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3181  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 11:24:44 PM
crashing hard from mid 180's down to 200+
The dollar is down 3.7% today.
3182  Economy / Economics / Re: the effects of fractional reserve on bitcoins value on: October 27, 2013, 10:56:57 PM
The only role for deposit banks in a Bitcoin world is to steal money from old people who don't know how to use computers.

So far the success rate for Bitcoin businesses that hold third party deposits in terms of not losing/stealing their customers' funds tends toward zero the longer such businesses operate.
3183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 09:27:19 PM
Yeah +1 but please do it with a log scale Tongue.
Like this?




3184  Economy / Speculation / Re: Silver at 29 ,Bitcoin at 30. this is no-brainer.. on: October 27, 2013, 08:18:38 PM
Essentially all fiat currencies (all fiat currencies every created, currently operating, and all that will ever be created) are a race to the bottom.   Purchasing power always declines.

3185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 08:12:16 PM
Is the darkness of the line volume or something?
It's Libreoffice's inability to make charts that don't look ugly.
3186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 06:58:33 PM
is this available online? looks like could be from blockchain.info?

I periodically import the data from bitcoincharts.com into a Libreoffice spreadsheet and play around with it.
3187  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 06:51:31 PM
The US dollar resumes its collapse after enjoying a brief respite:

3188  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-10-26 forbes.com - fbi-says-its-seized-20-million-in-bitcoins-from-ross-ulb on: October 27, 2013, 06:02:18 PM
Wasn't anyone paying attention to how the apparatchik behaved during the final days of the USSR?

Those bitcoins will quietly end up in the personal wallet of somebody well-connected.
3189  Economy / Economics / Re: the effects of fractional reserve on bitcoins value on: October 27, 2013, 05:29:34 PM
In other words, you don't buy bitcoin-denominated securities, don't deal in any way with bitcoin-denominated debt (loans), and don't do anything other than directly exchange goods for bitcoin.  Limiting, but possible, i suppose.
You mistake trading with a financial asset and viewing that financial asset as equivalent to money (or in this case, Bitcoin). These are two separate issues. People buy stocks, for example, but they don't view them as money, even though they are liquid. So stocks are not a part of the money supply (either of fiat money or of Bitcoin). As I explain in my master's thesis, Bitcoin-denominated debt probably wouldn't be viewed as equivalent to Bitcoin, because it does not decrease transaction costs. Even full reserve deposits, such as those on the exchanges, are not viewed as equivalent.
In general I am highly sceptical of the inherent value of most financial products. We've only ever seen what a financial industry looks like when it it is subsidized and protected from competition by state power.

I suspect that in a Bitcoin world loans would tend to be short duration, relatively expensive, and rare.

I also suspect that securities would also be far less prevalent, as well as hierarchical business structures.

We're living in a world where business and financial markets are organized basically the same way they have been since the mid 19th century. We have better ways of achieving beneficial divisions of labour and deferred consumption now, or at least we'll have an opportunity to experiment with better models once the State monopoly in this area is effectively broken.
3190  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: strip the reference client to a border router on: October 27, 2013, 05:10:06 PM
The only way to have such a piece of software, is by forking the existing bitcoind and stripping it from all the crap, without even looking at the corrupt bitcoin elite, nor letting them to waste your time. If you want to have such a piece of software, then trust me: sooner you will make it yourself. I'd help you, but I prefer to raise my own child instead Smiley
Conformal Systems, and bits of proof, and Amir Taaki have already done that.
3191  Economy / Economics / Re: the effects of fractional reserve on bitcoins value on: October 27, 2013, 02:54:04 AM
I'll never accept fractionally-reserved promises to deliver bitcoins in lieu of actual bitcoins.

I might pause from time to time to observe a moment of silence to honour the losses of those who do.
3192  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 27, 2013, 02:27:58 AM
I shorted around 180 during the downtrend after the huge sell...Then at 180, it perked right back up. I figured it was a short bounce before a continuation downwards, and continued opening short positions up to 190.

Now, I'm not sure if I should close the positions and take a huge loss...or wait it out, and possibly lose all the BTC in my leveraged short positions...

Opinions?
Don't Get Zhou Tonged.
3193  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 27, 2013, 02:07:46 AM
So far in 2013 alone, the US Dollar has lost 93% of its value compared to Bitcoin.
3194  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 26, 2013, 07:52:55 PM
Bear in mind that in a better freer future with less financial facism or simply some locales, a system of provably gold-backed cryptocurrency, if it was ever allowed to flourish under rule of law, would probably give bitcoin a stiff run for its money, pun intended, dyodd, diversify, imho.
Why?

A gold backed cryptocurrency would need to do everything Bitcoin does in order to be an effective medium of exchange, and it would also have the added expense of gathering, storing, transporting, securing, and auditing blocks of yellow metal.

What benefit does the yellow metal provide that makes it worth all the added expense and effort?
3195  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Mastercoin2 – Can Mastercoin1 even work long-term? on: October 26, 2013, 07:45:44 PM
Mastercoins are designed to work like XRP - the Mastercoin people are going to create a bunch of wonderful services that can only be paid for with Mastercoins, thus establishing demand and an exchange rate between Mastercoins and bitcoins.

Many of these services are going to be open source.

What stops anyone from cloning these open source applications and modifying them such that they can be paid for with any arbitrary bitcoin, not just Mastercoins?

Why would customers prefer services which restrict the acceptable payment methods to Mastercoins over services which accept Bitcoin directly?
3196  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 26, 2013, 06:54:45 PM
My real capital is my skills and friends anyways, so I'll keep on taking the risk and holding on to these precious bitcoins.
This is a great insight.

Most people don't really understand what the world would look like with honest money, and so instead insist on miming the strategies of today's central planners.
3197  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why are some international payment companies not allowing Americans to join? on: October 26, 2013, 04:38:53 PM
I believe you don't even need to do business in the US directly. AFAIK FATCA is "recursive". To be compliant, you must ensure every institution you do business with is also compliant.
I'd call it "viral regulation".
3198  Economy / Economics / Re: Technological unemployment is (almost) here on: October 26, 2013, 01:16:39 AM
Two centuries ago, upwards of 98% of the population was involved with food production.

After labour saving devices were invented which allowed a tiny minority of the population to feed everyone there was massive societal upheaval as an overwhelming majority of the populations suddenly had nothing to do at all until some intrepid central planners came along to set everything straight, tell everybody what to do, and save the day.

Oh wait, actually that's not at all what happened. When people stopped needing to farm they figured out how to reallocate their time and effort all by themselves.

Never mind.
3199  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Brainstorm] Implications of Blacklisting DPR's Seized Bitcoins on: October 25, 2013, 10:51:39 PM
Output scripts are contracts. The contracts precisely specify what conditions are both necessary and sufficient for an output to be spent.

If the Bitcoin network ever stops honouring these contracts, then the currency and the network have a value of zero.
3200  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Jim Rickards endorses Bitcoin on: October 25, 2013, 08:37:29 PM
How does he think treasury should run the us dollar
http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2011/12/more-madness-from-bill-still-and-his.html
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