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4041  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bought Bitcoins, where are they? on: July 29, 2011, 12:08:57 AM
Did you tell MtGox to send them to an address on your client at home?  And did you give your client enough time to download the blockchain?
4042  Bitcoin / Press / Re: Bitcoin press hits, notable sources on: July 28, 2011, 11:46:50 PM
http://www.bottomviolation.com/bitcoin-cannot-fail/
4043  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin Android Released! on: July 28, 2011, 10:48:25 PM
Looks really cool I would really like one made for webOS though any news on plans for that yet?

Not unless you're doing it.
4044  Other / Politics & Society / You Choose... on: July 28, 2011, 10:44:47 PM
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/federal-debt-limit-you-choose-who-gets-paid/?hpid=z2
4045  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Weak point in the system on: July 28, 2011, 08:43:41 PM

I guess what I'm getting at is, is there any plan in place for this type of eventuality?


No, and there doesn't need to be.  Bitcoin.org is irrelevent to bitcoin, so is this forum.  That said, if/when such things start to happen, you might want to download Tor and explore the deep web.
4046  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Repudiate the Debt! on: July 28, 2011, 08:25:28 PM
I think you misunderstand what the government debt is.  In simple terms, its people's savings.  If the government defaults, it is breaking a contract with its own people.  Now we both know this happens all the time in poor countries but its not necessarily a wise route unless you want the US to become a poor country too.

Savings equals capital.

Debt does not equal capital.

Therefore government debt is not savings.

Any such savings has already been stolen.  Furthermore, if the repudiation of government debt results in the nation becomeing 'poor' by any metric, then it already is and simply hasn't come to that conclusion yet.
4047  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why not 10 coins per block and a block every 2 minutes? on: July 28, 2011, 08:15:32 PM
But just getting blocks in doesn't cause any damage, you have to be able to overwrite prior blocks, which isn't possible with less than 50% of the total network hashing power, and still isn't terriblely likey at 51%.

Of course it's possible to do it with less than 50%, it's just less likely.


No, it's not.  Not if we are talking about the same thing.  It is not possible to reverse a confirmation of a transaction, and thus double spend, without 50% or more of the total network hashing ability.  That is shown in Satoshi's white paper.
4048  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: July 28, 2011, 04:57:48 PM
Deflation actually favors the consumer, generally.

On the other hand, deflation hurts investors, entrepreneurs and the financial market.
You may say that growth motivated deflation is too low to matter, but you can't say deflation is good in general.


I won't claim that deflation is good in general. 

Very good.
Is it bad in some cases?


I would have to say yes, but the answer depends upon who you are.  Like anything else, including inflation, there are always those who benefit.

Quote

Having said that, your statement that deflation hurst investors and entrepreneurs is faulty.  It may be true, or it may not be true. 

It hurts entrepreneurs because they don't get financing.
It hurts investors because their investments (so called real capital) don't yield as expected.

The entrepreneurs who couldn't get financing were likely not a good bet.  The investors who lost profits because of deflation were betting on inflation.  No harm was done to the economy at large in either case, since the last thing an economy needs is more bad investments and failed entreprenuers.

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5000 years of gold deflation implies that it's not true, since investory and entrepreneurs alike tend to adjust to the conditions just fine.

There has also been inflation with gold-money. There have been economic crises with gold-money.


That's true, but not particularly relevant.  Those two types of events are not actually related to one another.  The vast majority of economic crises that occured before 1913 (When fractional reserve banking was pased, allowing a loosening of the gold standard) were business cycle related, not monetary events.  The two exceptions that I can think off were SPain when they stole tons from the Incas and flooded Europe with gold, crushing economies around them including Britian and France; and the California Gold Rush, which experienced huge inflation West of the Rockies but still managed to spur industry in the Eastern states, particularly in the manufacture of tools.

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If entrepeneurs not getting funds is adapting just fine...

That's part of the 'creative destruction' of a (more or lesss) free market system.  So yes, some guy who invented the car powered by forward facing wind turbines or the water fueled engine not getting funding is a positive adaptation.
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It's only in the period of crossing the zero that tends to screw things up. 

I don't know what zero you mean.


The zero line on an inflation/deflation percentage graph.  The line dives toward zero as the inflation rate is reduced until it crosses the zero, and is thus in deflation.
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The financial markets, as they are, would certainly be harmed, but that is because they were built upon the foundation of continuous inflation.  They, in turn, were built upon the institutions destroyed when the gold standard ceased to exist.  I'm sure that they will adapt, eventually.

I don't mean as they are now, I mean always, because less loans are made.


Please refer to the above comments upon the guy who inventedthe water fuelled engine.  Some loans are best not issued.

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There's no doubt that a 50% deflation would destroy the economy that relies on that money.

Again, an assumption for which you cannot support.  Nor can I, but I'd say that your assumption is incorrect.  50% deflation over what kind of time period?  Certainly 50% deflation has be experienced before, and over long enough time frames that those who lived during those times considered it as normal as inflation is considered today.

I meant 50% annual deflation.


50% in one year would be huge, and would likely destroy an economy.  As far as I am aware, however, such a huge deflation rate has never occured in the history of currencies.  The reverse certainly has, however, and inflation rates over 50% APR  have preceded the hyperinflationary destruction of a currency in every case that I know of.

Inflation rates that high are easy, it just requires that the institution in control of the currency run the printing presses to do it.  I can't even fathom a scenario wherein 50% APR deflation could occur, because once the currency has been issued even theat same issuing institution would have a hard time getting enough back to destroy.
4049  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Repudiate the Debt! on: July 28, 2011, 04:33:53 PM
The US debt is about $14 trillion of which about $11 trillion is owed to US citizens. 

I can't see anyone who hopes to be re-elected refusing to repay that money. 



The vast majority of that $11 Trillion that is "owed" to US citizens is owed to Baby Boomers.  When the Millinials grow up, they will be a larger voting block than the Boomers; but before then there will be a point that we cross paths, as the Boomers die off and Millinials reach 18 years there will come a point that the votes are in balance.  It's this point that those who hope to get (re)elected will be pandering to the Millinal generation.  And if there is one thing that is consistant about that generation, they identify much more with their age peers than their grandparents.  Once one guy gets elected with a platform that can be boiled down to "screw the old, I want mine" then it's all just a matter of time.

Very true.  But "Vote for me and I'll help you steal your Granny's savings!" is hardly an election winner is it ?  Its far more likely that inflation will erode the debt in a slow but sure manner. 

1) It would never be presented like that and...

2) that's not how it really is anyway.

As I have already mentioned, Granny doesn't have any savings, because the government has been robbing her savings the entire time to pay for her parents' retirement and other current costs.  So, in the long run, the Millinials are going to look at it like ending SS is just ending an ongoing fraud.  They might feel for their own grandparents, but most middle class Millinials grew up with parents who were finacially burdened, while their nearly retired grandparents had accumulated vast assests, regardless of how good their retirement plan was.  Most of them aren't going to buy the crap that ending FICA taxes upon themselves (thus ending SS) is going to actually result in Granny eating dog food.  More likely she might have to move out of the $350,000 home that was paid for and into either a much smaller apartment or a retirement community.  Granny doesn't drive anywhere but church and the grocery store in that Caddy her late husband bought anyway.
4050  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Repudiate the Debt! on: July 28, 2011, 04:24:47 PM
The US debt is about $14 trillion of which about $11 trillion is owed to US citizens. 

I can't see anyone who hopes to be re-elected refusing to repay that money. 



The vast majority of that $11 Trillion that is "owed" to US citizens is owed to Baby Boomers.  When the Millinials grow up, they will be a larger voting block than the Boomers; but before then there will be a point that we cross paths, as the Boomers die off and Millinials reach 18 years there will come a point that the votes are in balance.  It's this point that those who hope to get (re)elected will be pandering to the Millinal generation.  And if there is one thing that is consistant about that generation, they identify much more with their age peers than their grandparents.  Once one guy gets elected with a platform that can be boiled down to "screw the old, I want mine" then it's all just a matter of time.

Problem is, those grandparents are still Millinials' grandparents, and those Millinials would likely still have the government support their grandparents than have them move in with them.

They might, but Boomers are too proud to move in with their children or grandchildren like their own grandparents often did.  So I really don't see this happening on any great scale.
4051  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why not 10 coins per block and a block every 2 minutes? on: July 28, 2011, 02:06:41 PM
I know that with 51% hash power the attacker will always succeed eventually.  Anything over 50% gives statistical certitude that the attacker will eventually succeed.  It's really a question of how long it is likely to take and how much effort an attacker would be willing to expend with such a small advantage to eventually succeed.

For a brief time I was thinking about how to compute the chance of computing 2, or 3, or N blocks before the rest of the network can compute 1.  I am not entirely sure how to do the math, but I think it would be very interesting if someone does.
its possible to abuse the network with less than 50%. you can abuse the network with .0001% of the hashing power, the question is only how successful you will be at trying to abuse the network. with even as low as 30% you could still occasionally get blocks in succession and cause damage. but if you want to be able to cause damage more often you will need more power, closer to 70% is my gut feeling.

But just getting blocks in doesn't cause any damage, you have to be able to overwrite prior blocks, which isn't possible with less than 50% of the total network hashing power, and still isn't terriblely likey at 51%.  Thus, you are correct guessing that 70% is a more realistic number.  In order to assault the blockchain in real time, the attacker would have to be able to seriously dominate the entire honest network.  However, if the attacker were building a chain in secret, he could possibily build one in secret that overwrites a prior block to reverse a transaction wherein the attacker previously spent funds.  But this kind of attack is damage limited to the person who was dealing with the attacker, and he would still need enough of a majority to build and release his chain before any new checkpoints have been added.
4052  Economy / Economics / Re: Something has to be wasted on: July 28, 2011, 01:52:22 PM
Did you have a point?  Or even an on topic train of thought?

Sure, the point is that these 2 rules do not solve the ownership problem, in any new world the ownership is the first concern


Ownership boils down to a generally recognized legitimacy of possession.  If the civilization in question doesn't already have a generally recognized chain of legitimate possession, then it's not a civilization.  The two rules don't address those  particulars any more than it addresses the particulars of what defines "encroachment" in this context.
4053  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Repudiate the Debt! on: July 28, 2011, 01:48:12 PM
The US debt is about $14 trillion of which about $11 trillion is owed to US citizens. 

I can't see anyone who hopes to be re-elected refusing to repay that money. 



The vast majority of that $11 Trillion that is "owed" to US citizens is owed to Baby Boomers.  When the Millinials grow up, they will be a larger voting block than the Boomers; but before then there will be a point that we cross paths, as the Boomers die off and Millinials reach 18 years there will come a point that the votes are in balance.  It's this point that those who hope to get (re)elected will be pandering to the Millinal generation.  And if there is one thing that is consistant about that generation, they identify much more with their age peers than their grandparents.  Once one guy gets elected with a platform that can be boiled down to "screw the old, I want mine" then it's all just a matter of time.
4054  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin Android Released! on: July 28, 2011, 01:42:03 PM
I installed the app in my SD but the blockchain seams is downloading to the internal phone memory, it stoped downloading at 22% and it only continue if i unisntall apps from my phone or move them to the SD card to make more space for the block chain, but it never end the download, I have 3.19 GB of free space in my SD and can't download the full block chain Sad.

Somethings seriously wrong, then.  Mine is on my SD card, and my SD card is only 2 gig and does fine.
4055  Economy / Economics / Re: Something has to be wasted on: July 28, 2011, 03:44:30 AM
The Two Laws of All Civilization

1) Do all that you have agreed to do.

2) Do not encroach upon another's person or property.

This shall be the whole of the law.

1st is good, but 2nd, how to define the ownership? First come first get? If every piece of land have already been occupied, then there will unavoidably be some criminal or war?

I think the 2nd is defined by and supported by the 1st. If you have a contract that you will receive property for your work or money, then the other person has to do what they agreed to do, i.e. honor their contract to give you the property.

Chicken and egg problem, who first get the ownership?

In bitcoin world, the coin ownership belongs to who first find the block, and due to the rising difficulty, the earlier you find the block, the faster you collect coins. This is still a "first come first get" model

Did you have a point?  Or even an on topic train of thought?
4056  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 10% The key to bitcoin acceptance? on: July 27, 2011, 09:52:34 PM
I've always thought that the "tipping point" was closer to 12%, but yes, this is pretty much how all things happen.  Things are considered "mainstream" once they cross that threshhold, and hold mindshare in roughly one-eighth of the target population.
4057  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Cardboard on: July 27, 2011, 09:49:40 PM
That's the risk they're taking.
The thing is, most people leave their rigs on 24/7 and go to sleep at night, yet i haven't heard of a single report of a house burning down in flames.

i wake up at night sweating lately. usually i use 2 blankets. now i sleep naked because of my 2 rigs.

Talk about waste!  Turn off your mining rigs until September!
4058  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: July 27, 2011, 08:54:48 PM
Deflation actually favors the consumer, generally.

On the other hand, deflation hurts investors, entrepreneurs and the financial market.
You may say that growth motivated deflation is too low to matter, but you can't say deflation is good in general.


I won't claim that deflation is good in general.  Having said that, your statement that deflation hurst investors and entrepreneurs is faulty.  It may be true, or it may not be true.  5000 years of gold deflation implies that it's not true, since investory and entrepreneurs alike tend to adjust to the conditions just fine.  It's only in the period of crossing the zero that tends to screw things up.  The financial markets, as they are, would certainly be harmed, but that is because they were built upon the foundation of continuous inflation.  They, in turn, were built upon the institutions destroyed when the gold standard ceased to exist.  I'm sure that they will adapt, eventually.
Quote

There's no doubt that a 50% deflation would destroy the economy that relies on that money.


Again, an assumption for which you cannot support.  Nor can I, but I'd say that your assumption is incorrect.  50% deflation over what kind of time period?  Certainly 50% deflation has be experienced before, and over long enough time frames that those who lived during those times considered it as normal as inflation is considered today.
4059  Economy / Economics / Re: Something has to be wasted on: July 27, 2011, 08:38:33 PM

In a deflation economy like bitcoin world, people waste lots of energies to produce the currency (thinking about how much electricity/computation power are wasted in the meaningless hash calculation to generate those coins)



Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but the the hash calculation is not meaningless. Generating a block secures the transactions and continually hardens the network. Right now, there's a BTC bounty awarded for that, but that's not the ultimate model. Eventually, the hashing will just be create blocks to secure transactions, which is hardly wasteful. The bounty is just a reasonable means for initial currency distribution, and is, imo, pretty irrelevant overall.

You are correct.
4060  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: government version of bitcoin with inflation on: July 27, 2011, 05:28:28 AM
you would be surprised how many people trust the government.  all they have to do is outlaw bitcoins and push their own version and bitcoin.

they will probably say "who is satoshi?  he could be anyone, do you trust him with your money?  he won't even show his face!"  (though i'm sure there are many many people looking for him)

i think bitcoin will encounter trouble here.

Won't matter.  If we were trusting in the people to understand money or crytography, and how it's in their interests to drop govco and use Bitcoin; we'd be screwed.  The last guy to finally use bitcoin will be because everyone else does, not because he makes a rational, educated determination of which is the better monetary system.
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