versus the Chiefs! Similar to how the Buccaneers’ superbowl victory as the underdog and the revenge for the loss of 2019’s superbowl hehehe. Go 49ers!

I am honestly hating the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes for eliminating Josh Allen for the second year now hehehe.

Also, Odell Beckham Jr. chose the wrong day to be paid in bitcoin hehe.



Based on Monday’s bitcoin prices, and assuming that Beckham did convert a lump sum of $750,000 into bitcoin when the deal was made in November, that salary would now be worth about $401,500, and, despite the drop in value, he would still have to pay taxes on income as provided to him at its $750,000 value.

Because it is not known whether Beckham moved the $750,000 sum all at once into bitcoin or spread it over multiple conversions, it’s difficult to pinpoint an exact dollar figure for Beckham’s losses. If the deposit was made on Nov. 12, that investment is now worth around $35,000 after federal and state taxes, according to Darren Rovell of the Action Network and formerly of ESPN and CNBC.


Source https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nfls-odell-beckham-jr-took-his-750-000-salary-in-bitcoin-how-much-did-it-end-up-costing-him-11643050374
3069  Economy / Speculation / Re: Do you believe Michael Saylor is currently getting antsy? on: January 25, 2022, 03:53:49 AM
It would not be very shocking if there is an SEC filing that announces Tesla’s dump of bitcoins.

In the long run that would be very good news, no one needs that manipulator and the distorted idea that he means something to Bitcoin. His 40 000 BTC means nothing, just scares people like you who worry about what he will do. If I have to vote for BTC in Mr.Mars pocket or all those BTC in the wallets of ordinary people, I choose the latter - hope he dumps those coins as soon as possible.

Why are you assuming that I am worried? Also, I was only comparing Elon and Michael Saylor’s conviction on their bitcoin investment and I was only speculating that Elon would be first to dump if one of them would dump.

If bitcoin dumps more from the present price, their quarterly income statement would lessen the company’s income or increase loss if unprofitable. This might possibly also affect the company’s stock price which will make shareholders unhappy.

In any case, why would you say that Tesla’s dumping of coins held in their treasury be good for bitcoin? Would this not lessen institutional adoption?

Also, agreed in more bitcoins should be in the pockets of ordinary people if also given the choice.
3070  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-01-20] EU Markets Regulator Calls for Ban on Proof-of-Work Crypto Mining on: January 25, 2022, 02:49:02 AM
@Lucius. No one is blaming China hehehe. I only said it can be argued that if China did not begin the not fud ban on bitcoin mining and the ban on exchanges under their jurisdiction, the price of bitcoin might not have dumped below $45k and bitcoin might have continued to $100,000.

Back in 2019, China announced that some industries that, according to their estimates, consume too much energy and are big polluters (including crypto mining) will be liquidated, why did people wonder when this really happened? And why do you even mention banning crypto exchanges in China, it is a thing at least 5 years old that had no impact on the price in 2021. $100k is such an insignificant number and complete nonsense that it has become an obsession for so many people who now blame everyone and everything for not getting rich last year.

Also, are you telling us that the bull market has ended? Where do you predict the bottom price for bitcoin?

It is possible that the bull market is over, 50% correction in the price of ATH suggests that this is the case - although we will be able to say it with certainty in a few months. But that's just my opinion and by no means financial advice - and as for the bottom price, I may have written something lately, so if you're interested you can always check out my post history.

I was only arguing that if China’s crackdown during 2021 only occured as fud, the miners would not have dumped their coins, the large exchanges left operating in China would have not have disallowed Chinese citizens from their platforms and we would remain having those Chinese investors pump the market.

2021’s crackdown was not similar to the crackdowns before this. That was why we had what was called the China fud because there was no hard enforcement. China’s ban of 2021 however was not fud. It really drove the miners and the exchanges away.

I also read that you speculate $2X,000 might be a possbility. I agree! It is good to see everyone beginning to witness the reality of the situation. The market is overleveraged and there will always be a funding reset.

Sooner or later bitcoin will have to face this issue though. The amount of electricity the miners are using will eventually gather attention and nothing good will come out of it.

I thought that people on this forum are at least a little more aware of the real situation when it comes to the amount of electricity currently used by crypto miners. Even if that amount increases x5, it would still be extremely foolish to even mention it in the context of any serious problem - a picture speaks a thousand words - the credit goes to our member @fillippone who long ago shattered that myth to pieces.

Show this information to any concerned scientist, ecologist, politician or banker, and if after that he continues to persist in the idea that Bitcoin is destroying the environment, there is no doubt that you can classify it as one of the world's greatest fools.



I speculate why they do this is more for their polical agenda. However, the difficulties of the transition to renewable energy might also be another reason. China is also presently beginning to target crude oil and they might lower imporation similar to what they did to their coal importations.



Top Chinese state-owned conglomerates are having to reevaluate their oil-related operations as the country moves to implement President Xi Jinping's vision for achieving zero net carbon emissions by 2060.

Source https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Energy/Chinese-state-groups-write-off-assets-as-future-of-oil-dims
3071  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev on: January 24, 2022, 04:15:28 AM
@rdbase. Agreed. It was very unlucky for the Bills to lose because of a flip of a coin before overtime. I am not a fan, however, I am a fan of Josh Allen. It is another year that he was stopped by Mahomes in the playoff.

It also appears the results of the post season has created a clear road for the Chiefs to win the superbowl. The Bengals in the conference final and either the 49ers or the Rams for the superbowl. Let us be together to side with the Bengals and either the 49ers or the Rams in the hext games hehehehe.
3072  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 24, 2022, 03:20:05 AM
@Hueristic. I am not a Bills fan, however, I felt the heartbreak hehe. Josh Allen did everything, answering every touchdown from the Chiefs but the Bills defense! It was the most horrible performance of a secondary in a very important game in this post season! This is very much a similar problem with the Chargers. However, the Bills does not have an excuse! They were one of the the highest ranked secondary during the regular season! Someone put something in the gatordade!
3073  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev on: January 24, 2022, 01:47:19 AM
That was unexpected, both top seed teams getting eliminated just like that.

With the Rams getting the job done against the Bucs, only the Bills remain to keep the perfect underdog streak this weekend. With that said, i'll take the Bills @2.04 I know it's tough to bet against Mahomes but the last time these two met it ended in the way of the Bills and I think we'll see a similar result as the Chiefs .

The Buffalo Bills is very hard to beat if Josh Allen is being Josh Allen in a game that matters hehehe. He just threw a 75 yard touchdown to Gabriel Davis near end of the 3rd quarter to answer Mahomes. Every touchdown by the Chiefs, Josh Allen has also scored with his own touchdown hehe. This defense of the Bills does not look like what they were during the regular season, however.
3074  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 24, 2022, 12:32:12 AM
Both top seeds knocked out by last second field goals.

Happy retirement, Mr. Rodgers. Thanks for fucking up my bet.

I imagine DireWolfM14 is consuming copious amounts of fancy alcohol right now.

These divisional games have been unpredictable. The Bengals, 49’ers and the Rams, 3 underdogs won by only 3 points to get their slot in conference final hehehe. The Chiefs and the Bills might also be a very close game.

Shaking my head, I will stop betting until the superbowl. I have not won anything in the playoff hehehe.

In any case, very happy for the 49ers fans in this thread. That victory versus the top seed must be the sweetest win even if it was not a very beautiful performance.

3075  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-01-20] EU Markets Regulator Calls for Ban on Proof-of-Work Crypto Mining on: January 23, 2022, 07:51:28 AM
@Lucius. No one is blaming China hehehe. I only said it can be argued that if China did not begin the not fud ban on bitcoin mining and the ban on exchanges under their jurisdiction, the price of bitcoin might not have dumped below $45k and bitcoin might have continued to $100,000.

Also, are you telling us that the bull market has ended? Where do you predict the bottom price for bitcoin?
3076  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: January 23, 2022, 06:57:39 AM
This is what Bukele should be doing instead of showing arrogance. This shows that we are in this together from the bull market to the bear market. He might only be joking, however, this also shows that he wants to be part of the community and his intentions for bitcoin and the cryptospace are not short term and not only in during the good times, out during the bad times.



#NewProfilePic

https://mobile.twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1485031106982428677?s=12
3077  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 22, 2022, 05:03:39 AM
Hey guys, who ended up winning your fantasy football league?  Looking forward to next year already!

What a great set of games this weekend, I can't wait!  Curious to hear you guys' predictions.. ( last week I had all but one winner correct but my spread cover wasn't the greatest..hoping for a better weekend).

Here's the games and my predictions..

Bengals vs Titans (-3.5)- This is a really difficult game to try and predict.  My guess is that the Titans win and cover.

49rs vs Packers (-5.5)- I think the Niners are overrated and that the Packers will win and cover easily.

Rams vs Bucs (-2.5)- What a great game this should be and hard to predict.  The loss of Godwin and Antonio Brown I think will show up at this game and lead to a Rams victory (betting against Brady is dumb, but I'm doing it lol).  I say the Rams cover.

Chiefs (-1.5) vs Bills- This is the matchup of the weekend in my opinion.  I like the Chiefs here and predict they cover.

You might be correct on the 49ers. However, they are overrated only by the sportsbooks. We the fans know they had a very challenging regular season. We also witnessed their last regular season game. It has won many hearts including mine hehe.

In any case, I am shaking my head. I am not certain why the Packers spread is only -5.5 because I think that they can win easily by 1 touchdown.
3078  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Who’s who in the gambling subforum? on: January 22, 2022, 04:05:12 AM

Its best to bet only on things that test your mental IQ leve?
What if you are not always fortunate, what happens? Continue or stay off?
We should always go for what gives us the kind of results that we want, nit just going for what we tend to like especially when it comes to gambling. If sport betting is the one that do give us the kind of result that we want, then it better to always go for it.

Not everyday is Sunday and you can't be lucky everytime. There are not many sports gamblers who are in profit, majority are in loss. While if you bet on something that test you mind and you have good brain then you can double your investment like playing poker.

You are right, not all the time we have the same luck, one day we can wake up enlightened and with great luck that only in a few moves we can make a great winning streak, 'but other times we can have our mind at 1000% and we can still lose everything, nothing is written in this, gambling is like that, many times by leaving everything to chance you win more than playing with reason or patterns, in the case of poker it is different, because it focuses a lot on the technical part and I think there are more possibilities of achieving good results if the main theory we have is applied well.


However, I use expert because those people know what they are saying and sharing in the gambling subforum. They are really following all those sports and they will give much more intelligent opinions and evaluations than others to help you with your own opinions and evaluations. This is very much similar to those traders in social media who share their charts. They might share intelligent analysis that might help you, however, profit is not a certainty.
3079  Economy / Speculation / Re: Do you believe Michael Saylor is currently getting antsy? on: January 22, 2022, 03:17:23 AM
Isn't he still profitable not only massively with his personal trades, but also with his company's Bitcoin purchases?  Does he have to give back any bonuses or salary?  Do we suddenly forget his name?  Will his creditors break his kneecaps if he can't pay?  Is he having to eat ramen or apply for a job at McDonalds?  Will he suddenly find himself without bikini babes at his mansion?

I think if you answer those questions to yourself, you'll know he's not too worried.  I'm sure if Bitcoin goes to 0 he's still acquired more wealth than 99% of the folks on this forum.  I don't think that's something to get antsy about.  If anything he's plotting another massive buy with a debt offering and trying to get some billionaire buddies on board.  I think his approach is for people to buy all the bitcoins and price them at whatever he wants.  A lower price could be viewed as an easier path to get there.

Microstrategy’s bitcoins bought on 2020 might be profitable, however, their bitcoins that were bought during 2021 are presently with a loss according to this article.





Source https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-19/bitcoin-hodler-saylor-says-microstrategy-will-never-sell-stash


However, we should not be worried about Michael Saylor. He appears to be a strong handed hodler who will have an ulcers proof stomach to hold until the end of time hehe. But the person who we should be monitoring is Elon Musk and also Tesla. Elon is more unpredictable and Tesla’s bitcoins is almost in loss with an average price of $34,200. It would not be very shocking if there is an SEC filing that announces Tesla’s dump of bitcoins.



Estimates have suggested that Tesla bought its $1.5 billion BTC stash at an average price of $34,200 a coin.

Source https://coinmarketcap.com/alexandria/article/revealed-how-much-profit-tesla-has-made-after-buying-bitcoin
3080  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-01-20] EU Markets Regulator Calls for Ban on Proof-of-Work Crypto Mining on: January 22, 2022, 02:01:45 AM
Also, this is good for clarity and for the miners to know in what jurisdictions they can go.
That's true but if that gets the green light, it'd force all of the current miners to move out of the countries that are part of the European Union [regardless of how small those percentages might appear, a big portion of them are actually the ones who relocated in the past year or two].

I reckon the community will certainly not want a similar situation as China before the mining ban and where the government can manipulate the market through fud.
You have a point, but IMO, the only country that could realistically have a similar impact to what China had in its initial attempts is only the US [at the moment]!

It can also be argued that if China’s policies towards bitcoin mining and cryptocoin trading had clarity, I speculate that the dump that began during April of last year would have not occured. Bitcoin might have continued pumping and those laser eyes bitcoiners would have acheived the goal of $100,000. It might also be that China’s ban is what broke the pattern and the bottom of the next bear market might bring bitcoin under 2017’s all time high for the first time.
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