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3741  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 02, 2020, 09:22:02 PM
Only if you say 'o2o2twentytwenty', which you don't, or zero 2 zero 2 twenty twenty which is for nerds and worse.
Sorry but today's date in human language whether yankee or limey is  2 2 20 20
or something
it still works in 'human language' for US if you write (as some websites ask you to do):
02022020

Signed: nerd or worse (dork, geek, web bot?)
3742  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 02, 2020, 08:50:39 PM
Thanks for the graph, merited.
My interpretation is slightly different.
It's not the altseason, it's a repricing of POS (including upcoming POS (eth) and NRC, not real crypto (ripple)) vs POW crypto.
The difference: only POS/NRC coins really move, POW alts don't move much.
I think that it would continue for at least 2-2.5mo, after which we probably would have a fast move in btc (at least 10 points up in dominance from the lows at the end of March-beginning of April).

TBH, that's not a common point-of-view. I've heard people shouting "PoW will pump, PoS won't!" before, but not the opposite of it. Let's see if what you're saying actually happens.

Two coins out of my whole portfolio that pumped a hell lot in January are ADA and ZEC. One is PoS and the other is PoW. I've completely bitcoin-ed out my ZEC, but not ADA. I honestly would love to see ADA/BTC running up further. Tongue Let's see, let's see...

I was partially referring just to today's sharp POS move. let's see if it continues or not.
personally, i like POW more as it feels real (converting electricity to coin's security).
In a long run it is possible that king btc will defeat all (going back to 80-90% dominance), we shall see.
3743  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 02, 2020, 08:25:35 PM
Will this support level hold? Or are we actually going to witness the continuation of "alt-season"?



Thanks for the graph, merited.
My interpretation is slightly different.
It's not the altseason, it's a repricing of POS (including upcoming POS (eth) and NRC, not real crypto (ripple)) vs POW crypto.
The difference: only POS/NRC coins really move, POW alts don't move much.
I think that it would continue for at least 2-2.5mo, after which we would probably have a fast move in btc (at least 10 points up in dominance from the lows at the end of March-beginning of April).
3744  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 02, 2020, 03:04:49 AM
Was this posted before?

https://unchained-capital.com/blog/bitcoin-obsoletes-all-other-money/

If it was, my apologies.

I was amazed by the fact that in 2020 0.2btc is an average holding, but in 20230 it is projected to drop to 0.02btc (from a graph I surmise that it would be about 0.05 btc in 2025). From 2030 on it would decline very slowly (to 0.01btc in 2060ies). This tells me that rapid appreciation in btc would probably stop around the 'bend' in the curve at around the halving of 2024.
3745  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 02, 2020, 02:25:50 AM


it's not so simple...

I think that it is a partial homage to Dali:

http://archive.thedali.org/mwebcgi/mweb.exe?request=record;id=3993;type=101

perhaps, rather, it is the mushroom cloud doing 'something' here.
3746  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 01, 2020, 12:48:19 AM
I cannae tell whether more people on this thread will die from disappointment if it's successfully contained and burns out or if the disease runs riot and finishes them off in unimaginable horror.

I'm guessing it'll be somewhere around the same.

I wonder how did you arrive at this conclusion?
I don't see anybody cheering for the disease.

Guys, enough dying for today. This is not a death-observer thread. Roll Eyes

btc declined too, but not much, GBTC lost a bit of the premium.
btc actually outperformed most other cryptos.
People were talking about bargains before. It does not feel like buying at the moment.


3747  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Bitmain Introduces the S17+ and T17+ on: February 01, 2020, 12:21:10 AM
Bitmain sent email, saying that they are closed until Feb 10 (for now, I assume) and that shipments would be delayed.
3748  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 01, 2020, 12:17:09 AM
If it is man-made (HIV like sequences giving a possible hint) then I hope world would demand an answer and have consequences for the perps.

This is of note:

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985v1.full

Quote
2019-nCov was reported to share the same receptor, Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), with SARS-Cov.

Quote
In addition, the distribution of ACE2 is also more widespread in male donors than females: at least 5 different types of cells in male lung express this receptor, while only 2~4 types of cells in female lung express the receptor. This result is highly consistent with the epidemic investigation showing that most of the confirmed 2019-nCov infected patients were men (30 vs. 11, by Jan 2, 2020).

We also noticed that the only Asian donor (male) has a much higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than white and African American donors (2.50% vs. 0.47% of all cells). This might explain the observation that the new Coronavirus pandemic and previous SARS-Cov pandemic are concentrated in the Asian area.

So, chances to avoid it (from the paper) are better (so far) for White/African American females, then White/AA males, then Asian females, then Asian males.
3749  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 31, 2020, 06:25:38 PM

Nope, fucking scary actually.
But it seems not Trezors fault, the STM32 micro misbehaves when it is voltage "glitched".
Basically the device is useless as hardware wallet without replacement, except when the seed is protected by a BIP39 passphrase (which is what Kraken recommends as fix/cure).

^ Krakens blog article is really very detailed and well written. You need only a minimal electronic understanding to reproduce the attack. (<- Meaning the crims will be up to speed quickly).


Not a new exploit just old rehased FUD, use a passphrase (like we all do) and have to be able to defend from physical attacks.

Passphrase? Yet another password to lose/forget.
Seriously, though, if you already have corn on Trezor without a passphrase, then wouldn't adding passphrase simply create another wallet/account on the same Trezor?
If so, you would have to make an additional step of transferring corn from OLD (no passphrase) account to NEW (with passphrase) account.
Am I correct or not?
3750  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 31, 2020, 06:17:17 AM
- Over 3000 new suspected cases of coronavirus in China; 9821 in total, 25,060 cases.

- Death toll grows from 132 to 213.

- Russia and North-Korea closing borders with China.

- First 2 cases confirmed in Italy, Germany confirms 5th case.

- 6,000 quarantined aboard Italian cruise ship.

- Virus arrives in the Philippines.

- Airliners suspending flights to/from mainland China.

- WHO declares global pandemic.

- China reported largest one-day jump in fatalities.

- South Korea and U.S confirms first human-to-human transmission.

Below prior predicted trend, but not by much.
Still....

One of the reasons to check the WO at least once in a while - V8's findings... (This is one of the most bullish among recent posts IMO.) (Did I mention nice outfit BTW?)
+1


Didn't get that.
The article talks to me like I am a child.
Where is bitcoin there, exactly?
AFAIU, Strike has a LN node, you simply deposit cash from your bank account or debit card into Strike (as a prepay?), strike then "takes" your cash, 'virtually' exchanges it for btc in their "channels", use their channels to pay your LN invoice, debits your cash. They interact with btc, you don't (for payment). Is it a "good thing"? I dunno. Maybe I misunderstood their setup, but what exactly the following means?
Quote
Bank accounts and debit cards can now speak to nodes all over the world, and nodes all over the world can now speak to bank accounts and debit cards.
3751  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 31, 2020, 04:23:25 AM

my bank has no issues with coinbase. yes i use coinbase, since 2013. never had any issues at all. the amounts ive moved have surely caught the banks attention as any individual transfers over 10,000 USD get flagged. and i dont try to hide them (called layering? i forget. theres a term when avoiding hitting the 10k limit, like 9700, 8500 etc). so i do 10k on the dot chunks.

I never paid any attention to this.
If i needed 8k, that's what i withdrew; when needed 2k, withdrew that.
When I wanted a bigger chunk (a bit above 10k), then I did it too.
I can recall once being asked about it (by the bank) and since that withdrawal was for either mortgage or car, that was, indeed, my answer, not surprisingly.

Now, if we hit a serious value for btc like 100-200K/btc, then, I am afraid, even those who have a single digit corn for cashing out would have some 'splaining to do. In fact, regular checking is not even equipped to handle large cash loads inasmuch as FDIC insurance in US only covers first $250K. Investment banks might be a better destination, but don't take this as an advice. I have no idea if this is true (never tried).
3752  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 29, 2020, 04:18:55 AM
Why, exactly, are we surging?
Didn't Apple earnings cancel coV? /s

I lost track of trends and counter-trends.
3753  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 28, 2020, 02:12:41 AM
Long term, I am not sure that having an association between disasters and btc price is a good thing.
On the other hand, rightly or wrongly, WO always prognosticates high btc prices if and when fiat system collapses.
Mixed feelings on this one. Having lots of money when put in the casket is not my idea of fun.
3754  Economy / Digital goods / Re: [WTS] Bitmain coupon (for Antminer) on: January 26, 2020, 11:10:39 PM
coupon sold
3755  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2020, 09:27:46 PM


Sure, that was 2013 and without the - justHodl, SoV is only left over from the original idea and Satoshi White Paper.


Now btc IS just more Ponzi than ever, thx to kicking out all the business (remember the 2x UASF shit show?)


Im happy BSV - Bitcoin is back on track

Make a BSV-wall Observer thread and please get lost in there ..... we can perfectly be functional whiteout you in here

Be gone be silent, leave BTC out of your writing and focus creating a thread for “your kind of people”

I just moved a legacy address bitcoin core to another address. I think Monday I'm gonna flush all the forks off of that paper wallet of BSV/BCH or whatever. At the 'now-price'

that is equivalent to 7.055 BTC-Core. This is after 15% cap gains and 10% state tax in the USA. Should have done this much sooner...but I think it is now or never time. I'm so

invested in BTC-Core that if this is a 'mistake' it won't matter much compared to a BTC-Core implosion. So going for it. But nice score regardless in that these BTC

only exist I will get from 'dubious' forks of BTC-Core. So taking the 'sensible' approach now. (If I believe in a pump in 2020 due to having).

Strategy = "Run Away, Run Away" Smiley

Brad


right here and now, i would just cash it out and 'diworsify', maybe even into T-bills.
Not sure if buying btc here is the right move short term. Long term-of course, yes.
3756  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2020, 09:18:11 PM


... when the shops run out of masks
This is relevant in connection with the latest news ...  Cheesy Lips sealed
It’s both sad and funny.


sad/funny, yes, but only cup was needed...'being a jerk'.
3757  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2020, 06:48:43 AM
A reporter today (or yesterday) was interviewing some biotech exec.
Exec: "We got the sequence on Jan 9, so we can now start working toward a vaccine".
Reporter: So, when it would be ready, then (implying that he, like, downloaded a pdf file and expecting a "curing" app any minute, lol)?
Exec: it usually takes 10 years, but with some "acceleration" with the help of the government, it could be done in 4 years.
Reporter: just sitting there in silence, basically. It was 'amusing' to see.

Based on H5N1 (which is really bad) it should take about 6 months tops.

With human trials on healthy volunteers, then testing vaccine's ability to protect?
Impossibru.
3758  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2020, 06:09:52 AM
What immunizations? It's not a flu.
You don't want to have your body already weakened by other crap when this comes in. IE: Be as healthy as possible.

Not quite time to man the 50 caliber machine gun yet. This should be interesting to watch. Besides our government is staffed by competent scientific

minds

that

oh fuck we're doomed. Ah well.

A reporter today (or yesterday) was interviewing some biotech exec.
Exec: "We got the sequence on Jan 9, so we can now start working toward a vaccine".
Reporter: So, when it would be ready, then (implying that he, like, downloaded a pdf file and expecting a "curing" app any minute, lol)?
Exec: it usually takes 10 years, but with some "acceleration" with the help of the government, it could be done in 4 years.
Reporter: just sitting there in silence, basically. It was 'amusing' to see.
3759  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2020, 05:49:37 AM

is it too cynical to short some stocks?

We're putting everything in canned food and shotguns.

If this things R0 is near 4 as some fear, and it kills at a rate of 14% this could be a very big deal.
Hardly. it will probably kill old people which will finally get rid of the whole Boomer problem. :-)

Stay healthy, stay up to date on immunizations and the like and rock on. Or ignore science, pray to an ignorant god, and go from there.

What immunizations? It's not a flu.
3760  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [20-400PH] KanoPool kano.is 0.9% fee 0.1BTC bonus 🐈 US,NL,JP,NYA,OR,SG on: January 26, 2020, 05:09:04 AM
The pool did not score since Dec 16, I get that, but now it is all cancelled.
Good lesson not to believe in ramp down promises.

Well rather than watch the pool die while people keep leaving ... months ago ... I've done something about it.

So can you, and get back to 100% in 3 days by pointing your miners back here.

Good lesson to NOT do nothing when the pool requires a change ...

I understand why you did it; not very amused, but, whatever.
Having said that, I hope that you will be able to attract more miners.
I like the pool and it would have been sad to see it go. Maybe this would help.
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