I capitulated today. Am now 100% cold hodl storage Bitcoin for my crypto portfolio. No fiat reserves left at all and no open trading positions. Am completely committed to the bandwagon.
I have also increased my Bitcoin stack by 58% since 1 December 2017 so good outcome there.
Time will tell if I have moved too early but I believe the risk of any meaningful downside is now gone.
I am curious. Were you mostly naked short or short-against-the box? Which platform did you use, if I may ask? AFAIK, Bitmex is not opened for US. This is very academic to me since I don't have time to do any real-time trading these days. |
|
|
|
My btc price trajectory preference between March 16, 2019 and Dec 10, 2021 (1000 days exactly): An increase of 0.36959% daily, never a decrease, peak at 160K on that ^ day, then flat for 6-12 mo  Not likely to happen, right? lol TL;DR I would so much prefer a flat after a rise instead of too much up and down. |
|
|
|
Who is holding most BTC from WO family?
Probably Theymos. The question is how much BTC and true HODLERS are in this forum As real active members... Is this forum the wealthiest place of the future ? Yes it is good sir. Soon female Digital Gold diggers from all over the world will be on this forum, hoping to meet a WO man w a few coins in his stash. The idea of a WO member with double or triple digit coins will cause them to faint. Also many of the actual women in pics posted in past comments will come forward, hoping their image pleased the WO family and looking for available hodlers to meet. Wallet size matters. A link to WO-man and his women vid was already posted. Hint: the one where she asks a guy in something resembling spouse counseling session whether he still invests in crypto and he winces. That was way more realistic than the other way around. EDIT: besides, right now, the anti-bitcoin bitmex'ers are probably the wealthiest group. BTC lost close to $270 bil, hence someone got very rich in 2018-2019 at our collective expense. I remember seeing some 'shorting' accounts on Bitmex that are worth 20 mil and above. Oh well, hopefully, it will get reversed in due course. |
|
|
|
Who is holding most BTC from WO family?
Probably Theymos. Is this forum the wealthiest place of the future ? Of course, not. People like Jack Dorsey, Marc Faber, some Silly valley exec (Paplitya? spelling?), Peter Thiel, Tim Draper etc are already converting fiat to btc. It's going to be the same people, sans maybe a thou or two current hodlers back from 2010-2011. |
|
|
|
Not a very elaborate thought to understand.
however, as mentioned in another post, it is not clear that 23andme allows sample aggregation and 'pseudonyms'.
other than that, an OK idea.
There are other private sequencing firms, not to mention the original, and IMO still the best, Bryan Sykes Oxford Ancestors. We follow strict security procedures in the storage and disclosure of information that you have given to us and take all reasonable care to prevent any unauthorised disclosure of your data.
For the purposes of the Data Protection Act 1998, Oxford Ancestors Limited is the data controller.
The information you provide will be kept confidential and used to support your customer relationship with us. We collect personal data only if you choose to provide such information, for example when ordering our goods and services. This will include name and address and may also include email address and credit or debit card details in order that we may collect payment for your order.
Although we use encrypted security software the security of information and payments transmitted via the Internet cannot be guaranteed. Any losses incurred or sustained by customers who transmit information by means of e-mail or other internet link shall be borne solely and exclusively by the customer and in no event shall any such losses in whole or part by borne by us. Quite a bit more expensive ~$400 as I recall, but the other options have...umm...other ways of monetizing their activities. That's an ancestry firm, basically just to establish paternity (whether the father is the "real" father, etc.). it will not provide data on cancer susceptibility, etc. From what I gathered so far if you want to do the 'whole genome' works, you should ask your doctor to transmit doctor's orders to one of the few centers which do the 'whole genome sequencing'. The caveat in my knowledge so far is how to pay for this work without insurance being involved. I will get this answer sometime next week. The cost with insurance is about $5K with most of it paid by insurance, but, of course, they'll go for it only if such test is needed. |
|
|
|
My view is that DNA tests are too dangerous and that there are too many factors to control. Therefore you should never do them.*
I sense a market opportunity for a middleman. You pay middleman (via Bitcoin, ofc). You create keypair. You send bio sample to middleman, along with public key. Middleman sends your sample to testing facility with no identifying info.Testing facility sequences your DNA, sends data to middleman. Middleman encrypts your test result data, makes it publicly available. You watch for data (rest results) associated with public key, retrieve data, decrypt, use as you see fit. Results private, as they not traceable to you.  Funny that i thought about it yesterday as well. However, there is weak link with your description that I outlined in bold. When you send a sample, it HAS to be sent with identifying info (you register the sample collection kit on their website). Yes, but it doesn't have to identify _you_. It need only identify the public key you gave middleman. I guess I just assumed that would be understood without need of explanation. Not a very elaborate thought to misunderstand. However, as mentioned in another post, it is not clear that 23andme allows sample aggregation and 'pseudonyms'. other than that, an OK idea. EDIT: I checked and it seems that you cannot (no surprise there). https://customercare.23andme.com/hc/en-us/articles/202907890-Can-I-be-genotyped-anonymously-TOS are linked there ^^ Perhaps, there is a legal leeway based on article 6d of the said TOS, but it remains to be seen, especially whether they still need person's real name in the docs. |
|
|
|
they'd need to produce their photos of you yourself being the driver at those dizzying speeds in order to prosecute you
considering that many people's face opens the phone and that the car (at least some) starts when your phone is present, I could see that possibly happening. Maybe not as a prosecution, but as a "sudden" and "personalized" auto insurance increase. That would be nasty. |
|
|
|
My view is that DNA tests are too dangerous and that there are too many factors to control. Therefore you should never do them.*
I sense a market opportunity for a middleman. You pay middleman (via Bitcoin, ofc). You create keypair. You send bio sample to middleman, along with public key. Middleman sends your sample to testing facility with no identifying info.Testing facility sequences your DNA, sends data to middleman. Middleman encrypts your test result data, makes it publicly available. You watch for data (rest results) associated with public key, retrieve data, decrypt, use as you see fit. Results private, as they not traceable to you. Funny that i thought about it yesterday as well. However, there is weak link with your description that I outlined in bold. When you send a sample, it HAS to be sent with identifying info (you register the sample collection kit on their website). Whether or not a sample can be sent on the behalf of a person OR multiple samples could be sent from, say, LLC, I don't know yet (have to check the rules). I like the text in the box design as much as the comment in the image. Enjoy the rain 🙂 I understand that it sounds ridiculous now, but IF he sold at $14, then he had a chance to rebuy at $2-3 later the same year. He probably did not, hence I maintain that selling (with profit) during the dip is easy, it is buying again that is difficult. I have several personal stories to tell another time. It is obvious to me that i cannot do it, so hodling is the way to go until I might need fiat (if ever). |
|
|
|
That's NOT how it works in US.
There is no coverage denial for pre-existing conditions, AFAIK.
Right now, yes. However get rid of Obamacare and things can change.... quickly. Sorry but the future is not what it used to be. Not going to happen. Autism is an obvious pre-existing condition. One in 59 children are on the spectrum ( https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/data.html). If they would be denied coverage, there would be an outrage. |
|
|
|
It will go to insurance companies and you will be declined coverage accordingly.
It would not and it will not (at least in US). Besides, you already gave your blood for regular testing, right? If this is correct, then they could have sequenced your DNA already. I do appreciate the caution, though. In more practical terms, I am more concerned that the data from people driving habits could be (potentially) pipelined to auto insurance as your android/iphone definitely knows the speed of your driving vs the speed limit in an area. That would be nasty as around here the flow on the highway is ALWAYS 5-10 miles above the speed limit and you have to stay with the flow. If you get a DNA test, and you know that you have a higher than average chance to get a specific disease, and don't disclose that to an insurance company, then your insurance cover is void.
Better not to know, and to be covered by health insurance than know, and be uninsurable.
That's NOT how it works in US. There is no coverage denial for pre-existing conditions, AFAIK. |
|
|
|
Sitting at an airport bar in some foreign country, waiting another hour before my flight boards, and I begin my return flight to Texas (All alone. Rick had to bail earlier due to business matters tearing him away from us)
Beer #4 flowing through my veins.
Can't wait to get home.
On a tangential note, and without wanting to break any OpSec, I just wanted to sincerely, and honestly make a point about getting colonoscopies before age 40.
I recommend colonoscopies start at age 35, but, whatever.
Colon cancer has already taken a "brother" from my life - WAY before his time - and I don't wish to lose family members to the same disease in the future (Prognosis is good at this stage with early Stage 3 diagnosis for current family member undergoing treatment - the reason for my visit out of the country)
Perhaps, also do at least the 23andme test. Don’t do any DNA test. Your DNA data will be out in the wild and used against you. https://www.businessinsider.com.au/dna-testing-ancestry-23andme-share-data-companies-2018-8not sure what do you mean by 'used against you'? I believe that you can use 'do not share' at least as far as not sharing with insurance companies. That said, personally, I still did not do the test yet, although I am planning to do it sometime. |
|
|
|
Sitting at an airport bar in some foreign country, waiting another hour before my flight boards, and I begin my return flight to Texas (All alone. Rick had to bail earlier due to business matters tearing him away from us)
Beer #4 flowing through my veins.
Can't wait to get home.
On a tangential note, and without wanting to break any OpSec, I just wanted to sincerely, and honestly make a point about getting colonoscopies before age 40.
I recommend colonoscopies start at age 35, but, whatever.
Colon cancer has already taken a "brother" from my life - WAY before his time - and I don't wish to lose family members to the same disease in the future (Prognosis is good at this stage with early Stage 3 diagnosis for current family member undergoing treatment - the reason for my visit out of the country)
Perhaps, also do at least the 23andme test. |
|
|
|
c6h12o6 is my reponse to everything, prove me wrong. glucose? |
|
|
|
Why would we run out of electricity?
We have been producing electricity for over 100 years now, during countless wars and crisis, and with many different methods. Sure there might be temporary blackouts locally, but a total, for ever, worldwide blackout? Not gonna happen.
EMPs, magnetic pole shift, solar flare.... It could happen... Remote chance but it could happen.... I Don't see a pole shift interfering with electricity production, the other two are real threats, but it will still only be local and temporary (and a good reason to have an old pre electronic car in your garage as a backup, together with sufficient amounts of gasoline, and some vital electronics and devices in a Faraday's cage for spare just in case). I understand your reaction, I cannot explain it but I know that it will get disrupted. Quote from NationalGeographic: "Many facets of our lives depend on the Earth’s magnetic field, anchored by the North and South poles, from the electrical grid that powers our computers to the satellites that let us watch TV." Anyway in a polar flip the ozone layer will disappear for a lot of years and we will get cooked or irradiated  But how? Apparently, world had experienced a huge solar flare in around 660 BC ( https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/environment/a26817934/solar-storm-greenland/), the size of "an electrical grid would be down for months if not years" and that was with earth magnetic field intact. The last event that was previously recorded was a famous Carrington event in 1856 (with no electrical grid present yet). The movement of poles have an intermediate stage where magnetosphere becomes chaotic. See: https://www.livescience.com/18426-earth-magnetic-poles-flip.htmlWell, I guess that a combination of a largish flare and chaotic magnetosphere would be an ELE (extinction level event). Hopefully, before that we would travel to the stars. |
|
|
|
Dont worry..there is a possibility we A) have already done this or B) get a chance to do it all again. Conjugation, Booleans, Hamiltonians and Symmetry oh my... Arrow of Time and its Reversal on IBM Quantum Computer. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1712.10057.pdfSheeit, you kids think you got problems now with block sizes, bandwidth and data migration...just wait until we have to store and reconstruct temporal timelines. I see your "five" and raise you "ten": "there is no single objective reality" https://www.technologyreview.com/s/613092/a-quantum-experiment-suggests-theres-no-such-thing-as-objective-reality/They use these six entangled photons to create two alternate realities—one representing Wigner and one representing Wigner’s friend. Wigner’s friend measures the polarization of a photon and stores the result. Wigner then performs an interference measurement to determine if the measurement and the photon are in a superposition.
The experiment produces an unambiguous result. It turns out that both realities can coexist even though they produce irreconcilable outcomes, just as Wigner predicted. Could be used in an argument with a spouse/gf? ....Nah. |
|
|
|
Hahahaha. I still can't understand, how to become the hat then?
Ask Papa John's to make you one with everything. Or kindly ask our mad hatter xhomerx.Papa John's and mad hatter xhomerx, please help me to create my own unique 'hat' with bitcoin/cat/dog theme. Papa John's is a pizza joint in US, lol In other news: why captcha became so f-ed up around here? it cannot properly recognize either the bus or a fire hydrant. is someone/something messing with it? |
|
|
|
Question to TA experts: how likely would be a situation when we try to get to ATH, then fail (around, say, 15-18K) and revert to at least a short term, but significant bear?
Unlikely; possible, but not likely; likely (if you can show %% in your opinion)?
I am no TA expert, but my own estimate of those probabilities is 70%-20%-10%
In stocks, this happens all the time, witness the famous SP500 double top in 2000 and 2007-2008 at above 1500.
The reason I am asking is because essentially all predictions are showing the same fractal with $1600-3122 low, then a smooth increase (by an exponent) to 80K-400K.
The alternative take would be that in this (or next) cycle this pattern would be broken.
I would have to say 86.89% unlikely, 10.11% possible; but not likely and 3% likely. I would further add that I think after this cycle ends there is a good chance the next cycle will be much shorter as in the 2013-2014 run up/dip/run up. W  #stronghands'19 Does the intercept of the exponent and logarithmic regression curves represents the likely future peak (at around 80K)? |
|
|
|
House in Australia-being auctioned in crypto: https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-casuarina-129081390Not sure if any dolphins would qualify, but whales would do, probably On a separate issue: Question to TA experts: how likely would be a situation when we try to get to ATH, then fail (around, say, 15-18K) and revert to at least a short term, but significant bear? Unlikely; possible, but not likely; likely (if you can show %% in your opinion)? I am no TA expert, but my own estimate of those probabilities is 70%-20%-10% In stocks, this happens all the time, witness the famous SP500 double top in 2000 and 2007-2008 at above 1500. The reason I am asking is because essentially all predictions are showing the same fractal with $1600-3122 low, then a smooth increase (by an exponent) to 80K-400K. The alternative take would be that in this (or next) cycle this pattern would be broken. |
|
|
|
Billionaires repeatedly put their money at stake for returns. "Everyone" else is staking their money on iPhones. So fuck off you filthy thief.
Billionaires don't create wealth. They hire people to create wealth and then underpay them. That underpayment gap has become obscene. Smarter billionaires are starting to realize that they need non-pauperized public/middle class to sell the products to. This is how they make their money, mostly. If everyone is poor, except a small %, then there is no mass market. The question is how to get from here to there. A peaceful small redistribution (not 70% of course, could be 1%) is much much better (as a principle, not in practice) than something worse, although I have NO trust in any politician and don't see anyone with enough 'balls" to pull this off. The alternative is much darker, and I am not talking about riots, but a possibility of Homo sapiens subspecies emerging, "Citadels", etc. A split between super- and sub-humans. Once it is partially genetic, there would be no passage back. I am currently reading the third Harari's book (21 lessons for the 21st century), which touches on these topics and this book is much better than the second one (first was good too). |
|
|
|
Want to share this for everyone. This is really good for risk management.
snipped images
Concept is OK, but % wise I would never use these numbers as they are skewed toward less quality. I only invest in what interests me. |
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
