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3661  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: July 13, 2021, 09:39:37 AM
Quote

“ To avoid serious social and political discontent, leading to unrest and ultimately sociopolitical breakdown, the authorities will have to burst the bitcoin bubble before its macroeconomic importance becomes much greater. The similarity with bank runs is rather clear. If none of, say, the ten biggest providers of liquidity to Lehman Brothers had withdrawn their funding, in all probability no-one else would have done so. If those ten withdrew their funding, in all probability everyone would do the same. Similarly, as the ratio of “illusory-wealth-to-potential-income” in the economy gets bigger and bigger, the temptation for someone to jump ship and be the first to use their assets to acquire real resources becomes greater and greater.”

“ The longer that central banks wait before taking action to prevent a swelling of cryptocurrency bubbles, the more difficult they will make their task. Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned bitcoin “investors” that they risk losing all of their money. But if the bubble first gets much bigger, its bursting will have significant macroeconomic effects, as spending financed by borrowing against bitcoin “wealth” vanishes. Worse, devastating losses will be inflicted on speculators, among whom will be more and more ordinary households. The fact that they have been warned will not prevent potentially seismic reactions.

Central banks and regulators thus now have an unenviable choice. Presumably, they will not want to be blamed by crypto “investors” for a burst bubble. So they may hope that it subsides of its own accord, then regulate it out of existence. But if the bubble keeps growing, they must grasp the nettle and inflict losses now, or face a future sharp-elbowed scramble to convert crypto holdings into goods and services, which will produce hyperinflation and destroy society.”


https://moneyweek.com/investments/alternative-finance/bitcoin-crypto/603510/how-a-bubble-in-bitcoin-could-lead-to

Bernard Conolly, the writer of this FUDticle, judges and blames the players/speculators of the market, and not the rule makers/THE FED to be held responsible if hyperinflation happens. This is Anti-Bitcoin propaganda, and FUD disguised as an objective opinion.

They truly feel the threat.

Buy the DIP, and? Cool
3662  Economy / Economics / Re: Xi Jinping Beats Crypto, Bitcoin Mine Closes on: July 13, 2021, 06:42:11 AM
Lmao. This is the nth time that someone has proclaimed BTC dead.

The truth is that there are probably just as many bitcoin holders in China right now who recognise the issue with the fiat monetary system and the central bank digital currency that the PBoC is trying to push out. Only regulated entities are going down.

A lot of miners and holders are unregulated, unregistered, and completely away from the prying eyes of the government no matter how hard they look - that's the beauty of a decentralised asset like BTC.


Plus what many people haven’t truly realized is that everytime there’s an authoritarian government flexing their political muscles to gain more control over the system, the more it gives open, permissionless, censorship-resistant systems like Bitcoin more value. Chinese government widened the gap, Bitcoin is still here to fill it.
3663  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will El Salvador become the "Home of Bitcoin"? on: July 13, 2021, 06:22:05 AM
Quote


77% of the population do not consider it to be good decision to make bitcoin a legal tender there.


That’s not good. Plus there’s Article 7 in El Salvador’s Bitcoin Law that states, “ Every economic agent must accept bitcoin as payment when offered to him by whoever acquires a good or service”.

I believe El Salvador should never force their citizens like that. Support it, and make it Legal Tender, but force it? No, that’s not what it’s supposed to be. Bitcoin should be used according to its own good, not because citizens were forced to use it.


Of course, the policies of the government are based on the needs of the majority of the population, and I think the pros and cons there are still there, but it seems that all the people there must comply with government regulations. and I think there will be many advantages which will become a reference for bitcoiners to stop by, so that the prosperity of the country will increase


The prosperity of a country is not assured just by forcing a country to use a technology that their people are currently NOT comfortable of adopting yet. Encourage the use of Bitcoin through giving tax breaks, but the El Salvadorian government should never force anyone to use it.
3664  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: The Lightning Network FAQ on: July 12, 2021, 10:58:30 AM
StopAndDecrypt wrote a very informative guide on how to install, and run a Bitcoin node, and a Lightning node over the Tor Network, https://stopanddecrypt.medium.com/running-bitcoin-lightning-nodes-over-the-tor-network-2021-edition-489180297d5

That could of help to you, BlackHatCoiner, and it might be good to include in the OP.
3665  Economy / Economics / Re: Xi Jinping Beats Crypto, Bitcoin Mine Closes on: July 12, 2021, 10:45:50 AM
OP, Bitcoin hashing power is slowly coming back online, and slowly recovering from the recent crash, https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-hashrate.html#3y

The network will be around for a very long time, open and permissionless and just waiting to be used, and filling gaps where Bitcoin can fill them. Tell Xi Jin Ping, the cat is out if the bag.
3666  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will El Salvador become the "Home of Bitcoin"? on: July 12, 2021, 07:57:04 AM
Quote


77% of the population do not consider it to be good decision to make bitcoin a legal tender there.


That’s not good. Plus there’s Article 7 in El Salvador’s Bitcoin Law that states, “ Every economic agent must accept bitcoin as payment when offered to him by whoever acquires a good or service”.

I believe El Salvador should never force their citizens like that. Support it, and make it Legal Tender, but force it? No, that’s not what it’s supposed to be. Bitcoin should be used according to its own good, not because citizens were forced to use it.
3667  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Does technical and fundamental analysis help? My example. on: July 12, 2021, 07:40:25 AM
You are part of the team, NEAR project, right? Then, if you are promoting your project,
This might help you to find a way how your projects will run well and not just a scam. Because investors will consider and invest in your project or any projects if that is good-looking and promising.  

But this not only the basis if that particular project is worth to invest or it has a fortune. It should have a working product and from that, we exoect that this project will surely gain trust from the community.


Who is part of the NEAR project? OP? I believe not. Big projects’ core team members have stopped coming in this forum currently because it’s full of spam. Or maybe they don’t care to spend their time with us plebs. Hahaha.

But if you look for posts from 2011 - 2013, you would see that many of the known shitcoin developers started learning about Bitcoin, then developed shitcoinery in this forum.
3668  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Does technical and fundamental analysis help? My example. on: July 10, 2021, 01:11:29 PM
OP, for shitcoins, I believe “fundamental analysis” is very difficult to measure/gauge. This is because people treat these projects like real companies, which will NEVER be like real companies. They don’t have a P/E ratio, or Book Value per Share ratio, or other basic ways to measure “fundamentals”.

But, any coin that has “good fundamentals” should be the coin that has an increasing average daily transaction count for over a long period of time. Plus it should be prove to be truly decentralized enough not to be shut down by a centralized authority.
3669  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will El Salvador become the "Home of Bitcoin"? on: July 10, 2021, 09:17:57 AM
Why should El Salvador be THE “Home of Bitcoin”. Did everyone already forget China? The El Salvadorian government can easily cast Bitcoin away too, just as simply as they welcomed it, and gave it a “home”. OP, Bitcoin doesn’t actually need a home.
Of the two, I would probably choose El Salvador more than China, remember how they cracked down on the miners in their country? That's not the characteristic of a country that we should call the home for bitcoin, it's quite the opposite because it's more a warzone for bitcoin or even cryptocurrencies in general. I think that if El Salvador delivers what they promised to do and did more than expected, probably some might consider giving that title.


That’s because El Salvador is currently welcoming it, what if it will spit it out next year?

Plus the point is not choosing between China and El Salvador, it’s to choose NOTHING between the two. They need Bitcoin, whether they want to actually use the technology, or want to merely profit from it by purchasing it then selling it later. Both options are A-OK, but Bitcoin doesn’t need a home, it will never need a home.
3670  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will El Salvador become the "Home of Bitcoin"? on: July 10, 2021, 08:02:52 AM
Why should El Salvador be THE “Home of Bitcoin”. Did everyone already forget China? The El Salvadorian government can easily cast Bitcoin away too, just as simply as they welcomed it, and gave it a “home”. OP, Bitcoin doesn’t actually need a home.
3671  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Steve Wozniak Calls Bitcoin a "Miracle," Says It's Better Than Gold on: July 10, 2021, 07:50:51 AM
What I found funny with that article is, Bitcoin was mentioned, praised, and then it went on with the story that he launched a new “cryptocurrency company” called “xxx”. I went to the website, it shills a “xxx” token.

It's not funny, it's a way to promote something of your own, but to attract an audience you have to tell them first what they want to hear, and when the co-founder of Apple says Bitcoin is "the most amazing mathematical miracle", people are thrilled and sure will take a look at his project. In other words, "Bitcoin is a miracle, but I have something even better."

By the way, Steve Wozniak has become known to the crypto community in 2018 when he fell for a cheap trick and lost as many as 7 BTC, which does not really portray him as an intelligent man - because if he had the attitude he has today, he would certainly have acted differently.


I watched some of his intervews, most of them interviews included in documentaries about Steve Jobs. Steve Wozniak came across as someone naive, and easily swindled from his money. He also had his own story about Steve Jobs commission an engineering job for him while he was with Atari. Jobs never paid him the full amount.
3672  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Any better site like Trading view? on: July 09, 2021, 12:36:18 PM
I believe just for charting, Trading View is still the better one compared to all the other charting apps mentioned in the topic. In fact, it might be the superior charting app above the rest available.

OP, simply curious, but what didn’t you like in Trading View? It’s the most complete charting app available for free on the web.
3673  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Steve Wozniak Calls Bitcoin a "Miracle," Says It's Better Than Gold on: July 09, 2021, 12:22:39 PM
In December, he launched his own cryptocurrency company, Efforce.

This ^^ is the part that tells that he indeed believes in crypto.


His own token? Haha.

Quote

After this company was made, all his further public declarations on the matter are biased  Wink
But I don't deny either that they do help  Smiley


What I found funny with that article is, Bitcoin was mentioned, praised, and then it went on with the story that he launched a new “cryptocurrency company” called “Efforce”. I went to the website, it shills a “Woz” token.

Is he truly the founder of the company?
3674  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is this a good plan on: July 09, 2021, 10:52:24 AM
OP, good plan! But don’t be afraid to make your second bid, and subsequent bids lower. Because if Bitcoin crashes below $30,000 in a truly convincing way, you can be sure that bids made at $20,000 to $25,000 will be hit. Prepare for the worst hope for the best. Plus you can always average up on strength by buying dips during a surge. Cool
3675  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: July 09, 2021, 10:40:09 AM
Watch John Bogle’s advice in how to invest in stocks and equities, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doKsy4itiRE

John Bogle was a HODLer-type, and was the founder of The Vanguard Group.

It’s obviously very applicable in Bitcoin’s HODL-style investing, and he also addressed and encourged a dollar-cost-averaging strategy. BUT, he also said that an investor should “get in right in the first place”. Is the current market the right time to enter? I believe it’s an opportunity, but leave yourself more capital to average down because no one gets it in right unless you’re very lucky.

Of course, there is a lot of luck in investing in anything, but persistent investing creates some of the luck in terms of if the investment ends up going up in the long run.   So, in some sense, if you do not have a lot of money to start with it is going to either take a long time or a lot of BTC price appreciation for you to either feel the effect or to become rich off of it, yet at the same time, you should be attempting to work with what you got rather than engaging in overly leveraging kinds of behaviors - and in that regard, bitcoin seems to continue to be one of the best investments out there in terms of considering both downside and upside risk and both downside and upside potential.

So a convincing definition of luck is where preparation meets opportunity.. so yeah, the idea of DCA investing is good, with a wee bit of front loading of the investment (if you can) combined with some levels of preparations to be able to buy on the dip, if the BTC price dips from here or if it ends up dipping at latter dates (presuming that it already went up and then dips at that point).


Do you believe that, “right now”, would be a good idea to front load the investment? For example if you had $10,000 available, would you use all that $10,000 in one trade, then DCA with 10% of your monthly salary?

Let’s assume that $10,000 is 10% of said person’s total networth.
3676  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: oPoW (optimized Proof of Work) on: July 08, 2021, 12:00:47 PM
this sounds like proof of work without the work  Shocked


I’m technically challenged, but that’s how I understood it as well. If it is that, then OP is removing the best part of Bitcoin and replacing it with something else that could weaken the Sybil Attack protection mechanism, and weaken the very thing that makes everything stick together in Bitcoin. Satoshi’s utilization of POW is pure genius.
3677  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: So..What's Next For Bitcoin? on: July 08, 2021, 11:43:56 AM
I believe the support for Bitcoin privacy features by some users haven’t truly considered the consequences.

I think I'm going to agree with this. I've said it on another thread too; you can't make everyone agree upon such upgrade even if it's better for the sake of your privacy. Bitcoin was designed to be transparent and I'd continue running a node that supports transparency. If you don't like the way Bitcoin works, there are plenty of other altcoins built with a different purpose.


Nitpicking here, but I don’t think it was deliberately “designed to be transparent”. If Satoshi had the technical knowledge, I believe he would have implemented privacy features early in Bitcoin.

Quote

It will increase the size of the blocks, and centralize the network.

How would that increase the block size?


What kind of privacy implementations are available? Ring Signatures? Confidential Transactions? Both of them will increase the block size, or am I wrong in this?
3678  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: July 08, 2021, 09:35:29 AM
Watch John Bogle’s advice in how to invest in stocks and equities, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doKsy4itiRE

John Bogle was a HODLer-type, and was the founder of The Vanguard Group.

It’s obviously very applicable in Bitcoin’s HODL-style investing, and he also addressed and encourged a dollar-cost-averaging strategy. BUT, he also said that an investor should “get in right in the first place”. Is the current market the right time to enter? I believe it’s an opportunity, but leave yourself more capital to average down because no one gets it in right unless you’re very lucky.
3679  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: So..What's Next For Bitcoin? on: July 08, 2021, 09:16:03 AM
I believe the support for Bitcoin privacy features by some users haven’t truly considered the consequences.

If there is a flaw in the privacy implementation, then some entities would have the advantage to exploit the flaw over the users who don’t know how to exploit the flaw.

Bitcoin might also be “more feared”, and it might not enjoy the government’s tolerance for it anymore once privacy features are implemented.

It will increase the size of the blocks, and centralize the network.

Auditability of the ledger through transparency, to assure everything is balanced, is good.
3680  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: So..What's Next For Bitcoin? on: July 07, 2021, 11:32:07 AM
Personally, I want to see people under Business Development work with Lightning builders and exchanges, and start implementing the infrastructure required for mass use and adoption. Some things can be learned from Jack Mallers’ “experiment” with El Salvador.
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