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4541  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: June 09, 2023, 05:53:24 AM
Not only on the paper , also on the field i believe that they win and that Dortmund will make it this time to catch the title.
I guess that the blame will not fall on Tuchel when Bayern Munich end up with nothing this season , the blame will be on the managment for sure.
The fact is that Tuchel will be also the coach for the next season and i think we will see some changes in the system in Munich.
Automatically the main mistake of the made by Bayern Munich management was quite clear because it fired Nagelsmaan at an inopportune time. In other words tuchel can't change anything in this period because he needs time to find a strategy and know how to play his team.

For Dortmund, this season is indeed a big opportunity for them to show their strength by winning the Bundesliga trophy.  playing against mainz of course dortmund is highly favored because they have a sweet record in their meetings in the last 5 matches.
I have not yet been able to decipher what they are thinking, and more than that it comes from someone like Oliver Khan, Oliver Khan is a person who was a great footballer above all , that is why I do not Understand what influenced him to reach the conclusion of what to do Such an extreme change , I don't think it was the right Decision , or what he promised him, as far as I'm concerned it's strange to see a team like Bayern go through a moment like they're doing, that Dortmund He already got on the boat , but why ? because they themselves allowed it and the directive was like that , so here are the consequences.

Borussia Dortmund came really close this season in the race for the title, they pushed Bayern Munich until the end and didn't bow down easily. They might not be champions but I commend their efforts, performance and good mentality. If they can do the same next season, with a little luck they might get a chance to win the league.

Only of dortmund will not be repeating the same mistake again. It has been very long since dortmund was winning its bundesliga trophy. Dortmund needs to rebuild its team again. Im still seeing so many weakness that owned by dortmund.
It's sometimes being so hard to win against the small club in the bundesliga. That's why im thinking of terzic must focus to rebuild its team especially in the attacking lines and defenders.

Dortmund has so many good midfielders but not for the defensive lines. It was always conceded so many goals. that was making me feel so bad to see that.

The defensive line must be changed as preparation for the upcoming season. it's become my main concern if i were terzic.
Try to learn from what happened in the past to make the club to be even better in the future.
Dortmund has a lot of experience in recovering and seeing that their team can come back as the best, there is no doubt about it, but personally what they did was very admirable, they were about to beat Bayern, I don't deny it, it would have been something very epic, also I would not have imagined Oliver Khan's face if that had happened, luckily for them everything went well, well, it's not something so good, because I think Bayern could have done much more in the UCL, but they played almost heartless and those are the consequences, football is like that, you can't get discouraged because things quickly go very wrong.


@borovichok while it’s true that Bayern were tested a lot this season but they could have won the league early had they not changed their coach because that change effected their rhythm. Furthermore even on the final match day I had posted that Dortmund could crumble under pressure hence I wasn’t surprised as their mentality isn’t yet strong enough and they really need to work on it if they want to win the title next season.

Despite the fact that everyone expected that Bayern would have won the Bundesliga in a more comfortable way, I think that what happened was very good, just seeing other teams with the same spirit as Dortmund would have been a much more exciting Bundesliga, otherwise There is no doubt about that, but for the next season things will be different, Bayern already has to make more prominent changes, I don't know if as a coach , but players yes, the vacancy or hole left by Lewa must not be noticed that absence that he has accompanied them in the games , they already have to hire players who give their all at Lewa's level or even much more than him.


Fabrizio Romano says star linked with Leeds is joining Bayern Munich instead



Quote
Raphael Guerreiro is set to swap Borussia Dortmund for Bundesliga rivals Bayern Munich shortly after Leeds United were linked with a move for the Portugal international.

If you can’t beat them, join them.

After Dortmund choked on a dramatic final day – drawing 2-2 at home with Mainz when all they needed to do was win – Raphael Guerreiro looks set to follow in the footsteps of Mats Hummels, Mario Gotze and Robert Lewandowski, swapping Borussia for Bavaria.

Source: https://www.hitc.com/en-gb/2023/06/08/fabrizio-romano-says-star-linked-with-leeds-is-joining-bayern-munich-instead/

I think that any change that favors the team is not bad, whoever it is they have to put together a team that will face the new challenges of the next Bundesliga season, they already see Bayern as an easier way to enter and win, If not, you have to ask Dortmund, another one that gave battle was Union Berlin, but it did not maintain its level, I hope the next Bundesliga will be emotional from start to finish.

4542  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: June 09, 2023, 05:11:26 AM


For some reason when talking about Paris Saint Germain, I have confidence that they will return to transfer star players again for next season even though they will be left behind by 2 other star players such as Neymar and Messi. But I hope they stop doing things like that, because nothing changes when they make transfers that cost a lot of money. I would prefer that when they start to regenerate their squad, yes they can bring back potential young players that they can use for long-term progress.


It is a fact, I think PSG could go looking for or sweetening Haaland, and any of the players who are shining worldwide, but of course, they are also showing themselves to Brazil, which is where I think there is a lot of talent, no matter how bad it is have gone to Brazil, these players always have that special talent and make a difference, thanks to them everything related to soccer has been placed with a high level of competition, South America is one of the continents where Europe has been taught a lot about Soccer Well, I cannot deny that in Europe there are players that I admire with all my being, one of them CR7, Mbappé, Ibrahimovic , but here in this part of the world, it is where the Players who set the pace have Come out.

There will be an impact felt when Messi leaves, but on the other hand, of course, things like this can still be minimized if they immediately move quickly to find other fresher players, but don't let the fans give high expectations because they are afraid the same thing will happen to Messi. can happen again to new players when it doesn't match their expectations.
Now Asensio is expected to be one of the strong candidates at PSG, hopefully he will not be damaged again in terms of fame by some irresponsible fans.
The impact might not be that big for PSG if the team can find a replacement that is no less good than Messi more quickly. However, during this break, almost all teams will try to find fresh and young players to replace the old players who have left the team. That's why all teams that have enough funds will move quickly to get the new players they want during a break like this, especially for teams like PSG who generally really need new players to have a better next season than the previous season.
As I said before this depends on how PSG find suitable players.
For a new player like Messi there won't be one I think because he is extraordinary but to find a player who matches PSG's vision it can still be done and of course this can still be found now with the finances and time that is still long enough I think they can do that though the pattern may still be the same because it only revolves around Mbappe when talking about PSG.

Well I agree with what you say, PSG has to know which players are the best to adapt to their style of play, it should be noted that they had the most dangerous trident in the world Messi-Mbappé-Neymar, nothing more and nothing less than two footballers from the most influential is an Argentine and a Brazilian considered the best in the world and a Frenchman who shows that French football, apart from being very elegant, has players that are getting better and better and of a high level, if they did not manage to win the UCL , What can the Sheikh expect if I have not yet seen players of their level, there are some who are young, but who do not stand out like them, I think that PSG made the mistake of their Lives by leaving Messi and leaving the Coach , I would never in my life Leave Messi.


If they wanted to run projects like PSg in the premier league they had to spend much more money because in the premier league, there are many ort rich teams and there is a closer race between other teams while in the French League, they could have easier days, if they were spending this money in premier they could even lose the top of the table easily.



That is exactly the point and that is why I am not a big fan of picking a league that is inferior and then invest a billion and celebrate the team for winning the title on a yearly basis. Not a lot of people are truly excited when they can watch Neymar, Messi and Mbappe play against Troyes. But what if they hypothetically be playing for Newcastle instead and people get to see them to play against Manchester United / City, Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea etc. Having those three guys play for the Ligue 1 title in the same team became very boring over time. Everyone was waiting for half a year to pass until the knockout games in the Champions League finally began and if PSG got eliminated early, then the season was essentially over.
That is what I have been emphasizing, no matter how good players a team has, world-class stars, the failure is not their fault, well Hypothetically it is, because they go out on the Field and they are the ones who lose, the really losers For me he is the coach, and it causes me a lot of controversy that they let Messi go and the same coach continues, I don't know how fútbol is handled well in France, but no matter how old Messi is , he is a Player who does anything and It turns it into a goal, but if it is misdirected it is obvious that they will never win a UCL , in fact they did not win it with them, less chance they have later if they hire new Players without the same Quality.


an Luis Saurez :


Luis Suarez: 'Impossible' for me to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami



Quote
Luis Suarez will not be joining his friend and former Barcelona teammate Lionel Messi at Inter Miami, the Uruguayan striker said Thursday.

In a stunning announcement Wednesday, Messi revealed his intention to join the MLS club following the expiration of his contract with Paris Saint-Germain on June 30.

- Stream on ESPN+: LaLiga, Bundesliga, more (U.S.)

Speculation immediately followed that Miami could look to surround Messi with some other familiar faces. Suarez, who was linked with a transfer to Miami before he left Europe to return to South America -- first with Uruguayan giants Nacional and then with Brazilian club Gremio -- was one of those tipped for a potential move.

Source: https://www.espn.co.uk/football/story/_/id/37821917/luis-suarez-joining-lionel-messi-inter-miami-impossible

I don't know, but in my personal opinion, I think that Messi made the wrong choice, because the MLS is like burying his career as a footballer, it's not the same anymore, but you have to ask David Beckham and other much older ones who were stars in his time as Kid Valderrama, now Busquets and Luis Suarez are not as influential for me as Messi is, that's why I clarify that it's just my personal perception, I think Messi chose his early retirement, and this is often the fault of a club that he doesn't value his players, and of course, the fans too, because they were already treating him very badly, otherwise you have to ask CR7 to see how they treated him at Manchester United.
4543  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2022/2023 on: June 09, 2023, 04:50:15 AM
It would be very nice if Messi would play football here, but where 1 sheep is over the dam, many will follow as the saying goes. I wouldn't rule out that, to be honest. But perhaps not all footballers are only after money. In this competition you naturally have little challenge from a sporting point of view, only the Asian Champions League could still be a nice challenge, but apart from that it ends somewhere I think. And Ronaldo and Messi face each other again in a match, when will we see side by side again?
Messi would undoubtedly be the new King of this League, for now the reign is held by CR7, in general the areas have been very happy to see CR7 in action on their land, as far as I am concerned, it is the land where they are, I think that the best decision for CR7 is that he left for this Arab football, in Europe he may have done badly, if Ten Hag, who for me is a very bad coach, made him look bad, then I think he wanted to be famous at the expense From him, these things are not good, but it is clearly seen to be so, I hope that Messi can reach Arab football and can be protagonists alongside CR7, even against his team.
There is lot of discussion whether Messi will enter the Saudi Arabia Pro League or not. As said his presence will sure be big thing for the league after Ronaldo's entry. Earlier Ronaldo made a statement, it is time to have good football in the Asian circle and he have come for that. As his words, after him more people have begun to watch football where cricket is dominant. Messi supporting the same will help in the growth of more footballers. The talk about Ronaldo could've never been this high if he continued to play for Manchester United.

Everything to the point that the Argentine star does not go to Saudi football, and it is a pity, because it would be something great if they could bring to them the footballer who has done the best, however I think that many do not want CR7 and they are happy when He's doing badly, something that I don't see well , but everyone is different, I recognize when a player is good, and both Messi and CR7 are, also MESSI has not received very good treatment from PSG fans,  which makes him not very happy or comfortable in Paris, so these types of things are what CR7 began to experience, I hope it doesn't continue like this , because the treatment they gave him is not something Pleasant.



In another order of ideas, we have to know that the Saudi duel that many wanted from Messi vs CR7 will not take place because Messi left for Inter Miami , it is his decision despite being offered a very large amount of money, I do not understand the reasons that MLS has been devised, and the number of memes and issues that are discussed on social networks are many , some say that he did not go to Saudi soccer to avoid having to face CR7 , others say that He's doing better in MLS, and Despite the fact that Messi himself said that he didn't feel well for 2 years , that he couldn't be well with his family , I think that US fútbol gives him much more peace of mind , but unfortunately CR7 vs. Messi Maybe we won't see him anymore...
4544  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: June 09, 2023, 03:19:35 AM
Yes, it's true that Casmiro played very well against Chelsea, apart from scoring goals, he was also part of the process for the second goal. I see Casemiro is a very extraordinary player and he is a great signing for Man United this season. He also easily adapted to the Premier League, which we know is a very tight league. Maybe without him Man United might not qualify for the UCL next season.

With the win against Chelsea, Man United is safe in the top 4 Zone. What ETH has done this season with this squad is amazing. I think it's time for Man United to rest their key players against Fulham and prepare to face Man City. The game was huge for many reasons one of them being wanting to win win the FA Cup this is going to be a brilliant season for ETH and Man United.
Casemiro started Man Utd's 1 goal in the 6th minute through an assist provided by Eriksen, even though it lasted for a few minutes but at the end of the first half Martial managed to add 1 more goal for Man Utd (first half ended with a score of 2-0)
to be honest, the strategy used by Lampard was not suitable and effective at all against Man Utd, he even put Pulisic into the game in the second half (Pulisic should have played since the first half), Chelsea really lacks good strikers and midfielders, they continue to look messy and have to settle for being ranked 12th at the moment.

It's hard to say whose problem it is, Chelsea's or the coach's... Lampard's return looks very bad, defeat after defeat and only one win. It's hard for me to say if it's the players in particular, it's probably the tactics of the coach who can't get the players on the pitch to play more confidently
The problem is undoubtedly the technical director, there is no doubt about it, personally I always expected much more from Chelsea, because they have many stars, and they are players who can make a difference, why didn't they mesh with their coaches? who knows? It may be that when the strategies were put in place, the players could not perform as the technical director wanted, things can happen like this, and there is nothing to do, personally, things can happen in soccer as you least expect, many surprises, but what I think is needed in this team is more training.

It's just that Arsenal also need to prepare more reliable players that they can use when a core player is injured or so they have more good options. because Arsenal will also fight in the Champions League in the coming season.

Arsenals coach Arteta definitely must have learnt a thing or two from the experience gotten last season and I think he would be more reliable to build a team that’s more consistent in their games for the next season.
I think the fact that when their top players were out of action due to injuries and the lot, they suffered some setback cause there wasn’t a reliable or capable replacement. He would need to work on that as well. After all, they’re now in the race for the champions league title next season.
Well now Arsenal are a step higher in terms of reputation in the world of football than in previous seasons. Mikel Arteta must have reaped a lot of credit for this achievement. But the real battle will indeed begin in the coming season. because Arsenal must focus on the Premier League and also in the Champions League. and of course there are many things that must be prepared by the Arsenal manager for the coming season so that they can compete with other giant teams.

Undoubtedly, Arsenal has a very big commitment, what they have done left many without a taste, Arsenal has a lot of potential, personally they are a team that can fight and make it difficult for Man City, also the Man City have many things to accomplish, they are about to win a UCL that can be or make history for them.

Arsenal for me is a very complete team and they have a lot of future, I think they could aim to win the UCL and the PL at the same time, so this type of thing is what can happen, Arsenal promises.

Arsenal agree personal terms with West Ham’s Declan Rice



Quote
Arenal are closing in on signing West Ham United midfielder Declan Rice in the summer transfer window after agreeing personal terms with the 24-year-old, according to Football Insider.

The online news portal claims the Gunners are yet to agree a fee with the Hammers. West Ham want £100m, however, Mikel Arteta’s side want to pay around £80-85m for the England international.

The North Londoners are in the market to sign a replacement for Granit Xhaka – who is set to leave the club this summer to join Bayer Leverkusen in a deal worth £13m. The 30-year-old is said to have decided against extending his contract with Arsenal and wants a new challenge.

Source: https://football-talk.co.uk/185714/arsenal-agree-personal-terms-with-west-hams-declan-rice/
4545  Economy / Gambling / Re: This guy gave a whole prototype of "how live roulette scam us" on: June 09, 2023, 12:36:29 AM
They cheat not only on roulette, but also in Baccarat, Blackjack, wheels.The maps appear to be using computer graphics. I used to play baccarat often and managed to win often. But in the last few years, the balance has completely disappeared. A year ago, I gave up live games, after which I began to withdraw money from the casino often, winning on slots!
Here is a video with proofs - https://youtu.be/21ynUBhBtR0
When you can't get a win from some of the games that you have mentioned, do you assume that gambling sites are deceptive?
You can't say they're cheating just because circumstances change and you can't win them every game anymore.
Maybe luck is not on your side, buddy, so in every game it is more difficult to win.

You win at slot games, it's luck and there are no factors other than luck that can give you a win in every game.
I agree, just because we lose at a specific game we cannot make the conclusion the casino is cheating, that is quite a leap of logic, because as we know we can lose simply because the odds are against us, now if the losses are consistent then some suspicions could be had, but unless there is evidence of any wrongdoing then making those accusations is going too far.

Now demonstrating a casino is cheating is nowhere near as difficult as it may seem, you just need to be ready to collect enough results and make some calculations and see if there is something wrong with the results we have been having.

Though I also started believing this could be scam but just because we saw glitch from one game play we can’t just blame it. The problem with the strategy is really off the record and unproven method so far. The electromagnetism and shit is just technical words they are using due to the fact that they want people to see this is literal serious case. We would never know how it works as long as we do not enter into that system by all ourselves.

Apart from this, even if they are pre-recorded the odds of choosing correct numbers by the computer behind it are too tiny. Casino could end up losing a lot of money. The math doesn’t add up here.
It is difficult because numbers and statistics have to have a fairly high ingredient, which is randomness, and only this factor can change everything , so there is still no modeling that can give us the real certainty of what what can happen in a casino or in a game, this is something obvious, what we must understand is that in rultea we must surrender to Luck , from there to win is that for me, merely luck  , there is no study that can Give for sure what is the best thing that can happen or the exact Result that happens.
4546  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can Chat GTP destroy poker on-line gambling??? on: June 09, 2023, 12:18:55 AM
That's definitely not a possibility real soon. There are many glitches in the language and the way ChatGPT works. Most of the time its answers are based on the open source texts available throughout the internet. Yes, it can access billions of texts, scramble them, rearrange, phrase them, correct and construct complex sentences, and give a fruitful output for the question that we asked.

I highly doubt that such AI would be capable of playing the poker game. Yes AI is very advanced tech right now, but you need to teach the AI, and its logic is formulated based on those learnings.

ChatGPT is not specific to playing games. There is just zero chance it may even be able to think stuff about it.

Your opinion is very valid and more than I feel that you have used it, I cannot say much because I have not interacted with the AI, but you are one of the few people who are clear in its scope, some see the AI as the Holy Grail, and despite I know that I have not interacted, I know that it has a long way to go, because this is like when the Mark1 came out, everyone was amazed at what it could do, it was just 1 prototype of what is now something very normal, minituaired, and this is an analogy simple of what AI can represent today that what it will be in 3-4-5 to 10 years that will be something impressive.


Yeah right, the improvement will continue and who knows if what AI can bring after 5-10 years, we really don't know if how accurate and how it can be developed. But one thing is also for sure that in the even that AI will have a better understanding of how the possible outcome, gambling owners will also adjust and will do the best counter to make sure that they still have the advantage.

In the sense of pushing things to gambling, adjustments from the other side will need to anticipate, it's business and they will do everything to protect the business.
Quite the savvy outlook, partner, and you've lassoed quite the nugget of wisdom there, especially with the hat tip to the good ol' Mark1. Indeed, AI stands at the break of dawn, not too different from where the mighty computers found themselves a few moons ago.

Nevertheless, let's not misplace this crucial caveat: despite AI still cutting its teeth, it holds a future riddled with potential, brighter than a coin at the end of a rainbow! Picture, if you will, an epoch where AI's data digestion and comprehension skills are so honed, it's like a crystal ball for market trends, rendering it a veritable golden goose for our trader and investor brethren.

However, it would be quite the folly to lose sight of this – as our dear AI evolves into a strapping entity, the tactics employed by casinos and their online counterparts aren't going to be left in the dust. Oh no, it's an arms race, my friend, a never-ending chase of cat and mouse. No stone will be left unturned in their pursuit of leveraging the same AI tech to maintain their house edge. Therefore, while we envisage the AI landscape undergoing massive upgrades, one ought to keep an eye out for the double-edged implications of its progress.

It is a fact that AI will take on a lot of prominence in the future, honestly I would like an AI to take control of a country and not a politician, because an AI is incorruptible, while a human being is corruptible and with a lot of easily, on the other hand, the AIs are impartial, and this is what they are looking for, I think that in the future an AI can dominate the whole world if they want to, the bad thing is that the AI can take control, of everything, that is As a case where a simulation of an AI was made when it took control of the world, that after everything that was done the AI asked for forgiveness, because in that fictitious world the AI ended all humanity.
4547  Economy / Gambling / Re: Enough to consider a casino scam? on: June 08, 2023, 09:51:27 PM
In the sense that Things are moving more and more towards a world of Technology where you can see that anything is the result of an AI , it can also benefit us by Using it for or against if it allows us to judge us , In this sense , we could go as long as the AI and Everything that is being developed will be the necessary tools to improve our systems and be able to offer a better service for us, of course , all this is paid , they do not charge us , but somehow they will scare you , when you Lose more in the game or the like, this will not go Unnoticed.
4548  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Wagering requirements for withdraw on: June 08, 2023, 09:18:50 PM
One thing regarding the wagering requirements, is that most of us have fallen for not reading very high wagering requirements,in fact when I land on one that says 10x I already know that I will not get anything from there, because it is obvious I'm not going to get there, if nothing else, sometimes with 1x you can lose everything, now 10x no matter how much patience you have or something is achievable, but it has to be someone with a demonstration of Faith and a lot of Experience , in Addition to having a lot of Good luck , it's the only way I can see that things can happen,  otherwise I don't think so, as I've seen 30x, 50x, 100x requirements,things that are not within my reach.


Patience is the key if you really wanted to achieve if your eagerness to complete the wagering requirements, it's doable but for sure it's really hard as like what you have said, chances that even in trying to double the initial capital is hard then how about meeting x10 or even it's just a x5 that's still a long way to go. Though there are gamblers who can manage to take that far and withdraw their money but not many can do that out of being patience while trying to achieve such goals.
Yes, I can't deny, I sometimes get impatient in the game, and it's not because the game makes me like that, my personality is sometimes impatient because I like things to happen, obviously I like them to turn out the way I think but sometimes it's inevitable, things can get out of control if we don't play with reason, but this is difficult, the game is made so that our adrenaline grows and sometimes it can take control, that's why sometimes in the game You must have the coldness of a robot so as not to interfere with the good game , it is a very good way of doing things.
4549  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🎲BetFury.io|🎉BetFury Affiliate Program is live| 💸Earn with RevShare up to 60% on: June 08, 2023, 09:03:26 PM
Usually that is true, but not every single time. You could get a lot of losses that will eventually make you run out of money and there is no return from there, it just doesn't work like that. I have seen people turn just a few dollars into thousands of dollars and then end up losing it all back again. Casinos have house edge on their side which means that it would not be possible for anyone to just keep on gambling and win.

If you gamble long enough, then you are going to end up with a loss eventually and that is the end of it, that's just going to be the case for sure, without a doubt. I hope that it gets to a point where it will not be possible for anyone to just keep on gambling for a long time and still not face 20+ losses in a row, if you keep gambling, you will reach that one day.
Reaching 20 losses in a row is not much, I have seen up to 40 losses in a row , that when I was playing at that time I came to think that the casino did not want to let me win more and that they were signing me up to lose, but then I began to Investigate about the probably fair and from there a great interest came from many people who wanted to beat the system, and remembering those times where I played so much, I wonder if the AI in the near future if it has that capacity, because it is not difficult for it nothing to learn, it is a matter of days , for you to Learn something at a master level.
Then there's the confirmation bias, if we start to think that we are losing unnaturally lot, we start to notice every loss and our brains is wired so that it's telling me that we are doing something wrong or the game is rigged. Somehow we tend to forget that if there's a chance to won a lot, there must be a chance to lose as much and more. Somehow we don't think the game is rigged if we win a lot.

If you play long enough entually there will be a day when huge amount of your bets are going to be a losing bets in a row. It's just as certain that there will be a day you will win big. That's just probability statistics.
If it is true, it has always happened to me that the things I do when I bet the brain behaves that way, when we realize that something is wrong and we try to correct it as if we continue to lose badly, and it is obvious one thinks that the game is rigged, I think that something like this has happened to all of us, and it is something that we cannot avoid, that is why I have always said that when we play in a casino we never have to do a martingale strategy because it is very Reckless, and we must Having a grip on the risk management of our money is the only way I know we can avoid losing big.
4550  Economy / Gambling / Re: Duelbits.com | Casino & Sportsbook | VIP | Instant withdrawals!|ARGENTINA & AVFC on: June 08, 2023, 08:36:10 PM
When we are in a casino,things always change,for example when we play poker we are 50% skill and 50% Luck, ethnances still the skill games in a casino it is very difficult to Determine that they are quite a lot of skill , let's be Teachers in poker, but if the game is Random and do not launch the letters that are or that we need because simply we will lose with the best hand in the world,then we have to be clear in a casino that when we enter we must consider that the risky money the most It is sure to be lost, if we think that way we will be more Relaxed to play.


I think this estimation is a bit off
I'd say pocker is at least 75% skill and 25% luck, could be even more skill though, it's not a game I follow so closely

but you're right, some other casino games are way more based on luck, not skill. and casinos usually use triggers to keep people playing

I think you are both arguing on a percentage that is very hard to determine and varies per person skill level. The percentage ratio of skill and luck on poker varies based on gambler skill. You can increase the percentage of skills over luck on winning probability if you are really good on poker while @luckmcfly 50/50 ratio is still valid if user is a mediocre player since this time he needs more luck to win. Skills percentage increase based on the user capability to win the game.

but you're right, some other casino games are way more based on luck, not skill. and casinos usually use triggers to keep people playing

Not only some but almost all casino games are based on luck and less skills since this is gambling. Casino wants players to rely only on luck while they have the advantage due to house edge to guarantee the casino profit in long term since they are business.

well, for as long as i am into sports betting i would say that in gambling there are two categories:

1 - games of chance that depend on luck: roulette, dice, slot games, you don't create strategies for these games, the person puts money in them and has to hope that luck strikes him, sincerely these types of games are very tiring in my opinion, I've tried some of them in the past but the result was a disaster, I started winning but then started with a string of many losses and all my balance sheet ended, so I decided to stop for always with casino games that depend on luck

2 - games that do not depend on luck: card games and sports betting, in these games the person must have a lot of knowledge to be able to do well, just see that there are cases (cases of people who got rich playing cards in casinos) although everyone it must start from the principle that gambling are not things for people to think about profit, but obviously there are people profiting from gambling and in most cases they are not thanks to games related to luck, they are thanks to gambling that do not depend on luck. for example in today's premier league game we have manchester united against chelsea, if someone simply puts money in chelsea thinking he is counting on luck that person will lose money, but people who rely on analysis will know how to place a bet correctly

the thing is that sports betting has a huge luck component too because there are just too many variables in play
the most skilled is not always the winner

besides that there are other things like yellow/red cards betting in football or corner kicks
If it is true, one thing can determine who can be the winner of a soccer game, in the case of the UCL, many can say that City is the winner of the UCL, but if Inter scores the goals? Even if City played with all its heart and couldn't score a goal, but if Inter did? That is why I also agree that not everyone who has enormous skills for a sport means that they must be the winners , because things are not like that, things here in football and in the world of betting can change at any time , this is the beauty of betting, that anything can Happen.
4551  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can Chat GTP destroy poker on-line gambling??? on: June 08, 2023, 08:26:35 PM
That's definitely not a possibility real soon. There are many glitches in the language and the way ChatGPT works. Most of the time its answers are based on the open source texts available throughout the internet. Yes, it can access billions of texts, scramble them, rearrange, phrase them, correct and construct complex sentences, and give a fruitful output for the question that we asked.

I highly doubt that such AI would be capable of playing the poker game. Yes AI is very advanced tech right now, but you need to teach the AI, and its logic is formulated based on those learnings.

ChatGPT is not specific to playing games. There is just zero chance it may even be able to think stuff about it.

Your opinion is very valid and more than I feel that you have used it, I cannot say much because I have not interacted with the AI, but you are one of the few people who are clear in its scope, some see the AI as the Holy Grail, and despite I know that I have not interacted, I know that it has a long way to go, because this is like when the Mark1 came out, everyone was amazed at what it could do, it was just 1 prototype of what is now something very normal, minituaired, and this is an analogy simple of what AI can represent today that what it will be in 3-4-5 to 10 years that will be something impressive.


Yeah right, the improvement will continue and who knows if what AI can bring after 5-10 years, we really don't know if how accurate and how it can be developed. But one thing is also for sure that in the even that AI will have a better understanding of how the possible outcome, gambling owners will also adjust and will do the best counter to make sure that they still have the advantage.

In the sense of pushing things to gambling, adjustments from the other side will need to anticipate, it's business and they will do everything to protect the business.

Yes, in fact , if I were the owner of an online casino, I would already be taking forecasts, because this AI thing is going to increase, I know that right now there are many errors, it's like everything else , this reminds me of the history of computers, they began With the Mark , now they are going in a very high technology where the processors are an impressive thing , however we as we are in all this way we must understand that as time goes on this is improving , and each time the systems are focusing towards continuous improvement , for this reason I think that AI in the future will set the standard in everything , Especially in Casino bets.
4552  Economy / Gambling / Re: Enough to consider a casino scam? on: June 08, 2023, 06:32:33 PM
Yes, in fact there are many ways to manage it, I think they shouldn't be done manually anymore, there are many platforms that lately I've entered where if they ask for identification, it has happened to me that in some exchanges the verification is very fast and it seems to me that they do it the robots, the AI robots that simplify the work at a great speed and that is something I like, when we need to register there is a privilege that is obtained if and only if they give you the right one in the verification and 1 week ago I did one and In a matter of 5 minutes he had already verified my documents and everything, it seemed like something great, casinos should have that verification.

Whether it's done manually or using an AI robot depends on the casino itself whether they have a lot of customers there and are already a big casino because if the casino is still small they want to use AI it's the same they need more budget for AI development.
But if the casino is big and has a lot of customers, it is more likely to use Al to help in service to make it more efficient and fast. This also really helps the team to complete some work, such as confirming verification, like what you did in just 5 minutes.
But if all existing casinos implement this, it might be very pleasant where every time they verify or submit a complaint, they can deal with it immediately.

Either we like it or not the world is already rotating round about the new and advanced technology of ChatGPT using AI, there's nothing than to embrace it, other technologies will still be in use like the web 3 and many more, you can imagine when we all begins with the uae of a 2G network technology before it turns 3G then now we are using 4G and with time the 5G will soon be used everywhere, as we are going so is the advanced technology moving and with this new era, forget about KYC or security bridge because this metaverse technology has turned everything more easier and simpler with maximum security, so why wouldn't gambling also advanced along the way with this improvements.

It is true, here things with the Chagpt have advanced a lot, this robot has changed the lives of many people, it has made it much easier for them and taken away from others, however these technologies were very obvious that they had to appear because everything is heading towards a world where things are more accessible and access to real information is there, nothing more than consulting it, for this and many other things is that AI is something that is being implemented in everything , be it in casinos , or sports betting , it can be said that this will continue to Progress to create a World where the Main thing will be to be in contact with all the necessary knowledge, Obviously Improving life.
4553  Economy / Gambling / Re: This guy gave a whole prototype of "how live roulette scam us" on: June 08, 2023, 04:22:45 PM
What happens is that these are very delicate accusations, one could speculate about some casinos that could cheat, but boy is it very difficult , in my case I know that the casino that is declared to be cheating here in the forum is 1xbit,and That has been declared, there are many tests and the casino does not really take into account what many have told them so that they do not continue in these illegal activities of obtaining money in exchange for taking it from others, we also have to remember that it is valid that bcasinios always They will have the home Advantage, and the Additional advantage of each Game, since these things are what every Player must Fight for.


To be fair on known scammer 1xbit. They are not proven cheating against players using rigged games since they are just using 3rd party games like the other casino. They are known scammer for holding users balance and all their scam accusation case doesn’t related to cheating games.

I think there’s no known case in regards with the games on all existing casino except for those house game which is verifiable via hash seed. But the rest of the games of casino nowadays is close source which means you can only prove that they are cheating if you examine physically their machine or the provider release the source code of the game.
Indeed it is so, that is why I am saying something, if one enters to play roulette and slot machines, he totally surrenders to the luck he is going to have, otherwise he cannot fight against a system, and it is as you say , no casino owner is going to release the source code or let them review their machines, since these are things that one as a player does not have a choice, the casinos always have their house advantage, which is also difficult to determine, so here is the The player does not have much defense, things can happen in a very Fortuitous way, because just as they can lose a lot, they can also win a lot , that is the advantage that roulette and slot machines have.
4554  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What are your most effective crypto trading strategies? on: June 08, 2023, 03:58:27 PM
Well, volatility is something difficult to measure, but I believe that one can make a type of strategy based on the news and on intuition, because volatility has a lot to do with those impulses that operators,media, and institutions have about as is the world scheme, and it depends on it if they are in a good moment to inject more money into bitcoin or consequently sell quickly in panic,as happened in 2020 when covid19 came out, which was a devastating fundamental for the market of btc and for all speculative markets.

I frequently wonder where all these major projects would circulate their up and down movement if Volatility did not exist. Our strategy always matters interms of dealing with the market, knowing the perfect strategy for each season. The market cannot be stable, even for a single day; the only sign that the market is inert is total consolidation. Volatility is what keeps our liquidity fueled and the market moving. It's always a really tight lane to be watching bitcoin drop heavily and looking for solid entrances at that point. Bitcoin has the ability to influence the market in both bull and bear directions; it all depends on what we actually desire in the market.  

Yes, indeed, what apsa is that many people who know the different projects do not think that the most important thing of all is that bitcon is the boss here, there is no other way to do it, if they were clear that things could be different when bitcon is in a bullish trend than in a bearish trend, the Projects would be very good and successful, the investors would be very millionaires, because if what happened in 2017 when the Altocins season was activated,things would be different, but in this order of ideas is Difficult but not Impossible.

When it comes to trading strategies then it would really matter on each person and there's no such thing about being effective or not because there's no such thing about precise tools and indicators which would really still give out that kind of question when it comes to effectiveness. There's no way on pointing out and this is why it would really be a never ending kind of search and test out of different
strategies on different price or market conditions. This is where you would really be making out speculation and risk taking on whenever you do decide on taking up some decision on buying in or selling out.You are the ones who would really be finding out on those trading ways and methods which would really suit out your ways of trading or dealing with this market.
Of course things are as you say, but seeing that the market is also very different now, things are beginning to move in other ways, first of all the technological tools have helped a lot so that they can see themselves better , in the case that I have seen In some platforms, I am in a group that is free trading, where a trader is offering us his techniques thanks to software , what happens is that I have not been able to try it, but it is very good and it is giving excellent results, Then it would be a matter of continuing to operate to see how much it can give , to begin with it is with little money with the equivalent of 10 dollars, so far I have been able to do a little more than 2 dollars in 4 operations , it is not much but I think it is Significant .
4555  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you take Part in Gambling Lotteries ? on: June 08, 2023, 06:12:23 AM
When we play in a raffle, a raffle or any type of game that has to do with many numbers,these things are very random, that is, the odds are very Low with respect to winning, in a lottery that has 4 figures the probabilities continue to drop,I know several who hold car raffles and use this modality, and when the number does not fall, they come back and do the raffle,the things they can do and continue winning are something Impressive,for that reason where alive it is so common that for anything they do a raffle.


it is already given that the odds in lotteries are very low.  It is more likely a one-over million odds that we can on the lottery.  This is one of the reasons I avoid participating in lotteries especially when it is hosted by the state because the winning odds is too slim.  It is more like giving away our money to the host of the event.

So whenever i heard a news about anyone getting consecutive win on the lottery, I am very surprised and in awe of the luck that person has.  Sometimes I even think that probably the game was rigged lol.
Lotteries are banned in my country. I don't participate into any of the online lotteries too, for which my preference will be to wager a little and try to get a raffle ticket from the gambling sites. Once I had more than 1000 tickets, even in such situation I wasn't able to win few dollars. This is how my luck, so I just spend on gambling sites the amount than buying lotteries.

As said the person needs to be extremely lucky. One in a million isn't an easy thing and the luckiest thing I've come across is the same person winning two and more times.

it is strange to hear that a country prohibits lottery games, to be honest I see no reason for this ban, lottery games are generally the ones that make people spend less money playing, to be more precise in my country for example in all Every corner of the city has Gambling, from slots and lotteries to physical casinos and everything is legal, the lottery ticket in my country costs 0.25$ each lottery ticket and the prize ranges from $50,000 to $100,000, but there are also many types of lotteries in every corner of the cities of my country and until today I still haven't seen anyone from my country commit suicide or sell any property to buy a lottery ticket, this happens because as Gambling  in my country have been allowed for many years, then the people are used to

now when people are still not used to gambling because the government prohibits it then we have chaos, we have more people who go looking for clandestine ways to gamble and get easily anxious when they gamble and easily become addicted to gambling because there is no psychological follow-up , the biggest problem of banning gambling is very big and serious, this is not a solution, certain government decisions become very strange, because look: in your country there are alcoholic beverages, and without a doubt you see drunk people fighting and creating problems, but governments do not ban alcoholic beverages, on the contrary, they even show advertisements for beers and wines on TV

What happens is that when you live in a third world country this type of thing is very common, luckily I have another country 1 hour away that does have those liberties, obviously it is very different, although given how things are going thing in politics is assimilating a lot to a country that is getting closer and closer to the first world, however, life in these countries has its pros and cons , the cons are more, but what I see is that they are already accepting the casinos and lotteries, obviously the government is getting a lot of benefits to be able to let the casinos operate in the country, but of course, they have to give the government a lot of money , that is , a good cut, even so , in this country there are people who have a lot money and have to spend.
4556  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can this be effective against the increasing numbers of gamblers? on: June 08, 2023, 05:24:27 AM


Advertising never ends on the internet. Even if the casino is not welcome here in bitcointalk such the 1xbit, we still could see them on different crypto sites because the crypto adnetworks welcome them.

 Social media is use more in this time, so even if they forbid the influencers and bloggers promote those casinos and sportbetting platforms.




In that aspect you are absolutely right, the publicity does not end there, consequently the casino you name is known to be one of those with the biggest scams in the world, and it is only necessary to show, all the evidence is there, but now so that the number of players can continue to grow, there is nothing better than offering something in return, to keep them there and make them defend the casino at the worst times, I think it is an investment, there are many ways, rewards with social networks, with the things that can be devised, but they have to give something, something in exchange for work.

Yes, that's just a part of promotion. The platforms have got more other ways to promote the platform. The sporting authority have made the decisions. It is to get exhibited from 2025/26 which is almost 2 years from now. Even the change of members on the authority could make changes. Nothing much changes, only the sponsor amount from the specific team gets decreased. The market is big, so that the business owners will find an alternate way to keep the gamblers active as well attract new ones.

Considering that advertising pays for itself, at a time when all advertising starts , it will have a community and will have many people eager for the site to be very good , obviously the community wants something in return, usually it is money, generating/work is mainly what many are looking for, and these people will give anything to Defend the site, that's why I say , if a community is built with effort, there is nothing else to Show that what is required here is that jobs are offered so that they can have Access to everything, and this is Protection to the platform, but if the casino or platform stops Giving benefits to that Community, everything will go to the Floor , I have seen that some Platforms work like this.
4557  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🐺 wild.io 🎰 Wheel of Fortune 🎁 Daily Rewards 🔥 10 Minutes Cashouts on: June 08, 2023, 05:09:56 AM
Customer support! A gambler's nemesis. Feels like unearthing a Da Vinci Code, waiting for some casinos to respond. When they do? A generic, copy-pasted missive that ignores the issue. But fear not! With dedication and vigilance, any casino can deliver exceptional support, leaving players gratified. It starts with proactive, well-versed agents, masters of the casino's inner workings.

It's not just about competence; it's about agents with a soul, truly valuing players and their experiences. Displaying empathy, building trust, and fostering loyalty. When obstacles emerge, these agents are the ace up your sleeve, delivering prompt, efficient solutions. In the grand scheme, support isn't just about fixing problems. It's shaping a delightful, engaging experience for players. A casino that treats customers with respect and finesse becomes a beloved gambling sanctuary.
It is so, we as players are always going to remember something, if we have a problem and even more so if it is a withdrawal problem we are going to remember every word that support tells us, and that is a reason to hate or love a casino, if the The casino behaves very well with us and they give us quick solutions, we will be very grateful and we will always recommend that casino, one could even say that the casino could be defended when it is in trouble, now if the deal is bad and Everything goes wrong , the casino will be hated by that Player, and if that Player has friends they are able to Make them Leave that casino.
Well, words spread pretty fast, there is absolutely no doubt about that, and I agree that a casino with a good reputation and good behavior with its players gets promoted pretty quickly even if they don't make much effort themselves since the players who have already joined will surely let anyone interested in gambling know that they should use this platform.

Similarly, if a casino fails to maintain a good reputation and doesn't treat its players well, especially from the support side, it will surely have a hard time finding regular and loyal customers since no one would be interested in its services if it's not top-notch.

The key to every casino every project is that they have a community , what many casinos try to do quickly is that, because a Community will always be faithful as long as they receive something in return , otherwise they will be rejected, and this clearly depends on whether the casino is Fraudulent , the community is in charge of putting the bad reputation everywhere , there is no other way to do it, even here in the forum the DT faces are the ones who can give the final veredict, that's why I say a community can put as King , or thrown into the abyss , this is the oder of a Community.
4558  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: June 08, 2023, 04:23:27 AM
Ron DeSantis to announce Presidential bid in Twitter space with Elon Musk, follow the link to the announcement: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1661498079386931206

Unique way to announce. Compare that to Trump's announcement: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hsVS8EVH1c

Usually announcements of any serious scale for Presidency come from a large rally, back dropped with the U.S. flags and large speech. DeSantis is the first to take it digital. Watch betting markets closely, the tone gets set from here once he officially announces.

On a side note, DeSantis has the financial backing of major Republican donors to take on Trump. His avenue to the nomination exists.

This is Elon playing around politics like his new toy besides crypto. And he had DeSantis supporting BTC too. Which this election is bringing crypto on the table for discussion which Trump may have no say. He is no fan of crypto.

Media was furious of DeSantis for using twitter instead of them. He definitely made some enemies already as much as Trump.  Tides may change and Ron rising above the rank may be a loss for Trump.



It is a fact that now Trump will become much stronger with the policies that Biden implemented on migrants from other countries, but what matters here is that neither Biden nor any other candidate see him as strong as Trump, in terms of As far as I'm concerned, I think that these things can happen like a few years ago where Trump swept, of course this is what I think, not according to what I've seen, for me what they are doing is something totally different, but if the politicians want to disqualify Trump with false accusations As they have done, they are going to unleash Trump to be Stronger and stronger, that is my Perception because Politicians are like that.
4559  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: June 08, 2023, 04:03:29 AM
Using artificial intelligence for predictions is a big mistake in my opinion. I give an example for football. There are thousands of possibilities for a position in the match. All the data obtained according to the logic of artificial intelligence are analyzed and an estimate emerges, but even this is insufficient. Because there is the luck factor. The luck factor makes predictability impossible. So I'm talking about 100% accurate predictability. Otherwise, it is quite normal for him to make inferences and say logical results based on the data at hand.

But we can make artificial intelligence guess for fun. It's also fun to follow. Sometimes I show off to my friends when the correct results come out. Because I was able to make this prediction thanks to artificial intelligence. Still, these predictions should not go beyond entertainment.
I think that using an AI at the moment for the prediction is indeed a big mistake, because it is not among the most viable ways to have a reliable answer, but in a few years things can change,or in a few months, it is known that many programmers are working day and night to get an AI that is the main ticket to be able to win lotteries, casinos, whatever, I don't know if they are more advanced than openia, but surely they are close,especially those criminals who like to leave to offline sites for stealing your funds.


That's something doable in my opinion as well, we can't measure the potential as there are smart people who really working behind and trying to make a good use of AI system, we can only imagine how wide the capabilities if in case that it really developed the way it's intentionally been done, though I also believe that in gambling industry, there are always good ways for the casino to improve and adjust and for sure they will not let AI bankrupt them.

A big possibility is that they will also create or program their business by the use of AI system to counter the advantages or possible edge from their end users.
I have been Seeing many Threads about AI and its Scope , obviously the AI at some point will have a bigger boom and those AI that are more specific will have Guaranteed Success , but how will the casinos then at that time when an AI starts to beat them ? so how will high-yield, high-profit game providers sell to casinos ? I think that each casino has to stop Buying so many games from the providers and opt for Original games so that they can attract more attention , Especially when it comes to Analysis that is done in favor of a system called Provably Fair , if an AI manages to beat that system is where everything can fall into Possible Chaos.
4560  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Nonito Donaire vs Alejandro Santiago for WBC bantamweight title on: June 08, 2023, 03:29:42 AM
What delays this fight is due to the promotional issues of Donaire. Probellum already ceased to exist due to its involvement with the Kinahans. So Bob Arum is once again correct and some of us thought he was just making excuses to avoid his ward Moloney facing Donaire. Moloney is already fighting next week for the vacant WBO belt while old Donaire's next fight still has no venue and a specific date.

Richard Schaefer should work this out fast because neither Donaire nor Santiago wanted to overtrain. There is no such thing as having a serious training camp that will last for 4 months or more. That is not beneficial and will have bad effects on the fighters. Maybe Schaefer should ask to return the favor of his friend Al Haymon to temporarily handle some of his fighters and stage this fight.

What I sincerely see is a lot of work, I don't know if it's for the publicists themselves,or for the fighters themselves,if what they're really looking for is more vision on the part of the fans,as far as I'm concerned I think that this type of Things must be Resolved quickly in order to establish a more viable fight and finally let Donaire take action, many of us want to see him and show how much he talks because for me he is in Excellent shape, no matter how old he is,I see that it is Fine for a good Fight and that is what Matters.

Exactly, whatever it is, they needed to act now and work on pushing this fight.

I can follow you with your opinion regarding with Donaire, even he's not on his prime anymore, the winning chance is still possible
as he's still fit and his form is still good to compete.

A matter of how good the promoters and the negotiators are to bring the fight to the fans and market to potential sponsors to make
good money from this possible fight. More on how they will bring update and interest
with readers and fans who are waiting for the finalization if the fight will happen.

The only thing I can say is that now the fights are taking a lot into consideration to give young boxers more opportunities than to the more veteran ones, and that doesn't seem good to me , because everyone needs opportunities , of course , Donaire may not be at his best shape, but he needs training and needs opportunities, now so much protection from sponsors makes lops boxers very bad, just seeing the example that Spence gives of not wanting to face Crawford is just a sample of what a boxer with range can do It comes to be when his ego goes to his head, it makes him lose his sense of sport, a boxer in my opinion should never stop fighting , that's why Donaire needs his opportunity, his Opportunities.
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