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341  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 08:22:18 AM
In this scheme, there will be only BTC buying with the fiat at exchanges.  No BTC is sold to the market.  Only scBTC is sold to the market but people believe the notion of the peg so they pay the same for them as they would for BTC (because after all they can be redeemed for BTC with only a 100 block delay in spend-ability).

Endgame is there are a lot of the scBTC created, reducing BTC liquidity and pumping the BTC fiat price... until it unwinds.

There is no peg.
There is no spoon.

Here is what I believe to be the flaw in your scenario :

If, as you say, people believe in the peg (which they absolutely should) then they will not buy your scBTC. In reality, the market has no incentive to purchase your scBTC over BTC if they are the same price.  

The reason for this? Well you have suggested it yourself : the "block delay in spend-ability". What makes the best money? The most cost effective and versatile exchangeable asset. BTC is more easily exchangeable with fiat (because of liquidity) and other scBTCs than scBTC is and is also more cost-effective at doing so. No matter the 1:1 fiat peg, BTC is a more desirable unit than scBTC. BTC has better fungibility and liquidity in the economy than scBTC.

Here is where you are flatly wrong.  There clearly is an incentive, the time incentive.
To change BTC to scBTC, you will have to wait for 100 blocks or so, whatever the confirmation time may be.
If you buy them at exchange, there is no wait.

This confirmation exchange value is created in both ways in the transaction.  People will pay a premium for time, localbitcoin pricing is evidence enough of this.
Maybe I'm wrong but don't the atomic swaps described in the paper remove "the time incentive"?
Am I missing something obvious?

Atomic swaps don't remove it, but they are a different sort of exchange entirely.  They are a sort of middle ground, in between in terms of time and autonomy.  
They are p2p and negotiated (rather than something I can do on my own via exchange or SPV)
They also have a time requirement, just not as long.  
They could be somewhat automated with a hosted order book, so they may end up being closer to the exchange model, which would give them a bit of a premium over the SPV method.
The SPV folks (presumably the slowest of these three, each are more or less unused) pay in time and save in money.

Thanks for the explanation.

Now setting aside time consideration do you confirm that is possible exchanging BTC and scBTC through atomic swaps?
(I'm asking b/c notme says is not possible)

edit: slightly clarify the question.
342  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 08:19:46 AM
In this scheme, there will be only BTC buying with the fiat at exchanges.  No BTC is sold to the market.  Only scBTC is sold to the market but people believe the notion of the peg so they pay the same for them as they would for BTC (because after all they can be redeemed for BTC with only a 100 block delay in spend-ability).

Endgame is there are a lot of the scBTC created, reducing BTC liquidity and pumping the BTC fiat price... until it unwinds.

There is no peg.
There is no spoon.

Here is what I believe to be the flaw in your scenario :

If, as you say, people believe in the peg (which they absolutely should) then they will not buy your scBTC. In reality, the market has no incentive to purchase your scBTC over BTC if they are the same price.  

The reason for this? Well you have suggested it yourself : the "block delay in spend-ability". What makes the best money? The most cost effective and versatile exchangeable asset. BTC is more easily exchangeable with fiat (because of liquidity) and other scBTCs than scBTC is and is also more cost-effective at doing so. No matter the 1:1 fiat peg, BTC is a more desirable unit than scBTC. BTC has better fungibility and liquidity in the economy than scBTC.

Here is where you are flatly wrong.  There clearly is an incentive, the time incentive.
To change BTC to scBTC, you will have to wait for 100 blocks or so, whatever the confirmation time may be.
If you buy them at exchange, there is no wait.

This confirmation exchange value is created in both ways in the transaction.  People will pay a premium for time, localbitcoin pricing is evidence enough of this.
Maybe I'm wrong but don't the atomic swaps described in the paper remove "the time incentive"?
Am I missing something obvious?

Atomic swaps don't involve BTC, they involve scBTC and an altcoin that also exists on the sidechain along with the scBTC.

My knowledge of all this new sidechains nomenclature is a little bit rusty at the least
(I have to go through the last few hundreds pages to get proper definitions).

But from what I read from the paper the atomic swaps will involve token exchange across
chains, I've quote the relevant part of the paper here:

Quote from: sidechains white paper
Appendix C Atomic swaps
Once a sidechain is operational, it is possible for users to exchange coins atomically between chains,
without using the peg. In fact, this is possible with altcoins today, though the independent prices
make it harder to organise. This is important, because as we have seen, direct use of the peg requires
fairly large transactions (with correspondingly large fees) and long wait periods. To contrast, atomic
swaps can be done using only two transactions on each network, each of size similar to ordinary
pay-to-address transactions

You're implying that atomic swaps apply only to scBTC and altcoin that belongs to the same chain, right?

I've gone through this thread and I find this post from Adam Back and it seems to confirm
that we can exchange coins across chains and, I dare to say, even BTC and scBTC.


Since you are free to move coins between BTC and scBTC, the price will be the same. You don't sell scBTC for a lower price when you can transfer it back to BTC and sell it for the full price.

Correct.  I think its worth clarifying that the peg is algorithmic, because its seems from the thread that some people may not understand that.  You, personally, can ask the network automatically to swap unlimited quantities of BTC on the sidechain for BTC on the main bitcoin chain.

The only reason to swap with users using atomic swaps or trades is to do that faster.  No one is going to take anything other than a negligible price difference because they can click a button and move the coins between chains themselves.

Further because that 2wp backstop is there, and anyone and his dog can do arbitrage, with full confidence that they'll be able to exercise the 2wp and capitalise on the small time-preference, the will be small.  It seems just as likely that the sidechain coins sell at a small premium for the time-preference access to side-chain features.  (Time-preference means someones preference to gain access to something sooner rather than waiting eg 24hrs, and they'll sometimes be willing to pay a small fee to get it earlier, eg check advances or such things).

I dont think it realistic that we would see anyone willing to sell sidechain BTC at anything significantly below par in either direction, to do so is to burn money needlessly.  People will arbitrage it and its open to anyone to arbitrage.  So unless someone wants to burn money (and bitcoin already supports proof of burn or pay to miners if you're into burning money or donating to miners), no one will be offering to swap sidechain BTC for BTC at anything far below or above $350 (assuming current market price of $350).  eg $349.50 to $350.50 might be an example which is 15 basis points, that'd give someone a 15% return on an annual basis with steady arbitrage for a 2 day clearance time on the peg.  They can maybe get a higher return (and hence be willing to offer even lower margins) by holding a float on both sides and cancelling some trades against others as those happen faster so they get more than one arbitrage fee per exercise of the 2wp.

Obviously no one is encouraging anyone to put real money into untested or buggy sidechains.  I dont think there will be lots of sidechains and the main sidechains will be extremely well tested and coded to the same rigor as bitcoin itself.

Adam
343  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 10, 2014, 11:32:24 PM
In this scheme, there will be only BTC buying with the fiat at exchanges.  No BTC is sold to the market.  Only scBTC is sold to the market but people believe the notion of the peg so they pay the same for them as they would for BTC (because after all they can be redeemed for BTC with only a 100 block delay in spend-ability).

Endgame is there are a lot of the scBTC created, reducing BTC liquidity and pumping the BTC fiat price... until it unwinds.

There is no peg.
There is no spoon.

Here is what I believe to be the flaw in your scenario :

If, as you say, people believe in the peg (which they absolutely should) then they will not buy your scBTC. In reality, the market has no incentive to purchase your scBTC over BTC if they are the same price.  

The reason for this? Well you have suggested it yourself : the "block delay in spend-ability". What makes the best money? The most cost effective and versatile exchangeable asset. BTC is more easily exchangeable with fiat (because of liquidity) and other scBTCs than scBTC is and is also more cost-effective at doing so. No matter the 1:1 fiat peg, BTC is a more desirable unit than scBTC. BTC has better fungibility and liquidity in the economy than scBTC.

Here is where you are flatly wrong.  There clearly is an incentive, the time incentive.
To change BTC to scBTC, you will have to wait for 100 blocks or so, whatever the confirmation time may be.
If you buy them at exchange, there is no wait.

This confirmation exchange value is created in both ways in the transaction.  People will pay a premium for time, localbitcoin pricing is evidence enough of this.
Maybe I'm wrong but don't the atomic swaps described in the paper remove "the time incentive"?
Am I missing something obvious?
344  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 07, 2014, 10:11:24 PM
I would feel far more comfortable if over the next 2 years we cleaned up the code we had, commenting it, and reconciling it with projects like btcd addressing the bug for bug issues that propagate over time. before introducing more financial complexity.  I empathize with the community as a whole to add features they think will increase their investment, however, i would rather see the code base fare more secure - and a stable foundation before adding new dependencies.

Wladimir van der Laan, the new Bitcoin Core lead dev, on the same thread linked
above said that they are working on separating the consensus code from all the rest.
The first step will be a script verification library to be first introduced in 0.10 and
extended to other parts of consensus code by 0.11

So I think that the direction the project is moving toward is the one you aimed,
having "stable foundation" to build things on top.  
345  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 07, 2014, 11:01:13 AM
Somewhat related to the ongoing debate on the sidechains concept,
this is a good-to-read thread on the bitcoin development mailing list:

http://www.mail-archive.com/search?l=bitcoin-development@lists.sourceforge.net&q=subject:%22Re%3A+%5BBitcoin-development%5D+The+difficulty+of+writing+consensus+critical+code%3A+the+SIGHASH_SINGLE+bug%22

particularly enlightening is this piece from Peter Todd in response to Justus:

Quote from: Peter Todd (emphasis mine)
In the current model, the specification *is* the protocol, and the
Bitcoin Core team is scared to death of changing anything; they've got
very little real power. Soft-forks are the minimum-viable way of making
changes to the protocol, and it's very clear how they get adopted:
minerr consensus. They're also a fundemental way of changing the
protocol that is impossible to prevent, so you might as well use it.

You'll find another insight of what's the real complexity of bitcoin
development at the beginning of the aforementioned thread.

Peter is talking about how every node alt-implementation has to
replicate the exact same behaviour of Bitcoin Core in terms of consensus
policies (even bugs if any), otherwise it will be forked off the network.
It is what he calls "bug-for-bug" compatibility. I've found it fascinating.

Another really interesting quote from Peter :

Quote from: Peter Todd
You know, the smartest thing the Bitcoin Foundation could do if they
wanted to cement their place in the Bitcoin ecosystem as a power broker
would be to setup a program of periodic hard-forks, say every year or
two, and then manage the committees that decide what goes into those
hard-forks. That they haven't suggested that yet is a sign that they're
either not evil, or they don't understand Bitcoin very well.

p.s. sorry for being way too OT
346  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 05, 2014, 05:40:23 PM

define this:  scZEROBTC

are you saying another SC would arise once removed from MC?

So we have two sidechains :

A sidechain using only 1:1 pegged unit. This unit offers whatever feature you want, faster tx or zerocoin type privacy.

A sidechain also using 1:1 pegged but issuing, for unknown reasons, a sidecoin. The sidecoin is not fungible with BTC or the scBTC. It has to create its own value. The problem with this chain is there is no interest for the user to use the sidecoin because : a. it offers no additional value than the scBTC on the same chain b. it offers no "risk-free put"

Which chain are people going to use?

why wouldn't a new investor buy scZC on a fiat exchange?  why wouldn't a miner want to not only mine tx fees for scBTC as well as mine scZC block rewards + scZC tx fees?

don't say there is no one "using" scZC.  Bitcoin's price started out at $0 when no one was "using" it.  look what happened to it.

You serious? Are you really comparing btc with this hypothetical scZC?

Btc incubation period was at least a decade long. The amount of innovation in the bitcoin project is huge, but more to the point the reasons why such an hypothetical  sidechain would die young are the same reasons why no other altcoin has already supplanted btc.
347  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 05, 2014, 05:28:23 PM
Bitcoin UP!

Surely this has something to do with Sidechains. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

You're way too fast, I was planning to post the same as soon as btc start rise again, but you bit me :/ Smiley
348  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Swedish ASIC miner company kncminer.com on: November 05, 2014, 03:39:51 PM
KNC plans for BTC domination may have hit a speed bump:
http://bitcoinbrothers.de/press/pr20141103

they already had hit one long ago, namely bitfury/ghash/cex.

edit: bitfury was only the first of quite crowded group.
349  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 04, 2014, 04:37:58 PM
I think somehow you believe that side chains are making actual bitcoin transactions, when they are actually just artificially Bitcoin flavored altcoins with a magical bridge to Bitcoin.
If side chains are proposed as a solution for Bitcoin scalability, then they must be actual Bitcoin transactions.

If side chains aren't actual Bitcoin transactions, then they are not a solution to the problem of enabling the network to perform more Bitcoin transactions.

In this case, they are solving some other problem entirely.

How do sidechains differ from treechains?

While we noticed many in the community comparing treechains with sidechains as potential competition, the two ideas are largely unrelated.
While treechains is a proposal to further the scaling of blockchain-based systems, the two-way peg is a mechanism for moving assets across
blockchains without a trusted party
, furthering the extensibility of the entire system.
350  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 04, 2014, 01:53:47 PM
another Adam Back's contribute to the SC debate Smiley

https://twitter.com/adam3us/status/529599284065615872
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=831527.msg9433219#msg9433219

351  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 03, 2014, 03:23:19 PM

No.

Is the price of BTC going down because of altscams? In fact, a successful sidescam might push BTC's value up since it would essentially increase the scarcity of the remaining coins.

wow, listen up everyone!  SC's, whether scam or not, can only make the price of BTC go up!  never down!

this is so blatantly economically naive that i am forced to give brg444 a pass; after all, he's a 24 yo kid with a self admitted shitty job. 


according to wikipedia Steve Jobs was 20 something when he founded Apple inc., just saying.
Ad hominem criticisms are always pernicious imho.
352  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 31, 2014, 09:55:47 PM

EDIT: This should have been posted in the gold collapsing thread...


you mean the "sidechain" thread Wink

ROTFL
353  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 30, 2014, 04:34:02 PM
https://twitter.com/jonmatonis/status/527846975769956352

Quote
Jon Matonis @jonmatonis  ·
The time has come for me to resign as Executive Director of the Bitcoin Foundation. Thank you for all of your passionate support! More soon.

Something big is brewing.

It seems so Smiley
354  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 30, 2014, 02:13:19 PM
fwiw Matt Corallo's "A look at a few Questions and Misconceptions regarding Pegged Sidechains"

http://www.blockstream.com/2014/10/30/a-look-at-a-few-questions-and-misconceptions-for-pegged-sidechains/
355  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 28, 2014, 05:31:17 PM
Sorry for being OT again but I found that this thread contains valuable info about sidechains. Both gmxwell and Luke jr contributed to it with quite useful contributions.
356  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 28, 2014, 07:22:17 AM
I just had a thought. If you wanted to have a sidechain that itself used proof of work mining (peg a PoW altchain to Bitcoin), how could it really work? The miners would have to get paid, and they surely can't be paid in bitcoins so they would get newly issued altcoins. But those particular altcoins would not be convertible to bitcoins, in spite of any so-called 2-way peg, or if they were perfectly fungible you would still end up with whatever percentage of the coins that had been mined constituting an inconvertible set of coins.


Could the sc miners be paid in txes fee only?
357  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 25, 2014, 07:21:25 PM
I'm beginning to doubt Maxwell (nullc) has a grasp on the economics of money as a ledger, and he seemed like the best of the sidechain team on the economic aspects. This seems like a basic error:

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2k7xwj/aantonop_sidechains_could_unleash_even_more/cliw3mi

What if sidechains, or a large part of their motivation, comes from not understanding the idea of spin-offs? Peter R has in places proposed spin-offs as a way to bootstrap an altcoin launch, but the relevance here is they serve many or perhaps even all the functions of sidechains, but without need to mess with Bitcoin.

I get a general sense from the sidechain crew that they don't understand Bitcoin as ledger, that the ledger is what matters, and that the protocol is secondary. To them, as coders, it must seem like the ledger and protocol are inextricably linked, but if you take Money as Memory seriously, the ledger is something outside the protocol and is merely updated by it. Understanding spin-offs requires fully internalizing this insight, and that is what I see no evidence of from the sidechain team.

Interesting idea.

Question : who mines the spin-offs? Can the same concept of merge-mining be applied ?

Who think it's worthy to mine it. As far as I know peter r idea it's a way to bootstrap an alt-coin with a bitcoin-blockchain-based initial coin distribution, nothing more than this. As far as I remember peter even proposed to clone ethereum with this method. In the case of ethereum clone it's impossible to merge mine i think.
358  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 25, 2014, 02:35:06 PM
Can someone ask kindly Jeff to stop stalking NXT and Mr Maxwell his sidechains coding and both have a look at this:

http://t.co/eWNQq2h1Cx

??


WTF ? ? ? ?

Is Jeff still listing on twitter and elsewhere all what he thinks are nxt weaknesses? I thought he was done with it.

Having said that all the links contained in the above post show how a bad implementation can ruin also the best crypto idea. More to the point I don't think gmaxwell has to check all wallet implementations around the globe.

If you're interested in this kind of narrative look at this s djb presentation:

http://cr.yp.to/talks/2014.10.18/slides-djb-20141018-a4.pdf
359  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 25, 2014, 02:08:45 PM
About pegging.

To have pegging, there must be an authority that guarantees the peg to the main coin.


An authority? Made of people?
360  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 24, 2014, 12:13:27 PM
One last quest on this sidechains thing, is it possible to remove the bridge between bitcoin and a sidechain at any given point in time?

p.s. sorry for the OT

Edit: fix grammar
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