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3581  Other / Politics & Society / Re: FLAT MARS on: December 29, 2019, 08:26:44 PM
The Three Musketeers are an all male thruple, it's blatant pro-masonic homosexual propaganda.

Not true, the 'pro-masonic homosexual propaganda' propaganda is actually Animal Rights propaganda. NASA are probably involved, too. (They usually are, aren't they?)

Stop believing conspiracy theories and face the truth. These Musketeers are, and always have been, dogs. I don't remember who on here suggested that they were chocolate bars, but that's clearly false, too, as the photo below proves beyond any reasonable doubt.

3582  Other / Politics & Society / Re: FLAT MARS on: December 29, 2019, 06:59:43 AM
Explanation of joke usually ruins it.
Yeah, I didn't want to do it, but at the same time I don't want to start a debate where I am pretending I believe something, and then arguing against people who I actually agree with. What kind of lunatic would do that?

I'm surprised at the low number (635,000). There are billions of craters > 7-10 meters in diameter on the Moon. Guess the presence of a slight atmosphere makes a big difference.
Yes probably, I suppose you'd expect the atmosphere to burn up some of the smaller stuff. I think the 635k was a count of current craters rather than an estimate of all impacts - Mars does have vulcanism, so lava has likely covered over a lot of old craters. Plus also when a meteor hits milk chocolate, the chocolate tends to melt and then reform, so likely there are plenty of meteors buried within Mars's delicious interior.

The real question for me is why does the UK Mars look very similar to the US Milky Way? And why is the UK Milky Way called 'Three Musketeers' in the US? And why does the UK not have Three Musketeers? I'll tell you why: because in the UK, a chocolate bar cannot be a swashbuckling epic of chivalry, honor, and derring-do, set in France during the 1620s, richly populated with romantic heroes, unattainable heroines, kings, queens, cavaliers, and criminals in a whirl of adventure, espionage, conspiracy, murder, vengeance, love, scandal, and suspense - that's why.

Sorry, veering off-topic a bit.


Edit: Wow, I've just got promoted to Senior whilst writing that. I must be doing something right. Guess I'll continue posting in a similar vein to the above. Apologies in advance :p
3583  Other / Meta / Re: What effect would this forum vanishing have on your life? on: December 29, 2019, 06:33:31 AM
Am I the only one who is eager to open the bitcointalk forum at the start of the day instead of the social media?

No, I'm the same. I stopped using Facebook because of the data mining / surveillance capitalism. More than this though, I like the breadth of discussions here, and the fact that we are exposed to opposing views rather than channelled into meticulously curated echo chambers. It is always important in life to challenge your preconceptions and what you consider to be established truth. We can do that here across a wide range of subjects, whilst still sharing a universal common interest in crypto.
3584  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: I don't believe Quantum Computing will ever threaten Bitcoin on: December 28, 2019, 04:06:26 PM
In my opinion, post quantum cryptography should not be confused with cryptography based on the mutual relation of quantum states of photons.
Post-quantum cryptography uses mathematical coding methods.
Physical laws of the quantum world are used in quantum cryptography.

Post quantum systems, most of them, were developed 10-20 years ago. Some of them are new, developed recently. But they're all based on mathematics.

They should not be confused with related quantum states, it's a completely different approach to the problem.
I agree, and I'm well aware of the distinction. Post-quantum cryptography and quantum cryptography are completely different things. It's unfortunate that they have such similar names!


We are not interested in quantum cryptography, it is not our level, it is not intended for ordinary users.
And it's not even planned for us.

It's post quantum mathematical cryptography that we are planning.
Not sure I agree with this point. I would contend, as I have previously, that work in quantum cryptography is progressing at pace and whilst there are technical issues to overcome, it does potentially offer a fundamentally unhackable solution to quantum attacks, and one which can be used in the mainstream. Having said that, of course post-quantum cryptography is hugely important as well, and work is progressing there, too. There's no need to focus on just the one approach, though, and dismiss the other.


You are very mistaken about the length of the key if you think that a quantum computer can solve the problem of a complete search for a key only 256 bits long. No quantum computer can do that. That's why the AES-256 remains a post quantum system.
I think we agree, but are coming at this from different angles. An increase in key length is trivial to overcome if we're talking about asymmetric cryptography, where a quantum computer can apply Shor's algorithm. But as you state below, AES-256 is symmetric.


AES-256 with only 256 bits of key is definitely left (it's a symmetric system), but all our asymmetric systems (including RSA and ECC) are not.
AES-256 security may be fine currently, it may be resistant to the best current attack (Grover search), but that's my point. Quantum cryptography uses the laws of quantum mechanics to make a system absolutely unhackable for all time, whereas post-quantum cryptography makes a system secure against current attacks, with no guarantee of security against future technology or future algorithms.

If AES-256 can beat Grover, what about other approaches? Quantum Square Attacks? Biclique Attacks? How about all mathematical attacks that haven't yet been devised?

I'm being flippant, and I do agree that there is certainly a chance that a post-quantum cryptography solution will remain forever secure, but we can't know for certain. My point is merely that we should investigate both quantum cryptography and post-quantum cryptography. It seems wasteful to focus solely on one approach.

I value the discussion immensely, by the way - thank you Smiley
3585  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: I don't believe Quantum Computing will ever threaten Bitcoin on: December 28, 2019, 07:34:17 AM
from an attack with quantum computing, it is enough to simply increase the length of the key.
No, it's not. QC processing power increases exponentially with each new qubit. This is why scaling up a QC can produce such phenomenal power.
Where a classical computer with 'n' bits can represent 'n' states, a quantum computer can represent (2n) states.
So as we increase complexity, the number of states that can be represented are as follows:
Classical: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 etc
Quantum: 1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128 etc.


So there's something wrong with ECC?
Yes, there is. A QC can use Shor's algorithm to break ECC.

There is a lot of good work being done in post-quantum cryptography, as we've covered previously:

  • Modify the PoW system such that QCs don’t have any advantage over classical computers. Defending PoW is not as important as defending signatures (as above), because PoW is less vulnerable. However various approaches that can protect PoW against QCs are under development, such as Cuckoo Cycle, Momentum and Equihash.
  • Modify the signature system to prevent easy derivation of private keys. Again, various approaches are under development, which use some pretty esoteric maths. There are hash-based approaches such as XMSS and SPHINCS, but more promising (as far as I can tell) are the lattice-based approaches such as Dilithium, which I think is already used by Komodo.

... and I do think that many of these approaches look promising. My main concern is that post-quantum-cryptography solutions are based merely on being very difficult to hack, whereas quantum-cryptography is in theory fundamentally unhackable due to the immutable physical laws of quantum mechanics.
3586  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Why You wouldn't invest in this coin? theoretically and practically on: December 28, 2019, 07:12:08 AM
I wouldn't invest because it's a very very small coin with an ultra-low marketcap.
I can't say whether it's a good coin or not, but I am not a big trader, and I steer clear of small stuff for long-term holding. Maybe it's a good coin, maybe not, but for me a coin with such a low cap represents a huge gamble. As we drop down the alt charts in cap, the risk increases. Small coins are certainly sometimes the big bargains, but far more often they stay small and just drop in price. Small stuff is not for me, sorry.
3587  Other / Meta / Re: What is my lucky number? Legendary rank on: December 28, 2019, 07:02:41 AM
Between 755 and 910..? you almost got it Wink

The info is in this thread: Activity & new membergroup limits, it was linked as a quote in the unofficial rules thread.
Legendary occurs randomly between 775 and 1030 activity

This is a newer link, and covers the merit requirement: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2818350.0

As well as the activity threshold, you also need 1000 merit now to become Legendary - not that I'm likely to ever get there!
I think this is better than the purely activity-based rank. If someone is really legendary, then they are well-known for excellent post quality, so the merit requirement is entirely fitting.
3588  Other / Politics & Society / Re: FLAT MARS on: December 28, 2019, 06:44:56 AM
outer space is [...] gay!

Pictures or it didn't happen. Preferably in a new thread tagged as NSFW.
...

This is NASA astronaut and homosexual Scott Kelly aboard the ISS:

Nonsense. Astronauts aren't real, and neither is the ISS. They are both flat, 2-dimensional drawings on that firmament thing you're always talking about.
As for R "Scott" Kelly, he's a singer, not an astronaut. Although he did write an opera called "Trapped in the Closet," so what do I know.

How do you sure that astronaut was not true? Is there any proof for that? Why they are many people who create some fake news about some person who really not true?

Sorry, I was being sarcastic. Notbatman seems to think that most things are fake or a conspiracy, I was making a joke based on that. The astronaut is indeed real (as is the ISS). The photo of him in his underwear I suspect is fake, but honestly I have no interest in researching that.
3589  Other / Serious discussion / Re: I might be wrong in just looking at fundamentals. on: December 26, 2019, 05:32:14 PM
you could argue gold has same things.
You could, but I'd still argue that gold is universally accepted as a store of value, whereas bitcoin is merely anticipated to become a store of value at some point in the future.

sorry but i have been looking at different markets for years and there is a fundamental value line based on the acquisition costs.
I'm happy to accept that you have greater knowledge about markets than I do. I'm not saying I'm right, I'm just giving an amateur's opinion.

but hey if you want to just think everything is just pure guess and emotion. then you can keep playing with the randomness of the next ATH
No need to be aggressive again! I'm trying to agree with you about TA not being so great (and even merited you because it's a good point, and I concur Cheesy ) Apologies if my (admittedly uninformed) opinion about everything being based on expectation of future utility is a bit amateurish and overly simplistic. I'm learning as I go here!
3590  Other / Serious discussion / Re: I might be wrong in just looking at fundamentals. on: December 26, 2019, 09:13:44 AM
this is not predicting. this is causing

I agree. I started a thread on this a while ago.

We are all aware that crypto markets are highly speculative - and how could they be otherwise? Comparisons within traditional markets invite erroneous inferences. Bitcoin has no physical assets (beyond mining equipment), it owns no patents or copyrights, it has no operating profits or costs (you can't really talk about mining costs because difficulty can change), it has no CEO. It even has no real current use case.

Everything with crypto is based on expectation of future utility. Store-of-value? Faster payments? We are all guessing what bitcoin and alts might be worth based on guesses as to a) the extent to which they will become 'mainstream' and a part of everyday life for everyday people, companies and governments, and b) the purpose we think they will fulfill in some future economy that doesn't exist yet.

This is why it is so speculative, why prices move so much, and why TA applied to crypto can be seen as largely a self-fulfilling prophecy.
3591  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Bad days for crypto on: December 26, 2019, 07:42:11 AM
I think it is a good idea to take a longer term perspective to get some context. We all know that prices fluctuate, often quite alarmingly, day to day and week to week. But I think it can really help to see how coins are behaving over a much longer term. We are still just about in the early days of crypto, there is so much more to come. I don't think there is cause for concern at current prices, at least for the good coins.
3592  Other / Politics & Society / Re: TRUMP IMPEACHED! on: December 24, 2019, 05:33:15 PM
This impeachment will prove counter-productive for the Democrats. The Senate will clear him anyway. What will happen is that Trump's existing supporters will support him even more as the valiant underdog fighting the establishment, and in all likelihood it will get him some new anti-establishment votes, too. I can't see how the Democrats gain from this at all; Trump will remain in power, and support for him will increase.
3593  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Senate safe Donald Trump's impeachment? on: December 24, 2019, 09:15:39 AM
I'm afraid this could backfire democrats in the 2020 elections.

Absolutely agree. A lot of Donald Trump's power is based on him positioning himself as the 'anti-establishment' candidate, standing up for the regular man-in-the-street against the mighty powers that control the economy. Regardless of what Trump's real position and motivation is, the risk remains that the impeachment process simply entrenches Trump's existing support, and even draws in new voters to his 'anti-establishment' cause.

The question of whether a billionaire who literally has a tower of gold can be 'anti-establishment' is beside the point...

3594  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Altcoin bubble by 2023; capitalization up to 150 times, a research suggests on: December 24, 2019, 08:22:15 AM
The problem with making predictions in an area that has a history of exponential growth, particularly when the prediction is a continuation of that exponential curve, is that it is very easy be orders-of-magnitude wrong. Yes the prediction could turn out to be accurate, but the range of plausible prices for bitcoin in a few years' time ranges from zero dollars to hundreds of thousands of dollars. I would take every prediction as more of a wild guess than anything to rely upon.
3595  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump is lying without giving a fuck, why? on: December 24, 2019, 07:46:23 AM
Let's have a look at the latest outburst of Don Quixote Trump. What do we think? Truth or lies? If lies, then ad-libbed, off-the-cuff stuff, or carefully choreographed? Or a bit of both - the theme carefully prepared and then communicated in his standard conversational style?

Quote
“I never understood wind. You know, I know windmills very much. I’ve studied it better than anybody I know. It’s very expensive. They’re made in China and Germany mostly — very few made here, almost none. But they’re manufactured tremendous — if you’re into this — tremendous fumes. Gases are spewing into the atmosphere.”

“You know we have a world, right? So the world is tiny compared to the universe. So tremendous, tremendous amount of fumes and everything. You talk about the carbon footprint — fumes are spewing into the air. Right? Spewing. Whether it’s in China, Germany, it’s going into the air. It’s our air, their air, everything — right?”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/12/23/president-trump-lashes-out-an-old-enemy-windmills

I may (do) think that he's not particularly intelligent, but he's not an idiot, he's well aware that renewables have a tiny carbon footprint compared to fossil fuels, and his positioning here seems quite skilful. 'We have a world', 'Our air, their air', even the word 'spewing' that he uses 3 times in just this segment, very evocative and emotive. So whether this is ad-libbed or not, his message - although I disagree with it profoundly - is communicated perfectly here. He is one of us, fighting the establishment powers, standing up for our rights against the massively polluting renewable energy companies. Of course it's all nonsense, lies of almost breathtaking audacity, but he's good at communicating exactly what he wants to communicate to his target audience. He's also thrown in a bit about it being un-American to support windmills, because if you do, you're not supporting American industry, but rather America's enemies, both current and historic 'They’re made in China and Germany mostly — very few made here, almost none'. Barely a word is wasted here. Windmills are 'very expensive'. Even 'the world is tiny compared to the universe', he's evoking images of vulnerability, as if he's deeply concerned about our helpless little planet.

I despise him, and think that he sounds like a fool, but I can't deny there is a lot of skill in this speech. How much is his and how much is at least loosely scripted I couldn't say, but it's impressive nevertheless.
The syntax and grammar are appalling 'I know windmills very much. I’ve studied it better than anybody', 'they’re manufactured tremendous [...] fumes', and some of it invites ridicule 'I never understood wind', 'You know we have a world, right?' ... but beneath this is a well-targeted and skilfully delivered message.



3596  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: ETH return to 1000 USD after hardfork? on: December 23, 2019, 07:52:46 PM
$1000 seems perfectly reasonable for ETH in the longer-term. But no, I can't see the update pushing up prices that much. Remember that this stuff tends to get priced in well in advance. We may see rises, we may not, but 1k is a huge rise from current levels, not unprecedented I know, but nevertheless it has to be very unlikely.
3597  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Will 2020 be bearish as well? on: December 23, 2019, 07:35:44 PM
I don't think 2020 will be bearish, no. 2017 was insanely bullish, particularly at the end... then came the bearish aftermath, which we are still recovering from. The market is not overheated at the moment. Confidence seems to be slowly returning, as we have seen in the bitcoin rise over the last couple of days, so I would think that 2020 should see a return to a more optimistic outlook, and then hopefully to more bullish price movement.
3598  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: When next bull run happen?? on: December 23, 2019, 06:43:18 AM
Halving is the obvious thing that everyone is talking about, but I'm sure that we won't see a sudden increase exactly when halving happens - most likely it has already been (or is currently being) priced in. Everyone expects an increase, and buyers and sellers are both aware of that.

We don't necessarily have to look that far ahead. What about the price rises we are seeing right now? Bitcoin has bounced back very strongly from a lower support line, and we are seeing a strong recovery now. If bitcoin can push through $8k, I think that might mark the start of another bull run. Not saying it will definitely happen as it is very early days, but the current movements are promising.
3599  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump is lying without giving a fuck, why? on: December 23, 2019, 06:35:24 AM
RE this point, we are not exactly in disagreement. I just view there as being more than one dimension to personality excepting in people who are one dimensional. Referring back to a prior post, ... my opinion of Trump is sort of he's like a near-autistic high level genius. That would explain poor social skills and high achievement. I have worked with several people who were similar, that's why I put it this way.
He is certainly not the average politician really not a politician at all. On the subject of lying, though, which is interesting. During the debates he scolded those he was up against, both Dem and Rep if I recall correctly, as being "Lying politicians." He said he was making some promises and he was going to keep them. Now, Hillary had been caught in some pretty serious lies on Fast and Furious, and on Bengazi and other matters. But Trump seemed to zero in on the "big social program of change" as a characteristic lie of the aspiring politician.

Taken in isolation, I can see how the autistic genius thing might be the case. But it's not isolated; the rise of Trump is being mirrored across the world - Boris Johnson here in the UK behaves in an extremely similar way to Trump, and in a way that is unprecedented amongst UK leaders: He couldn't care less about his lies. He governs largely through a series of outrageous soundbites that appeal to the prejudices of ordinary people - xenophobia being the most common theme - muslim women look like "letterboxes" and "bank robbers" (some more examples here, very similar to Trump).

It's very unlikely they are both near-autistic geniuses. I think it's more likely the rise of the right-wing populist strongman (Bolsonaro, Modi, Erdogan, Duterte et al). The extreme right-wing often claims to represent the people against the corrupt politicians, and at the same time implement policies to increase wealth inequality. People across the world increasingly feel disenfranchised, but they don't elect left-wing politicians (Bernie Sanders etc) who would really represent the interests of ordinary people, instead what we have is demonisation of the left by the moneyed elite, and the right stay in power. They can't just have more of the same though, they need someone who is a bit of an outsider, who can convincingly be portrayed as a maverick fighting the system. This I think is why the extremists are taking power.

Now I would say this, that a great many people think he delivered on his campaign promises or where he has not, it is due to opposing forces stalling his agenda. I ask this, on these matters which he said he was running on and made more or less his platform, is he a liar?
He's certainly followed through on some of the promises. Others he has certainly been blocked on. Others, such as "lock her up", I would argue he never had any intention of following through on.
3600  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump is lying without giving a fuck, why? on: December 22, 2019, 07:08:46 PM
Besides, you have been sitting in on his cabinet meetings, right? So you know the info he gleans from around the world, and the strategic info guidance he gets from other people who are way smarter than he, or you, or me, right?

Cool
No, of course not. And I'm not disputing that he has extremely competent advisors who are much more intelligent than I am, and are supreme political strategists. The Trump phenomenon can't be taken in isolation however, here in the UK we have Boris Johnson, who is very much a Trump-lite, cast in a very similar mould. Trump isn't a maverick one-off, he's representative of a developing trend. In many areas the US leads and the rest of the world follows a few years later. This is think is one of those examples.

Generally, speaking, though. This kind of a comment, "There's barely even a guiding intelligence, he's just a petulant child consumed by avarice and a constant need for validation."

Seriously? Go back and study his performance in the debates. Sounds like you just want to have an anti-Trump bitch and gripe thread, not one specifically about his purported lying?

Just asking...I'm not particularly interested in trump vs anti trump bitch and gripe.
Yes, point conceded. The petulant child bit is how he appears to me, appreciate he does not appear that way to everyone, or else he would never have got elected. I will stop the bitching and griping, let's get back to the subject of how he lies without caring about being perceived as a liar.
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