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661  Economy / Economics / Re: China's Proposal To Ban Cryptocurrency Mining Has Little To Do With Environment on: April 30, 2019, 03:38:25 PM


What's the consensus on china's motivation for proposing to ban crypto mining?

Capital flight has always been a top candidate for china's crypto crackdowns. Preventing liquidity and wealthy residents contained inside china's borders from moving out of the country. Like china, both NY and california contain a high percentage of residents who wish to migrate out of state and live elsewhere--taking their wealth with them. In this we might draw parallels between them.


It's entirely about capital flight. As long as there are Chinese miners, there are people willing to sell bitcoins over-the-counter or in person to very rich Chinese people who want to get their money out of the country.

And as it's being done in person or over-the-counter, they can't trace it or track who is buying, especially if the buyer exchanges cash for their coins. The only way to stop it is to ban mining, so people within China don't have access to the coins at all.
662  Economy / Economics / Re: Google is ending its sweeping ban on cryptocurrency-related advertising. on: April 30, 2019, 02:57:59 PM
News in today: Google's ad revenue growth is slowing:

https://www.foxbusiness.com/features/google-stock-drops-amid-slowing-ad-revenue-growth

Quote
Google parent Alphabet beat analyst earnings expectations but reported slowing revenue growth amid tougher competition in the online advertising market. Alphabet shares dropped more than 7% in after-hours trading.

Google's advertising revenue, its key moneymaker, grew by 15 percent to $30.7 billion — slower than investors had hoped. Google's digital-ad rivals include Facebook and Amazon, the latter of which has been steadily gaining ground.

I bet that's why they lifted the ban on crypto ads.

They probably thought, "What have we banned that we can unban to increase revenue?" And crypto was part of that.
663  Economy / Economics / Re: Ukraine plans to impose a tax on the operations with cryptocurrency on: April 30, 2019, 02:39:18 PM
In the Ukrainian parliament, referred to as the Verkhovna Rada, four different bills seem to have been introduced, which both provide for exempt taxation and exempt it. Of course, in a hybrid war with Russia, it will be necessary to replenish the treasury to counter the aggression and most likely, the tax will be introduced. However, all states go this way. Even Japan first introduced very large taxes on cryptocurrency revenues, so there was even a question of lowering them. Only a few states, such as Belarus, do not yet provide such taxes.

Are these new bills, or existing bills?

Ukraine recently changed it's President on 23rd April 2019. And the Ukrainian Parliament doesn't have it's elections till October so it's not clear whether any of these crypto-tax bills will go through, or what the new President's policy will be.
664  Economy / Economics / The BIS has attributed the volatility of bitcoin to the lack of a central bank on: April 30, 2019, 01:31:28 PM
https://voxeu.org/article/some-simple-bitcoin-economics

Quote
According to a Financial Times article from June 2018, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) traces the instability of crypto-prices back to the lack of a crypto central bank. The fact that the value of Bitcoin is not controlled by a designated central bank constitutes a major difference to traditional currencies.

The US Federal Reserve Bank, for instance, injects or withdraws dollars from circulation in order to meet its policy goals such as a stable rate of inflation. The supply of Bitcoin, in contrast, evolves due to decentralised computing activities of 'miners' and can only increase over time.  Therefore, a traditional tool for promoting price stability is unavailable for cryptocurrencies. The BIS addresses 'unstable value' as one major challenge for cryptocurrencies for becoming major currencies in the long run.


I personally think the volatility is because so few are trading it. The more people trading a currency, the less likely a single person can move the price either with a pump or dump. It's very hard for a single actor to move the dollar against another currency for example because they'd need huge firepower.

Unfortunately trading volumes have decreased since Dec 2017, so the volatility will remain.
665  Economy / Economics / Re: Big risk ,big results. on: April 30, 2019, 12:24:35 PM
A guy bought a very big house, which triggered an argument on a telegram group.
some people were arguing on a telegram group that they guy couldn't have bought the house with only trading profit....some insinuated that he must be into other businesses.
I laughed at their ignorance.
Why? Because I know that even in this present market condition that some skilled traders are making a killing.
I'm not talking about traders who trade with small capital here.
The conclusion is that when you trade with massive capital ,you earn massively.

You can also lose massively.

Everyone loses eventually, the key is to keep your losses small and survivable. The most successful long term investors are great risk managers.

The blow-hards who brag about taking massive risks to make massive money usually last a few years and then boom, they lose the lot.
666  Economy / Economics / Re: How Bitcoin Turns Wasted Energy Into Magical Internet Money on: April 30, 2019, 10:18:11 AM
Here is the latest on this. The province of Quebec in Canada, whose electricty is generated by hydro, has allocated extra electricity for crypto mining:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-29/quebec-keeps-electricity-cheap-for-crypto-miners-under-new-rules

Quote
New rules released by the Canadian province’s energy regulator Monday create blockchain as a client category of its own and order utility Hydro-Quebec to set aside an extra 300 megawatt for the industry, on top of 368 megawatts already committed. Applying companies will be judged on four criteria, including the number of jobs created, planned investments and heat recovery plans for the energy-intensive computing process that makes transactions with digital currencies possible.

Regie de l’energie also rejected a proposal by provincial utility Hydro-Quebec to have miners bid for power. Blockchain clients will continue paying one of two tariffs they’ve been offered so far, in most cases the same as large consumers such as manufacturers and data centers.

The decision ends a moratorium that had been put in place to let the province figure out how to deal with requests from the energy-hungry industry. Quebec offers the lowest power rates in North America and saw surging demand. A survey of potential clients by Hydro-Quebec indicated there’s still demand for thousands of megawatts, even after the price of Bitcoin went down last year, spokesman Jonathan Cote said in an interview.
667  Economy / Economics / Re: Which industries don't need blockchain? on: April 30, 2019, 10:10:07 AM
Defence, medicine, teaching, agriculture, cleaning, gardening, sports - anything that can't be done online.

Because the blockchain needs the internet, it's best for online retail, online gambling, finance (most of which is done online), remittences (most of which are done online), political fundraising (most of which is done online), and so on.
668  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin has no practical use and could be damaging to the economy! on: April 30, 2019, 04:07:30 AM
Practical use?
A country can save billions in remittance fee through bitcoin. It is a currency which is backed by maths, algorithms. It is not centralized. It is a currency of future. There isn't much acceptability yet. But that will definitely change in near future.

Lots of the remittence companies switched to using Stellar Lumens and other alts when the bitcoin fees went nuts in 2017. I don't think any of them have switched back.

669  Economy / Economics / Re: Will the next economic collapse trigger massive crypto adoption? on: April 30, 2019, 03:20:41 AM

The people in Venezuela get extra shafted by their government because they didn't have a lot of money before their economic collapse, at least when you compare them to western standards, and because of this they were often left with too little money to buy other stores of value, or have access to them, in the case of Bitcoin and cryptos at large.

It was obvious Venezuela was in trouble back in 2013, when the bitcoin price was only $300. The trouble is, people were reluctant to take action, I think they hoped things would improve.

By the time they did take action and started moving money into bitcoin, it was 2017, bitcoin's price was in excess of $7000 and the Venezuelan Bolivar had collapsed in value, making it too expensive to buy bitcoin unless you were rich.

As always the early movers have an advantage. After you get to a tipping point towards disaster, even if you want to protect yourself, you can't.
670  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin is urgent. Argentina is printing free money too on: April 30, 2019, 03:10:08 AM
Argentina is now looking at cryptocurrency as a way to bypass the US dollar:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/argentinas-dep-finance-minister-crypto-adoption-could-reduce-demand-for-us-dollar

Quote
In a meeting in Beijing, Argentina’s Deputy Minister of Finance, Felix Martin Soto, claimed that the government should address crypto and blockchain tech as a way to promote Argentina’s financial inclusion and reduce state costs.

Soto, who leads Argentina’s international financial relations, explained that half of the country’s population does not have bank accounts and operate cash transactions by converting their savings to United States dollars.

Soto stated that he believes that promoting crypto industry in the country will help to reduce its demand for USD, which will eventually contribute to stabilizing the local market and attracting global investment.
671  Economy / Economics / IMF and World Bank explore crypto merits with blockchain project on: April 29, 2019, 10:28:09 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/1cfb6d46-5d5a-11e9-939a-341f5ada9d40

Quote
The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank have launched a private blockchain and quasi-cryptocurrency called “Learning Coin” to better understand the emerging technology.

The Washington-based multinational agencies stressed that “Learning Coin” will be inaccessible outside the World Bank and the IMF and have no monetary value whatsoever, and is therefore not a real cryptocurrency, like bitcoin.

However, its development has helped its staff become more familiar with principles like the distributed ledgers that underlie crypto assets, possible use cases like smart contracts and enhanced transparency, and challenges like facilitating money laundering.

In a statement the IMF said: “The development of crypto-assets and distributed ledger technology is evolving rapidly, as is the amount of information (both neutral and vested) surrounding it. This is forcing central banks, regulators and financial institutions to recognize a growing knowledge gap between the legislators, policymakers, economists and the technology. This project begins to bridge that gap and form a strong knowledge base of the technology among IMF and World Bank staff.”

The Fund said the Learning Coin app would serve as a “hub for knowledge” helping host their content like blogs, research, videos and presentations. Achieving certain educational milestones will allow World Bank and IMF staff to “earn” Learning Coins. They will have no real value, but the developers are testing how staff can redeem the coins for some kind of rewards, the statement said.

Obviously the tech behind crypto is a separate thing from the social use of crypto.

The IMF would have been better off monitoring real life use of crypto rather than artificially asking their staff to "earn" tokens.s process will allow the Fund/Bank to better understand how crypto assets could potentially be used in real life. The goal of this project is to promote knowledge — not bias. The app is a prototype that aims to show the good, the bad and the ugly of the technology, without hype or uninformed criticism.
672  Economy / Economics / Re: Venezuela hit by new nationwide powercut for more than three days on: April 29, 2019, 09:52:59 PM
The only chance Maduro steps down is if another country were to welcome him like a King, which is quite unlikely.   The only one I can think of is Cuba but they want him to stay right where he is in order to keep sending the oil in exchange for goods and labour provided, they have their own problems.   Any benefactor would need to be a rich nation I guess, I dont think China has any purpose from him except as a gateway to aquire assets and access to the oil fields perhaps similar to how China operates in Africa.    
Russia wants Maduro there to give them a free base in South america.   The Venezuela Military want Maduro to remain there so they can continue to export drugs from Columbia with immunity from prosecution.     Unfortunately the people are all secondary, the only ones who benefit now are corrupt or somehow receiving money from a government which is broke outside of cash to buy bullets to fire at those who disagree.    Its not a unique path, its well trodden spiral by failed regimes into chaos and eventually war and destruction of the country

Could the ordinary people remove him somehow? If Maduro's status depends on him handing out money, maybe the money will run out and those supporting him will turn on him?
673  Economy / Economics / Re: Venezuela hit by new nationwide powercut for more than three days on: April 29, 2019, 08:39:38 PM


Two days ago we had 12 hours blackout, its getting a little better, but still there is a deep problem in the dam that needs urgent addressing: Replace of two giant transformers (it has 3, only the last one is working) only a company from Germany has them, but they don't recognize the usurper so there is no way for this to be purchased. Unless the Chinese can cook something (since they have nearly all world technology, copied or not...).

Is there no way they can buy a second-hand transformer from a third party?

As an aside, is there any chance of Maduro stepping down and making way for someone who hasn't antagonised the world? 
674  Economy / Economics / Re: Why exchanges constantly expose you to the risk of losing your capital. on: April 29, 2019, 07:17:17 PM
Does exchanges really don't know how to prevent their users from buying coins 100 times higher by market buy? If chart is that high means that someone bought that high and someone sold that high. That's crazy and so easy to prevent.

In order to prevent that you need market makers, and market makers don't work for free.

The New York Stock Exchange for example licences only a few market makers, who then have the exclusive right to make markets for the stocks listed on the NYSE. But in return they prevent the extreme pumps that you see on crypto exchanges.

Most crypto exchanges don't want to pay for having market makers, and occasionally they'll offer a maker/taker reduction in fees but it isn't enough to compensate the market maker for the risk. So they go without market makers.
675  Economy / Economics / Re: The Economics of Digital Cryptocurrencies and the Blockchain on: April 29, 2019, 06:48:35 PM
This is interesting, giving students some money and use whatever it is for research. It would be way cooler if they could build a working community/economy that peruses the said digital vurrency and not just letting it sit and accrue value over time due to volatility. Surely, this is what most students will do since they also need the money, but hopefully some would kickstart an economy at MIT, perhaps by trading items/essentials in exchange for btc.

Yeah - perhaps give the money to a migrant community and see if they used it to pay bills or remittances.

Or perhaps give the money to a traditional working class community and see if they kept it or sold to buy a new truck.
676  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Publish0x growth over the last month on: April 29, 2019, 03:15:58 PM
I've also only had good experience with Publish0x for now.
Got some [BNTY] and [HYDRO]-Tokens for posting a few guides and the withdrawal worked flawlessly.
The support also seems to be very competent (had a short conversation with the admin on Telegram).

Hydro seems to have a very small trading volume (about $150,000 in the last 24 hours:

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/hydrogen/#markets

BNTY has even less $6,853 in the last 24 hours:

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bounty0x/

Does anyone know why they chose such obscure coins for their platform?

677  Economy / Economics / Re: Brexit what effects will this have on cryptocurrency? on: April 29, 2019, 02:40:40 PM
It is likely that there will be no withdrawal of England from the European Union at all. Recently it was decided by the parliament of this country to postpone such an exit. This decision was approved by the EU member states. In England itself, several million signatures have been collected for the re-referendum on leaving the EU. By this time, many Englishmen understood the advantages of the union and what they were losing when they left it. The more time passes, the less likely the exit itself.

This is complete nonsence as the upcoming euro-elections will show (the brexit parties are surging in the polls).

Britain will Brexit after making further no deal prep.

As to the effect on cryptocurrency: very little. The UK is not Cyprus. It has it's own currency. The banks are better capitalised than the European ones. The govt's deficit is reducing rapidly. Unemployment is at a 44 year low.

The banking system works exceptionally well, especially since they introduced Faster Payments, where you can send money electronically from your account and it reaches the recipient within minutes. It's much faster than any crypto (the banks saw the writing on the wall and improved their services).
678  Economy / Economics / Re: Can Bitcoin Beat Banks? on: April 29, 2019, 01:56:01 PM
There is one area where cryptocurrency is coming close to beating the banks, and that is the remittance industry.

Here is a survey done by Clovr in Dec 2018 about remittence methods from the USA to the rest of the world:

https://www.clovr.com/page/sending-money-back-home

The survey participants were asked to choose all the sending options they had tried in the previous year:



As you can see, Cryptocurrency is in fourth place at 15.8%

I reckon within a year or two it should overtake traditional wire transfers by banks.

Notice paypal at the top though. It's pretty entrenched and only reducing crypto fees will knock it off it's perch.
679  Economy / Economics / Re: Each country has its own crypto currency! on: April 29, 2019, 12:50:37 PM
Just to update on this topic, it looks like Sweden's central bank is considering issuing it's own cryptocurrency:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-29/swedish-central-bank-wants-answer-to-what-s-legal-tender-fast

Quote
Cash use has decreased rapidly in Sweden and a scenario within the not-too-distant future, in which cash is not generally accepted, can’t be ruled out.”

Sweden is becoming a guinea pig in what constitutes legal cash in a digital world as the Nordic country’s citizens flock to credit and debit cards and other digital payment services. Many bank branches have now stopped offering money withdrawals as stores and restaurants are phasing out cash. Some people are finding it difficult to cope without access to mobile phones or bank cards. There are also fears around what would happen if the digital payments systems suddenly crashed.

The Riksbank is exploring its own digital currency, while legislators are leaning toward forcing banks to handle cash.
680  Economy / Economics / The Economics of Digital Cryptocurrencies and the Blockchain on: April 29, 2019, 11:25:18 AM
http://ide.mit.edu/economics-digital-cryptocurrencies-and-blockchain-christian-catalini

Quote
I reached out to two of our students, one undergraduate and one MBA, who were interested in essentially giving everybody at MIT $100 in Bitcoin and jump starting an ecosystem here on campus around cryptocurrency.

I was fascinated by their idea. I convinced them to turn it into a research study. They had already pretty much raised the capital from a group of our alumni. When Catherine Tucker and I got involved, the idea was really to first make it safe so that the moment where we were starting to drop half a million dollars on campus, we wouldn't be crazy, but also to learn something from it from a research perspective.

This is a fairly long article but worth reading to find out what happened in the study.

One of the interesting findings was that early adopters were the most likely to cash out.
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