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441  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - LMB Holdings on: October 15, 2013, 03:45:16 PM


It's not possible to have a completely decentralized exchange. At some point there will always be central hubs and these will be necessary.

It is and under developement, check mastercoin (http://www.mastercoin.org) project and the bitcointalk thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=265488.0

It's not that simple.
Trust doesn't exist in anonymous exchanges. There is no way to audit a corporation or issuer. If someone claims a currency is backed how are you going to check their vaults to see that they have platinum or gold in them?
442  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Namecoin was stillborn, I had to switch off life-support on: October 15, 2013, 03:28:06 PM
I hope that someone uses this opportunity to create a decentralized DNS network that's actually good. Namecoin always had a lot of flaws which probably would have prevented any real success. In particular, DNS does not require its own currency.

Could DNS be implemented as smart property on top of something like Mastercoin?
443  Economy / Securities / Re: [BTC-TC] BTC Growth: Capital Growth via Hedge Fund-Style Investing on: October 15, 2013, 10:51:34 AM
Greg it is clear you are a state actor. Stop trying to idntiy us, bitcoin was anonymous for a reason and you are trying to ruin this. go back to patting down at the airpot

Unfortunately running a fund where the participants are anonymous is not going to survive very long, especially from a UK based financial fund manager.

Bitcoin is anonymous, running a hedge fund is not.
Then run an anonymous hedge fund.


EDIT: This post was done by a hacker that took control over my account. I had not changed my password on bitcointalk and I had an easy one. I have no regained control over the account. Ignore this post.

If a hacker really took over your account you/they would just remove that edit. Duh.
444  Economy / Securities / Re: so... anyone want to make a regulated US stock exchange? on: October 15, 2013, 08:15:23 AM
So, we've all had our fun scoffing at regulators, but now that we've got that out of our system (and our portfolio's are down 60%) are we ready to make a regulated US exchange?

No. If you want regulated US stuff check out the dollar, it might be more up your alley.

This would have the perks of inviting more liquidity from larger market participants, as well as more stability and predictability.

Playing around with other experiments such as decentralized exchanges and colored coins just invites unpredictable illiquidity and instability.

The Securities and Exchange Commissions offers plenty of regulatory exemptions for the kinds/sizes of companies that have so far "IPO'd" in bitcoin land, the exchanges might have a more uphill battle but its time to cross the bridge

Like many people posting about this stuff lately, you seem a bit confused as to what the problem is, and what solutions exist.

Have a read.


You've found the main problems but you're not offering the solution.
A decentralized exchange is neutral and will not solve the main problems.

The problem is a problem of trust. Investors cannot trust issuers and issuers have to be audited which means there will be centralization in the form of a concentration of trusted nodes or entities. Trusted entities in the community will have to audit issuers to make sure they aren't a scam like Labcoin.

Mastercoin is a great technology but it lacks the ability to create an environment where investors can trust anything on the decentralized exchange. It's decentralized but untrusted which means technologically it might work but practically it will fail until there is enough trust between investors and issuers that scams and fraud is brought under control.

The SEC cannot solve the problem. Laws cannot solve this problem. It has to be solved technologically, and it means some layer of centralization will be required to have trust.

Even if a virtual auditing service or a distributed auditing corporation has to form there has to be something to certify the issuer as trusted enough that people can buy and sell shares and know it's not a complete scam.

For instance say a company forms on Mastercoin offering a currency backed by Gold called Goldcoin. People have to know without a doubt that this company really has Gold in a vault somewhere otherwise their Goldcoins are a scam and people will lose their real coins for their speculation on the scam. So for this reason there has to be centralization even atop the Mastercoin protocol.

Then after all of that you're going to have to deal with accusations of stolen coins, disputes, and accusations of money laundering. How do we deal with these problems? Ignoring the technical problem doesn't work if we want a legitimate investment platform just like following the law doesn't work if we want a legitimate technological platform.

The law doesn't regulate this space, but the technology doesn't either and that is the problem. We need technological regulation for a global currency because there is no nation in charge of Bitcoin and no uniform set of laws. The people who write the code are going to have to do a better job dealing with scams and fraud.
445  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [Development] StorNode - Start of a StorJ Implementation and a Bitcoin Agent on: October 15, 2013, 08:05:36 AM
Well in this early stage you would probably just run one or more StorJ nodes, rather than sell space to StorJ. It would kinda work like Bitcoin mining. Bitcoin mining supports the network, and the miners get a percentage of the fees and new coins. For a StorJ node you would get paid the fees for hosting a file or file(s).

I doubt this would replace Dropbox or Megaupload anytime soon, but in its full implementation it would allow you to store your files for very very cheap. Although you are making me think maybe this should be a more of a desktop app. You can make Bitcoin by utilizing a GPU that otherwise might be idle, but instead utilizing your hard drive space that might be empty.
 
I mean look at the Dropbox model. They charge $99 a year for 100 GB of space. Lets just call it an even $1/GB. Which means if I charged Dropbox prices for a $100 Seagate Barracuda 2TB off Newegg that's fully loaded, I could get <$2,000 a year. That's a better reward that Bitcoin mining. Of course I'm omitting stuff like redundancy, but still there is a huge profit margin in there.

tldr; Back of the napkin calculations make this highly optimistic.


Proof of Storage right? I think this idea can work.
446  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - LMB Holdings on: October 15, 2013, 07:46:31 AM
At this point the market is demanding decentralization because central exchanges cannot be trusted. The only options for US investors are a Canadian exchange which most likely is going to region lock US citizens at some point, an obscure exchange somewhere in China which only has Asicminer shares and which most Americans don't want to have to deal with, or the decentralized exchange. Sure you can build a web front end for a decentralized exchange, but that is the only way it will work for everyone without unacceptable risk. If no one can wipe the order book because it's the blockchain, if no one can region lock and leave it up to each individual issuer, then you have a lot less risk.


I have the opposite response. At this point, the market needs a real, legitimate bitcoin stock exchange that is compliant.

Your focus on what might improve about a decentralized exchange completely ignores all of the things that would be made worse.

Upon further thought,

It's not possible to have a completely decentralized exchange. At some point there will always be central hubs and these will be necessary.

There will be central hubs just for sake of convenience, or to protect investors from fraud/scams, but the technology for a decentralized exchange will be developed even if the implementation makes it somewhat futile due to limited features and liquidity over the next 6-12 months.

I was wrong about a thing or two, and you were right about a thing or two. Regardless there are certain decisions and forces set in motion due to the decisions of Btct and Bitfunder which will ultimately lead to a decentralized exchange attempt. At some point some decentralized exchange attempt will be moderately successful but it will not happen for a while and there are problems which have to be solved before it can be done successfully.

This sucks for investors, but now I actually think its a good move to region block on the centralized exchanges at least until a more decentralized exchange can be created.

Centralized exchanges will have to region block but this will encourage development of better and more decentralized exchanges. It will encourage development of technologies for better centralized exchanges which can have security and be fraud/scam resistant without having to region block.

It will also eventually lead to some better laws and technologies so that region blocks and central exchanges in the current form wont be necessary. If the community could identify what the real problem is (it's not going to be solved just by making a decentralized exchange), and solve those problems then there will be progress.


cryptocyprus & co. , not glad to say this, but it seems that NEOBEE didn't sell a single share from IPO stack for last 2 weeks? And Shares are trading 1/3 under IPO price, maybe its a good time for venture capital? What do you think? When you plan to sell remaining shares to them? You mentioned before, that you have a lot of offers, so why limiting yourself with only one branch when you can get VC for all 3 of them?
Quote
I agree 100%, even before all of the exchange nonsense, no one was buying the IPO shares.  People obviously hoped it would quickly rise in value and they could make a quick profit, when that didn't happen they undercut the IPO price, meaning the IPO will never sell out.  I know that you have raised more than the minimum, but surely you aimed for the full amount and if the remained is being offered by VCs, you'd be crazy not to accept it.

The reason for that is it launched just prior to the exchange nonsense. It also launched as many people were getting burned by Labcoin which seems to have been a scam.

The reason we cannot easily have a decentralized exchange is because even the central exchanges are populated with fake stocks and scams. Those fake stocks cost people real money, and there is no easy way to investigate each corporation without having some central hub to do it. For this reason TAT is correct and centralized hubs will always be necessary even if we have decentralized exchanges. It's impossible to build a completely decentralized exchange unless we could find a way to deal with the real problems.

Here is the list of the real problems:

1. Scams/Fraud (this is the biggest problem of all, issuers have to be selected carefully and audited, held accountable).
2. Points of failure (In a decentralized exchange while there is not a single point which can go down, you instead rely on a chain and of the members of the chain are compromised or go down it's a failure.)
3. Money laundering (This is debateable whether or not it's a problem but the government will think it is.)

These three main problems have to be worked on before a decentralized exchange can work as intended. Scam and fraud detection requires a centralized hub unless there is a way to have security of that sort in a decentralized manner. Decentralization could probably solve many of the point of failure issues but then you'd need a web of trust in addition to decentralization which ultimately results in a concentration of trusted nodes creating a decentralized hub. Money laundering is up for debate whether or not you think it is a problem, but if it is a problem then it has to be solved too.

The SEC cannot solve these problems, they may be solved technically but the current developers building the next generation technology are not focused on it.  Basically it's going to be difficult for a decentralized exchange to become "trusted". It's going to be difficult to have "trust" with an anonymous issuer, so whoever issues a stock will have to be thoroughly investigated to prevent another Labcoin type scandal or worse.
447  Economy / Securities / Re: Idea for a decentralized security exchange on: October 15, 2013, 07:34:57 AM
I thought terrorist finance was something made up by the government to scare us into more and more regulations...

Do you really think we can stop terrorists receiving funds?
The real terrorists are already funded by our tax money IMO.


The government has a legitimate concern. Terrorist finance is real.
But I'm not in a position to know how much of a problem it is for Bitcoin.

I'm skeptical about it being a problem for Bitcoin but there aren't enough statistics to really know yet.

Anyway, instead of thinking of terrorist finance as something involving the Taliban think of it as more state sponsored violence, using Bitcoin. If you're concerned about states abusing Bitcoin and you understand many terrorist groups are state sponsored then you can understand it will be a legitimate threat at some point.
448  Economy / Securities / Re: Idea for a decentralized security exchange on: October 14, 2013, 09:29:37 AM

This is a rather skewed representation of what's happening. That a series of people not qualified to run a securities exchange have stepped up in an attempt to bring low-boundary, incredibly sketchy non-solutions to "the community" at large and have subsequently found themselves in over their heads does not mean the problem is "the current set of regulation". The problem is that finance is not a mass consumer thing to be packaged up and handed out by anyone at all with a hope and a dream.

There's a big difference between the sort of red tape regulation nonsense governments have no business injecting here and enforcing simple, established, powerful rules that keep scammy and otherwise worthless stuff out.

I agree with you. And you were right about Labcoin being a total scam. I do want regulation of issuers and I do think issuers should be checked and held accountable by the SEC if necessary. But what does regulating corporations have to do with preventing investors from investing?

I'm all for making corporations become transparent and regulated so that people aren't scammed and don't lose their money. The current set of SEC rules don't make any sense at all and don't apply very well for the particular situations you see in the Bitcoin community. Bitcoin investors do not want the SEC interfering with their ability to invest, region blocking, or invading their privacy. I also don't think Bitcoin investors want to mistakenly fund terrorism, or be involved in money laundering.

The problem is fraud, scams, money laundering and terrorist finance. The regulations of the SEC don't really apply to Bitcoin with it's decentralized concepts and P2P digital money. For example with Bitcoin everyone is pseudo-anonymous, does knowing an investor prevent money laundering? No not necessarily. But it does make sense if someone were trying to move large amounts of Bitcoins or to have suspicious activity which looks like money laundering to have an ability to look more closely at that. The fork in the road is between those developers who push for anonymity and those who don't. Anonymity means every individual will have to report directly to the government similar to how you have to report your earnings to the IRS while transparency on the blockchain would allow the blockchain to report it all. Either way we will have to interface with the government at some point.

The benefit of digital is that you can be selective. Small investors should not be scrutinized or forced to give up their privacy. That means if someone is not investing large amounts of Bitcoins at the time there shouldn't be a need for verification anyway. Money laundering is usually something which takes place with large amounts of Bitcoins. If all the Bitcoins are anonymous this presents a problem though, because if a terrorist or money laundering situation does happen it puts a bad light on the entire Bitcoin economy if every transaction is hidden from authorities and this forces authorities to detain, question, and eventually make everyone report their activities.

At this time while it is true that there are a lot of illicit Bitcoins floating around out there, and a lot of scams, a lot of fraud and theft, the SEC has no solutions and until the Bitcoin community takes it seriously it's not even the SEC's fault entirely.

What do you propose should be done to prevent scams? fraud and money laundering?  Should we have anonymity? if we do then how do we report a scam, a crime, or prove our innocence?
449  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is now no longer about drugs. It is about the same time for gambling. on: October 14, 2013, 12:53:49 AM
Bitcoin will not succeed to the masses if the first thing someone hears is gambling or drugs. The Silk Road seizure was the best thing that ever happened to Bitcoin - it hurt the image temporarily, but in the long term Bitcoin without illegal narcotics is good for the success of Bitcoin. However, there are many gambling sites that are still in existence. For Bitcoin to succeed, we must get rid of these sites.

I recommend bitcoin users stop playing unregulated internet gambling and report these sites to your authorities. Anything illegal is not good for bitcoin


EDIT: This post was done by a hacker that took control over my account. I had not changed my password on bitcointalk and I had an easy one. I have no regained control over the account. Ignore this post.

Drugs I can understand but who is against gambling? I don't know anyone who is totally against gambling.
450  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Whats stopping the worlds richest from buying all the coins? on: October 14, 2013, 12:23:17 AM
Hey guys,

Serious question here. Bitcoin has more awareness now than ever, but why aren't people like bill gates and warren buffet just buying all of the coins?

Do you ever wonder that? Like you would think they would be buying up all the coins, and the market cap would be tens of billions right now. Maybe they are going to war against Bitcoin?

A 51% attack controlled by opposition of Bitcoin would be fairly easy with the amount of resources these guys have.

Whats your opinion?

So what if they do? We'll get rich because they'll be buying from us.
And not just Bitcoins, but all of these altcoins can be sold to rich people.

I don't mind. I welcome that. If any rich person would like to buy a million Bitcoins for a trillion dollars that would be the best form of stimulus package.
451  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: A mechanism for voting on changes in Mastercoin protocol on: October 13, 2013, 03:36:13 PM
Then Mastercoin is a corporation, the voting group is a syndicate, and it should be taxed.
You can't adopt tax free status without having an actual democracy. An actual democracy means 1 vote per head.

Dacoinminster has too many Mastercoins to convince anyone that it is decentralized. It's more decentralized than Ripple but cannot compete with Colored Coin. Mastercoin is as much a corporation as Ripple and the foundation cannot remain tax free unless it acts like a foundation and not a corporation. A foundation has members and members are all equals.

Any anonymous system can be corrupted by coercion. Any anonymous system of voting doesn't allow anyone to know who voted or if the votes are even legitimate. If you want to just let whoever has the coins at that time to vote on the direction of Mastercoin then go ahead, but don't make it part of the Mastercoin foundation and don't be surprised if a bunch of corporations end up owning Mastercoin as a protocol because they buy all the Mastercoins and tame it.

Verification is important if you want an actual democracy. If you're trying to be fair with your votes then each member should get a vote. If you're not trying to be fair then just let dacoinminster have complete control and not bother with voting. Voting gives only the illusion that he is relinquishing control when his votes are worth more than the average vote.

I'm not a tax lawyer. The foundation is composed of a board that isn't paid a salary.
The board has been trusted with the initial mastercoins and bitcoins in 1Exodus, and its job is to spend them for the benefit of all mastercoin users. I'll leave to tax lawyers the question of whether this qualifies as a tax-free organization or not.

It completely goes around colored coins - CC is one small feature, mastercoin is an entire new, evoling layer.
Just like the Bitcoin Foundation doesn't dictate the evolution of Bitcoin, the Mastercoin Foundation doesn't dictate the evolution of mastercoin.

Democracy isn't the goal, just like Bitcoin isn't democratic. The goal is to be fair - democracy is one route to this fairness, but it would force us to sacrifice anonymity and decentralization, so it is not going to happen.

Bitcoin isn't democratic but it's supposed to be. Why would anyone support it if it doesn't try to be?

Democracy doesn't require you lose anonymity or decentralization. Anonymity doesn't even exist and is an illusion. Bitcoin is pseudo-anonymous and was not designed to be anonymous. And not everyone thinks it should be anonymous.

Decentralization? If you're going with Proof of Stake voting you're centralizing the power but saying that is decentralization? I'm saying decentralized power through democracy which means you cannot have Proof of Stake based voting because that will produce a central authority of massive stakeholders who rule over everyone else.

452  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Coinsigner decentralized exchange crowd funding campaign and shedding some light on: October 13, 2013, 02:21:19 PM
If you're honest I don't mean to insult the project. These are good ideas and the virtual jury idea is an idea I've been thinking about myself as the solution to coin taint and a lot of other problems.

Please correct the math or show your work. Then I'll contribute.
453  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Coinsigner decentralized exchange crowd funding campaign and shedding some light on: October 13, 2013, 02:17:58 PM
Crowdfunding page: https://bitcoinstarter.com/projects/202
See video overview here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtcT_2xJtYQ

Coinsigner is scalable application that employs paid mediators to act as  third parties in multi-signature transactions. What is unique and novel about this idea is that massive numbers of bitcoin trades can be facilitated, privately, without limit and safely using multi signature transactions. The other unique property abut the application is that there is a collusion resistant system build into the platform. This application builds on top of multi-signature transactions to make it fool proof from possible negative characteristics of human nature.

I am also working on a plan to develop and market integrable coinsigner branded POS systems for local businesses with high traffic in nyc. There are two benefits to this strategy. The first benefit is to the bitcoin ecosystem in general. The more stores that accept bitcoin will result in more people using bitcoin. The second benefit is for coinsigner. The business will consider coinsigner as an exchange venue considering the effect of the very prominent  cosigner branding.



Quote
Basically I paid about 1.5 bitcoins for ~153 mastercoins
today 1 mastercoin =  1 bitcoin (and project is not even complete yet) according to sources: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=265488.720 . This is an immediate 100x profit for me. I can sell these mastercoins today and get 150 bitcoin= $15,000.

Once the project is complete, which is estimated to be done by the end of this year 2013
1 mastercoin could be worth multiple number of bitcoins. This is because the bitcoin market potential is only the total global transactional market which is ~$60 trillion see this source: http://falkvinge.net/2013/03/06/the-target-value-for-bitcoin-is-not-some-50-or-100-it-is-100000-to-1...

Mastercoin on the other hand is projected to be worth 100's of trillions because you can represent every commodity and  currency . And once the project is complete and value starts tricking in, the price of mastercoins will most likely skyrocket. Owning 0.1 mastercoins could be the equivalent of owning 100,000 bitcoins. My advise get them and hold onto them by keeping your bitcoin public and private key secure.
- See more at: https://bitcoinstarter.com/projects/202#sthash.Q2Zq3mf2.dpuf

I was going to donate but then I looked at your numbers and your math is way way off.
Mastercoins are not 1:1 with Bitcoins. Mastercoins are 0.02-0.038 Bitcoins. I agree with you that it will eventually likely be 1:1 with Bitcoins but it isn't right now.

Also the idea that a single Mastercoin could be worth 100,000 Bitcoins? That is complete nonsense. I can believe it will be worth 1-2 Bitcoins at best but with competition from colored coins and the like it will never get much higher than that. 100,000 Bitcoins per Mastercoin is just bogus math and you can quote me on this a year from now.

1:1 on the other hand works out about right. I actually think a Mastercoin is probably worth a few Bitcoins. Just try to be realistic with the math because if you were I'd have dropped some Bitcoin into your project but because you weren't now I'm thinking it's a scam like Labcoin.

454  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: A mechanism for voting on changes in Mastercoin protocol on: October 13, 2013, 07:10:48 AM
Well, Mastercoin won't work if Willet will have 51% of all coins long term.
The economical stability of the system requires that the coins become more distributed anyway ... so I believe that a sort of PoS system is indeed the correct solution (the system doesn't necessarily need to award new coins to voters, although it's a cool incentive to encourage everyone to vote ... even without new coin generation, just a voting structure based on ownership is good enough).
You can do that but that is not democracy. Mastercoin would be a corporation at best and inherent all of the mistakes, flaws, and issues that many people have with the current ways of doing things. I think Proof of Stake does not work very well if it's supposed to be a democracy or for community decision making. It does work fine if the goal is to maximize profit because if the goal is only to make Mastercoin as valuable as possible and nothing else what you have then is a Mastercoin syndicate and not a foundation. That syndicate should be taxed.
One-vote-per-user just isn't going to work. Mastercoin, just like Bitcoin, cannot be tied to regulation, centralization, and thus identity-verification.
Then Mastercoin is a corporation, the voting group is a syndicate, and it should be taxed.
You can't adopt tax free status without having an actual democracy. An actual democracy means 1 vote per head.

Not going to happen. Mastercoin is and will remain decentralized, and will become more decentralized as Willet's coin ownership dilutes (he himself stated him losing 50% as one of the milestones of the project).
Dacoinminster has too many Mastercoins to convince anyone that it is decentralized. It's more decentralized than Ripple but cannot compete with Colored Coin. Mastercoin is as much a corporation as Ripple and the foundation cannot remain tax free unless it acts like a foundation and not a corporation. A foundation has members and members are all equals.
What sort of gaming to you fear if it's anonymous?
It will be controled by its users in proportion to how they have a stake in the coin.
Otherwise you could hire a million Chinese people that don't have anything to do with Mastercoin to spam the voting process, just like the gold-farmers of today. It's just not a good system.

Any anonymous system can be corrupted by coercion. Any anonymous system of voting doesn't allow anyone to know who voted or if the votes are even legitimate. If you want to just let whoever has the coins at that time to vote on the direction of Mastercoin then go ahead, but don't make it part of the Mastercoin foundation and don't be surprised if a bunch of corporations end up owning Mastercoin as a protocol because they buy all the Mastercoins and tame it.

Verification is important if you want an actual democracy. If you're trying to be fair with your votes then each member should get a vote. If you're not trying to be fair then just let dacoinminster have complete control and not bother with voting. Voting gives only the illusion that he is relinquishing control when his votes are worth more than the average vote.
455  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: OFFICIAL LAUNCH: New Protocol Layer Starting From “The Exodus Address” on: October 13, 2013, 05:34:38 AM
... Proof of Stake would create a situation where dacoinminster would own most of the coins and the system would be gamed by him or whomever else owns most of the coins. ...
Just to correct one misconception about mastercoin that I've seen mentioned a few times; JR's personal investment did not purchase the majority of total coin supply.  JR holds the largest investment absolutely, but he does not own most of the coins.

For specifics (hope you don't mind me posting this JR but it's a matter of public record for anyone who cares to look) JR purchased ~175,195 MSC (ref) and the total coin supply is ~619,478 MSC.  JR thus purchased and holds roughly 28% of the coins created during the minting process.



And that is the problem and why Proof of Stake voting is stupid. Each member of the foundation should get approximately 1 vote. 1 head 1 vote.
456  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: October 13, 2013, 12:44:42 AM
Really risky to buy in when there's no solid info about the Gen2 chips.

Moreover, before buying, make sure you have considered the risk that Cointerra may be successful in their 22nm chips and sell hardware at $3/GH on Jan 2014. I believe AM will survive next year, but not likely to have the same advantage as this year. You could look at AM's price at early this year when they were clearly the first ASIC miner, and then predict its price when they don't have advantage anymore now.

high return involves high risk, which is always the case.

It is true that there is no positive information about the gen2 chips. All we know is friedcat and his team are working hard on that. Based on what they have achieved this year, pay 0.9BTC/share to buy/risk/gamble/invest(whatever you call it) its success, is a good deal or not? You have to make your own choice.

It's difficult imo for AM to compete and recoop the dev costs of a new production line for several reasons:

* The smaller the chip size the larger the R&D/setup costs for production
* The currently expressed chip size will be undesirable to the market given that better alternatives are currently shipping
* The previous customer base hasn't/will not be re-cooping the cost of their previous expenditures on AM products and will not have much desire to spend on more
* If they do produce the expressed target chip size they will be at a cost disadvantage in what is soon to be a very tight profit margin squeeze for the industry

So then we have mining. . . AM has shown a propensity to not be able deploy and keep up with the network hashrate. aside from the beginning when it was easy, I have not seen them show the capability of reaching their target goals on hashrate.  Each time,  the target mining hashrate was met hugely late or missed completely.

Now, you can get all butt hurt and tell yourself I'm trolling, and I couldn't care less, but anybody new coming into this needs realize these shares should be entered into with trepidation and are not necessarily "discounted" for unfounded reasons.

g' luck all and happy trading Smiley

Hashrate wont continue to rise exponentially forever. At some point it will taper off and the share prices will go up again.
457  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: OFFICIAL LAUNCH: New Protocol Layer Starting From “The Exodus Address” on: October 13, 2013, 12:10:41 AM
Everyone, please check out this thread about a new core meta-feature I want to include in Mastercoin - voting on changes.

The Mastercoin protocol will continue to evolve, and currently there is no clear way to evolve the protocol in a decentralized manner. I think it's essential that nobody, including client developers and members of the Mastercoin Foundation, have any kind of control over the protocol. Its users should vote on any desired protocol change using a Proof Of Stake like system.
Do not use Proof of Stake. Use code based voting http://people.eng.unimelb.edu.au/vjteague/PGD.pdf

Each member of the foundation should be verified. Their votes should be tied to their real world identity. Each member should receive a code sheet to their smartphone or mailing address. That sheet should allow them to vote pseudo-anonymously in elections so that no one will know who they voted for or what but every member would be equal and capable of voting. Proof of Stake would create a situation where dacoinminster would own most of the coins and the system would be gamed by him or whomever else owns most of the coins.

An additional solution, create a vote coin for each specific vote. Require any verified member of the Mastercoin foundation to purchase each coin for each vote. This would ensure that each member receives only one vote and then set up an address where they all send the coins to. If they vote one way it should say yes and another way it should say no. This could be stored as a transaction and decoded to determine which way they voted. The addition of the code sheet would make it so no one could figure out who votes for what, just the amount of verified members who voted and for what.

The tokens would be limited to the exact number of members in the Mastercoin foundation. It could not be gamed because each member would only be able to vote once per election. Each member would have to purchase a vote coin so the voting would not be free, but it should be cheap. Tokens would either be heads or tails to represent the way they voted. In the future it could include heads, tails, or unsure. This could all be done by fuzzy logic. Each token would be unique and counting the votes would happen in real time.
458  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: A mechanism for voting on changes in Mastercoin protocol on: October 13, 2013, 12:00:42 AM
I believe that in the medium range (say in the next 6 months), we need to decide, formalize and code a distributed voting mechanism for changes in the Mastercoin protocol. I will copy a similar post I made in our lonely Google group:

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I think that above everything else, MasterCoin is an infrastructure with yet unknown capabilities. As one of the first tasks in the MasterCoin protocol, I would like us to implement a way for MasterCoin holders to vote on protocol changes (hardforks).

Before proposing a way to evolve MasterCoin past forking changes, I'd like to explain how MasterCoin can have forks, even though it's not really mined. MasterCoin 1.0 was defined in Willet's original whitepaper ... but Willet is not the master of MasterCoin. If everyone in the world except Willet decides to add feature X to MasterCoin and call that "MasterCoin 1.1", then this will be the de-facto new MasterCoin. The new MasterCoin can contain new operations and transaction types that Willet's original spec does not support, and so the two "worldviews" of MasterCoin 1.0 and MasterCoin 1.1 will diverge - in other words, when we let the MasterCoin 1.0 program parse the Bitcoin blockchain, and also let the new MasterCoin 1.1 program parse the same blockchain, they will disagree on the balance each address contains (1.1 might even contain new types of addresses unrecognizable by 1.0)

With Bitcoin, there is a clear, decentralized way for miners to vote on protocol changes - by hash power. In MasterCoin, there are no miners (well, they're hidden in the Bitcoin layer and are irrelevant to MasterCoin).

I propose the following protocol that MasterCoin can use to control its own evolution:

1. We build one reference implementation of MasterCoin 1.0
2. We now encode the hash of the git commit for the reference implementation of MasterCoin 1.0 in MasterCoin's own code, forming MasterCoin 1.0.1. Everyone starts running MasterCoin 1.0.1.
3. Whenever there is a desire to add a forking change to MasterCoin, anyone can publish a protocol change request into the MasterCoin network using a special message (the message contains a URL of a repository and a git commit hash within that repo).
4. Owners of MSC can vote whether they approve a particular valid fork request (a fork request is valid if its git commit hash is a descendant.of the currently accepted master hash.
5. Once more than 50% of all MSC have voted on a particular fork, it becomes the new standard, and everyone should upgrade to the new client (or else, they will be stuck on the wrong side of the fork).

(The above assumes that Willet will control less than 50% of all MSC).

BTW the above kind of reminds me the rules of Nomic ... it can get quite crazy.

I suspect there are other easier way to implement this, feel free to butt in.

Proof of Stake is not the way. The creator of Mastercoins has too many Mastercoins to allow Proof of Stake to work.
Instead it should be code based voting and based around actual digital signatures tied to real people. That would mean you'd have to use some verified account to vote. You could be pseudo-anonymous but if the account is verified then its one vote per verified user of Mastercoin.

If its completely anonymous it will be gamed. If it's Proof of Stake and anonymous then for all we know dacoinminster could game it himself.
Voting has to be both coercion resistant, pseudo-anonymous, verified, and it should be impossible for anyone to figure out who you voted for.

Code based coercion resistant voting makes this possible. Each verified user would receive a code sheet to their smart phone or mailing address which they can use to vote. This would require that every legitimate member of the foundation and democracy reveal their identity at some point, but those identities would not have to be tied to any specific addresses so they would still be pseudo-anonymous. The system would not keep track of who votes for what, it would just tally the votes everyone made. A user defined coin called a vote coin could be created to initiate a vote or poll and individuals who are verified members of the Mastercoin foundation could purchase those coins which would be limited in generation to the exact amount of verified members in an organization. These coins would actually just be tokens to promote the pseudo-anonymity of the process.

For more information http://people.eng.unimelb.edu.au/vjteague/PGD.pdf
459  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - LMB Holdings on: October 12, 2013, 11:42:08 PM
i know this is hard for some of you turds but dont be daft

theres no planning needed for direct shares - they just convert your data into a spreadsheet and\or collect more info. thats it

stop insulting people and acting like children

and now you wanna call Ken a genius? hilarious

Cryptocircus already stated that the allocation of resources required to implement and maintain direct shares is not something they wish to do. Just buy the shares back and cancel the IPO.

What about investors in Europe? Canceling the IPO will hurt everyone.
460  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - LMB Holdings on: October 12, 2013, 09:01:01 AM
He has that condition, to have buyers vow they will not allow US customers, to protect the users of this future exchange, which will have to some degree his name attached to it.

 It makes sense when you think about it. You want your code to be in good hands and survive if possible and for that to happen users and their assets have to be protected.

You can't kill code that is open source. The GPL or MIT license would guarantee it survives forever. You cannot go to prison for writing code.
Say someone buys his code and opens up a new exchange 1 week later and allows US customers. This new exchange gets into same legal troubles and is forced to shut down or block US customers, so US customers get screwed again and also does price of all securities listed there.
The only reason his exchange is shut down is because it's hosted in the USA. Why doesn't he just refuse to sell to any company in the USA? It's an unlicensed exchange which means it's just as illegal to run as before so nothing changes at all really. I don't see how a region block provides any protection. Of course whoever runs the exchange shouldn't solicit US customers but if they adopt KYC but are still unlicensed then what is the point?

Bitfunder shares still aren't considered real but they are trying to do this KYC type stuff?
It will mess up with IPOs, mess up badly with stock prices, destroy market confidence and so on. Last but not least you don't want to be associated such a mess when you could have prevented it.
Ultimately only a decentralized exchange will be immune to being shut down. Any governments police can raid any of these exchanges if they even have the hint that people used it for money laundering. Silk Road arrests could trigger a global crack down on all of these exchanges in an attempt to track tainted coins and it wouldn't have to be done under the regulatory laws but could be done under the criminal laws or even under the three letter agency anti-terror finance laws. In any case if they want to shut down unlicensed exchanges they will and no amount of blocking US customers will prevent it.

My guess? Because Silk Road was run by an American and Dread Pirate Roberts was an American the following investigations will probably be run by the FBI and DEA. But this doesn't mean that there aren't mutual legal assistance treaties and other mechanisms to allow local three letter agencies in every country to get involved. In that case the governments would be able to send national security letters, conduct anti-terrorist investigations, and then it does make sense to block US customers in order to avoid impeding on an ongoing investigation.

The problem is if that is all the result of the Silk Road investigation then something must be done technologically to allow law enforcement to do their investigations without disrupting the entire Bitcoin economy and having multiple sites shut down. There might be a very important investigation going on or several and the feds might not even care about btct or Bitfunder. It could have been that some bad guys happened to set up scams or use those exchanges to invest their drug money. That is a legitimate and real possibility which would explain all of this and fit in with the timing. If that is the case then moving to Havelock probably will not be a long term solution for US investors which is why I never recommended moving to Havelock for any other reason than to buy time until Havelock shuts down as well.

The conclusion to all this is we will need to make a choice as a community about what we want. Do we want anonymity in which case Bitcoin will probably never be able to have much growth, and in which case the price of coins will never be $20,000 a coin, but people will be able to use Bitcoins to buy drugs. Or do we want to have a Bitcoin which actually goes legitimate and which can be used as a currency, which can someday be $20,000 a coin or more, and which we can all build legitimate businesses around?

Due to money laundering laws and the real threat of terrorist financing we will not be able to have both. Developers are ultimately going to be made to pick one side or the other and there will either be a fork at some point or Bitcoin developers will choose one path or the other. At this point it seems gmaxwell and some other Bitcoin developers are choosing the path of anonymity. For that reason and as a result of that choice, the economic effects will be felt as the feds do everything in their power to discourage that.

I had a discussion with gmaxwell on the coinjoin thread. I made the case that the community is going to have to become more responsible and technologically regulate itself to avoid mass arrests. I'd rather deal with technological features like tainted coins with blacklists or KYC than mass arrests, shut downs, etc. Don't get me wrong there probably will be a coin which has anonymity, I just don't think that cryptocurrency will be the one to become the mainstream cryptocurrency. I don't think anonymity is necessary for privacy. I do think records should be kept either by the users themselves or on the blockchain. But I also don't think that corporations should know what books we buy or what we do with our money.

The issue of stolen coins, money laundering, coin taint, record keeping, these are all technological issues which can be solved in a way which could provide more privacy than Paypal and credit cards but not be completely anonymous. I have no clue how to strike the balance, and I know that currently the blockchain isn't anywhere near private enough, but I also know that it shouldn't be a complete black box of a blockchain where no one can determine what goes on because if some really bad event happens or if governments were to exploit this technology against us then we would want some way to be able to follow the money even if its not easy or cheap to do. Ultimately we are either all going to end up keeping records on our transactions in exchange for having true privacy and anonymity, or we will let the blockchain keep a public record of every transaction. If you see any other way let me know but I think we are at a fork in the road.
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