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July 15, 2024, 11:23:47 PM *
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341  Economy / Speculation / Re: Can we see BTC at ATH before the year ends? on: March 01, 2024, 10:57:46 PM
it is very possible that the price of bitcoin will reach the new ATH price before the end of the year. because it has been halving. but the highest price point will be reached in 2025. because from the previous halving2 halving 2012 the highest price was in 2013, as well as 2016 the highest price was in 2017. as well as the last halving 2020 the highest price was in 2021.
The ATH price is only a few thousand dollars different from the current price so why are we discussing repeated discussions, because the ATH price does not necessarily have to be reached at the end of the year, but the fact is that not all market conditions can be linked to the history of previous ATH increases, although there are some similar conditions in past price history but current market movements are much different from previous conditions, market recovery increased drastically before the halving and the market has the potential to reach ATH before the halving or just a few months after the halving
342  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Mom won 50,000$ in Lottery on: March 01, 2024, 10:55:28 PM
As long as you know that you are just playing without expectations at all, and spending only what you think you can afford to lose, there's nothing to worry about your lottery betting. But of course, the hope is always there. Just don't take it too hard on yourself.

Some people will take decades of their life betting everyday for the same numbers, going to the extent of getting the combination numbers of his family's birthdays or other important numbers in his life, so I can understand that some people will have this way of life throughout their lifetime. It is like a part of their daily life already.
However, this cannot be guaranteed in lottery gambling, because wins like this are only achieved by some lucky people and many other people experience high losses from lottery gambling, they try every day to get lucky numbers but don't realize that they have wasted a lot of money in gambling. I don't like the way lottery gambling works because we have to get lucky numbers that are difficult to predict, but I prefer sports gambling for realistic analysis based on player potential, team skills and so on, so many people get lucky on sports betting compared to lottery gambling.
343  Other / Off-topic / Re: Does having children have an influence on gambling habits? on: March 01, 2024, 10:52:11 PM
Even with the little points some addict will still not care but gamble with the mindset of doubling the funds when gambling is unpredictable, in my locality having kids and wife doesn't stop a man from gambling except the person lacks money, no one can think of paying bills and wanting to gamble with the money, once you've tried to gamble with the money and still didn't get the profit then you should quit or else the habit might turn to an addiction, although it's very rare seeing a man with family responsibility gamble often.
Every gambler has different gambling behavior and I often see friends who have children influence to reduce gambling and some of my friends have stopped gambling because they focus on work for the needs of children in the future. Everyone focuses on developing children to become smarter and more powerful children rather than choosing to become gamblers
344  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: [INFO] Informasi Phishing, Malware, Virus Dst (WAJIB BACA) on: February 29, 2024, 04:26:15 PM
Bukan hanya human dan system yang harus diperhatikan tapi aspek lain yang membuat lolosnya aplikasi yang mengandung malware. Biasanya si pembuat aplikasi itu sudah paham celah dan lubang untuk menyisipkannya ke playstore, mungkin sudah pernah dan berulang kali melakukan sebelumnya, tapi ya baru ketahuan sekarang-sekarang ini karena mungkin google sudah upgrade system security-nya, sedangkan si pembuat aplikasi masih pakai system malware yang lama.
Pembuat aplikasi semacam ini tidak pernah bosan mencoba menemukan bug untuk lolos dari proses seleksi aplikasi di playstore, pasti salah satu strateginya sudah berhasil dengan memanfaatkan script yang tidak terdeteksi dari pemeriksaan system atau human sehingga script di itu dapat di aktifkan untuk menjalankan malware setelah aplikasi sudah di aproved dan di publish di playstore, meskipun system security-nya sudah di upgrage tapi hanya memperkecil kemungkinan adanya bug, dan yang namanya sistem tetap ada bug walaupun ruang lingkup untuk penggunaan bug sudah terbatas karena sistem security sudah bekerja optimal untuk mendeteksi ancaman dari malware.

345  Economy / Economics / Re: Save money today so money would save you tomorrow. on: February 26, 2024, 06:02:56 PM
Anyway, Both Gold and BTC can bring us a fortune which can also equates to being financially free, but it's just that BTC is only known to be a decentralized currency and the title of financial freedom is its tag line. BTC is more techy than Gold but I heard there is also digital gold now? And they might be back by a real gold. For me, both assets are still important because each has their own pros and cons.
Both types of investment need to be added in asset diversification mode to stabilize asset values if one asset experiences a loss, we can also add other assets including real estate, shares, land and others. Don't place on one asset as we are advised to have at least 2 different assets, however gold and BTC are the perfect combination for long term assets.

The situation of fiat is increasingly worrying due to the impact of global finance, the value of fiat is getting lower but the prices of goods and services are increasing greatly, so prepare yourself to choose assets that you think have the potential for future profits.
346  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What are some things you should always avoid while gambling ? on: February 26, 2024, 05:47:44 PM
1) Do not gamble in work area : It is not ethical to do so. Your employer is paying you to work for him for certain hours. If you waste these hours for gambling, it is a bad habit.

2) Do not take loan to gamble: Some young guys are so irresponsible that they take loans to gamble. It is a very bad move and can even produce life threatening conditions in future when loan recover agents knock your door.

There are some other things to add and they have been created as topic in this gambling discussion section such as:
- Do not gamble in front of your kids
- Do not gamble when you are consuming drugs or half sleep
- Do not gambler what you cant afford to lose
I may missed some others, but I have to agree with all above things including yours.
I will add a few more points on things to avoid when gambling, some from my experience and some from the results of my analysis in several gambling threads.

- Do not gamble if you ignore the signs or indications that point to gambling addiction
- Do not gamble without setting a fund limit for gambling allocation
- Do not gamble to get instant income or position gambling as a source of income
347  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A lot of gambling sites are scams ! on: February 26, 2024, 05:29:11 PM
Although recently, the number of scam casinos has reduced and one of the main reasons for that is that, it's no longer business as usual, and gamblers are becoming more aware of the tactics those casinos employ e.g offering tempting bonuses, this format is already k in so gamblers no longer run after bonuses anymore, ao for that they rather remain with they know and trusted casino all the time.
We cannot be sure that the number of scam casinos has decreased, many new casinos have been registered on gambling review websites, there are also several new casinos on the gambling board even though they are not running signature campaigns. The difficult factor is that we cannot detect a scam at the beginning of the launch and all services appear normal, but after they are greedy to seize then they will do various things, they will increase the loss ratio on the gambling system, freeze customer funds due to changes in terms and conditions without notification, etc. .
348  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What game will you choose for one shot big bet? on: February 26, 2024, 05:19:28 PM
Failure in the world of gambling has become a natural thing because it cannot be predicted accurately, and of course, those who enter into gambling should be aware that such risks can happen and can result in all assets being lost instantly when they make the wrong decision. Chances will be an important factor that must always be tried because no one knows when we will get lucky.
To be honest, I prefer sports betting, like football, because I think it is a little easier to predict because usually the result of the match will depend on the condition of the players on the field.
The ratio of losses in gambling is higher than wins, this gambling method must be known that the more you try to bet, the higher the rate of loss will be unless you are lucky several times betting but will not be able to recover 90% of the loss, my assumption is to recover 90% then you You have to increase funds by 50% of the total loss to increase the bet amount, such a game is not recommended but the opportunity to recover a 30% loss or another risk that you will lose is higher.

Actually there is no concept of pursuing recovery of losses in gambling, because you will bet with bad decisions due to you not focusing on the real goal of gambling, you now have to change the concept of gambling for entertainment and limit funds in gambling to avoid other losses.
349  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling Wins: Your Money Was Returned to You. on: February 26, 2024, 04:56:51 PM
Wow, that's a nice strategy and I also want to do that because I have this thing that I don't want to monitor all my gambling activites especially the money that I've spent because I'm strictly following my spending habits and I'm sure that I'm not addicted into It, but yeah, I just wan't to try your strategy so that I can lessen my gambling time and I can have more time in other important things.

You have to get used to following this strategy so that you don't become addicted to gambling because if you ignore it it will have a bad impact on your gambling activities, because everyone convinces themselves that "they are not addicted" but in reality they have lost a lot of money on gambling.

I think your advice above is very useful for reducing gambling activities and freeing up time for other more important activities, make sure you consider gambling only for entertainment and not a source of additional income, if you apply this in your daily life then you will never be affected gambling addiction.
350  Economy / Economics / Re: Why we should prioritize investment over saving on: February 25, 2024, 10:58:58 PM
Reading from OP I see how everyone is speaking about the cons of savings. With no doubt, the value of your savings could decrease without reducing the actual amount saved but are you also aware that in investment, the value of your investment can also decrease drastically without reducing the actual size of the investment? I see both investment and saving as two different entities meant for separate purposes. Everyone can save but not all can invest, it depends on your goals and plans for achieving them.
Saving fiat experiences high losses if we keep it in the bank for too long because of the main loss impact due to inflation, imagine that $100 currently is enough for food costs for one week but one year from now we will need almost $200 for food costs due to the increase in goods and services, so it's time for us change your mindset to convert savings into investment assets that we are sure can be stable and gain profits for the long term, the main choices are gold and land investment but you also have to allocate some for bitcoin investment when market prices fall significantly because the certainty of the crypto market increase is guaranteed for the long term long.
351  Economy / Speculation / Re: will the btc price reach 100k ? on: February 25, 2024, 10:57:25 PM
It's hard to predict accurately but anything can happen in the crypto market. However, I see the potential for BTC price increases during the Halving to only potentially reach above $80k. Maybe a potential $100k Bitcoin price increase during the fifth halving.
It is a prediction, we don't talk about something accurate if it is a prediction only. No prediction has 100% accuracy, the accuracy should be 50:50.  Wink
Moreover, crypto market is difficult to predict, its nature is unpredictable. It we can predict the price accurately, all the investors must take profits, no one get losses. However, if we consider the fundamental and technical aspects, it makes sense if Bitcoin can achieve $100k. But we don't know when it will be $100k, whether in 2024 or 2025. If we analyzed the 4 years cycle, the highest rate should be in 2025.


You are right, crypto market predictions cannot be guaranteed to be 100% accurate but 50:50 is a sure thing depending on the support of future market news, but based on reviewing several future potentials there is a chance that bitcoin will reach $100k because it is not too high a figure for that target, bitcoin has reached ATH before $69k so it is very realistic that bitcoin can be predicted to reach $100k within this year if it does not experience a bear market this year.
352  Other / Off-topic / Re: Don’t play gambling with drugs or in half sleep on: February 25, 2024, 10:52:44 PM
When you are in your right senses, it’s always difficult to win in gambling. How will you be able to win under the influence of drugs? Your friend might be winning sometimes, it’s just that your friend is always lucky whenever he wins, but we don’t always expect luck to happen, and you shouldn’t think your friend does win just because he is always on drugs. It’s also better to advise your friend to stop that attitude, if he isn’t careful, he might end up gambling beyond his limit one day. When you are in your right sense, you will always find it difficult to stop gambling, so what will happen after you have taken drugs?
Every gambling win is luck and has nothing to do with drug use. It is more dangerous if you gamble under the influence of drugs because you are half-conscious, without even realizing you have bet all-in for a losing bet, you will definitely regret it if you experience that condition.

So your friend's victory is pure luck and not any influence, you must remind him to stop using drugs under any circumstances, drug use is prohibited in any country and he can be arrested at any time if the police have tracked down a new target to arrest.
353  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A gambler takes his own life after a loss. on: February 25, 2024, 10:47:09 PM
It is indeed difficult if we have never been in a situation experienced by a very frustrated gambler, but from incidents like what we see, we can conclude that the effects of gambling are very dangerous if you are addicted, we can apply this to ourselves so that we don't become dangerous gambling addicts. , stay safe and don't waste too much money in gambling
The serious impact of gambling addiction is very fatal resulting in frustration because they have lost everything and they have very high debts, their lives are very threatened due to many big threats to their lives if they do not pay off their debts immediately, the final decision is to end their lives because they have no safe place to hide from various serious threats. There was very heartbreaking news that a father had decided to hang himself up and leave a message for his wife and twin children still in the womb, he said goodbye because he was very frustrated at his mistake of being involved in gambling.
354  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can Anyone +18 Play Gamble? on: February 25, 2024, 10:34:31 PM
The thing is that,  even though kids who may be under age be good at playing video games,  but that doesn't translate into being good at playing gambling games and this is because there is a big difference between gambling games and video games and off course sometimes we have to establish a baseline between the two.

I am sure that anyone who is below 🔞 shouldn't gamble even though they may be good at playing video games, The majority of them will always end up as addicts when they start gambling at an age they are not supposed to and it affects their thoughts and emotions.
The comparison between video games and gambling games is very different, the majority of children under 18 years like adventure and fighting games, I rarely find them who gamble online unless they have been influenced by an environment that has been infected with gambling, but they will not gamble excessively because they have financial freedom and still financially dependent on parents.

Their behavior is also still under the supervision and guidance of their parents so they are not free to do anything that violates the rules for minors. The important role of parental supervision must be prioritized so that their children are not influenced by gambling games and at their age they are still required to require education.
355  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A lot of gambling sites are scams ! on: February 25, 2024, 03:11:07 PM
There many betting sites out there with more new bet sites adding up to the numbers which is why to save myself from the headache of  searching for reputable sites with great experience staging from the platforms interface/features, fairness of it's games and fast deposit/withdrawal etc the forum is where I select the crypto bet sites I make use of and it has been really safe for use.
we cannot detect users outside the forum who are still using scam casinos unless they report on gambling review website platforms to give low ratings or they post on blogs and social media accounts to give negative reviews, but we have to help them provide complete information to lead to the Scam Accusations thread board, they should check every scam casino review before they get caught in a scam casino ring, because generally users outside the forum are influenced by the various bonus programs offered but they use analysis and research from experienced users in this forum, I really appreciates the forum members who have reported casino scams as they have saved gamblers thousands of dollars.
356  Economy / Gambling / Re: What do you want to see in casino reviews? on: February 24, 2024, 11:59:19 PM
Intents such are potential scamming out users is something that would really be bust up in the end of the day or something that could be known in the end of the line. There's no way that the community wont really be able to make out notice with those stuffs on which we know that when it comes to scams then we are really that highly allergic into it on which on the time that we do notice that theres something odd
then the community would really be able to spot it away. It is really just that when it comes to bonus then they arent that literally scam thing but rather they are just traps been set out for the users to have
some engagement and trapping themselves and busting up their bankroll on the time that they do play gambling but on a legit way of course but if the terms and other conditions been set out
is something that totally no that balanced then expect that you would really be getting those kind of criticisms.
Various casinos also use bonuses for each account as additional funds or free some slots for new users, of course it cannot be claimed as a way to cheat but only a strategy to find new users, so I do not agree with the opinion on criticism about the misuse of bonuses to cheat gamblers because all casinos have bonus programs, if they criticize a casino there must be specific evidence for a trustworthy and accountable review of a particular casino, there is a special board for discussion regarding Scam Accusations if we have research expertise on casinos, if someone finds indications of a casino that is cheating then report it to the board to investigate with a community that already understands research and analysis.
357  Economy / Economics / Re: Why we should prioritize investment over saving on: February 24, 2024, 10:59:16 PM
Having funds for emergency needs should be everyone's priority, even if it rarely happens, at least have preparations to deal with such situations.  Choosing savings and investments is of course very profitable if the finances we have are sufficient to cover everything, the most important thing is that meeting basic needs must be prioritized, the rest can be saved and invested even if the nominal value is not too large.  The most important thing is to consistently set aside every month.
The need for emergency funds is a prioritized aspect of fund management needs, everyone has savings funds to be used partly for emergency funds and partly converted savings funds for investing in gold, real estate or even bitcoin because even though savings funds also need to be converted into stable investments rather than saving fiat which can lead to inflation at any time, so it would be beneficial to keep savings funds in stable assets for future needs.
358  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: Polri bekerja sama dengan pakar ahli kripto untuk tingkatkan keamanan on: February 24, 2024, 10:58:43 PM
Jika kasusnya pertukaran mewajibkan KYC maka akses untuk mencari tau identitas akan jauh lebih mudah dan aliran dana juga bisa terlacak jika pihak berwenang ingin melakukan audit. Itu sebabnya di luar orang sangat menjaga privasi dan mereka tidak pernah mau terlibat di dalam KYC. Jika kasusnya anda menggunakan Toko crypto misalnya dan setahu saya itu tetap bisa dilacak aliran dana bersumber dari mana akan tetapi yang mampu melacak hanyalah mereka yang memiliki wewenang. Biasanya BM memiliki dompet berbeda saat menyalurkan bitcoin setiap pekan pada kampanye perjudian dan jika kita tidak memberikan alamat bitcoin di bursa maka seharusnya sulit di lacak.

Tetapi bagaimana proses lebih jauh mungkin saya tidak memahami karena memang kita tidak pernah tau. Tetapi dari apa yang saya ketahui proses KYC di bursa akan memberikan akses terhadap pelacakan identitas maupun aliran dana jika pihak berwenang pingin melakukannya.
Salah satu kekurangan dari dampak KYC dapat mempublish data dan riwayat akun kita kepada pihak lain apalagi tokocrypto juga sudah legal beroperasi di Indonesia maka tentu data akan kebutuhkan pajak akan diminta pihak pemerintah untuk mengakumulasi pajak keseluruhan, tapi meskipun kapasitas mereka hanya dapat mengecek data akun kita tapi mereka tidak ada dapat mengetahui sumber pendapatan kita dari wallet lain.

Tapi bagaimanapun kita punya pilihan untuk menghindari KYC karena berbagai exchange lokal sudah menerapkan KYC untuk mendapatkan layanan tingkat level 2 dan exchange binance juga sudah menerapkan KYC, opsi untuk mengindari KYC kita harus bertransaksi P2P jika mengkonversikan aset kripto ke rupiah dan tentu sangat beresiko jika tidak bertransaksi melalui binance. Semenjak beberapa tahun sudah exchange menerapkan KYC tidak mengalami kendala apapun asalkan kita memilih exchange yang sudah legal dan bereputasi sehingga tingkat keamanan data pelanggan sangat di utamakan, poin yang lebih penting jangan pernah bertransaksi untuk tindakan ilegal atau hal lain yang melanggar undang-undang karena pihak pemerintah sudah mengarsip dompet akun di exchange, jadi jika tidak mau berurusan dengan hukum maka hindari transaksi ilegal dari wallet lain.
359  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: BAGAIMANA NASIBMU JIKA FORUM BITCOINTALK TIDAK ADA ⁉️ on: February 24, 2024, 10:57:41 PM
sangat beresiko jika kita menggantungkan pendapatan pada hanya satu saja, apalagi itu hanya berasal dari forum ini, maka itu saya tidak akan pernah menyarankan setiap member hanya memiliki satu penghasilan dari forum ini saja, memiliki 3 penghasilan luar forum sangat di sarankan.  bahkan berjualan dagangan grosir atau pulsa aja di dunia nyata bisa membantu sedikit pendapatan, jangan malas untuk bergerak dan berusaha, ada banyak peluang usaha atau pekerjaan yang bisa kita lakukan di dunia nyata.

tanpa sebuah penghasilan yang stabil, sulit untuk berinvestasi dengan tenang, apalagi kita juga tidak tahu apa yang akan terjadi di masa depan nanti, kesulitan apa lagi yang akan kita temui, maka itu jangan terlena hanya dengan satu penghasilan.
Saya setuju dengan pendapat agan, tapi setidaknya kita memiliki 2 pekerjaan dari pekerjaan real dan online untuk mengimbangi penghasilan kita setiap bulannya dan untuk menjaga stabilitas mindset atau mentalitas kita terhadap investasi bitcoin dan altcoin yang sedang berjalan investasinya dalam portofolio, jika kita tidak menstabilkan pendapatan dapat berdampak pada perubahan mentalitas terhadap investasi yang sedang berjalan ketika pasar mengalami penurunan signifikan, sehingga fokus investasi untuk mencapai target keuntungan yang sudah direncakan dapat berubah kapan saja jika mereka sudah kehilangan pendapatan bulanan, mereka akan sering meninjau portofolio mereka untuk mencari keuntungan jangka pendek sebagai pengganti pendapatan bulanan
360  Economy / Speculation / Re: A new ATH before halving. Is it possible? on: February 24, 2024, 10:54:32 PM
No one can give an accurate answer to your question because you know that the market is very unpredictable. The only correct answer that I can see is that it can happen to be exceeded, and it can also not happen. Maybe it depends on what happens. Although everyone knows that bitcoin will really surpass the ATH that ended before at 69k$, the date when it will happen is unknown.

Perhaps instead of thinking about such things, it is better that, as long as we have time to save, let's just do it so that we have holdings that can be sold on the day that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies rally in the market.
We will never know when the ATH will be reached but I believe the market is in the process of approaching the ATH target, the market needs time for the process of creating a significant upward pattern to reach the ATH after the halving. I also agree with you, that market fluctuations cannot be predicted, but I am sure the market will reach ATH this year, possibly high after the halving.

After conducting a market review, it is possible that predictions can change at any time depending on market signals and crypto-related news, but if the market can pass the $60k level, it is possible that the market will reach ATH faster than our expectations.
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