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1  Economy / Economics / WATCH the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting May 1, 2024 on: Today at 07:43:50 AM
What Jerome Powell will be saying in his speech will determine if they continue on with the plan to cut rates three times this year, or not.

It will be live in the Schwab Network's YouTube channel, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWhVz1ozr1o

What's are your guesses? Will Powell be Dovish? Or Hawkish?

I believe he'll say that it will still be "higher for longer" and that they will continue be "data dependent". I'm confident that he will also say that there WILL be a "soft landing", WHICH is truly LOW probability.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: Today at 07:24:12 AM
OK, the DIP is coming and it's NOW the time for YOU to PAY ATTENTION. For those who employ a DCA strategy, it's probably a good decision to start making your purchases bigger. For those who employ a Buy the DIP strategy, start placing your bids NOW. Currently, the 200-Weekly Simple Moving Average is at $34,200. Will it touch that line again? Probably not, but near that line has always been a good buying opportunity.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
3  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: TRADERS are not UNEMPLOYED on: April 30, 2024, 04:12:43 PM
It depends from person to person and whether a trader is actually making money consistently or not. A lot of people don't take trading as a full-time gig, they do it part-time and want to earn an extra income with it. It's only some traders who are in it full-time and they don't do it for fun or to earn a few bucks every day or week which isn't enough for them to live their life off of it.

A person who gets into trading with the intent to make an income from it, would need to have a sum that is good enough to generate decent profits for them if they do day trading because the amount of profit depends on the amount of money you are using for the trades. After all, 10% of $100 is $10 but 10% of $1,000 is $100. So the capital makes a difference.

Other than that, one needs to have a general interest in trading to be able to earn money constantly from it because if you are forcing yourself to get into it, you will barely be able to gain enough knowledge and without enough knowledge, you won't reach your target.


Everyone should stop with the bolded quote, AND IGNORE everything else in the topic. Because it's either you're "self-employed" and making money from the other participants of the market, OR you're giving the ability to some individuals by giving your money to those participants in the market who are better in trading/investing than you.

It's either you're the one employed, or giving the employment for them to be employed. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
4  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Wasabi Wallet - Open Source, Noncustodial Coinjoin Software on: April 30, 2024, 02:46:35 PM
Well, speaking about operating in Russia, its elimination didn't take so long  Undecided

https://cryptobriefing.com/russia-crypto-ban-reinforce-ruble/


If that's actually true, then someone should tell Putin that his subjects are wrong to ban Bitcoin UNLESS they're not going to lead by example. Because what actually could fix Russia's problems, that are caused by sanctions, is actually Bitcoin. It was built for that kind of censorship - financial censorship.


The ban will be a legal pretext for greater financial control of the population and eventual confiscation of cryptocurrencies. I don't see here that there was anything different compared to everything that the US government and the SEC do. They do this without a publicly declared ban, so it appears that there is freedom when using Bitcoin.


I believe, from the Bitcoin network's viewpoint, that it's better for them to impose an absolute ban. But they probably know that that will take part in Bitcoin's core function, and main value proposition - Censorship-Resistance. Haha. There might be some politicians that have gotten smarter and deeper about their understanding of Bitcoin over the years. Cool
5  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Wasabi Wallet - Open Source, Noncustodial Coinjoin Software on: April 30, 2024, 07:29:22 AM
Well, speaking about operating in Russia, its elimination didn't take so long  Undecided

https://cryptobriefing.com/russia-crypto-ban-reinforce-ruble/


If that's actually true, then someone should tell Putin that his subjects are wrong to ban Bitcoin UNLESS they're not going to lead by example. Because what actually could fix Russia's problems, that are caused by sanctions, is actually Bitcoin. It was built for that kind of censorship - financial censorship.

To understand the Russian government's viewpoint, they should ban Bitcoin and other forms of currencies from public use to maintain the value of their currency to avoid currency collapse and therefore avoid economic collapse. BUT their government should probably be HODLing Bitcoin, and treat it like it's Gold.

Gold to pay for the war, and use Bitcoin if everything else fails.
6  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ Shuffle.com | The next generation of crypto casinos | Sports, Casino + token on: April 30, 2024, 07:13:09 AM
For those with Shuffle accounts and NBA fans out there, you might want to try your luck at winning $100. Simply follow this link and predict the winners of today's two NBA Playoffs games: https://twitter.com/shufflecom/status/1783127523221712997

You also need to comment your shuffle.com username for your prediction entry to be valid. *Consider this post to bump this thread. lol
I feel that all these competitions are probably waste of time for someone like me as my twitter account totally looks like a bot. I know that i wouldn't probably win even if it didn't, but I made it purely to read tweets or like them. Not to be active in xitter. And i am only followed by of bots Smiley. I could retweet more, but i feel that isn't bringing anything but more spam to already bot filled platform.
 
Even when i tweet responses with my shuffle username, i wouldn't take my account as a real thing myself Smiley. And frankly i bet those replies aren't even showing on their feed to them.

So maybe i'll stick on with just gambling on that site.


I haven't joined any of those giveaways/raffles, but don't they have a software or tool that picks the winner randomly from the list of posters in their giveaway tweets?

That would be more fair, and the most equitable way to announce a winner, no?
7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: April 30, 2024, 05:59:18 AM
they dont mark cold storage as a red flag.. you have just heard that from your cult brethren who have their own motives. rather than reading actual regulations

as for people not paying tax, many do have ways to pay less tax, if you learn how
did you know in america you get tax breaks and rebates for many things even at poverty levels of income.. the sooner you learn the better your tax filings will result in paying less tax. but first you should learn them


 Roll Eyes

Quote

When we were audited, the IRS crypto committee told our accountant that cold storage was a "huge red flag", https://twitter.com/bitcoinmom/status/1783616508310237525


I trust her words more than the words of a liar and a gaslighting-troll like you. After the disinformation that you have spread in the forum during 2016 and 2017 - during the scaling debate, telling newbies mere lies for you and your mentors' self-interests is very laughable. It would also be very laughable if people in the forum would currently trust you more than those people who gave you negative trust-ratings.
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Are Nassim Taleb's ideas useful in gambling? on: April 29, 2024, 09:09:04 AM

I have long wanted to discuss the following topic with users and participants in gambling discussions. Do you think Nassim Teleb's philosophy can be of any use in gambling? His various ideas and theories? Let me just list some of his ideas and you can comment on how, if any, benefits can be gained from this:

1. Ideas from the book “Fooled by Randomness.” There are many ideas that boil down to the fact that we often mistake randomness for a pattern.


This is very useful for those addicted gamblers, that keep on losing. They should learn that RNGesus is RANDOM, they're not being cheated, and their "losing streak" is merely a product of a random sequence of situations like the "winning streak".

Quote

2. Ideas from the book “Black Swan”. Strategies based on anticipation of the Black Swan.


A strategy based on a theory that's based on an idea about something absolutely unpredictable? Prepare to lose all your Bitcoins. Hahaha.
9  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: April 29, 2024, 08:50:00 AM
the only options are to know enough taxlaw to know the loopholes to avoid tax in such events(legal)..

speak to an accountant/tax specialist


The TaxMan is always looking, you can't escape him.

if you use the exemptions in the tax law.. via researching and learning the tax law. even if the taxman is always looking. he cant do anything if your using their laws against them

tax avoidance(legal) is using their law exemptions(such as loans are non taxible)
tax evasion(illegal) is trying to play dumb, ignore laws and hide which is where you will get caught and cant escape

learn/research the difference


Get the context. None of that has changed the fact that the TaxMan is always looking and finding MORE reasons to take money from its citizens. Plus for ordinary people, what "tax exemptions" could they truly have? They're not like the rich who could set up corporations, and foundations.

if you are just cashing out small amounts like $10-$500 per time, then you just use the other exemptions like 'gifts'
if you are moving large amounts then you set up structures or use financial services set up

imagine CEX services but not set up as markets facilitating bids. but instead 'loan services' matching 'borrowers'(sellers) to 'loaners'(buyers)
same end result, different wording
just be sure to do your research to learn the exemptions.. then use them. there are many. but first you need to learn them so go research


You're merely talking about something else. Sure I will do the research, and sure an individual might have exemptions, but nothing from what you posted has changed the fact that the TaxMan is always looking and has always found reasons to tax you more. No one escapes the IRS, and every "exemption" you find, they will mark that as a "red flag" like how they marked something like cold-storage a "red flag".
10  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ Shuffle.com | The next generation of crypto casinos | Sports, Casino + token on: April 29, 2024, 06:11:25 AM
For those with Shuffle accounts and NBA fans out there, you might want to try your luck at winning $100. Simply follow this link and predict the winners of today's two NBA Playoffs games: https://twitter.com/shufflecom/status/1783127523221712997

You also need to comment your shuffle.com username for your prediction entry to be valid. *Consider this post to bump this thread. lol


Social media giveaway is always a hard pass for due to heavy number of participants while most of them can’t be verified if using multiple account for the entry. The giveaway post also received bunch of replies that makes it very hard to win.


For those kinds of giveaways, it's probably good to have the participants link their social media accounts used for the giveaway to their Shuffle accounts. The eligible participants will be the users who have made at least 10 bets in the casino during the past three months. I believe that wouldn't be very hard.

Quote

I once very active on this social media giveaway but never won a single giveaway. I only focus on tournaments using wager or challenge that give guaranteed rewards once you secure place or the requirements. Keep us updated if you manage to be lucky on this kind of giveaway mate.


More fees paid = more rewards.
11  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: April 29, 2024, 05:37:07 AM
the only options are to know enough taxlaw to know the loopholes to avoid tax in such events(legal)..

speak to an accountant/tax specialist


The TaxMan is always looking, you can't escape him.

if you use the exemptions in the tax law.. via researching and learning the tax law. even if the taxman is always looking. he cant do anything if your using their laws against them

tax avoidance(legal) is using their law exemptions(such as loans are non taxible)
tax evasion(illegal) is trying to play dumb, ignore laws and hide which is where you will get caught and cant escape

learn/research the difference


Get the context. None of that has changed the fact that the TaxMan is always looking and finding MORE reasons to take money from its citizens. Plus for ordinary people, what "tax exemptions" could they truly have? They're not like the rich who could set up corporations, and foundations.

BUT there's nothing wrong with taxes IF they spend it for the benefit of their citizens. Finland has one of the highest tax rates, but they have free healthcare, free education, and other benefits.
12  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: April 29, 2024, 04:37:33 AM
moving any asset/commodity/security to fiat is a taxable event
but now CEX's have to report events, means the taxman has proof of events which you then hav to declare in your own filings

So what happens when you earn some Bitcoin online without buying it and then cash out?


TAXED. You can't escape the TaxMan. But you could also play a game of "what if I don't declare my Bitcoin Cash Outs" and see if you win. Probably for small amounts of Bitcoin, Uncle Sam might let that go. But for more than $10,000 which could alert the IRS and AML red-flags, you better be sure that you're keeping the receipts, and you should also know who the counter-party of the trades are?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
13  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Wasabi Wallet - Open Source, Noncustodial Coinjoin Software on: April 29, 2024, 04:21:51 AM

Was that something that the Wasabi developers expected? When nopara73 left the team, I was very curious why, but I didn't want to ask that question in the forum because people might merely FUD make tin-foil hypotheses about Wasabi again. But currently it's known that Wasabi left the U.S., did nopara73 already know that that - Wasabi/zkSNACKS to leave U.S. - was going to happen? I believe he's the only developer that made his identity public, no?


I damn bet he knew. His departure announcement on Medium was suspiciously timed. I guess he didn't want to be part of the reputation smear that evidently the rest of Wasabi has been hit by, so who can blame him.


Perhaps he did, but to give him the benefit of the doubt, it's not the "reputation smear". I believe that many privacy tools developers might have started to talk with each other about a pending suppression by some state-level actors months before Samourai Wallet. Personally, nopara73 made the right decision for himself and if he has a family - wife/kids - them too. I would definitely do the same to be honest.

Where can everyone find newbie-friendly guides/ELI-5 instructions to boot-strap a coordinator?
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: No gambling today due to bitcoin high transaction fee. on: April 28, 2024, 09:31:49 AM
But the fees has already reduced. It's currently at 40sats/vB - 45sats/vB. That's low enough for many users. Plus I believe we had that level of fees before Runes was released during Block 840,000 - the halving block. Make your transactions now before it surges up again. Cool


The fee is currently at 2$ (31sat/vB). I notice that the fee usually go low on this level at night on my time zone for a consecutive days already. Probably there’s only few user inscribing on the blocks during this time slowly surge up again in the morning.

Quote
Did the fast normalization of on-chain fees after Runes' launch indicate that it's not as successful as Ordinals? Ordinals made the fees surge high for two months.

I think Rune is worst since the price of Bitcoin is already high while the value of fee in sat is the same. I remember I can still send some transactions back then since the fee is just around 5$ to 10$ range during the ordinals which is bearable compared to the current fee on Rune which is insanely high.


How many transactions? I would definitely consider that mere luck. I had 45 sats/vB - 55 sats/vB transactions during the Ordinals "spam" and waited for more than two weeks before they got confirmed in the blockchain.

Ordinals was simply more popular with speculators and collectors because it was unexpected/surprised everyone. Runes was expected, and Ordinals users simply didn't care for the upgrade. BUT wait when the four-character ticker names and less become available.
15  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Wasabi Wallet - Open Source, Noncustodial Coinjoin Software on: April 28, 2024, 09:18:10 AM
Quote

Effective immediately and until further notice, zkSNACKs is now blocking U.S. citizens and residents from visiting its websites, downloading and using Wasabi Wallet and any related products and services, including APIs and RPC interfaces.

In light of recent announcements by U.S. authorities, zkSNACKs is now strictly prohibiting U.S. users from using its services. An IP address blocking for U.S. residents is effective on wasabiwallet.io, api.wasabiwallet.io and zksnacks.com.

“U.S.” refers to “United States” and includes the several states of the United States and related territories. If you are a United States Citizen or United States Resident, you are not allowed to visit any sites aforementioned, download Wasabi Wallet or use the Wasabi Wallet coinjoin feature. This includes if you are a U.S. permanent resident or if you are an individual that holds a U.S. passport.

https://blog.wasabiwallet.io/zksnacks-now-blocking-u-s-residents-and-citizens/


Was that something that the Wasabi developers expected? When nopara73 left the team, I was very curious why, but I didn't want to ask that question in the forum because people might merely FUD make tin-foil hypotheses about Wasabi again. But currently it's known that Wasabi left the U.S., did nopara73 already know that that - Wasabi/zkSNACKS to leave U.S. - was going to happen? I believe he's the only developer that made his identity public, no?
16  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: April 26, 2024, 11:45:38 AM
moving any asset/commodity/security to fiat is a taxable event
but now CEX's have to report events, means the taxman has proof of events which you then hav to declare in your own filings

the only options are to know enough taxlaw to know the loopholes to avoid tax in such events(legal).. or find ways to swap to fiat outside of reporting services to evade tax(illegal)

main tricks are what the elites do
dont 'spend' value(buy/sell), personally lend value as loans are not taxable
its literally a process similar to fiat exchanging, but word it right and create your own paperwork to show it worded as such, it suddenly becomes a double sided personal loan to each other which cancels each other out the same day(paid in full)

speak to an accountant/tax specialist


The TaxMan is always looking, you can't escape him.

Quote

When we were audited, the IRS crypto committee told our accountant that cold storage was a "huge red flag", https://twitter.com/bitcoinmom/status/1783616508310237525


¯\_(ツ)_/¯

What's the best path for HODLers? Because they're making it an easier decision for long term investors NOT to declare anything to the TaxMan.

But if a user's coins went through a centralized exchange, doesn't the government already know, or at the minimum, can know that that user HODLs Bitcoin?
17  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: (Ordinals) BRC-20 needs to be removed on: April 26, 2024, 09:13:38 AM

Quote

How are the Bitcoins in those payment channels in Lightning "IOUs"?


I think they are not. But if people say that coins in sidechains are, then coins in LN should also be called in the same way, if we follow the same logic.

Quote

Where/how are the coins stored/locked and how are the "IOUs" issued?


You have IOUs only in centralized sidechains. For example: if you have a sidechain, where you have some large multisig, and you cannot be a miner, if you are not a part of some closed group, then those coins are IOUs. However, if you have decentralized sidechain, then you can use any scripts you want, because every block is covered only by hashrate, and not by some centrally-selected signature, like in signet.


OK, I actually have MANY questions for you. But before we go further, you're describing something like Paul Sztorc's Drivechains - BIP-300/ BIP-301?

Quote

Quote

But, I'm confused, kindly explain to me how a Bitcoin-pegged-coin in a sidechain is an actual Bitcoin.


1. If you have to provide a valid signature for a given coin, to transfer it from mainchain into sidechain, then it is based on real coins, and not some "coins created out of thin air".

2. If you have to move a given coin on the mainchain, to bring it back from the sidechain to the mainchain, then it is the same situation as with LN: you can always peg-out, without asking for anyone's permission.

And those two things alone: sign things to peg them in, and move them to peg them out, is sufficient to make a test network for decentralized sidechains. However, if you want to get the main network, then it is all about creating rules for the scripts, used to lock your coins. Which means, that if you have a single-key address, then you can test it alone, but no sane person will accept some coins, if the sender can always take them back, without losing anything. For that reason, the basic building block for decentralized sidechains is N-of-N multisig, where you can have a lot of people behind a single UTXO. And then, all kinds of improvements are focused on making "emergency scripts", to for example not require all N participants to be online, to change the state of the sidechain.

Because if you would have for example non-interactive transaction joining, then a single Taproot UTXO is all you need, to handle a single decentralized sidechain. And then, it is all about combining all signatures from that sidechain, and finalizing it as a simple commitment on-chain, which would have a constant size, regardless of how many people will use a given sidechain.


Although, who secures the decentralized sidechains, and I assume that they follow different consensus rules? I believe the answer to "If it's Bitcoin?", that's where everything starts to be more complicated

Plus is it possible for a sidechain to fork away from Bitcoin, and never return?
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: No gambling today due to bitcoin high transaction fee. on: April 26, 2024, 05:40:58 AM
This high fee is probably due to the 4th halving that was completed. I haven't seen this type of transaction fee this hight.

If you look at https://mempool.emzy.de/, the current transaction fee is  over $50 but in the past few hours it was over $100... So if you are a gambler who doesn't gamble that much like your range is only $10 to $100, it's impossible you will choose to gamble today with that very high fees.

This is only for gamblers who use bitcoin as the payment method, how is going today? Who among us here can still afford to gamble?

there are so small  chance that the fee will reduce anytime soon because it has been running now for almost a week now and yeah i even stopped withdrawing or transacting into the bitcoin network.

and indeed that I don't wanted to gamble nowadays as my reserved altcoins to gamble have been loss yesterday lol.


But the fees has already reduced. It's currently at 40sats/vB - 45sats/vB. That's low enough for many users. Plus I believe we had that level of fees before Runes was released during Block 840,000 - the halving block. Make your transactions now before it surges up again. Cool

Did the fast normalization of on-chain fees after Runes' launch indicate that it's not as successful as Ordinals? Ordinals made the fees surge high for two months.
19  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Samourai Wallet seized by the feds on: April 26, 2024, 05:23:25 AM
OK, I believe this proves that the Samourai developers are NOT working for state actors, and the project itself is NOT a honeypot collecting information for intelligence agencies. This is a very sad day for Bitcoin privacy advocates. Kruw, some of your fellow developers were arrested, move on for today. Debate again tomorrow.

Why do you think it's too early to say "I told you so"? Samourai deliberately designed their wallet to collect user data by default and lied about it: https://twitter.com/SamouraiWallet/status/1576923638846005248

I opened an issue to have a warning displayed to users about the data they are leaking, Samourai closed it and later deleted it: https://web.archive.org/web/20230417145554/https://code.samourai.io/wallet/samourai-wallet-android/-/issues/458

I've spent an enormous amount of time warning people about the risks involved with this exact outcome. Now whatever data Samourai had is within arms reach of the Feds.


I'm not stopping you from having an opinion, or am I calling for you to stop posting what you believe is right and what you believe is the truth. I merely letting you understand that real people were arrested. They have families, and they don't want to be in their current situation.  I'm also asking you to PLEASE, keep quiet about Samourai for just a few days.

You may currently be annoyed by what I said, but I would tell other people to stop attacking Wasabi too if there were arrests made to their developers.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
20  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Samourai Wallet seized by the feds on: April 25, 2024, 03:10:49 PM
OK, I believe this proves that the Samourai developers are NOT working for state actors, and the project itself is NOT a honeypot collecting information for intelligence agencies. This is a very sad day for Bitcoin privacy advocates. Kruw, some of your fellow developers were arrested, move on for today. Debate again tomorrow.
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