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441  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 27, 2011, 01:07:57 PM
As soon as you puritans manage to get talk of drugs banned here and and on the wiki, there will be another forum and another wiki. Make no mistake, when newcomers search for bitcoin, it will quickly become clear to them that they can use it to buy and sell drugs.

It's not about being a puritan, it's about not walking around with a jar of honey outside of a bears den.
442  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Don't buy bitcoin thread on mises.org on: April 27, 2011, 01:06:33 PM
http://mises.org/Community/forums/t/24195.aspx

Could use someone more willing to sign up and argue with ignorant people than me to go inject some facts into that thread.

I have a Mises account.  I'll take a look and might make some contributions.  I'm really frustrated with the Mises crowd for not bothering to correctly apply their own damn theories about money correctly to bitcoins.

If I get too pissed off I'll just tell them to eat some fucking carrots.  Wink

You really think most people on the mises forums actually understand economics?

Ha, ha.  Well they should with all the free material available there.  Smiley

You can give a pig the best vocal trainers in the world and all they'll do is squeal.  Problem is most people are stupid.
443  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic of Deflationary Spiral on: April 27, 2011, 01:05:05 PM


If speculators become too powerful/too few they can game the market to their advantage.
Examples are buying up large quantities of a commodity to make a fake scarcity or downright fraud and manipulation with the production chain (Enron)



How could there be "too few" speculators?

Without speculators, you have a much thinner market.  That makes it easier to manipulate.
444  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Don't buy bitcoin thread on mises.org on: April 27, 2011, 01:41:47 AM
http://mises.org/Community/forums/t/24195.aspx

Could use someone more willing to sign up and argue with ignorant people than me to go inject some facts into that thread.

I have a Mises account.  I'll take a look and might make some contributions.  I'm really frustrated with the Mises crowd for not bothering to correctly apply their own damn theories about money correctly to bitcoins.

If I get too pissed off I'll just tell them to eat some fucking carrots.  Wink

You really think most people on the mises forums actually understand economics?
445  Other / Off-topic / Re: Bitcoin philosophy and democratic processes in general on: April 26, 2011, 08:59:47 PM
Bitcoin is not about democracy.  You are probably in the wrong forum.  Bitcoin is about having total control over your money.

But you only control your money if other nodes recognize that you do, right?  There is a certain democratic nature there.
446  Economy / Economics / Re: Private banking and fractional reserve on: April 26, 2011, 08:26:07 PM
In the case of a bank run, bank executives should be held personally liable for funds owed to account holders who are unable to receive them. This debt should be non-dischargable in any bankruptcy.

I would replace executives with owners.  The concept of a corporation to limit liability is one of the biggest frauds out there.  So many people get screwed by someone just walking away from their debt.
447  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic of Deflationary Spiral on: April 26, 2011, 06:36:04 PM
The convenience of having stable prices (of course, one certain good can decrease or increase in price due to market forces)  is that in a market with unstable prices, speculators (or just trend analyst) are rewarded over other entrepreneur or business men.

You need to understand that there is no difference between a speculator and an entrepreneur.  Both are attempting to predict future market preferences by risking their own capital.  Also, your dream of stable prices are unobtainable without heavy market intervention (and, even then, one could only achieve stable prices in the short term).  Stable prices not only require a stable currency but also stagnant demand and stagnant supply.  Consumer preferences change dynamically as does supply.  Intervening to stabilize prices with money supply manipulations and/or price controls only serves to distort prices away from reflecting true supply / demand dynamics and will cause even more instability in the long term.

Speculators also help cause stable prices.  Think of having two goods that are sold for different prices in different regions.  One region it is high, one reason it is low.  If the cost of transporting a good from one region to the other is low, then a smart entrepreneur would buy in the cheap area, and sell in the high area at a slight discount.  If enough people did this, the prices would stabalize between regions.  A speculator does this, but between two different times rather than two different locations.
448  Other / Off-topic / Re: Bitcoin-like voting scheme (Votecoin?) on: April 26, 2011, 05:26:01 PM
There is also another concern.  If something is more secure, but gives the general public the impression it's less secure ("omg, its on everyones computers, hax0rz can change elections!), it's a no go.  The political solution is not always the best solution.
449  Other / Off-topic / Re: Bitcoin-like voting scheme (Votecoin?) on: April 26, 2011, 05:00:34 PM

As far as I know, electronic voting is a very difficult IT problem, pretty much as difficult as mental poker.

I doubt anyone will find a definitive solution here on this forum.

Yes, at least as difficult as electronic money...


True.  And that's why BitCoin isn't ready for Joe Sixpack and Grandma Jones yet.
450  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A small town with 10,000 people on: April 26, 2011, 01:45:36 PM
Imagine a small town with 10,000 people.  This town lives more or less apart from the rest of the word.

They have their own language, their own culture, and their own currency.  It's a fiat currency, and it's purely electronic.  People use it because to them it is just more convenient than using gold or silver.  Their currency is totally decentralised, anonymous and it is called bitcoin.

Now, some terrible natural disaster occurs:  an earthquake, a volcanic eruption, whatever.

Those ten thousand people have to leave their town and travel around the world to find a place to live.

They are dispatched in several countries where they learn the language and culture.   But everywhere they go, they find that people use a currency that they consider inferior.  Those currencies are controled by a bureaucratic elite, and there is no way to have financial privacy using these currencies.

So our small town people keep in touch between one another, and they keep exchanging the local currency against their bitcoins.   Basically they never store any significative amount of the local currency, as they know it would be ripped by inflation.  Instead, they only store their bitcoins.

When they need to buy something, they just sell some of their bitcoins to one of the small town people who has local currencies to get rid of.  And then they can proceed to the paiement in order to buy stuffs.


You get my point, right?

Now, how many people are there on this forum already?

Wink

You missed the part where these people have to pay transaction fees to exchange currency.
451  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Banks that allow ACH Push on: April 26, 2011, 01:31:34 AM
I'm interested in using the ACH Push option for mtgox, but my bank doesn't support it.  Anyone know of any banks that allow me to use ACH Pushes to send money to someone else?  Etrade and Capital One only allow me to send it to accounts that I own.
452  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: lets say I have 100k btc on: April 26, 2011, 12:35:16 AM
So If i was pure evil and I decide to ruin the market by selling all my BTC for 13 cents each,
which satisfies all the bids on MT gox, I could generally ruin the whole market right?


or If I had 500k usd in my bank account and decide to buy up every coin on mt gox I could greatly change the price of the btc.


dosent that mean that mtgox is insanely unstable?



Please ruin the market like this.  I'd love to buy more at 13 cents each.
453  Economy / Economics / Re: 1 BTC = 20 USD on: April 25, 2011, 09:19:21 PM
I have to agree with dissipate. For non-technical people there is only one way to convert their currency into bitcoins, and that is coinpal. If there were more points of exchange like this, people would not only be trading at mt-gox/bitcoin-otc/etc, but shops would start accepting it and it would get more widely adopted in general.

It's not the matter of acquiring - it's about the ability to exchange the currency you have to BTC

How many people do you know who trade Forex? That takes much more wherewithal that figuring out how to use Coinpal and a Bitcoin client. The point being, it need not cater to everyman in order to have significant economic impact. But all this will come in time, it is still a fledgling project compared with something like a Forex or a PayPal...

Even so, I can go to any bank or international airport and exchange foreign currency.  I may not get the best rate, but it's super easy.
454  Economy / Economics / Re: Hostile action against the bitcoin infrastracture on: April 25, 2011, 08:24:34 PM
Regardless if some people out there are willing to send cash in an envelope or give someone a copy of their ATM card, I don't think most of the general public will.

I think this is the biggest problem, in order for BTC to really succeed, it has to get in the hands of as many people as possible, and the current options are not good enough.

Since the hurdle of transferring large amounts of cash is really difficult, it would probably be better to work on really small amounts.

Here is an idea on that... suppose

1. the 0.01 minimum transfer limit built into the current BTC clients was eliminated, and was pushed back to the ultimate limit of 0.000001. I know you can technically do this, but the current clients don't let this happen.
2. a service was setup where people could mine for bitcoin with a more predictable, constant flow rate, so they'd get 0.000001 bitcoins per minute or something, which would be siphoned off by the main server.

If online games started using very small amounts of bitcoin as currency, you now have an easy way to trade it. That'll never happen as long as sub-penny amounts can't be traded.

I mean there is, what a $6 million float out there? Hardly a world currency. If BTC wants to be one of the big currencies, it should to start acting like one, and treat 0.000001 bitcoins not as a meaningless small value, but a tangible one. It's like if a country that was aiming for the started up with a brand new fiat currency where the smallest value is $1,000,000 bills.

Sorry about the negativity.. I think it's a really good idea and there is a lot of value to it. I'm thinking about investing in it, which is why I voiced these concerns. But, I'd like to see some adequate defense against hostile action, and there doesn't seem to be any, right now.



.000001 bitcoins is meaningless right now.  Change it when we need to.
455  Economy / Economics / Re: 1 BTC = 20 USD on: April 25, 2011, 07:48:53 PM
Can someone tell me how BTC is going to the moon when it is still relatively difficult to acquire in the first place? I imagine there are a lot of people who think Bitcoin is really cool but don't get involved much past playing around with the small amount of BTC from the Bitcoin Faucet. Given the difficulty of acquiring BTC, I think the fact that BTC made it to almost $2 is amazing in the first place.

Just because it is hard to obtain now doesn't mean it always will be.  It's a bit of a chicken and the egg problem, but once anything big has a big advantage in using BTC, then the other pieces will fall into place because they will have to fall into place and there will be profit to be made.
456  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "Don't buy bitcoins" on: April 25, 2011, 07:45:42 PM
Actually I agree the guy looked very likeable.

When writing "get him" I was interested to find out who he is, now knowing that you know him, even better: Now we may be able to explain a bit better what the benefits of bitcoins are.

I am facebook friends with him.  I know exactly who he is, he's stayed over at a friend of mines house.  As I said before, there's no point in trying to convince him anything once his mind is made up.  He's still convinced Dick Chaney personally installed thermite in the WTC.
457  Economy / Economics / Re: 1 person can cause a huge rally? on: April 25, 2011, 07:07:20 PM
At around 2011-04-24 10:22 GMT.

He said that he believes that BTC will go "way beyond $2".

<toddbethell> I worried that  when my money was coming into the account but not traded yet, that someone would pass a message... "hay, buy, buy, buy, there is a tone of money comning in!

He said that he has an MBA and that he has been telling "people with big money" about what is coming, and that they are "sitting up and taking notice".

This guy sounds like he got his money in and now wants to try and pump up the price. No way anyone with big money will touch this anytime soon, it's too thinly traded.

Thinly traded has nothing to do with some bigger time investors coming in.  Medium/big investors buy much bigger lottery tickets than BTC.  Buy $10-50k of BTC, hope it is a 10-20 bagger, and sell on top.  If not, lose 10-50k, a drop in the bucket for some people.  If you are right, $1M profit.
458  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "Don't buy bitcoins" on: April 25, 2011, 07:05:11 PM
It would be funny to find out who the guy is. It should be put "wanted" somehwere..
If he is in the US, maybe PLATO can get to him on his road trip and convert him to bitcoins (selling for a few carrots as Plato needs food) Smiley

He's in Holland.  He's actually a nice enough guy (a few of my friends have met him before), just very, very wrong a lot.  Horribly misguided more than anything.  But he's very good natured and is still far better than a lot of people out there.  Just wrong, especially on this issue.

He is right that Bitcoins right now are highly speculative.  I'm not going to deny that.  But they have a *potential* to be very, very, very useful.  Right now, it's more of a novelty IMO.  There are a few things you can do with them and where they are great, but what you can do with them now is like what you could do with a PC when they first came out.  I'm sure tons of people thought they were worthless pieces of crap and overvalued, but enough people saw the potential and its easy to look at it right now.  People invested money into the PC market not because it *was* valuable at the time, but because they knew it had the potential to become *very* valuable.  This is why Bitcoins have me very interested, just seeing the potential and what could be, not because the landscape right now is that exciting, other than solving a really cool technical problem.  I'm sure there were some really smart people who didn't have the vision to see what PCs would become, but they still were wrong.
459  Economy / Economics / Re: The Ultimatum Game on: April 25, 2011, 06:19:40 PM
I think the disagreement boils down to what different people find would be a fair split of the money.

I don't think there is much disagreement that if you had a good reason to spite the other guy, spending some small amount of money to pay back would be warranted.  tomcollins admitted as much in his reply to the (admittedly extreme!) question of vetoing the guy who killed his family.

So the real question is: should you have any reason to spite the other guy?  Which comes down to: is he being an asshole by asking for 99.998% of the money, or is it fair for him to do so just because he "can"?

There is a mindset --let's call it carebear; just a label, no ridicule intended-- that expects humans to display some sensitivity towards each other's utilities.  We are social animals endowed with empathy.  Morals are almost innate, common sense rules of thumb that make life better for everyone.  Equality is seen as a sane default, even in non egalitarian cultures.  An inequality must be warranted: someone worked harder, was smarter, or got luckier.

For a carebear, the fair split in the Ultimatum Game is an equal one (althought others may be pragmatically accepted), and the Splitter is being a jerk for trying to abuse his position.  He's failing the basic rule of "do as you'd like to be done to you".  Being put in the position to accept $10 is doubly indignating.  Not only is he trying to get almost all of the money, but he's relying on you being nice about it (the utility of the $10 themselves barely registers, in this context).

There is a mindset --let's call it cutthroat-- by which, at least when money is involved, humans are expected to behave as selfish aggressive maximizers in a game with only the most basic ground rules: basically, respect for physical integrity and property (some would argue that real cutthroats won't respect anything that can't be defended, but again, it's just a label, take it as defined here).  For the cutthroat, morals are there mostly to avoid physical violence, and behaving morally consists of refraining from theft and aggression.  Behaviors that a carebear would consider "abusive" and "exploitive" are not immoral unless mediated by violence or threat thereof.

For a --um-- throatcutter, the Splitter is just being logical so it's wrong to spite him in first place.  The destructive spiteful reaction thus seems doubly irrational.

Of course I'm simplifying a bit.  Barring that, any big objections so far?


I liked this post a lot.  I don't think anyone has any moral duty to me other than not to steal my stuff/cause physical harm/defraud me.  If my sister wins the lottery, she is under no moral duty to share any of it with me (although it might be nice).  If I get myself into trouble, no one owes me by bailing me out.  If they do, great.  I do not consider the person dividing the money to have any moral duty to me to share anything.  I would graciously accept anything he chooses to offer me.

The key definitely where you set the baseline of fairness and moral duty.  The trick is to mislead the reader into thinking that the money should be equally split.  By phrasing it as "they have money together to split" is a great way to trick the reader into thinking that each player has an equal claim, and taking any more is stealing.  But it's not the case.

The logic of some people is truly frightening.  If someone does something "foolish", they deserve punishment!  I would hate to be a neighbor of such a person, where I might do something they consider foolish, and they retaliate by burning my house down or slashing my tires since I "deserve punishment".  Or if I won the lottery or came across a large sum of money, if I did not share it to their liking, I would be worthy of their wrath.  I would suggest a career in government where they would fit in with other thugs.
460  Other / Off-topic / Re: Bitcoin-like voting scheme on: April 25, 2011, 04:58:14 PM
I am not a software engineer, so I don't know exactly all this would be put together, but I have been musing about how a Bitcoin-like system could solve the problems of electronic voting including verification and non-reproducibility.

One way I could see it happening is to have a client for voting on and browsing ballots, and a client for issuing ballots and maintaining the block chain. A ballot issuer would have to register voters through an independent verification process, and would issue a certain number of votes (coins) to each registered voter for the ballot. In the case of public election ballot each voter could be issued a single vote, in the case of a shareholder ballot a number of votes could be issued according to the registered number of voting shares. In the case of caucusing votes could be transferred to a caucus.

Each ballot would have a unique hash for every possible combination of selections on the ballot, so the ballot browser would count up the number of votes spent on each outcome and reconcile the votes on each selection for the ballot. Once a vote is 'spent' it is destroyed. All ballots and their associated votes would be preserved in the block chain in perpetuity...

Problem???

The main problem with electronic voting is that someone could sell their vote or be "forced" to vote with someone over their shoulder.  Are verification and non-reproducibility real problems?  Bitcoin is great when you want to decentralize something.  But why decentralize voting?  Is it that you can't trust the single point?  Perhaps it might solve that issue.
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