4200$ - 3800$ = 400$ in crypto that is nothing, we may not close below 4.2k but chances are if we go that low a wick through the upper 3k area is very possible, having said that, one shouldn't care much about exact numbers, just watch for potential reversal signals.

It's more like lack of forum awareness.

last post:




seems like he just bought the account, apparently he was scammed since this account is pretty worthless anyway.

I know most of you guys hate it when someone points out a bearish set-up , we all want lambos but facts must be stated.


last month i started this topic > https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5125728.msg50358025#msg50358025


i mentioned that if we were to close above 20SMA on the weekly, we will head to the 50SMA which was at about 5600$ , that was when btc price was struggling to break 4000$, surprisingly , it did exactly that, despite the low probability.


This suggests that we can very likely continue with the same structure, let's look at the chart. 




looking back at july 2015 , we can see that right after testing the 50SMA we head straight back to the 200SMA , which now sits at around 3600$ , but with a bit of room till the price gets there, it should be at around 3700$-3800$ , also notice that we can have a wick like we did back then, that wick can go to as low as 3300$.


this , plus being at probably the strongest resistance area that we had since day 1 in bitcoin , breaking that from the first trial is not very possible, a good run of correction to the down side is very high likely going to happen.


so don't fomo, don't panic, if the 2015 chart is to repeat itself, in about a month from now, we should mark the our bull-market-starting-point.



*This set up gets invalidated if we close above 6k
*a correction is very likely, but no guarantee we going that low , so buying at possible support areas is the best practice.

This is not a financial advice




let's see what you guys got to say about this, hopping to see some counter-TA and not some crystal ball or my girlfriend thinks so b.s  .

also, moon guys, don't hate , i am trying just trying to warn you about a very possible scenario.


Good luck

شكرا على الموضوع الرائع , احد افضل المواقع لل broadcast هو https://bitaccelerate.com/ وكل مايقوم به هو نشر معاملتك ل 10 نودز معروفة ولكن كما تفضلت انت هدا لا يضمن شي, كنت محظوظا في عدة مرات عند استخدامه ,  والافضل منه كان موقع بتماين ولكن للاسف الان لا يقدم هده الخدمة .

وارجو ان تركز على نقطة استعمال عنواين segwit فهيا ستاسهم بشكل كبير في توفير وتسريع المعاملات.

قم بنقل هدا الموضوع للمكان المناسب وهوا قسم العملات البديلة , https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=242.0

ايضا انا شخصيا ارا كل هده الاشياء ضياع للوقت فقط , اتمنى ان اكون مخطاء.

بالتوفيق.

I think you did the right thing there, not saying this because i did the same, but the charts are screaming for a massive dip, i feel bad for all the fomo guys who are buying at these prices, they may get lucky but i highly doubt it, 3.8-3.9k is  very likely going to happen by next month, a 30% drop is something that can make many people go broke, i hope the fomo boys are not going balls deep this time.

شكرا على التنويه لهده النقطة المهمة , استخدام وقف الخسارة او استوب لوز هوا امر ضروري جدا واي شخص يتداول من دونها اعتقد انه مبتدء ويقامر بامواله فقط.

وجب التنبيه ايضا ان العادة الجيدة هي ان يكون وقف الخسارة اقل من نقطة الخروج

يعني في حالة اشتريت بسعر 100 ووقف الخسارة 90 اقل شي نقطة خروج المكسب يجب ان تكون 120

يعني انك تخاطر ب 10 لتكسب 20 , طبعا لن يكون هدا ممكن الا ادا كانت مواقع دخولك قوية وقريبة من مستويات الدعم والمقاومة لتتمكن من المحافظة على نسبة وتناسب عالي مابين  وقف الخسارة و والربح.

i am trying to find a proper explanation that fits in your IQ level but i can't find any, building your own reputation vs buying someone else's are two completely different things,  the second one means one of two things.

1- you got caught with your pants down trying to scam someone using your original account which is now useless and/or simply want to hide your scammy attitude behind a more trustworthy account.

2- you are simply a "lazy piece of shit" who wants to buy success rather than earning it

if it's the first one, then you deserve the tag, if it's the second one, then it only makes you an unfortunate "lazy piece of shit"

buying someone else's identity is malicious, it's like using someone else's passport or ID, if you think that is fine in terms of trustworthiness then you should see a doctor.

there has been a lot of demands by various members regarding this matter, seems like theymos has a different way of looking at things, this is one of the main reasons why i created this list, while visitors can't see the feedback of these scammers, they would be lucky enough if they happen to find the list before making any deals on the forum, that's pretty much all we can do for now.

lol, maybe they do not have any plans, it is possible that it's their way of saying thank you for fighting OTHER scammers, it eliminates competition on some level , but you have the right to be "skeptical" when they do something like that.

Some campaigns don't prohibit scam as well, in fact the forum itself doesn't, you can scam a 100 people and prove it, and probably non of the mods will take actions against you, so based on your theory proven scammers should not be tagged as well.

in many countries, carrying a knife around the park does not go against the country's rules, you can do it, but it would be stupid to think that people will come any where near you, you should also expect normal citizens to be paranoid and probably try to do something to stop a potential harm coming from you.

I have not tagged a single user for buying/selling account, but i sure see nothing wrong about it, since it's only fair that the majority of account buyers plan to conduct scam, despite being unfair to some members , i think it's only fair to tag those accounts once solid proofs have been presented.

شكرا لنشرك هدا المقال ولكن هوا عاري عن الصحة تماما. ccn تضع اي خبر لجلب المشاهدات , بدون شك لابد من وجود كمبيات كبيرة من البتكوين في حكم المفقود, ولكن ان نتنباء بالارقام بهده الدقة فهوا سخرية بكل المعاير, وثم لا
ننسى ان البتكوين المسروقة هي ليست بالضرورة ضائعة , في المجمل الارقام الصحيحة سيتحيل معرفتها وحتى ان كانت في محافظ لم تتسعمل لسنوات , يمكن في اي وقت ان يستعملها مالكها.

فلذلك وباختصار الطريقة الصحيحة لتعامل مع الموضوع هوا باخد السبلاي الموجود امامنا حاليا.

First let's agree on what does a sideways market means, for the sake of simplicity let's put in a simple explanation, if you look at the chart

the longest sideways market we had so far was from 12/01/2015 to 17/08/2015 which was exactly 217 days, from there we started making higher highs and have not made any lower lows for years.


now assuming we have bottomed at 3100-3200$ on  last year dec 10th then it only makes sense that by July at most, we should mark that low which we should never see again, and that is what i mean by end of sideways market.

اولا ارجو من الاعضاء الجدد تجنب اقتباس الردود كاملة , ان كان لديك تعليق على جزء معين قم باقتباسه , ان كنت تريد ان تعلق على الموضوع بصفة عامة لا داعي للتنصيص والاقتباس فقط قم بوضع ردك مباشرة

---

بالنسبة للموضوع الاصلي, في وجهة نظري وكما تفضل الاخ Sygambler ان قليل من البحث والتعلم سيجعل منك هدف صعب للمتحالين بكافة اشكالهم , المعرفة هي سلاحك الاقوة في عالم الكريبتو بدون شك.

شكرا عمر وخالد لبداء النقاش بخصوص هده النقطة , في نظري هي اساس المشكلة.

يجب على الجميع ان يدرك ان جني الربح من المنتدى تماما مثل جني الربح في الحياة اليومية , دعني اشرحها بعمق اكثر.

لو فرضنا جدلا ان شخص صغير في السن لا يمتلك اي خبرات ولا اي شي يضيفه في سيرته الذاتية ولا يريد ان يتعلم و يتعب ويريد البدء فورا في جني الربح , بكل تاكيد سوف يتم وضعه في وضيفة صغيرة جدا , ربما متعبة اكتر من غيرها ولكن اجره سيكون ضئيل جدا جدا , ومع ذلك يدخل في الخلقة المفرغة او بالاحرى كما يعرف بالانجلزية "comfort zone" ويصبح الخروج منها لنيل وضيفة اخرى صعب جدا.

في المقابل لو قرر الشخص ان يؤوجل موضوع الكسب ويبدا في تطوير نفسه واتبات داته وتطوير حسابه في المنتدى حتى لو استغرق الموضوع شهور او سنوات بكل تاكيد سياتي اليوم التي يجد فيه من يقدره ويمكن ان يحقق ربح باقل جهد وتعب.

ثم لا ننسى ان الاعضاء المرموقين هنا ومعظم مدراء حملات التوقيع وغيرهم ينظرون نظرة دونية لجماعة الباونتي, يعني لو كانت مشاركتك جلها متعلقة بتلك الحملات سيكون من الصعب جدا ان تتحصل على نقاط جدارة او ان تشارك في حملات توقيع محترمة.

it makes sense to wait for a stronger single, i have been a bit aggressive with my trading, differently not reckless, just not as conservative, in fact looking at smaller time frames you can start seeing some divergence,  it's only a matter of time till we start collapsing, so let's wait and see how it goes, i won't mind losing this trade to see btc breaking these strong areas.



thanks pal, hope you made use of it too, stay tuned more to come 

The moment of truth is here, BTC is has touched the 50SMA on the weekly, to be honest, i did not expect this rally to go to this, too bad i sold a bit earlier, but i guess I did the right the thing based on what i saw then.







what is it going to be? keep following the 2014-2015 patterns and retrace to 4k or even possibly 3.xxx$  ? or are we going to close above the 50SMA as well as the strong resistance at 5.8-6.2k and really start the bull market ?


despite the fact that i sold a bit lower than i initially thought in the OP, the fact that we still touched the 50SMA regardless of how exhausted the bulls seemed to be, this adds more weight to the current market being a mirror image of 2014-2015, and this does give the first scenario of dropping from the 50SMA much higher probability than simply closing above it and starting a new bull run.


what i am personally doing right now is actually adding more short positions, i do believe it's a very good level to short here, given the risk:reward ratio.

will be looking to long btc at the next possible support, and will indeed keep some fiat for a possible 3.xk again, having said that, should price close above the coming resistance, i will have  to close my shorts with a loss and re-evaluate everything again.

Ok that is good news, but keep in  mind that back in 2015 the first golden cross was fake, price had a massive correction to the down side right after the golden cross on the daily, this should give us some indication that if we were to repeat the same pattern again then price should dip from here at least 20-30% making a death cross before attempting another golden cross which i believe is the most likely scenario, plus we are approaching extremely powerful resistence.

i would not be so excited at this point at all.  

لم افهم ماذا تقصد بهدا، هل تقصد انك تبحت عن مواضيع بالانجليزية لم يتم ترجمتها ام انك تبحت عن مواضيع لم يتحدث عنها احد في الاصل؟

ان كنت تبحت عن الخيار الاول فسوف يكون عليك الاطلاع الاقسام الانجليزية.. اما ان كنت تبحت عن شي جديد كليا فسيكون الموضوع صعب جدا..لا اعتقد ان احد سيقوم بذلك بالنيابة عنك بدون مقابل.

بالتوفيق